Time Series Classification

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15 papers in the last four weeks, up 114% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

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Latest papers 129

Jun 7, 2026cs.LG

A spectral audit framework reveals task-dependent aperiodic reliance across EEG and ECG deep learning

Deep learning on physiological time series is interpreted through domain-specific features -- oscillatory rhythms in EEG, morphological complexes in ECG -- yet these signals sit atop a broadband aperiodic 1/f-like envelope that covaries with arousal, age, and pathology. We introduce a spectral audit framework combining aperiodic/periodic decomposition, phase-preserving Fourier interventions, sham controls, and simulation validation. Aperiodic reliance was task-dependent and architecture-general: across six neural architectures, flattening drops exceeded 0.42 balanced-accuracy points for sleep-wake classification, reached 0.07-0.13 for clinical abnormality detection, and remained minimal for motor imagery. Six of seven EEG foundation models showed FDR-significant aperiodic reliance on clinical EEG; age/sex and recording-era controls reduced but did not eliminate the effect. Applying the audit to PTB-XL ECG revealed neural drops of 0.32--0.36 persisting after demographic matching, confirming this confound class extends beyond EEG. Aperiodic controls should become standard for interpretable physiological time-series deep learning.

Jasmeet Singh Bindra, Siddharth Panwar

Indian Knowledge Systems and Mental Health Applications (IKSMHA) Center, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, Himachal Pradesh, India. · School of Computing and Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, Himachal Pradesh, India.

Electroencephalography Time Series Classification Neural Network Interpretability EEG Foundation Models

Jun 5, 2026cs.LG

SleepExplain: Explainable Non-Rapid Eye Movement and Rapid Eye Movement Sleep Stage Classification from EEG Signal

Classification of sleep stages is one of the most important diagnostic approaches for a variety of sleep-related disorders. Electroencephalography (EEG) is regarded as a powerful tool for examining the association between neurological effects and sleep phases since it correctly identifies sleep-related neurological alterations. During Non-Rapid Eye Movement (NREM) and Rapid Eye Movement (REM) sleep phases, a number of nerve and bodily functions are affected and therefore hold an important role both in their functionalities. This work aims to classify NREM and REM sleep stages from sleep EEG data and present a noble SleepExplain model, an explainable NREM and REM sleep stage classification to explain its predictions. In this work, sleep stages were classified using Random Forest, XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting ensemble classification models. Overall, we obtained an accuracy of 92.54% (Random Forest), 94.25% (Gradient Boosting), and 94.30% (XGBoost). For explainable classification model, we utilized a game theoretic approach, SHAP (SHapley Addictive exPlanations) to offer a convincing explanation for the prediction.

Rafsan Jany, Md. Hamjajul Ashmafee, Iqram Hussain +1

Islamic University of Technology · Seoul National University

Sleep Stage Classification Time Series Classification

Jun 5, 2026cs.LG

CF-JEPA: Mask-free forward prediction with asymmetric encoder utilization for time-series representation learning

Self-supervised learning (SSL) for time-series representation learning is dominated by two paradigms: contrastive methods, which face challenges in constructing positive or negative pairs, and masking-based methods, which disrupt the temporal continuity of time-series signals. Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) offers a promising alternative by predicting in representation space rather than reconstructing raw inputs. However, existing time-series JEPA variants still rely on masking and therefore inherit its continuity problem. Crop-based Forward JEPA (CF-JEPA) is proposed as an innovative mask-free framework that replaces masking with multi-horizon forward prediction: random crops serve as context views, and short-, mid-, and long-horizon future representations are predicted in the forward temporal direction, directly leveraging the inherent temporal ordering of time-series data as a learning signal. A strong asymmetry is also identified between the online encoder and the exponential moving average (EMA) target encoder, both produced from a single training run: the online encoder develops higher-rank discriminative features, while the EMA target encoder develops smoother, lower-rank temporal features. Exploiting this asymmetry, classification is routed to the online encoder and forecasting or anomaly detection to the EMA target encoder, achieving a 27% reduction in multivariate forecasting mean squared error (MSE) at no additional training cost. Across 126 University of California, Riverside (UCR) and 26 University of East Anglia (UEA) classification datasets, eight electricity transformer temperature forecasting benchmarks, and Key Performance Indicator /Yahoo anomaly detection, CF-JEPA achieves the highest average accuracy and rank on UCR and UEA among self-supervised baselines and ranks second on univariate forecasting and k-nearest neighbors-scored anomaly detection.

Jaehoon Lee, Sunghyun Sim

aGraduate School of Artificial Intelligence Convergence Engineering, Changwon National University, Changwon, South Korea · bDepartment of Artificial Intelligence Engineering, Changwon National University, Changwon, South Korea

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Time-Series Anomaly Detection

Jun 3, 2026cs.NE

Seq103: A Unified Neuroevolution Framework for Compact Sequence Architecture Discovery

Neuroevolution is a representative neural architecture search paradigm that evolves both network topology and weights through evolutionary algorithms. In this paper, we propose Seq103, a unified NEAT-style neuroevolution framework for compact sequence architecture discovery. Seq103 consists of a shared evolutionary backbone and an optional recurrent extension. The shared backbone includes an elementary node-and-connection representation, per-class RMSE-based evaluation, mutation-based evolution with class-wise recombination, and elitism. The optional hidden-state mechanism extends the search space with hidden-state nodes and hidden connections, enabling temporal memory when step-wise recurrent inference is required. With this design, Seq103 applies the same core search pipeline to both step-wise recurrent and sample-wise feedforward sequence classification. In recurrent tasks, the hidden-state extension is enabled to provide temporal memory; in feedforward tasks, it is disabled while the shared evolutionary backbone remains unchanged. We evaluate Seq103 on 8 text classification datasets and the full UCRArchive2018 benchmark with 128 univariate time-series datasets. On step-wise tasks, Seq103 retains 86.96% of the best-baseline accuracy on average while using 34.6x to 3218.0x fewer parameters. On sample-wise tasks over the full UCRArchive2018 benchmark, Seq103 retains 81.95% of the best-baseline accuracy on average while using 11.8x to 160,601.0x fewer parameters.

