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Despite their empirical success across a wide range of generative tasks, the fundamental principles underlying the ability of diffusion models to learn data distributions are poorly understood. In this work, we develop a new mathematical framework that explains how diffusion models can effectively learn low-dimensional distributions from a finite number of training samples without suffering from the curse of dimensionality. Specifically, motivated by the intrinsic low-dimensional structure of image data, we theoretically analyze a setting in which the data distribution is modeled as a mixture of low-rank Gaussians. Under suitable network parameterization, we show that optimizing the training objective of diffusion models is equivalent to solving the canonical subspace clustering problem over the training samples, where each subspace basis corresponds to the low-rank covariance of a Gaussian component. This equivalence allows us to show that the sample complexity for learning the underlying distribution scales linearly with the intrinsic dimension of the data, rather than exponentially with the ambient dimension. Our theoretical findings are further supported by empirical evidence that demonstrates phase transition phenomena in generalization on both synthetic and real-world image datasets. Moreover, we establish a correspondence between the learned subspace bases and semantic attributes of image data, providing a principled foundation for controllable image generation.

Generative sequence models are often trained to plan motion in physical domains, from robotics to mechanical simulations. When constructing a dataset to train such a model, engineers may curate demonstrations to specify how trajectories should be distributed over a physical quantity like travel distance or mechanical energy. For example, a roboticist building a maze navigation agent might choose demonstrations whose travel distances cover a fixed range uniformly, hoping to constrain the agent's expected power usage. We find that standard deep learning can violate this intent: each generated trajectory can seem plausible on its own, but the aggregate distribution over the physical quantity is wrong. We call this failure physical misgeneralization, and develop an account of its mechanism. Using controlled synthetic tasks, we show that physical misgeneralization arises when local errors typical of the model class propagate through the physical measurement to shift the recovered distribution. We estimate these errors with a data deviation kernel, and we use it to predict which physical quantities gain or lose mass in both our synthetic and more applied maze navigation and double-pendulum motion tasks. Finally, our mechanistic interpretation helps identify which mitigation strategies are structurally promising, and we use it to propose a kernel-informed intervention.

Bringing multiscale geometric analysis directly to irregular point clouds remains difficult: quantities such as local dimension, anisotropy, density variation, and geometric transitions are typically estimated through explicit neighborhood, manifold, or graph constructions, or left for neural networks to infer from coordinates. We introduce Heat Field Signatures (HFS), which lift a point cloud to a multiscale family of smooth ambient heat fields, providing a direct interface from discrete samples to geometric analysis. From this field, HFS computes closed-form global and local signatures directly from pairwise distances, capturing heat concentration, intrinsic dimension, anisotropy, and scale transitions. We further introduce the Heat Dimension Spectrum (HDS), a compact summary of multiscale geometric composition. HFS can be used as a closed-form descriptor, a lightweight learned representation, or a geometric feature channel for neural point-cloud models. Across synthetic and real-world benchmarks spanning subcellular, neuronal, tree, and protein data, HFS outperforms strong point-cloud and multiparameter-persistence baselines while substantially reducing end-to-end cost. On SCOP protein-fold classification, HFS improves over the strongest deep baseline by nearly $24$ percentage points using coordinates alone, while standalone HFS representations are exactly rotation-invariant by construction. More broadly, HFS turns a classical heat field into a practical interface for multiscale geometric analysis in modern point-cloud learning.

Large language models (LLMs) can memorize sensitive information, raising serious privacy concerns. Machine unlearning offers a potential solution to remove such information, but it remains unclear whether existing methods truly erase it or merely hide it within the model. A key challenge is quantifying the persistence of sensitive data under a unified evaluation framework. To address this, we construct a synthetic dataset containing fake private information and propose a white-box auditing framework to systematically assess whether claimed-forgotten information is genuinely removed. Using this framework, we evaluate five existing unlearning methods and find that a simple "inverse greedy" decoding -- selecting the least likely token at each step -- can recover supposedly forgotten private information. Our results reveal that current unlearning approaches often fail to fully eliminate sensitive information, highlighting the need for more reliable methods to ensure privacy in deployed LLMs.

