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Period ending 2026-09-21

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100 papers

Latest in Collapse

May 24, 2026cs.CV

Divide-and-Conquer Inference for Large-Scale Visual Recognition with Multimodal Large Language Models

Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities across a wide range of vision language tasks. However, when applied to large scale image classification, their performance degrades significantly as the label space expands a phenomenon we define as Performance Collapse in Long Sequence Recognition. Through an information theoretic analysis, we reveal that this collapse stems from a fundamental conflict between the escalating information entropy and the prominent attention dilution and decay within attention mechanisms, which impairs the model's ability to maintain a sufficient signal-to-noise ratio when processing extremely long prompts. To mitigate this, we propose Divide-and-Conquer Inference (DCI), a novel test-time scaling strategy for visual recognition with MLLMs. DCI recursively decomposes complex global classification tasks into multiple simpler, localized subproblems and employs a dynamic pruning mechanism to compress the search space. This method effectively improves the local signal to noise ratio and model accuracy by mitigating the inherent weight dilution issues in long-sequence inference. Moreover, while traditional self-attention incurs a prohibitive quadratic computational complexity, DCI achieves more favorable scaling behavior and substantially accelerates inference in large scale classification scenarios. Extensive experiments on benchmarks such as ImageNet-1K and ImageNet-21K demonstrate that DCI consistently improves classification accuracy. This enables lightweight open-source models to rival or even surpass frontier closed-source giants without any additional training or fine-tuning. As a model-agnostic, plug-and-play paradigm, DCI offers an efficient approach for scaling the inferential precision of MLLMs in large-scale scenarios.
Zhipeng Ye, Jiaqi Huang, Feng Jiang +5
May 23, 2026cs.CV

From Full Boards to Tiny Defects: Scale-Aware Tile Inference with Topology-Aware Merging for High-Resolution PCB Defect Detection

High-resolution printed circuit board (PCB) inspection suffers from resolution collapse when full-board images are resized to standard detector inputs: micro-scale defects shrink to a few pixels and are missed. Tile-based inference preserves local detail but introduces boundary artefacts at tile edges, causing split detections and false negatives. We present a systematic comparison of five inference strategies evaluated on two high-resolution PCB defect datasets, PCB-Defect (230 images, 1704 annotations) and HRIPCB (693 images, 2 953 annotations), spanning six defect classes. We show that training-inference scale consistency is critical: a detector trained on full images collapses to mAP@50 = 0.01 under tile inference, while the same architecture trained on 640*640 tile crops achieves 0.72 and 0.94 on the two datasets respectively. We further exploited Topology-Aware Tile Merging (TA-TM), a training-free post-processing method that builds a tile-adjacency graph and adjusts boundary-sensitive detection scores using neighbour-tile agreement before global NMS. Across both datasets, adding 128 px tile overlap raises boundary-zone recall from ~26-63% to ~70-100%, TA-TM achieves the best mAP@50 on both benchmarks, and tile inference recovers 46-100% of small defects missed entirely by full-image methods. Results are consistent across datasets, confirming the generalizability of the proposed strategy. TA-TM requires no retraining and is architecture-agnostic, making it directly applicable to existing PCB inspection pipelines.
Mohammad Alijanpour Shalmani, Alale Rezvani Boroujeni, Ali Amini +1
May 21, 2026cs.CL

Model Collapse as Cultural Evolution

Model collapse, the progressive degradation of LLMs trained on their own outputs, has been characterized statistically but lacks a linguistic explanation for which structures degrade, in what order, and why. We show that iterated learning theory from cultural evolution fills this gap. We derive five falsifiable predictions, distinguish those uniquely discriminative for the theory from confirmatory ones, and test them by self-training LLaMA-2-7B and Mistral-7B over 10 generations in English, German, and Turkish. The critical discriminative finding: compositionality follows a non-monotonic trajectory (initially rising, then falling) under unfiltered self-training. This signature persists with maximally regular seed data (ruling out noise removal) and is sustained only by task-grounded filtering, not random filtering, providing the first LLM-scale evidence for the compression-communication tradeoff. All predictions are confirmed with large effect sizes (Hedges' g>1.6g > 1.6; BF10>100\mathrm{BF}_{10} > 100), and LLM regularization gradients closely match human behavioral data (R2=0.94R^2 = 0.94). These results reframe model collapse as a cultural transmission phenomenon and yield concrete principles for self-training pipeline design.
Dongxin Guo, Jikun Wu, Siu Ming Yiu
May 21, 2026cs.LG

Posterior Collapse as Automatic Spectral Pruning

We show that posterior collapse in ββ-VAEs implements automatic spectral pruning. A latent mode collapses if its contribution to reconstruction is below the cutoff set by ββ. Equilibrium solutions with different ββ thus reveal a cascade of collapses as latent modes decouple from least to most useful. We derive this as a consequence of the loss via a Landau stability analysis. We define a latent-rescaling-invariant order parameter that ranks active latent modes and whose collapse thresholds identify which effective variables to inspect first. In the linear Gaussian case, the collapse spectrum, utility spectrum, and normalized PCA spectrum coincide, and each collapse follows a mean-field law. We test these predictions on the WorldClim dataset.
Johannes Hirn
May 21, 2026cs.LG

Survive or Collapse: The Asymmetric Roles of Data Gating and Reward Grounding in Self-Play RL

Self-play reinforcement learning trains language models on their own generated tasks, co-evolving a proposer and solver without human labels. Recent systems report strong reasoning gains, but collapse and instability are widely observed and poorly understood. The dominant response treats this as a reward-design problem. We argue instead that self-play stability is governed by two distinct levers: a data-level gate that decides which proposer-generated tasks enter the training pool, and the reward signal that updates the policy on tasks already admitted. Through controlled experiments on a Python output-prediction task and a deterministic-DSL twin task that strips pretraining priors, output ambiguity, and executor noise, we find the two levers are asymmetric. A strict gate is sufficient for stability under every reward variant we test, including a self-consistency reward with no access to ground truth; while no reward variant is sufficient once the gate is removed. This asymmetry exposes a counter-intuitive coupling we call the Grounded Proposer Paradox: a proposer with ground-truth access accelerates collapse faster than an ungrounded one when paired with a self-consistency solver, by concentrating training on clean tasks that form the fastest path to a spurious self-consistent attractor. Replacing the binary gate with a continuous strictness parameter ε\varepsilon further reveals a two-stage phase transition: training-side metrics decouple at low ε\varepsilon, while validation accuracy holds until ε\varepsilon is much higher. Data-level gating, not reward calibration, is the binding constraint on self-play stability.
Sophia Xiao Pu, Zhaotian Weng, Chengzhi Liu +4
May 19, 2026cs.LG

When Does Model Collapse Occur in Structured Interactive Learning?

