Time-Series Foundation Models

Overview

Time-series foundation models learn reusable patterns from large collections of sequences, aiming to support tasks such as forecasting, classification, imputation, and anomaly detection across domains. Common approaches include Transformer models with patch or value tokenization, masked and contrastive pretraining, next-token prediction, and newer recurrent or state-space architectures; training data may mix real series with synthetic ones. Models are used zero-shot or adapted through fine-tuning, in-context examples, covariates, retrieval, and lightweight adapters, with benchmarks such as GIFT-Eval and UCR/UEA testing different capabilities. Transfer can reduce the need for task-specific training, but results vary with data and operating conditions: specialists may still win, and robustness to distribution shifts, long contexts, uncertainty, and fair evaluation remain open challenges.

Latest papers

CardsList

304 papers69 papers in the last four weeks, up 86% on the four weeks before. 0.4% of all new papers.

  1. Time-Aware Prior Fitted Networks for Zero-Shot Forecasting with Exogenous Variables

    Mar 16, 2026Andres Potapczynski, Ravi Kiran Selvam, Tatiana Konstantinova +7Exogenous Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

  2. Competition-Aware CPC Forecasting with Near-Market Coverage

    Mar 13, 2026Sebastian Frey, Edoardo Beccari, Maximilian Kranz +4Competitive AnalysisOnline Advertising

  3. TimeSqueeze: Dynamic Patching for Efficient Time Series Forecasting

    Mar 11, 2026Sravan Kumar Ankireddy, Nikita Seleznev, Nam H. Nguyen +4Time Series ForecastingTime Series Transformers

  4. Regression Models Meet Foundation Models: A Hybrid-AI Approach to Practical Electricity Price Forecasting

    Mar 6, 2026Yunzhong Qiu, Binzhu Li, Hao Wei +5Electricity Price ForecastingTime-Series Foundation Models

  5. Retrieval-Augmented Generation with Covariate Time Series

    Mar 5, 2026Kenny Ye Liang, Zhongyi Pei, Huan Zhang +3Time Series Forecasting with CovariatesRetrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

  6. Adapting Time Series Foundation Models through Data Mixtures

    Mar 3, 2026Thomas L. Lee, Edoardo M. Ponti, Amos StorkeyTime-Series Foundation ModelsZero-Shot Time Series Forecasting

  7. UTICA: Multi-Objective Self-Distllation Foundation Model Pretraining for Time Series Classification

    Mar 2, 2026Yessin Moakher, Youssef Attia El Hili, Vasilii FeofanovSelf-Supervised Time Series Representation LearningTime-Series Foundation Models

  8. Adapt Data to Model: Adaptive Transformation Optimization for Domain-shared Time Series Foundation Models

    Feb 28, 2026Yunzhong Qiu, Zhiyao Cen, Zhongyi Pei +2Time Series ForecastingTime-Series Foundation Models

  9. TradeFM: A Generative Foundation Model for Trade-flow and Market Microstructure

    Feb 27, 2026Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan, Srijan Sood, Kassiani Papasotiriou +2Quantitative FinanceGenerative Modeling

  10. OSF: On Pre-training and Scaling of Sleep Foundation Models

    Feb 27, 2026Zitao Shuai, Zongzhe Xu, David Yang +2Self-Supervised Pre-TrainingScaling Laws

  11. In-context Pre-trained Time-Series Foundation Models adapt to Unseen Tasks

    Feb 23, 2026Shangqing Xu, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, Haoxin Liu +1Time-Series Foundation ModelsIn-Context Learning

  12. TimeRadar: A Domain-Rotatable Foundation Model for Time Series Anomaly Detection

    Feb 22, 2026Hui He, Hezhe Qiao, Yutong Chen +2Time-Series Anomaly DetectionUnsupervised Anomaly Detection

  13. A foundation model for electrodermal activity data

    Feb 20, 2026Leonardo Alchieri, Matteo Garzon, Lidia Alecci +4Time-Series Foundation Models

  14. Reverso: Efficient Time Series Foundation Models for Zero-shot Forecasting

    Feb 19, 2026Xinghong Fu, Yanhong Li, Georgios Papaioannou +1Time-Series Foundation ModelsZero-Shot Time Series Forecasting

  15. TimeOmni-VL: Unified Models for Time Series Understanding and Generation

    Feb 19, 2026Tong Guan, Sheng Pan, Johan Barthelemy +5Time Series GenerationTime-Series Foundation Models

  16. A Systematic Evaluation of Sample-Level Tokenization Strategies for MEG Foundation Models

    Feb 18, 2026SungJun Cho, Chetan Gohil, Rukuang Huang +2Time Series TokenizationTime-Series Foundation Models

  17. TS-Haystack: A Multi-Task Retrieval Benchmark for Long-Context Time-Series Reasoning

    Feb 15, 2026Nicolas Zumarraga, Thomas Kaar, Ning Wang +12Time Series ReasoningTime Series QA

  18. DeXposure-FM: A Time-series, Graph Foundation Model for Credit Exposures and Stability on Decentralized Financial Networks

    Feb 3, 2026Aijie Shu, Wenbin Wu, Gbenga Ibikunle +1Financial ServicesDecentralized Finance

  19. Universal Redundancies in Time Series Foundation Models

    Feb 2, 2026Anthony Bao, Venkata Hasith Vattikuti, Jeffrey Lai +1Transformer InterpretabilityKernel Regression

  20. Rethinking Zero-Shot Time Series Classification: From Task-specific Classifiers to In-Context Inference

    Jan 31, 2026Juntao Fang, Shifeng Xie, Shengbin Nie +7Time Series ClassificationIn-Context Learning

  21. A Dataset and Benchmarks for Atrial Fibrillation Detection from Electrocardiograms of Intensive Care Unit Patients

    Dec 19, 2025Sarah Nassar, Nooshin Maghsoodi, Sophia Mannina +7Atrial Fibrillation DetectionElectrocardiogram Foundation Models

  22. Time Series Foundation Models for Process Model Forecasting

    Dec 8, 2025Yongbo Yu, Jari Peeperkorn, Johannes De Smedt +1Zero-Shot Time Series ForecastingProcess Mining

  23. LOBERT: Generative AI Foundation Model for Limit Order Book Messages

    Nov 16, 2025Eljas Linna, Kestutis Baltakys, Alexandros Iosifidis +1Limit Order Book ForecastingQuantitative Finance

  24. Foundation vs. Specialized Models: Evaluating Catastrophic Forgetting in Continual Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 1, 2025Nouha Karaouli, Denis Coquenet, Elisa Fromont +2Time Series ForecastingTime-Series Foundation Models