Epidemic Forecasting

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2 papers in the last four weeks, with none the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

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  1. Planetary Geospatial Foundation Models: A New Paradigm for Global Public Health

    Oct 5, 2026Arbaaz Muslim, Aviv Slobodkin, Katherine Wheeler-Martin +35Epidemic ForecastingGeospatial Foundation Models

    Google, Mountain View, CA, USA · Department of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA · Center for Child Health Services Research, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA +14

  2. Hybrid epidemic simulation framework coupling equation-based and individual-based models

    Sep 28, 2026Jaeyoung Kwak, Michael H. Lees, Chin Chun Ooi +1Epidemic ForecastingAgent-Based Modeling

    College of Computing and Data Science, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore · Informatics Institute, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands · Institute of High Performance Computing, Agency for Science, Technology and Research, Singapore

  3. TERN: A Delta-rule Memory with a Seasonal Reference and Online Adaptation for Epidemic Forecasting

    Sep 16, 2026Shunya Nagashima, Yuta FunayamaEpidemic ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    LTS, Inc., Japan

  4. Machine Learning and ARIMA Model Averaging for Adaptive Public Health Forecasting: Comparative Evaluation and an Ontario COVID-19 Case Study

    Aug 7, 2026Yushu Zou, Ye Li, Johra Moosa +3Epidemic ForecastingGradient-Boosted Decision Trees

    Public Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada · Division of Biostatistics, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Canada · Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Canada +1

  5. EpiFlow: A framework for improving the utility of wastewater signals for disease forecasting

    Aug 7, 2026Aniruddha Adiga, Jingyuan Chou, Gursharn Kaur +8Epidemic ForecastingProbabilistic Forecasting

    Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia · Department of Computer Science, University of Virginia · Virginia Department of Health +3

  6. TREA-Net: A Transferable Residual Epidemiological Adaptation Network for Dengue Incidence Forecasting

    Jul 29, 2026Inesh Shukla, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty +1Epidemic ForecastingResidual Learning

    International Institute of Information Technology Hyderabad, India · SAFIR, Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates · Sorbonne Center for Artificial Intelligence, Sorbonne Universit´e, Paris, France

  7. GeoID-PINN: Identifiability-Aware Regional Epidemic Inference with Geographic Coupling

    Jul 28, 2026Weixiong Hua, Fan BuEpidemic ForecastingParameter Identifiability

    Department of Biostatistics · University of Michigan · Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA

  8. Long-Memory Reservoir Computing for Data-Scarce Dengue Forecasting

    Jul 13, 2026Rahul Goswami, Shinjini Paul, Palash Ghosh +1Epidemic ForecastingReservoir Computing

    Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, India · SAFIR, Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates · Leiden University, Leiden, South Holland, Netherlands +1

  9. Beyond Time Series: Spatial Reasoning for Epidemic Forecasting via Multimodal Learning

    Jun 20, 2026Diana Guadalupe Gomez, Chenwei Wu, Zhiyi Wang +2Epidemic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Reasoning

    University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI, USA

  10. Understanding Key Features of Time Series Foundation Models from Epidemic Forecasting

    Jun 17, 2026Alireza Jafari, Judy Fox, Geoffrey C. Fox +2Epidemic ForecastingLLM-Based Time Series Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science, School of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA · School of Data Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA · Biocomplexity Institute and the Department of Computer Science, School of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA +1

  11. Bayesian Selective Latent Inference for Wastewater-First Influenza Monitoring

    Jun 8, 2026Yixuan Zhang, Yang Song, Hao Wang +2Epidemic ForecastingSelective Prediction

    Section of Health Data Science and AI, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark · Section of Health Data Science & AI, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark · Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA +1

  12. EpiEvolve: Self-Evolving Agents for Streaming Pandemic Forecasting under Regime Shifts

    Jun 3, 2026Yiming Lu, Sihang Zeng, Zhengxu Tang +3Epidemic ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Emory University · University of Washington

  13. Hybrid Probabilistic Forecasting of Under-Five Malaria Admissions in Ghana: A Gaussian Process Regression with Holt-Winters Smoothing