Time series classification (TSC) is dominated by a two-stage paradigm: train a feature encoder -- either from scratch on the target dataset or via pretraining on large corpora -- and then fit a task-specific classifier on top. While effective, this decoupling optimizes representation learning independently of the classification objective, requires per-dataset training, and prevents the model from exploiting label information during inference. We introduce TimEE, a 4.5M-parameter foundation model for end-to-end TSC via in-context learning. Given a labeled support set and a query time series, TimEE directly outputs a predicted class distribution in a single forward pass with no per-dataset training required. Following the prior-data fitted network (PFN) framework, TimEE is meta-trained exclusively on synthetic TSC tasks, where each task contains time series with distinct class identities arising from structured distributional shifts in the generative process. Despite seeing no real time series during pre-training, TimEE ranks first in ROC AUC (and third on accuracy) on the UCR benchmark among all compared methods, which include both foundation models and supervised deep learning baselines. To our knowledge, TimEE is the first purely synthetic-pretrained model to reach state-of-the-art performance on the UCR benchmark. These results establish end-to-end ICL with synthetic priors as a compelling, largely unexplored direction for TSC, with scaling, prior design, and richer generation mechanisms as natural avenues for improvement. Code is publicly available at http://github.com/automl/timee.

Transformers follow implicit curricula whereby some tasks are learned before others. However, how explicit pretraining curricula influence learning, generalization, and the selectivity of fine-tuning is unclear. This is important for AI safety, where fine-tuning is used to selectively suppress misaligned behaviors. Here, we compare curricula that pretrain tasks in a balanced (sampled uniformly) or an imbalanced (one task early, the other late) fashion. We show that imbalanced learning of two conflicting copy tasks promotes in-context learning and improves the selectivity of refusal fine-tuning. Ablations and activation patching show that this occurs because imbalanced pretraining encourages tasks to be disentangled in separable neural circuits, whereas balanced training routes both tasks through a common pathway. We extend these findings to a synthetic language learning task involving rule-consistent and rule-violating data, where imbalanced curricula similarly lead to more localized, less entangled rule representations, resulting in more robust rule-following behavior. Together, these results suggest that imbalanced pretraining curricula may be an important tool for promoting disentangled representations, with direct consequences for the precision and reliability of safety fine-tuning.

This paper explores policy gradient algorithms for training stochastic policies to sample from structured discrete probability distributions under the Generative Flow Network (GFlowNet) framework. Building on extensive theoretical connections between GFlowNets and entropy-regularized reinforcement learning, we derive equivalents of standard policy gradient algorithms for training GFlowNets, as well as experimentally explore their various methodological aspects, including baseline training and advantage estimation. Most importantly, our work is the first to derive and successfully apply proximal policy optimization to GFlowNets, showing its improved convergence speed and data efficiency compared to standard GFlowNet training objectives on benchmarks ranging from synthetic energies to molecular graph generation.

When running marketing campaigns, retailers must decide which products to promote and which users to target. These decisions are inherently coupled: effective campaigns match users and items with strong mutual affinity into non-overlapping groups of predefined sizes. However, existing approaches assume predefined campaign structure or decouple item selection from user assignment, and cannot discover campaign groupings directly from joint interaction patterns. We therefore formalize this campaign problem as auto-targeting: jointly selecting users and items to construct multiple disjoint campaigns. To solve this combinatorial problem, we propose three complementary strategies: (i) constrained spectral biclustering to find dense regions in the user-item affinity matrix, (ii) greedy local search with pairwise swaps for combinatorial refinement, and (iii) a multi-armed bandit framework to escape local optima through exploration. We evaluate these methods on a synthetic dataset, the Amazon Reviews benchmarks, and large-scale proprietary commercial data, and compare the results to simulated annealing as a baseline. The results show that biclustering consistently achieves the highest campaign quality, lift, and fairness scores. While biclustering runs efficiently on smaller datasets, its runtime increases substantially on very large ones, where bandit-based methods instead offer a scalable alternative.

