Online Learning

Continual learning that is gradient-free, local, online, and append-only is attractive for edge and streaming deployment, but its value is usually argued informally. We give a provable account on recurring-regime streams. Given segmentation, a warm-start library learner attains amortized recovery cost $O\!\big(KD/\varepsilon^2+(R-K)\logK/Δ^2\big)$ versus a memoryless re-estimator's $Θ(RD/\varepsilon^2)$, an advantage $(R-K)\,Θ(D/\varepsilon^2)$ growing with dimension $D$ and recurrence density. The mechanism is a decoupling: recognizing which of $K$ seen regimes is active costs $O(\log K/Δ^2)$, independent of $D$, whereas estimating a regime costs $Θ(D/\varepsilon^2)$. We prove this is tight: matching lower bounds give recognition $Θ(\log K/Δ^2)$ and a memoryless-class bound $Ω(RD/\varepsilon^2)$, so each term is individually minimax-tight (the joint statement is conditional). The separation is born-immune (a memoryless learner's advantage is identically zero) and paradigm-level: it matches, and does not beat, a fair spawn-capable Bayesian baseline; the contribution is attaining this cost structure without end-to-end backprop and with zero forgetting by construction. A count-calibrated variant ties the baseline's leading constant up to a bounded, never-negative per-recurrence overshoot, hyperparameter-free and with no per-step transcendentals. We bound the scope: recognizable regimes are capped by simplex packing (walls $e^{Θ(D)}$); autonomous segmentation is impossible at the packing wall (no detector escapes the false-alarm/delay frontier as regimes overlap); the advantage vanishes under overlap. The dimension-dependent separation is corroborated on synthetic streams and real $k$-mer genome distributions (memoryless cost $\propto D^{1.04}$, recognition $D$-independent); the one real sequential stream sits in the $D{=}1$ near-null corner.

NeuroEvolution of Augmenting Topologies (NEAT) is a widely used neuroevolution algorithm for learning neural network architectures and weights for control tasks. However, standard offline optimisation searches for connection strengths directly, which can scale poorly in high-dimensional weight spaces and more difficult continuous control problems. Hybrid methods that combine neuroevolution with online learning can address this challenge, but their theoretical properties remain underexplored. This paper gives the first regret analysis for a general NeuroEvolutionary Online Learning (NEOL) framework, which decouples learning into two timescales: an outer loop for architecture search and an inner loop for online weight adaptation via rewardmodulated plasticity. Under mild conditions, we prove that NEOL achieves sublinear regret. Empirically, under fixed interaction budgets on four standard control benchmarks, a NEAT-based NEOL implementation achieves higher final fitness and lower variance than pure NEAT, and is competitive with strong reinforcement learning (RL) baselines on several tasks. The results are supported byWilcoxon rank-sum tests and ablation studies. Overall, the findings show that online plasticity can improve the sample efficiency and robustness of two-timescale neuroevolution. Code is available at https://github.com/boobaa2001/NeuroEvolution Online Learning NEOL.

We study Online Convex Optimization (OCO) over a convex set $K\subseteq \mathbb R^d$, where in each round $t$ the learner selects $x_t\in K$ and then observes a convex loss $f_t:K\to[0,1]$, with the goal of minimizing regret to the best fixed decision in hindsight. We introduce a unified probing model that generalizes two recent lines of work: sublinear best-expert queries in the experts setting, and pairwise (comparison-based) feedback available every round in OCO. In our framework, the learner has a budget of $k\le T$ pairwise probes; on a probed round it may query two points and learn which one has smaller loss. Our main result shows that even a sublinear and noisy probe budget can provably improve worst-case regret in the full feedback OCO regime. With $k$ $δ$-noisy pairwise probes, we obtain: $\text{Reg}_T \le O\left(\min\left\{\sqrt{dT\ln T},\; \frac{dT\ln T}{k|1-2δ|}\right\}\right)$, which is tight (up to logarithmic factors in $T$) across $T$, $k$ and $δ$. Specifically regarding the noise parameter $δ\in [0,1]$, the regret guarantee smoothly degrades as the oracle response approaches a coin flip, i.e., $δ$ is close to $\frac{1}{2}$. When applying the same techniques to a finite $K$ for the prediction with $d$ experts setting, the resulting rates are instead completely tight in all parameters, including $d$. Our analysis gives a streamlined treatment of pairwise probing in OCO by quantifying the benefit of probing via a variance reduction effect, combined with a second-order (variance-based) analysis of Continuous Exponential Weights.

