Gene-Regulatory Networks

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Period ending 2026-09-21

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A weekly snapshot of new work published in Gene-Regulatory Networks.

24 papers

Latest in Gene-Regulatory Networks

Sep 14, 2026cs.AI

Towards a knowledge-enhanced single-cell foundation model

Single-cell foundation models (scFMs) increasingly rely on large-scale transcriptomic pretraining, yet expanding pretraining data can yield diminishing gains while substantially increasing computational cost. Our data scaling analyses showed that incorporating biological knowledge, including cell-level text annotation and gene-level regulatory information, provided additional scaling dimension than simply increasing data size. Motivated by this observation, we present scKITE, a simple yet effective scFM that integrates cell-annotation and gene-regulatory supervision into a shared transcriptomic Transformer encoder through lightweight auxiliary decoders. These decoders are used only during pretraining and subsequently discarded, yielding a general-purpose encoder enriched with biological knowledge for downstream applications. With only 179,067 pretraining samples, i.e., less than 0.5% of those used by previous strong scFMs, scKITE outperformed these models across diverse downstream tasks, highlighting knowledge-enhanced pretraining as a promising paradigm for biologically grounded scFMs.
Hanqing Zhang, Jie Bao, Mei Ma +7
Aug 27, 2026cs.LG

VGAS: Variance-Reduced Guidance and Adaptive Selection for Training-Free Reward Alignment in Discrete Diffusion

Masked discrete diffusion models perform strongly on text, code, and biological sequences, but their training objective rewards only naturalness, and retraining the generator for every new reward is expensive. Inference-time steering of a frozen model either guides the sampler by the reward gradient or searches over several trajectories, and recent samplers combine the two. Such combinations are assembled as pipelines that leave three choices at their defaults: a guidance estimate resting on one Gumbel draw per sample, a reward tilting placed without reference to the distribution the combination then targets, and a selection temperature held fixed although the spread of per-step rewards drifts. We identify that distribution and settle the three choices against it. We therefore propose Variance-reduced Guidance and Adaptive Selection (VGAS), a simple yet effective inference-time framework that reduces the variance of the guidance estimate for both reward types, applies the reward tilting in the clean-token logits, where the pretrained schedule is preserved, and sets the selection temperature per step. Across regulatory DNA, protein and small-molecule benchmarks, VGAS attains the best training-free reward and matches or surpasses a reward-fine-tuned generator.
Kwanyoung Kim
Aug 7, 2026q-bio.MN

Control-Anchored Residual Flow Matching Conditioned on Gene Geometry for Virtual Cell Perturbation Modeling

A central task in virtual cell modeling is predicting single-cell transcriptional responses to unseen genetic perturbations and drug combinations, and biological networks provide valuable priors on gene relationships. Existing graph-based models commonly use the same network to structure gene representations and mediate intergene interactions, thereby implicitly treating stable associations as perturbation-response pathways. Gene Ontology and control-derived coexpression networks encode relatively stable relationships rather than intervention-specific response directions or magnitudes. We therefore propose GeneGeoFlow, which conditions a control-anchored residual flow on gene-wise geometry derived from biological networks to learn intervention-specific transcriptional responses. GeneGeoFlow derives multi-scale spectral coordinates from Gene Ontology and control-derived coexpression networks. A perturbation-conditioned, gene-wise gating module selects relevant structural scales and network sources, yielding intervention-specific gene geometry. The resulting geometry conditions a control-anchored residual flow without explicitly propagating target-derived signals along the graph. Condition-wise optimal transport couples unpaired control and perturbed populations for training, while a Delta-correlation objective aligns the predicted and observed condition-level expression-shift directions. GeneGeoFlow achieves Pearson Delta scores of 0.8979 on the Norman additive benchmark and 0.9088 on five held-out drug combinations in the fixed ComboSciPlex test split. These results support perturbation-conditioned gene geometry as an effective structural prior for intervention-specific response prediction, without conflating stable gene relationships with response propagation.
Quanquan Li, Yihe Chi, Liuyang Song +10
Aug 5, 2026cs.AI

CASCADE: An Agentic Regulatory Network Framework for Patient-Data-Validated Downstream Perturbation Prediction