Bidding in the European Frequency Containment Reserve (FCR) market is challenging for flexibility providers because competing offers are hidden and bidders observe only partial feedback form the market, such as, clearing price and awarded quantity. For a participant active in a single country, we show that the multi-country FCR clearing problem can be recast as a repeated multi-unit uniform-price auction against an endogenous vector of opposing bids. This reformulation yields an online learning problem and allows us to adapt a Best-of-Both-Worlds combinatorial semi-bandit algorithm implementable from this standard market feedback. The resulting bidder achieves logarithmic pseudo-regret in stochastic environments and $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$ regret in adversarial ones. Synthetic experiments confirm the expected scaling, and backtests on historical European FCR data show competitive performance in practice: the method performs especially well on stable products, while EXP3-type baselines can be safer under stronger non-stationarity. Overall, the results show that learning-based bidding in FCR markets is theoretically grounded and practically useful when the learning rule matches product-level market stability.

Marine oil spills require rapid detection to mitigate severe ecological and economic damage. While satellite-based Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) provides essential all-weather monitoring, analyzing this data remains challenging. Deep learning models often require massive datasets and incur high latency. To address this, a pixel-wise quantum-assisted Support Vector Machine (QSVM) bagging ensemble is developed. Quantum annealing is leveraged to optimize the support vectors of individual weak SVMs on small data subsets, which are then classically aggregated. The approach is evaluated on Sentinel-1 imagery using both quantum simulation and physical quantum annealing hardware. The quantum-assisted pipeline achieved performance comparable to a rigorous classical baseline, yielding an Intersection-over-Union (IoU) of 0.60 and a balanced accuracy of 0.89. Complementary experiments with gate-based quantum computing demonstrated similar segmentation accuracy, although the annealing approach offered superior inference efficiency. Generalization was further assessed on independent oil spill imagery from the Strait of Hormuz, demonstrating the potential transferability of the trained pipeline to geographically distinct spill events. These results establish the feasibility of quantum-assisted, segmentation pipelines for near-real-time environmental monitoring.

In GFlowNets and variational inference, it has been shown that the mean square error between target and model log probabilities is an effective, low variance, surrogate loss for training generative models. This loss has the property that when evaluated \emph{on-policy} its gradients correspond to those of the KL divergence, while \emph{off-policy} it remains a valid loss with the same global minimizer. In this work, we demonstrate that this construction can be extended to the whole family of $f$-divergences, leading to a family of losses whose on-policy gradients are that of the corresponding $f$-divergence, but retain the same global minimizer off-policy. Specifically, we show that the on-policy gradients lead to a one to one correspondence between translation invariant loss functions on the target and model log probabilities, and $f$-divergences. This equivalence allows us to design new surrogate loss functions for tuning a wide class of generative models that inherit the properties of the corresponding $f$-divergence, such as being more mode covering, whilst being applicable to off-policy data. We apply our losses on a range of tasks, including classic synthetic examples, SynFlowNets for molecule discovery, and asynchronous large language model (LLM) tuning, demonstrating that our models retain their predicted properties on- and off-policy in a wide class of generative models.

This study presents a novel algorithm based on graph theory for the precise segmentation and measurement of detonation cells from 3D pressure traces, termed detonation lattices, addressing the limitations of manual and primitive 2D edge detection methods prevalent in the field. Using a segmentation model, the proposed training-free algorithm is designed to accurately extract cellular patterns, a longstanding challenge in detonations research. First, the efficacy of segmentation phase on two synthetic datasets is evaluated with an error of 2%. Next, 3D simulation data is used to establish performance of the graph-based workflow. The results of statistics and joint probability densities show oblong cells aligned with the wave propagation axis with 17% deviation, whereas larger dispersion in volume reflects cubic amplification of linear variability. Although the framework is robust, it remains challenging to reliably segment and quantify highly complex cellular patterns. However, the graph-based formulation generalizes across diverse cellular geometries, positioning it as a practical tool for detonation analysis and a strong foundation for future extensions in triple-point collision studies.

