Medregion-Ct

Statutes are increasingly parsed by machines before people read them, and the parsers disagree: on Missouri's statutes, two independently written extractors diverge on numeric-threshold presence at a false-negative rate of 0.43. We ask what formal logic survives such noise. We build a passive survival certificate for the Duquenne-Guigues implication basis of machine-extracted statutory contexts: per-attribute inter-extractor disagreement is measured, replayed against the basis in 1,000 Monte Carlo trials, and an implication is certified only when a one-sided Wilson 95% lower bound on survival reaches 0.95; every certified implication carries premise spans and a minimal counterexample. On 29,365 Missouri sections and 502 Indian central-Act sections, the preregistered held-out gate passes (10 statute families across 7 Titles exact; 16 across 11 with 5% tolerance), yet under one globally deployed error model 93.2% of held-out chapters fall below the informativeness floor, and a 2x2 factorial assigns that to calibration-rate transfer, not selection. The certificate is usable but fragile: deploy it per-chapter-calibrated or error-tolerant. Code, data products, and the audit trail, including one retracted claim, are released.

Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products. AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) provides analysis-ready geospatial embeddings that may reduce this dependence on heavy harmonisation and task-specific feature engineering, but their value for wildfire susceptibility mapping has not been systematically evaluated. Using Victoria, Australia (2017-2025), as a case study, we show that AEF embeddings can reconstruct commonly used variables in wildfire susceptibility analysis with high accuracy. In downstream susceptibility models trained on satellite-derived fire occurrence data, embedding-based susceptibility models achieve ROC-AUC values above 0.92 and consistently identify high wildfire susceptibility across eastern Victoria, particularly Gippsland and the north-eastern uplands, with additional localized hotspots in central and northwestern Victoria. A key feature of AEF embeddings is their strong near-region transferability within climatically similar regions. When embedding-based models trained in Victoria are applied to Canberra and Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, ROC-AUC improves by around 4% at Canberra and declines by around 2% at Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, compared with a mean decrease of approximately 25% for physical-variable models. These findings provide practical guidance for using AEF embeddings and lay a foundation for scalable wildfire susceptibility mapping workflows for downstream users such as government agencies and (re)insurers.

Traffic congestion prediction is essential for congestion mitigation, but the COVID-19 pandemic and related control measures altered travel behavior and increased prediction complexity. This study predicts congestion in Alameda County, California, during pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown periods. Weather, seasonality, and COVID-19 variables are incorporated, and Recursive Feature Elimination with Cross-Validation is used to select important features and reduce overfitting. Support vector regression, multiple linear regression, recurrent neural networks, and long short-term memory networks are trained and optimized. Because LSTM is more sensitive to hyperparameter settings, an adaptive parameter selection approach is used, while SVR and RNN are manually tuned. Performance is evaluated using Normalized Root Mean Square Error. Bidirectional LSTM consistently performs best across all periods because it captures temporal dependence in both directions. Integrated Gradients is used to interpret Bi-LSTM predictions, and SHapley Additive exPlanations is applied to SVR. New COVID-19 cases have a mainly negative effect on congestion during lockdown and post-lockdown, likely due to greater risk awareness, voluntary travel reduction, and compliance with mobility restrictions. In the post-pandemic period, higher hospitalization reduces travel and congestion, while higher fuel prices do not prevent a shift toward private vehicles and therefore increase congestion.

Leaf Area Index (LAI) is a fundamental biophysical variable governing land-atmosphere interactions; however, LAI forecasting at high spatial resolution remains an unsolved challenge. While recent machine learning approaches have demonstrated LAI estimation at point or regional scales, none provides a gridded, meteorology-driven prognostic forecast suitable for subseasonal land surface and climate modeling applications. Here we present a sequence-to-sequence Convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM) framework that generates daily 1-km LAI forecasts up to 30 days ahead, driven by historical LAI sequences and daily meteorological forcing including temperature and precipitation. Trained and evaluated over the South-Central United States -- a region of strong climate gradients and diverse vegetation -- the model achieves a domain-averaged RMSE of 0.36 at a 30-day lead time, more than a third lower than the persistence baseline. Forecast skill remains robust across seasons, geographic distributions, and plant functional types, including forests, grasslands, shrublands, and croplands. To our knowledge, this is the first demonstration of skillful LAI forecasting at a 30-day horizon at 1-km resolution.