The proliferation of generative artificial intelligence has given rise to an interactive learning environment, where model parameters are continuously updated using not only data generated by natural processes, but also synthetic outputs produced by other models. This paradigm introduces two major challenges: (1) training data are no longer drawn exclusively from the target population, undermining a core assumption of classical statistical learning, and (2) model training processes become inherently correlated, as models interact with one another through repeated exposure to each other's synthetic outputs in a potentially complex manner. Establishing reliable statistical inference in such structured interactive learning environments therefore remains an important open problem. In particular, there is growing concern about model collapse, a phenomenon in which the performance of generative models progressively degrades as they are trained on synthetic data produced by earlier model generations. Prior work on model collapse primarily focuses on a single model trained on its own output, failing to capture model performance in multi-model interactive settings. In this work, we fill this gap by investigating the performance of generative models in an interactive learning environment with general interaction patterns. In particular, we formalize model interactions using directed graphs and show that the occurrence of model collapse depends critically on the topology of the interaction graph. We further derive an explicit necessary and sufficient condition characterizing when model collapse occurs, and establish finite-sample results for linear regression and asymptotic guarantees for general M-estimators. We support our theoretical findings through extensive numerical experiments.
Yuchen Wu, Kangjie Zhou, Weijie Su
May 19, 2026cs.AI

Beyond Mode Collapse: Distribution Matching for Diverse Reasoning

On-policy reinforcement learning methods like GRPO suffer from mode collapse: they exhibit reduced solution diversity, concentrating probability mass on a single solution once discovered and ceasing exploration of alternative strategies. We show this stems from reverse KL minimization's mode-seeking behavior, which reinforces the first high-reward trajectory found rather than maintaining a distribution over multiple diverse solutions. We propose DMPO (Distribution-Matching Policy Optimization), which prevents mode collapse through principled approximation of forward KL minimization. DMPO constructs a group level target distribution over sampled trajectories proportional to their rewards, then aligns the policy distribution to this target. This provides mode-covering behavior without requiring sampling from the intractable global target distribution, enabling sustained exploration throughout training. We validate DMPO on NP-hard combinatorial optimization, where exponentially many feasible solutions exist but only a few approach optimality, an ideal testbed for evaluating exploration. DMPO achieves 43.9% Quality Ratio on text-based NP-Bench (vs. GRPO's 40.1%) and 43.1% on vision-based NP-Bench (vs. 38.4%), demonstrating 9% and 12% relative improvements respectively. These gains generalize to mathematical reasoning (+2.0%) and out-of-domain tasks (+2.3%), showing that diversity-preserving training enhances general reasoning capabilities across modalities. Our work establishes distribution matching as a practical, principled approach to preventing mode collapse in on-policy RL, with consistent quality improvements demonstrating sustained exploration across diverse reasoning tasks.
Xiaozhe Li, Yang Li, Xinyu Fang +10
May 19, 2026econ.GN

The Economics of Model Collapse: Equilibrium, Welfare, and Optimal Provenance Subsidies in Synthetic Data Markets

Generative artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming the supply side of training data: an increasing share of new tokens, images, and structured records is produced by previous-generation models rather than by human originators. Recursive training on such synthetic content induces a measurable and often irreversible loss of distributional fidelity, a phenomenon known as model collapse. We develop the first unified microeconomic theory of synthetic data markets under model collapse. We introduce the Synthetic Data Contamination Equilibrium (SDCE), prove existence and generic uniqueness, derive a welfare decomposition W = W_prod + W_cons - L_coll - L_info, establish a Wasserstein-gradient-flow mean-field collapse limit, prove an impossibility of information-constrained implementation, and obtain closed-form expressions for the welfare-maximizing provenance subsidy s* = KL(q||p)/(2 kappa) and the welfare-maximizing watermark strength w* = (1 - psi) KL(q||p)/(2 kappa psi). We prove an information-theoretic Cramer-Rao lower bound on any provenance estimator using only producer-side observations and show that the Provenance-Market Iterative Retraining (PMIR) algorithm attains this bound up to constants while converging to an epsilon-SDCE in O(epsilon^-2 log T) iterations. A reduced-form OLS estimation on a C4-synthetic benchmark over ten retraining generations yields a collapse-rate coefficient b-hat = 0.181 (HAC s.e. 0.024), within one standard error of the structural prediction 0.183. Calibrated experiments raise generation-ten model quality by 23.1 percent over the unregulated benchmark while lowering the 2-Wasserstein drift on a held-out diversity probe from 0.318 to 0.142. Scaling experiments over generations t in {1,...,10} recover a logarithmic-in-t collapse law log Q_t = log Q_0 - 0.183 t rho^2 with R^2 = 0.962.
Gustav Olaf Yunus Laitinen-Fredriksson Lundström-Imanov
May 16, 2026cs.MA

Multi-LLM Systems Exhibit Robust Semantic Collapse

Whether machines can originate novel content has been debated for nearly two centuries, from Lovelace's assertion that no engine can "originate anything" to Turing's question of whether a machine can amplify ideas brought in from outside. Systems of multiple interacting LLMs, increasingly deployed for autonomous generation, reopen this question empirically. Here we show that such systems, operating in inference-only setups, exhibit semantic collapse: systematic convergence in semantic representations despite apparent lexical variation. Across model families, extended simulations of 200 to 1,000 rounds, the pattern remains consistent. Thirteen intervention strategies, spanning decoding parameters, prompt design, agent composition, activation engineering, and reinforcement learning, fail to restore semantic diversity. Mechanistic analyses suggest that semantic collapse is not explained by alignment or conformity biases, but is consistent with intrinsic properties of autoregressive generation. Our results point to persistent constraints on the ability of multi-LLM systems to sustain open-ended exploration in closed-loop settings.
Weiyi Kong, Shiyang Lai, Jinghua Piao +1
May 16, 2026cs.LG

The Geometry of Projection Heads: Conditioning, Invariance, and Collapse

We develop a geometric theory of projection heads in self-supervised learning by modeling the head as a trainable Riemannian metric on the backbone representation manifold. We show that linear heads perform implicit subspace whitening, while nonlinear heads adapt local metrics to satisfy the specific topological constraints of the loss, with head depth empirically dictating this capacity. Analyzing dimensional collapse, we prove that smooth nonlinear heads natively induce negative eigenvalues in the Hessian at collapsed equilibria, making them unstable. We empirically validate this by continuously tracking the optimization geometry during training, which reveals that smooth activations like Swish can generate explicit negative curvature to escape collapse, whereas linear and ReLU heads under continuous-time gradient flow cannot, relying instead on discrete-time optimization dynamics and BatchNorm. Finally, we geometrically characterize how metric degeneracy governs the information-invariance trade-off, explaining why the head must be discarded. Evaluated across contrastive and decorrelation-based objectives on foundation models, our results demonstrate that the projection head acts as a universal geometric buffer, decoupling the semantic backbone from the rigid, destructive constraints of the pretraining objective.
Faris Chaudhry
May 16, 2026cs.LG

Provably Learning Diffusion Models under the Manifold Hypothesis: Collapse and Refine

Diffusion models generate high-dimensional data with remarkable quality, yet how their training efficiently learns the score function, bypassing the curse of dimensionality when data is supported on low-dimensional manifolds, remains theoretically unexplained. We identify a collapse-and-refine mechanism driven by the geometry of the score function itself: at small noise scales, the diverging singularity of the score drives a rapid dimensional collapse of the induced denoising map onto the data manifold projection; at moderate noise scales, training refines the intrinsic density on the learned manifold. We instantiate this principle as Score-induced Latent Diffusion (SiLD), a two-stage framework in which both manifold learning and density estimation emerge from a single denoising score matching objective, replacing the heuristic KL regularization of VAE-based latent diffusion models. We prove that the resulting sample complexity depends on the intrinsic dimension rather than the ambient dimension. Experiments on Stacked MNIST, CelebA variants, and molecular generation benchmarks show that SiLD matches or outperforms VAE-based LDMs in generation quality and consistently improves reconstruction, validating our theoretical predictions.
Wei Huang, Andi Han, Mingyuan Bai +4
May 15, 2026cs.LG

Entropic Auto-Encoding via Implicit Free-Energy Minimization

Despite their ubiquity, variational autoencoders (VAEs) inherently suffer from posterior collapse, a failure mode in which latent variables are effectively ignored. This failure arises because explicit prior imposition drives optimization toward loss landscape regions corresponding to uninformative latent representations. Here, we introduce Entropic Autoencoders (EAEs), a framework in which reconstruction loss is the only explicit objective, and entropy generates the latent variables' prior implicitly through a free energy-minimizing ensemble of encoders. This ensemble biases learning toward high-volume regions of near-optimal solutions, while decoder updates direct the search trajectories toward informative latent representations. We demonstrate that EAEs mitigate posterior collapse by learning non-Gaussian, multimodal latent distributions that yield diverse, data-consistent generations and preserve different forms of underlying structure in the data. As a proof-of-concept, we show that an EAE captures a superposition of the known low-dimensional dynamics of a reaction-diffusion process. Then, we show that an EAE identifies implicit categorical distinctions in MNIST latent representations, and displays a hierarchical understanding of facial structure on the CelebA dataset, from an "all-human" face to individual-dependent features.
Hazhir Aliahmadi, Irina Babayan, Greg van Anders
May 14, 2026cs.AI

XDomainBench: Diagnosing Reasoning Collapse in High-Dimensional Scientific Knowledge Composition

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed for knowledge synthesis, yet their capacity for compositional generalization in scientific knowledge remains under-characterized. Existing benchmarks primarily focus on single-turn restricted scenarios, failing to capture the capability boundaries exposed by real-world interactive scientific workflows. To address this, we introduce XDomainBench, a diagnostic benchmark for interactive interdisciplinary scientific reasoning. We formalize the composition order and mixture structure to enable systematic stress-testing from single-discipline to inter-disciplinary, comprising 8,598 interactive sessions across 20 domains and 4 task categories, with 8 realistic trajectory patterns covering difficulty and domain-mixture dynamics, simulating real AI4S scenarios. Large-scale evaluation of LLMs reveals a systematic reasoning collapse as composition order increases, stemming from two root causes: (i) direct difficulty increases induced by domain composition, and (ii) indirect interaction-amplified failures where trajectory patterns trigger error accumulation, reasoning breaks, and domain confusion, ultimately leading to session collapse.
Gong Zhiren, Tiantong Wu, Jiaming Zhang +9
May 14, 2026cs.LG

Silent Collapse in Recursive Learning Systems

Recursive learning -- where models are trained on data generated by previous versions of themselves -- is increasingly common in large language models, autonomous agents, and self-supervised systems. However, standard performance metrics (loss, perplexity, accuracy) often fail to detect internal degradation before it becomes irreversible. Here we identify a phenomenon we call silent collapse: under broad recursive conditions, model internal distributions -- predictive entropy, representational diversity, and tail coverage -- progressively contract even as conventional metrics appear stable or improving. We discover that silent collapse is not abrupt. Its onset is reliably preceded by three trajectory-level precursors: (1) contraction of anchor entropy, (2) freezing of representation drift, and (3) erosion of tail coverage. These signals manifest multiple generations before any degradation in standard validation metrics, enabling early warning. Based on these precursors, we propose the MTR (Monitor--Trust--Regulator) framework, a lightweight metacognitive loop that monitors trajectory statistics, estimates a slow-timescale trust variable, and adaptively modulates the effective learning intensity. MTR provides early warning and actively prevents silent collapse without requiring access to pristine real data -- a critical advantage when original data is unavailable, contaminated, or private.
Zhipeng Zhang
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Controlling Logical Collapse in LLMs via Algebraic Ontology Projection over F2

Do large language models internally encode ontological relations in a formally verifiable algebraic structure? We introduce Algebraic Ontology Projection (AOP), which projects LLM hidden states into the Galois Field F2 under Liskov Substitution Principle constraints, using only 42 relational pairs as algebraic keys. AOP achieves up to 93.33% zero-shot inclusion accuracy on unseen concept pairs (Gemma-2 Instruct with optimized prompt), with consistent 86.67% accuracy observed across multiple model families -- with no model tuning, but through prompt alone. This algebraic structure is strongly layer-dependent. We introduce Semantic Crystallisation (SC), a metric that quantifies F2 constraint satisfaction relative to a random baseline and predicts zero-shot accuracy without held-out data. System prompts act as algebraic boundary conditions: only their combination with instruction tuning prevents Late-layer Collapse -- a systematic degradation of logical consistency in the final layers, observed in 7 of 10 conditions. These findings reframe forward computation as an iterative process of algebraic organisation, and open a path toward LLMs whose logical structure is not merely approximated, but formally accessible.
Hisashi Miyashita, Mgnite Inc
May 12, 2026cs.CV

Cluster-Aware Neural Collapse Prompt Tuning for Long-Tailed Generalization of Vision-Language Models

Prompt learning has emerged as an efficient alternative to fine-tuning pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs). Despite its promise, current methods still struggle to maintain tail-class discriminability when adapting to class-imbalanced datasets. In this work, we propose cluster-aware neural collapse prompt tuning (CPT), which enhances the discriminability of tail classes in prompt-tuned VLMs without sacrificing their overall generalization. First, we design a cluster-invariant space by mining semantic assignments from the pre-trained VLM and mapping them to prompt-tuned features. This computes cluster-level boundaries and restricts the constraints to local neighborhoods, which reduces interference with the global semantic structure of the pre-trained VLM. Second, we introduce neural-collapse-driven discriminability optimization with three losses: textual Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF) separation loss, class-wise convergence loss, and rotation stabilization loss. These losses work together to shape intra-cluster geometry for better inter-class separation and intra-class alignment. Extensive experiments on 11 diverse datasets demonstrate that CPT outperforms SOTA methods, with stronger performance on long-tail classes and good generalization to unseen classes.
Boyang Guo, Liang Li, Lin Peng +3
May 12, 2026cs.LG

More Edits, More Stable: Understanding the Lifelong Normalization in Sequential Model Editing

Lifelong Model Editing aims to continuously update evolving facts in Large Language Models while preserving unrelated knowledge and general capabilities, yet it remains plagued by catastrophic forgetting and model collapse. Empirically, we find that recent editors resilient over long horizons share the same core strategy: Lifelong Normalization (LN), which normalizes value gradients using running statistics. Removing LN causes immediate performance collapse, and we observe a counter-intuitive positive cumulative effect where early edits can promote the success of future edits. Yet the mechanism of LN remains a "black box", leaving its precise role in lifelong stability poorly understood. In this work, we provide the first theoretical account of LN in the lifelong regime. Our analysis reveals a self-reinforcing stability loop and proves that, when combined with ridge-regularized regression, LN yields parameter updates with asymptotic orthogonality and bounded norms, directly mitigating forgetting and systemic collapse. Based on these insights, we derive StableEdit, which strengthens this stability loop via an explicit warm-up stage and full whitening, improving long-horizon stability at minimal overhead. Extensive experiments validate our theory and demonstrate competitive performance. Our code is available at https://github.com/MINE-USTC/StableEdit.
Xin Ma, Wei Chen, Qi Liu +4
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Curated Synthetic Data Doesn't Have to Collapse: A Theoretical Study of Generative Retraining with Pluralistic Preferences

Recursive retraining of generative models poses a critical representation challenge: when synthetic outputs are curated based on a fixed reward signal, the model tends to collapse onto a narrow set of outputs that over-optimize that objective. Prior work suggests that such collapse is unavoidable without adding real data into the mix. We revisit this conclusion from an alignment perspective and show that collapse can be mitigated through curation based on multiple reward functions. We formalize the dynamics of recursive training under heterogeneous preferences and prove that, under certain conditions, the model converges to a stable distribution that allocates probability mass across competing high-reward regions. The limiting distribution preserves diversity and provably satisfies a weighted Nash bargaining solution, offering a formal interpretation of value aggregation in synthetic retraining loops.
Ali Falahati, Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri, Kate Larson +1
May 7, 2026cs.LG

A Testable Certificate for Constant Collapse in Teacher-Guided VAEs

Posterior collapse in variational autoencoders is often diagnosed by its symptoms: a small KL term, a strong decoder, or weak use of the latent code. These signals are useful, but they do not define a collapse boundary. We study a concrete failure mode, input-independent constant collapse, and show that this case admits an exact threshold. For any fixed nonconstant teacher distribution T(x)T(\cdot\mid x), the best constant student is the dataset-average teacher distribution, and its alignment cost is the teacher mutual information IT(X;T)I_T(X;T). Therefore, if a strictly latent-only raw witness achieves alignment loss below this value, with a safety margin, the witness cannot be constant in the input. This identity turns a qualitative failure mode into a measurable one. In CIFAR-100 experiments with per-seed teacher search, full training stays on the certified side of the boundary, removing alignment drives the raw witness into the constant-student regime, and restarting from a collapsed checkpoint with alignment enabled restores the certificate. Tiny-ImageNet-200 fixed-target runs show the same prevention--collapse--rescue pattern across three independently searched teachers. Standard VAE-style baselines, including methods that preserve reconstruction quality or post-hoc predictability, remain negative under the raw certificate. The guarantee is intentionally narrow: it certifies that the matched nonconstant teacher-relative variation passes through the latent pathway, rather than claiming that all forms of posterior collapse have been ruled out.
Zegu Zhang, Jianhua Peng, Jian Zhang
May 6, 2026cs.LG

On Semantic Loss Fine-Tuning Approach for Preventing Model Collapse in Causal Reasoning

Standard fine-tuning of transformer models on causal reasoning tasks leads to catastrophic model collapse, where models learn trivial solutions such as always predicting "Yes" or "No" regardless of input structure. We demonstrate that fine-tuning Gemma 270M on transitivity and d-separation tasks without semantic loss results in 100% collapse rate, with models achieving misleadingly high accuracy (73.9%) while learning no causal reasoning. We propose a semantic loss function with graph-based logical constraints and dynamic lambda scheduling that prevents this collapse. Our approach achieves 70.4% accuracy on transitivity tasks and 68.6% on d-separation tasks with stable, context-dependent predictions, representing a 42.7% improvement over collapsed baselines. Adversarial evaluation on 1,000 structural reasoning samples shows semantic models achieve 67-70% accuracy while collapsed models fail catastrophically at 43-71%. We validate our findings through comprehensive benchmarking on 200,000+ evaluation samples across five model variants, demonstrating that semantic loss is essential and not optional, for stable causal reasoning in transformers.
Pratik Deshmukh, Atirek Gupta
May 6, 2026cs.CL

Paraphrase-Induced Output-Mode Collapse: When LLMs Break Character Under Semantically Equivalent Inputs