    May 30, 2026T. Ansah-Narh, Y. Asare Afrane, J. Bremang TandohEpidemic ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

  14. Bayesian Inference of Nonlinear Malaria Dynamics in Ghana via an Ensemble Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampler

    May 30, 2026T. Ansah-Narh, Y. Asare Afrane, J. Bremang TandohEpidemic ForecastingBayesian Inference

    Ghana Space Science and Technology Institute, Ghana Atomic Energy Commission, P. O. Box LG 80, Legon, Accra, Ghana · Department of Medical Microbiology, University of Ghana Medical School, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana

  15. Spatio-temporal stochastic graph-based learning for infectious disease forecasting

    May 28, 2026Luz Stefani Sotomayor Valenzuela, Susanna Cramb, Darren WraithEpidemic ForecastingProbabilistic Forecasting

    School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia · QUT Centre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia

  16. Transfer Learning using 66 Diseases for Disease Forecasting Applications

    May 26, 2026Lauren J Beesley, Alexander C Murph, Dave Osthus +1Multivariate Time Series ForecastingEpidemic Forecasting

    Statistics, Los Alamos National Laboratory · Computational Intelligence & Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory

  17. SL-BiLEM: Structured Learnable Behavior-in-the-Loop Epidemic Modeling for Forecasting and Policy Evaluation

    May 26, 2026Haochun Wang, Sendong Zhao, Jingbo Wang +3Epidemic ForecastingDistribution Shift

    Faculty of Computing, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China

  18. Prospective multi-pathogen disease forecasting using autonomous LLM-guided tree search

    May 15, 2026Sarah Martinson, Michael P. Brenner, Martyna Plomecka +3Epidemic ForecastingLarge Language Model-Guided Optimization

    Google Research · School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University · Google Deepmind +1

  19. EpiCastBench: Datasets and Benchmarks for Multivariate Epidemic Forecasting

    May 12, 2026Madhurima Panja, Danny D'Agostino, Huitao Li +2Multivariate Time Series ForecastingEpidemic Forecasting

    Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi · Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore

  20. SpatialEpiBench: Benchmarking Spatial Information and Epidemic Priors in Forecasting

    May 7, 2026Ruiqi Lyu, Alistair Turcan, Bryan WilderEpidemic ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    1Carnegie Mellon University

  21. Koopman Representations for Early Outbreak Warning and Minimal Counterfactual Intervention in Multi-Agent Epidemic Simulations

    May 3, 2026Florin LeonEpidemic ForecastingAgent-Based Modeling

    Department of Computers Faculty of Automatic Control and Computer Engineering “Gheorghe Asachi” Technical University of Iași, Romania

  22. Generative diffusion models for spatiotemporal influenza forecasting

    Apr 27, 2026Joseph Lemaitre, Justin LesslerEpidemic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA · Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA · Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA

  23. IDOBE: Infectious Disease Outbreak forecasting Benchmark Ecosystem

    Apr 20, 2026Aniruddha Adiga, Jingyuan Chou, Anshul Chiranth +7Epidemic ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA · Department of Public and Ecosystem Health Cornell University College of Veterinary Medicine, Ithaca, New York, USA · Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA +2

  24. Deep Generative Spatiotemporal Engression for Probabilistic Forecasting of Epidemics

    Mar 7, 2026Rajdeep Pathak, Tanujit ChakrabortyEpidemic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    SAFIR, Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates · SCAI, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France

  25. How (Not) to Hybridize Neural and Mechanistic Models for Epidemiological Forecasting

    Feb 6, 2026Yiqi Su, Ray Lee, Jiaming Cui +1Epidemic ForecastingNon-Stationary Time Series Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science, Virginia Tech, Alexandria, USA.

  26. Auditable Context-Aware HFMD Forecasting with Structured LLM Agents

    Nov 28, 2025Joongwon Chae, Runming Wang, Chen Xiong +5Epidemic ForecastingExplainable Time Series Forecasting

    Institute of Biomedicine and Health Engineering, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School (SIGS), Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China · The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China · The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Lishui 323000, China +1