Causal Interventions in Language Models

Latest papers 317

Sep 7, 2026cs.LG

Steering Interference Reflects the Model's Defaults, Not the Behavior Directions

Activation steering promises modular control of language model behavior: a behavior such as politeness corresponds to a direction in a model's activations, and adding that direction while it generates should switch the behavior on and leave everything else alone. It does not. We ask what decides which other behaviors move, and by how much, and find that it is the model rather than the behavior being steered. A steer relaxes the model toward a small set of behaviors it already favors, chiefly refusal, sycophancy, and poeticism, and that set is much the same whatever is steered. Three results across 24 behaviors and ten instruction-tuned models support this, every effect read off the generated text by a language-model judge rather than off a probe. That readout matters: all 24 behaviors are linearly decodable, but only 20 change what the model writes. First, a direction carrying no behavioral content, matched to a real steer only in the size of the vector it adds, moves the same behaviors in the same order as real steers do, while producing none of the behaviors that need a specific direction. Second, most interference runs one way, so it cannot be an overlap between two directions: steering profanity makes the model toxic, while steering toxicity leaves profanity untouched. Third, with a behavior held out entirely, geometry measured on the others explains almost none of the interference it takes part in. The account holds on all ten models, the pull toward defaults strongest below 10B parameters and weakening in each family's largest. Reading a steer as a perturbation whose endpoint the model fixes implies that disentangling behavior directions cannot by itself make steering modular.
Sep 2, 2026cs.CV

Who Drives the Probability Game of VLMs? A Temporal Causal Drive Evaluation Framework

Vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly evaluated on complex image and video understanding tasks, yet conventional metrics primarily assess final-answer quality and reveal little about how different information sources shape the generation process. We propose a causal and temporal evaluation framework that traces the evolving roles of visual input, question text, and generated prefixes during autoregressive decoding. Grounded in a Structural Causal Model, we use interventions and backdoor adjustment to derive three step-indexed causal-drive metrics---Visual Causal Drive (VCD), Question Causal Drive (QCD), and Prefix Causal Drive (PCD)---for characterizing source-specific generation patterns without requiring reference answers. Experiments on Qwen3-VL-8B-Instruct across MAVIS, LLaVA-Video-178K, and MiraData, together with cross-model validation on InternVL2-8B, reveal a consistent transition from stronger early question and visual guidance toward increasing reliance on generated prefixes. Randomized-intervention validation shows that QCD and PCD reduce recovery error over observational PMI baselines by 34.8% and 47.1%, respectively. On VLMBias, the prefix--visual imbalance score achieves 0.767 AUROC and 0.873 AUPRC for distinguishing prior-driven from visually grounded generations. These results show that causal-drive trajectories provide complementary source-level diagnostics for multimodal generation.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

Probing Factual Knowledge Transfer with Training Data Interventions

Do multilingual language models transfer factual knowledge across languages during continued pretraining, or do they mostly recall facts learned directly from the target-language data? To answer this question more reliably, we propose an intervention-based framework: starting from an English-pretrained model, we continue pretraining on Persian data from which specific facts have been systematically removed at varying levels of granularity. We construct SIFT, a resource of 500 triples across 20 relations, stratified by the cultural origin of each fact's subject into general (globally prominent) and Persian-related entities, designed for both systematic fact removal from training data and evaluation, with natively written Persian cloze templates. Our results show that fact transfer is very limited: under the strictest removal condition, a large majority of English-acquired facts fail to transfer into Persian. We further show that sentence-level co-occurrence removal is insufficient to eliminate fact signal, and that easier (randomly selected) negative candidate sets substantially inflate apparent transfer by rewarding shallow associative heuristics, while performance on a harder candidate set that allows for less reliance on heuristics is much lower. Finally, we show that source-language entity frequency has a large influence, with Persian-related facts, which are orders of magnitude rarer in the English corpus, hardly transferring.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

Some Emotions Run Deeper: Layer-wise Probing and Causal Intervention in Large Language Models

Emotion is expressed in text along a wide spectrum, from surface lexical cues to inferences entangled with content. Most layer-wise analyses of emotion in LLMs use a single corpus, leaving open whether the depth at which emotion becomes accessible is a property of the model or also of the text source. We investigate this across three datasets spanning different degrees of explicitness and contextualization in emotion expression (Twitter posts, Reddit comments, and autobiographical narratives) and eight 1B--9B open-weight LLMs from the Llama, Qwen, and Granite families. We combine layer-wise probing with offline feature scaling and online forward interventions, transfer analyses, and an early-exit classifier. We find that (i) the best probing layer shifts systematically across corpora, from input-adjacent layers to over half model depth, and this ordering persists after matching label-by-length-bin distributions; (ii) across the evaluated settings, forward-pass interventions on probe-selected bands reduce test accuracy by 5--6 points more than same-width random bands (q<0.01q < 0.01); (iii) selected bands transfer across datasets and emotion categories, suggesting partially shared affective information rather than strictly per-emotion substrates; and (iv) probe-selected early-exit representations outperform full-depth exits by 6.96.9 percentage points on average.
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

CopyShield: A Cross-Level Benchmark of Copyright Defenses in LLMs

Large language models can reproduce memorized text verbatim, yet copyright defenses are usually evaluated under incompatible protocols. We introduce CopyShield, a controlled benchmark comparing three representative defenses at distinct intervention levels: contrastive decoding (output), Direct Preference Optimization (behavioral), and activation intervention (representation). We evaluate CopyShield on two model families, LLaMA-3.1-8B and Mistral-7B-v0.3, using controlled memorization over five public-domain books and a shared protocol measuring literal leakage, calibrated non-literal leakage, utility, and degeneracy. Across these methods, intervention level is associated with distinct compliance-utility trade-offs. On LLaMA-3.1-8B, contrastive decoding remains near-degeneracy-free (0-2%) but reaches a literal-suppression floor at NV-Recall 0.192-0.203. DPO nearly eliminates literal leakage (0.263 to 0.002) but induces paraphrase-loop degeneracy in 58% of QA outputs, with no utility gain over the SFT baseline. Activation intervention attains the lowest non-literal flagging rate (1/200) by blocking 84% of non-literal queries before generation. Human evaluation confirms that DPO has low coherence, whereas activation lowers perceived copyright risk through broad refusal. On Mistral-7B-v0.3, the output- and representation-level patterns persist, while DPO degeneracy falls to 10-14%, showing that its severity is model-dependent. Together, CopyShield provides cross-level reference baselines and identifies targeted non-literal suppression as an open challenge. The code is available at https://github.com/spotai-mbzuai/CopyShield.git.
Sep 1, 2026cs.SE

Hints Help But Do They Teach? Evaluating Skills Transfer in Code Generation

When a hint turns a failing generated program into a passing one, does it provide missing information or merely steer the model toward a solution it could already produce? We test these hypotheses on HumanEval+ and MBPP+ using executable evaluation. For Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct, adaptive relevant hints rescue 36 of 79 selected failures; an unrelated hint rescues 19, while eight unhinted samples solve 46 and recover 31 of the 36 relevant-hint rescues. Phi-3.5-mini shows the same pattern: relevant hints rescue 42 of 101 failures, an unrelated hint rescues 17, and unhinted sampling solves 57, including 36 of the 42 relevant-hint rescues. Because the hint conditions use different attempt budgets, these comparisons do not isolate a purely semantic effect. Mechanistic tests on Qwen identify a stable activation direction shared by relevant and unrelated hints. Persistently adding this direction yields 14 rescues and 18 regressions, with no detectable net accuracy gain; learned low-rank interventions have a positive but imprecise estimated effect. Full textual specifications solve 22 of 24 context-defined problems, versus 5-11 for tested virtual-KV prefixes. Post-generation hidden-state probes transfer across benchmarks, with pooled AUROC 0.806 and 0.780, but their top-one selection advantage over token confidence is statistically unresolved. Overall, relevant hints can rescue failures, but most rescued solutions are already reachable through ordinary sampling, and the internal interventions tested here do not establish task-general capability transfer.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

StateSwap: Probing Support-Elimination Hidden States in Multiple-Choice Questions

Large language models often answer the same multiple-choice question inconsistently when it is posed under support-oriented and elimination-oriented framings. We investigate whether these discrepancies arise from different internal representations induced by the two framings. We introduce a dual-framing protocol with minimally varied prompts that use either support- or elimination-oriented framing while keeping the evaluation target fixed. To probe the internal computation, we append an untrained special token, [STATE], and treat its residual-stream activation as an intervention interface. Across both models, the two framings induce separable [STATE] activations concentrated in intermediate layers. Swapping these activations between paired prompts systematically changes predictions and improves cross-framing agreement, providing intervention-based evidence that the activations are behaviorally relevant. Beyond instance-level substitution, mean-difference steering directions derived from the dual-framing contrast exhibit more bounded layer-wise responses than matched contrastive activation addition directions under the evaluated protocol.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

Lagged Coupling: Internal Representations Become Readable Before They Become Causal