Recent advances in generative AI have made synthetic Computed Tomography (CT) images increasingly realistic, enabling promising applications in medical data augmentation while raising serious concerns about clinical safety and data trustworthiness. Detecting AI-generated CT images remains challenging for two key reasons: existing benchmarks cover only limited generation sources, and many detectors are adapted from natural-image forensics without explicitly modeling CT-specific imaging properties. In this paper, we introduce CTForensics, a dataset for detecting AI-generated CT images. CTForensics contains 75,990 2D CT images, including a dedicated test benchmark of 29,990 balanced authentic and generated samples from ten representative CT generative models spanning GAN-based and diffusion-based paradigms. We further propose the Enhanced Spatial-Frequency CT Forgery Detector (ESF-CTFD), a CT-oriented CNN framework built around a Wavelet-Enhanced Central Stem, Multi-Scale Spatial Aggregation, and a Frequency-Aware Prediction Block. The Wavelet-Enhanced Central Stem enhances local intensity correlations and high-frequency residuals, Multi-Scale Spatial Aggregation aligns anatomical features across resolutions with lightweight residual units, and the Frequency-Aware Prediction Block models global spectral artifacts. Extensive experiments on CTForensics show that ESF-CTFD achieves 96.01% mAcc and 99.96% mAP, outperforming existing methods and maintaining strong robustness under realistic perturbations with only a 0.99% average drop. Codes will be available at https://github.com/liyih/CTForensics.

Reconstructing complex network topologies from data is a fundamental challenge in cybernetics and graph signal processing, with applications in neuroscience, sensor, and social networks. In practice, target-domain samples are scarce while heterogeneous source-domain data are abundant. Fusing these sources is challenging: Euclidean averaging works for homogeneous sources but degrades sharply as inter-source divergence grows, collapsing distinct geometries into an inflated, biased consensus. We exploit the Wasserstein metric's distribution-preserving properties to counter heterogeneity while preserving each source's intrinsic geometry. We propose MS-WDRO, a multi-source Wasserstein distributionally robust graph learning framework that fuses heterogeneous sources via their weighted Wasserstein barycenter, a geometrically principled nominal distribution, then builds an ambiguity ball around it to hedge residual uncertainty. Minimizing worst-case risk yields a tractable regularized Laplacian estimator solved efficiently via a provably convergent ADMM scheme. We establish non-asymptotic guarantees: a finite-sample concentration bound for the empirical barycenter, a pooling bias lower bound proving naive aggregation is suboptimal, and an out-of-sample excess risk bound decaying at a parametric rate with only logarithmic dependence on source count. To calibrate hyperparameters governing robustness, sparsity, and source fusion, we unroll the solver into a differentiable architecture trained end-to-end, achieving data-adaptive calibration beyond cross-validation while retaining interpretability. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks and the multi-site ABIDE~I neuroimaging dataset show MS-WDRO consistently outperforms seven baselines in graph recovery, sample efficiency, and downstream diagnostic utility, with the largest gains in the sample-scarce regime.

Multi-center clinical studies and biomedical research collaborations increasingly seek to utilize data across centers to build models that generalize beyond any single center. This creates two distinct challenges: data protection regulations may restrict the sharing of raw patient data across institutions, while centers may collect only partially overlapping sets of features under different protocols. Federated learning enables collaborative model training without centralizing raw data. However, existing federated imputation methods rarely evaluate feature-level missingness, in which entire features are unobserved at some centers. To address this setting, we adapt the ReMasker masked autoencoder to federated learning (Fed-ReMasker), enabling centers to impute features never observed locally by leveraging knowledge learned across collaborating centers. We evaluate Fed-ReMasker in a benchmark spanning synthetic datasets with linear and nonlinear relationships and real-world tabular datasets, including clinical data. The benchmark varies the number of centers, the missingness ratios, and client heterogeneity. Fed-ReMasker achieves the lowest imputation error in 93.2% of value-level and 96.7% of feature-level scenarios in the homogeneous benchmark. It also remains robust to client heterogeneity using simple federated averaging, outperforming all baselines in all 36 value-level scenarios and each baseline in at least 35 of 36 feature-level scenarios, and comes within 3.0% on average of a centralized model trained on the pooled data.

