Mixtures

In this paper, we introduce a model of evolution and learning in robots that co-optimizes a distribution of latent design vectors (genotypes) and a mixture of control experts (neural modules), which are gated by the latent coordinates of each decoded design (phenotype). This provides a scalable alternative to co-design algorithms that either train an individual policy for every robot, which is inefficient, or a monolithic universal controller for all robots, which results in overly conservative structures and behaviors. Our approach lies somewhere between these two extremes, preserving ancestral knowledge in a unified yet modular framework in which different body plans activate and deactivate different combinations of learned sensorimotor circuits for goal-directed behavior. This allows one part of the controller to be overhauled to better suit new species of designs as they emerge without disrupting the hard-earned knowledge contained within other expert modules. It also allows pretrained expert policies to be directly plugged into the mixture, which can steer evolution into otherwise unexplored areas of latent space containing desired morphological traits. We refer to this process as "evo by demo" and explore how it may be used to guide freeform evolution toward canonical structures defined by the pretrained model. Videos and code can be found at: https://eco-moe.github.io.

Multi-AI collaboration, such as ensembling or debating large language models (LLMs), is a promising paradigm for aggregating information and boosting performance. A foundational step in these pipelines is to feed the responses of several proposer LLMs into a summarizer LLM, which synthesizes a better answer. However, choosing which proposers to include is non-trivial. Existing approaches primarily focus either on accuracy (picking the strongest models) or diversity (ensuring variety), and often overlook the interactions among proposers and with the summarizer. We reframe proposer selection as a combinatorial selection problem akin to feature selection, where the value of an LLM lies in its complementarity with others. However, directly applying standard feature-selection algorithms is impractical in the LLM setting due to prohibitive time complexity. Motivated by this limitation, we explore an extensive range of computationally feasible, greedy-style selection algorithms that assess complementarity using a small labeled set. Our experiments validate complementarity as a guiding principle for proposer selection and identify methods that achieve the best performance-cost trade-offs in practice.

Data scaling is fundamental to modern deep learning, and grows increasingly critical as autonomous driving shifts to end-to-end learning. Real-world driving data is expensive to annotate and scene-biased, making real-synthetic co-training with near-infinite synthetic data a promising direction. However, naively incorporating all available synthetic data is inefficient and leads to distribution shifts, and optimizing data mixture under practical training budgets remains a critical yet under-explored problem. In this sense, we claim that the mixture of training data requires clear guidance in terms of scene types and quantities. Particularly in this work, we conceptualize the data mixture approximately as a dynamic optimization process that iteratively adjusts the training data mixture to maximize model performance, guided by closed-loop evaluation feedback, and propose AutoScale, a fully automated closed-loop data engine unifying scene representation, data mixture optimization and retrieval, as well as model training and evaluation. Specifically, we propose Graph Regularized AutoEncoder (Graph-RAE) for driving scene representations, introduce Cluster-aware Gradient Ascent (Cluster-GA) for cluster-wise importance estimation and reweighting, and perform cluster-guided vector retrieval to select high-value samples. Experiments on NavSim demonstrate that AutoScale outperforms vanilla co-training and cross-domain baselines, achieving better performance with fewer synthetic samples under constrained budgets.

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a mesh-free framework for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), yet training often suffers from gradient pathologies, spectral bias, and poor convergence, especially for problems with strong nonlinearity, sharp gradients, or multiscale features. We propose the Curriculum-Guided Gaussian Mixture Physics-Informed Neural Network (CGMPINN), which integrates Gaussian mixture modeling with dynamic curriculum learning. Specifically, a GMM is periodically fitted to the PDE residual distribution to quantify spatially varying learning difficulty. A smooth curriculum schedule progressively shifts training focus from easy to harder regions, while precision-based variance modulation suppresses unreliable clusters during early optimization. This dual curriculum is governed by a shared curriculum parameter and can be combined with self-adaptive loss balancing. We further establish theoretical guarantees, including sublinear convergence of the gradient norm for the induced time-varying loss, uniform equivalence between the curriculum-weighted and standard PDE losses, and a generalization bound with an explicit weighting-induced bias characterization. Experiments on six benchmark PDEs spanning elliptic, parabolic, hyperbolic, advection-dominated, and nonlinear reaction-diffusion types show that CGMPINN consistently achieves the lowest relative $L_2$ and maximum absolute errors among all compared methods, reducing relative $L_2$ error by up to 97.8% over the standard PINN at comparable cost. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Mathematics-Yang/CGMPINN.