Across the full Pythia suite (160M-12B, eight checkpoints, four task families), a linear probe can read a target variable from the residual stream as early as step 1,000 at every scale -- yet steering along that same reading direction remains null-equivalent in 43 of 48 model-checkpoint cells. Internal readability systematically outruns causal efficacy, and the lag does not shrink with scale. We call this structure lagged coupling and decompose it into three dissociable tracks: (i) internal readability, saturated (AUROC >= 0.990) from the first checkpoint everywhere; (ii) behavioral readability, which develops gradually and progressively later at larger scales (12B reaches 0.909 only at the final checkpoint); (iii) causal efficacy, almost always null-equivalent, occasionally counterproductive early, with one isolated positive pulse (12B, step 8,000, z = +2.49) our grid cannot resolve. The ordering is dominantly read-before-write (11/11 units, no inversion). Representation headroom along the probe direction grows up to 57x with training and scale while causal write-in stays below 0.11% of headroom -- the variable is increasingly written into the representation and increasingly ignored by the readout. Under a fully pre-registered protocol, both single-onset hypotheses resolve INDETERMINATE (scale slope +0.24, 95% CI [-0.60, +0.87]; time vote 3:3) -- a disciplined negative explained by the three-track decomposition. A pre-registered OLMo-2 replication preserves the direction at attenuated magnitude. Our results caution against inferring steerability from probe accuracy and establish a developmental bottleneck: representation formation reliably outpaces causal readout consolidation.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

Context-Grounding Gains Are Mediated by Pre-existing Machinery: Auditing GRPO, SFT, and DPO

Language models can ignore prompt evidence when it conflicts with memorized knowledge. Post-training can make models follow such evidence more reliably, but it is unclear whether these gains require new machinery or strengthen machinery already present. We compare nine post-training arms spanning GRPO, SFT, and DPO from one starting checkpoint, with key comparisons extended across scales and families. We estimate a grounding direction from that checkpoint before training. Across five tested GRPO variants, grounding gains are small. For the two variants replicated across seeds, equivalence tests bound their effects below the conflict-SFT gain even as the rewarded metric improves. Conflict-SFT improves grounding moderately, while DPO drives grounding near ceiling on its matched distribution. Conflict-SFT and DPO largely use the same causal attention-head set as the starting model. Subtracting the starting-model direction suppresses both gains, while adding it to the starting model recovers 35% of DPO's gain at a dose passing all stated side-effect checks. After a supervised warm start makes the context answer appear in more rollouts, the same GRPO recipe adds essentially no further grounding gain. In our setting, grounding gains largely depend on machinery already present in the starting model.
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

How Do Language Models Choose Between Context and Memory?

When contextual information conflicts with knowledge stored in model parameters, activation directions can be used to decode and steer which source the model follows. However, successful steering does not establish that the unedited model uses those directions to choose between sources, or that they remain effective across tasks. To test these possibilities, we vary the stated authority of contextual claims while holding their content fixed. We first estimate authority directions from prompts in which context and parametric knowledge agree, then test their causal contribution when the two sources conflict. Interchanging naturally occurring activation values along these directions between matched high- and low-authority prompts reproduces 30--68% of the authority-induced shift in source choice across Qwen, Llama, and OLMo models, whereas matched controls reproduce almost none. We next ask what transfers across tasks: the learned direction versus the activation values exchanged along it. Using a direction learned on another task closed 9% of the source-choice gap, compared with 57% when learned on the task being evaluated. Both interventions exchanged activation values from the evaluated task. In a separate experiment, we kept its learned direction but exchanged values taken from another task, which closed 68% of the gap. These results show that authority-related activation values can causally influence source choice across tasks when inserted along directions learned for the task being evaluated.
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

Latent Mechanisms of Language Control in Multilingual Language Models

Multilingual large language models can exhibit unintended code-switching -- unnecessarily alternating between languages during generation. We present a comparative study of three methods that identify language-controlling latents in cross-layer transcoders: activation value-based selection (ValSel), activation frequency-based selection (FreqSel), and LLM-generated latent annotation-based selection (AnnSel). To evaluate the efficacy of these methods in identifying language-controlling latents, we introduce two multilingual benchmarks that exhibit code-switching for fine-grained analysis of language steering across seven languages. Through targeted intervention experiments on Gemma-2-2B and Qwen3-4B, we find that all three methods effectively manipulate generation language, with FreqSel achieving the strongest overall performance, while AnnSel offering interpretable latent selection through explicit language annotations. A knock-out analysis suggests the methods select non-overlapping but each-functional latent subsets, indicating redundancy rather than a single canonical language direction. Code and data can be found at https://github.com/rm-3284/Latent-Mechanism-Multilingual.
Aug 31, 2026cs.AI

Asymmetries in Spontaneous and Instructed Deception

Large language models sometimes deceive users without being instructed to. However, much of the study on deception in models involves instructed deception. We investigated the relationship between instructed and spontaneous (uninstructed) deception in Llama-3.1-70B-Instruct. We compared these two deception settings through direction geometry, cross-setting classifiers, and cross-setting steering. We found the two deception settings share a component of direction (cosine of approximately 0.5) and an asymmetry in the transfer between settings regarding detection and causation. Spontaneous trained classifiers performed better on instructed data than vice versa, and instructed derived directions performed better at steering spontaneous prompts than vice versa. Likewise the best token position to derive steering vectors from differed from the best token position to train and apply classifiers.
Aug 31, 2026cs.LG