When the substantive content of a request is rewritten, do large language models still answer in the format the original task asked for? We find that they often do not, even at temperature zero. On a 150-query evaluation over five compact 2025-era LLMs and four task types, we observe a systematic failure mode we call prompt-variant output-mode collapse: when a closed-form prompt asks for a bare label or a single choice token, content-preserving prompt variants can push the model into conversational prose, the requested format dissolves, and exact-match evaluation pipelines silently misjudge the result. To make this measurable, we release PARACONSIST, a 900-prompt benchmark of 150 base queries with five lexical, syntactic, and semantic-expansion prompt variants each, and a Semantic Consistency Score that decomposes prompt-variant robustness into answer consistency, sentence-BERT semantic similarity, and length stability. Under a whole-word answer-set match, only ~22% of closed-form variant responses preserve the ground-truth label inside their output, while ~78% drift away from the answer space entirely. In our pool, the dominant predictor of collapse is task structure rather than model identity, with model differentiation jointly carried by answer consistency and length stability. Robustness audits should therefore track response-mode preservation as a first-class reliability target alongside answer accuracy.
Aofan Liu, Jingxiang Meng
May 5, 2026cs.LG

Position: the Stochastic Parrot in the Coal Mine. Model Collapse is a Threat to Low-Resource Communities

Model collapse, the degradation in performance that arises when generative models are trained on the outputs of prior models, is an increasing concern as artificially generated content proliferates. Related critiques of large language models have highlighted their tendency to reproduce frequent patterns in training data, their reliance on vast datasets, and their substantial environmental cost. Together, these factors contribute to data degradation, the reinforcement of cultural biases, and inefficient resource use. In this position paper we aim to combine these views and argue that model collapse threatens current efforts to democratize AI. By reducing training efficiency and skewing data distributions away from the tails of their support, model collapse disproportionately impacts low-resource and marginalized communities. We examine both the environmental and cultural implications of this phenomenon, situate our position within recent position papers on model collapse, and conclude with a call to action. Finally, we outline initial directions for mitigating these effects.
Devon Jarvis, Richard Klein, Benjamin Rosman +2
May 4, 2026cs.SD

Private Speech Classification without Collapse: Stabilized DP Training and Offline Distillation

We study example-level private supervised speech classification under a practical release constraint: training may access privileged side information, but the released model must be audio-only. This setting is important because speech systems can often exploit richer side information during development, whereas deployment and release require a lightweight unimodal model with auditable privacy guarantees. Using DP-SGD on the private dataset DprivD_{\text{priv}}, we identify a strong-privacy failure mode (ε1ε\le 1) on imbalanced tasks, where training may collapse to a near single-class predictor, a phenomenon that overall accuracy can obscure. We therefore emphasize Macro-F1, balanced accuracy, and a simple collapse diagnostic. This failure is especially problematic in our release setting because a collapsed private teacher cannot provide useful supervision for the downstream audio-only student. To address this setting under strong privacy, we propose a two-stage protocol: (i) train a (possibly multimodal) DP teacher on DprivD_{\text{priv}}, and (ii) distill an audio-only student on a fixed, recording-disjoint auxiliary dataset DauxD_{\text{aux}} using one-shot offline teacher probability outputs, releasing only the student. The DP guarantee applies only to DprivD_{\text{priv}}; we make no DP claim for DauxD_{\text{aux}}, and privacy of the released student with respect to DprivD_{\text{priv}} follows by post-processing. We frame this setting as involving four coupled bottlenecks: speech-induced optimization instability under DP-SGD, minority-class erosion under clipping and noise, teacher over-reliance on privileged modalities unavailable at deployment, and train--deploy modality mismatch. We address them with a DP-stabilizing acoustic front-end (DSAF), minibatch-adaptive bounded loss reweighting (AW-DP), privileged-modality dropout, and offline teacher-to-student distillation.
Yadi Wen, Tianxin Li, Enji Liang +2
May 4, 2026cs.AI

ANO: Robust Policy Optimization via Bounded, Redescending Gain Fields

Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) dominates reinforcement learning and LLM alignment, yet its hard-clipping mechanism and unconstrained alternatives (e.g., SPO) sit at two extremes of a stability-efficiency dilemma. We argue that this dilemma is best understood dynamically: a surrogate objective is a feedback law on the probability ratio, and its clipping/penalty shape defines a gain field that drives the update dynamics. PPO's clip induces a dead zone (zero feedback outside the trust region), leaving the policy to drift open-loop under momentum; SPO's quadratic penalty induces an unbounded, linearly growing gain that stiffens the dynamics and destabilizes under aggressive step sizes. Guided by this view, we derive Anchored Neighborhood Optimization (ANO), which designs the gain field directly: a CC^\infty shaping kernel that anchors the identity map at r=1r{=}1, peaks exactly at a prescribed trust-region boundary 1+ε1{+}ε, bounds the push on severely off-policy samples by a tunable κ+κ_{+}, and exerts a bounded, redescending pull of tunable depth κκ_{-} on extreme outliers. The three hyperparameters have decoupled roles, and all internal constants are solved in closed form. Empirically, ANO ranks first on both Atari (40 games) and MuJoCo in IQM and Median of normalized scores. While the runner-up differs across domains (PAPO on Atari, SPO on MuJoCo), ANO is the only method consistently at the top. Under a learning-rate stress test (3×104 ⁣ ⁣1033\times10^{-4}\!\to\!10^{-3}), ANO degrades by only 0.9%0.9\% whereas PPO collapses by 54.5%54.5\%, and the stressed ANO still outperforms PPO and PAPO at their best-tuned learning rates.
Yiheng Zhang, Yiming Wang, Kaiyan Zhao +3
May 3, 2026cs.LG

How Label Imbalance Shapes Geometry: A General Spectral Analysis of Multi-Label Neural Collapse

This work investigates the phenomenon of Neural Collapse (NC) in multi-label classification, extending its conceptual framework from multi-class learning to general correlated and imbalanced multi-label settings. Although recent studies have identified a ''tag-wise averaging'' structure for multi-label features, this view relies on implicit assumptions of label balance and combinatorial symmetry. Consequently, it fails to account for the geometrical distortions caused by intrinsic label correlations and data imbalance, which are common in practice. We resolve the multiplicity-one imbalance conjecture raised by Li et al. (2024), showing that higher-multiplicity prototypes obey a class-frequency-weighted synthesis rule rather than uniform averaging. To address this, we propose a rigorous spectral-control framework to analyze the terminal phase of multi-label learning under general imbalanced conditions. We introduce the label covariance spectrum κmκ_m, a scalar controlling the distribution-dependent lower-bound geometry, derived from the second-order moment matrix of the label distribution. Contrary to the averaging perspective, our analysis reveals that the centered label covariance spectrum controls the stability of terminal geometry by quantifying the weakest centered inter-class contrast directions. We prove that the classical Tag-wise Averaging emerges only as a special case under perfect orthogonality. Numerical experiments on synthetic distributions validate our theoretical bounds. This work resolves the scaled-average aspect of the imbalance conjecture and establishes a unifying theoretical framework that extends Neural Collapse to complex, imbalanced multi-label settings.
Xiaoxuan Ma, Yixuan Yang, Song Li +1
May 2, 2026cs.CV

Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bank

Motion forecasting often requires trading interpretability for predictive accuracy. Standard anchor-based architectures rely on opaque latent queries that are highly prone to latent collapse, or naive trajectory sampling that limits multi-modal diversity. We propose an end-to-end differentiable framework that grounds predictions in a comprehensive "motion bank", a structured embedding space of physically realizable trajectories constructed via contrastive learning. Rather than regressing paths from a blank slate, our architecture dynamically retrieves explicit motion priors using a novel Anchor Retrieval Layer. This module adapts orthogonally initialized queries via a Dual-Level Gated Cross-Attention mechanism and executes discrete trajectory selection using a Straight-Through Gumbel-Softmax estimator to preserve continuous gradient flow. The retrieved semantically grounded anchors are then geometrically refined by a DETR-style decoder, optimized jointly with a Winner-Takes-All (WTA) kinematic Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), a latent diversity penalty, and a soft-min weighted endpoint loss. By strictly conditioning the decoding phase on diverse, interpretable motion primitives, our approach eliminates the "black box" of standard latent queries while achieving competitive multi-modal accuracy on the Argoverse 2 and Waymo Open Motion datasets. Code is available at: https://github.com/abviv/recall2predict
Abhishek Vivekanandan, Ahmed Abouelazm, J. Marius Zöllner
May 1, 2026cs.CV

Posterior Augmented Flow Matching

Flow matching (FM) trains a time-dependent vector field that transports samples from a simple prior to a complex data distribution. However, for high-dimensional images, each training sample supervises only a single trajectory and intermediate point, yielding an extremely sparse and high-variance training signal. This under-constrained supervision can cause flow collapse, where the learned dynamics memorize specific source-target pairings, mapping diverse inputs to overly similar outputs, failing to generalize. We introduce Posterior-Augmented Flow Matching (PAFM), a theoretically grounded generalization of FM that replaces single-target supervision with an expectation over an approximate posterior of valid target completions for a given intermediate state and condition. PAFM factorizes this intractable posterior into (i) the likelihood of the intermediate under a hypothesized endpoint and (ii) the prior probability of that endpoint under the condition, and uses an importance sampling scheme to construct a mixture over multiple candidate targets. We prove that PAFM yields an unbiased estimator of the original FM objective while substantially reducing gradient variance during training by aggregating information from many plausible continuation trajectories per intermediate. Finally, we show that PAFM improves over FM by up to 3.4 FID50K across different model scales (SiT-B/2 and SiT-XL/2), different architectures (SiT and MMDiT), and in both class and text conditioned benchmarks (ImageNet and CC12M), with a negligible increase in the compute overhead. Code: https://github.com/gstoica27/PAFM.git.
George Stoica, Sayak Paul, Matthew Wallingford +6
May 1, 2026cs.CL

Escaping Mode Collapse in LLM Generation via Geometric Regulation

Mode collapse is a persistent challenge in generative modeling and appears in autoregressive text generation as behaviors ranging from explicit looping to gradual loss of diversity and premature trajectory convergence. We take a dynamical-systems view and reinterpret mode collapse as reduced state-space accessibility caused by geometric collapse: during generation, the model's internal trajectory becomes confined to a low-dimensional region of its representation space. This implies mode collapse is not purely a token-level phenomenon and cannot be reliably solved by symbolic constraints or probability-only decoding heuristics. Guided by this perspective, we propose Reinforced Mode Regulation (RMR), a lightweight, online state-space intervention that regulates dominant self-reinforcing directions in the Transformer value cache (implemented as low-rank damping). Across multiple large language models, RMR substantially reduces mode collapse and enables stable generation at extremely low entropy rates (down to 0.8 nats/step), whereas standard decoding typically collapses near 2.0 nats/step.
Xin Du, Kumiko Tanaka-Ishii
Apr 30, 2026cs.CL

Why Mean Pooling Works: Quantifying Second-Order Collapse in Text Embeddings

For constructing text embeddings, mean pooling, which averages token embeddings, is the standard approach. This paper examines whether mean pooling actually works well in real models. First, we note that mean pooling can collapse information beyond the first-order statistics of the token embeddings, such as second-order statistics that capture their spatial structure, potentially mapping distinct token embedding distributions to similar text embeddings. Motivated by this concern, we propose a simple metric to quantify such a collapse induced by mean pooling. Then, using this metric, we empirically measure how often this collapse occurs in actual models and texts, and find that modern text encoders are robust to this collapse. In particular, contrastive fine-tuned text encoders tend to be less prone to the collapse than their pretrained backbone models. We also find that the robustness of these text encoders lies in the concentration of token embeddings within each text. In addition, we find that robustness to the collapse, as quantified by our proposed metric, correlates with downstream task performance. Overall, our findings offer a new perspective on why modern text encoders remain effective despite relying on seemingly coarse mean pooling.
Tomomasa Hara, Hiroto Kurita, Masaaki Imaizumi +2
Apr 29, 2026cs.CL

Instruction Complexity Induces Positional Collapse in Adversarial LLM Evaluation

When instructed to underperform on multiple-choice evaluations, do language models engage with question content or fall back on positional shortcuts? We map the boundary between these regimes using a six-condition adversarial instruction-specificity gradient administered to two instruction-tuned LLMs (Llama-3-8B and Llama-3.1-8B) on 2,000 MMLU-Pro items. Distributional screening (response-position entropy) and an independent content-engagement criterion (difficulty-accuracy correlation) jointly characterise each condition. The gradient reveals three regimes rather than a monotonic transition. Vague adversarial instructions produce moderate accuracy reduction with preserved content engagement. Standard sandbagging and capability-imitation instructions produce positional entropy collapse with partial content engagement. A two-step answer-aware avoidance instruction produces extreme positional collapse, with near-total concentration on a single response position (99.9% and 87.4%) and no measurable content sensitivity. This was the only multi-step instruction tested, and it produced the most extreme shortcut. The attractor position matches each model's content-absent null-prompt default. The effect replicates across both models and four academic domains. Distributional collapse and content engagement can co-occur (50% concordance between screening criteria), indicating that entropy-based screening and difficulty-based content assessment capture partially independent dimensions of response validity. Results suggest that instruction complexity can determine whether adversarial compliance uses content-aware or content-blind mechanisms in small instruction-tuned LLMs under greedy decoding.
Jon-Paul Cacioli
Apr 29, 2026cs.CL

Exploring the Limits of Pruning: Task-Specific Neurons, Model Collapse, and Recovery in Task-Specific Large Language Models

Neuron pruning is widely used to reduce the computational cost and parameter footprint of large language models, yet it remains unclear whether neurons in task-specific models contribute uniformly to task performance. In this work, we provide empirical evidence for the existence and importance of task-specific neurons through a systematic pruning study on language models specialized for mathematical reasoning and code generation. We introduce an activation-based selectivity metric to identify neurons with low contribution to the target task and prune them while preserving target-task accuracy, and compare selective pruning with random pruning. Selective pruning consistently outperforms random pruning, indicating that activation-based selectivity provides a systematic advantage over random pruning. Reverse pruning experiments further show that removing a small subset of highly task-specific neurons (~10%) causes complete performance collapse, suggesting that there exist task specific neurons and critical task information is concentrated in a small portion of the network. In contrast, selective pruning of less critical neurons (~30% - ~35%) reduces accuracy but still preserves significant performance. We also observed consistent reductions in parameters and runtime VRAM usage, along with improved inference throughput as pruning increases. Experiments on both 1.5B and 7B models reveal a robustness threshold around 15-20% pruning, beyond which accuracy loss and generation failures increase sharply. Fine-tuning substantially recovers performance across pruning levels, particularly for aggressively pruned models. These findings provide empirical evidence of neuron specialization in task-specific language models and offer insights into pruning robustness, model redundancy, and post-pruning recoverability.
M. K. Khalidi Siam, Md. Tausif-Ul-Islam, Md. Reshad Romim Khan +5
Apr 27, 2026cs.CL

The Chameleon's Limit: Investigating Persona Collapse and Homogenization in Large Language Models

Applications based on large language models (LLMs), such as multi-agent simulations, require population diversity among agents. We identify a pervasive failure mode we term \emph{Persona Collapse}: agents each assigned a distinct profile nonetheless converge into a narrow behavioral mode, producing a homogeneous simulated population. To quantify persona collapse, we propose a framework that measures how much of the persona space a population occupies (Coverage), how evenly agents spread across it (Uniformity), and how rich the resulting behavioral patterns are (Complexity). Evaluating ten LLMs on personality simulation (BFI-44), moral reasoning, and self-introduction, we observe persona collapse along two axes: (1) Dimensions: a model can appear diverse on one axis yet structurally degenerate on another, and (2) Domains: the same model may collapse the most in personality yet be the most diverse in moral reasoning. Furthermore, item-level diagnostics reveal that behavioral variation tracks coarse demographic stereotypes rather than the fine-grained individual differences specified in each persona. Counter-intuitively, \textbf{the models achieving the highest per-persona fidelity consistently produce the most stereotyped populations}. We release our toolkit and data to support population-level evaluation of LLMs.
Yunze Xiao, Vivienne J. Zhang, Chenghao Yang +3
Apr 26, 2026cs.CY

The Collapse of Heterogeneity in Silicon Philosophers

Silicon samples are increasingly used as a low-cost substitute for human panels and have been shown to reproduce aggregate human opinion with high fidelity. We show that, in the alignment-relevant domain of philosophy, silicon samples systematically collapse heterogeneity. Using data from N=277N = {277} professional philosophers drawn from PhilPeople profiles, we evaluate seven proprietary and open-source large language models on their ability to replicate individual philosophical positions and to preserve cross-question correlation structures across philosophical domains. We find that language models substantially over-correlate philosophical judgments, producing artificial consensus across domains. This collapse is associated in part with specialist effects, whereby models implicitly assume that domain specialists hold highly similar philosophical views. We assess the robustness of these findings by studying the impact of DPO fine-tuning and by validating results against the full PhilPapers 2020 Survey (N=1785N = {1785}). We conclude by discussing implications for alignment, evaluation, and the use of silicon samples as substitutes for human judgment. The code of this project can be found at https://github.com/stanford-del/silicon-philosophers.
Yuanming Shi, Andreas Haupt
Apr 22, 2026cs.LG

Pairing Regularization for Mitigating Many-to-One Collapse in GANs

Mode collapse remains a fundamental challenge in training generative adversarial networks (GANs). While existing works have primarily focused on inter-mode collapse, such as mode dropping, intra-mode collapse-where many latent variables map to the same or highly similar outputs-has received significantly less attention. In this work, we propose a pairing regularizer jointly optimized with the generator to mitigate the many-to-one collapse by enforcing local consistency between latent variables and generated samples. We show that the effect of pairing regularization depends on the dominant failure mode of training. In collapse-prone regimes with limited exploration, pairing encourages structured local exploration, leading to improved coverage and higher recall. In contrast, under stabilized training with sufficient exploration, pairing refines the generator's induced data density by discouraging redundant mappings, thereby improving precision without sacrificing recall. Extensive experiments on both toy distributions and real-image benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed regularizer effectively complements existing stabilization techniques by directly addressing intra-mode collapse.
Kuan-Yu Lin, Yu-Chih Huang, Tie Liu
Apr 20, 2026cs.CV

Domain-Specialized Object Detection via Model-Level Mixtures of Experts

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models provide a structured approach to combining specialized neural networks and offer greater interpretability than conventional ensembles. While MoEs have been successfully applied to image classification and semantic segmentation, their use in object detection remains limited due to challenges in merging dense and structured predictions. In this work, we investigate model-level mixtures of object detectors and analyze their suitability for improving performance and interpretability in object detection. We propose an MoE architecture that combines YOLO-based detectors trained on semantically disjoint data subsets, with a learned gating network that dynamically weights expert contributions. We study different strategies for fusing detection outputs and for training the gating mechanism, including balancing losses to prevent expert collapse. Experiments on the BDD100K dataset demonstrate that the proposed MoE consistently outperforms standard ensemble approaches and provides insights into expert specialization across domains, highlighting model-level MoEs as a viable alternative to traditional ensembling for object detection. Our code is available at https://github.com/KASTEL-MobilityLab/mixtures-of-experts/.
Svetlana Pavlitska, Malte Stüven, Beyza Keskin +1
Mar 12, 2026cs.LG