We introduce DeRegiME -- Deep Regime Mixture of Experts -- a direct multi-horizon probabilistic forecaster that separates latent uncertainty regimes from the underlying signal and softly assigns each forecast location to learned recurring regimes using a sparse variational Gaussian process (GP) whose nonstationary regime-mixing kernel and Student-t likelihood combine per-regime sub-kernels and noise processes via a shared gate. This yields a single sparse-GP posterior, not a mixture of GP experts. DeRegiME addresses a key limitation of neural forecasters: point forecasts discard residual uncertainty, and probabilistic heads -- whether single marginals, uninterpreted mixtures, quantile sets, or diffusion samples -- rarely expose the regime structure of the residual. Yet distribution shift in noisy heteroskedastic time series may be abrupt, gradual, or horizon-dependent and often appears in residual uncertainty rather than the conditional mean. DeRegiME yields an interpretable mean-residual-noise decomposition with a direct-sum feature-space representation that anchors regimes as clusters of residual similarity whose transitions surface as implicit changepoints. The effective number of regimes is pruned by the stick-breaking gate. We prove kernel validity and predictive-density propriety, and across ten benchmarks and three encoder grids DeRegiME improves negative log predictive density (NLPD) by 20.3% over the strongest encoder-matched baseline, a DeepAR/GluonTS-style dynamic Student-t head, with parallel gains on CRPS (3.0%) and MSE (4.7%). Improvements are consistent across all datasets, which span abrupt, gradual, and seasonal shifts.

Continual test-time adaptation adapts a source-pretrained model to non-stationary, unlabeled target streams while retaining past competence, yet texture-biased backbones risk error accumulation and catastrophic forgetting. Drawing inspiration from the process of decoupling shape and texture in the human visual system, we introduce MoASE, a plug-in mixture-of-experts that disentangles domain-agnostic structure from domain-specific texture using Activation Sparsity Experts with Spatial Differentiable Dropout, forming complementary high- and low-activation pathways, while high- and low-rank bottlenecks diversify representations. The Activation Sparsity Gate produces input-adaptive SDD thresholds for precise token selection, and the Domain-Aware Router assigns per-sample expert weights using texture-sensitive cues. To curb confirmation bias on unlabeled streams and stabilize supervision, we then introduce Domain-Adaptive On-Policy Distillation to constitute MoASE++, with an EMA-anchored on-policy reverse KL distillation and an augmentation policy conditioned on entropy and confidence that aligns predictions across the same views and improves the robustness-plasticity balance. Extensive experiments on classification (CIFAR-10/100-C, ImageNet-C) and semantic segmentation (Cityscapes->ACDC) demonstrate consistent state-of-the-art performance, offering a principled, controllable approach to continual adaptation in dynamic visual environments.

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures enable efficient model scaling, yet expert routing behavior across underrepresented languages remains poorly understood. We analyze routing dynamics in two architecturally distinct MoE models -- a pure Transformer (Qwen3-30B-A3B) and a hybrid Mamba-Transformer (Nemotron-3-Nano-30B-A3B) -- using Hebrew as a morphologically rich, low-resource testbed. Both pre-trained models exhibit \emph{deep-layer routing collapse}: usage entropy drops sharply in final layers and tokens concentrate on a narrow expert subset, a pattern largely absent for English. Continual pre-training (CPT) on balanced bilingual data substantially corrects this imbalance, increasing entropy and shifting routing toward shared, language-agnostic experts; supervised fine-tuning (SFT) alone achieves less complete correction. Extending the analysis to Japanese reveals quantitatively consistent collapse signatures, providing cross-linguistic evidence that the phenomenon is a systematic consequence of pre-training underrepresentation rather than any language-intrinsic property. Routing improvements correlate with consistent downstream benchmark gains, positioning routing entropy and expert specialization as principled diagnostics for multilingual capacity in MoE systems.

As language models scale, the amount of data they require grows -- yet many target data sources, such as low-resource languages or specialized domains, are inherently limited in size. A common strategy is to mix this scarce but valuable target data with abundant generic data, which presents a fundamental trade-off: too little target data in the mixture underexposes the model to the target domain, while too much target data repeats the same examples excessively, yielding diminishing returns and eventual overfitting. We study this trade-off across more than 2,000 language-model training runs spanning multiple model and target dataset sizes, as well as several data types, including multilingual, domain-specific, and quality-filtered mixtures. Across all settings, we find that repetition is a central driver of target-domain performance, and that mixture training tolerates much higher repetition than single-source training: scarce target corpora can be reused 15-20 times, with the optimal number of repetitions depending on the target data size, compute budget, and model scale. Next, we introduce a repetition-aware mixture scaling law that accounts for the decreasing value of repeated target tokens and the regularizing role of generic data. Optimizing the scaling law provides a principled way to compute effective mixture configurations, yielding practical mixture recommendations for pretraining under data constraints.

Video generation models offer a promising imagination mechanism for robot manipulation by predicting long-horizon future observations, but effectively exploiting these imagined futures for action execution remains challenging. Existing approaches either condition policies on predicted frames or directly decode generated videos into actions, both suffering from a mismatch between visual realism and control relevance. As a result, predicted observations emphasize perceptual fidelity rather than action-centric causes of state transitions, leading to indirect and unstable control. To address this gap, we propose MoLA (Mixture of Latent Actions), a control-oriented interface that transforms imagined future videos into executable representations. Instead of passing predicted frames directly to the policy, MoLA leverages a mixture of pretrained inverse dynamics models to infer a mixture of latent actions implied by generated visual transitions. These modality-aware inverse dynamics models capture complementary semantic, depth, and flow cues, providing a structured and physically grounded action representation that bridges video imagination and policy execution. We evaluate our approach on simulated benchmarks (LIBERO, CALVIN, and LIBERO-Plus) and real-world robot manipulation tasks, achieving consistent gains in task success, temporal consistency, and generalization.