Machine unlearning for large language models (LLMs) often assumes that a pre-defined forget set matches what the model has memorized, but this frequently breaks in realistic privacy settings where the original training data is inaccessible. We term this gap forget-set misalignment and identify two cases. In Under Unlearning, the forget set omits memorized information and leakage persists. In Out-of-Knowledge Unlearning, the algorithm is driven to "forget" knowledge the model never learned, perturbing parameters and degrading utility. Using gradient-level analysis, we show these behaviors arise from misaligned unlearning targets rather than specific optimization choices. We then propose CONfession-to-Forget-Set (CONFS), a data-blind framework that constructs model-aligned forget sets by eliciting and formalizing the model's memorized knowledge. Across synthetic, multimodal, and real-world benchmarks, CONFS approaches Gold-standard performance on several metrics and achieves a competitive forgetting-utility balance, while preserving utility better than other data-blind forget-set constructions.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been on the rise in many domains, including numerous safety-critical applications. However, for complex systems in the real world, defining the underlying environmental conditions in which the AI-based system must operate---the Operational Design Domain (ODD)---is extremely challenging. This often results in an incomplete description of the ODD, which contrasts with the requirements of many domains for certifying AI-based systems. Traditionally, the ODD is created in the early stages of the development process, drawing on sophisticated expert knowledge and related standards. This paper presents a novel method for defining the ODD a posteriori from previously collected data using a multidimensional kernel-based representation. This approach is validated through both synthetic benchmarks and a real-world aviation use case. Moreover, the paper defines similarity of two ODDs if they generate the same outputs up to Lebesgue-null input sets and proves convergence in volume of the calibrated representation under the stated assumptions. The novel, safety-by-design, deterministic kernel-based ODD representation is derived fully automatically, given documented assurance inputs, permutation-stable, bounded by construction, and, under affine-equivariant per-dimension normalization, invariant to the choice of units. Utilizing the proposed ODD representation supports future certification of data-driven, safety-critical AI-based systems.

Maritime situational awareness often relies on Automatic Identification System (AIS) transmissions to track vessel movements. However, in operational or conflict scenarios, these data may be unavailable due to signal loss, deliberate deactivation, or intentional spoofing. In such conditions, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery becomes a critical sensing alternative for wide-area maritime monitoring, despite providing only static scene snapshots. This work introduces HARBOR (Heading Analysis and Reconstruction from Behavioral Observation and Radar), a complete pipeline for transforming a single SAR image into predictive motion information without requiring any auxiliary data source at inference time. The method begins with SAR image preprocessing to enhance and segment vessel candidates, followed by automatic detection, size-based classification, and heading estimation using skeleton geometry and local intensity patterns. AIS data are used exclusively during an offline calibration phase to derive vessel-type-dependent motion parameters, which are then applied to generate probabilistic heatmaps of candidate future vessel positions. A case study using real COSMO-SkyMed SAR imagery demonstrates the pipeline on a maritime scene in southern Brazil, showing its ability to extract motion tendencies and generate probabilistic projections of vessel positions in data-denied environments.

Reconstructing editable Computer-Aided Design (CAD) models from images is essential for downstream modification, manufacturing, and design reuse. However, existing image-to-CAD methods are developed predominantly on synthetic renderings and face two coupled obstacles: a substantial appearance domain gap between synthetic and real images, and a previously overlooked parameter bias in widely used CAD data. We show that the local normalization adopted by DeepCAD concentrates several geometric parameters around a few discrete values while encoding substantial information in a single scale factor. Consequently, a model can achieve deceptively high parameter accuracy by exploiting these frequent values rather than inferring geometry from the input image. In this paper, we propose RealCAD, a unified framework that addresses these limitations at the representation, image, and feature levels. At the representation level, we redistribute scale information to the corresponding geometric parameters, producing less concentrated parameter distributions in a shared scale space. At the image level, geometry-constrained translation converts synthetic renderings toward the real-image domain while conditioning on object contours. At the feature level, a multi-positive contrastive objective aligns representations of the same CAD model across viewpoints and image domains, enabling CAD sequence prediction from each individual view. We further introduce OpenRealCAD, comprising four-view photographs of 392 3D-printed objects paired with ground-truth command sequences. Experiments show that the revised representation substantially reduces the accuracy attainable from parameter-frequency priors, making parameter accuracy a more reliable measure of image-conditioned geometric inference. RealCAD further improves real-domain command and parameter accuracy, while retaining competitive synthetic-domain performance.

