Weighted Conformal Prediction

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5 papers in the last four weeks, with none the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

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Quantifying Volumetric Risk: Class-Aware Asymmetric Weighted Conformal Prediction for 3D Medical Image Segmentation
Oct 7, 2026Shadi Alijani, Fereshteh Aghaee Meibodi, Homayoun NajjaranConformal Prediction Segmentation Uncertainty Estimation
University of Victoria, 800 Finnerty Road, Victoria, BC, Canada
Sharp training-conditional coverage for conformal prediction under covariate shift
Sep 27, 2026Mehrdad PournaderiWeighted Conformal Prediction Set Prediction
Mofid Securities
GeoDose-CP: Graph-Local Conformal Inference for Continuous-Treatment Earth Observation
Sep 24, 2026Md Khalid Hasan Sakib, Dristi Datta, Manoranjan Paul +1Weighted Conformal Prediction Causal Effect Estimation
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Uttara University, Dhaka, Bangladesh · School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Bathurst, NSW 2795, Australia · Australian Integrated Carbon (AiCarbon), Level 4, 191 Pulteney Street, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia
Conformal Individual Treatment Effect Estimation under Networked Interference
Sep 14, 2026Matteo Zecchin, Osvaldo SimeoneWeighted Conformal Prediction Causal Effect Estimation
Communication Systems Department, EURECOM, Sophia Antipolis, France · Institute for Intelligent Networked Systems (INSI), Northeastern University London, London, UK
Conformal Calibration Transfer
Sep 11, 2026Achref DoulaWeighted Conformal Prediction Conformal Prediction
Technical University of Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany · Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction
Sep 10, 2026Ann-Kristin Malz, Gregory Ashton, Nicolo ColomboWeighted Conformal Prediction Gravitational-Wave Astronomy
Department of Physics, Royal Holloway, University of London · School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton · Department of Computer Science, Royal Holloway University of London
Weighted Conformal Prediction for Lab-to-Track Thermal Transfer in EV Motorsport Powertrains
Jul 2, 2026Varshith Roy KotlaWeighted Conformal Prediction Domain Adaptation
Department of CSE, Faculty of Science and Technology, The ICFAI Foundation for Higher Education, Hyderabad, India
Spectral Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Structured Non-Exchangeable Data
Jun 14, 2026Jeffery Opoku, David BanaheneWeighted Conformal Prediction Conformal Prediction
aUniversity of Texas Rio Grande Valley, United States · bFlorida International University, United States
Conformal Candidate Certification for Offline Model-Based Optimization
Jun 13, 2026Seungjin ChoiWeighted Conformal Prediction Distribution Shift
CROID Research and aSSIST University, Seoul, Korea.
Conformal Bayes under Label Shift: Post-Hoc Calibration vs. In-Training Adaptation
Jun 10, 2026Seungjin ChoiWeighted Conformal Prediction Label Shift
1CROID Research and aSSIST University, Seoul, Korea.
Generalized Conformal Predictive Systems Under Distributional Shifts
Jun 9, 2026Jef Jonkers, Johanna ZiegelDistribution Shift Robustness Weighted Conformal Prediction
IDLab Department of Electronics and Information Systems Ghent University Ghent, Belgium · Seminar for Statistics ETH Zurich Zurich, Switzerland
Multi-Agent Conformal Prediction with Personalized Statistical Validity
May 30, 2026Martin V. Vejling, Christophe A. N. Biscio, Adrien Mazoyer +2Weighted Conformal Prediction Conformal Prediction
Department of Electronic Systems Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark · Department of Mathematical Sciences Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark · Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
Online Conformal Prediction for Non-Exchangeable Panel Data
May 18, 2026Daohong Tu, Kay GieseckeWeighted Conformal Prediction Conformal Prediction
Department of Management Science and Engineering Stanford University
RareCP: Regime-Aware Retrieval for Efficient Conformal Prediction
May 9, 2026Manuel Heurich, Maximilian Granz, Tim LandgrafWeighted Conformal Prediction Time Series Forecasting
Institute for Computer Science Freie Universität Berlin Arnimallee 7 14195 Berlin
Weight Clipping for Robust Conformal Inference under Unbounded Covariate Shifts
May 3, 2026James Wang, Surbhi GoelDistribution Shift Robustness Weighted Conformal Prediction
Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.

Oct 7, 2026, cs.CVJ/K move · Enter open · S save

Quantifying Volumetric Risk: Class-Aware Asymmetric Weighted Conformal Prediction for 3D Medical Image Segmentation

Shadi Alijani, Fereshteh Aghaee Meibodi, Homayoun Najjaran

University of Victoria, 800 Finnerty Road, Victoria, BC, Canada

Conformal Prediction Segmentation Uncertainty Estimation Weighted Conformal Prediction 3D Medical Image Segmentation Brain Tumor Segmentation

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Reliable volumetric segmentation is critical for clinical diagnostics, yet foundation models such as MedSAM remain deterministic and lack calibrated uncertainty under distribution shift. Existing conformal prediction methods offer statistical guarantees but are frequently applied in 2D and assume symmetric error distributions, so they do not capture the class-specific biases that arise in 3D multi-class segmentation. We propose Class-Aware Asymmetric Weighted Conformal Prediction (CA-WCP), which combines latent-space density-ratio weighting for covariate shift with directional quantiles for the lower and upper volume bounds, and scales each bound by a class-specific asymmetry factor derived from validation-set false-positive and false-negative rates. We prove that CA-WCP retains the weighted-exchangeability marginal coverage guarantee for every class, and we evaluate it on 3D brain tumor segmentation (BraTS 2020) and on a synthetic multi-organ CT benchmark constructed under covariate shift. On both benchmarks the 95% Clopper--Pearson interval for the observed coverage of CA-WCP contains the nominal 90% level for every semantic class, while interval width is reduced by 8--14% relative to symmetric weighted conformal prediction. We further encode the calibrated intervals into structured prompts for a multimodal large language model to produce uncertainty-conditioned radiology reports, linking distribution-shift-aware uncertainty quantification to interpretable clinical communication.

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