CASCADE is an agentic framework that predicts downstream transcriptional effects of gene perturbation from precomputed ARACNe regulatory networks, exposed via MCP. Prior work validates such tools by checking whether predicted genes are known cancer genes (membership); we instead test whether the predicted direction of change matches reality, using focal-gene copy-number amplification as a dosage-based proxy for the inverse of knockdown against real TCGA patient tumor data. For MYC, CASCADE's predicted knockdown targets show strong concordance with real amplified-vs-non-amplified tumor expression across three cancer types (BRCA: 90.0%, COAD: 72.0%, STAD: 85.7%; all p<0.0013), well above permutation baselines, surviving a PAM50 subtype control and replicating in an independent cohort (METABRIC, 87.2%). Compared against curated MSigDB gene-set baselines via Fisher's exact test, CASCADE's accuracy is not shown to exceed existing public knowledge of MYC- or E2F-driven biology, though its gene-specific direction-calling clearly outperforms a naive uniform guess. Extending to fifteen additional genes, validation proves gene-specific rather than universal: proliferation-machinery regulators mostly replicate, while lineage-identity transcription factors and one cyclin-D paralog (CCND2) consistently fail, a pattern we discuss as a hedged, post-hoc hypothesis. We separately benchmark whether an LLM-based agent correctly grounds natural-language requests into CASCADE's real MCP tool calls. Across 35 queries, a documented local model reaches 71.4% exact match (85.7% for a larger model); schema and gene-alias failures are resolved by scale or server-side correction, but both models confidently default to the wrong perturbation type on ambiguous queries, a failure a targeted fix could not resolve because its trigger condition never occurs.
Jose A. Bird
Jul 25, 2026q-bio.MN

Continuous surrogates versus threshold Boolean networks for modeling Arabidopsis ISR gene regulation

Gene regulatory network modeling often requires balancing predictive accuracy and mechanistic interpretability. In this work, we compare continuous surrogate models and a discrete mechanistic model on the same \textit{Arabidopsis thaliana} induced systemic resistance (ISR) dataset, using both the raw continuous gene-expression measurements and their sign-binarized representation. The study considers eight defense-related genes measured over nine time points and evaluates two continuous predictors, Random Forest (RF) regression and a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), against a threshold Boolean network (TBN). The models are assessed using rolling-origin one-step prediction, recursive multi-step rollout, and interpretability analysis. RF achieved the best average one-step numerical performance in the continuous domain, with an MAE of 1.910 and an RMSE of 2.836, compared with 2.089 and 3.106 for the MLP. In the binary domain, the TBN obtained the best average one-step qualitative performance, with a binary accuracy of 0.550 and a Hamming distance of 3.600, compared with 0.500 and 4.000 for RF, and 0.495 and 4.040 for the MLP. In recursive rollout, the TBN exactly reproduced the observed binarized trajectory, while the MLP also showed near-perfect fidelity, with a trajectory binary accuracy of 0.986, and RF accumulated substantially larger deviation, with a trajectory binary accuracy of 0.708. These results highlight that local numerical accuracy and global qualitative dynamical fidelity are not necessarily aligned, and suggest that continuous surrogates and threshold Boolean networks should be viewed as complementary tools for modeling biological regulation.
Gonzalo A. Ruz
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

BRIDGE: Bottleneck-Aware Regulator-Set Inference and Diagnosis for Cooperative Gene Regulatory Recovery

Cooperative gene regulation often depends on groups of regulators acting jointly, but most gene regulatory network (GRN) inference methods output pairwise regulator-target rankings. We introduce Bottleneck-Aware Regulator-Set Inference and Diagnosis (BRIDGE), a framework for complete regulator-set recovery, and Targeted Recovery Attribution for Cooperative Evaluation (TRACE), a diagnostic suite that attributes failures to retrieval, set-level scoring, decoding, and evaluation bottlenecks. TRACE includes a leak-free mechanism-mismatch cooperativity stress test in which cooperative targets are generated by random nonlinear mechanisms rather than product interactions. This design avoids feature-mechanism circularity: Residual higher-order set scoring (Residual HOS2) operates on raw expression vectors without handcrafted product-correlation features. Across 30 matched seed-cooperativity settings, Residual HOS2 improves Jaccard similarity from 0.382 to 0.460, recall from 0.522 to 0.597, and exact recovery from 0.053 to 0.113 over a decomposable pairwise set scorer (PairS2), although exact recovery remains low. On SERGIO DS3, oracle retrieval and TRACE show that candidate coverage is necessary but insufficient because set-level misranking remains the dominant source of exact-recovery failure. PairS2 proposal followed by Residual HOS2 reranking reduces HOS2-scored candidate sets by 94-97% while largely preserving exact-recovery behavior. These results distinguish edge ranking, candidate retrieval, set-level scoring, and exact cooperative regulator-set recovery as separate objectives.
Maryam Rahimimovassagh, Clayton Thomas Barham, Ivan Garibay +1
Jul 17, 2026stat.ML

Deep and Probabilistic Models for Gene Regulatory Network Inference

Gene regulatory networks (GRNs) link transcription factor (TF) proteins to their target genes, yet reconstructing these networks from genome-wide data remains challenging under practical and methodological constraints. Many methods couple modeling assumptions to a specific inference procedure and rely on heuristic model selection, while evaluation is constrained by incomplete reference networks and point-estimate outputs that lack uncertainty. GRN reconstruction also depends on prior knowledge to constrain TF-gene interactions, yet available priors are often assay-dependent and difficult to transfer across species and less-characterized systems. In this thesis, we develop two complementary frameworks that address these limitations. In the first, PMF-GRN casts GRN inference as a probabilistic graphical model optimized by variational inference, enabling principled model selection and uncertainty-aware edge estimates. In the second, GLM-Prior addresses the prior bottleneck by fine-tuning the pretrained Nucleotide Transformer to predict TF-target gene interactions directly from nucleotide sequence, while generalizing across yeast, mouse, and human settings. Together, PMF-GRN and GLM-Prior motivate a dual-stage view of GRN reconstruction in which sequence-derived priors provide a transferable starting scaffold and probabilistic inference refines regulatory estimates with quantified uncertainty under incomplete evaluation resources.
Claudia Skok Gibbs
Jul 14, 2026cs.LG

CoDiffGRN: Rethinking Gene Regulatory Network Inference via the BEELINE-KGC Benchmark and Co-evolutionary Discrete Diffusion

Inferring gene regulatory networks (GRNs) from single-cell transcriptomic data is crucial for biological discovery, yet existing approaches suffer from a fundamental misalignment with real-world needs. Researchers typically seek a small set of high-confidence regulatory interactions for experimental validation, often involving previously unseen genes. However, current benchmarks rely on transductive splits with global classification metrics, while prevailing models struggle to generalize under inductive settings. To bridge this gap, we reformulate GRN inference as an inductive, ranking-centric graph completion problem and introduce \textbf{\benchmark}, a new benchmark that incorporates an inductive gene-holdout split together with knowledge graph completion metrics to better evaluate top-ranked predictions. Building on this, we propose \textbf{\method}, the first co-evolutionary discrete diffusion framework that jointly models biologically coherent discretized gene expression states and regulatory interactions for robust inductive generalization and improved top-ranked regulatory discovery. We further introduce TF-ALL Subgraph Sampling (TASS) for scalable training. Extensive experiments on {\benchmark} show that {\method} establishes new state-of-the-art performance, significantly outperforming existing methods in novel regulatory discovery, and ablation studies further verify the effectiveness of our design.
Jiaze Song, Runhao Zhao, Minghao Xu +2
Jul 10, 2026stat.ML

Deep Gaussian Processes on Directed Acyclic Graphs

Many real-world processes can be represented as compositions of functions along a directed acyclic graph (DAG). In causal modelling, these correspond to the underlying mechanisms; in engineering, to multiple fidelity levels; and in gene-regulatory networks, to transcription factors. These functions are partially observed across the DAG, with noisy and heterogeneously sampled measurements, posing significant challenges for reconstruction, uncertainty propagation, and inference. To tackle these challenges, we place priors over functions and naturally arrive at Deep Gaussian Processes over DAGs. We theoretically study their prior-collapse behaviour, and the effect of graph topology and intermediate observations on the preservation of information. We obtain almost-sure lower bounds on the asymptotic frequency of depths at which the distinction between inputs is preserved, identify broad kernel classes for which these hold, and prove an observation by \cite{dunlop2018} on the role of input connections. We offer a structured variational approximation that retains graph dependencies, preserves compositional uncertainty, and captures the explaining-away behaviour of colliders. Finally, we empirically validate our theoretical results and our methodology, and model a latent-collider DAG, a protein signalling network, and a multi-fidelity heavy-ion collision emulation task, attaining state-of-the-art performance while recovering low-fidelity contributions and yielding interpretability of the simulator hierarchy.
Federico L. Perlino, Oliver Hamelijnck, Adam M. Johansen +1
Jul 5, 2026stat.ML