All-in-one image restoration seeks to recover clean images from inputs affected by diverse and unknown degradations using a unified framework. Recent methods have shown strong performance by identifying degradation characteristics to guide the restoration process. However, many of them treat degradations as discrete categories, which limits their ability to model the continuous relational structure that arises in composite degradations. To address this issue, we propose a multimodal large language model (MLLM)-guided image restoration framework that exploits multimodal embeddings as guidance for low-level restoration. Specifically, MLLM-derived features are injected into an encoder-decoder architecture through an MLLM-guided fusion block (MGFB) to enhance degradation-aware representations. In addition, we incorporate a mixture-of-frequency-experts (MoFE) module that adaptively combines frequency experts using MLLM-guided contextual cues. To further improve expert routing, we design an MLLM-guided router with a relational alignment loss that encourages routing patterns consistent with the embedding-space relationships of degraded inputs. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmarks show that the proposed method achieves strong performance across diverse restoration settings and establishes a new state of the art on the challenging CDD11 dataset, outperforming previous methods by up to 1.35 dB.

Standard Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) transformers route tokens to expert subnetworks within each layer, but the layer structure itself remains monolithic. We introduce Mixture of Layers (MoL), which replaces full-width transformer blocks (d_model) with K parallel thin blocks at reduced dimensionality (d_thin << d_model), connected via learned down/up projections and composed via top-k block routing. Scaling sparse block routing to many blocks creates an attention coverage problem, as each block sees fewer tokens. We address this by introducing hybrid attention, which pairs one shared softmax block for global context with Gated DeltaNet linear attention in routed blocks.

Timbre transfer aims to modify the timbral identity of a musical recording while preserving the original melody and rhythm. While single-instrument timbre transfer has made substantial progress, existing approaches to multi-instrument settings rely on separate-then-transfer pipelines that propagate source separation artifacts and produce incoherent synthesized timbres across stems. This paper proposes MixtureTT, to the best of our knowledge the first system for flexible per-stem timbre transfer directly from a polyphonic mixture. Given a mixture and a separate timbre reference for each target voice, MixtureTT jointly transfers all stems to the specified instruments through a shared diffusion process. Modeling the dependencies across the per-stem content and cross-stem harmonic, the proposed joint stem diffusion transformer eliminates cascaded separation error, reduces inference cost by a factor equal to the number of stems, and yields more coherent multi-stem outputs. Despite operating under a strictly harder input condition, evaluations on the SATB choral dataset show that MixtureTT outperforms single-instrument baselines on both objective and subjective metrics demonstrating the necessity of dedicated multi-instrument timbre transfer over the naive separate-then-transfer pipelines. As a result, this work confirms that the cross-stem modeling is essential for mixture-level timbre transfer as the proposed joint setting consistently exceeds an equivalent single-stem ablation.

Multiple technologies that measure expression levels of protein mixtures in the human body offer a potential for detection and understanding the disease. The recent increase of these technologies prompts researchers to evaluate the individual and combined utility of data generated by the technologies. In this work, we study two data sources to measure the expression of protein mixtures in the human body: whole-sample MS profiling and multiplexed protein arrays. We investigate the individual and combined utility of these technologies by learning and testing a variety of classification models on the data from a pancreatic cancer study. We show that for the combination of these two (heterogeneous) datasets, classification models that work well on one of them individually fail on the combination of the two datasets. We study and propose a class of model fusion methods that acknowledge the differences and try to reap most of the benefits from their combination.

Many biological systems evolve through continuous local dynamics while switching between latent regimes defined by learning, stimulus context, internal state, or developmental stage. These processes are often observed only as unpaired longitudinal snapshots: the same cells, neurons, or animals are not tracked as matched trajectories, even though population states are sampled across successive stages. This creates two coupled challenges. First, trajectories must respect curved low-dimensional manifolds embedded in high-dimensional biological measurements. Second, the model must identify when the transport mechanism itself changes. We introduce FLUX (FLow matching for Unpaired longitudinal data with miXture-of-experts), a geometry-aware longitudinal flow-matching framework for joint transport modeling and unsupervised regime discovery. FLUX learns a data-dependent metric from pooled labeled and unlabeled observations, uses that metric to construct geometry-aware conditional paths between adjacent marginals, and decomposes the resulting velocity field into sparse expert vector fields selected by a Straight-Through Gumbel-Softmax router. Across manifold controls, a regime-switching Lorenz system, widefield cortical calcium imaging during associative learning, and embryoid body single-cell differentiation, FLUX reconstructs longitudinal transport while recovering interpretable regime structure. Ablations show that mixture-of-experts routing alone is insufficient: FLUX without geometric learning can fit local transport but fails or weakens regime discovery when regimes are encoded in local dynamics. These results suggest that geometry-aware velocity decomposition provides a general strategy for discovering latent biological state transitions from unpaired longitudinal snapshots.

Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture has become the standard for state-of-the-art large language models, owing to its computational efficiency through sparse expert activation. However, sparsity through finer expert granularity is becoming increasingly difficult to achieve due to fundamental training challenges such as expert collapse and load imbalance. In this work, we explore and leverage intra-expert activation sparsity as a complementary and underexplored dimension of sparsity in MoE models. Surprisingly, substantial intra-expert sparsity is readily available in existing pre-trained MoE models, without any modification to the activation function or model parameters, providing up to 90% sparsity within each expert without significant accuracy loss. We explore intra-expert activation sparsity across eight off-the-shelf MoE models ranging from 1B to 400B parameters, and extend the MoE execution pipeline of vLLM to leverage intra-expert activation sparsity by skipping the computations of inactive neurons, on top of its existing optimizations, achieving up to 2.5 times speedup in MoE layer execution and 1.2 times end-to-end speedup compared to the original dense vLLM baseline.

Large language models are typically deployed as monolithic systems, requiring the full model even when applications need only a narrow subset of capabilities, e.g., code, math, or domain-specific knowledge. Mixture-of-Experts (MoEs) seemingly offer a potential alternative by activating only a subset of experts per input, but in practice, restricting inference to a subset of experts for a given domain leads to severe performance degradation. This limits their practicality in memory-constrained settings, especially as models grow larger and sparser. We introduce EMO, an MoE designed for modularity-the independent use and composition of expert subsets-without requiring human-defined priors. Our key idea is to encourage tokens from similar domains to rely on similar experts. Since tokens within a document often share a domain, EMO restricts them to select experts from a shared pool, while allowing different documents to use different pools. This simple constraint enables coherent expert groupings to emerge during pretraining using document boundaries alone. We pretrain a 1B-active, 14B-total EMO on 1T tokens. As a full model, it matches standard MoE performance. Crucially, it enables selective expert use: retaining only 25% (12.5%) of experts incurs just a 1% (3%) absolute drop, whereas standard MoEs break under the same setting. We further find that expert subsets in EMO specialize at semantic levels (e.g., domains such as math or code), in contrast to the low-level syntactic specialization observed in standard MoEs. Altogether, our results demonstrate a path toward modular, memory-efficient deployment of large, sparse models and open new opportunities for composable architectures.

Channel state information (CSI)-based human activity recognition (HAR) is vulnerable to performance degradation under domain shifts across varying physical environments. Continual learning (CL) offers a principled way to learn new domains sequentially while preserving past knowledge, but existing CL solutions for CSI-based HAR scale poorly with accumulating domains, rely on a large replay buffer, or incur linearly growing inference cost. In this letter, we propose Scene-Adaptive Mixture of Experts with Clustered Specialists (SAMoE-C), which formulates cross-domain CSI-based HAR as a mixture-of-experts system that enables scene-specific adaptation, via an attention-based semantic router that activates only selected experts for each input. Moreover, we develop a novel training protocol, which requires only a tiny replay buffer for stabilizing domain discrimination of the router. Experimental results on a four-scene CSI dataset demonstrate that SAMoE-C approaches the state-of-the-art accuracy, while maintaining a significantly lower inference cost. By jointly combining modular experts, selective activation with router and a lightweight training protocol, SAMoE-C enables scalable cross-domain CSI-based HAR deployment with low training overhead and high computational efficiency in real-world settings.

In the modern age of large-scale AI, federated learning has become an increasingly important tool for training large populations of AI agents; however, its computational and communication costs can rapidly fail to scale with the number of agents. This is precisely where decentralized agentic strategies shine: each agent acts autonomously, using only its own state together with a minimal summary of the ensemble, namely the mean-field. We derive the unique optimal decentralized policy in closed form. Optimality is characterized through a worst-client/minimax criterion: minimizing the under-performer regret, namely the maximal online cost incurred by the weakest agent in the ensemble. We further prove that the resulting decentralized policy asymptotically converges, in the large-population limit, to the Nash-optimal centralized policy, whose direct computation is not scalable. We use an online weighting mechanism to optimize the server-computed mixture of client predictions, thereby improving the mean prediction in addition to the previously optimized weakest-client prediction. Numerical experiments verify our theoretical guarantees and demonstrate that our decentralized policy typically outperforms natural greedy decentralized baselines.

We study the problem of approximating the total variation distance between two mixtures of product distributions over an $n$-dimensional discrete domain. Given two mixtures $\mathbb{P}$ and $\mathbb{Q}$ with $k_1$ and $k_2$ product distributions over $[q]^n$, respectively, we give a randomized algorithm that approximates $d_{\mathrm{TV}}\left({\mathbb{P}},{\mathbb{Q}}\right)$ within a multiplicative error of $(1\pm \varepsilon)$ in time $\mathrm{poly}((nq)^{k_1+k_2},1/\varepsilon)$. We also study the special case of mixtures of Boolean subcubes over $\{0,1\}^n$. For this class, we give a deterministic algorithm that exactly computes the total variation distance in time $\mathrm{poly}(n,2^{O(k_1+k_2)})$, and show that exact computation is $\#\mathsf{P}$-hard when $k_1+k_2=Θ(n)$.

Continual semantic segmentation requires models to adapt to new domains or modalities without sacrificing performance on previously learned tasks. Expert-based learning, in which task-specific modules specialize in different domains, has proven effective in mitigating forgetting. These methods include dynamic expansion, which suffers from scalability issues, or parameter isolation, which constrains the ability to learn new tasks. We introduce Mixture of Incremental LoRA Experts (MILE), a modular and parameter-efficient framework for continual segmentation across both domains and modalities. MILE leverages Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) to instantiate lightweight experts for each new task while keeping the pretrained base network frozen. Each expert is trained exclusively on its task data, thus avoids overwriting previously learned information. A prototype-guided gating mechanism dynamically selects the most appropriate expert at inference. MILE achieves the benefits of expert-based learning while overcoming its scalability limitations. It requires only a marginal parameter increase per task and tens of LoRA adapters are needed before matching the size of a single full model, making it highly efficient in both training and storage. Across domain- and modality-incremental benchmarks, MILE achieves strong performance while ensuring better stability, plasticity, and scalability.

Structure aware graph generation aims to generate graphs that satisfy given topological properties. It has applications in domains such as drug discovery, social network modeling, and knowledge graph construction. Unlike existing methods that only provide coarse control over graph properties, we introduce a novel conditional variational autoencoder for fine-grained structural control in graph generation. The approach refines the decoder's latent space by dynamically aligning graph- and property-driven representations to improve both graph fidelity and control satisfaction. Specifically, the approach implements a mixture scheduler that progressively integrates graph and control priors. Experiments on five real-world datasets show the efficacy of the proposed model compared to recent baselines, achieving high generation quality while maintaining high controllability.

Model ensembling is a well-established technique for improving the performance of machine learning models. Conventionally, this involves averaging the output distributions of multiple models and selecting the most probable label. This idea has been naturally extended to large language models (LLMs), yielding improved performance but incurring substantial computational cost. This inefficiency stems from directly applying conventional ensemble implementation to LLMs, which require a separate forward pass for each model to explicitly compute the ensemble distribution. In this paper, we propose the Mixture-model-like Ensemble (ME). By reinterpreting the ensemble as a mixture model, ME stochastically selects a single model at each step to generate the next token, thereby avoiding the need to explicitly compute the full ensemble distribution. ME is mathematically equivalent to sampling from the ensemble distribution, but requires invoking only one model, making it 1.78x-2.68x faster than conventional ensembling. Furthermore, this perspective connects LLM ensembling and token-level routing methods, suggesting that LLM ensembling is a special case of routing methods. Our findings open new avenues for efficient LLM ensembling and motivate further exploration of token-level routing strategies for LLMs. Our code is available at https://github.com/Kamichanw/Mixture-model-like-Ensemble.

The rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) industry has produced diverse yet powerful prediction tools, each with its own network architecture, training strategy, data-processing pipeline, and domain-specific strengths. These tools create new opportunities for semi-supervised inference, in which labeled data are limited and expensive to obtain, whereas unlabeled data are abundant and widely available. Given a collection of predictors, we treat them as a mixture of experts (MOE) and introduce an MOE-powered semi-supervised inference framework built upon prediction-powered inference (PPI). Motivated by the variance reduction principle underlying PPI, the proposed framework seeks the mixture of experts that achieves the smallest possible variance. Compared with standard PPI, the MOE-powered inference framework adapts to the unknown performance of individual predictors, benefits from their collective predictive power, and enjoys a best-expert guarantee. The framework is flexible and applies to mean estimation, linear regression, quantile estimation, and general M-estimation. We develop non-asymptotic theory for the MOE-powered inference framework and establish upper bounds on the coverage error of the resulting confidence intervals. Numerical experiments demonstrate the practical effectiveness of MOE-powered inference and corroborate our theoretical findings.

First-principles atomistic simulations are essential for understanding complex material phenomena but are fundamentally limited by their computational cost. While Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIPs) have drastically improved cost for a given accuracy, their inference cost remains a bottleneck for massive systems or long timescales. To address this, we introduce a multifidelity "Mixture-of-Experts" framework based on the E(3)-equivariant Allegro architecture. Our method spatially partitions the simulation domain into a chemically complex region (e.g., reactive interfaces) and a simple region (e.g., bulk lattice), assigning models of varying capacity to each. Among the challenges in such static domain decomposition, the mechanical mismatch between models at the interface is particularly critical, as it can generate artificial stress fields and instability. We address this challenge with a co-training strategy in which the loss function includes agreement constraints -- penalties on per-atom energy and force discrepancies between models evaluated on shared bulk environments -- forcing the independent models to learn a consistent physical description of the bulk material. We validate this approach on a realistic Pt+CO catalytic system, demonstrating that the co-trained models maintain exact energy conservation, align their bulk mechanical response (e.g., equation of state and bulk modulus), and achieve predictive accuracy comparable to a full high-fidelity simulation at more than twice the computational speed.

Bayesian finite mixture models can identify discrete risk clusters (low-risk vs. high-risk equipment), but face three critical bottlenecks: (1) insufficient degradation signals from coarse state discretization, (2) unstable cluster identification when data inherently supports fewer clusters than explored, and (3) computational infeasibility of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for production deployment (7+ hours per model). We propose a practical framework combining (1) 8-state global percentile discretization that amplifies degradation events, (2) 30-dimensional feature engineering integrating statistical trends (22 features), continuous health indicators, and text embeddings (PCA-compressed to 3 dimensions), (3) interpretable model selection rules enforcing minimum cluster share and separation alongside WAIC, and (4) Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) with full-rank covariance for stable, fast estimation. Applied to 280 industrial pump equipment with 104,703 inspection records, we demonstrate: (1) Random effect models (baseline) show ADVI and NUTS produce nearly identical estimates with 15$\times$ speedup, validating ADVI accuracy. (2) Finite mixture models identify optimal number of clusters with interpretability constraints. (3) NUTS exhibits severe convergence issues and label switching, while ADVI provides stable results in 84$\times$ less time. We contributed that (1) First demonstration that fine-grained state discretization (8-state) is essential for mixture model stability in survival analysis.(2) Comprehensive feature engineering strategy combining statistical, continuous, and semantic signals. (3) Practical interpretability rules preventing overfitting in automated model selection. (4) Empirical evidence that ADVI outperforms NUTS for finite mixture models in terms of convergence, stability, and computational efficiency.

Large Language Models (LLMs) based on Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) are pivotal in industrial applications for their ability to scale performance efficiently. However, standard MoEs enforce uniform expert sizes,creating a rigidity that fails to align computational costs with varying token-level complexity. While heterogeneous expert architectures attempt to address this by diversifying expert sizes, they often suffer from significant system-level challenges, specifically unbalanced GPU utilization and inefficient parameter utilization, which hinder practical deployment. To bridge the gap between theoretical heterogeneity and robust industrial application, we propose Mixture of Heterogeneous Grouped Experts (MoHGE) which introduces a two-level routing mechanism to enable flexible, resource-aware expert combinations. To optimize inference efficiency, we propose a Group-Wise Auxiliary Loss, which dynamically steers tokens to the most parameter-efficient expert groups based on task difficulty. To address the critical deployment challenge of GPU load balancing, we introduce an All-size Group-decoupling Allocation strategy coupled with an Intra-Group Experts Auxiliary Loss. These mechanisms collectively ensure uniform computation distribution across GPUs. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that MoHGE matches the performance of MoE architectures while reducing the total parameters by approximately 20% and maintaining balanced GPU utilization. Our work establishes a scalable paradigm for resource-efficient MoE design, offering a practical solution for optimizing inference costs in real-world scenarios. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/UnicomAI/MoHGE.

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models provide a structured approach to combining specialized neural networks and offer greater interpretability than conventional ensembles. While MoEs have been successfully applied to image classification and semantic segmentation, their use in object detection remains limited due to challenges in merging dense and structured predictions. In this work, we investigate model-level mixtures of object detectors and analyze their suitability for improving performance and interpretability in object detection. We propose an MoE architecture that combines YOLO-based detectors trained on semantically disjoint data subsets, with a learned gating network that dynamically weights expert contributions. We study different strategies for fusing detection outputs and for training the gating mechanism, including balancing losses to prevent expert collapse. Experiments on the BDD100K dataset demonstrate that the proposed MoE consistently outperforms standard ensemble approaches and provides insights into expert specialization across domains, highlighting model-level MoEs as a viable alternative to traditional ensembling for object detection. Our code is available at https://github.com/KASTEL-MobilityLab/mixtures-of-experts/.

Classical mixture models (MMs) are widely used tractable proposals for approximate inference settings such as variational inference (VI) and importance sampling (IS). Recently, mixture models with negative coefficients, called subtractive mixture models (SMMs), have been proposed as a potentially more expressive alternative. However, how to effectively use SMMs for VI and IS is still an open question as they do not provide latent variable semantics and therefore cannot use sampling schemes for classical MMs. In this work, we study how to circumvent this issue by designing several expectation estimators for IS and learning schemes for VI with SMMs, and we empirically evaluate them for distribution approximation. Finally, we discuss the additional challenges in estimation stability and learning efficiency that they carry and propose ways to overcome them. Code is available at: https://github.com/april-tools/delta-vi.

We present a Mixture-of-Experts-based foundation model applied to the GlueX DIRC detector at Jefferson Lab, demonstrating its utility as a unified framework for fast simulation, particle identification, and hit-level noise filtering of Cherenkov photons. By leveraging a single shared transformer backbone across all tasks, the approach eliminates the fragmentation of task-specific pipelines while maintaining competitive-and in several cases superior-performance relative to established methods. The model operates directly on low-level detector inputs, performing hit-by-hit autoregressive generation over split spatial and temporal vocabularies with continuous kinematic conditioning, and supports class-conditional generation of pions and kaons through its Mixture-of-Experts architecture. We benchmark against the standard geometrical reconstruction and prior deep learning methods across the full kinematic phase space of the GlueX DIRC, demonstrating that the foundation model framework transfers effectively to this detector without architectural modification. This work positions the foundation model as a practical and scalable alternative to the suite of task-specific models currently proposed for GlueX DIRC analysis.

