CTR Prediction

CTR: Click-Through Rate

Overview

CTR prediction estimates the chance that a user will click an ad or item, helping ranking systems choose what to show and advertisers decide how to bid. Models combine sparse user, item, and context features through feature-interaction networks, sequence models of user interests, and increasingly transformer or multimodal representations for cold-start items. Researchers also address exposure and position bias, score calibration, uncertainty, and evaluation with benchmarks such as Criteo and Avazu as well as online A/B tests. A central challenge is improving accuracy and robustness across long-tail users and changing traffic while keeping inference costs, latency, and calibration suitable for production.

Latest papers

CardsList

21 papers3 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Towards a Unified Framework of Optimal Input-Side Dimensional Configuration for Deep CTR Prediction

    Oct 26, 2026Chaohua Yang, Fuyuan Lyu, Xing Tang +3CTR PredictionFeature Selection

  2. FLMNet: Self-Ensemble Distillation from Masks to Seeds for Single-Tower CTR Prediction

    Oct 19, 2026Yifan Wang, Yifei DuCTR PredictionSelf-Distillation

  3. Beyond Interaction Capacity: Estimator Scaling with Recursive Models for CTR Prediction

    Sep 29, 2026Shivang Chopra, Fotis Iliopoulos, Zsolt Kira +1Feature Interaction ModelingEnsemble Learning

  4. PRIME: Mitigating Subgroup Optimization Competition in Shared CTR Top Networks with Plug-in Residual Input-Conditioned Mixture of Expert

    Aug 31, 2026Heng Yao, Siyun Hou, Tianying Liu +8Residual LearningGradient Interference

  5. PaletteID: Prototype-Composed Semantic Identifiers for Multimodal CTR Prediction

    Jul 31, 2026Huanyu Liu, Baining Chen, Hui Liu +2Semantic ID RecommendationPrototype Learning

  6. Building a User Foundation Model for the Open Web

    Jul 30, 2026Solal Vernier, Ivan Can Arisoy, Merwan Barlier +1Self-Supervised LearningCTR Prediction

  7. Evaluating and Pricing Advertisements in AI-Generated Responses

    Jul 30, 2026John L. Turner-Smith, Zimeng Huang, Yuhan Fu +2Mechanism DesignOnline Advertising

  8. Mitigating Early Training Collapse in CTR Models

    Jun 20, 2026Ergun Biçici, Erkan ÇetinyamaçCTR PredictionFeature Selection

  9. Generative Long-term User Interest Modeling for Click-Through Rate Prediction

    May 15, 2026Jiangli Shao, Kaifu Zheng, Hao Fang +5CTR PredictionUser Modeling

  10. FEDIN: Frequency-Enhanced Deep Interest Network for Click-Through Rate Prediction

    May 3, 2026Zenan Dai, Jinpeng Wang, Junwei Pan +3Sequential RecommendationFrequency-Domain Feature Learning

  11. LLM-HYPER: Generative CTR Modeling for Cold-Start Ad Personalization via LLM-Based Hypernetworks

    Apr 13, 2026Luyi Ma, Wanjia Sherry Zhang, Zezhong Fan +10CTR PredictionHypernetworks

  12. Design Once, Deploy at Scale: Template-Driven ML Development for Large Model Ecosystems

    Mar 26, 2026Jiang Liu, John Martabano Landy, Yao Xuan +14Recommender SystemsCTR Prediction

  13. Deferred is Better: A Framework for Multi-Granularity Deferred Interaction of Heterogeneous Features

    Mar 13, 2026Yi Xu, Moyu Zhang, Chaofan Fan +3Feature Interaction ModelingCTR Prediction

  14. Uncertainty Quantification of Click and Conversion Estimates for the Autobidding

    Mar 2, 2026Ivan Zhigalskii, Andrey Pudovikov, Aleksandr Katrutsa +1Conversion Rate PredictionAutomated Bidding

  15. IDProxy: CTR Prediction with Multimodal LLMs for Cold-Start Recommendation at Xiaohongshu

    Mar 2, 2026Yubin Zhang, Haiming Xu, Guillaume Salha-Galvan +6Cold-Start RecommendationMultimodal Embedding

  16. CaliCausalRank: Calibrated Multi-Objective Ad Ranking with Robust Counterfactual Utility Optimization

    Feb 21, 2026Xikai Yang, Sebastian Sun, Yilin Li +3Learning to RankMulti-Objective Optimization