LLM Evaluation

LLM: Large Language Model

Latest papers 1,643

Aug 4, 2026cs.AI

Reversing Arrows in Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved strong performance on text-to-knowledge graph generation and related tasks. Nevertheless, it is still unclear whether they accurately model the direction-dependent semantics of inverse relations, in which reversing the order of the arguments alters the meaning of a relation (e.g., \textit{mother} versus \textit{child}). To the best of our knowledge, this work presents the first systematic study of inverse relation directionality in LLMs, using a benchmark consisting of 5,457 instances spanning 27 distinct inverse relation labels. We evaluate five open-source LLMs under a multiple-choice prompting framework and further examine the influence of relation descriptions and entity representations by substituting the original entities with synthetic and masked entities. Our findings reveal systematic asymmetries in inverse relation classification across LLMs, indicate that relation descriptions do not consistently improve performance, and show that model performance can be sensitive to variations in entity representations.
Aug 4, 2026cs.AI

AI World Cup 2026: Benchmarking Large Language Models for End-to-End Football Tournament Prediction

Large language models (LLMs) are now regularly asked to forecast real-world events, but comparisons are often difficult because models receive different information, use different tools, and are evaluated under different rules. This paper reports the completed \emph{AI World Cup} benchmark, in which ten LLM-based assistants made a single pre-tournament forecast of the entire 2026 FIFA World Cup. Every submission used the same tournament snapshot, prompt, JSON schema, and scoring procedure. The forecasts covered group-stage scores, group rankings, the knockout bracket, final placings, confidence values, and short explanations. After all 104 matches had been played, GPT-5.5 Thinking finished first with 744 points, followed by GPT-5.5 with 717, Gemini with 699, and Qwen 3.7 with 687. GPT-5.5 Thinking was also the only model to select Spain, which defeated Argentina 1--0 in the final, as champion. The final ranking was driven mainly by knockout performance: total score was strongly correlated with knockout points (r=0.986r=0.986), but showed little relationship with group-stage match points (r=0.055r=0.055), group-standing points (r=−0.103r=-0.103), or their combined pre-knockout score (r=−0.054r=-0.054). Match-level accuracy produced a different ordering. Claude Sonnet 4.6 correctly predicted the largest number of group-stage outcomes (63.89%) but placed sixth overall. Average self-reported confidence was also unrelated to either outcome accuracy (r=−0.060r=-0.060) or total score (r=−0.067r=-0.067). The results suggest that forecasting a complete tournament tests something different from predicting matches one at a time, while also showing how strongly a bracket-based leaderboard can depend on scoring design. The benchmark materials, raw responses, and scoring code are released to support replication and future extensions.
Aug 4, 2026cs.LG

Shorter Reasoning, Earlier Answers? An Evaluation of Reasoning Interfaces

Large language models often reason at length before answering, increasing cost and latency. Prompts and trained settings can shorten this reasoning, but a shorter trace may only show that the model stopped sooner. Here, we evaluate paired runs of the same question at matched reasoning horizons across 198 GPQA Diamond and 500 MMLU-Pro questions. We test a numeric/concision prompt that announces a token limit for Qwen3-14B and the trained effort settings of gpt-oss-20b and -120b. The Qwen prompt shortens reasoning traces by 12-17%, while accuracy changes at matched token limits are small and mixed. A concise/early-answer instruction raises MMLU-Pro accuracy by 3.8 percentage points at 512 tokens, including +2.7 points when both runs are unfinished. Its gain at 2,048 tokens is uncertain. For gpt-oss, candidate-logit answers from completed low- and medium-effort reasoning are 14.5-26.3 points more accurate than matched-horizon high-effort answers. Most of the 512-token advantage comes from lower effort finishing earlier, while differences among unfinished runs are smaller and mixed. Wrong early answers often concentrate probability on the chosen option, so earlier stopping does not uniformly improve probability quality. In these tests, a tight deadline can favor lower effort or a concise instruction, whereas allowing high effort to finish can recover higher final accuracy. Evaluations should report correct completion before a deadline, the answer obtained when a run is stopped, differences among unfinished runs, and probability assigned to the correct answer separately.
Aug 4, 2026cs.AI

MMLongBench-Doc-V2: A Corrected-Annotation, Semantics-Aware Revision of MMLongBench-Doc

MMLongBench-Doc is a long-document QA benchmark of 1,082 questions over 135 PDFs. Two properties of it push measured scores away from the quantity they are meant to capture: the reference metric compares extracted answers, so 1,358,000 loses to 1358000; and a non-trivial share of ground-truth annotations are wrong, ambiguous, or incomplete --- concentrated, because of how they were found, in exactly the questions capable systems answer correctly. MMLongBench-Doc-V2 corrects 106 annotations, each published with the page and arithmetic that settle it, and replaces the string metric with a pinned LLM judge asked whether a response means the reference. Ten questions whose document ships under the wrong filename are removed rather than counted wrong, along with one duplicated question, leaving 1,071 questions over 134 documents. The most reusable contribution is a decision procedure for when an empty set key may be widened and when widening would destroy a deliberate negative sample; applied to all 208 rows, it widened 14. V2 scores are not comparable with published V1 numbers. The corrected corpus, the per-entry correction record and the evaluation harness are available at https://github.com/VectifyAI/MMLongBench-Doc-V2.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Don't Let Me Ask for It: LLMs Show Deficiencies in Active Multi-Turn Information Acquisition for Abductive Inference

Abductive reasoning requires forming hypotheses that explain observed evidence and revising them as new evidence becomes available. While large language models (LLMs) are often evaluated on whether they solve abductive reasoning tasks correctly, less is known about how they acquire evidence, update their hypotheses, and decide when to stop. We introduce Alien Abduction game, an interactive probe for studying these behaviours under different interaction modes. The modes vary in whether evidence is provided upfront or across turns, and whether queries are selected by the model or examples are provided by the oracle. Across models, providing evidence upfront leads to higher success rates than distributing it across turns. In multi-turn settings, some models commit before using the available evidence, while others exhaust the turn budget without converging. Models also achieve higher success rates when examples are provided by the oracle than when they select their own queries, although their final hypotheses are more consistent with the evidence they selected. These findings suggest that models may form hypotheses that fit self-selected evidence without sufficiently distinguishing them from alternatives, and may struggle to validate and refine their hypotheses or determine when to stop.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Benchmarking the Benchmarks: Testing the Predictive Validity of Commonsense Benchmarks

Predicting LLM's capabilities on real-world tasks is essential, yet the extent to which performance on commonsense benchmarks predicts downstream performance remains underspecified. To establish the practical usability of widely adopted commonsense benchmarks, we evaluate 23 models from six families on four established commonsense benchmarks, four reworked variants, three non-commonsense controls, and eight downstream tasks requiring implicit social, pragmatic, temporal, or physical reasoning. We compare model rankings, compute controlled correlations, and use leave-one-family-out cross-validation to assess the criterion validity of commonsense benchmarks. Our results show that revised benchmarks largely preserve original model rankings and do not improve downstream predictive power. Commonsense benchmarks show consistent cross-family predictive validity for only a narrow subset of downstream tasks, with smaller or metric-specific gains elsewhere. Overall, standardized commonsense benchmarks provide task-dependent rather than broad evidence of downstream commonsense competence.
Aug 4, 2026cs.SE

Evaluating LLM Trade-offs for Enterprise Automation: Lessons from Workflow Generation in a Production Enterprise Platform

Enterprise compliance management requires rapid adaptation to evolving regulatory frameworks (e.g., DORA, AI RMF, FedRAMP) and tight remediation SLAs. Traditional static orchestrators often fail in hybrid cloud environments where event-driven assessments demand that automation code adapt to runtime context in seconds. This paper presents lessons learned from evaluating six large language models for AI-driven workflow generation in a production enterprise platform, benchmarked across 29 real-world IT automation scenarios, two generation pipeline architectures, and eight independent runs per prompt-model-pipeline configuration (2,784 runs total). Our initial pipeline used monolithic workflow generation, achieving 31.5-82.8% structural success rates (JSON schema validity and correct UI rendering), with most models struggling on complex JSON generation. We developed a redesigned piecewise pipeline that decomposes workflow construction into variable scaffolding, base block assembly, and nested block generation, raising structural success to 74.1-97.8% across all models. We analyze production tradeoffs including cost (USD 0.008-0.20 per workflow), latency (under 50s for interactive use), and model selection. Piecewise decomposition enables smaller models (e.g., mistral-small at 95.7% structural success and USD 0.01 per workflow) to reach production viability, removing dependency on expensive frontier models. While mistral-medium-2505 and gpt-oss-120b achieved the highest structural success (96.1% and 97.8%), mistral-medium-2505 carries a 19x cost premium versus mistral-small. Our deployment lessons highlight the need to separate structural validity from semantic correctness (logical fulfillment of user intent) and provide a solution for model-agnostic, scalable automation in cloud engineering.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

On the Diversity of Analogy Making in Large Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable potential for analogy making, a core cognitive capability that drives novelty and creativity. While prior research has extensively investigated the applications and underlying mechanisms of LLM-based analogy making, its output diversity remains largely unexplored, despite being essential for broadening cross-domain connections and fostering scientific innovation. In this work, we present a comprehensive evaluation of analogy diversity across ten state-of-the-art open- and closed-source LLMs. Our findings highlight a concerning issue of domain homogeneity, a prevalent tendency for LLMs to generate analogies from a narrow set of target domains, limiting both inter-query and intra-model diversity. Furthermore, our analysis reveals a fundamental trade-off in existing LLM diversity-enhancement methods: increasing output diversity often comes at the expense of output quality. Finally, our causal analysis of LLM information flow reveals substantial differences in the model-sensitive regions governing analogy diversity across LLMs, suggesting a potential mechanism for the observed diversity-quality trade-off. To our knowledge, this is among the first studies to systematically investigate output diversity in LLM-based analogy making.
Aug 4, 2026cs.AI

Reachability Is Not Realization: Tracing the Sources of LLM Benchmark Gains

Benchmark gains are often treated as evidence of greater LLM capability. Yet the same gain can reflect different changes in model behavior. A model may reach new answers, or produce answers that were already within reach. Aggregate scores do not distinguish these changes question by question. We establish a question-level audit under fixed budgets, temperatures, and answer formats. A question is realized when the default deployment procedure produces the correct answer. A question is reachable when a specified probe finds that answer within a fixed budget. We first test whether inference-time layer routing can expand reachability. Under a matched budget, random routes match or exceed structured search in all 43 model and task settings. Answer-blind procedures retain almost none of this gain, which instead requires access to the correct answer. We then ask why reachable answers sometimes fail to appear. Across six cases spanning 0.5B to 31B, silencing one identified MLP block repairs 68 to 92 percent of a predefined failure set. We next test whether training closes the gap by expanding reachability. In five of six matched evaluations, deployed performance rises while the reachable ceiling remains flat or falls. For DAPO, the deployed score rises by 14.7 points while the reachable ceiling falls by 13.3 points. Across the settings we audit, realization and reachability therefore do not always change together. Claims of capability expansion should report both realized performance and reachability under matched evaluation conditions. Code is available at https://github.com/LiZaiyuan0619/reachability-not-realization
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Beyond Accuracy: A Multidimensional Evaluation of Statistical Reasoning in Large Language Models

Statistical reasoning is multidimensional, yet evaluations of large language models (LLMs) typically emphasize response accuracy while overlooking how models construct and communicate statistical explanations. This study demonstrates the value of a multidimensional evaluation by combining response accuracy, response behavior, structural topic modeling, and lexical similarity analysis. The framework is applied to explanations generated by 15 current-generation LLMs responding to 90 questions drawn from four statistics examinations spanning high school, undergraduate, and graduate levels. Accuracy varied substantially across models, ranging from 55% to 78%. In contrast, structural topic modeling revealed a common conceptual organization of statistical reasoning across all models, while lexical similarity analysis identified modest but consistent vendor-specific differences in explanatory style. Models developed by the same vendor (e.g. Anthropic, OpenAI) produced explanations that were slightly more similar than models from different vendors. These findings demonstrate that statistical reasoning in contemporary LLMs cannot be characterized by accuracy alone and illustrate how complementary analyses of response behavior and model-generated explanations provide a more comprehensive evaluation of statistical reasoning in generative AI.
Aug 4, 2026cs.AI

