Multiple Hypothesis Testing

Overview

Multiple hypothesis testing studies how to make reliable decisions when many claims are tested at once, limiting the chance that apparent discoveries are noise. Common approaches include Benjamini–Hochberg for false discovery rate control, Bonferroni and Holm procedures for family-wise error, and sequential methods based on e-values or martingales. Current work applies these tools to high-dimensional feature selection, structured data, and comparisons of language models, often using sample splitting or selective inference to account for how hypotheses were chosen. A central challenge is preserving power while maintaining valid guarantees under dependence, adaptive selection, and repeated testing.

Latest papers

CardsList

33 papers6 papers in the last four weeks, up 100% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. The Price of Scale in Proactive Memory Recall

    Oct 25, 2026Yichuan Chen, Xin WangLong-Term Conversational MemoryMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  2. The Price of Choice in Selective Prediction

    Oct 21, 2026Daniel Cieślak, Andrzej CzyżewskiSelective PredictionAlgorithmic Auditing

  3. Reducing double-dipping in single-cell topic models with three-way count splitting

    Oct 16, 2026Zheng QuTopic ModelingSingle-Cell RNA Sequencing

  4. AnyRank: Reliable Anytime Policy Ranking via Sequential Testing

    Oct 10, 2026Apurva Badithela, David Snyder, Tenny Yin +6Robotic Policy EvaluationAdaptive Rank Allocation

  5. Where Do Two Populations of Persistence Diagrams Differ? Calibrated Local Inference at a Fixed Budget

    Oct 6, 2026Pramita Bagchi, Edward Bae, Atish Mitra +3Two-Sample TestingConfidence Region Estimation

  6. Anytime-Valid LLM Leaderboards via Benchmark-weighted and Block-Factorized e-Processes

    Sep 26, 2026Hongfu Gao, Songxin Zhang, Zejian Xie +3LLM EvaluationAnytime-Valid Inference

  7. How Sensitive Are LLM Leaderboard Claims to Hidden Model Selection?

    Sep 23, 2026Chen Yang, Jun ChenLLM EvaluationSelective Inference

  8. Selection-Aware Stress Testing for Interactive Agents

    Aug 31, 2026Yang Xu, Chenang Li, Jiefu Zhang +3AI Agent EvaluationMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  9. StepCOPS: Closed-Testing Lower-Tail Certificates for Language-Model Policy Selection

    Aug 26, 2026Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj SharmaLanguage Model Safety EvaluationMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  10. Where Does the Union Bound Go? Best-Arm Identification and Strong FWER Control

    Aug 20, 2026Rianne de HeideBest-Arm IdentificationMulti-Armed Bandits

  11. Optimal Watermark Localization in Mixed-Source Large Language Model Texts

    Aug 14, 2026Jose H. Blanchet, T. Tony Cai, Xiang Li +3LLM WatermarkingRobust Watermarking

  12. ARM: Detector-Agnostic Changepoint Attribution with Finite-Sample Error Control

    Aug 3, 2026Chenchen Peng, Mixia Wu, Qijing Yan +2Change-Point DetectionMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  13. Aggregation of Statistical Evidence under Exchangeability

    Jul 17, 2026Antonin Schrab, Rajen Shah, Arthur Gretton +1Sequential Hypothesis TestingMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  14. The Benjamini--Hochberg Procedure Can Fail to Control the FDR for Correlated Two-Sided Gaussian Tests

    Jul 13, 2026Edgar DobribanFDR ControlMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  15. Finite Resources False Discovery Rate Control in Structured Hypothesis Spaces

    Jun 13, 2026Binyamin Perets, Shie MannorFDR ControlMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  16. Measurement Under Selection: Decoy-Calibrated Failure Audits for Language Models

    Jun 8, 2026Vyzantinos Repantis, Ameya Gawde, Harshvardhan SinghLLM EvaluationLanguage Model Error Detection

  17. Provable Joint Decontamination for Benchmarking Multiple Large Language Models

    May 20, 2026Zhenlong Liu, Hao Zeng, Hongxin WeiLLM EvaluationBenchmark Contamination

  18. Everywhere Valid Bounds on False Discovery Proportions in Conformal Inference

    May 20, 2026Ziang Song, Ying Jin, Emmanuel J. CandèsFDR ControlConformal Prediction

  19. Controlling False Discovery in Arbitrarily Structured Hypothesis Spaces via Reproducing Kernels

    May 17, 2026Binyamin Perets, Shie MannorFDR ControlMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  20. A Regret Perspective on Online Multiple Testing

    May 13, 2026Qingyang Hao, Kongchang Zhou, Fang Kong +1FDR ControlRegret Minimization

  21. Uncertainty Quantification for LLM-based Code Generation

    May 12, 2026Senrong Xu, Yuhao Tan, Yanke Zhou +6Uncertainty QuantificationLLM Uncertainty Estimation

  22. MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection

    Apr 16, 2026Chenghui Zheng, Garvesh RaskuttiShapley Value AttributionFeature Selection

  23. Beyond False Discovery Rate: A Stepdown Group SLOPE Approach for Grouped Variable Selection

    Mar 1, 2026Xuelin Zhang, Jingxuan Liang, Xinyue Liu +2Feature SelectionFDR Control

  24. Global Sequential Testing for Multi-Stream Auditing

    Feb 25, 2026Beepul Bharti, Ambar Pal, Jeremias SulamSequential Hypothesis TestingMultiple Hypothesis Testing

  25. Synthetic-Powered Multiple Testing with FDR Control

    Feb 18, 2026Yonghoon Lee, Meshi Bashari, Edgar Dobriban +1Multiple Hypothesis TestingFDR Control

  26. Provable FDR Control for Deep Feature Selection: Deep MLPs and Beyond

    Dec 4, 2025Kazuma SawayaFDR ControlFeature Selection

  27. Reliable Selection of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators

    Nov 23, 2025Jiayi Guo, Zijun GaoCausal Effect EstimationConditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation