Confidence Region Estimation

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6 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

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  1. Possibilistic Radial Transport for Approximate IM Inference

    Oct 7, 2026Jungeum Kim, Percy ZhaiConfidence Region EstimationAmortized Inference

    North Carolina State University · University of Chicago Booth School of Business

  2. Where Do Two Populations of Persistence Diagrams Differ? Calibrated Local Inference at a Fixed Budget

    Oct 6, 2026Pramita Bagchi, Edward Bae, Atish Mitra +3Two-Sample TestingConfidence Region Estimation

    The George Washington University · Montana Technological University · University of Ljubljana

  3. Sharp Limits for Honest Uncertainty in Hard-Budget Repeated Evaluation

    Sep 24, 2026Yezhou Cheng, Runjia Du, Zeming Liu +5Confidence Region EstimationUncertainty Quantification

    Independent · Northwestern University · Pinterest, Inc.

  4. Tail-Aware Geometry Learning for Conformal Ellipsoids

    Sep 23, 2026Xiang ZhangConfidence Region EstimationConformal Prediction

    School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

  5. Locally Private Inference for Riemannian Stochastic Optimization

    Sep 18, 2026Xiaotian Chang, Yangdi Jiang, Qirui HuRiemannian OptimizationConfidence Region Estimation

    School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Nanyang Technological University · School of Statistics and Data Science, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics.

  6. From matrix inversion to constraints: provably tighter confidence regions for importance weights in label shift

    Sep 13, 2026Mushan Li, Kihyun Han, Yanyuan MaLabel ShiftConfidence Region Estimation

    Department of Statistics, The Pennsylvania State University University Park, PA 16802, USA

  7. What Fixed-Rollout pass@k Evaluations Can Identify

    Sep 10, 2026Pranav Singh, Prashant SinghConfidence Region EstimationPartial Identification

    Department of Mathematics Indian Institute of Technology Ropar Ropar, Punjab 140001, India

  8. MiNCE: Nonparametric, Strongly Consistent Confidence Envelopes for Band-Limited Functions and their Smoothed Spectra

    Sep 8, 2026Balázs Csanád Csáji, Bálint HorváthConfidence Region EstimationNonparametric Regression

    HUN-REN SZTAKI: Institute for Computer Science and Control, Budapest, Hungary · Institute of Mathematics, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), Budapest, Hungary

  9. Aggregate Disambiguation Systems

    Aug 31, 2026José María Lago, Albert Castellana, Edgars NemšeAnnotator DisagreementConfidence Region Estimation

    GenLayer Labs Research

  10. Self-Normalized Inference for Constant-Stepsize Temporal-Difference Learning under Markovian Sampling

    Aug 11, 2026Min Zeng, Yichen Zhang, Xiaofeng ShaoConfidence Region EstimationStochastic Approximation

    Department of Biostatistics, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China · Department of Quantitative Methods, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA · Department of Statistics and Data Science, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA +1

  11. ARC: Augmented-Rank Conformalization for Changepoint Localization --- Finite-Sample Validity and Distribution-Robust Efficiency

    Aug 9, 2026Chenchen Peng, Mixia Wu, Qijing Yan +2Confidence Region EstimationConformal Prediction

    School of Mathematics, Statistics and Mechanics, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China · College of Computing and Data Science, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore 639798, Singapore

  12. Analytical and Bootstrap Confidence Intervals of Double Machine Learning: Simulation studies and an application to rural-urban difference in obesity prevalence

    Jul 31, 2026Haozheng Xu, Siyuan Ma, Qingyan XiangDouble MLCausal Effect Estimation

    Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center

  13. Prediction-Powered Active Testing

    Jul 9, 2026Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi, Valentin Kilian, Daolang Huang +2Confidence Region EstimationVariance Reduction

    Department of Statistics, University of Oxford · Department of Computer Science, Aalto University

  14. Significance-First Splitting: Aligning Treatment Heterogeneity Detection with Honest Estimation

    Jul 4, 2026Pantelis Z. Hadjipantelis, Weng Man Chiang, Karthik NageshCausal Effect EstimationConfidence Region Estimation

    TripAdvisor, UK

  15. Estimating Uncertainty in Classifier Performance with Applications to Large Language Models and Nested Data

    Jun 24, 2026Kylie AnglinLLM EvaluationConfidence Region Estimation

    Department of Educational Psychology, Neag School of Education, University of Connecticut

  16. Filtered Conformal Ellipsoids for Graph-Native Time Series

    Jun 15, 2026Yannick LimmerConfidence Region EstimationConformal Prediction

    DRW · London, United Kingdom

  17. Data augmented bootstrap: Unifying confidence interval construction by approximate invariance

    Jun 8, 2026Kevin Han HuangConfidence Region EstimationUncertainty Quantification

    Department of Statistics, University of Warwick

  18. Distribution-free changepoint localization after sequential change detection

    May 31, 2026Aytijhya Saha, Aaditya RamdasConfidence Region EstimationDistribution Shift Detection

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology · Carnegie Mellon University

  19. Prediction-Powered Inference Across Many Tasks for AI Evaluation & Social Science Research

    May 28, 2026Nicolas Emmenegger, Ellery Stahler, Chara PodimataConfidence Region EstimationUncertainty Quantification

    MIT Cambridge, MA

  20. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Gradient Descent Beyond Finite Variance

    May 25, 2026Jose Blanchet, Peter Glynn, Wenhao YangStochastic OptimizationConfidence Region Estimation

    Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University

  21. Approximate full conformal prediction in an RKHS

    Jan 19, 2026Davidson Lova Razafindrakoto, Alain Celisse, Jérôme LacailleConfidence Region EstimationConformal Prediction

    Laboratoire SAMM Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne 90, rue de Tolbiac 75634 PARIS CEDEX 13, FRANCE · Safran Aircraft Engines Rond-Point René Ravaud, Réau, 77550 Moissy-Cramayel CEDEX, France

  22. Statistical Inference for Policy Evaluation with Temporal Difference Learning

    Oct 21, 2024Weichen Wu, Gen Li, Yuting Wei +1Parameter EstimationConfidence Region Estimation

    The Voleon Group, New York, NY, USA · Department of Statistics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR. · Department of Statistics and Data Science, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA. +1

  23. Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification for Kernel Methods by Gradient Perturbations

    Dec 23, 2018Balázs Csanád Csáji, Krisztián Balázs KisConfidence Region EstimationUncertainty Quantification

    EPIC Centre of Excellence MTA SZTAKI: Institute for Computer Science and Control Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary