Solar

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3 papers in the last 28 days · 0.0% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Solar.

Period ending 2026-09-14

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Solar.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Solar.

24 papers

Latest in Solar

Sep 14, 2026cs.AI

Horizon-specific Expert Fusion for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

Short-term photovoltaic power forecasting requires models to represent regular solar cycles and weather-driven fluctuations whose importance changes with the forecast horizon. This study develops a hierarchical ensemble that combines temporal neural models, historical analogs, state climatology, and gradient-boosted trees. Solar geometry and numerical weather forecasts describe the expected generation conditions, while horizon-specific convex weights combine complementary predictions. A separate calibration step uses available historical forecast errors to account for recent bias. The framework is evaluated on public PVDAQ data at 15--240-minute horizons and on three GEFCom2014 solar zones at hourly horizons up to four hours. On PVDAQ, the ensemble achieves a daylight capacity-normalized mean absolute error of 4.315%, reducing error by 4.11% relative to full-feature LightGBM and by 6.03% relative to fine-tuned Chronos-2 under identical calibration. Expert-removal experiments identify redundancy within the ensemble. Across three training seeds on GEFCom2014, learned fusion improves upon equal weighting but performs comparably to LightGBM. The results support horizon-specific combination as a useful forecasting strategy while showing that its advantage over strong individual models depends on the dataset and evaluation period.
Xu Yuqing, Zhou Liguo, Sun Ze +2
Sep 11, 2026cs.LG

Bidirectional Multimodal Fusion of Sky Images and Time-Series for Solar Forecasting with Large Language Models

Short-term photovoltaic (PV) power and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasts are essential for effective dispatch, reserve scheduling, and grid operations. At these forecasting horizons, errors are predominantly driven by cloud induced ramps: relying solely on historical numerical data may struggle to anticipate an incoming cloud, making ground-based sky images a crucial complementary physical signal. Furthermore, forecast performance is highly sensitive to location and local observing conditions, creating a strong need for site-specific data that are often scarce. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated competitive performance and high data efficiency in time-series forecasting. Despite their success, existing LLM-based forecasting methods remain predominantly unimodal, relying primarily on historical numerical time-series data. Effectively incorporating sky imagery into an LLM-based forecasting framework remains under-explored and an open challenge. In this paper, we propose SolCloudLLM, an LLM-based multimodal forecasting framework. SolCloudLLM aligns sky-image patches with time-series patches and fuses their corresponding representations through bidirectional multimodal fusion, yielding a unified representation that is subsequently mapped into the embedding space of an LLM. Extensive experiments on the SIRTA and SKIPP'D datasets demonstrate that SolCloudLLM consistently outperforms the best baseline methods in MSE across all forecasting horizons, achieving a maximum relative MSE reduction of 25.4%. Stratified analysis further indicates that the benefits of multimodal fusion are concentrated primarily under cloudy conditions. Notably, SolCloudLLM achieves the best performance in nearly all few-shot settings, whereas other deep learning baselines experience substantial performance degradation and are frequently outperformed by the non-learning physical method.
Ken Chen, Maneesha Perera, Wei Wang +3
Sep 1, 2026cs.CV

HELIOS: From midnight to noon, continuous outdoor urban scene relighting

Modifying the illumination of driving images is a fundamental challenge, as most datasets are captured at specific times of day. Existing methods rely on synthetic data or paired multi-illumination supervision, which limits their generalization to the diverse and challenging conditions of real-world scenarios. To address this, we propose HELIOS, a novel image relighting approach that relies on unlabeled real-world datasets without requiring any paired images for training. Our approach integrates albedo-based conditioning into a cycle-consistent diffusion pipeline to prevent identity collapse and ensure accurate domain translation. To handle low-visibility nighttime conditions, we introduce a robust albedo distillation strategy that transfers structural stability from the daytime domain. Additionally, we replace traditional text prompts with a fine-grained control mechanism based on GPS-derived solar angles, enabling smooth and continuous lighting manipulation across the day-night cycle. Through extensive evaluation and a user study, we demonstrate that HELIOS produces structurally consistent and realistic results in both night-to-day and day-to-night tasks, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Hala Djeghim, Nathan Piasco, Luis Roldão +4
Aug 11, 2026cs.CV

ππ-SUB: A Physics-Informed Synthetic Underwater Benchmark Dataset for Underwater Image Enhancement

This paper presents ππ-SUB, a physics-informed framework for generating synthetic underwater benchmark datasets that bridges the synthetic-to-real gap for Underwater Image Enhancement (UIE). The proposed framework extends the classical underwater image formation model by incorporating depth-dependent downwelling irradiance, biologically resolved absorption, and environmental scattering across all ten Jerlov water types, together with independently controllable residual phenomena. Using this framework, the ππ-SUB dataset consists of paired synthetic underwater-reference images spanning shallow-to-deep and coastal-to-oceanic environments. Extensive simulation studies have been carried out to evaluate ππ-SUB along two criteria namely hyper-realism and generalizability. For hyper-realism, ππ-SUB attains a global Frechet Inception Distance (FID) that is 46% lower than Syrea. For generalizability, four state-of-the-art UIE architectures (FUnIE-GAN, Pix2Pix, PUIE-Net, and Phaseformer) are used for comparative evaluation of ππ-SUB. These models were independently trained on six datasets including one real and five synthetic datasets and tested on six real-world benchmarks datasets. Across four UIE architectures and six real benchmark datasets, ππ-SUB improves UIQM by 4.18% over PHISWID (next best) and 9.46% over Syrea (next best), while reducing NIQE by 48.78% and 23.98%, respectively. These results establish ππ-SUB as a hyper-realistic and generalizable benchmark for developing the next generation of underwater image enhancement methods. The code and dataset are available at https://github.com/airl-iisc/pi-SUB
Namritha Lasyapriya Maddali, Rajini Makam, Suresh Sundaram +1
Jul 30, 2026physics.ao-ph

Meteosat Third Generation imagery improves CNN-based SSI retrieval

Accurate Surface Solar Irradiance (SSI) estimation is increasingly important for photovoltaic energy monitoring and forecasting. The recently introduced Meteosat Third Generation (MTG) satellite constellation provides imaging data with higher spatial resolution compared to the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite constellation, but its benefits for machine-learning-based SSI retrieval have not been well established. In this work, we introduce a multi-imager and multi-resolution convolutional neural network architecture for 10-minute SSI retrieval over Northern Europe (Estonia) using MSG/SEVIRI and MTG/FCI satellite imagery together with solar-geometry and clear-sky irradiance features. Model performance is evaluated against ground-based pyranometer measurements from eight Estonian meteorological stations using site-based cross-validation and multiple training seeds. Model performance is also compared with the SARAH-3 physics-based satellite SSI product. The hybrid SEVIRI-FCI model significantly outperformed the SEVIRI-only model under overcast and cloudy conditions, reducing RMSE by 8.2 W m2^{-2} and 5.7 W m2^{-2}, respectively. However, under partly cloudy or clear skies, no statistically significant difference in RMSE was observed between the SEVIRI-FCI hybrid and the SEVIRI-only models. Compared with physics-based SARAH-3, the hybrid model yielded skill scores of 35 % under overcast conditions, 21 % under cloudy conditions, and 20 % overall. Furthermore, both models underperformed SARAH-3 in clear-sky conditions. These results show that higher-resolution MTG/FCI imagery improves CNN-based SSI retrieval when clouds dominate irradiance variability, but also indicate that higher spatial resolution alone is insufficient to address clear-sky limitations in machine-learning-based SSI retrieval.
Gordei Pribõtkin, Piia Post, Velle Toll
Jul 27, 2026astro-ph.SR

