PanguMotion: Continuous Driving Motion Forecasting with Pangu Transformers

Driver motion can provide cues to ongoing behavior, attention, and near-term driving intent. However, most existing driver-centric datasets focus on recognizing predefined driver behaviors from short video clips, while human motion forecasting benchmarks largely target motion outside the vehicle. We introduce DriveMotion, a multi-source benchmark for continuous driver motion forecasting. DriveMotion contains 393 hours of 133-keypoint motion sequences at 10 Hz from 360 drivers, integrating naturalistic driving data, curated public in-cabin videos, and the AIDE dataset into a unified representation with per-joint validity masks and synchronized driving context. Naturalistic driving contains long periods of limited body movement, making uniformly sampled evaluation dominated by persistence and less sensitive to brief but behaviorally meaningful motion. To address this, we use dynamics-anchored evaluation, placing forecasting windows around vehicle maneuvers identified offline from CAN signals without providing CAN to the model at inference. Arm motion in pre-maneuver windows is 3.4x greater than in route-matched stable-driving controls. On these anchored windows, learned models reduce forecasting error over persistence by up to 15%, while maneuver-enriched training improves forecast-derived Part-State F1 by 44% over the zero-motion reference. Training on the full multi-source corpus further reduces forecasting error on held-out web drivers by 38% compared with BATON-only training. DriveMotion provides identity-disjoint splits, fixed evaluation subsets, and reference implementations for reproducible evaluation of continuous driver motion forecasting. The dataset and benchmark are available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/HenryYHW/DriveMotion

Motion forecasting enables autonomous vehicles to anticipate scene evolution by predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents. However, existing approaches typically assume a closed-world setting with a fixed object taxonomy and access to high-quality perception, limiting their applicability in the real world where perception is imperfect, and new object classes may emerge over time. In this work, we introduce class-incremental motion forecasting, a novel setting in which new object classes are sequentially introduced over time and future object trajectories are predicted directly from camera images. We propose the first end-to-end framework for this setting, which adapts to newly introduced classes while mitigating catastrophic forgetting of previously learned ones. Our method generates motion forecasting pseudo-labels for known classes and matches them with 2D instance masks from an open-vocabulary segmentation model. This 3D-to-2D keypoint voting mechanism filters inconsistent and overconfident predictions, while a query feature variance-based replay strategy samples informative past sequences to preserve prior knowledge. Extensive evaluations on nuScenes and Argoverse 2 show that our approach successfully preserves performance on known classes while effectively adapting to novel ones. We further demonstrate zero-shot transfer to real-world driving and show that the framework extends naturally to open- and closed-loop end-to-end class-incremental planning on nuScenes and NeuroNCAP. Code and models will be made publicly available at https://omen.cs.uni-freiburg.de.

Accurate motion prediction is critical for safe autonomous driving, yet even strong forecasters leave residual errors in their multimodal proposals. Existing refiners compress complete proposals or update their segments sequentially, preventing the full proposed future from serving as explicit relational context for correction. We introduce FutureLift, a backbone-agnostic refiner that represents each multimodal proposal as a heterogeneous future graph, with spatially grounded temporal nodes connected to agent histories, map elements, alternative modes, and, for joint prediction, other agents future trajectories. Bidirectional temporal edges allow later evidence to revise earlier segments in a single pass, and the updated nodes predict residual coordinate and confidence corrections. Requiring only proposals, scores, and scene context, FutureLift provides a common refinement interface for structurally different forecasting backbones. On Argoverse2 and the Waymo Open Motion Dataset, it consistently improves frozen proposals and outperforms native and specialized refiners across marginal and joint forecasting. On the WOMD motion-prediction leaderboard, FutureLift ranks first in minADE (0.5049m) and minFDE (0.9942m) among the compared standard-input methods, without LiDAR or ensembling, while achieving a competitive 0.4874 Soft mAP.