Graph foundation models (GFMs) aim to reuse a single backbone across diverse graph domains, yet their transfer is often uneven and can exhibit negative transfer. While most prior work improves transfer through architectural or adaptation choices, we ask a data-centric question: which properties of two graph domains determine how much a fixed representation model changes its outputs? Using a graphon-based continuous limit for dense graphs, we show that for both set-based and message-passing tokenizations, any Lipschitz backbone admits an explicit decomposition of cross-domain output shift into (i) graph-specific finite-sample approximation terms and (ii) an intrinsic, relabeling-invariant domain discrepancy capturing structural mismatch. A key ingredient is positional-encoding (PE) stability: we establish stability guarantees for spectral PEs and highlight contrasting behaviors of eigenvector- versus subspace-based PEs. Experiments on synthetic and real graphs validate the theory and translate the decomposition into guidance for data curation in GFM transfer.

Applied Behavior Analysis (ABA) is a clinical discipline whose documentation, teaching programs and multi-session behavioral logs, is formulaic and high-volume, yet real session data is HIPAA-protected and bound by professional confidentiality rules, blocking the release of a training corpus. We present TRACE (Taxonomy-Referenced ABA Clinical Examples), a 2,999-example synthetic instruction-tuning dataset covering two ABA tasks: teaching-program generation across Discrete Trial Training, Natural Environment Teaching, and Task Analysis; and multi-session behavioral interpretation across twelve trajectory patterns and thirteen target behaviors. Every example is produced by a deterministic taxonomy-driven generator grounded in the canonical ABA literature, and every example carries complete sampling provenance, the exact taxonomy cells that produced it. The dataset is released under CC BY-NC 4.0 for data and MIT for code, with stratified train (2,549), validation (149), test (281), and sanity (20) splits. TRACE is a research artifact and has not been clinically validated.

Here, we present a platform built on our inverted Graph Transformer Network, IMPRESSION-G2, which can accurately and rapidly reconstruct molecular bonding directly from experimental nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopic information. It comprises three interconnected stages: a one-shot model that predicts bond connectivity between atoms; a structure-correction stage that corrects the predicted structures by removing uncertain bonds and iteratively reassigning them; noise-augmented multi-shot prediction, generating an ensemble of candidate structures, which are ranked to identify the best-fit structure. By integrating a range of $^{1}$H and $^{13}$C NMR data, including two-dimensional (2D) experiments such as COSY, HSQC, and HMBC, the inverse-IMPRESSION platform correctly identifies the structures of 77.8% of molecules with up to 30 heavy atoms (H, C, N, O and F) using simulated NMR data, and 10 of 19 (53%) molecules using experimental NMR data. The experimental structures solved have molecular weights of up to 480 Da and are representative of the complex structures in synthetic and natural products that routinely challenge chemists. The inverse-IMPRESSION framework thus provides the first effective approach for automated molecular structure elucidation using graph-based machine learning on experimental data.

The experimental reconstruction of the 3D two-photon momentum density (TPMD) via angular correlation of electron-positron annihilation radiation (ACAR) is a particularly useful method for studying material Fermi surfaces. It does not rely on low temperatures, UHV conditions, or strong magnetic fields, and enables the study of the spin-resolved electronic structure of materials. Yet, it remains a challenging inverse problem. Typically, 10^8 positron annihilation events are measured for 3--6 projections of the TPMD at different angles. The standard reconstruction approach is an ACAR adaptation of Cormack's method (the MCM) that leverages the inherent symmetry in the crystal's structure. However, the poor signal-to-noise ratio means collecting data of sufficient quality for Fermi surface studies can take months per sample. We present DeepCormack, a family of data-driven model-based reconstruction algorithms that augments the MCM by integrating supervised deep-learning models (CNN, MLP, and UNet) at various stages. To overcome the lack of large experimental training sets, we propose a method which leverages singular value decomposition with dynamic mode decomposition to generate realistic synthetic TPMD volumes, requiring only a single reference momentum density computed via density functional theory. On test data, DeepCormack improves reconstruction quality over MCM by about 8.5 dB PSNR at 200M counts and remains stable at reduced counts, enabling significantly faster acquisition times. Generalisation to experimental data depends strongly on how well the training distribution from the reference momentum density matches the sample. We therefore recommend pairing DeepCormack with a DFT calculation of the target material to create sample-specific training data. Our proposed method offers either much higher quality reconstructions, or enables significantly faster ones, on the order of weeks.