Learning in biological multilayer neuronal networks offers insights that extend beyond the classical weighted-sum neuron model commonly used in artificial neural networks. This article presents an accessible guide to a mechanistic neuronal network model that more accurately captures aspects of biological computation while enabling a simple yet powerful mechanism for learning in multilayer neural networks. The proposed approach supports efficient online streamed learning and provides a practical alternative to backpropagation. We demonstrate its potential in an image classification task, achieving competitive classification performance. The approach's simplicity, biological grounding, and broad applicability highlight a promising path toward algorithms that unify mechanistic neuron models and machine learning.

Matrix-valued time series arise in a wide range of applications, such as spatio-temporal data from medical imaging and geophysics. Existing methods are mainly designed for static settings and lack adaptability to streaming and time-varying environments. Adaptive filtering techniques have also been largely limited to data with scalar or vector values, leaving adaptive forecasting for matrix-valued time series inadequately understood. To bridge these gaps, we develop an adaptive tensor regression framework that includes Matrix-on-Matrix (MoM) and Tensor-on-Matrix (ToM) formulations for streaming matrix-valued prediction. The two formulations differ in whether to directly model matrix-valued outputs or to exploit temporal structure via higher-order tensor representations. For the proposed tensor regression framework, we develop stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms for online learning. We show that stacking multiple responses across time into higher-order tensors improves performance; in particular, the ToM achieves lower steady-state error and stronger denoising capability than MoM, motivating our focus on the ToM model. We further characterize the tracking behavior of SGD under time-varying dynamics. From a statistical perspective, we establish fixed-time recovery guarantees for ToM under general low-dimensional structures, including sparsity, low-rankness, and their joint sparselow-rank models.

Adaptive beamforming is a cornerstone of array signal processing, yet its performance often collapses in the face of complex, rapidly changing interference. When interferers appear or move unpredictably, conventional estimators encounter a fundamental memory trade-off: short windows enable rapid tracking but suffer from high estimation variance, while long windows provide stable rejection but fail to adapt to shifts. This challenge is resolved by introducing the Universal Switching Beamformer (USB), which integrates competitive sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture. By employing a linear transition diagram, the USB implicitly maintains an exponentially large family of candidate covariance histories and dynamically re-weights them based on their cumulative output power. This mechanism allows the beamformer to automatically vary its effective memory length without explicit change detection or heuristic parameter tuning. A theoretical upper bound is proven on the regret relative to an omniscient oracle that selects the best piecewise-stationary covariance model in hindsight. Extensive simulations and experiments on the SwellEx-96 dataset demonstrate that the USB achieves the agility of short-window estimators and the precision of long-term integration, providing a principled solution for tracking highly non-stationary scenes.

Real-time data analysis requires the ability to accurately and adaptively address nonlinear dynamics in a nonstationary data stream while preserving computational efficiency. However, nonlinear dynamics are so complex that capturing dynamically changing nonlinear patterns and utilizing them for downstream tasks under strict time constraints is nontrivial. To bridge the gap between nonlinear complexity and computational tractability, this study applies Koopman operator theory, which states that nonlinear dynamics can be represented as linear transitions in an infinite-dimensional space. Building upon finite-dimensional approximations of this operator, we present AdaKoop, an efficient streaming algorithm for modeling nonlinear dynamics over nonstationary data streams. Our approach utilizes a probabilistic framework grounded in Koopman operator theory, treating both raw observations and reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) features as emissions from latent vectors. This dual-view formulation allows nonlinear dynamics to be expressed as a tractable linear system. Therefore, AdaKoop enables the efficient and stable modeling of nonlinear dynamics in a streaming fashion, avoiding the prohibitive computational costs of iterative nonlinear optimization. Furthermore, to address nonstationarity in data streams, AdaKoop adaptively detects the switching of patterns via statistical hypothesis testing for abrupt pattern shifts and incrementally updates model parameters to handle continuous changes. Extensive experiments on a total of 71 practical benchmark datasets across various domains demonstrate that AdaKoop outperforms state-of-the-art methods in terms of real-time forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency.