Wenxiao Li, Yongjian Liu, Qing Xie

School of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Wuhan University of Technology, No. 122 Luoshi Road, Hongshan District, Wuhan, 430070, Hubei, China

Evolutionary Optimization Time Series Classification Recurrent Neural Networks Neural Architecture Search Sequence Modeling Neuroevolution

Jun 2, 2026cs.LG

AnchorMoE: Interpretable Time Series Classification via Anchor-Routed MoE

Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is pivotal in high-stakes domains, such as clinical diagnosis and industrial fault detection, where safe deployment necessitates transparent decision-making. However, isolating the temporal segments that drive model predictions is challenging because discriminative signals in real-world time series are typically sparse, heterogeneous, and heavily obscured by background noise. This paper, therefore, proposes AnchorMoE, an interpretable-by-construction classification framework. Built upon a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture, AnchorMoE encodes multi-view representations of local patches and routes them to specialized experts, ensuring that the final prediction is formulated as an exact additive decomposition over the input segments, facilitating ante-hoc transparency rather than relying on post-hoc estimations. To maintain the reliability of this decomposition under sparse signal distributions, we introduce a geometric orthogonality constraint that penalizes representational redundancy, compelling distinct experts to specialize in heterogeneous predictive patterns. Furthermore, an uncertainty-aware reliability gate is designed to dynamically calibrate the contribution of each segment, effectively suppressing residual background noise. Extensive experiments on real-world and synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that AnchorMoE achieves highly competitive classification performance while faithfully grounding its decisions in the raw time series.

Tao Xie, Zexi Tan, Haoyi Xiao +5

Guangdong University of Technology · Guangzhou, China · Shenzhen University +7

Multivariate Time Series Classification Time Series Classification Mixture of Experts

Jun 2, 2026cs.LG

The Impact of Temporal Granularity on Socio-Demographic Inference from Household Load Profiles

Smart meter data can reveal sensitive socio-demographic characteristics of households, raising privacy concerns. While this risk has been demonstrated at fixed granularities, the role of temporal resolution in shaping inference performance remains insufficiently explored. This paper addresses this gap by analyzing how load profiles with granularities from 15 minutes to 7 days affect the predictability of eight socio-demographic attributes in a dataset of 1,589 households over one year. We introduce an evaluation framework where classifiers are trained on year-round data but tested on arbitrary weeks, forcing generalization across seasonal and weekly variations. Our results show three main findings. First, while coarsening granularity reduces predictive accuracy, two plateaus emerge: performance is stable between 15 minutes and 1 hour, and again between 1 and 7 days. This reveals opportunities for data minimization without sacrificing utility. Second, interpretable handcrafted and tsfresh features remain competitive with CNN-based autoencoder embeddings, while XGBoost consistently outperforms alternative classifiers. Third, feature importance analysis highlights differences between static and dynamic attributes: dwelling size can be inferred even from coarse data, whereas swimming pool usage requires fine-grained temporal signals. Overall, our study provides new insights into the privacy-utility trade-off in smart metering, showing how temporal resolution, feature extraction, and classifier choice jointly influence socio-demographic inference.

Dejan Radovanovic, Maximilian Schirl, Andreas Unterweger +1

Center for Secure Energy Informatics, Salzburg University of Applied Sciences, Puch bei Hallein, Austria · Paris Lodron University of Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria

Time Series Classification Privacy-Utility Tradeoff

Jun 2, 2026stat.ML

Combining Statistical Features and Deep Encodings for Rehearsal-Based Class-Incremental Time Series Classification

Many systems used in real-world environments require adding new categories and incorporating new information without forgetting what was previously learnt by the classification model. This is known as class-incremental continual learning, and in the case of multivariate time-series, is further complicated by the temporal structure of the data. In this paper, we present a novel approach for performing class incremental continual learning for the classification of multivariate time series data based upon the construction of a dual-stream feature extraction pipeline (using both deep temporal embedding features generated via a pre-trained frozen foundation model and application of statistical features). Evaluated on five benchmark datasets, the proposed system achieves competitive average accuracy across all datasets while maintaining low forgetting rates across all experimental configurations.