Causal ASCEND: Scalable Two-tier Causal Discovery on High Dimensional Multi-omics Data

Biological systems exhibit a hierarchical structure, characterised by directed flow from upstream regulators to downstream effects. Although this ordering provides a natural scaffold for causal inference, most causal discovery and GRN methods either ignore the tiered organisation or condition on all upstream variables, which becomes infeasible for high-dimensional omics data. We present ASCEND (Ancestral Scalable Causal discovEry via iNherited Descent), a constraint-based framework that leverages known two-tiered structure to enable genome-scale causal discovery. ASCEND introduces a divide-and-conquer strategy that maintains dynamically updated ancestral conditioning sets for each downstream variable, dramatically reducing the number of conditional independence tests required, and achieves polynomial-time complexity where traditional approaches face exponential blow-up. Through extensive simulations and real biological data, we demonstrate that ASCEND accurately recovers ancestral relationships, scales properly and much faster, and outperforms existing gene regulatory network inference methods in both causal precision and computational efficiency. The algorithm's ability to resolve directionality makes it particularly suited for integrating multi-omic data where upstream regulators (e.g., SNPs, methylation sites) and downstream responses (e.g., gene expression) are measured jointly.
Stephen Asiedu, David Watson
Jul 3, 2026q-bio.QM

Recovering Candidate Circadian Regulators of Arrhythmic Pituitary Hormone Genes Using Reliability-Weighted Magnetic Laplacian with rwMagLap

We study how to recover candidate circadian-clock regulators of pituitary hormone genes that are important for women's health but do not show a clear 24-hour rhythm in bulk tissue, aiming to nominate clock-linked regulatory targets that could inform future chronopharmacologic and chronotherapeutic strategies. We propose \textbf{rwMagLap}, which builds a graph on rhythmic backbone genes. For each edge, we combine 24-hour fit quality with peak-time phase, represented as a complex unit-circle value, yielding a Hermitian adjacency matrix and a magnetic Laplacian. We insert arrhythmic hormone genes, treated as anchors, by a reliability-weighted nearest-neighbor projection. The projected anchor-neighbor weights are pooled into a soft teleport distribution, and complex personalized PageRank then ranks rhythmic backbone genes by the magnitude of their PageRank scores. In pituitary data, we find that all 11 women's-health anchors are arrhythmic. Even so, we find that the top-50 list is 7.95×7.95\times enriched for the 13-gene KEGG circadian set (7 of the 8 set genes in the 454-gene backbone; corrected Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) pBH=4×10−6p_{\mathrm{BH}}=4\times10^{-6}) and 4.54×4.54\times enriched for the 111-gene Reactome set (8 of 16 genes; pBH=1.6×10−4p_{\mathrm{BH}}=1.6\times10^{-4}), while a phase-blind real-valued baseline recovers none. We recover candidates through reliability weighting and phase-aware seeding rather than through magnetic propagation. The magnetic phase adds a different capability: it represents temporal order. On pituitary backbone, the magnetic embedding recovers measured peak-time order of connected pituitary genes with accuracy 0.9710.971, while q=0q{=}0, i.e., no magnetic charge, is at chance.
Shabnam Sodagari, Nick Jasperson
Jun 20, 2026cs.LG

DevoTG: Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Modeling C. elegans Developmental Connectomics

Understanding how a nervous system wires itself from birth to adulthood is a fundamental challenge in developmental neuroscience. We present DevoTG, a temporal graph framework that applies Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNs) to two complementary representations of C. elegans neural development: a Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph (CTDG) of cell division events derived from cell lineage data, and a Discrete-Time Dynamic Graph (DTDG) of the developing synaptic connectome spanning eight reconstructed electron-microscopy datasets. On the lineage prediction task, our TGN achieves a mean test AUC of 0.839 +/- 0.007 (5 seeds; validation AUC 0.937 +/- 0.001), outperforming a static GNN with the identical architecture by 26 AUC points (0.577 +/- 0.080), demonstrating that temporal memory is the decisive factor. Applied to the connectome DTDG, DevoTG identifies three connection stability classes (stable, developmental, and variable) across 225 neurons and 858 to 2,496 connections over development (L1 birth to adult), providing a temporal-graph-theoretic complement to the individual-variability classification of Witvliet et al. Analysis of hub command interneurons AVA, AVB, and AVE reveals their persistent centrality and how their integration roles are progressively reinforced across larval stages. Accompanying interactive visualizations (3D animated networks, centrality heatmaps, and a spatiotemporal lineage graph) make developmental dynamics accessible for biological hypothesis generation. DevoTG is open-source and designed for extension to other developing nervous systems. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/DevoLearn/DevoGraph/tree/main/DevoTG.
Jayadratha Gayen, Bradly Alicea
Jun 6, 2026q-bio.GN

Biological Reasoning-Informed Regression for Interpretable Regulatory DNA Activity Prediction

DNA cis-regulatory elements (CREs) such as enhancers control gene expression levels. Accurately predicting regulatory activity from DNA sequences is valuable but challenging, as it requires understanding complex biological regulatory processes. Existing methods typically regress activity scores from sequences in a black-box manner, limiting both interpretability and regression performance. Meanwhile, large language models (LLMs) benefit from explicit reasoning processes, yet directly applying LLMs to raw DNA sequences performs poorly. In this paper, we bridge this gap by introducing R3LM, a framework that teaches LLMs reasoning-informed regression on regulatory DNA through structured biological knowledge. Specifically, we design a biologically grounded data format that structures DNA's regulatory information for improved LLM understanding, and construct CRE-ReasonBench, the first dataset that associates DNA sequences and activity scores with mechanistic reasoning traces. Through two-stage training that first teaches LLMs reasoning over structured biological information then performs regression, R3LM achieves state-of-the-art performance on enhancer prediction across three cell types, outperforming both LLMs with raw sequence input and specialized DNA models while providing interpretable mechanistic explanations. We expect R3LM as an interpretable reward model that can effectively assist biologists in CRE design. Code is available at https://github.com/DuanYi516/R3LM.
Yi Duan, Zhao Yang, Jiwei Zhu +3
Jun 5, 2026cs.CL

The Dark Regulome: Disentangling Predictability from Regulation in Genomic Foundation Models

High-grade gliomas integrate into neural circuits through functional synapses with neurons, raising the question of which noncoding elements shape synaptogenic gene expression in tumor cells. The regulatory program written across the dark genome, what we call the dark regulome\textit{dark regulome}, is the natural substrate to probe, and sequence foundation models offer a zero-shot route through in-silico mutagenesis (ISM); yet likelihood-based scoring is tautologically coupled to local sequence predictability, leaving the regulatory interpretation underdetermined. Across three architecturally distinct foundation models (Caduceus-Ph, HyenaDNA, Enformer) and 30,448 dark genome elements at 92 glioma-relevant loci, we introduce a residualization-and-permutation diagnostic that separates predictability-driven from regulation-driven RIS variance. A sharp 10kb proximal-regulatory horizon survives every control we apply, but the LM-derived element-class hierarchy does not: a six-feature linear baseline matches Caduceus top-decile membership at AUC =0.985= 0.985. Cross-architecture decomposition cleanly separates a sequence-predictability layer (the two language models co-rank long well-predicted transposable elements) from a regulatory-output layer (Enformer alone retains residual cCRE-discriminative signal), with literally zero overlap between the two top-100 lists. Conservation, brain cis-eQTL, and STRING-PPI cross-checks then anchor what biology survives: top-100 elements across all three models are 3.3×3.3\times enriched per model for matching brain eQTLs (pemp<5×10−3p_\mathrm{emp} < 5\times 10^{-3}), while a tempting transposable-element regulatory layer and a striking NRXN1+NLGN1 protein-pair convergence both fail proper permutation tests once those tests are constructed. We deliver the diagnostic as a general methodological tool for any ISM-based regulatory study.
Chahat Baranwal, Aaditya Baranwal, Lakshya Nitin Tandon
Jun 2, 2026q-bio.MN

BRIDGE: Biological Evidence Refinement and Heterogeneous Dynamic Gating for Gene Regulatory Networks