The deployment of modern machine learning (ML) solutions on resource-constrained edge devices highlights implementation challenges. This is especially true for extreme edge applications that include safety-critical components, such as autonomous navigation tasks. This paper demonstrates an artificial neural network (ANN) design leveraging Metal-Oxide Resistive RAM (RRAM) -based Analogue Content Addressable Memory (ACAM) as an efficient hardware substrate for performing metric-based classification and online adaptation on the edge. The proposed design is based on a custom Template piXeL (TXL) cell used for building the ACAM module, where each TXL cell acts as a configurable receptive field neuron. These cells employ a Radial Basis activation function to calculate the distance of an input from the programmed receptive field. The TXL can be organised into dense arrays for calculating the distance of a high-dimensional input against all stored prototypes, effectively performing fast and energy efficient similarity search. This hardware engine enables on-the-fly learning, where the receptive field parameters can be tuned to track domain shift. Through simulation of the proposed TXL-RBF classifier we can achieve 89.1% accuracy on the MNIST dataset while consuming 185fJ per cell per operation when operating at 10MHz.

Ultra Reliable and Low Latency Communications (URLLC) was one of the main motivations behind 5G, with 3GPP advertising 1-10 ms latency targets for applications such as industrial automation, Vehicle-To-Everything (V2X), tactical edge networking, and unmanned-system control. Years on, real 5G Time Division Duplexing (TDD) networks still show median Uplink (UL) round-trip times in the 50-70 ms range, largely because of the Scheduling Request (SR) procedure that a User Equipment (UE) must complete before transmitting UL data. Existing remedies, primarily Configured Grant (CG) scheduling, only eliminate this overhead for strictly periodic traffic and require cross-layer synchronization, which has limited their adoption. We propose AUGUSTE (Anticipatory Uplink Grants for URLLC via Self-Adapting Temporal Estimation), a learning-based Medium Access Control (MAC) scheduling framework that embeds online Machine Learning (ML) models in the UL scheduler to predict packet arrivals and proactively allocate resources before an SR is issued. An adaptive state machine alternates between a learning phase that collects unbiased arrival statistics and a confident phase that exploits the learned predictions to schedule only when traffic is expected. We evaluate AUGUSTE on a real 5G testbed running OpenAirInterface across three URLLC traffic patterns (request-response, ML edge inference, and periodic autonomous reporting), and show that it operates at the best achievable point on the latency-overhead trade-off: it matches always-on scheduling's median Round Trip Time (RTT) (around 10 ms, halving the 20 ms SR-based baseline) at roughly one-tenth its resource cost (7-10 percent overhead).

Recent advances in machine learning have produced probabilistic weather forecasting models comparable to state-of-the-art numerical weather predictors. But no model consistently dominates spatio-temporally, and relative performance is highly context-dependent. This motivates adaptive methods for combining multiple forecasts to obtain improvements and robustness. While combined forecasts have been proposed in the literature, these are achieved either through supervised learning or through prediction with expert advice methods. We introduce AdaWeather, an adaptive framework that combines many probabilistic forecasts using both machine learning as well as mixture of experts to arrive at a unified improved probabilistic forecast. While traditional expert methods develop the regret bounds with respect to the best single expert in hindsight, we extend the algorithm and analysis to show our method has logarithmic regret compared to the best static mixture of experts in hindsight. Empirically, we focus on forecasting temperature, and observe improvements over existing methods.

Efficiently serving large language model (LLM) inference tasks is crucial both for user-perceived latency such as time-to-first-token (TTFT) and for GPU utilization. However, LLM request routing, that is, assigning each inference request to a GPU instance, is particularly challenging: execution is highly input-dependent; batching and KV-cache reuse create strong cross-request coupling; and latency responds nonlinearly to context length, model/engine settings, and heterogeneous accelerators. As a result, simple traditional load balancing algorithms, and even heuristics tailored for LLM inference, fail to achieve good performance. We present Lodestar, a novel learning-based request routing system for distributed GPU clusters. Lodestar continuously collects a snapshot of the cluster at per-request level, including real-time instance state, request characteristics, and observed performance, and trains an online reward predictor that it uses to route inference requests to the instance that will maximize given reward (e.g., minimizing TTFT). Lodestar is cloud-native and works seamlessly with existing serving stacks (vLLM). With continuous online adaptation to changing workloads and infrastructure conditions, Lodestar achieves 1.41x lower average TTFT and 1.47x lower P99 TTFT on average (up to 2.15x/1.86x on homogeneous and 4.38x/4.42x on heterogeneous clusters) compared to a state-of-the-art prefix cache and load-aware heuristic, and learns these efficient routing strategies within about 5 minutes, based on experiments in a public cloud GPU cluster.