Pablo García-Santaclara, Bruno Fernández-Castro, Rebeca Pilar Díaz-Redondo

atlanTTic – ICLAB, Universidade de Vigo, Vigo 36310, Spain · Centro Tecnolóxico de Telecomunicacións de Galicia (GRADIANT), Vigo 36214, Spain

Class-Incremental Learning Multivariate Time Series Classification Time Series Classification Replay-Based Continual Learning Incremental Learning Feature Fusion

May 30, 2026cs.CV

An explainable hierarchical self attention-based approach for tremor detection in the time domain

Tremor is a common movement disorder associated with conditions like Parkinson's disease and Essential tremor, traditionally diagnosed through expert clinician assessment. Current automated detection methods rely on frequency-domain features informed by clinical expertise. In this work, we present an explainable, two-stage hierarchical framework for tremor detection in the time domain that learns tremor patterns directly from 3D kinematic marker time-series data across entire tremor-provoking trials. Our framework combined a deep convolutional and long short-term memory network to learn tremor representations from short, discrete, non-overlapping time segments of kinematic time series data from trials, which are then processed by a vision transformer that models their long-term temporal dynamics of time segment features for trial (session) level classification. Evaluated across nine body parts, the framework achieved F1-scores of 0.594 - 0.947 depending on body parts (average: 0.765), falling short of the frequency-domain state-of-the-art performance (0.909) while requiring minimal preprocessing. Attention weights and gradient-based class activation maps (Grad-CAM) identified time-domain features of tremor across body parts. This proof of concept demonstrated the feasibility of data-driven time-domain modeling for tremor detection across anatomically diverse body parts, while reducing reliance on expert-engineered spectral features and providing posthoc interpretability of temporal and anatomical patterns of tremor.

Timothy Odonga, Jeanne M. Powell, Mark Saad +5

Department of Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA · Jean and Paul Amos Parkinson’s Disease and Movement Disorders Program, Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA · Wallace H. Coulter Department of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA

Time Series Classification Time Series Representation Learning

May 29, 2026cs.LG

ChurnNet: A Optimized Modern AI for Churn Prediction

Increased competition and the growing similarity of products and services offered by retailers have lowered the barriers for customers to switch to competitors. Accurate churn prediction can be a valuable tool for driving effective personalized marketing campaigns and helping to reduce customer attrition. This study evaluates the performance of traditional machine learning techniques, namely, Random Forests, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machines, and compares them with the Unified Multi-Task Time Series Model for churn prediction, a binary time-series classification task. Despite the strong capacity of the latter to model complex temporal dynamics and inter-variable relationships, our results indicate that for churn prediction, conventional methods can still outperform it in terms of predictive performance, data efficiency, and computational resource requirements for training and deployment. These findings are consistent across multiple datasets and various churn labeling techniques.

Syed Saad Saif, Giulio Maggiore, Paolo Russo +1

Department of Computer, Control, and Management Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy · Department of Law and Economics, UnitelmaSapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy · R&D Center, Token Financial Technologies, Istanbul, Turkey +1

Time Series Classification Multi-Task Learning Tabular Prediction

May 28, 2026cs.LG

SigmaMedStat: Temporal Signal Modeling for ICU False Alarm Reduction

Alarm fatigue in intensive care units (ICUs) is a well documented patient safety crisis. Clinical monitors generate 350 or more alarms per patient per day, out of which 72-99% are clinically irrelevant. Staff desensitization to non-actionable alarms increases the risk of missed true emergencies. This paper presents SigmaMedStat, a machine learning system that evaluates the trustworthiness of physiological alarm signals before clinical action is taken. Four approaches were evaluated on the PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2015 dataset of 498 four-channel ICU alarm recordings. Primary contribution is a temporal modeling framework that splits each 60 second recording into six consecutive 10-second chunks, and this in turn generates Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) scalograms per chunk, encodes each chunk with a shared EfficientNet-B0 encoder, and passes the resulting feature sequence to a two-layer Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. Five-fold stratified cross-validation yields a mean AUC of 0.822 +/- 0.016 (95% CI: [0.790,0.853]), compared to 0.641 for a static EfficientNet baseline trained on the full 60-second window. Ablation studies confirm that temporal chunking and multi-channel signal fusion both contribute independently to classification performance. Per-alarm type analysis reveals that Ventricular Flutter is the most accurately classified alarm type (AUC 0.820) while Asystole remains the hardest (AUC 0.722). Error analysis identifies 65 false negatives and 85 high-confidence misclassifications as the primary failure modes. All code and results are publicly available at https://github.com/Arun-K-Ram/sigmamedstat.

Arunkumar Ramachandran

Healthcare Time Series Classification Anomaly Detection

May 27, 2026cs.LG

QuITE: Query-Based Irregular Time Series Embedding

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are common in practice, yet their irregular sampling complicates effective modeling. Existing approaches typically either (i) design specialized architectures that limit the reuse of proven Multivariate Time Series (MTS) models, or (ii) map IMTS onto regular temporal grids through interpolation, which may distort temporal dynamics by introducing artificial values. To address these limitations, we propose a new input-embedding-based approach. We identify that the key bottleneck lies not in the backbone architecture, but in conventional embedding layers that assume uniform sampling. In this work, we introduce QuITE (Query-Based Irregular Time Series Embedding), a simple yet effective plug-and-play embedding module for IMTS. QuITE employs learnable query tokens to aggregate irregular observations through a single self-attention layer, directly producing backbone-compatible latent representations without artificial value generation or architectural modification. Extensive experiments on real-world benchmarks show that QuITE consistently improves MTS models, yielding average relative gains of up to

54.7\%

in forecasting and

15.8\%

in classification across diverse datasets and backbone architectures. Code is available at: https://github.com/Meaningfull9502/QuITE.