A Modern ConvNet for Solar Filament Detection

Automated solar filament detection using deep learning faces several challenges. Semantic segmentation of solar filaments is a complicated multiscale feature extraction task with long-tail distribution. Furthermore, a large-scale, highly complete, and finely detailed dataset has become mandatory for providing abundant information. To address these challenges, we present a series of machine learning approaches to develop a solar filament detection workflow that performs superbly. First, we manually annotated a small-scale solar filament dataset based on Hαα spectra called MHAS. Next, we developed the Multiscale ORiented DENdritic (MORDEN) model, a semantic segmentation model focusing on multiscale feature extraction. We also introduced the Dense Conditional Random Field (DenseCRF) and Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) methods for post-processing. Using the proposed workflow, we generated a large-scale, high-quality dataset called AHAS. Experimental results demonstrate that MORDEN outperforms several existing solar filament semantic segmentation models with open access. DenseCRF has been demonstrated to effectively capture fine edge details. We also evaluated the effects of data scaling and the reliability of DBSCAN and found that both approaches yield satisfactory performance. Multiple visualization results substantiate our quantitative findings. Our work provides a foundation for maximizing the potential of deep learning models for solar filament detection.
J. R. Hu, Q. Hao, Z. Zheng +3
Jul 26, 2026eess.IV

A Controlled Visual-Backbone Benchmark for Multimodal Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting

Sky-image irradiance studies often compare forecasting systems in which the image encoder, temporal model, fusion block, target definition, and training recipe all change together. We use a narrower protocol: the multimodal forecasting pipeline is fixed, and only the visual backbone is varied. The shared setup keeps preprocessing, clear-sky-index normalization, weather-history encoding, fusion, regression head, loss, optimizer schedule, seed, and chronological split policy unchanged. We compare ConvNeXt, Swin Transformer, VMamba, Spatial Mamba, and MambaVision backbones for 10min-ahead forecasting on Folsom and a strict matched NREL split. Forecast skill is measured against clear-sky-index smart persistence, and temporal-only rows are reported as weather-history diagnostics rather than as the main ranking criterion. On the Folsom strict split, all evaluated visual-backbone runs improve over smart persistence. In the evaluated single-seed strict runs, VMamba Small and Swin Base reach matched Folsom RMSE values of 65.39 W/m^2 and 65.50 W/m^2; the temporal-only diagnostic reaches 69.51 W/m^2. On the 313-sample NREL strict split, smart persistence remains strongest at 17.48 W/m^2, while the lowest visual RMSE is obtained by Swin Tiny at 23.76 W/m^2. These results provide a reproducible encoder comparison under one fixed multimodal operating point rather than establishing architecture-level dominance, statistically resolved ranking, or fully optimized forecasting performance. Code available here: https://github.com/Oshadha345/irradiance_benchmark
Oshadha Samarakoon, Dushan Herath, Ishara Ranmandala +4
Jul 22, 2026cs.CL

Solar Open 2 Technical Report

We present Solar Open 2, a 250B-A15B Mixture-of-Experts language model built for long-horizon agentic tasks, scaled up from Solar Open 1 (Solar Open 100B). To hold entire agent trajectories in a single context, Solar Open 2 reaches a 1M-token window through a hybrid attention stack that interleaves one softmax layer among every three linear-attention layers, using no positional encoding and a gated delta rule extended to negative eigenvalues. To train at this scale under a fixed compute budget, we make training efficient in two ways: a stronger starting point, and higher-value data. For the starting point, we initialize Solar Open 2 from Solar Open 1, transferring the 5.69B-parameter shared skeleton that survives the architectural change and learning everything else through full pre-training. For the data, we curate for value per token: quality- and rarity-aware data curation and mixture-ratio optimization refine a 20T pool into a 10T mixture that, at equal token budget, outperforms the Solar Open 1 recipe. To build its agent skills, we train twelve domain specialists across purpose-built scenarios, then consolidate them into a single model by Multi-teacher On-Policy Distillation (MOPD). Against comparably sized open-weight models on English benchmarks, Solar Open 2 leads on MMLU-Pro, LiveCodeBench, and the APEX-Agents agentic suite, and stays competitive with the strongest (DeepSeek-V4-Flash and MiMo-V2.5) elsewhere. On Korean benchmarks, Solar Open 2 records the highest average of any model compared, including fast-tier closed APIs, and on Ko-GDPval, an in-house Korean officework-agent benchmark, it is competitive with DeepSeek-V4-Pro (1.6T) at less than a sixth of its size.
Sungrae Park, Sanghoon Kim, Gyoungjin Gim +50
Jul 21, 2026astro-ph.SR