We study stochastic decision-theoretic online learning with full information and event-level pure differential privacy. A COLT open problem of Hu and Mehta asks to determine the optimal gap-dependent regret rate for stochastic decision-theoretic online learning under pure event-level differential privacy. For $K$ actions, losses in $[0,1]$, and a unique best action separated from the second-best action by gap $Δ_{\min}$, the known lower bound is of order $\frac{\log K}{\min\{Δ_{\min},\varepsilon\}},$ or equivalently, up to universal constants, of order $$\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}.$$ We give a horizon-free pure-DP algorithm and prove the explicit regret bound $$\operatorname{Reg}_T \le 1000 \cdot \left(\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}\right)$$ for every horizon $T$. The numerical constant is not optimized. The algorithm partitions time into blocks of exponentially increasing size, plays a single action throughout each block, and chooses the next action by an exponential mechanism applied to a data-independent random prefix of the previous block. The random prefix converts block regret into a sum, over all prefix lengths, of softmax selection errors. A single entropy-potential argument controls all privacy-dominated large-gap actions at cost $\log K/\varepsilon$.

Card payment fraud detection is usually framed as a supervised classification problem. Although this approach has generated practical progress, improvement has remained incremental despite major advances in model architecture. We argue that this is not mainly a failure of function approximation or optimization, but a consequence of structural information impairments inherent to the payment ecosystem. We formalize card authorization as a sequential decision problem with delayed, censored, corrupted, and counterfactually missing feedback. We derive a minimax regret lower bound showing that these impairments enter multiplicatively in the denominator of the achievable learning rate. The bound implies that improving issuer reporting quality or reducing censorship can yield larger reductions in the regret floor than increasing model complexity. We also show that heterogeneity across issuers worsens learnability beyond what average impairment rates suggest. The paper contributes a theory of why fraud detection in payment networks is fundamentally harder than in standard online learning settings, identifies ecosystem information quality as the key bottleneck, and provides a theoretical basis for prioritizing investments in reporting infrastructure, dispute process quality, and selective exploration. The paper is theory-first and does not rely on proprietary transaction data.

We study adversarial online learning with hidden-convex losses, i.e., nonconvex losses that become convex after a nonlinear reparameterization. Ghai, Lu and Hazan (2022) proved that, under geometric and smoothness assumptions, online gradient descent (OGD) on such nonconvex losses approximately simulates online mirror descent (OMD) on the underlying convex losses with a suitable regularizer, yielding $\mathcal{O}(T^{2/3})$ regret. They left open whether the optimal $Θ(\sqrt{T})$ regret from online convex optimization can be recovered in this hidden-convex setting. We answer this question affirmatively. More specifically, via a sharper discrete-time algorithmic equivalence argument, we prove that OGD achieves $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$ regret under the same assumptions, matching the optimal worst-case rate for adversarial online convex optimization. We also address another open question of Ghai, Lu and Hazan (2022) by clarifying the geometry required for this algorithmic equivalence. We replace the diagonal-Jacobian sufficient condition with a necessary-and-sufficient Hessian compatibility condition, thereby expanding the class of admissible reparameterizations. We complement our tight regret bound with a lower bound showing that the Hessian compatibility assumption is essential for OGD; when it fails, we construct a smooth reparameterization and an adversarial sequence of hidden-convex losses for which OGD suffers $Ω(T)$ regret. Finally, we extend our analysis to one-point bandit feedback and prove a $\mathcal{O}(T^{3/4})$ expected regret bound for bandit OGD with spherical smoothing, matching its classical rate on convex losses.

Hard-label classification is usually trained with smooth surrogate losses such as softmax cross-entropy. We isolate a mechanism by which this mismatch between smooth surrogate and discrete labels produces power-law learning curves for a one-layer softmax student trained by online SGD on Gaussian inputs with argmax teacher labels. In the thermodynamic limit, the dynamics reduce to a growing student-teacher alignment and a residual student variance sustained by SGD noise. At late times, only shrinking layers of examples around teacher decision boundaries remain active. This yields an $α^{-1/3}$ law in training time $α$ not only for the test loss but also for the generalization error, one minus test accuracy. The error law is an online-noise effect. The loss law persists without gradient noise. Learning-rate annealing separates the two exponents, improving the error exponent from 1/3 toward 1/2 while slowing the loss. Simulations support the predictions. Correlated Gaussian inputs and whitened pretrained features change transients, not the late-time decay. Experiments with deep neural networks can show compatible error scaling. The mechanism is asymptotic and complementary to spectral explanations and data-statistics explanations of neural scaling laws.

We study constrained online convex optimization with adversarial time-varying constraints. At each round the learner acts before observing the loss and constraint, and is compared with the best fixed action satisfying all constraints in hindsight. The goal is to obtain minimax-optimal regret while controlling cumulative constraint violation (CCV). Prior algorithms achieved $O(\log T)$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T\log T})$ CCV for strongly convex losses, and $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T}\log T)$ CCV for convex losses. We propose NP-OGD, an iterated nested-projection algorithm. For strongly convex losses it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(\log T)$ CCV; for convex losses it achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $O(\sqrt{T})$ CCV. The analysis relies on a geometric movement bound: after lifting the nested projected-gradient trajectory to one higher dimension, the lifted path is self-contracted under a nonstandard norm, so a finite-length theorem for self-contracted curves controls the total projection movement. We also prove complementary lower bounds using layered sphere packings. For strongly convex losses, any online algorithm with polynomially sublinear regret can incur CCV at least $Ω((\log T)^{(d-1)/(d+1)}/\log\log T)$. For convex losses, we prove CCV lower bounds $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2(d+3))})$ for weakly adaptive algorithms and $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2d)})$ for NP-OGD. Finally, for the constrained experts special case over $N$ experts, an active Hedge algorithm attains $O(\sqrt{T\log N})$ regret and $O(N)$ CCV, with a matching minimax CCV lower bound for sufficiently large horizons.

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a fundamental optimization algorithm widely used in modern machine learning. In this paper, we propose Factor-Augmented SGD (FSGD), a new optimization method that leverages latent factor representations in high-dimensional learning tasks. Unlike standard two-stage dimension reduction approaches that rely on offline representation learning and full data storage, a key novelty of FSGD is that it operates purely on streaming data, making it scalable to large-scale and high-dimensional problems. Furthermore, we establish the first theoretical framework that explicitly incorporates latent factor estimation error into the analysis of SGD, and provide moment convergence in $\ell^s$ norm under decaying step sizes and mini-batch updates. Our results provide a new foundation for employing SGD reliably and scalably in high-dimensional machine learning systems.

Background: Abilities for effective self-regulated learning (SRL) are critical for lifelong learning, particularly during adolescence when these skills consolidate and strongly influence future learning. Their importance has grown with the rise of online and blended education. Yet, little is known about how secondary school students self-regulate in online environments, how their SRL processes and strategies evolve, or how they affect outcomes. In secondary education, understanding these processes can reveal patterns and indicators of learning success, informing the design of online support mechanisms. Evidence from repeated-measures designs remains scarce. Objectives: This study aims to examine how secondary school students enact SRL strategies during online essay writing, how these strategies change over time, and how they relate to learning outcomes. Methods: We analysed metacognition-related trace data collected from secondary students during a two-wave online essay-writing task conducted one week apart in two Colombian schools (N = 93 for session 1, N = 95 for session 2) via a digital learning platform. Using a combination of process mining and unsupervised machine learning techniques, we identified dominant SRL strategies grounded in established SRL processes and examined their stability and association with learning outcomes. Results and conclusions: Three dominant SRL strategies were identified. Results showed variability: many students remained in or shifted to Read first, write next, while none used Write intensively, read selectively in session 2. Although less common, latter strategy was positively associated with learning outcomes.

Data mixing decides how to combine different sources or types of data and is a consequential problem throughout language model training. In pretraining, data composition is a key determinant of model quality; in continual learning and adaptation, it governs what is retained and acquired. Yet existing data mixing methods address only one phase of this lifecycle at a time: some require smaller proxy models tied to a single training phase, others assume a fixed domain set, and continual learning lacks principled guidance altogether. We argue that data mixing is fundamentally an online decision making problem -- one that recurs throughout training and demands a single, unified solution. We introduce OP-Mix (On-Policy Mix), a data mixing algorithm that operates across the entire language model training lifecycle. Our main insight is that candidate data mixtures can be cheaply simulated by interpolating between low-rank adapters trained directly on the current model, eliminating separate proxy models and ensuring the search is always grounded in the model's actual learning dynamics. Across pretraining, continual midtraining, and continual instruction tuning, OP-Mix consistently finds near-optimal mixtures while using a fraction of the compute of the baselines. In pretraining, OP-Mix improves upon training without mixing by 6.3% in average perplexity. For continual learning, OP-Mix matches the performance of both retraining and on-policy distillation while using 66% and 95% less overall compute, respectively. OP-Mix suggests a different view of language model training: not a sequence of distinct phases, but a single continuous process of learning from data.