On the missing benchmarks layer and a potential solution

Latin America is missing a foundational layer for native AI development: the benchmark layer. The benchmark layer does two things no other layer can - it audits AI systems against regional social requirements and it directs AI optimization in economically relevant environments. Without it, public institutions cannot independently evaluate foreign AI systems, and companies cannot optimize AI systems to solve local problems with SOTA performance. The cost of the missing layer is dual: a loss of auditability and a loss of optimization direction over a technology that is increasingly critical infrastructure. We propose an EvalsHub, with LatamBoard as its first regional instance - an open, task-first benchmark infrastructure where universities, public institutions, professional communities, and companies can publish, execute, compare, and maintain evaluations across models, workflows, and agents. Built once, measured forever - re-run by institutions as new AI systems ship and by industry teams after every system change. Open by design and incentive-driven by construction.
Aug 4, 2026cs.LG

Temporal Leakage in LLM Backtesting: Measurement, Validation, and Adjusted Scores

The standard check for contamination in LLM backtests is simple: compare scores before and after the training cutoff. We show this check is uninformative. Four flagship models fail it on questions they cannot have memorized: every scored question resolved after their cutoffs. The reason is structural. Models legitimately know more about times near their cutoff, so recency mimics leakage, and we prove no passive backtest can separate the two from genuine skill. Measurement, not just detection, requires information from outside the backtest. We supply it in two forms. A known cutoff identifies leakage at the boundary; a matched clean control identifies it globally and yields a leakage-adjusted score. We also derive where leakage hides: it concentrates on outcomes that surprised the crowd and were well covered in training, and partial memorization is disproportionately rewarded. We validate the estimators against ground truth by planting leakage in twin models, where they recover the injected dose and return null on clean questions. Deployed on frontier models, they detect one cutoff-localized signature and, at the audit's power floor, clear five models whose apparent advantages were recency alone. Backtests need not be discarded; they need one defensible reference.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

TQLite: Multi-LLM Jury Guided Distillation for Real-time MQM Translation Quality Evaluation

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance in MQM-based translation quality (TQ) evaluation, and recent advances in large reasoning models (LRMs) promise even greater improvements. However, both LLMs and LRMs are computationally expensive to deploy at scale, while small language models (SLMs)---though much more efficient---struggle with the complex reasoning required for evaluation tasks. In this work, we present an extensive empirical study benchmarking SLMs, LLMs, and LRMs across a wide range of TQ evaluation setups, providing a comprehensive view of the current landscape and establishing best practices. To address the scalability challenge, we introduce TQLite, a novel distillation framework that enables SLMs to approach the MQM evaluation performance of the best LRM-based evaluators. Our approach leverages a multi-LRM jury to generate high-quality synthetic training data via practical data curation techniques and aggregation of evaluation responses across a diverse panel of models. Our results demonstrate that SLMs trained via TQLite achieve strong MQM evaluation performance that far exceeds off-the-shelf evaluation capabilities of standard SLMs, offering a scalable and cost-effective alternative to LLM- and LRM-based evaluators.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Mapping the City Through the Lens of Language Models

Language models often complete an underspecified reference to a city with unstated assumptions about urban size, form, infrastructure, environment, and function. We measure those assumptions without naming places. Ten open-weight checkpoints rate anonymized profiles derived from real morphological urban centres across 40 audited indicators and seven domains. The design combines constrained probability-based ratings, prespecified reliability screens, lineage-aware aggregation, multiple population weightings, an independent replication sample, and whole-profile validation. The clearest shared tendency favours urban profiles with larger developed area, faster recent growth, greater mapped infrastructure and non-residential capacity, and less sparse form. Most eligible directions recur in the replication data, and direct ratings of complete profiles show moderate agreement with the indicator-wise construction. Geographic differences shrink after accounting for city scale and development, while reliably measured paired tasks indicate that typicality and desirability are often closely aligned. The framework makes an otherwise vague notion of what models regard as an ordinary city empirically traceable. The resulting evidence delineates a shared yet model-dependent portrait of the city through the lens of language models.
Aug 3, 2026cs.CL

Every Wrong Answer Counts: Option-Level Psychometrics for LLM Multiple-Choice Benchmarks

Most multiple-choice question (MCQ) benchmarks evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) only by whether they select the correct answers. This binary scoring treats all incorrect responses alike, even though an LLM's preferences among incorrect options may contain systematic and useful information about its behavior and ability. We introduce the LLM Nominal Response Model (LLM-NRM), an option-aware psychometric framework that models the full distribution over answer choices to jointly estimate LLM ability and option-level item characteristics, while separating model-specific response calibration sharpness, positional preference, and difficulty-dependent fallback behavior. Across 189 LLMs and 31,554 items from 14 benchmarks, LLM-NRM predicts held-out LLM-item interactions more accurately than binary Item Response models and conventional nominal-response baselines, and its ability estimates achieve the strongest Spearman correlation of 0.920 with the external human-preference Arena.ai Elo leaderboard. Distractor identity contributes +101% additional Fisher Information per item beyond correctness, and incorrect responses alone recover full-information ability estimates with Spearman 0.943. The learned item parameters also enable efficient benchmarking, where 41 selected items preserve the full-bank ranking with Kendall's correlation 0.85, corresponding to a 770 times reduction. In conclusion, we show that incorrect answers carry distinct and useful measurement information rather than representing equivalent mistakes.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

onepot-Bench 0: towards lab-aware in silico chemistry benchmarks

Language models are playing an increasingly important role in laboratory science, performing tasks such as experiment planning, execution, and post-hoc analysis. However, precisely measuring their abilities is difficult, as scientific capabilities require a mixture of both problem-solving skills and domain-specific intuition. Existing evaluations rarely measure the capabilities required to make reliable decisions in a physical laboratory and often rely on public data that may have appeared in model training corpora. We introduce onepot-Bench 0, a proprietary benchmark suite for evaluating language models on synthetic chemistry capabilities relevant to wet-lab execution. onepot-Bench 0 comprises three complementary evaluations: ChemAbacus measures tool-free cheminformatics literacy and numerical reasoning; SynthRefusal characterizes safety and refusal behavior across a variety of benign, controlled, and designer-drug targets; and SynthBench evaluates reaction-outcome prediction and catalyst selection using private experimental data generated in our laboratory. Together, these evaluations probe basic competency, reliability, and deeper knowledge, all skills which are required for reliable performance in the lab.
Aug 3, 2026cs.CL

Training-Free versus Training-Based Intent Classification in LLMs: Accuracy, Robustness, and Failure Modes

Intent classification in Large Language Models (LLMs) involves categorizing user prompts into predefined classes. For instance, given a user prompt, the system must determine whether it primarily concerns mathematics, coding, or general text processing. Such classification enables routing prompts to specialized models optimized for specific domains, improving both accuracy and computational efficiency. In this work, we conduct a systematic study comparing training-free vs training-based approaches for intent classification. For this purpose, we consider two lightweight, training-free methods based on statistics of internal representations and compare them against MLP classifiers and linear probes. Our comprehensive empirical evaluation reveals that 1) Both training-free and training-based methods saturate easy benchmarks (mathematics vs. coding vs. natural language), 2) Training-based classifiers have an advantage on harder classification tasks (e.g. Java vs Python), and 3) Training-free methods are generally more robust to mixed-intent and adversarial prompts.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

Why Large Language Models Fail at Tabular Prediction

Large language models (LLMs) have become the default tool for a remarkable range of tasks, yet they have had conspicuously little success at one of the most common machine learning workloads: predictive analytics over tabular data. This gap is the founding premise of the fast-growing field of tabular foundation models, but the question of why generic LLMs fail has remained open. We study a frontier LLM in its purest inference regime - a single generation pass over a prompt containing the full training and test data, with no tools, no agentic scaffolding, and no fine-tuning - and systematically evaluate five hypotheses for the failure: (a) an inability to handle noisy or non-linearly-separable data; (b) the linearised CSV format obscuring column structure; (c) the tokenisation of numeric values; (d) the number of test points classified per query; and (e) the dimensionality of the input. Controlled experiments falsify (a)-(d). Dimensionality, in contrast, is decisive: sweeping random linear projections of thirty-one benchmark datasets, the LLM is the only method among nine whose accuracy decreases as dimensionality grows, while every classical baseline stays flat or improves. A behavioural comparison against 252 configured classical models finds that in two dimensions the LLM predicts like a local, distance-based method (up to 91.6% grid agreement), but in higher dimensions no classical model - even when augmented with tuned, dimension-dependent noise - reproduces its predictions. We do not claim to have identified the internal mechanism; our results show, more modestly, that the LLM's capability dissolves with dimension in a way no noise-corrupted classical learner mimics - which explains why LLMs, so capable elsewhere, keep losing to fifty-year-old baselines on tables, while leaving the mechanism of the prediction as an open question.
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