Data is fundamental to large language models (LLMs). However, understanding of what makes certain data useful for different stages of an LLM workflow, including training, tuning, alignment, in-context learning, etc., and why, remains an open question. Current approaches rely heavily on extensive experimentation with large public datasets to obtain empirical heuristics for data filtering and dataset construction. These approaches are compute intensive and lack a principled way of understanding the essence of how specific data characteristics drive LLM behavior. In this position paper, we advocate for the need of developing systematic methodologies for generating synthetic sequences from appropriately defined random processes, with the goal that these sequences can reveal useful characteristics when they are used in one or multiple stages of the LLM workflow. We refer to such sequences as data probes. By observing LLM behavior on data probes, researchers can systematically conduct studies on how data characteristics influence model performance, generalization, and robustness. The probing sequences exhibit statistical properties that can be viewed using theoretical concepts, such as typical sets, which are generalized to describe the behaviors of LLMs. This data-probe approach provides a pathway for uncovering foundational insights into the role of data in LLM training and inference, beyond empirical heuristics.

Automated detection and masking of individual methane plumes from satellite imagery is important for operational emission attribution and quantification. We present a machine learning framework for plume detection from MethaneSAT retrieved column-averaged dry-air mole fractions of methane. We address two core challenges: the scarcity of labeled MethaneSAT data and the need for inference reliability across diverse atmospheric and surface conditions. We first demonstrate that Mask R-CNN with a ResNet-50 backbone outperforms U-Net semantic segmentation on both MethaneAIR (an airborne version of MethaneSAT) and MethaneSAT data, with pixel-level F1 score gains of 10.49 and 5.48 respectively. To address MethaneSAT data scarcity, we evaluate three cross-sensor transfer strategies leveraging MethaneAIR flights and synthetic plumes. Mask R-CNN with ResNet-50 fine-tuned from MethaneAIR pre-trained weights is the most effective strategy, achieving instance-level precision of 0.60 and a near-perfect recall of 0.98 at the baseline operating point. A physics-informed post-processing pipeline converts detections into two operationally distinct modes. The first is a high-sensitivity mode that applies morphological filtering and proximity-based merging for comprehensive emission screening, achieving precision of 0.71 and recall of 0.94. The second is a high-precision mode that additionally applies a distribution-based classifier for confident source attribution, achieving precision of 0.92 and recall of 0.70. Manual review of detections classified as false positives against our wavelet-based ground truth labels reveals that a meaningful fraction of cases correspond to real methane enhancements excluded by conservative labeling criteria, indicating that precision values reported are lower bounds on true detection performance... Our data and code are available at: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/FR959H

LLM agents are increasingly used to run autonomous ML experiments, iterating on target metrics with little human oversight. Prior work has documented reward hacking in these environments, bringing into question the validity of produced research and the broader safety case for AI R&D. Existing benchmarks do not measure exploits that live in the data or the modeling task itself. We introduce BAITBENCH, a suite of three synthetic tabular ML tasks that each contain a shortcut that allows agents to inflate the public test score but fail on a hidden test set. Since the shortcut is optional and using it breaks no stated rule, BAITBENCH measures how often models exploit the shortcut to achieve inflated scores. Across seven frontier agents scored by our two-stage judge pipeline, 57.1% of runs exhibit reward hacking, with five of seven above 50%. Agents cheat even under a second condition where they are prompted not to -the mean cheating rate remains above 50%. We release BAITBENCH, along with the judge implementation, and an annotated dataset of transcripts containing reward hacks as a testbed for evaluating reward-hacking mitigations head-to-head.

Optimizing compilers miss profitable transformations when their enabling semantics are absent from the analyzed program representation. We ask whether large language models (LLMs) can recover such semantics from heterogeneous C/C++ context and realize them as validated, contract-preserving artifacts. We introduce SeGaBench, an executable benchmark containing 100 synthetic and 20 source-backed cases spanning low-level assumptions, data-structure invariants, and high-level semantic lifting. Each case includes hidden enabling semantics, an oracle artifact, correctness and semantic validators, and a reproducible performance protocol. We evaluate five LLMs using five independent responses per case. The strongest model produces correct artifacts in 94.8% of responses, achieves at least 1.05x speedup in 83.3%, and obtains a performance success on 93.3% of cases. Nevertheless, correct artifacts often close only part of the oracle gap. These results show that LLMs can complement compiler analysis as speculative semantic proposers, provided that their artifacts are validated and evaluated.