Junghoon Lim

SK Shieldus, Seongnam, Republic of Korea

Irregular Time-Series Modeling Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Time Series Classification Time Series Representation Learning

May 25, 2026cs.CV

Sleep-stage efficient classification using a lightweight self-supervised model

Accurate classification of sleep stages is crucial for diagnosing sleep disorders and automating this process can significantly enhance clinical assessments. This study aims to explore the use of a self-supervised model (more specifically, an adapted version of mulEEG) combined with a Linear SVM classifier to improve sleep stage classification. \textbf{Methods:} The mulEEG model, which learns electroencephalogram signal representations in a self-supervised manner, was simplified here by replacing ResNet-50 with 1D-convolutions used as time series encoder by a ResNet-18 backbone. Two other adaptations were conducted: the first one evaluated different configurations of the model and data volume for training, while the second tested the effectiveness of time series features, spectrogram features, and their concatenation as inputs to a Linear SVM classifier. \textbf{Results:} The results showed that reducing the volume of data offered a better cost-benefit ratio compared to simplifying the model. Using the concatenated features with ResNet-18 also outperformed the linear evaluations of the original mulEEG model, achieving higher classification performance. \textbf{Conclusions:} Simplifying the mulEEG model to extract features and pairing it with a robust classifier leads to more efficient and accurate sleep stage classification. This approach holds promise for improving clinical sleep assessments and can be extended to other biological signal classification tasks.

Eldiane Borges dos Santos Durães, João Batista Florindo

Institute of Mathematics, Statistics and Scientific Computing, University of Campinas, Street Sergio Buarque de Holanda, 651, Campinas, Brazil

Efficient Neural Network Inference Sleep Stage Classification Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning EEG Decoding

May 25, 2026cs.LG

Predicting Stock Price Direction on Earnings Announcement Days using Multi-modal Deep Learning

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm fundamentals, and recent market dynamics jointly predict the directional price movement of equities on EA days. We construct a multi-modal feature space combining 15 fundamental metrics, 3 price-based technical indicators and sentiment scores derived from financial news articles processed using FinBERT. We compare a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network and a Transformer-based architecture against a logistic regression baseline, and further assess all models with and without sentiment features to quantify their incremental value. Our results indicate that while the LSTM demonstrates higher precision through a conservative safe-bet strategy, the Transformer model exhibits superior sensitivity in identifying volatile movements, achieving a higher macro F1-score, with ablation experiments showing a consistent benefit from incorporating news sentiment.

Manuel Noseda, Nathan Soldati, Marco Paina

ETH ZÜrich

Time Series Classification Time Series Forecasting

May 24, 2026cs.LG

MedMamba: Multi-View State Space Models with Adaptive Graph Learning for Medical Time Series Classification

Medical time series are central to healthcare, enabling continuous monitoring and supporting timely clinical decisions. Despite recent progress, existing methods struggle to jointly model local-global dynamics and handle nonstationarities like baseline drift, while often failing to capture latent channel interactions. To address these challenges, we propose MedMamba, an end-to-end architecture that integrates state space models with domain-specific inductive biases. Specifically, MedMamba first employs multi-scale convolutional embeddings to capture discriminative local morphology. Second, to mitigate nonstationarity, we introduce a tri-branch differential state space encoder that processes raw, temporal-difference, and frequency-domain views, fusing them to emphasize informative patterns while suppressing drift. Furthermore, to uncover latent channel correlations, we design a spatial graph Mamba module that learns a directed dependency structure regularized toward sparsity and acyclicity, which obviates the need for predefined graphs. Extensive experiments on five real-world datasets demonstrate that MedMamba achieves state-of-the-art performance while maintaining linear computational complexity, and ablation studies validate each component's contribution.Code is available at https://github.com/zhangda1018/MedMamba.

Da Zhang, Bingyu Li, Zhiyuan Zhao +3

Northwest Polytechnical University · TeleAI, China Telecom · TeleAI +1

Graph Structure Learning Selective SSMs Multivariate Time Series Classification Healthcare Time Series Classification Non-Stationary Time Series+1

May 21, 2026cs.LG

ChronoVAE-HOPE: Beyond Attention -- A Next-Generation VAE Foundation Model for Specialized Time Series Classification

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have become a new component of the state-of-the-art in general time series forecasting. However, adapting them to specialized classification tasks remains constrained by two interconnected challenges: the quadratic cost of standard attention mechanisms and the inability to disentangle the structural components underlying time series variability. This technical report introduces ChronoVAE-HOPE, a next-generation TSFM that reconciles massive generalization with structured latent representation for time series classification. The core of the proposal is a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) framework built upon the HOPE Block, which replaces quadratic attention with a dual-memory system: Titans modules for dynamic short-term retention and a Continuum Memory System (CMS) for the abstraction of long-term historical context. A key architectural novelty is the disentangled latent space, which factorizes representations into independent trend and seasonal components via dedicated encoder heads and separate decoder pathways. ChronoVAE-HOPE undergoes self-supervised pre-training on the Monash archive, combining a Masked Time Series Modeling (MTSM) auxiliary objective with a disentangled VAE reconstruction loss. The pre-trained encoder is subsequently frozen and used to generate fixed-length embeddings for downstream classification on the UCR benchmark datasets. Empirical results demonstrate strong performance across diverse temporal domains, particularly in settings characterized by strict causal structure. ChronoVAE-HOPE establishes a robust and interpretable framework for the adaptation of foundation models to time series classification through structured generative representations.