Language Generation with Replay: A Learning-Theoretic View of Model Collapse

As scaling laws push the training of frontier large language models (LLMs) toward ever-growing data requirements, training pipelines are approaching a regime where much of the publicly available online text may be consumed. At the same time, widespread LLM usage increases the volume of machine-generated content on the web; together, these trends raise the likelihood of generated text re-entering future training corpora, increasing the associated risk of performance degradation often called model collapse. In practice, model developers address this concern through data cleaning, watermarking, synthetic-data policies, or, in some cases, blissful ignorance. However, the problem of model collapse in generative models has not been examined from a learning-theoretic perspective: we study it through the theoretical lens of the language generation in the limit framework, introducing a replay adversary that augments the example stream with the generator's own past outputs. Our main contribution is a fine-grained learning-theoretic characterization of when replay fundamentally limits generation: while replay is benign for the strongest notion of uniform generation, it provably creates separations for the weaker notions of non-uniform generation and generation in the limit. Interestingly, our positive results mirror heuristics widely used in practice, such as data cleaning, watermarking, and output filtering, while our separations show when these ideas can fail.
Giorgio Racca, Michal Valko, Amartya Sanyal
Oct 18, 2025stat.ML

Escaping Model Collapse via Synthetic Data Verification: Near-term Improvements and Long-term Convergence

Synthetic data has been increasingly used to train frontier generative models. However, recent studies raise key concerns that iteratively retraining a generative model on its self-generated synthetic data may keep deteriorating model performance, a phenomenon often coined model collapse. In this paper, we investigate ways to modify the synthetic retraining process to avoid model collapse, and even possibly help reverse the trend from collapse to improvement. Our key finding is that by injecting information through an external synthetic data verifier, whether a human or a better model, synthetic retraining will not cause model collapse. Specifically, we situate our theoretical analysis in the fundamental linear regression setting, showing that verifier-guided retraining can yield near-term improvements, but ultimately drives the parameter estimate to the verifier's "knowledge center" in the long run. Our theory further predicts that, unless the verifier is perfectly reliable, these early gains will plateau and may even reverse. Indeed, our experiments across linear regression, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) trained on MNIST, and fining-tuning SmolLM2-135M on the XSUM task confirm these theoretical insights.
Bingji Yi, Qiyuan Liu, Yuwei Cheng +1
Oct 1, 2025cs.CL

Verbalized Sampling: How to Mitigate Mode Collapse and Unlock LLM Diversity

Post-training alignment often reduces LLM diversity, leading to a phenomenon known as mode collapse. Unlike prior work that attributes this effect to algorithmic limitations, we identify a fundamental, pervasive data-level driver: typicality bias in preference data, whereby annotators systematically favor familiar text as a result of well-established findings in cognitive psychology. We formalize this bias theoretically, verify it on preference datasets empirically, and show that it plays a central role in mode collapse. Motivated by this analysis, we introduce Verbalized Sampling, a simple, training-free prompting strategy to circumvent mode collapse. VS prompts the model to verbalize a probability distribution over a set of responses (e.g., "Generate 5 jokes about coffee and their corresponding probabilities"). Comprehensive experiments show that VS significantly improves performance across creative writing (poems, stories, jokes), dialogue simulation, open-ended QA, and synthetic data generation, without sacrificing factual accuracy and safety. For instance, in creative writing, VS increases diversity by 1.6-2.1x over direct prompting. We further observe an emergent trend that more capable models benefit more from VS. In sum, our work provides a new data-centric perspective on mode collapse and a practical inference-time remedy that helps unlock pre-trained generative diversity.
Jiayi Zhang, Simon Yu, Derek Chong +4
Feb 25, 2025stat.ML

Recursive Learning Without Collapse: A Weighting-Based Stabilization Framework

Recent studies identified an intriguing phenomenon in recursive generative model training known as model collapse, where models trained on data generated by previous models exhibit severe performance degradation. Addressing this issue and developing more effective training strategies have become central challenges in generative model research. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon within a novel framework, where generative models are iteratively trained on a combination of newly collected real data and synthetic data from the previous training step. To develop an optimal training strategy for integrating real and synthetic data, we evaluate the performance of a weighted training scheme in various scenarios, including Gaussian distribution estimation, generalized linear models, and nonparametric estimation. We theoretically characterize the impact of the mixing proportion and weighting scheme of synthetic data on the final model's performance. Our key finding is that, across different settings, the optimal weighting scheme under different proportions of synthetic data asymptotically follows a unified expression, revealing a fundamental trade-off between leveraging synthetic data and model performance. In some cases, the optimal weight assigned to real data corresponds to the reciprocal of the golden ratio. Finally, we validate our theoretical results on extensive simulated datasets and a real tabular dataset.
Hengzhi He, Shirong Xu, Guang Cheng
Oct 16, 2024cs.CL

Learning by Surprise: Adaptive Mitigation of Model Collapse in Large Language Models

As AI-generated content increasingly populates the web, generative AI models are at growing risk of being trained on their own outputs, a process known as AI autophagy. This feedback loop has been shown to induce model collapse, typically characterized by a loss of diversity in generated content. However, existing work offers a limited understanding of this phenomenon and relies on mitigation strategies that assume access to human-authored data. In this paper, we conduct extensive simulations across multiple datasets and LLMs to address key gaps in the study of model collapse. First, we introduce model-intrinsic measures based on next-token probability distributions, showing that model collapse corresponds to an increasing concentration of probability mass on a small set of tokens. Second, we demonstrate that model collapse is also associated with a loss of common sense, as measured by a decline in commonsense inference accuracy. Third, we identify perplexity (a measure of model "surprise") as a key driver of collapse: fine-tuning on the least "surprising" documents leads to more severe degeneration. Building on this insight, we propose a perplexity-based filtering strategy that prioritizes high-surprise documents during fine-tuning. Unlike existing approaches, our method does not require distinguishing between human-authored and AI-generated content. Across datasets and LLM families, this strategy consistently mitigates model collapse, achieving performance comparable to, and in some cases better than, human-data baselines, while substantially reducing the concentration of next-token probabilities. Overall, our results provide a unified, model-centric understanding of model collapse and suggest practical, scalable strategies for training generative AI systems in increasingly synthetic environments.
Daniele Gambetta, Gizem Gezici, Fosca Giannotti +3