Motivation: Gene regulatory network inference from single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data is important for uncovering cell-state-specific transcriptional programs. However, scRNA-seq measurements are sparse and noisy, and experimentally validated TF-target interactions remain limited, making reliable inference challenging. Although graph neural networks have advanced GRN prediction, existing methods often rely on biologically unconstrained graph augmentation, such as random edge perturbation, and insufficiently control information transfer between genes and cells. These limitations may distort regulatory structures and weaken robustness under noisy and weakly supervised settings. Results: To address these issues, we propose an innovative framework named Biological Evidence Refinement and Heterogeneous Dynamic Gating for Gene Regulatory Networks (BRIDGE). BRIDGE extracts gene and cell representations from the expression matrix and its matrix dual, and performs contrastive learning in the gene space and cell space between self and neighbors across the co-expression-refined regulatory view and the original graph. It then applies heterogeneous gated encoding to adaptively regulate information transfer between genes and cells, enabling robust transcription factor-to-target gene prediction. Experiments on benchmark datasets spanning three network types and seven cell types show that BRIDGE achieves state-of-the-art AUROC and AUPRC in most settings. In particular, on Specific networks, BRIDGE improves average AUPRC by 5% over the second-best baseline, GCLink. In cross-cell-type few-shot transfer, BRIDGE consistently outperforms GCLink and GENELink across all six target cell types. A case study on hESC further supports the biological relevance of the predictions, with 9 of the top 10 and 46 of the top 100 novel TF-target interactions validated by ChIPBase.
Ziyang Dong, Shanwen Tan, Hengchuang Yin +5
May 30, 2026cs.LG

Prior-Guided Multi-Omic Transformers for Single-Cell Gene Regulatory Network Inference

Gene regulatory networks (GRNs) capture transcription factor-target interactions and are central to understanding cell-state regulation and disease. Reconstructing GRNs from paired single-cell transcriptomic and chromatin accessibility data is promising but challenging: scATAC is extremely sparse, and most methods rely on fixed peak-to-gene links and weak supervision. We present EpiAwareNet, a prior-guided multi-omic Transformer framework that reconstructs GRNs from paired single-cell data using only lightweight biological priors. In Stage 1, EpiAwareNet learns joint gene-peak representations with a gene-peak cross-attention module, enabling data-driven, gene-specific aggregation of accessibility signals rather than hard-coded peak-to-gene assignments. In Stage 2, EpiAwareNet incorporates a bulk-derived GRN prior as noisy positive edges to provide weak supervision under label scarcity, refining regulatory scores while remaining robust to prior noise. In our experiments, EpiAwareNet improves GRN reconstruction over representative single- and multi-omic baselines and yields GRNs with greater biological plausibility, such as improved recovery of known regulatory interactions, suggesting that lightweight biological priors from bulk data can effectively guide single-cell GRN inference when combined with adaptive cross-modal representation learning. Code and data will be available at https://github.com/tianyang-x/EpiAwareNet_pub.
Tianyang Xu, Tianci Liu, Niraj Rayamajhi +4
May 30, 2026cs.LG

On the Recoverability of Causal Relations from Bulk Gene Expression Data

Bulk gene expression profiling, which aggregates pooled RNA across cells within a biological sample, remains important in the single-cell era because it is typically less noisy, more sensitive, and more cost-effective than single-cell assays. Accordingly, a growing body of computational methods seeks to recover causal relations among genes from bulk expression data. However, aggregation is a lossy, non-invertible coarsening of the underlying cellular system, and it remains unclear whether and under what conditions causal relations are recoverable from aggregated bulk gene expression data. To answer this, we formalize recoverability under aggregation through two notions of consistency: functional-form consistency and conditional-independence consistency. We then derive necessary and sufficient conditions for recoverability, showing that these properties are preserved only under linear aggregations (e.g., sum/mean) coupled with affine structural equations. To assess the practical plausibility of these conditions, analyses of four bulk and four single-cell gene expression datasets further reveal that the estimated pairwise regulatory functions among genes deviate from linearity in both data types, providing limited empirical support for the linearity assumptions required for recoverability. Together, these results caution against recovering causal relations from aggregated bulk expression data without strong additional assumptions.
Gongxu Luo, Boyang Sun, Kun Zhang
May 28, 2026cs.LG

CellBRIDGE: Learning Cellular Trajectories via Interaction-Aware Alignment

Inferring dynamics from population snapshots is a fundamental challenge in machine learning and biology. In scRNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq), destructive measurements preclude direct tracking of individual cells across time, making trajectory inference underdetermined. Optimal Transport (OT) provides a principled framework for snapshot alignment, but a long-standing modeling question is which cost functions yield biologically meaningful couplings. Standard OT approaches rely on gene-expression distances, implicitly treating cells as independent points and neglecting structured cell-cell communication mediated by ligand-receptor signaling. We introduce CellBRIDGE (Cell-Based Regularized Interaction-Driven Gene Expression), which augments feature-based OT with a directed, typed interaction cost derived from ligand-receptor activity. By explicitly modeling cell-cell communication, CellBRIDGE improves cross-snapshot couplings and downstream trajectory estimates across synthetic and real scRNA-seq datasets relative to feature-only baselines. Notably, CellBRIDGE enables mechanistically interpretable in silico perturbations: on lung cancer data, silencing specific ligand-receptor pairs induces trajectory shifts that recapitulate expected effects of targeted pathway inhibition.
Silas Ruhrberg Estévez, Nicolas Huynh, Tennison Liu +4
May 24, 2026cs.LG