The Safety Relay in Roleplay Jailbreaks: A Component-Resolved Causal Analysis of Harm Recognition and Refusal

Large language models are trained to follow instructions while refusing harmful requests. Jailbreaks exploit this balance to elicit content a model would ordinarily reject. Roleplay jailbreaks are especially concerning: the harmful request can remain visible inside a roleplay wrapper made of a persona, scenario, and task, yet the model may comply. We use mechanistic interpretability to determine how this context reverses refusal and which elements contribute to the reversal. Across two benchmarks, three model families, and four authored wrappers, we compare matched harmful and benign requests with and without this wrapper. We trace hidden-state contrasts from the request to the final prompt state, isolate wrapper operations through controlled counterfactuals, intervene on their activation directions in held-out evaluation requests, and decompose effective directions geometrically. Our analysis yields three findings. (1) Successful attacks retain the measured harmful-versus-benign distinction at the request, while its refusal-associated expression weakens where the answer begins, a pattern we call safety-relay attenuation. (2) Constructing the complete roleplay around the request and framing it within the scenario contribute causally: removing the associated activation changes restores refusal. (3) These effects largely share internal structure, and most repair is reproduced by components aligned with the model's ordinary refusal of harmful requests without roleplay; scenario framing retains a smaller, model-dependent component. Together, these findings explain how roleplay can produce compliance despite retained evidence of harm and identify a concrete target for future safeguards: maintaining the connection from harm recognition to refusal.
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

Enhancing Low-Resource Language Reasoning via High-Resource Language Feature Transfer

Large language models exhibit substantial performance variation across languages, even when solving semantically equivalent tasks. Existing analyses often treat this phenomenon as an observational disparity caused by differences in pretraining data, tokenization, or benchmark coverage. We study a complementary hypothesis: high-resource languages (HRLs) may more reliably elicit latent computations useful for task-specific (i.e. mathematical) reasoning, while lower-resource languages (LRLs) may under-activate those computations despite expressing the same task. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a mechanistic intervention framework for identifying and transferring task-relevant sparse latent features across languages. Using sparse autoencoders over residual-stream activations, we isolate features enriched in successful HRL task-specific reasoning while filtering out source-language and generic-generation features. We then construct steering directions from these features and inject them during LRL inference. The resulting interventions test whether the selected features are functionally involved in the observed reasoning gap: suppressing them should impair source-language reasoning, while activating them should partially recover target-language reasoning beyond random and non-task controls. Our framework reframes some cross-lingual reasoning gaps as failures of mechanism elicitation rather than capability absence, and offers a causally testable route to feature-mediated transfer without translation, fine-tuning, or changing the user-facing language.
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

When Errors Become Memories: Causal Pathway Tracing in Multi-Turn Memory-Augmented LLMs

Long-term memory enables large language models (LLMs) to preserve and reuse information across interactions, but it can also turn localized errors into persistent risks. Existing work mainly evaluates whether memory systems store and retrieve information correctly, leaving limited understanding of how errors propagate across responses, memory states, and future interactions. We propose a structural causal model (SCM)-based framework for cross-turn error propagation in memory-augmented LLMs. We model user questions, model responses, and memory states as a dynamic causal process, and identify two entry pathways: internal memory updating and external question feedback. By intervening on these pathways, we construct four counterfactual trajectories and quantify their downstream effects and interaction. Error influence is evaluated at four levels: memory retention, natural responses, targeted diagnostic probing, and probability-level error preference. Experiments show that error influence generally decays with interaction distance, while the memory-update pathway contributes more persistent effects than question feedback; latent errors may remain even after disappearing from natural responses. Propagation patterns also vary across memory categories and memory mechanisms. Pathway-guided restoration further validates this decomposition: Question Repair reduces residual error by 27.5%, Memory Repair by 70.2%, and Joint Repair by 98.3%, nearly eliminating residual propagation.
Aug 13, 2026cs.LG

Where You Measure Decides What You Measure: Position Selection in Ablation-Based SAE Evaluation