It is widely agreed that when AI models assist decision-makers in high-stakes domains by predicting an outcome of interest, they should communicate the confidence of their predictions. However, empirical evidence suggests that decision-makers often struggle to determine when to trust a prediction based solely on this communicated confidence. In this context, recent theoretical and empirical work suggests a positive correlation between the utility of AI-assisted decision-making and the degree of alignment between the AI confidence and the decision-makers' confidence in their own predictions. Crucially, these findings do not yet elucidate the extent to which this alignment influences the complexity of learning to make optimal decisions through repeated interactions. In this paper, we address this question in the canonical case of binary predictions and binary decisions. We first show that this problem is equivalent to a two-armed online contextual learning problem with full feedback, and establish a lower bound of $Ω(\sqrt{|H| \cdot |B| \cdot T} )$ on the expected regret any learner can attain, where $H$ and $B$ denote the sets of human and AI confidence values. We then demonstrate that, under perfect alignment between AI and human confidence, a learner can attain an expected regret of $O(\sqrt{|H| \cdot T\log T})$ and, when $\sqrt{|H|} = O(\log T)$ and $B$ is countable, a non-trivial generalization of the Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz inequality improves the regret bound to $O(\sqrt{T\log T})$. Taken together, these results reveal that alignment can reduce the complexity of learning to make decisions with AI assistance. Experiments on real data from two different human-subject studies where participants solve simple decision-making tasks assisted by AI models show that our theoretical results are robust to violations of perfect alignment.

Learning-to-Defer (L2D) methods route each query either to a predictive model or to external experts. While existing work studies this problem in batch settings, real-world deployments require handling streaming data, changing expert availability, and shifting expert distribution. We introduce the first online L2D algorithm for multiclass classification with bandit feedback and a dynamically varying pool of experts. Our method achieves regret guarantees of $O((n+n_e)T^{2/3})$ in general and $O((n+n_e)\sqrt{T})$ under a low-noise condition, where $T$ is the time horizon, $n$ is the number of labels, and $n_e$ is the number of distinct experts observed across rounds. The analysis builds on novel $\mathcal{H}$-consistency bounds for the online framework, combined with first-order methods for online convex optimization. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach effectively extends standard Learning-to-Defer to settings with varying expert availability and reliability.

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit a strong capacity for in-context learning: Given labeled examples, they can generate good predictions without parameter updates. However, many interactive settings go beyond static prediction to online decision-making, in which effective behavior demands adaptation over long multi-turn horizons in response to feedback, and efficient algorithms in these domains must use compact representations of what they have learned. Recently, continuous transformer architectures with latent chain of thought have shown promise for offline iterative tasks such as directed graph-reachability. Motivated by this, we study whether continuous latent context tokens equip transformers to more effectively realize online learning. We give explicit constructions of constant-depth transformers that implement two foundational online decision-making procedures -- the weighted majority algorithm and $Q$-learning -- by storing their algorithmic state as linear combinations of feature embeddings, using a small number of latent context tokens. We further train a small GPT-2-style transformer with latent contexts using a multi-curriculum objective that does not directly supervise the latent states. On long synthetic online prediction sequences, this model outperforms comparable discrete-state baselines, while comparisons with prompted LLMs show that textual state summaries can also improve adaptation. Our results suggest that continuous latent contexts provide a simple and effective persistent state for transformers to implement online learning algorithms.