José Alberto Rodríguez, Luis Balderas, Miguel Lastra +2

Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence DiCITS, iMUDS, DaSCI University of Granada, Granada, Spain 18071 · Advanced Medical Imaging Group, Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria de Granada (ibs.Granada) · Department of Software Engineering DiCITS, iMUDS, DaSCI University of Granada, Granada, Spain 18071 +1

Variational Autoencoders Disentangled Representation Learning Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning Time-Series Foundation Models

May 21, 2026cs.LG

Prototype-Guided Classification Sub-Task Decoupling Framework: Enhancing Generalization and Interpretability for Multivariate Time Series

Time Series Classification (TSC) is a long-standing research problem that has gained increasing attention in recent years with the rapid growth of large-scale temporal data. Despite substantial progress enabled by deep learning, designing TSC models that are both accurate and interpretable remains a challenging task. Many existing approaches adopt a direct feature-to-label classification paradigm, by collapsing high-dimensional temporal embeddings into class logits via a single linear projection (often after global pooling), the paradigm conflates feature extraction and decision logic into an inseparable mapping. To address these limitations, we propose PDFTime, a prototype-guided framework that reformulates time series classification as a multi-stage decision process. Instead of direct feature-to-label mapping, PDFTime leverages learned prototypes to approximate class-conditional feature distributions in the latent space, enabling progressive discrimination through classification sub-tasks of varying granularity. To our knowledge, PDFTime is the first framework to reformulate time series classification as a decoupled, multi-stage similarity-based reasoning process, breaking the long-standing paradigm of direct, black-box feature-to-label mapping. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that PDFTime achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance across UEA and UCR benchmarks. Notably, it secures the top-

1

accuracy on 80 out of 128 datasets in the UCR archive, significantly outperforming recent strong baselines in both consistency and generalization.

Xianhao Song, Yuang Zhang, Yuqi She +2

East China Normal University · Shanghai Jiao Tong University

Prototype-Based Classification Multivariate Time Series Classification Time Series Classification

May 21, 2026cs.LG

CASE-NET: Deep Spatio-Temporal Representation Learning via Causal Attention and Channel Recalibration for Multivariate Time Series Classification

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical bottlenecks: temporal non-causality in standard encoders that induces temporal confounding in non-stationary dynamics, and the absence of explicit channel saliency mechanisms that allows noise to contaminate the latent space. To address these challenges, we propose the Causal Attention and Spatio-temporal Encoder Network (CASE-NET), an architecture designed for structural manifold pre-conditioning. CASE-NET synergizes a Causal Temporal Encoder, which enforces physical arrow-of-time constraints via masked self-attention and causal convolutions, with an Adaptive Channel Recalibration module functioning as an information bottleneck to suppress detrimental noise. Comprehensive evaluations across six heterogeneous domains demonstrate that CASE-NET establishes new state-of-the-art benchmarks on four tasks, achieving a peak accuracy of 98.6% on the AWR dataset and superior robustness in non-stationary regimes.

Fan Zhang, Yating Cui, Hua Wang

Shandong Technology and Business University · Ludong University

Multivariate Time Series Classification Time Series Classification Temporal Attention Time Series Representation Learning

May 20, 2026cs.LG

Divide and Contrast: Learning Robust Temporal Features without Augmentation

Self-supervised learning for time-series representation aims to reduce reliance on labeled data while maintaining strong downstream performance, yet many existing approaches incur high computational costs or rely on assumptions that do not hold across diverse temporal dynamics. In this work, we introduce Divide and Contrast (Di-COT), an unsupervised framework that avoids data augmentation and multiple encoder passes by contrasting informative substructures within a window rather than individual timesteps. Di-COT stochastically partitions each window into a small number of overlapping sub-blocks per iteration, enabling efficient and meaningful contrast while mitigating false positives during temporal transitions. To further improve scalability, we adopt a contrastive objective whose computation depends on the batch size and the number of sub-blocks, making loss computation independent of sequence length. Extensive experiments on six large-scale real-world datasets, as well as the UCR and UEA benchmarks, demonstrate that Di-COT learns semantically structured and transferable representations, achieving state-of-the-art performance on classification, clustering,

k

NN, and cross-dataset transfer, while substantially reducing training time. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/sfi-norwai/Di-COT.

Abdul-Kazeem Shamba, Kerstin Bach, Gavin Taylor

Department of Computer Science, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway · Department of Computer Science, United States Naval Academy, USA.

Contrastive Learning Self-Supervised Learning Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning

May 19, 2026cs.LG

INSHAPE: Instance-Level Shapelets for Interpretable Time-Series Classification

Discovering shapelets -- i.e., discriminative temporal patterns within time series -- has been widely studied to address the inherent complexity of time-series classification (TSC) and to make model decision-making processes more transparent. However, existing methods primarily focus on population-level shapelets optimized across the entire dataset, which leads to two fundamental limitations: (i) population-level patterns often misalign with instance-specific features, resulting in suboptimal performance and potentially misleading interpretations, and (ii) most methods treat shapelets as independent entities, overlooking important temporal dependencies and interactions among multiple patterns. To address these limitations, we propose INSHAPE, an interpretable TSC framework that discovers variable-length, discriminative temporal patterns specific to each time series. INSHAPE identifies these patterns as non-overlapping segments and models their temporal dependencies, thereby providing clear instance-level interpretations while achieving strong predictive performance. Furthermore, INSHAPE bridges local and global interpretability through a bottom-up approach, aggregating instance-level shapelets into prototypical (population-level) shapelets. Extensive experiments on 128 UCR and 30 UEA benchmark datasets show that INSHAPE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art shapelet-based methods while providing more intuitive and interpretable insights.