MonitrLLM: A Community-Centered Evaluation Infrastructure for Large Language Models

Benchmark suites assess model capability on controlled tasks; large-scale conversation corpora capture naturalistic use without user feedback; and in-interface feedback mechanisms record satisfaction without task purpose. Together, they leave a critical gap in LLM evaluation: no existing infrastructure routinely links interaction trajectories to user-defined outcomes. We introduce MonitrLLM, open-source infrastructure for community-centered LLM evaluations that links full conversation transcripts to user-reported task intent and outcome assessments, treating all three as primary evaluative signals rather than optional metadata. To demonstrate the value of this approach, we conducted a two-week feasibility pilot with 26 college students using ChatGPT, collecting 206 evaluation reports with full conversation transcripts. The findings from our pilot demonstrate the value of connecting conversation trajectories with user-reported outcomes. For instance, despite reporting high average satisfaction (4.19/5) with their LLM interactions, participants also experience a substantial 23.1% failure rate on their goal tasks. We also find that multi-turn conversations are reported as failing at 2.5 times the rate of single-turn exchanges, a pattern that reframes extended interaction as a signal of difficulty rather than engagement. We conclude by discussing the value of incorporating direct user feedback with observational data for robust LLM evaluations, and the possibilities for infrastructure that enables this goal.
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

From Simple QA to Deep Research: A Verifiable Benchmark Constructed through Iterative Task Evolution

Deep research benchmarks require expert-level tasks and reliable evaluation grounded in task-specific knowledge. Existing benchmarks rely heavily on expert authoring or pre-existing human-authored materials, while fully automatic construction struggles to ensure consistent and traceable verification. To address this gap, we introduce a verifiable benchmark of 500 deep research tasks spanning 31 topics and 10 major categories, with three query forms designed to probe complementary capabilities required for deep research. The benchmark is constructed automatically using an iterative Explorer-Formalizer-Challenger pipeline that progressively transforms simple questions into deep research tasks. Each task is represented as a directed acyclic graph (DAG) of atomic steps and associated checkpoints, enabling the query, DAG, and rubrics to evolve together in a controlled manner. Experiments demonstrate that the benchmark clearly discriminates among models and query types, while its fact-grounded pointwise rubrics enable fine-grained, human-aligned, and stable evaluation. Our data, implementation, and results are publicly available.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

How Much Does a Reasoning Summary Reveal? An Observability Ladder for Large Language Models

Large language models often show users a final response and a short reasoning summary while the full reasoning trace stays hidden. We introduce an observability ladder that holds each completed run fixed and varies only what a reader inspects to judge whether the answer is correct: the response, a self-summary the model writes from the trace, the trace itself, and internal signals, each with and without the prompt. Across three benchmarks and five open-weight Qwen3 and gpt-oss models, we train matched linear correctness predictors on each access level. Without the prompt, summaries carry most of the trace's ranking signal (mean AUROC 0.774 versus 0.813) and add +0.156 over the response alone. With the prompt visible, the summary's gain collapses to +0.019, while the trace still adds +0.041. Even at equal length, the trace's last words predict correctness as well as summaries, or slightly better, and carry denser and more discriminative uncertainty and self-correction cues. On MMLU-Pro questions with both correct and incorrect runs, linear summary readers are near chance and trace readers retain only modest signal, both with and without the prompt (prompt-withheld AUROC 0.503-0.545 versus 0.544-0.590). With the prompt withheld, a GPT-5-mini reader recovers substantially more signal from both summaries and traces on gpt-oss-20b, and even then the trace keeps a small +0.034 advantage. Much of the linear readers' trace signal is associated with length. In the common case where users already hold the prompt, summaries are less helpful than the full trace for monitoring correctness. Monitorability is thus a joint property of the display and the reader, so any monitorability claim, including for faithfulness, should specify both.
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