We consider the problem of learning an unknown subset $N_\text{target}$ of a domain in an online setting. In each round $t$, the learner predicts a set of items ${N}_t$ and receives one of two types of feedback, each with equal probability: precision feedback, in which a randomly chosen item from the predicted set $N_t$ is revealed and the learner is told whether it belongs to $N_\text{target}$ (incurring a reward if it does), or recall feedback, in which a randomly chosen item from the target set $N_\text{target}$ is revealed and the learner is told whether it belongs to $N_t$ (incurring a reward if it does). The goal is to maximize the cumulative reward over time. This simple online set learning problem abstracts a variety of learning scenarios with precision- and recall-type feedback. We show that a hypothesis class (a family of subsets of the domain) is learnable in this setting if and only if it has finite Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) dimension, mirroring the classical PAC characterization. However, the resulting algorithmic structure is markedly more intricate: in contrast to standard Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning -- where the algorithmic landscape is governed by the simple principle of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) -- our partial feedback model can invalidate ERM and even all proper learning rules. We develop algorithms to address the dependencies induced by the feedback, obtaining regret guarantees in both the realizable and agnostic settings. Our results provide a qualitative characterization of learnability in this model, addressing its most basic question, while pointing to a range of natural and intriguing open questions, including the determination of optimal regret rates.

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is a foundational tool for unsupervised representation learning, yet its high-dimensional theory remains largely limited to single-component recovery. We develop an asymptotically exact mean-field theory for multi-component online ICA, capturing the coupling induced by simultaneous learning and orthogonalization. In the high-dimensional limit, the joint empirical distribution of learned estimates and ground-truth components converges to a deterministic process, yielding a closed ODE system for the overlap matrix between learned directions and true components. This characterization reveals a genuinely multi-component, initialization-driven phase structure: a decoupled regime, where estimates align with distinct components and evolve nearly independently, and a competition regime, where overlapping initializations induce orthogonality-driven conflicts, slow reorientation, and delayed convergence. Our steady-state analysis gives explicit learnability boundaries and competition conditions linking step size, data moments, and initialization. These conditions show that larger higher-order moments and competition shrink the stable learning-rate window, increase convergence times, and predict a staircase phenomenon in which the number of recoverable components changes discretely with the learning rate. Experiments on synthetic data and hyperspectral remote sensing data validate the predicted trajectories and phase behavior.

Recent works have advanced feedback-based learning systems, whereby a foundation model is able to intake incoming feedback (e.g., from a user) to self-improve, creating a self-loop system of training. However, existing works are limited in needing to consider an offline setup to allow for such feedback-based methods, requiring privileged ground-truth contexts for training. Moreover, there is limited consideration of federated learning (FL), which is particularly well-suited for incorporating external feedback across large networks of end users, for example, but requires methods to be efficient for training on resource-constrained edge devices. Therefore, we introduce SPEAR (Self-Play Enhancement via Advantage-Weighted Refinement), an efficient online learning algorithm for federated LLM fine-tuning. SPEAR utilizes a feedback-guided self-play loop to construct naturally contrastive pairs per prompt which are used to train the model with (i) standard maximum likelihood on satisfactory completions and (ii) confidence-weighted unlikelihood on tail tokens of unsatisfactory completions. SPEAR requires only an interaction-level binary satisfaction signal together with non-answer feedback, without requiring a ground-truth answer to be provided, and does not need expensive group generations, meaning training both online and in a resource-efficient manner is feasible. We validate SPEAR across various benchmark datasets, demonstrating its superior performance in comparison to relevant baselines.

Online learning from a stream of data is a defining feature of intelligence, yet modern machine learning systems often struggle in this setting, especially under distributional shift. To understand its basic properties, we study the relationship between online and offline learning in the context of kernel regression. We derive a closed-form expression for the function learned by online kernel regression, revealing that online kernel regression is equivalent to offline regression with shifted, inaccurate target outputs. Conversely, we show that by compensating for this effective shift in the teaching signal through target correction, online kernel-based learning can provably learn the same predictor as its offline counterpart. We derive both a closed-form expression for this target correction and an iterative form that can be applied sequentially. Applying this framework to image classification tasks on CIFAR-10 and CORe50, we show that online stochastic gradient descent with iteratively corrected targets outperforms learning with the true targets in continual learning settings. This work therefore provides a basic framework for analyzing and improving online learning in non-stationary environments.