Seongjun Lee, Seokhyun Lee, Changhee Lee

Department of Artificial Intelligence, Korea University

Time Series Classification Interpretable ML

May 19, 2026eess.SP

Staging by the Book: Automatic Sleep Stage Classification Using Scoring Rules

Automated sleep staging is commonly approached as a supervised machine learning problem, with deep learning methods dominating recent research. While machine learning models achieve near-human level agreement with human-scored reference sleep stages, their decisions are typically opaque and not designed to follow clinical scoring rules. We propose a transparent alternative: a deterministic, rule-based sleep staging method that explicitly operationalizes the American Academy of Sleep Medicine's (AASM) scoring logic as executable code, coupled with epoch-level natural-language justifications derived from an explanation trace. We evaluate the approach on 50 polysomnography recordings with a 10-scorer majority-vote consensus as reference. Across all recordings, the method agreed with the majority-vote reference in 60.5% of epochs (

κ=0.42

), with substantially higher agreement on a dataset used during development (77.1%,

κ=0.61

). Agreement with the reference was highest for sleep stage N2 (recall 83.5%) and moderate for sleep stage R (recall 68.7%), while Wake and N1 recall were low. Despite lower agreement with the reference than contemporary deep learning models, the method provides deterministic decisions and natural language explanations aligned with AASM scoring rules, making it a complementary tool for auditing, debugging, and governing deep learning-based sleep staging.

Emil Hardarson, Konstantin Popov, Sigridur Sigurdardottir +3

Department of Computer Science, Reykjavik University, Reykjavik, Iceland · Reykjavik University Sleep Institute, Reykjavik University, Reykjavik, Iceland · Department of Engineering, Reykjavik University, Reykjavik, Iceland +1

Sleep Stage Classification Time Series Classification Interpretable ML

May 19, 2026cs.LG

When Does Self-Supervised Learning Transfer to Time-Series Tasks?

Self-supervised learning (SSL) assumes that solving pretext tasks on unlabeled data yields representations that transfer effectively across downstream applications via linear probing or fine-tuning. While this paradigm has driven major progress in vision and language, its benefits for time series remain under-investigated and often confounded by inconsistent experimental controls. To address this gap, we benchmark seven representative methods from five key SSL paradigms across anomaly detection, classification, and forecasting under parameter- and data-matched budgets. We find that transfer efficacy depends heavily on the downstream task. SSL yields substantial gains in anomaly detection and provides effective initializations for classification under fine-tuning, but offers limited to no advantage over non-pre-trained controls in forecasting. Furthermore, linear probing does not reliably predict fine-tuning performance, synthetic pre-training is often competitive with real-world corpora, and scaling encoder depth degrades forecasting accuracy. We synthesize these empirical results into practical evaluation and development guidelines for time-series SSL.

Noam Major, Kathy Razmadze, Yoli Shavit

Faculty of Engineering, Bar-Ilan University, Israel

Self-Supervised Pre-Training Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning Time Series Forecasting Transfer Learning

May 19, 2026cs.LG

An Objective Performance Evaluation of the LSTM Networks in Time Series Classification

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, have become a popular choice for time-series analysis, their performance relative to model-based approaches in structured environments is rarely evaluated objectively. This paper presents a performance evaluation framework comparing an LSTM classifier against a model-based expectation maximization (EM) classifier for binary time-series classification. The evaluation is conducted on two scalar linear Gaussian state space models differing only in their noise statistics, where the Kalman filter likelihood ratio test with true parameters serves as a reference for the best achievable classification performance.Through Monte Carlo simulations, the classifiers are evaluated across three axes: task difficulty, controlled by the separation in process or measurement noise between the two models; sequence length; and training dataset size. The results show that the EM classifier, which exploits the known model structure, performs strongly when the data conform to the assumed model class. The LSTM classifier requires a larger separation in noise statistics to achieve reliable classification, and its performance saturates below the reference classifier when the models differ only in measurement noise, regardless of sequence length or training dataset size.

Sooraj Sunil, Balakumar Balasingam

Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Windsor Windsor, ON, Canada

Time Series Classification Recurrent Neural Networks Long Short-Term Memory Networks

May 18, 2026cs.LG

Chronicle: A Multimodal Foundation Model for Joint Language and Time Series Understanding

Real-world time series come with text: metadata, descriptions, news, reports. Yet time series foundation models process numerical sequences in isolation, and the multimodal text-and-time-series models that attempt to bridge the two all adapt a pretrained language model post hoc, inheriting representations shaped without ever seeing temporal data. These models are also evaluated almost exclusively against other multimodal baselines, not against the strongest unimodal foundation models in either domain, leaving open whether joint training is needed at all. We present Chronicle, a compact 324M-parameter decoder-only transformer trained from scratch on natural language and time series within a single unified architecture. Both modalities share the same transformer blocks, attention mechanism, and residual stream; the bulk of pretraining uses unimodal batches so cross-modal capability emerges purely from shared parameters, with a short alignment stage that interleaves the two. To our knowledge, Chronicle is the first model jointly pretrained on text and time series from scratch, and the first multimodal model evaluated against dedicated foundation models in both domains. It matches Gemma-3-270M-PT on 19 NLU tasks, sets a new bar for frozen-embedding time series classification on 24 UCR/UEA datasets, and produces multimodal forecasts on Time-MMD that beat every supervised fusion baseline, all from a single backbone.

Paul Quinlan, Jeremy Levasseur, Qingguo Li +1

1InertialAI · Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Queen’s University · Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering, Queen’s University

Cross-Modal Learning Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Time Series Classification Unified Multimodal Models Multimodal Pretraining Multimodal Foundation Models+2

May 18, 2026cs.LG

KairosHope: A Next-Generation Time-Series Foundation Model for Specialized Classification via Dual-Memory Architecture

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated notable success in general-purpose forecasting tasks; however, their adaptation to specialized classification problems remains constrained by the computational bottleneck of standard attention and the systematic omission of classical statistical knowledge. This technical report introduces KairosHope, a next-generation TSFM designed to reconcile massive generalization with analytical precision in classification tasks. The core of the proposal is the HOPE block, an architecture that replaces quadratic attention with a dual-memory system: Titans modules for dynamic short-term retention and a Continuum Memory System (CMS) for the abstraction of long-term historical context. To enrich the inductive bias, a Hybrid Decision Head is introduced, which fuses deep latent representations with deterministic statistical features extracted via tsfeatures package. KairosHope undergoes self-supervised pre-training on the massive Monash archive, combining Masked Time Series Modeling (MTSM) and contrastive learning (InfoNCE). Its subsequent adaptation to the UCR benchmark datasets is conducted through a rigorous Linear Probing and Full Fine-Tuning (LP-FT) protocol to prevent catastrophic forgetting. Empirical results demonstrate superior performance in domains characterized by strict temporal causality such as HAR or Sensor data. Consequently, KairosHope establishes a robust and efficient framework for the adaptation of foundation models to time series analysis.

Luis Balderas, José Alberto Rodríguez, Miguel Lastra +2

Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence · DiCITS, iMUDS, DaSCI · Advanced Medical Imaging Group, Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria de Granada (ibs.Granada) +3

Memory-Augmented Neural Networks Time Series Classification Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning Time-Series Foundation Models

May 18, 2026cs.LG

Modality vs. Morphology: A Framework for Time Series Classification for Biological Signals

Time series classification (TSC) of biological signals has progressed from handcrafted, modality-specific approaches to deep architectures capable of representing the diverse waveform structures of underlying physiological processes (i.e., morphology). This review introduces a unified morphology--modality framework that connects waveform structure to a methodological design, revealing how spikes, bursts, oscillations, slow drift, and hierarchical rhythms inform model design. By analyzing electroencephalography, electromyography, electrocardiography, photoplethysmography, and ocular modalities (electrooculography, pupillometry, eye-tracking), the review demonstrates how morphology determines preprocessing and modeling strategies. Integrating evidence across these biological signals, the framework reveals that morphology, not model class, most strongly determines performance and interpretability. This provides insight into why deep models succeed when their inductive biases align with underlying waveform dynamics. This review also identifies future work including morphological data augmentation and evaluation metrics to improve generalization. Together, these insights position morphology-aware modeling as a unifying principle for developing generalizable, interpretable, and physiologically meaningful TSC models across biological signals.

Jordan Tschida, Matthew Yohe, Edward Kane +10

Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee

Time Series Classification

May 17, 2026eess.SY

Latency-Aware Deep Learning Benchmark for Real-Time Cyber-Physical Attack and Fault Classification in Inverter-Dominated Power Grids

This work introduces a latency-aware benchmarking framework for evaluating deep learning models in power system anomaly detection using high-fidelity, time-domain signals generated from an industry-grade electromagnetic transient simulator. Eight neural network architectures, ranging from MLPs to Transformers, were systematically evaluated on streaming datasets representing both physical faults and cyber-attacks in inverter-dominated networks. All models successfully classified two representative multi-event sequences in real time with sub-cycle response times below 15 ms. However, although classification decisions occurred within one cycle, the end-to-end inference latency consistently exceeded three cycles, ranging from 50 to 90 ms. These results highlight a critical gap between algorithmic capability and protection-grade deployment, pointing to the need for further optimization and hardware acceleration. The findings establish a reproducible benchmark for sub-cycle anomaly detection and provide guidance for transitioning machine learning methods from research prototypes to real-world protection applications.

Emad Abukhousa, Saman Zonouz, A. P. Sakis Meliopoulos

School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA

Efficient Neural Network Inference Time Series Classification Cybersecurity Time-Series Anomaly Detection Power Systems

May 16, 2026cs.AI

A Conflict-aware Evidential Framework for Reliable Sleep Stage Classification

Multi-view learning has been widely applied for sleep stage classification using multi-modal data. However, existing methods typically assume that different modalities are well-aligned, which is often unattainable in real-world scenarios, thereby compromising the reliability of the staging results. In this paper, we propose ConfSleepNet, a conflict-aware evidential framework that dynamically resolves inter-view conflicts. The framework consists of multi-view evidence extraction and conflict-aware aggregation. In the first phase, it learns category-related evidence from different modalities, which represents the degree of support for individual sleep stages. Considering the inherent characteristics of varying modalities, we propose hybrid category structures for different modalities to promote more reasonable evidence learning. In the second phase, view-specific opinions, including prediction results and uncertainty, are constructed from the learned evidence. Notably, we propose a novel conflict-aware aggregation method that integrates these view-specific opinions into a reliable joint decision. This mechanism can effectively resolve conflicts among opinions and synthesize them into a reliable joint decision. Both theoretical analysis and experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of ConfSleepNet in sleep staging tasks. The code is available at https://github.com/By4te/ConfSleepNet_ICML2026/.