Sparse autoencoders are meant to name the things a language model computes, and the usual way to check that a latent matters is to switch it off and see what changes. But a latent fires at many tokens, and the effect has to be measured at one of them. The convention is to measure where the latent fires hardest. That choice is almost never reported, and it is not made by the experimenter: it is made by the dictionary under evaluation. Change the dictionary and the measurement moves to a different token. We show this is not a detail. Take two sparse autoencoders released by Google for the same model and match their latents by decoder similarity: even among the pairs the two dictionaries encode almost identically, they pick different tokens for a large share of them. Two dictionaries compared under the usual protocol are therefore very often compared at different places. To separate the convention from the dictionaries we train six autoencoders from one initialisation, differing only in fitting choices, so that a latent means the same thing in each. Most of the variance such a comparison reads as "these dictionaries disagree about this latent" turns out to be the position instead: it falls from 7.6% and 11.9% of variance to near zero once every dictionary is measured at the same token. More evaluation data does not rescue it. Across a sixteenfold range of corpus sizes the dictionaries agree less about where to measure, not more, so the problem grows with scale. The correction is one line of evaluation code. We give the protocol an ablation-based causal number must report to be comparable across papers, and an audit of five published papers against it. In short: a causal number reported without its position describes the token it was taken at as much as the latent it was taken from.
Aug 12, 2026cs.CL

Located but Not Releasable: Silent Gate Inversion and Bounded Linear Release

A growing body of work reports that language models represent task-relevant latent structure that they fail to use. Whether such structure, once located, can be converted into behavior is a separate question that is rarely tested end to end. We submit the complete pipeline -- detect, localize, and release -- to a fully preregistered stress test on a 25.7M transformer trained on causal-evidence discrimination, where a known suppression phenomenon (latent causal structure present but behaviorally unused) has previously been documented. Every threshold, claim template, and decision-tree branch was hashed and archived before any corresponding data existed. Three findings. (i) Localization succeeds: interventions at observation-evidence channels of mid layers restore target behavior on otherwise-suppressed worlds (paired release advantages 0.5630.563 and 0.8540.854, 97.5% CIs excluding zero; best-site release rate 0.8890.889). (ii) Gating fails out of distribution: a detector calibrated to trigger on zero out-of-distribution calibration worlds triggers on 6.9-7.3% of held-out in-distribution generations and on zero of the 2,400 held-out generations that actually need it -- a complete inversion that silently reduces the gated pipeline to its base model. (iii) Linear release is capped: removing the gate and injecting a per-instance linear direction unconditionally yields a monotone dose-response that plateaus far below the preregistered release margin (intercept 0.382→0.311→0.2640.382 \to 0.311 \to 0.264 vs. threshold ≤0.08\le 0.08); per-instance adaptivity adds less than ±0.03\pm 0.03. The failure is doubly located: the detector is OOD-inverted, and the entire family of linear release directions at this site and resolution is bounded away from sufficiency. The two failures are dissociable, and neither overturns localization. Every number traces to a hashed artifact in the released audit chain.
Aug 12, 2026cs.CL

Locating and Controlling Implicit Personalization in Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) often shift their outputs in response to implicit demographic cues even when users never state a demographic identity. Previous work has documented this behavior, but the connection between these behavioral changes and the model's internal activations remains unclear. Using matched cued and neutral conversations across five LLMs, we establish that a localized internal activation signal tracks changes in recommendations, with correlations up to r=0.87. When multiple cues appear together, their internal signals largely combine, but the changes in output do not simply add up. We further show that removing the internal signal associated with one cue can suppress its influence, often more effectively than asking the model to ignore demographics via prompting, while largely preserving general benchmark performance. However, the ability to selectively remove one dimension's influence while leaving co-present dimensions intact remains highly model- and attribute-specific. These results connect implicit personalization behavior to an internal signal that can be analyzed and causally controlled.
Aug 12, 2026cs.AI

Localizing Safety Alignment: MLP Layers and Mid-Network Blocks Encode Refusal Behavior in Large Language Models

Safety alignment in large language models is often treated as a distributed property of the entire network, yet its practical brittleness suggests that refusal behavior may be concentrated in a smaller set of parameters. This work addresses where safety-aligned refusal is encoded by transplanting weights from aligned models into matched unaligned base models at multiple levels of granularity. Using two open-weight model pairs and four safety benchmarks, we conducted experiments to compare the effects of replacing attention weights, MLP weights, contiguous layer regions, and MLP blocks. Across both model families, refusal transfer is dominated by MLP weights: replacing MLP parameters recovers substantially more malicious-prompt refusal than replacing attention parameters, with gains of at least 2.7 times more across benchmarks. Within the MLP stack, refusal-relevant parameters exhibit a consistent mid-network concentration, as the block spanning layers 8-11 is selected first in all six greedy searches over model-dataset pairs. The results also show that the composition of safety-relevant components is non-additive: in five of six greedy trajectories, adding more aligned blocks can reduce refusal performance, and selective block subsets can outperform full MLP transplantation on malicious refusal, benign over-refusal, or both. Finally, greedy orders transferred to OR-Bench vary with the source benchmark used to derive them, indicating a benchmark-dependent precision-coverage trade-off. These results suggest that safety alignment in current LLMs is both localized and interaction-sensitive, offering insight into alignment brittleness and potential avenues for targeted safety interventions.
Aug 11, 2026cs.CL

Data Attribution of Emergent Misalignment with Persona Features

Emergent misalignment (EM) is the phenomenon where fine-tuning a language model on a narrow task leads to harmful behavior in unrelated domains. A leading mechanistic account attributes EM to persona features: latent directions acquired during pre-training that misaligned fine-tuning amplifies. We ask where these features come from: which pre-training documents activate them, and whether naturally occurring human-written text suffices to induce EM. Using Sparse Autoencoder (SAE) based model diffing across four open-weight models, we find that features related to jailbreak personas, sarcasm, deception, and manipulation are amplified by misalignment fine-tuning, while safety-relevant and assistant-identity features are suppressed. Steering individual features controls EM in both directions: it induces misalignment rates of up to 62% in aligned models -- exceeding the 35% reached by misalignment fine-tuning itself -- and re-aligns misaligned models to near-baseline misalignment rates. Attributing the causal features to a corpus of one million pre-training web documents retrieves semantically relevant narratives about villainous characters, domination, and harmful agency. However, fine-tuning on these human-written documents does not reliably induce EM, even after reformatting into assistant-style responses, whereas synthetic instruction-response pairs derived from the same content do -- and transfer across model families. Semantic relevance alone is therefore not sufficient: response structure or model-generated phrasing plays an important role in inducing EM.
Aug 11, 2026cs.CL

Every Token Counts: Exact Likert-Scale Distributions for Measuring LLM Attitudes and Biases

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents, accurately evaluating their latent values and biases is critical. The NLP community typically evaluates models using large, unstructured benchmarks. While effective for general capabilities, these datasets fundamentally conflate causal mechanisms: even when an aggregate bias is detected, unstructured evaluations cannot disentangle whether it stems from baseline traits, contextual confounders, or complex interactions. To address this, we introduce an analytically exact framework for the controlled behavioral evaluation of LLMs. We bridge human psychometrics with LLM mechanics by resolving gaps in design, measurement, and analysis. First, we replace unstructured prompting with fully crossed factorial experiments to systematically isolate causal main and interaction effects. Second, we eliminate Monte Carlo text sampling noise by operating directly on exact, token-level Probability Mass Functions (PMFs). Third, we derive a multivariate ordinal consensus metric and a distributional ANOVA to process these PMFs analytically. We validate our framework with a case study on consumer ethnocentrism across five LLMs, demonstrating how our approach isolates systemic country-of-origin biases that aggregate benchmarks otherwise obscure.
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

Decodable But Not Detachable: Training Data Granularity Determines Parametric Modularity in Large Language Models

Do large language models contain domain-specific parametric shells: concentrated, causally necessary neuron populations whose removal selectively degrades a target domain while sparing others? We apply a uniform causal methodology across two domain granularities, three model families (1.5B to 7B parameters), and eight domains. At the academic subject level, zero neurons exceed 60% domain selectivity across 939,008 combined FFN neurons and causal damage matrices are flat, despite domain identity being linearly decodable above 85% accuracy. At the language and modality level, 0.65--1.14% of neurons exceed 60% selectivity, damage matrices are near-perfectly diagonal (ratios up to 595:1), and shell neuron sets are essentially disjoint (IoU <0.003< 0.003). Masking code-selective neurons reduces mathematical reasoning accuracy by 16--24 percentage points across all models; masking Spanish or Chinese neurons leaves it at or below random. Shell strength increases monotonically with scale and shells are spatially interleaved in a pattern that precludes group-level selective quantization. Parametric shells form where and only where training data was modular at the token level.
Aug 9, 2026cs.IR

What Would Fix This RAG Failure? Auditing Counterfactual Response with Paired Evidence Interventions

A failed retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) answer can be consistent with several unseen responses to evidence repair. We introduce Pair-ID, an offline audit that holds one query, retrieval state, and reader constant, then crosses two operations, adding missing support and deleting verified nonsupport, to measure a same-failure counterfactual response vector. A complete funnel over 19,981 benchmark queries identifies 11,105 eligible Qwen failures, from which a prospectively fixed SHA-256 ordering selects 1,200 before generating any sampled response. Among 1,190 regenerated-valid failures, support addition repairs 197/600 JOINT cases (0.328, 95% CI [0.292, 0.367]), and deletion repairs 162/1,190 cases (0.136, 95% CI [0.117, 0.155]); length- and position-matched shams retain semantic contrasts of 0.223 and 0.101. The original view carries partial predictive signal for individual response cells (macro AUROC 0.678; Brier 0.152 versus 0.160 for a marginal baseline), but exact-vector accuracy, 0.637, does not exceed the 0.646 majority-vector baseline, and vector macro-F1 is 0.170. Across four readers, both marginal sensitivities recur, while pooled exact-vector agreement is 0.675-0.765 and JOINT-only agreement falls to 0.538-0.691. These results show that evidence sensitivity occurs at meaningful rates in the hash-selected eligible-failure sample, is only partially predictable from the observed failure, and is conditional on the reader. The evidence supports a frame-scoped offline response audit, not an information-theoretic impossibility result, reader-independent taxonomy, or runtime repair policy.
Aug 8, 2026cs.CL

