Interpretable many-body interaction laws for collective motion from few trajectories

Long-term human path forecasting in crowds is critical for autonomous moving platforms (like autonomous driving cars and social robots) to avoid collision and make high-quality planning. Although the current research take into account social interactions for prediction, they don't reveal the exact kinds of social interactions happened among people and how the social interactions affect the decision-making process of pedestrians, which further limits its robustness. Social interactions in pedestrian walking are intuitively massive and hard to label and quantify. In this paper, we explore creatively to quantify and interpret how pedestrians interact with others by proposing Learn to Cluster. Our clustering social interactions is probabilistic latent variable generative, learning directly from sequential trajectory observations, scalable to arbitrary number of pedestrians. Learn to cluster is label-free and can be naturally integrated into the training process of the prediction model. The latent variables will then serve as 'labels' to categorize social interactions. Extensive experiments over several trajectory prediction benchmarks demonstrate that our method is able to learn the patterns of social interactions and effectively integrate the patterns to pedestrian trajectory prediction.

Collective dynamics arise in a wide range of physical, biological, and engineering applications. Examples include cell migration, swarm robotics, social dynamics, and animal behavior. A defining characteristic of these systems is the emergence of large-scale coordination from local interactions among agents; a fundamental question is thus to understand the local interactions that give rise to the observed emergent dynamics. We are interested in methods for learning interactions generally, which can describe a wide class of physical systems exhibiting collective dynamics defined by an interaction kernel, without a priori assumptions on the analytical form of this kernel (i.e. it is nonparametric). The advantage of this kernel-based approach is that it incorporates the underlying physics of the model (i.e. collective dynamics), which more general equation-learning approaches may ignore, potentially limiting their effectiveness for model accuracy and predictions. In this work, we extend existing variational learning approaches to collective systems with both interaction kernels and environmental/intra-agent forces. The proposed framework simultaneously infers the interaction kernel non-parametrically while learning the environmental force using either semi-parametric or fully nonparametric representations. The methodology is validated on several benchmark models exhibiting synchronization, alignment, attraction-repulsion, and external environmental forces. We also introduce a model-selection procedure based on our nonparametric learning framework to identify models that optimally explain a given set of trajectory observations. By exploiting the feature-identification capability of the learned models, the proposed procedure can distinguish among different collective dynamics frameworks and recover mechanistic interaction mechanisms directly from trajectory data.

AI agents increasingly operate as part of interacting systems rather than in isolation. As agents exchange information and jointly make decisions, their interactions can improve collective reasoning but may also produce herding, polarization, or amplify shared biases. Understanding and predicting these collective dynamics is therefore important for designing effective and aligned multi-agent systems. Here, we study over 10,000 communities of language-model agents that repeatedly exchange messages and revise their opinions across objective mathematics questions and subjective political statements. Despite substantial diversity in possible behavior, the individual and group dynamics can be represented by three characteristic regimes: indifference, polarization, and consensus. AI agents start indifferent and build conviction as they interact. On objective questions, communication improves collective accuracy, while on subjective questions it often drifts group opinions toward the right in the political spectrum. We explain these observations with a statistical-mechanics formalism in which agents stochastically favor lower social pressure. Given only initial opinions, our model predicts individual trajectories, outperforms all standard baselines, generalizes to unseen community graphs, and reproduces the observed group archetype distributions. Our fitted model parameters reveal the mechanics underlying our key observations: i) communities operate below the critical social temperature, which explains conviction buildup; ii) attractive ties outweigh repulsive ones, which favors consensus; and iii) agents holding the correct answer exert the strongest pull, which drives truth-seeking. Overall, our results demonstrate that collective behavior of AI agents, like that of other complex systems, follows compact and predictive dynamical laws.