Yunzhi Tian, Dekui Wang, Qirong Bu +3

College of Computer Science, Northwest University, Xi’an, China.

Sleep Stage Classification Evidential Deep Learning Time Series Classification Multi-View Learning Multimodal Classification Multimodal Fusion

May 14, 2026cs.LG

Spectral Priors vs. Attention: Investigating the Utility of Attention Mechanisms in EEG-Based Diagnosis

Electroencephalograph (EEG) timeseries signals are characterized by significant noise and coarse spatial resolution, which complicates the classification of neurodegenerative diseases. Even SOTA deep learning architectures struggle to distinguish between healthy controls and diseased subjects, or between different disease types, due to high intergroup similarity. In this paper, we show that a spectrally selective approach to feature construction enhances class separability. By isolating signal strengths within the primary brainwave bands, we transform high dimensional raw data into high value spectral features. Our results demonstrate that in small datasets a) features derived from frequency and time frequency domain allow traditional machine learning models to match or exceed the performance of SOTA deep learning models, b) Attention mechanism is unable to distill the stable feature signatures that characterize healthy neural activity in both resting and task EEGs, and c) the limitations of attention based models in finding relevant spectral features appear to be robust in that providing frequency selective time domain input do not appreciably improve their performance. We validate our methodology across three open source resting EEG datasets and one task EEG dataset, providing robust empirical evidence for our claims.

Tawsik Jawad, Gowtham Atluri, Vikram Ravindra

University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, USA

Electroencephalography Time Series Classification Frequency-Domain Feature Learning Attention Mechanisms

May 13, 2026cs.LG

MILM: Large Language Models for Multimodal Irregular Time Series with Informative Sampling

Multimodal irregular time series (MITS) consist of asynchronous and irregularly sampled observations from heterogeneous numerical and textual channels. In healthcare, for example, patients' electronic health records (EHR) include irregular lab measurements and clinical notes. The irregular timing and channel patterns of observations carry predictive signal alongside the numerical values and textual content. LLMs are natural candidates for processing such heterogeneous data, given their extensive pretrained knowledge spanning textual and numerical domains. We introduce MILM (Multimodal Irregular time series Language Model), which represents MITS as time-ordered triplets in Extensible Markup Language (XML) format and fine-tunes an LLM through a two-stage strategy for MITS classification. The first stage trains on value-redacted MITS to predict from sampling patterns alone, and the second stage trains on full MITS to jointly model sampling patterns and observed values. Our two-stage model (MILM-2S) and its single-stage counterpart (MILM-Direct) achieve the best and second-best average performance on multiple EHR datasets. Further value redaction evaluations confirm that sampling patterns carry predictive signal and that MILM-2S learns to exploit them. In the value pending evaluation we introduce, where some values are unavailable at prediction time, MILM-2S outperforms MILM-Direct by a larger margin compared to standard evaluation. For MILM-2S, preserving the time and channel of value-pending observations as additional sampling information further improves in-hospital mortality prediction.

Hsing-Huan Chung, Shijun Li, Yoav Wald +3

University of Texas at Austin · Technion-IIT · Johns Hopkins University

Irregular Time-Series Modeling Healthcare Time Series Classification Multimodal Large Language Models Clinical Outcome Prediction

May 12, 2026cs.LG

Generative Diffusion Prior Distillation for Long-Context Knowledge Transfer

While traditional time-series classifiers assume full sequences at inference, practical constraints (latency and cost) often limit inputs to partial prefixes. The absence of class-discriminative patterns in partial data can significantly hinder a classifier's ability to generalize. This work uses knowledge distillation (KD) to equip partial time series classifiers with the generalization ability of their full-sequence counterparts. In KD, high-capacity teacher transfers supervision to aid student learning on the target task. Matching with teacher features has shown promise in closing the generalization gap due to limited parameter capacity. However, when the generalization gap arises from training-data differences (full versus partial), the teacher's full-context features can be an overwhelming target signal for the student's short-context features. To provide progressive, diverse, and collective teacher supervision, we propose Generative Diffusion Prior Distillation (GDPD), a novel KD framework that treats short-context student features as degraded observations of the target full-context features. Inspired by the iterative restoration capability of diffusion models, we learn a diffusion-based generative prior over teacher features. Leveraging this prior, we posterior-sample target teacher representations that could best explain the missing long-range information in the student features and optimize the student features to be minimally degraded relative to these targets. GDPD provides each student feature with a distribution of task-relevant long-context knowledge, which benefits learning on the partial classification task. Extensive experiments across earliness settings, datasets, and architectures demonstrate GDPD's effectiveness for full-to-partial distillation.

Nilushika Udayangani, Kishor Nandakishor, Marimuthu Palaniswami

Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering University of Melbourne Parkville, VIC 3052, Australia

Time Series Classification Feature-Based Knowledge Distillation Knowledge Distillation