Gaze Forecasting

Video gaze prediction is led by gaze-trained models, yet gaze-free priors carry signal those models have not absorbed, if one knows when to trust them. We propose FocusGate, a gated ensemble of gaze-free priors whose members may abstain. A per-frame gate reads three shape statistics of a defocus map and selects the frames on which the estimator is above chance on average, so rejected frames reduce to the base exactly, while midrank normalisation lets an all-zero prior abstain at zero parameters. Gated fusion is significantly positive on film, sports and web video, whereas unconditional fusion is harmful on sports and null on web. Added to four supervised predictors, the NTIRE 2026 champion among them, FocusGate improves all sixteen model-domain cells in shuffled AUC, fifteen significantly, one domain pre-registered and scored once, while adding only 1% to the champion's latency. Alone, it surpasses TASED-Net and UNISAL in shuffled AUC on film with a 16-frame causal mean.

Egocentric gaze prediction enables many downstream applications but remains challenging, as human gaze is inherently stochastic. This stochasticity is constrained by structured temporal dynamics alternating between fixations and saccades, top-down influences from tasks, and bottom-up visual saliency. Based on this observation, we introduce GazeFlow, a framework that directly models gaze as a joint distribution of temporal gaze positions conditioned upon both top-down and bottom-up information. In particular, GazeFlow uses conditional flow matching (CFM): a learned velocity field iteratively transports a Gaussian noise sample into a plausible gaze trajectory drawn from this joint distribution. The velocity field is conditioned on bottom-up visual features extracted by a video encoder and on top-down task information obtained by globally querying these features. On standard datasets, GazeFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance on per-frame metrics, and the generated trajectories align better with human gaze temporal dynamics.

Dashboard-mounted gaze trackers often lose sight of the driver's eyes during large head rotations, including shoulder checks, mirror glances, and intersection scanning. These maneuvers occur when information about the driver's visual attention is most useful. Offline gap-filling methods may reconstruct a missing interval using observations from both sides, but an online driver-monitoring system cannot rely on measurements that have not yet occurred. We therefore formulate causal gaze recovery: forecasting unavailable gaze at time t without target-tracker gaze at t or later. We introduce the Causal Context-Gated Forecaster (CCGF), which encodes a 60-frame pre-dropout history of gaze and head pose and combines it with DINOv3 scene features. A learned reliability gate controls the contribution of the history and scene representations as the dropout progresses. We evaluate two scene conditions: Live, in which the scene representation continues to update during tracker loss, and Frozen, in which the final pre-dropout representation is used throughout the missing interval. We evaluate CCGF on 2,047 eligible, naturally occurring GazeSense head_lost events drawn from 10.5 h of naturalistic driving by ten drivers. Across all recordings, head_lost accounts for 8.5 percent of GazeSense recording time. Synchronized gaze coordinates from a head-mounted Neon tracker provide supervision and evaluation targets but are never used as model inputs. Under leave-one-driver-out evaluation, CCGF achieves a mean per-driver median error of 175.7 px (10.5 deg) with Live scene updates, a 33 percent reduction relative to history-only causal forecasting. With Frozen scene input, the error increases to 210.8 px (12.9 deg), indicating that scene observations acquired during the dropout provide useful predictive information. We will release the dataset, evaluation protocol, and causal baselines.

Target-centered gaze interaction requires more than suppressing frame-to-frame fluctuations: target acquisition produces task-aligned changes in gaze-head dynamics, while a gaze trace may retain a persistent target-relative residual direction. We formulate gaze correction as online target-centered gaze-trajectory forecasting and stabilization and introduce GazeFS, which maps a variable-length gaze-head history to the next target-center direction and a short-horizon Search/Focus estimate without target information at inference. Across 7,960 acquisition episodes from 30 participants, Search-Focus differences remain stable under quality control, onset exclusion, and duration matching. History windows improve phase decoding over the current endpoint, but explicit task progress remains a strong control. Under the 30-participant, five-fold grouped out-of-fold protocol across three seeds, the reductions relative to raw hold in Focus episode bias, within-episode dispersion, and P90 target error are 0.182 degrees, 0.257 degrees, and 0.400 degrees, with participant-bootstrap 95% confidence intervals excluding zero. Endpoint-free replay from empty history preserves the Focus advantage and yields raw-network phase balanced accuracy/AUPRC of 0.925/0.993; coordinate controls further show that recent history contributes beyond explicit progress metadata. GazeFS therefore improves Focus target centering and empirical residual contraction while leaving temporal smoothness as a separate objective.

Computer vision saliency models predict where people will look, one map per image, and a billion-dollar predicted-attention industry sells those maps in place of measuring real viewers. I test the leading models from the audience side, against 11.4 million webcam gaze points from 3,023 US adults recruited to national quotas, viewing circulating news photographs. I show that an untrained central marker outperforms every trained network, because the content the networks add on top of the center falls where these audiences never look. What accuracy remains is systematically biased, favoring younger, White, and moderate viewers over older, Black, and ideologically extreme ones. I propose a way forward and build on what a group's own gaze reveals about whether a model can learn that group at all, and I apply it across every demographic axis this sample supports. Ultimately, I show how systems that decide what people see can learn to see everyone, and this study supplies the standard by which such a claim should be judged.

A central question for computational psycholinguistics is to what extent neural language models can serve as cognitively adequate models of human language processing. However, work has been overwhelmingly focused on the unimodal case of written or spoken language. In contrast, multimodal paradigms, like visual world experiments that present participants with both visual and linguistic input simultaneously, have been neglected. In this paper, we present a novel approach that predicts patterns of gaze preferences in visual world studies. To do so, it derives target preferences by applying an attribution method to a simple bi-modal CLIP bi-encoder. We demonstrate the ability of this approach to qualitatively replicate the gaze patterns found in a seminal English visual world study demonstrating human predictive processing. It does so without a generative architecture and without the need for fine-tuning, despite not being trained for the task.

Human object interaction (HOI), gaze pattern, and their anticipation are intricately linked, providing valuable insights into cognitive processes, intentions, and behavior. However, most existing models handle gaze and actions separately, missing both their interdependence and the advantages of a unified solution. This paper presents a novel unified framework, SAGE (Synchronized Action-GazE), which integrates simultaneous recognition and anticipation of both HOI and human gaze into a single unified end-to-end trainable model. Our approach leverages a transformer-based architecture and incorporates gaze data into spatiotemporal attention mechanisms to simultaneously predict current and future human actions and gaze behavior. We explore this bidirectional relationship between gaze and actions under different scenarios, whether requiring a close-up, detailed view (egocentric) or a wider, more contextual view (exocentric), making our framework versatile for various applications. Additionally, due to lack of datasets for comprehensive analysis of both HOI and gaze in exocentric videos, we establish a new benchmark Exo-Cook to facilitate further research in this domain. Experiments on three benchmark datasets: VidHOI, EGTEA Gaze+, and Exo-Cook show that jointly modeling gaze and actions across current and future frames achieves consistently strong results, often surpassing specialized state-of-the-art models tailored to individual tasks. By unifying actions and attention in a comprehensive way, our work lays the groundwork for more intuitive human-machine interaction.

Goal-directed eye movements are a fundamental component of visuomotor control, enabling humans to anticipate and guide their actions. Whether this anticipatory and task-driven behavior is preserved when actions are executed through a robot rather than through one's own body remains unclear. Here we address this question by investigating gaze behavior during goal-directed telemanipulation to determine how visuomotor control adapts to altered embodiment. Our findings show that gaze remains strongly aligned with task goals, preserving its predictive role even during robot-mediated manipulation. At the same time, teleoperation systematically redistributes visual attention toward the robotic end-effector and manipulated objects, increasing online monitoring. These findings show that predictive gaze is not lost under altered embodiment, but reorganized in response to changes in sensory feedback and control demands. More broadly, they reveal the flexibility of the human visuomotor system when the natural sensorimotor coupling is disrupted and identify gaze as an informative signal for inferring action intentions in human-robot interaction.

We present PicoEyes, a unified gaze estimation framework that directly predicts all key attributes of gaze, including 3D eye parameters, eye-region segmentation, optical axis, visual axis, and depth maps, from either monocular or binocular inputs. The framework simultaneously addresses calibration, gaze forecasting, and varying device postures, while also supporting 3D eye reconstruction via joint estimation of eye parameters and depth maps in an end-to-end manner. In addition, we introduce a large-scale multi-view near-eye dataset containing comprehensive 2D and 3D annotations under diverse conditions, including train, test, rewear-test, and calibration sessions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PicoEyes achieves state-ofthe-art performance, consistently outperforming both academic and industrial gaze tracking methods across nocalibration, calibration, rewear-after-calibration, and forecasting settings. This work establishes a practical, end-toend paradigm for robust and generalizable gaze estimation in mixed reality (MR) applications.

Accurately modelling human attention is essential for numerous computer vision applications, particularly in the domain of automotive safety. Existing methods typically collapse gaze into saliency maps or scanpaths, treating gaze dynamics only implicitly. We instead formulate gaze modelling as an autoregressive dynamical system and explicitly unroll raw gaze trajectories over time, conditioned on both gaze history and the evolving environment. Driving scenes are represented as gaze-centric graphs processed by the Affinity Relation Transformer (ART), a heterogeneous graph transformer that models interactions between driver gaze, traffic objects, and road structure. We further introduce the Object Density Network (ODN) to predict next-step gaze distributions, capturing the stochastic and object-centric nature of attentional shifts in complex environments. We also release Focus100, a new dataset of raw gaze data from 30 participants viewing egocentric driving footage. Trained directly on raw gaze, without fixation filtering, our unified approach produces more natural gaze trajectories, scanpath dynamics, and saliency maps than existing attention models, offering valuable insights for the temporal modelling of human attention in dynamic environments.

Predicting human gaze in video is fundamental to advancing scene understanding and multimodal interaction. While traditional saliency maps provide spatial probability distributions and scanpaths offer ordered fixations, both abstractions often collapse the fine-grained temporal dynamics of raw gaze. Furthermore, existing models are typically constrained to short-term windows ($\approx$ 3-5s), failing to capture the long-range behavioral dependencies inherent in real-world content. We present a generative framework for infinite-horizon raw gaze prediction in videos of arbitrary length. By leveraging an autoregressive diffusion model, we synthesize gaze trajectories characterized by continuous spatial coordinates and high-resolution timestamps. Our model is conditioned on a saliency-aware visual latent space. Quantitative and qualitative evaluations demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms existing approaches in long-range spatio-temporal accuracy and trajectory realism.