Road crashes remain among the gravest threats to public safety, and preventing them is a defining task of transportation systems worldwide. Much of that harm concentrates at hotspots, yet a hotspot is less a place than an episode; it emerges quietly at an intersection or along an arterial, intensifies for weeks, then subsides, only to reappear elsewhere. Enforcement guided by maps of past crashes inevitably trails this cycle, patrolling yesterday's hotspots while tomorrow's form unwatched. Breaking that lag requires three capabilities at once: detecting hotspots as they are born, forecasting where they will sit next week, and following each one through its life. We introduce HERALD (Hotspot Emergence, Risk Anticipation, and Life-cycle Dynamics), a unified deep learning framework that provides all three from a single statewide model. HERALD distills each county's recent crash history into weekly risk maps and forecasts the next with a CNN--Transformer, whose mixture-of-experts lets one model serve dense urban cores and sparse rural corridors alike. Each forecast is anchored in the county's long-run crash geography, sharpened by the self-exciting effect of recent crashes, and paired with explicit warnings of where new hotspots are about to appear. Followed over time, every hotspot acquires a legible life story, from birth through growth and stability to decline and death. Across six heterogeneous Wisconsin counties, HERALD forecasts more accurately than five identically trained baselines, locates hotspots most precisely, and flags emerging risks before they take hold. A single adjustable setting trades accuracy for extra sensitivity where deployment demands it. The result shifts hotspot management from mapping the past to anticipating the future.

Edmund C. Berkeley is usually remembered as a mediator between symbolic logic and early computing, yet that standard description understates the scope of his work. This paper argues for a stronger reading: Berkeley should also be understood as an early theorist of embodied machine intelligence. Across Berkeley's major writings on symbolic logic, machine intelligence, living robots, and Squee, intelligence appears not as disembodied symbol manipulation alone but as the organized coordination of sensing, storage, calculation, control, state, and action in physically realized machines. The paper's first contribution is interpretive: it reconstructs Berkeley as a thinker of machine architecture, temporally extended behavior, and environment-coupled control. Its second contribution is comparative: it reads Berkeley alongside David L. Heiserman to recover a shared descriptive scheme centered on sensing, state or memory, control, action, and adaptation. Its third contribution is critical: it uses that scheme to assess current embodied-AI discourse. The broader claim is that contemporary LLM-centered robotics often demonstrates impressive capability without an equally explicit account of persistence, recoverability, maintenance, and structured modification of conduct through experience.

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has the capability to model millions of individuals and their interactions, which is useful for policy making. However, ABMs have traditionally relied on static prior, which prevents the models from adapting to real-time changes. Our research provides a novel approach to addressing this information gap. Large language models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to predict human decision-making. Here, we introduce a scalable Hybrid Agent-based and Language-driven Epidemic (HALE) modeling framework that leverages LLMs to predict human decision-making in an ABM simulation. As a proof-of-concept, we use HALE to simulate COVID-19 and its effects in Salt Lake County, UT.

Progress in legal AI increasingly depends on access to authoritative legal text at scale. Yet one of the most consequential layers of American law remains largely absent from existing machine-readable corpora: local ordinances. Local codes govern zoning, housing, business licensing, public health, noise, animal control, and many other domains of everyday regulation, but they are fragmented across vendor platforms designed for human browsing rather than bulk research access. We introduce LOCUS - the Local Ordinance Corpus for the United States - a comprehensive corpus and county-harmonized access layer for U.S. municipal and county ordinance codes. The raw corpus, available for release to researchers, represents nearly all publicly available municipal and county ordinance codes. The resulting raw corpus contains codes from 9,239 cities and counties. A smaller county-harmonized LOCUS access layer provides coverage for the largest 2,309 of 3,144 U.S. counties, accounting for a majority of the population. We use OCR to handle the myriad of document formats that have kept the law from being a public resource. We release the corpus with coverage metadata to support reproducibility, downstream legal AI research, and the incremental expansion of machine-readable access to local law. We train a collection of ModernBERT-based classifiers and scorers to facilitate analyzing U.S. local law among several dimensions, such as opacity and paternalism, that have not previously been studied at this scale. LOCUS-v1 and its derivative models are available at: https://huggingface.co/datasets/LocalLaws/LOCUS-v1

Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute. We introduce HawkesNest, a generator-aligned benchmark for controlled spatiotemporal pattern complexity built on a multivariate Hawkes backbone. HawkesNest defines four complexity axes: space--time entanglement, background heterogeneity, cross-type interaction, and domain topology. Each axis is associated with a deterministic index computed from the latent data-generating mechanism. By varying these axes while holding global rate, stability, and simulation budget fixed, HawkesNest enables diagnostic stress tests of STPP models under known structural difficulty. We verify that the indices are monotone and nearly orthogonal under controlled sweeps. We illustrate its use by showing that Hawkes-family baselines degrade under joint heterogeneity--entanglement complexity, even though they are structurally aligned with the Hawkes data-generating backbone. We further show that HawkesNest exposes neural-model sensitivity: AutoSTPP remains vulnerable under isolated increases in space--time entanglement. Code. Available at https://github.com/YahyaAalaila/HawkesNest

Childhood asthma is a common illness exacerbated by air pollution as well as meteorological and neighborhood-level socioeconomic factors. Modeling asthma exacerbation (AE) in large spatiotemporal datasets requires disentangling impacts from multiple contributors. In this case study, we compared three techniques that balance predictive power with interpretability to predict AE in Hampton Roads, a coastal Virginia region comprising 7 cities and over 1.5 million people. After collating ambient air pollution measurements, weather data, and measures of neighborhood opportunity, we modeled zip code-level acute AE visits to a regional children's hospital and affiliated providers from 2018-2023. Generalized linear models (GLM) provided a baseline while neural networks (NN) served as a maximally predictive target. To bridge between statistical models and deep learning, we developed a framework based on sparse dictionary learning to identify and interpret parsimonious nonlinear interacting equations. After comparing each model's predictive performance, we estimated relative risks for AE due to input exposure variables and found consensus across frameworks. Our work links statistical and interpretable machine learning models to highlight possible synergistic interactions influencing AE, and may enable future studies to guide public health interventions in coastal Virginia.

Field-scale crop maps support supply-chain forecasting and policy, yet statewide crop identification still often depends on retrospective surveys or remote-sensing workflows built around hand-engineered spectral features. Those pipelines can be accurate, but they require repeated preprocessing and often lose robustness across years. This study evaluated whether Google DeepMind's AlphaEarth geospatial embeddings can serve as an analysis-ready alternative for mapping processing tomato systems in California. LandIQ 2018 crop polygons were used to assemble a balanced reference dataset of 4,742 tomato and 4,742 non-tomato fields. For each polygon, 64-band AlphaEarth embedding chips were extracted and aligned with binary masks, then divided into spatially independent training (n = 6,638), validation (n = 1,422), and test (n = 1,424) sets. A U-Net segmentation model was trained on AWS SageMaker using a composite masked binary cross-entropy and soft Dice loss. To complement hard predictions, Monte Carlo dropout was retained at inference and repeated 100 times per chip to estimate predictive mean and variance. On the independent test set, the model achieved 99.19% pixel accuracy, 98.69% precision, 99.40% recall, 99.04% F1 score, 98.11% intersection over union, and 99.02% chip accuracy. Uncertainty maps were consistently highest near field edges and low within field interiors. The results show that AlphaEarth embeddings retain crop-relevant spatial and temporal structure and can support accurate, field-scale tomato mapping without manual feature engineering.

Rubric-based reward shaping provides interpretable and editable reward signals for fine-tuning LLMs via reinforcement learning (RL), but existing adaptive rubric methods typically update criteria from local evidence such as the current batch or instance-level comparisons. This local view discards diagnostic information produced during training, making it difficult to track recurring failures, evaluate previous rubric edits, or raise standards once earlier criteria become saturated. We introduce AMARIS, A Memory-Augmented Rubric Improvement System that grounds rubric updates in longitudinal training evidence. AMARIS stores rollout analyses, step-level summaries, and rubric update records in a persistent evaluation memory, then retrieves recent and semantically relevant history to revise rubrics. We evaluate AMARIS across science, medicine, instruction following, and creative writing under both global and instance-specific rubric settings. AMARIS improves over static, local-adaptive, and memory-ablated baselines, such as +2.8 points on GPQA-Diamond and +2.2 points on IFBench over the strongest baselines, while analysis shows that memory reduces oscillatory rubric edits and supports a progression from early failure correction to later curriculum advancement. AMARIS runs asynchronously alongside the normal RL loop, reducing blocking latency relative to synchronous rubric updates.