Efficient selection among multiple generative models is increasingly important in modern generative AI, where sampling from suboptimal models is costly. This problem can be viewed as a multi-armed bandit (MAB) task. Under diversity-aware evaluation scores, a non-degenerate mixture of generators can outperform any individual model, distinguishing this MAB setting from classical best-arm identification. Prior approaches incorporate an Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) exploration bonus into the mixture objective. However, across multiple datasets and evaluation metrics, we observe that the UCB term consistently slows convergence and reduces sample efficiency. In contrast, a simple Mixture-Greedy strategy without explicit UCB-type optimism converges faster and achieves even better performance, particularly for widely used metrics such as FID and Vendi where tight confidence bounds are difficult to construct. We provide theoretical insight explaining this behavior: under structural conditions, diversity-aware objectives induce implicit exploration by favoring interior mixtures, leading to sampling of all arms and sublinear regret guarantees for diversity-based objectives. These results suggest that in diversity-aware multi-armed bandits, e.g., for generative model selection, exploration can arise intrinsically from the objective's geometry.

While Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) have achieved notable progress in video generation, this long-sequence generation task remains constrained by the quadratic complexity inherent to self-attention mechanisms, creating significant barriers to practical deployment. Although sparse attention methods attempt to address this challenge, existing approaches either rely on oversimplified static patterns or require computationally expensive sampling operations to achieve dynamic sparsity, resulting in inaccurate pattern predictions and degraded generation quality. To overcome these limitations, we propose a \underline{\textbf{M}}ixture-\underline{\textbf{O}}f-\underline{\textbf{D}}istribution \textbf{DiT} (\textbf{MOD-DiT}), a novel sampling-free dynamic attention framework that accurately models evolving attention patterns through a two-stage process. First, MOD-DiT leverages prior information from early denoising steps and adopts a {distributed mixing approach} to model an efficient linear approximation model, which is then used to predict mask patterns for a specific denoising interval. Second, an online block masking strategy dynamically applies these predicted masks while maintaining historical sparsity information, eliminating the need for repetitive sampling operations. Extensive evaluations demonstrate consistent acceleration and quality improvements across multiple benchmarks and model architectures, validating MOD-DiT's effectiveness for efficient, high-quality video generation while overcoming the computational limitations of traditional sparse attention approaches.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly multilingual, yet open models continue to underperform relative to proprietary systems, with the gap most pronounced for African languages. Continued pre-training (CPT) offers a practical route to language adaptation, but improvements on demanding capabilities such as mathematical reasoning often remain limited. This limitation is driven in part by the uneven domain coverage and missing task-relevant knowledge that characterize many low-resource language corpora. We present \texttt{AfriqueLLM}, a suite of open LLMs adapted to 20 African languages through CPT on 26B tokens. We perform a comprehensive empirical study across five base models spanning sizes and architectures, including Llama 3.1, Gemma 3, and Qwen 3, and systematically analyze how CPT data composition shapes downstream performance. In particular, we vary mixtures that include math, code, and synthetic translated data, and evaluate the resulting models on a range of multilingual benchmarks. Our results identify data composition as the primary driver of CPT gains. Adding math, code, and synthetic translated data yields consistent improvements, including on reasoning-oriented evaluations. Within a fixed architecture, larger models typically improve performance, but architectural choices dominate scale when comparing across model families. Moreover, strong multilingual performance in the base model does not reliably predict post-CPT outcomes; robust architectures coupled with task-aligned data provide a more dependable recipe. Finally, our best models improve long-context performance, including document-level translation. Models and code have been released on Huggingface and Github.

Enabling lifelong learning in LLMs demands resolving the stability-plasticity dilemma (i.e., models must incorporate new knowledge without overwriting prior representations) while maintaining scalability under bounded parameter growth. Existing PEFT methods fail to satisfy this triad; shared-parameter approaches suffer from catastrophic interference, while task-isolated expansions preclude knowledge transfer and scale linearly. We propose Mixtures of SubExperts (MoSEs), a modular and sparse framework that factorizes model capacity into reusable, compositional primitives. MoSEs augment transformer layers with lightweight SubExperts and a learned sub-routing function that dynamically selects and composes a sparse subset of modules conditioned on task inputs. This induces a structured decomposition of the parameter space where knowledge is localized yet accessible, mitigating interference while preserving reuse. Specifically, MoSEs balance the dilemma via three pillars: (i) stability by isolating knowledge within sparsely activated modules, (ii) plasticity through routing-driven recombination and selective expansion, and (iii) scalability via sublinear growth in effective capacity. Notably, the routing mechanism enables compositional generalization, allowing new tasks to be represented as combinations of previously acquired sub-functions. We empirically validate MoSEs on TRACE and SuperNI, showing reduced forgetting, improved forward transfer, and better parameter efficiency over strong PEFT baselines. MoSEs establish a new Pareto frontier, achieving state-of-the-art performance while maintaining strict parameter budgets. Our results suggest that modular sparsity and compositional routing are key inductive biases for building foundation models that continually learn without saturation.

Mixture models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used in machine learning to represent complex data distributions. A key challenge, especially in high-dimensional settings, is to determine the mixture order and estimate the mixture parameters. We study the problem of approximating a target measure, available only through finitely many of its moments, by a mixture of distributions from a parametric family (e.g., Gaussian, exponential, Poisson), with approximation quality measured by the 2-Wasserstein or the total variation distance. Unlike many existing approaches, the parameter set is not assumed to be finite; it is modeled as a compact basic semi-algebraic set. We introduce a hierarchy of semidefinite relaxations with asymptotic convergence to the desired optimal value. In addition, when a certain rank condition is satisfied, the convergence is even finite and recovery of an optimal mixing measure is obtained. We also present an application to clustering, where our framework serves either as a stand-alone method or as a preprocessing step that yields both the number of clusters and strong initial parameter estimates, thereby accelerating convergence of standard (local) clustering algorithms.

We evaluate methods for causal representation learning (CRL) on a simple, real-world system that satisfies the basic problem setup of CRL. The system consists of a controlled optical experiment producing a variety of measurements where the underlying causal factors---the control inputs to the experiment---are known, providing a ground truth. We select methods representative of different approaches to CRL and find that they all fail to consistently recover the underlying causal factors. To understand the failure modes of the evaluated algorithms, we perform an ablation on the data by substituting the real data-generating process with a simpler synthetic equivalent. The results reveal a reproducibility problem, as most methods already fail on this synthetic ablation despite its simple data-generating process. Additionally, we observe that common assumptions on the mixing function are crucial for the performance of some of the methods but do not hold in the real data. Our efforts highlight the contrast between the theoretical promise of the state of the art and the challenges in its application. We hope the benchmark serves as a simple, real-world sanity check to further develop and validate methodol- ogy, bridging the gap towards CRL methods that work in practice.

Causal discovery aims to learn causal structures up to certain symmetries. Diverse populations or changing environments give rise to heterogeneous data in the following sense: each population/environment is a ``source'' which idiosyncratically determines the forms of causal effects. From this perspective, the source is a latent common cause for every observed variable. While some methods for causal discovery can work around latent confounding in special cases, a global confounder poses a significant challenge. The only known ways to deal with latent global confounding involve making assumptions that limit structural equations and/or noise functions. We demonstrate that globally confounded causal structures can still be identified with arbitrary structural equations and noise functions, so long as the number of latent classes remains small relative to the size and sparsity of the underlying DAG. The approach relies on agglomerating variables into large-enough matrices of moments, whose ranks directly reveal graphical properties of the causal structure. We also provide a statistical test to test the rank of these matrices.

Mixtures of experts (MoE) are conditional mixture models in which both the mixing proportions and the component densities depend on the predictors, and are widely used for regression, classification and model-based clustering of heterogeneous data. Fitting MoE by maximum likelihood becomes unstable, and sometimes infeasible, when the predictors are numerous or correlated. We propose a regularized maximum likelihood framework for simultaneous parameter estimation and feature selection in MoE whose experts belong to the generalized linear model family, covering Gaussian, Poisson and multinomial responses within a single formulation. Sparsity is induced in both the gating network and the experts through $\ell_1$ penalties, and the penalized log-likelihood is maximized by a proximal Newton-EM algorithm whose M-step reduces to weighted Lasso problems with closed-form coordinate-ascent updates. Unlike existing penalized MoE procedures, the algorithm requires neither a local quadratic approximation of the penalty nor any matrix inversion, it returns exactly sparse estimates without thresholding, and a proximal Newton-type variant guarantees a monotone increase of the penalized objective at every iteration. On simulated data and five real data sets, the method recovers the actual sparsity support and delivers prediction and clustering accuracy that is competitive with, and often better than, state-of-the-art regularized MoE. The source codes of our developed algorithms and their documentation are publicly available on Github at https://github.com/nv-thin/GLM-RMoE.

Real-world time series exhibit complex and evolving dynamics, making accurate forecasting extremely challenging. Recent multi-modal forecasting methods leverage textual information such as news reports to improve prediction, but most rely on token-level fusion that mixes temporal patches with language tokens in a shared embedding space. However, such fusion can be ill-suited when high-quality time-text pairs are scarce and when time series exhibit substantial variation in characteristics, thus complicating cross-modal alignment. In parallel, mixture-of-experts (MoE) architectures have proven effective for both time series modeling and multi-modal learning, yet many existing MoE-based modality integration methods still depend on token-level fusion. To address this, we propose Expert Modulation, a new mechanism for multi-modal time series prediction that conditions both routing and expert computation on textual signals, enabling direct and efficient cross-modal control over expert behavior. Through theoretical analysis and experiments, our proposed method demonstrates strong improvements in multi-modal time series prediction. The current code implementation is available at https://github.com/BruceZhangReve/MoME