Evolving Causal Regulatory Networks (ECR-Net)

Modern machine learning models excel at pattern recognition but remain brittle, often failing to generalize out of distribution (OOD) because they capture spurious correlations rather than the underlying causal data-generating process. Current causal discovery methods, while powerful, typically assume a static graph structure, rendering them unable to model systems that adapt or undergo structural changes across different environments. We introduce ECR-Net, Evolving Causal Regulatory Networks, a novel, bio-inspired framework for adaptive causal mechanism discovery. Our approach models the data-generating process not as a static graph, but as a dynamic system analogous to a Gene Regulatory Network (GRN), composed of localized, recursive functions where variables can activate and inhibit one another. To discover the latent structure of this network, we employ an evolutionary search algorithm that evolves a population of candidate regulatory graphs, optimizing for a fitness function that measures how well the simulated system dynamics reconstruct the observed data. The key innovation of ECR-Net is its ability to model structural adaptation, it explicitly ingests shifts in the data's statistical properties as signals of an environmental shock. In response, the evolutionary search identifies parsimonious modifications to the causal graph topology, such as link inhibitions or activations that explain the new data regime. We posit that ECR-Net represents a new class of adaptive Structural Causal Models capable of discovering how and why a system's fundamental rules change, offering a path toward robust generalization in complex, non-stationary systems.
Govind Vallabhasseri Binish, Abdhul Ahadh, Rano Roy Kavanal +1
May 6, 2026cs.LG

When Does Gene Regulatory Network Inference Break? A Controlled Diagnostic Study of Causal and Correlational Methods on Single-Cell Data

Despite theoretical advantages, causal methods for Gene Regulatory Network (GRN) inference from single-cell RNA-seq data consistently fail to match or outperform correlation-based baselines in many realistic benchmarks, a persistent puzzle which casts doubt on the value of causality for this task. We argue that existing benchmarks are insufficiently controlled to answer this question because they evaluate on real or semi-real data where multiple pathologies co-occur, confounding failure modes, and obscuring the specific conditions under which different inference methods excel or fail. To address this gap, we introduce a controlled diagnostic framework that isolates seven biologically motivated pathologies (dropout, latent confounders, cell-type mixing, feedback loops, network density, sample size, and pseudotime drift) and measure how six representative methods spanning three inference paradigms degrade as each pathology intensifies. Across 6,120 controlled experiments, we find that causal methods genuinely dominate in clean and structurally favorable regimes, but specific pathologies (notably dropout and latent confounders) selectively neutralize their advantages. We further introduce an error-type decomposition that reveals methods with similar aggregate accuracy commit qualitatively different errors. To probe whether single-pathology effects persist when multiple stressors co-occur, we perform an interaction sweep over the three most impactful pathologies and find that their joint effects are sub-additive, while also exposing density-conditional cross-overs invisible to single-dial analysis. Our findings offer a nuanced understanding of when and why different methods succeed or fail for GRN inference, providing actionable insights for method development and practical guidance for practitioners.
Miguel Fernandez-de-Retana, Ruben Sanchez-Corcuera, Unai Zulaika +2
May 5, 2026cs.LG

Partially Observed Structural Causal Models

Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) as an extension of structural causal models (SCMs) to settings where upstream contexts co-determine both the interaction structure and downstream mechanisms on observed variables. POSCMs thus provide a self-contained causal modeling framework for endogenous graphs, allowing for an intervention hierarchy spanning node- and edge-level contexts and endogenous variable interventions. To define edge interventions, we separate node mechanisms into edge-local transmission channels that can be modified without changing the source node or the rest of the target mechanism. We provide an identifiability theory that clarifies which intervention families would suffice to disentangle structure formation from mechanisms. We then empirically validate these theoretical results in two external simulators: a biophysically detailed virtual human retina and a gene-regulatory analogue. The experiments reproduce non-identifiability under latent context, expose structure-mechanism confounding under latent edges, and recover pathway-level input-output relationships under targeted interventions, consistent with our positive Markov kernel identifiability results. Together, POSCMs provide an intervention-oriented framework for causal systems in which contexts, graph structure, mechanisms, and measurements are jointly generated and only partially observed.
Turan Orujlu, Jordan Matelsky, Martin V. Butz +2
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Towards Universal Gene Regulatory Network Inference: Unlocking Generalizable Regulatory Knowledge in Single-cell Foundation Models