A Deep Learning Framework for Predicting Solar EUV Irradiance During Significant Flares

We present FlareEUV, a multimodal deep learning framework for predicting daily extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance at 6.5 nm over three consecutive days during significant solar flares, using multi-instrument observations from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). We consider 33 significant flares in the period between 2011 and 2014 in Solar Cycle 24. The SDO observations include 13 co-aligned full-disk images, comprising eight AIA EUV/UV and five HMI magnetic/continuum products. FlareEUV learns the relationship between magnetic structure and coronal emission from the raw imaging data using a lightweight attention-based architecture. Our experimental results demonstrate the good performance of FlareEUV in short-term EUV irradiance forecasting during the significant flares and its superiority over baseline methods.
Sathvik Soman, Jason T. L. Wang, Haimin Wang +1
Jul 13, 2026stat.AP

Climate-Invariant Conformal Prediction Intervals for Multi-Horizon Solar and Wind Forecasting

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for integrating solar and wind generation into modern power systems, where operators must weigh risk rather than act on point forecasts alone. Existing probabilistic methods, however, often either lack finite-sample validity or require per-site recalibration, so a single model rarely transfers across the diverse climates of a dispersed generation fleet. This paper proposes a heteroscedastic, asymmetric, group-conditional split-conformal framework built on a bootstrap-diverse XGBoost ensemble, producing prediction intervals that adapt in width to local difficulty while retaining distribution-free coverage guarantees. A single fixed specification, with no per-site or per-horizon tuning, is evaluated across four climatologically distinct sites spanning both hemispheres, at horizons of 1 to 12 hours, for both solar irradiance and wind speed. The framework holds near-nominal coverage on both targets and reduces the Interval Score by up to 35% relative to competitive baselines, with the calibration and sharpness of its intervals shown to be properties of the method rather than of site-specific tuning.
Shreedhar Gangwar, Abhinav Bains, Banalaxmi Brahma
Jul 5, 2026cs.LG

GlacierCastAI: Predicting Glacier Retreat from Multi-Modal Satellite Imagery and Climate Signals

ERA5 seasonal climate variables contain predictive information about future glacier retreat beyond what satellite imagery alone provides, yet existing deep learning methods focus on mapping current boundaries rather than forecasting future ones. This paper presents GlacierCastAI, which reframes glacier boundary prediction as a multi-modal spatiotemporal forecasting problem, fusing multi-temporal Landsat imagery with ERA5 reanalysis climate variables and Copernicus DEM terrain features to forecast glacier boundaries across five glaciers spanning four climate regimes. The architecture couples a ResNet50 spatial encoder with a ConvLSTM temporal model and a cross-attention climate fusion module. Because forecasting is inherently more uncertain than mapping current boundaries, the reported IoU values (0.320-0.337) are not directly comparable to state-of-the-art mapping models. Comparisons are against traditional baselines and experimental conditions. Through a pre-registered ablation study, adding ERA5 climate signals improves image-only IoU from 0.326 to 0.337 (+3.4%), suggesting that atmospheric forcing carries predictive information beyond imagery alone. All deep learning models substantially outperform persistence and linear trend baselines (IoU 0.160 and 0.169 respectively), with improvements of 89-99% relative IoU. A lightweight climate-only MLP baseline (661K parameters) achieves an IoU of 0.320 (98% of image-only performance) using 85x fewer parameters, suggesting that ERA5 variables encode substantial predictive signal independently of satellite imagery. SHAP attribution analysis suggests that spring solar radiation (MAM) is the dominant climate driver, consistent with the known role of spring insolation in setting melt season trajectories.
Arunkumar Ramachandran
Jun 26, 2026cs.CV

Curriculum-guided Change Detection Training: Toward Accurate Serac Fall Monitoring

Change Detection (CD) aims to identify semantic or structural changes from nearly registered multi-temporal images. While recent advances in training methodologies have largely focused on semi-supervised learning and consistency regularization, alternative training paradigms remain underexplored. In particular, most deep CD methods rely on uniform sampling during training, implicitly assuming that all training samples contribute equally to the optimization process. However, such naive sampling can introduce noisy gradients and hinder robust representation learning. To address this limitation, we propose a curriculum learning framework tailored for change detection. Our approach investigates two complementary difficulty measures: the Solar Angular Gap (SAG), a physically grounded proxy for acquisition-condition variability, and the Structural Similarity Index Measure (SSIM), which evaluates appearance similarity between image pairs. Based on these criteria, the framework progressively introduces challenging samples during training, enabling models to learn robust representations in a coarse-to-fine manner. We evaluate our method on the challenging SeracFallDet benchmark, where results demonstrate consistent improvements of the proposed approach over standard uniform-sampling strategies for both pixel-based and object-based approaches. These results highlight the potential of curriculum learning to improve robustness in deep change detection. Importantly, our training framework is orthogonal to existing CD architectures, making it readily applicable to a broad range of methods.
Arthur Dérédel, Carlos Crispim-Junior, Pierre Lemaire +2
Jun 24, 2026cs.LG

SOLAR: AI-Powered Speed-of-Light Performance Analysis

How fast could a deep-learning model run on target hardware, and how far is today's implementation from that limit? These questions are central to software, hardware, and algorithm optimizations. Speed-of-Light (SOL) analysis answers them by computing a workload's theoretical minimum execution time on a given architecture. Yet deriving SOL bounds remains manual, error-prone, and disconnected from rapid model development. To close this gap, we introduce SOLAR, a framework that automatically derives validated SOL bounds from PyTorch and JAX source code. SOLAR leverages both generative and deterministic components in its flow: an LLM frontend translates any source programs into an executable Affine Loop IR, validated by output comparison; a deterministic flow lifts the IR into an einsum graph; and an analytical backend computes unfused, fused, and cache-aware SOL bounds. SOLAR provides comprehensive operator and language coverage, produces validated bounds with zero observed SOL violations, and offers multi-fidelity analysis that tightens bounds and surfaces optimization insights. We evaluate SOLAR across KernelBench, JAX/Flax models, and robotics workloads. These experiments demonstrate four use cases: headroom analysis at multiple fidelity levels, identifying optimization opportunities, cross-platform exploration, and inverse-roofline hardware provisioning.
Qijing Huang, Sana Damani, Zhifan Ye +9
Jun 23, 2026astro-ph.EP

An Agnostic Machine Learning Model of Photosynthetic Habitability

The search for exoplanet biosignatures is guided by whether planetary environments can sustain photosynthesis. As such, the Photosynthetic Habitable Zone (PHZ) was recently proposed, as the overlap between the canonical habitable zone and the orbital range where stellar irradiance is sufficient to drive photosynthesis. Existing PHZ estimates rely on empirical light-response curves from Earth phytoplankton, and thus include implicit Earth-centric biases. We introduce an agnostic PHZ derived from a generalized model of photosynthesis grounded in thermodynamics and redox chemistry, without reference to model organisms. The model is built on a generic photochemical reaction in which photon capture couples oxidation of a donor molecule to the reduction of CO2. The optical properties and CO2 reduction rate are optimized against irradiance spectra for exoplanets orbiting main-sequence stars, using a genetic algorithm that mimics evolution by natural selection. Our simulations predict that photosynthetic organisms compensate for reduced flux by evolving larger light-harvesting structures. As a result, photosynthetic viability declines only linearly with orbital distance, despite stellar flux falling off quadratically. As such, the agnostic PHZ expands well beyond previous Earth-based estimates. Earth-like (visible light) oxygenic photosynthesis is flux-limited at the outer habitable zone for cool M-dwarf stars; however, both anoxygenic photosynthesis and a hypothetical, NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis are viable across the entire habitable zone for M, K, and G stars. This implies that M-dwarf exoplanets could sustain robust oxygenic photosynthesis, though it would be different to that found on Earth, presenting reflectance biosignatures in the NIR band rather than the visible.
Callum Gray, Cassandra Hall, Stefano Santabarbara +5
Jun 20, 2026astro-ph.SR

Prediction of Solar Flares Using Photospheric Magnetic Field Parameters with Deep Learning

Solar flares, particularly those of the M- and X-class, have a significant impact on human life because of their potential to disrupt critical infrastructure and communication systems on Earth. Accurate prediction of solar flares is crucial for mitigating these risks, but the black-box nature of conventional deep learning models used in flare prediction limits their trustworthiness and interpretability. In this paper, we propose a new approach to solar flare prediction using photospheric magnetic field parameters or features with deep learning. To improve model interpretability, we integrate explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques, including SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and partial dependence plots (PDPs), into our prediction framework. XAI methods provide transparency by analyzing the importance and interactions of features used by our model. Specifically, SHAP values offer a global and local understanding of the features, while PDPs provide insights into feature-level trends. These techniques demonstrate the potential of XAI in deploying AI-driven solutions in high-impact applications such as solar flare prediction, paving the way for more informed decision-making in solar physics and space weather studies.
Yash Chaudhary, Jason T. L. Wang, Chunhui Xu +2
Jun 17, 2026astro-ph.SR

Review of Machine Learning Models for Solar Energetic Particle Prediction

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events have attracted increasing attention due to their significant radiation hazards for aviation, spacecraft electronics, and human missions beyond Earth's magnetosphere. From a scientific perspective, SEP events are intriguing because they arise from a set of physical processes extending from the solar surface and corona through the heliosphere, offering insight into particle acceleration and transport mechanisms that are widely applicable across astrophysics. Therefore, advancing our ability to understand and predict SEP events is essential both for deepening our knowledge of such mechanisms and for safeguarding space technologies and exploration. Traditionally, researchers have modeled SEPs using physics-based simulations and empirical methods. More recently, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a new tool for understanding and predicting SEP events. The purpose of this manuscript is to review the currently available ML models for SEP prediction, identify the datasets used for training, compare their architectures, inputs, and outputs, and, based on these insights, outline good practices and recommendations for future research.
Spiridon Kasapis, Pouya Hosseinzadeh, Kathryn Whitman +73
Jun 12, 2026cs.LG

A Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Operational Threshold Detection and Deployable Dispatch Controller Development in Hydrogen Multi-Energy Systems

This study presents a statistical and machine learning framework for characterizing a hydrogen-based multi-energy system (H-MES) using one year of high-resolution operational data. Statistical analysis revealed a binary operation driven by renewable surplus, with solar irradiance explaining 45.7% of rank-based variance in hydrogen production, a large effect by conventional standards. Only high-irradiance periods triggered meaningful electrolyzer engagement, while electricity demand exerted a weaker inverse suppression effect (ε2=0.126ε^2 = 0.126). Multiple regression confirmed electrolyzer power as the dominant linear predictor, with a synergistic solar-wind interaction. Notably, Random Forest analysis ranked wind output first in predictive importance despite its weak bivariate correlation (r = 0.167), revealing non-linear dynamics invisible to parametric methods. A sequence model exploited strong 24-hour autocorrelation (r = 0.845) for operational forecasting, while a reinforcement learning agent optimized hydrogen revenue dispatch. The core contribution is demonstrating that statistical and machine learning approaches are complementary for H-MES modeling and control.
Shadi Heenatigala, Hasanika Samarasinghe
Jun 7, 2026astro-ph.SR

Reconstructing Synthetic SDO/AIA 193 A EUV Images from He I 10830 A Observations with Diffusion Model Translator

Routine full-disk EUV imaging has been available only since the modern era, such as SOHO and SDO. To extend EUV coronal context into earlier periods, we leverage the multi-decade availability of full-disk \HeI{} observations, whose absorption is modulated by coronal irradiance and magnetic topology and is widely used as a proxy for open-field regions. We present a diffusion-based conditional image translation framework, Coronal Hole-aware Diffusion Model Translator (CH-aware DMT), to reconstruct synthetic SDO/AIA 193 Å EUV images from \HeI{} inputs. The model is trained on temporally co-aligned SOLIS \HeI{} and AIA 193 Å pairs spanning 2011--2015 using a month-based split, where January--October are used for training, November is used for validation, and December for testing. On the held-out test set, the reconstructions preserve dominant full-disk EUV morphology (CC=0.92) and recover CH-related low-intensity structure (CC=0.84). We further assess historical applicability by (1) comparing reconstructed AIA 193 Å morphology with SOHO/EIT 195 Å over 2005--2015; (2) comparing reconstructed AIA 193 Å images generated from KPVT \HeI{} inputs against Yohkoh/SXT soft X-ray observations; and (3) evaluating long-term reconstructed disk-integrated emission statistics against observational EUV series and independent solar activity proxies (sunspot number and F10.7 radio flux over 1974--2015). These results indicate that CH-aware DMT conditioned on \HeI{} can provide a physically plausible synthetic AIA 193 Å coronal proxy for historical studies, supporting multi-decade analyses of large-scale coronal evolution before the direct EUV imaging was available.
Marco Marena, Qin Li, Haimin Wang +3
May 9, 2026cs.CL

A Quantum Inspired Variational Kernel and Explainable AI Framework for Cross Region Solar and Wind Energy Forecasting

Reliable short horizon forecasting of solar and wind generation is a structural prerequisite of any modern power system yet most published forecasters are tuned and evaluated on a single climatic regime and most algorithmic novelty has been concentrated either on classical recurrent networks or on monolithic foundation models that combine forecasting and explanation We develop a four stage hybrid framework that separates these concerns The first stage acquires hourly generation irradiance and surface weather records through public application programming interfaces The second stage trains three classical baselines autoregressive integrated moving average gradient boosted regression trees and a two layer long short term memory network and produces a strong point forecast together with a residual error series The third stage corrects the residual through a quantum inspired variational kernel built on a six qubit hardware efficient ansatz with three repeated entangling layers The fourth stage uses generative artificial intelligence strictly as an explainability layer that reads the measured benchmark numbers and produces a structured natural language interpretation Across three regions drawn from open public archives Iberian solar North Sea wind and a mixed Texas trace the proposed configuration stays within one percentage point of the strongest classical baseline on the in domain forecasting task and the quantum inspired kernel separates calm and stormy weather regimes with a Fisher discriminant ratio approximately fifteen fold higher than a tuned radial basis kernel
Pavan Manjunath, Thomas Prufer
May 4, 2026cs.AI

AI and Open-data Driven Scalable Solar Power Profiling

Solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment is expanding rapidly, yet detailed, up-to-date information on the spatial distribution and capacity of rooftop PV remains limited. This paper presents an open, scalable framework for detecting solar panels from open data and generating city-level solar power profiles. We leverage foundation vision AI models to detect solar panel geometries from open-source satellite imagery. This avoids manual data labeling and case-specific model training while maintaining robustness across heterogeneous imagery. Detected solar panels are converted into georeferenced polygons, yielding spatially explicit and incrementally extensible inventories. By integrating open weather data, we translate panel footprints into regional solar power profiles. The framework reduces dependency on proprietary imagery, manual labeling, and closed-source models, and offers a transparent and scalable approach for solar planning and analysis. We released the data and an API resulted from this work. For any user-specified building location, our API retrieves aerial imagery, detects rooftop solar panels, and returns georeferenced polygons. This empowers researchers and developers to scan user-defined areas to build solar panel maps and associated solar production profiles, thus facilitating advanced analysis like distributed solar production integration, local power flow optimization, energy tariff design, and infrastructure planning.
Shiliang Zhang, Sabita Maharjan, Damla Turgut
Apr 27, 2026cs.LG

SolarTformer: A Transformer Based Deep Learning Approach for Short Term Solar Power Forecasting

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer architecture, is used for short-term solar power forecasting. Our proposed model, "SolarTformer", is designed to predict solar power output from meteorological data. Unlike traditional models, SolarTformer leverages self-attention mechanisms to effectively capture temporal dependencies and spatial variability in solar irradiance. In addition, the proposed methodology includes feeding power station-specific metadata into the model, which helps to generalize between power stations located at different locations and with different panel configurations and in different seasons. Our experiments demonstrate that SolarTformer significantly outperforms previous models on the same data set. In particular, the model exhibits strong performance on both clear and cloudy days, indicating high robustness and generalizability. These findings highlight the potential of attention-based architectures in enhancing the accuracy of solar forecasting, contributing to a more reliable management of renewable energy.
Ankan Basu, Jyotiraditya Roy, Aditya Datta +2
Apr 23, 2026cs.CV

Forecasting Solar Energy Using a Single Image

Solar panels are increasingly deployed in cities on rooftops, walls, and urban infrastructure. Although the panel costs have fallen in recent years, the soft costs of installing them have not. These soft costs include assessing the illumination (irradiance) of a panel, which is typically performed using a 3D model that fails to capture small nearby structures that impact the irradiance. Our approach uses a single image taken at the panel's location to forecast its irradiance at any time in the future. We use visual cues in the image to find the camera's orientation and the portion of the sky visible to the panel in order to forecast the irradiance due to the sun and the sky. In addition, we show that the irradiance due to reflections from nearby buildings varies smoothly over time and can be forecasted from the image. This approach enables assessing the solar energy potential of any surface and forecasting the temporal variation of a panel's irradiance. We validate our approach using real irradiance measurements in urban canyons. We show that our approach often yields more accurate irradiance forecasts compared to conventional irradiance-based transposition methods and 3D model-based simulations. We also show that a single spherical image can be used to find the best fixed orientation of a panel. Finally, we present Solaris, a device to capture the image seen by a panel in a variety of urban settings.
Jeremy Klotz, Shree K. Nayar
Apr 22, 2026cs.CV

Linear Image Generation by Synthesizing Exposure Brackets

The life of a photo begins with photons striking the sensor, whose signals are passed through a sophisticated image signal processing (ISP) pipeline to produce a display-referred image. However, such images are no longer faithful to the incident light, being compressed in dynamic range and stylized by subjective preferences. In contrast, RAW images record direct sensor signals before non-linear tone mapping. After camera response curve correction and demosaicing, they can be converted into linear images, which are scene-referred representations that directly reflect true irradiance and are invariant to sensor-specific factors. Since image sensors have better dynamic range and bit depth, linear images contain richer information than display-referred ones, leaving users more room for editing during post-processing. Despite this advantage, current generative models mainly synthesize display-referred images, which inherently limits downstream editing. In this paper, we address the task of text-to-linear-image generation: synthesizing a high-quality, scene-referred linear image that preserves full dynamic range, conditioned on a text prompt, for professional post-processing. Generating linear images is challenging, as pre-trained VAEs in latent diffusion models struggle to simultaneously preserve extreme highlights and shadows due to the higher dynamic range and bit depth. To this end, we represent a linear image as a sequence of exposure brackets, each capturing a specific portion of the dynamic range, and propose a DiT-based flow-matching architecture for text-conditioned exposure bracket generation. We further demonstrate downstream applications including text-guided linear image editing and structure-conditioned generation via ControlNet.
Yuekun Dai, Zhoutong Zhang, Shangchen Zhou +1
Apr 19, 2026cs.SD

Virtual boundary integral neural network for three-dimensional exterior acoustic problems

This paper presents a virtual boundary integral neural network (VBINN) for exterior acoustic problems in three dimensions. The method introduces a virtual boundary inside the scatterer or vibrating body and represents the associated source density with a neural network. Coupled with the acoustic fundamental solution, this representation satisfies the Sommerfeld radiation condition by construction and enables direct evaluation of the acoustic pressure and its normal derivative at arbitrary field points. Because the integration surface is separated from the physical boundary, the formulation avoids the singular and near singular kernel evaluations associated with coincident source and collocation points in conventional boundary integral learning methods. To reduce sensitivity to boundary placement, the geometric parameters of the virtual boundary are optimized jointly with the source density during training. Numerical examples for acoustic scattering, multiple body interaction, and underwater acoustic propagation show close agreement with analytical solutions and COMSOL results, and the Burton Miller extension further improves stability near characteristic frequencies. These results demonstrate the potential of VBINN for exterior acoustic analysis in three dimensions.
Jiahao Li, Qiang Xi, Ilia Marchevskiy +1