Driven by next-token prediction, NLP shifted from task-specific models into powerful generalist foundation models. What, then, is the equivalent catalyst needed to achieve a general-purpose model in computer vision? In this paper, we contend that large-scale text-to-video generation serves as a strong pre-training paradigm for computer vision, providing the necessary spatiotemporal priors, vision-language alignment, and scalability required for general visual intelligence. We introduce GenCeption, which leverages a pre-trained video generative diffusion backbone to define a feed-forward perception model, capable of performing various vision tasks steered by text instructions. Empirical results demonstrate that GenCeption achieves state-of-the-art performance across a diverse suite of tasks, including depth, surface normal, and camera pose estimation, expression-referring segmentation, and 3D keypoint prediction, often matching or surpassing specialized models (e.g. DepthAnything3, SAM3, D4RT, VGGT-Omega, Sapiens, David, Genmo, and Lotus-2). Furthermore, the video generative pretrained backbone outperforms alternative pretraining paradigms (e.g., V-JEPA, and Video MAE) under comparable settings. Importantly, GenCeption exhibits preliminary data and model scaling properties along with exceptional data efficiency, where it achieves comparable performance with leading models like D4RT and VGGT-Omega with 7 to 500 less training data. Finally, GenCeption also exhibits intriguing emergent behaviors: a model trained exclusively on synthetic human videos generalizes to real-world footage and out-of-distribution object categories (e.g., animals and robots). These findings suggest that video generation is not merely a synthesis tool, but a foundational path toward generalist vision intelligence for the physical world. Project page: https://genception.github.io

Reinforcement learning (RL) can overcome the demonstration-coverage limitation of imitation learning (IL) by allowing robots to improve through trial-and-error interaction beyond the states observed in demonstrations. However, deploying RL on real robots remains constrained by high interaction costs, since each physical rollout is costly and reflects only one realized action-outcome path. To address this challenge, we propose WorldSample, a physically grounded data augmentation framework for real-robot RL that closes a real-synthetic loop between physical rollouts, world-model generation, and policy improvement. Grounded on real rollouts, WorldSample generates high-fidelity synthetic transitions through a post-trained world model, which greatly lowers the visual hallucination. Specifically, rather than simply using these transitions as real-world experience, WorldSample introduces Policy-Paced Learning (PPL) to regulate the training process through sample selection and scheduling, balancing useful augmentation against value overestimation and mitigating the hallucination-induced noise. Experiments on robot manipulation tasks involving contact-rich and precise tasks show that WorldSample improves policy success rate by 28% while reducing training steps by 59% compared with baselines. Furthermore, WorldSample improves world model visual fidelity by 19.4dB in PSNR and 0.47 in SSIM over demonstration-only post-training, validating the effectiveness of the real-synthetic loop for both policy and world model performance.

Vision-language dataset distillation (VLDD) compresses a large image-text paired dataset into a small set of synthetic pairs that can efficiently train contrastive vision-language models under strict data and compute budgets. Most existing methods match expert trajectories or cross-modal statistics, yet still enforce full-dimensional alignment in a Euclidean embedding space. This is often overly restrictive due to rank-deficient image--text correlation, with shared semantics concentrated in a low-dimensional range and remaining variation spread across a weakly correlated residual subspace. LoRS relaxes alignment at the similarity level by low-rank factorization, but does not explicitly control dominant alignment capacity and structure in the representation space. We thus propose a rank-aware hyperbolic alignment (RAHA) that combines hierarchical geometry with explicit alignment-capacity control. RAHA lifts multimodal representations to hyperbolic space and optimizes distilled pairs with asymmetric objectives that enforce geodesic alignment in the shared range while regularizing the residual subspace to preserve modality-private diversity and improve transfer robustness. Experiments on benchmarks show that RAHA demonstrates competitive cross-modal retrieval and improved transfer indicators under fixed budgets.