Gene Regulatory Network (GRN) inference is essential for understanding complex cellular mechanisms, rendered tractable through single-cell transcriptomic data. With the emergence of single-cell Foundation Models (scFMs), enhanced transcriptomic encoding is widely expected to revolutionize GRN inference. However, we observe that their performance remains far from satisfactory. The primary reason is that the standard reconstruction-based pre-training objectives often fail to explicitly capture latent regulatory signals. To bridge this gap, we first introduce a GRN generalization benchmark designed to evaluate regulatory predictions on unseen genes and datasets, which relies on the zero-shot capabilities of scFMs and is inherently challenging for traditional methods. Furthermore, to unlock the regulatory knowledge within the foundation models, we propose two novel methods, Virtual Value Perturbation and Gradient Trajectory, to distill implicit regulatory information from scFMs into highly generalizable inter-gene features. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms existing methods, establishing a new paradigm for leveraging the potential of scFMs in universal GRN inference.
Jiaxin Qi, Hang Li, Yan Cui +2
Apr 27, 2026q-bio.MN

Learning biophysical models of gene regulation with probability flow matching

Cellular differentiation is governed by gene regulatory networks, the high-dimensional stochastic biochemical systems that determine the transcriptional landscape and mediate cellular responses to signals and perturbations. Although single-cell RNA sequencing provides quantitative snapshots of the transcriptome, current methods for inferring gene-regulatory dynamics often lack mechanistic interpretability and fail to generalize to unseen conditions. Here we introduce Probability Flow Matching (PFM), a scalable framework for learning biophysically consistent stochastic processes directly from time-resolved single-cell measurements. Applying PFM to three hematopoiesis datasets, we show that models with similar interpolation accuracy can encode fundamentally different dynamics, with only biophysically consistent formulations accurately capturing mechanisms of lineage transitions, fate specification, and gene perturbation responses. We further demonstrate that PFM accommodates unbalanced populations, enabling simultaneous inference of cellular proliferation and death dynamics. Together, these results establish PFM as a flexible, scalable framework for integrating mechanistic modeling with single-cell omics.
Suryanarayana Maddu, Victor Chardès, Michael J. Shelley
Feb 9, 2026cs.LG

Central Dogma Transformer II: An AI Microscope for Understanding Cellular Regulatory Mechanisms

Motivation: Interpretability is not optional in biology: understanding gene regulation requires models whose learned structure can be directly interrogated, not merely accurate predictors whose internals resist mapping onto regulatory relationships. We ask whether an architecture mirroring the central dogma yields attention and gradient maps that recover known regulatory elements and networks in inspectable form. Results: Central Dogma Transformer II (CDT-II) mirrors the central dogma in its architecture -- DNA self-attention, RNA self-attention, and DNA-to-RNA cross-attention -- requiring only genomic embeddings and raw per-cell expression. On K562 CRISPR interference (CRISPRi) data with five genes held out entirely, CDT-II predicts perturbation effects (per-gene mean r = 0.84), recovers the GFI1B regulatory network (6.6-fold enrichment, P = 3.5 x 10^-17), and concentrates cross-attention on ENCODE regulatory elements including CTCF sites (mean 7.67x across 28 target genes, P < 0.001). Gradient attribution predicts consequences of perturbing therapeutic targets (mean r = 0.82). For TFRC, target of the anti-TfR1 antibody PPMX-T003, it identifies erythrocyte-structure, iron-dependent DNA-synthesis and oxidative-stress genes, matching anemia and ferroptosis reported clinically and preclinically -- without clinical data as input. CDT-II acts as an AI microscope, surfacing clinically relevant regulatory structure from perturbation experiments alone. Availability: Source code is available at https://github.com/nobusama/CDT2. Pre-computed embeddings, training data, and model weights are available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/nobusama17/CDT2-data.
Nobuyuki Ota