Vision-language model (VLM) agents increasingly rely on memory-augmented reinforcement learning to reuse experience across long-horizon tasks, yet most existing frameworks store memory as text and depend on proprietary teacher models to summarize or refine it. This design is poorly matched to spatial decision making: geometric priors are compressed into lossy language, and sparse interaction is often supervised through delayed textual feedback rather than dense visually grounded signals. We argue that reusable experience for VLM agents should remain visually grounded. Based on this insight, we propose \textbf{AtlasVA}, a teacher-free visual skill memory framework that organizes memory into three complementary layers: spatial heatmaps, visual exemplars, and symbolic text skills. AtlasVA further evolves danger and affinity atlases directly from trajectory statistics and lightweight grid heuristics, and reuses these self-evolving atlases as potential-based shaping rewards for reinforcement learning. This unifies perception, memory, and optimization without external LLM supervision. Experiments on \textsc{Sokoban}, \textsc{FrozenLake}, 3D embodied navigation, and 3D robotic manipulation benchmarks show that AtlasVA consistently outperforms text-centric memory baselines and competitive VLM agents, with especially strong gains on spatially intensive tasks. Homepage: https://wangpan-ustc.github.io/AtlasvaWeb

This paper presents the Duluth approach to SemEval-2026 Task 6 on CLARITY: Unmasking Political Question Evasions. We address Task 1 (clarity-level classification) and Task 2 (evasion-level classification), both of which involve classifying question--answer pairs from U.S.\ presidential interviews using a two-level taxonomy of response clarity. Our system is based on DeBERTa-V3-base, extended with focal loss, layer-wise learning rate decay, and boolean discourse features. To address class imbalance in the training data, we augment minority classes using synthetic examples generated by Gemini 3 and Claude Sonnet 4.5. Our best configuration achieved a Macro F1 of 0.76 on the Task 1 evaluation set, placing 8th out of 40 teams. The top-ranked system (TeleAI) achieved 0.89, while the mean score across participants was 0.70. Error analysis reveals that the dominant source of misclassification is confusion between Ambivalent and Clear Reply responses, a pattern that mirrors disagreements among human annotators. Our findings demonstrate that LLM-based data augmentation can meaningfully improve minority-class recall on nuanced political discourse tasks.

We dream of a future where point clouds from all domains can come together to shape a single model that benefits them all. Toward this goal, we present Utonia, a first step toward training a single self-supervised point transformer encoder across diverse domains, spanning remote sensing, outdoor LiDAR, indoor RGB-D sequences, object-centric CAD models, and point clouds lifted from RGB-only videos. Despite their distinct sensing geometries, densities, and priors, Utonia learns a consistent representation space that transfers across domains. This unification improves perception capability while revealing intriguing emergent behaviors that arise only when domains are trained jointly. Beyond perception, we observe that Utonia representations can also benefit embodied and multimodal reasoning: conditioning vision-language-action policies on Utonia features improves robotic manipulation, and integrating them into vision-language models yields gains on spatial reasoning. We hope Utonia can serve as a step toward foundation models for sparse 3D data, and support downstream applications in AR/VR, robotics, and autonomous driving.

We introduce KAMERA: a comprehensive system for multi-camera, multi-spectral synchronization and real-time detection of seals and polar bears. Utilized in aerial surveys for ice-associated seals in the Bering, Chukchi, and Beaufort seas around Alaska, KAMERA provides up to an 80% reduction in dataset processing time over previous methods. Our rigorous calibration and hardware synchronization enable using multiple spectra for object detection. All collected data are annotated with metadata so they can be easily referenced later. All imagery and animal detections from a survey are mapped onto a world plane for accurate surveyed area estimates and quick assessment of survey results. We hope KAMERA will inspire other mapping and detection efforts in the scientific community, with all software, models, and schematics fully open-sourced.

Current CT report generation frameworks predominantly rely on global feature representations, often failing to capture region-specific details and potentially missing certain abnormalities. To overcome this limitation, we propose MedRegion-CT, a region-focused multimodal large language model framework featuring three key innovations. First, we revisit the SlowFast strategy to jointly model global and fine-grained information and adapt it to the medical domain via a Region-based SlowFast Tokenizer that extracts tokens guided by clinically meaningful regions. Second, generated pseudo-masks guide the model to attend to diagnostically important anatomical regions, facilitating a systematic understanding of the overall scan context. Third, quantitative lesion information, including size, diameter, and spatial location, is encoded as structured textual prompts, enabling context-aware and clinically informed report generation. To enable rigorous evaluation, we validate our framework on multi-institutional structured report generation benchmarks. Experimental results demonstrate that MedRegion-CT achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming existing approaches in both linguistic quality and clinical accuracy. All code is publicly available at: https://github.com/babbu3682/MedRegion-CT.