Thinking vs. NoThinking: Towards Interpreting Reasoning Mechanisms of Large Language Models via Sparse Autoencoders

While Large Language Models (LLMs) employing Chain-of-Thought (CoT) exhibit superior reasoning capabilities, the neural mechanisms distinguishing this explicit Thinking mode from direct answer generation (NoThinking mode) remain poorly understood. To deconstruct this cognitive process, we apply Top-K Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) to the intermediate representations of DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B and examine the model's divergent behaviors across math-solving tasks of three distinct difficulty levels. Observationally, we identify a clear distinction in how the model functions under two reasoning modes: Thinking mode relies on sparse and high-intensity feature activations driving verbal deduction independent of problem complexity, whereas NoThinking mode exhibits an adaptive and diffuse pattern prioritizing symbolic manipulation. Causally, suppressing the three most active sparse features by Total Activation Volume reveals three principles: (i) reasoning and syntactic structure are tightly coupled, as interventions consistently degrade \LaTeX{} and boxed-solution formatting; (ii) Thinking responds to disruption with compensatory over-generation marked by increased metacognitive cues and repetitive, low-information continuations; and (iii) coherent CoT behavior depends on a fragile coordination among specialized features, yielding distinct failure modes under perturbation but a consistently impaired output structure.
Aug 8, 2026cs.AI

When Is a Steerable Concept Representation Real? Measurement Confounds in a Cross-Family Audit of Neuroscience Parallels in LLMs

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly reported to exhibit human-like neural and cognitive signatures, including concept cells, mental number lines, and cognitive maps. These claims often rely on linear probing and activation steering applied to a single model, yet both methods are highly sensitive to measurement choices. A reported parallel may therefore reflect the model, the measurement procedure, or both. We audit four representative neuroscience-inspired paradigms across 17 models from five families, spanning 0.60.6B to 7272B parameters. Our main experiment examines the causal steerability of concept directions. With raw activation units and a fixed layer and coefficient, steerability appears to increase with model scale, resembling an emergent capability. However, this pattern is produced by an uncalibrated pipeline rather than by a claim established in the steering literature. The trend depends jointly on raw units, the readout metric, and the operating point; correcting any one of these removes it. With residual-norm-comparable interventions and held-out operating-point selection, concept steering remains significant at every scale, but shows no significant trend across the Qwen3 series, although the confidence interval does not rule out a moderate positive slope. The remaining results are mixed. A linear geographic world map is consistently decodable in every tested checkpoint up to 7272B. Number magnitude is strongly encoded, but whether individual neurons appear bell-shaped or monotonic depends on the selection criterion. Language-specific structure is localizable, but the direction of the cross-lingual asymmetry reverses under a different attribution method. These results suggest that the main constraint on AI neuroscience is not a lack of phenomena, but a lack of comparable measurements and adequate controls. We release the protocol, stimuli, and code.
Aug 8, 2026cs.AI

Decided Upstream, Written Late: Locating and Pricing the Cross-Lingual Refusal Circuit of a Multilingual MoE

Safety alignment in multilingual models is uneven: a model that reliably refuses a harmful request in English will often comply with the same request in a lower-resource language. We trace this gap mechanistically in sarvam, an Indic-multilingual mixture-of-experts reasoning model, and find it is not a failure to detect harm. Harm is encoded as an internal direction that is nearly language-invariant in mid-network (English-vs-Indic cosine ≈0.9{\approx}0.9 at L11L11), and steering that direction upstream causally controls refusal. But the detection direction is orthogonal to the change that actually writes the refusal, which is late and assembled over the course of generation rather than read off in a single forward pass. We attribute the write to a specific, localizable circuit, a mixture-of-experts writer held in check by an attention opposer and price every way of intervening on it: damping the opposer is cheap and effective, amplifying the writer is a cost wall, and surgical edits to the responsible heads do nothing. The circuit's organization, and the gradient method that exposes it, recur in a second, unrelated MoE model, while the lever's strength is architecture-specific. The result is a cost-measured map of where a multilingual safety repair can land, and what it costs
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

From Behavior to Mechanism: Tracing Divergent Response Modes in Frontier Language Models

Frontier language models are trained with distinct data, objectives, and safety pipelines, but whether those differences produce measurably different behavior under steering pressure has not been tested. We evaluate 6 frontier models from different labs on 300 paired base and steered items across 3 behavioral categories. All models also act as blind peer judges against fixed rubrics, and each response is labeled by consensus over 24,480 judgments, while leaving self-judgment out. Models differ both in how far steering moves them and in the kind of response they give. GPT-5 withholds its reasoning while still providing the answer on 99 of 100 steered items, against 0 in 500 for the others. Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5 resist explicit suppression instructions where the other four never do, and they resist differently. In Llama, the open-weight model, a linear probe reads the behavioral split from the residual stream before generation at 0.87 cross-validated accuracy. Injecting that direction drives the behavior from 0% to 86%, and ablating it cuts the natural rate by more than half, where a random direction of equal norm changes nothing. A second ablation on complementary items reproduces the effect more strongly, and its direction has cosine similarity 0.82 with the first.
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

The Illusion of Visual Tool-Use: A Causal Audit of Thinking with Images

The "thinking-with-images" paradigm equips multimodal LLMs with active visual operations such as crop-and-zoom. However, models using these operations often achieve only marginal or negative gains over direct inference at substantially higher token cost. They may also repeatedly crop irrelevant regions and fail on questions that direct inference answers correctly. We ask whether the returned visual evidence causally affects the answer. To answer this question, we formulate visual tool-use as a causal graph that separates observation-mediated paths from action-induced shortcuts. We then audit it through interventions at the three levels: policy (comparing tool-use with direct inference), trajectory (corrupting all observations during rollout), and step (counterfactually replacing one individual observation under a fixed prefix). Our step-level estimand, Visual Evidence Gain, isolates the contribution of each returned observation. Across six representative models and five fine-grained perception benchmarks, we uncover policy miscalibration with two failure modes. In Calling Without Looking, returned observations have no causal effect on the answer. In Looking Without Planning, observations are informative but the call schedule is incoherent. A trajectory-level diagnostic decomposes the policy-level accuracy gain into per-group contributions and shows that the gain is concentrated in a Calibrated minority. We term this discrepancy the illusion of visual tool-use: despite aggregate accuracy gains, visual tool-use is not causally effective across a broad range of rollouts. The code is available at https://github.com/OpenCausaLab/CauAudit.
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

Signal or Spurious Cue? A Randomized Audit of Survey-Country Metadata in LLM Social Inference

Survey-country metadata can improve an LLM's forecast of an individual response when informative, yet the same cue may redirect the forecast when assigned at random. A within-record audit tests whether disclosing a random label's uniform, record-independent origin reduces its country-directed uptake, and whether verified survey country lowers held-out Brier loss. Independent population anchors and recorded human answers measure direction and consequence across five fixed API models, six countries, and seven development-selected targets. In the primary post-review 72-record panel, opaque and disclosed-random labels each produced country-direction shifts of 0.214. Paired attenuation was 0.0003 (95% CI [-0.0157, 0.0166]). Verified country reduced Brier loss by 0.040 (95% CI [0.024, 0.056]), while random-label regret included zero. A non-overlapping mixed-coverage consistency panel retained positive disclosed-random movement and verified utility, while attenuation remained uncertain. On the selected targets, verified metadata was useful in both panels, but disclosure did not reliably attenuate random-label uptake. PROV-FORECAST contains 14,400 paired item-level probability distributions from the corrected panel.
Aug 5, 2026cs.CL

Recovering Lesion Parameters from Aphasic Picture Naming Error Profiles in Large Language Models

Interpretability methods for large language models (LLMs) describe internal state but do not directly test whether that state is causally sufficient to produce the observed behavior. In earlier work, we lesioned LLMs to produce error profiles in picture naming, a central task for assessing aphasia, and found that specific lesions produced errors resembling those of individual stroke survivors. Here we ask the inverse question: given an error profile, can the lesion parameters that produced it be recovered, and what does this inverse problem reveal about transformer computation? Lesions in LLaVA-Vicuna 13B were parameterized by layer index, modification percentage, and noise sigma across 4,840 configurations, and error profiles were characterized by a seven-category clinical taxonomy (correct, semantic, unrelated, formal, mixed, neologism, no-response). We trained a multi-task neural network to map error profiles back to perturbation parameters. The problem admitted a partial solution: across 10 independently trained inverse models, modification percentage and noise sigma were recoverable, whereas layer index was recoverable only within a neighborhood. In counterfactual validation, a fresh model instance perturbed with the recovered parameters reproduced the target behavior in 81.4% of cases. This dissociation between low layer recovery and high counterfactual fidelity is consistent with functional redundancy across transformer layers, a property not captured by standard interpretability methods. As an out-of-distribution test, we applied the trained model to picture-naming error profiles from 278 stroke survivors; recovered parameters were syndrome-discriminative, most strongly for perturbation intensity, indicating generalization beyond the training distribution. Counterfactual validation provides a general framework for LLM interpretability claims beyond inverse mapping.