Open Foundation Models in Healthcare: Challenges, Paradoxes, and Opportunities with GenAI Driven Personalized Prescription

This paper presents the joint participation of the BIT.UA and AAUBS groups in the ArchEHR-QA 2026 shared task, which focuses on clinical question answering and evidence grounding in a low-resource setting. Due to the absence of training data and the strict data privacy constraints inherent to the healthcare domain (e.g. GDPR), we investigate the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) without weight updates. We evaluate several state-of-the-art proprietary models and locally deployable open-source alternatives using various prompt engineering strategies, including task decomposition, Chain-of-Thought, and in-context learning. Furthermore, we explore majority voting and LLM-as-a-judge ensembling techniques to maximize predictive robustness. Our results demonstrate that while proprietary models exhibit strong resilience to prompt variations, domain-adapted open-source models (such as MedGemma 3 27B) achieve highly competitive performance when paired with the right prompt. Overall, our prompt-based approach proved highly effective, securing 1st place in Subtask 4 (evidence citation alignment) and 3rd place in Subtask 3 (patient-friendly answer generation). All code, results, and prompts are available on our GitHub repository: https://github.com/bioinformatics-ua/ArchEHR-QA-2026.

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to clinical prediction tasks such as in-hospital mortality and readmission from electronic health records (EHRs). Privacy and compliance constraints motivate systems that can be deployed locally, which has increased interest in open-weight multi-agent designs. However, most medical multi-agent systems are evaluated as a single block, leaving unclear which agent role contributes to prediction and whether retrieval drives observed gains. We study a role-specialized Mixture-of-Agents (MoA) that combines medical knowledge retrieval with contrastive similar-patient reasoning. By varying the role design while holding the retrieval setup fixed, we localize the main effect to the final integrator. Pairing large open-weight analysts with a small open-weight integrator matches closed-model prompting on F1 for mortality prediction while flagging substantially more true high-risk patients. Mechanism analysis shows the role assignment directly yields a high-recall operating point without threshold tuning. The effect is task-dependent, with smaller gains for readmission because the available records correlate weakly with this longer-horizon outcome. These results position role design as a key factor in privacy-constrained, training-free clinical LLM prediction.

Small open-source language models are gaining attention for healthcare applications in low-resource settings where cloud infrastructure and GPU hardware may be unavailable. However, the reliability of these models under different phrasings of the same clinical question remains poorly understood. We evaluate five open-source models (Gemma 2 2B, Phi-3 Mini 3.8B, Llama 3.2 3B, Mistral 7B, and Meditron-7B, a domain-pretrained model without instruction tuning) across three clinical question answering datasets (MedQA, MedMCQA, and PubMedQA) using five prompt styles: original, formal, simplified, roleplay, and direct. Model behavior is evaluated using consistency scores, accuracy, and instruction-following failure rates. All experiments were conducted locally on consumer CPU hardware without fine-tuning. Consistency and accuracy were largely independent across models. Gemma 2 achieved the highest consistency (0.845-0.888) but the lowest accuracy (33.0-43.5%), while Llama 3.2 showed moderate consistency (0.774-0.807) alongside the highest accuracy (49.0-65.0%). Roleplay prompts consistently reduced accuracy across all models, with Phi-3 Mini dropping 21.5 percentage points on MedQA. Meditron-7B exhibited near-complete instruction-following failure on PubMedQA (99.0% UNKNOWN rate), indicating that domain pretraining alone is insufficient for structured clinical question answering. These findings show that high consistency does not imply correctness: models can be reliably wrong, a dangerous failure mode in clinical AI. Llama 3.2 demonstrated the strongest balance of accuracy and reliability for low-resource deployment. Safe clinical AI requires joint evaluation of consistency, accuracy, and instruction adherence.