Italian Case Studies

We present IRENE (Italian Radar Ensemble Nowcasting Experiment), a deep learning model for probabilistic short-range precipitation nowcasting over the Italian domain at \SI{1}{km} spatial and 5 min temporal resolution. IRENE adopts an encoder--forecaster architecture built on multi-scale Convolutional Gated Recurrent Units (ConvGRUs), trained on the national radar composite produced by the Italian Civil Protection Department (DPC). An importance-sampling scheme focuses training on precipitation-relevant events, while the almost-fair Continuous Ranked Probability Score (afCRPS) is adopted as the primary probabilistic loss function. Two additional training configurations are proposed: an adversarial (GAN) variant, IRENE-GAN, designed to improve the spatial sharpness of the generated forecasts, and a spectrally constrained variant, IRENE-GAN-RAPSD, in which the adversarial objective is complemented by an explicit penalty on the radially averaged power spectral density. The three configurations are evaluated against the stochastic extrapolation method STEPS and the pre-trained deep learning model DGMR. All IRENE configurations attain a lower Continuous Ranked Probability Score than both benchmarks at every lead time and rank histograms closer to uniformity, indicating better probabilistic skill and ensemble calibration. In terms of ensemble-mean mean absolute error the advantage is confined to the first 90 min, beyond which the strongly damped DGMR fields and, to a lesser extent, STEPS become competitive. Spectral analysis shows that the adversarial training removes the progressive loss of small-scale variance exhibited by IRENE, at the cost of an excess of fine-scale power at long lead times that the spectral penalty only partially controls.

As users increasingly turn to Large Language Models (LLMs) for information and advice on political matters, particularly during election periods, the political preferences expressed by these systems have become a matter of public interest. Prior research has shown that interactions with LLMs can influence users' political attitudes and choices, raising questions about how these models themselves evaluate political actors. In this paper, we investigate whether and how LLMs express preferences toward political parties and political leaders. We introduce a systematic and reproducible auditing framework in which multiple LLMs are prompted to evaluate parties and leaders across nine criteria. Rather than attempting to infer the models' "true" political beliefs, we focus on their observable behavior, examining consistency across evaluations, differences between models, refusal rates, and sensitivity to prompt formulation. We further investigate how these evaluations vary when models are instructed to adopt different personas. We demonstrate the framework through an Italian case study, providing a systematic analysis of LLM-generated political evaluations on italian parties and leaders.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have transformed computational linguistics and achieved remarkable performance across numerous natural language processing tasks, yet significant gaps persist in understanding how these systems process culturally embedded linguistic expressions. This paper introduces ProverbIT, a novel Italian benchmark comprising 100 multiple-choice questions designed to evaluate LLMs' ability to complete Italian proverbs. We assess 13 frontier models, including Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) and traditional LLMs, across three tasks: proverb completion, multiple-choice selection with correct answers, and multiple-choice selection without correct answers. Our evaluation reveals surprising results: while nearly all models demonstrate knowledge of the proverbs through successful completion tasks, performance drops dramatically when transitioning to multiple-choice formats without correct answers, with even state-of-the-art reasoning models showing substantial degradation. Through detailed Chain-of-Thought analysis of two LRMs, we uncover that models exhibit a strong bias toward selecting literal synonyms and frequently mention correct proverb endings during reasoning without successfully identifying their absence from the given options. These findings suggest that current LLMs rely heavily on memorized patterns rather than deeper semantic understanding of culturally grounded expressions, highlighting important limitations in their reasoning capabilities for figurative language comprehension.

The zero-shot capabilities of multimodal large language models (MLLMs) are pushing salient object detection (SOD) beyond task-specific supervision. To disentangle MLLMs beyond conventional mask-based evaluation, we decompose SOD into localization and segmentation, and re-engineer datasets with phrases, boxes, and attributes, establishing a diagnostic benchmark for MLLM saliency perception (SaliLLM). SaliLLM uncovers a striking capability mismatch: MLLMs outperform state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods in localization, yet remain substantially weaker in segmentation. Further analyses attribute this gap primarily to mismatches between MLLMs and annotations over foreground cardinality, granularity, and extent. Motivated by this diagnosis, we recast zero-shot SOD as protocol-aligned Foreground Organization and introduce the first training-free framework that leverages Gestalt-inspired Collaborative attention for Unified SOD (FOCUS). FOCUS couples top-down Bayesian-surprise calibration of protocol-conditioned foreground granularity with bottom-up propagation of MLLMs evidence over entity-centric perceptual manifolds induced by self-supervised features, yielding coherent object extents as prompts for a general segmenter. Across 13 RGB, RGB-D, and RGB-T SOD benchmarks, FOCUS generally surpasses SOTA methods without training, reducing mean absolute error by 11%, 34%, and 48% compared with fully, weakly, and self-supervised methods, respectively. Our findings signal the renaissance of SOD: from task-specific supervision to zero-shot foreground organization. Code is available in the supplementary material.

Federated learning (FL) enables privacy-preserving training of automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems across distributed data sources, yet its application to large-scale speech language models (SpeechLLMs) remains unexplored. This paper presents the first systematic study of federated training for SpeechLLM-based end-to-end ASR systems. We design a communication-efficient federated optimization strategy tailored to the unique challenges of SpeechLLM architectures, addressing high-dimensional parameter spaces, gradient communication overhead, and computational constraints in distributed settings. Through extensive empirical evaluation on monolingual ASR tasks in English and Italian, we demonstrate the effectiveness and stability of our federated approach compared to centralized training baselines across diverse acoustic conditions and speaking styles. Additionally, we conduct a comprehensive ablation study analyzing the impact of different speech encoder architectures on monolingual English ASR performance within the federated framework, providing insights into optimal model configurations for decentralized training. Our results achieve competitive word error rates while reducing communication costs, establishing practical foundations for federated SpeechLLM deployment in real-world multilingual scenarios.

Researchers, managers and policymakers are exploring different approaches and data sources to map the development and the diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI). In this research note, we illustrate the opportunities offered by trademark data. We argue that AI trademarks can complement AI patents to capture different dimensions of AI innovation. AI trademarks can reveal the extent and ways in which companies exploit AI technologies to develop new goods and services. Importantly, trademark data offer a timely and globally available data source that covers all economic sectors. We present insights from using AI trademarks in an empirical exploration of Italian firms. In our discussion, we reflect on how AI trademarks can be used at different levels of analysis to tackle emerging questions about the development and diffusion of AI.

In recent years, studies have revealed a decline in semantic variety across popular music lyrics, particularly in English-language songs on streaming platforms like Spotify. This research examines whether a similar trend can be observed in a different linguistic and cultural context: the lyrics of all finalist songs from the 75 editions of the Sanremo Music Festival, Italy's most renowned music competition. What sets this work apart is the development of a flexible and efficient methodology for tracking changes in semantic similarity over time, which can be applied to different datasets to study similar phenomena. Drawing on a combination of full-text, segment-based, topic-based, and word-level analyses, the approach leverages both embedding techniques and large language models. When applied to the Sanremo corpus, this framework reveals a gradual move toward increasing semantic uniformity, echoing the global patterns identified in previous studies. These findings underscore the value of natural language processing tools in uncovering long-term shifts in musical language and cultural expression.

We present an automated pipeline that decomposes Italian tax-court judgments into individual legal issues and extracts, for each issue, a structured XML representation grounded in the IRAC framework and the legal syllogism. The pipeline targets a corpus of approximately $330{,}000$ first- and second-instance decisions of the Italian tax courts and is built around a capable yet cost-efficient general-purpose model (DeepSeek V3), a choice driven by the need to process several hundred thousand documents at a sustainable cost. To address the well-documented unreliability of large language models on legal citations, we couple the extraction step with an automatic hallucination-detection filter that compares the references produced by the model with those identified in the judgment text by a dedicated parser (Linkoln), normalised to standard identifiers (URN-NIR, ECLI, CELEX). We validate the pipeline on $50$ judgments annotated by two PhDs in tax law, computing inter-annotator agreement and LLM-vs-expert agreement on both issue extraction and legal citations, together with a stand-alone evaluation of the hallucination filter. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first issue-level, expert-validated structured extraction pipeline with hallucination control for Italian tax-court decisions, and it provides a concrete starting point for downstream applications such as issue-level retrieval, citation-network analysis, and the construction of large-scale datasets of legal reasoning.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly critical to digital library workflows, yet their ability to process historical language remains poorly understood. Historical difficulty is typically treated as a monolithic barrier, conflating orthographic variation, linguistic distance, and pretraining exposure. In this paper, we propose a diagnostic framework that decomposes this difficulty into four distinct dimensions: tokenization cost, predictive uncertainty (surprisal), semantic robustness, and context sensitivity. We evaluate this framework on three datasets spanning three centuries: (1) a newly curated corpus of 17th-century Italian texts (1610-1689) digitized from original page images; (2) canonical 19th-century Italian "I Promessi Sposi" serving as a high-exposure control; and (3) 18th-century Russian civil print books as a contrastive orthographic stress test. Our results reveal a distinct dissociation between encoding cost and comprehension. While Russian and early modern Italian incur comparable tokenization penalties (25-30% inflation), their predictive difficulty diverges sharply. 17th-century Italian is on average 2.4 times more surprising than its modern equivalent - with academic prose reaching 3.2 times - whereas Russian shows only a modest increase. But predictive uncertainty does not imply representational degradation: embedding similarity remains robust (> 0.85) across all datasets, confirming that models can represent historical meaning even when generation is unstable. Finally, we demonstrate that a minimal temporal context prompt reduces historical surprisal by approximately 60%, offering a simple, model-agnostic mitigation. These findings suggest that while historical text imposes a consistent encoding tax, digital libraries can safely deploy LLMs for semantic retrieval tasks, provided that generative applications are carefully adapted.

The increasing availability of large-scale textual corpora has opened new possibilities for data-driven, quantitative approaches to historical analysis using Natural Language Processing (NLP). However, diachronic corpora with historical relevance from the pre-digital era remain scarce and often incomplete. We present a quantitative approach to historical analysis based on the reconstruction and exploration of a diachronic corpus of around 600,000 articles from the Italian newspaper "La Repubblica", covering all the articles published from the 1st of January 1985 to the 31st of December 2000 - a period of major political, social, and geopolitical change in Italy and globally. Using NLP techniques, we analyze the text at both lexical and semantic levels; we then apply tools from complex systems and statistical physics to trace shifts in media discourse over time. This allows us to detect key transition periods, such as the transition from the First Republic to the Second Republic in Italy, or major international conflicts like the Gulf War or the Kosovo War, without relying on prior labeling. The results show how combining computational linguistics with ideas from complex systems can offer new quantitative insight into historical changes, opening up new paths for studying the dynamics of media and society through large-scale textual data.

This paper investigates whether LLM translations exhibit identifiable emotional profiles and how post-editing reshapes them toward human-like norms. We compare LLM translations of Margaret Atwood's Oryx and Crake with their post-edited versions and a human translation, using a large-scale corpus of contemporary Italian science-fiction as a baseline. We examine emotion through lexicon-based and multilingual modeling, conducting a fine-grained analysis of emotional variation across systems. We find that MT systems introduce model-specific and statistically significant emotional fingerprints across translations, leading to a limited preservation of an author's voice.

The development of automatic term extraction has become increasingly important in modern technology. Automatic term extraction can be found in virtually every search engine that is currently available to users. Recent advancements have provided promising results for the extraction of automatic terms; however, accurate labeling is difficult because of several factors, such as the limited number of annotated documents available for training and the complexity of extracting multi-word expressions due to shifts in the domain. In this paper, we will present a low-cost and interpretable method of automatic term extraction, developed specifically for Task A of the ATE Shared Task. This new method utilizes fine-tuning extraction strategies that can run on a small amount of computational resources. We evaluated our automated system using both type-level and micro-level measures of precision, recall, and F1-score to measure both complementary aspects of the extraction performance. According to the experimental results, our proposed approach achieves consistent and balanced performance compared to other teams. Even though the technique itself is relatively straightforward, it serves as a good starting point for low-resource models. Overall, the findings point toward the possibility of significant future advancements (in model expansion) with higher-level performance still able to retain their ability to be interpreted.

We present GuidaPA, a privacy-preserving chatbot for the Italian Public Administration (PA) trained via Federated Learning (FL) on documentation from two national PA platforms, SIGESON and SIDFORS. Our corpus includes approximately 8 pages of SIGESON manuals and 31 pages of SIDFORS manuals/FAQs; while this study uses public documentation as a safe proxy, the intended deployment extends to restricted internal sources (e.g., tickets, officer manuals, database extracts) that can not be centrally pooled due to regulatory and organizational constraints. GuidaPA integrates role-based access control, secure client-side preprocessing, explicit monitoring of non-IID effects, and parameter-efficient federated fine-tuning of large language models. Using QLoRA (4-bit) over 15 federated rounds with an 80/20 train-test split per client, we evaluate answer quality with ROUGE, BLEU-4, and METEOR. The best federated model achieves ROUGE-1/2/L of 61.10/55.77/59.44, BLEU-4 of 45.02, and METEOR of 63.94-close to private centralized fine-tuning while keeping data on-site. Compared to the general-purpose baseline, domain fine-tuning improves ROUGE-1 from 41.45 to 62.18 and BLEU-4 from 26.97 to 50.90. Overall, the results indicate that FL can deliver high-quality conversational AI for public services without centralized data sharing

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent the majority of firms in most economies and often face financial constraints and higher vulnerability to financial distress. Predicting SME default is therefore crucial for financial institutions, policymakers, and researchers. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have improved predictive performance in credit risk modeling. Yet, the limited interpretability of complex models raises concerns regarding transparency and regulatory compliance. This study investigates SME's default predictors and applies explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques to them. Using a panel of 50,718 Italian SME over the period 2015-2024, we compare traditional econometric approaches with several ML classifiers. The empirical results show that ML models significantly outperform the traditional logistic regression benchmark in terms of Balanced Accuracy and PR-AUC. To address the interpretability challenge, we introduce DEXiRE-EVO, a novel evolutionary rule extraction framework that combines multi-objective optimization with the Contextual Importance and Utility (CIU) explainability method. The extracted rules reveal economically meaningful patterns associated with SME financial distress, highlighting the roles of weak internal liquidity generation, internal capital erosion, high leverage, and operational inefficiency. Additionally, contextual macroeconomic conditions and the persistence of financial instability contribute to identifying high-risk firms. In general, the results show that combining ML with evolutionary rule extraction can improve both predictive performance and interpretability in credit risk modeling, thus supporting more transparent, data-driven decision-making in financial environments.

This report benchmarks the performance of ENGINEERING Ingegneria Informatica S.p.A.'s EngGPT2MoE-16B-A3B LLM, a 16B parameter Mixture of Experts (MoE) model with 3B active parameters. Performance is investigated across a wide variety of representative benchmarks, and is compared against comparably-sized open-source MoE and dense models. In comparison with popular Italian models, namely FastwebMIIA-7B, Minerva-7B, Velvet-14B, and LLaMAntino-3-ANITA-8B, EngGPT2MoE-16B-A3B performs as well or better on international benchmarks: ARC-Challenge, GSM8K, AIME24, AIME25, MMLU, and HumanEval (HE). It achieves the best performance for the longest context setting (32k) of the RULER benchmark. On the Italian benchmark dataset ITALIC, the model performs as well or better than the other models except for Velvet-14B, which outperforms it. Compared with popular MoE models of comparable size, the new model reports higher values than DeepSeek-MoE-16B-Chat on all considered benchmarks. It has higher values than Moonlight-16B-A3B on HE, MMLU, AIME24, AIME25, GSM8K, and the 32k RULER setting, but lower on BFCL and some ARC and ITALIC settings. Finally it has lower values than GPT-OSS-20B on most benchmarks, including HE, MMLU, AIME24, AIME25, GSM8K, ARC, BFCL, and the RULER 32k. When compared with popular dense models, EngGPT2MoE-16B-A3B reports higher values on AIME24 and AIME25 than Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, Gemma-3-12b-it, and Ministral-3-8BInstruct-2512-BF16, but lower values on ITALIC, BFCL, and RULER with a 32k context. When performance is aggregated across all benchmark metrics, EngGPT2MoE-16B-A3B shows higher performance than the Italian models under evaluation while achieving lower results than some of the most performant international models, in particular GPT-5 nano and Qwen3-8B. Taken together, our findings find the new model to be a step forward for native Italian Large Language Models.

This study applies symbolic time series analysis and Markov modeling to explore the phonological structure of Evgenij Onegin-as captured through a graphemic vowel/consonant (V/C) encoding-and one contemporary Italian translation. Using a binary encoding inspired by Markov's original scheme, we construct minimalist probabilistic models that capture both local V/C dependencies and large-scale sequential patterns. A compact four-state Markov chain is shown to be descriptively accurate and generative, reproducing key features of the original sequences such as autocorrelation and memory depth. All findings are exploratory in nature and aim to highlight structural regularities while suggesting hypotheses about underlying narrative dynamics. The analysis reveals a marked asymmetry between the Russian and Italian texts: the original exhibits a gradual decline in memory depth, whereas the translation maintains a more uniform profile. To further investigate this divergence, we introduce phonological probes-short symbolic patterns that link surface structure to narrative-relevant cues. Tracked across the unfolding text, these probes reveal subtle connections between graphemic form and thematic development, particularly in the Russian original. By revisiting Markov's original proposal of applying symbolic analysis to a literary text and pairing it with contemporary tools from computational statistics and data science, this study shows that even minimalist Markov models can support exploratory analysis of complex poetic material. When complemented by a coarse layer of linguistic annotation, such models provide a general framework for comparative poetics and demonstrate that stylized structural patterns remain accessible through simple representations grounded in linguistic form.

Data-driven landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) typically relies on landslide conditioning factors (LCFs), whose availability, heterogeneity, and preprocessing-related uncertainties can constrain mapping reliability. Recently, Google AlphaEarth (AE) embeddings, derived from multi-source geospatial observations, have emerged as a unified representation of Earth surface conditions. This study evaluated the potential of AE embeddings as alternative predictors for LSM. Two AE representations, including retained principal components and the full set of 64 embedding bands, were systematically compared with conventional LCFs across three study areas (Nantou County, Taiwan; Hong Kong; and part of Emilia-Romagna, Italy) using three deep learning models (CNN1D, CNN2D, and Vision Transformer). Performance was assessed using multiple evaluation metrics, ROC-AUC analysis, error statistics, and spatial pattern assessment. Results showed that AE-based models consistently outperformed LCFs across all regions and models, yielding higher F1-scores, AUC values, and more stable error distributions. Such improvement was most pronounced when using the full 64-band AE representation, with F1-score improvements of approximately 4% to 15% and AUC increased ranging from 0.04 to 0.11, depending on the study area and model. AE-based susceptibility maps also exhibited clearer spatial correspondence with observed landslide occurrences and enhanced sensitivity to localised landslide-prone conditions. Performance improvements were more evident in Nantou and Emilia than in Hong Kong. SHAP analysis further revealed regional variability in the contribution of individual AE bands, while several bands showed consistently high importance across all three study areas. These findings highlight the strong potential of AE embeddings as a standardised and information-rich alternative to conventional LCFs for LSM.

Subtitles are essential for video accessibility and audience engagement. Modern Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) systems, built upon Encoder-Decoder neural network architectures and trained on massive amounts of data, have progressively reduced transcription errors on standard benchmark datasets. However, their performance in real-world production environments, particularly for non-English content like long-form Italian videos, remains largely unexplored. This paper presents a case study on developing a professional subtitling system for an Italian media company. To inform our system design, we evaluated four state-of-the-art ASR models (Whisper Large v2, AssemblyAI Universal, Parakeet TDT v3 0.6b, and WhisperX) on a 50-hour dataset of Italian television programs. The study highlights their strengths and limitations, benchmarking their performance against the work of professional human subtitlers. The findings indicate that, while current models cannot meet the media industry's accuracy needs for full autonomy, they can serve as highly effective tools for enhancing human productivity. We conclude that a human-in-the-loop (HITL) approach is crucial and present the production-grade, cloud-based infrastructure we designed to support this workflow.