Agnostic online learning is classically solved via a reduction to the realizable setting, utilizing Littlestone's Standard Optimal Algorithm (SOA) as a base learner. However, the SOA is computationally intractable to execute even for a single round. To overcome this barrier, recent work in oracle-efficient online learning replaces the SOA with a realizable base learner that accesses the concept class exclusively through an offline empirical risk minimization (ERM) oracle. While such agnostic learners achieve near-optimal expected regret, they suffer from a doubly-exponential oracle complexity of $O\big(T^{2^{O(d_\mathrm{LD})}}\big)$, where $d_\mathrm{LD}$ is the Littlestone dimension and $T$ is the number of rounds. In this work, we significantly improve this oracle complexity while relying on an even weaker primitive: a weak-consistency oracle, which merely decides whether a given labeled dataset is realizable. At the core of our approach is an adaptive and dynamic agnostic-to-realizable reduction that actively prunes non-realizable label sequences on the fly. By using the VC dimension ($d_\mathrm{VC}$) to bound the number of dynamically maintained active paths, our algorithm reduces the total query complexity down to $O(T^{d_\mathrm{VC}+1})$ while perfectly preserving near-optimal expected regret. Crucially, this dynamic pruning also yields a memory reduction over the standard reduction. Furthermore, we formally quantify the regret--oracle complexity tradeoff, providing upper bounds that smoothly interpolate between restricted query budgets and attainable expected regret. We complement these with lower bounds proving that any learner restricted to $Q = o(\sqrt{T})$ queries must suffer an expected regret of $Ω(T/Q)$.

Adversarial robustness has been studied extensively for offline deep networks, but less is known about strict single-pass streaming neural learners. This paper studies adversarial robustness in Fuzzy ARTMAP, an Adaptive Resonance Theory architecture based on category competition, complement coding, match tracking, and replay-free prototype updates. We introduce WB-Softmax, a differentiable white-box attack surrogate aligned with ARTMAP's category-competition and map-field prediction mechanism, and formalize a streaming evaluation principle requiring robustness to be assessed on the final deployed model. Across four image benchmarks, WB-Softmax achieves 89-100% attack success on vanilla Fuzzy ARTMAP models. We show that defense rankings can reverse across protocols: offline adversarial training may appear strong under transfer attacks yet collapse under adaptive white-box evaluation, whereas progressive two-stage selective training provides the strongest overall replay-free robustness. We further show that ART's explicit category geometry enables interpretable diagnosis of separation collapse and match-score inversion. These results provide a mechanism-aligned, protocol-aware framework for adversarial robustness in streaming prototype-based learners.

In the modern age of large-scale AI, federated learning has become an increasingly important tool for training large populations of AI agents; however, its computational and communication costs can rapidly fail to scale with the number of agents. This is precisely where decentralized agentic strategies shine: each agent acts autonomously, using only its own state together with a minimal summary of the ensemble, namely the mean-field. We derive the unique optimal decentralized policy in closed form. Optimality is characterized through a worst-client/minimax criterion: minimizing the under-performer regret, namely the maximal online cost incurred by the weakest agent in the ensemble. We further prove that the resulting decentralized policy asymptotically converges, in the large-population limit, to the Nash-optimal centralized policy, whose direct computation is not scalable. We use an online weighting mechanism to optimize the server-computed mixture of client predictions, thereby improving the mean prediction in addition to the previously optimized weakest-client prediction. Numerical experiments verify our theoretical guarantees and demonstrate that our decentralized policy typically outperforms natural greedy decentralized baselines.

Localization in 5G and 6G networks is essential for important use cases such as intelligent transportation, smart factories, and smart cities. Although deep learning has enabled improving localization accuracy, depending on the deployment scenario and the effort required for dataset collection campaigns on a given infrastructure, the training process for localization models can vary significantly. Furthermore, with respect to feature selection, recent works have demonstrated the robustness of angle-of-arrival (AoA) based localization. In view of these two points, we propose an adaptive framework for AoA-based localization that consists of two alternative learning strategies, each suited either for large or small training datasets. The proposed framework is evaluated on a real, massive multiple input multiple output (mMIMO) orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) outdoor channel state information (CSI) dataset. First, we investigate offline learning when large training datasets are available; we propose a hierarchical framework that first distinguishes between line of sight (LoS) and non line of sight (NLoS) regions and then moves to more fine grained localization in the respective region. This approach provides high-performance localization through accumulated batch retraining and an integrated hyperparameter optimization mechanism. Second, when only a small training dataset is available, an online learning framework is proposed, using incremental tree-based and ensemble-based models for handling streaming data and continuously updating mode, as well as an online few-shot learning model for rapidly initializing new classes from a limited labeled support set. These results showcase that highly accurate robust localization can be achieved incrementally during network operation by exploiting online learning, alleviating the need for large dataset collection campaigns.