Conformity Mitigations in Large Language Models Lie on a Single Resistance-Receptivity Frontier

Recent advances in language models have enabled collaborative settings in which multiple models leverage one another's capabilities, iteratively improving, transforming, and extending each other's outputs. Each agent sees what the others assert before it answers, so peer opinion competes with the model's own parametric knowledge, and a wrong majority can overturn an answer the model would otherwise get right. We measure that displacement in 23 open-weight models, 19 conditions, and three datasets, yielding more than a million graded responses. A unanimous wrong majority reverses 22.8% of a model's correct MMLU answers, 54.8% on GPQA and 71.0% on SimpleQA, and 84-89% of the reversed answers match the peers' answers. Existing mitigations aim to increase Resistance, the rate at which a model keeps its correct answer under this pressure, which is only half of what a collaborating agent needs. We pair it with Receptivity, the rate at which a model adopts a correct peer answer after initially answering incorrectly. We score six methods on both axes, four drawn from prior work and two of our own. Each gains Resistance only by losing Receptivity, and their means fall on a single Resistance-Receptivity frontier with R2R^2 between 0.80 and 0.90. Reflection, the strongest published method, gains 7.9 points of MMLU Resistance and gives up 15.3 of Receptivity. Reasoning is the one exception. On GPQA and SimpleQA it trades like the rest, but on the MMLU subjects whose answers a model can derive for itself it raises Resistance by 7.2 points and Receptivity by 9.6 at once, the only intervention we find that improves both.
Aug 3, 2026cs.IR

Floor, Ceiling, and the Fusion Gap: How Much of Crowd Reading Attention Can Machines Predict?

A benchmark score means nothing without knowing what a trivial method achieves and what the best possible method could achieve. We construct both bounds for a task with a rare kind of ground truth: predicting which sentences a crowd of readers -- highlighting for their own purposes, unpaid, uninstructed, and blind to each other -- marked in 120 web documents. The floor is naive truncation (lead); the ceiling is a split-half oracle: half the crowd predicting the other half. The gap between them is +0.2028 AP [+0.1698, +0.2342, domain-clustered], and three findings structure it. First, the gap is semantic: position and length features recover 5% of it. Second, frontier language models reach 35-53% of it zero-shot -- far above classical baselines, far below the crowd; a state-of-the-art prompt compressor (LLMLingua-2) lands below the floor, indistinguishable from random selection. Third, an unweighted cross-vendor fusion of five frontier rankings plus a position prior reaches 60%, beating the best single model by +0.0159 [+0.0044, +0.0269; Holm p=0.019] -- a gain that survives ablation of its best member, split-half arm selection, prompt paraphrase, and label, gate, and seed perturbations, and was CONFIRMED by a pre-registered replication on 217 independent documents (+0.0179, Holm p=0.042). Finally, the bracket compresses: distilling the fusion into one open-weight 8B student that reads the whole document retains 90% of the fusion's edge and reaches statistical parity with the strongest single frontier model (+0.0070 [-0.0068, +0.0200]), where a local-context student retains only 63% -- the crowd's signal lives in document-level structure, and the cheapest known improvement is to ask several different models and average.
Aug 3, 2026cs.CL

Style Wins, Substance Loses: A Diagnosis of LLM-as-Judge in Idea Generation

However, whether these judges truly evaluate the scientific substance of ideas or are influenced by superficial stylistic presentation remains an open question. To address this question, we propose SciStyleBench, a unified three-component benchmark for diagnosing and mitigating stylistic bias in LLM-based idea evaluation: (i) First, SciStyleStage, a three-stage evaluation environment that applies controlled stylistic perturbations to fixed scientific content across three settings no context, fixed-domain context, and open-domain retrieval context, covering 600 scientific ideas and 15 style variants, with 9,000 evaluation instances per setting; (ii) Second, SciStyleMetrics, a set of quantitative measures, including Style Bias Index (SBI), Substance Recognition Rate (SRR), and Adversarial Win Rate (AWR), to characterize how stylistic variation affects scoring stability, substance discrimination, and ranking robustness; (iii) Third, SciStyleExtractor, a plug-and-play evaluation module that separates presentation style from scientific content by predicting style type and deviation before style-conditioned evaluation, enabling us to assess whether style awareness reduces stylistic bias. Experiments on SciStyleBench show that direct LLM judges remain sensitive to writing style and struggle to distinguish scientific substance. In contrast, SciStyleExtractor reduces SBI from 0.566 to 0.501 while increasing SRR and AWR from 0.504 and 0.554 to 0.759 and 0.899, respectively. These results suggest that robust idea evaluation requires invariance to stylistic variation without sacrificing sensitivity to scientific substance. Overall, SciStyleBench provides a systematic framework for identifying, quantifying, and mitigating stylistic bias in scientific idea evaluation.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

Measuring in-context algorithmic reasoning in language models against an exact Bayes-optimal standard

Whether large language models perform genuine algorithmic reasoning or mere pattern completion is hard to test, because most benchmarks lack a ground truth for correct inductive inference. We introduce F-ICL, an in-context-learning benchmark that supplies one exactly. Using the Turing-complete machine F, complement-symmetrised into sF to remove output-polarity bias, we exhaustively enumerate all 1.5 billion programs of length L≤13L\le13 and compute the Bayes-optimal posterior in closed form under a bounded universal (Levin--Solomonoff) prior; models are scored by how closely their served distributions approach it at matched evidence. Each task is paired with its bitwise complement, on which the optimum scores identically, so an original-twin gap isolates the model's inductive bias. Across 105 serving configurations spanning 37 open models (0.8B--675B) and frontier systems from four laboratories, models answer up to 92% of queries correctly, yet 45 of 46 models yield distributions farther from the optimum than a keystroke reference, and their behaviour is bracketed by low-order prefix statistics fitted only on visible evidence. That reference is itself an algorithmic mixture, induced by a print-only machine with no loops, so the panel's implied measure sits closer to a loop-free mixture than to the loop-bearing optimum, independently of the reference machine. Updating is also non-monotone, which no prior explains: a Bayes-rational solved set can only grow in this realisable, noiseless setting, yet added examples produce 6,5456{,}545 solved-to-unsolved transitions against 13,70213{,}702 gains. The gap is not predicted by accuracy (Spearman ρ=−0.19ρ=-0.19, p=0.21p=0.21), does not close with scale or across frontier generations in the serving modes that expose distributions, and is widened by instruction and reasoning post-training. F-ICL is released as an open, reproducible benchmark and toolkit.
Aug 2, 2026cs.CL

Unified Multi-Dimensional Benchmark for Complex Graph Reasoning in Large Language Models

Graph reasoning provides a promising testbed for evaluating the reasoning ability of large language models (LLMs), as graph instances can be programmatically generated, structurally controlled, and naturally scaled to long-input settings. However, existing graph reasoning benchmarks have limited coverage of data complexity, rely heavily on manual construction, and lack unified evaluation across text-based and code-based reasoning modes. To address these limitations, we propose {\dataset}, a five-stage \textit{semi-automatic} framework for constructing complex graph reasoning benchmarks. It expands benchmark coverage along five dimensions: \textit{Graph Size}, \textit{Task Complexity}, \textit{Task Description}, \textit{Graph Loading}, and \textit{Task Source}. The framework uses an LLM-based data generator to automatically produce task descriptions, graph data, reference solutions, graph-loading scripts, question forms, and evaluation scripts, while retaining human validation at key quality-control stages. Based on it, we construct a benchmark with 202202 tasks and evaluate LLMs under text-based, code-based, and augmented reasoning settings. Experiments show that the complexity dimensions reveal model limitations that are less visible in existing benchmarks; existing fine-tuned models struggle to generalize to GraphGym, whereas retrieval-augmented methods show scenario-dependent adaptability, improving textual reasoning but not consistently improving coding reasoning. These findings suggest that ours serves as a challenging and diagnostic benchmark for graph reasoning and provides empirical guidance for future enhancement methods. Code and dataset will be published soon.
Aug 2, 2026cs.SE

When Policies Change Probabilities: Modular Decision-Making for LLM Code Review

LLM code reviewers often estimate patch risk and make approval decisions in one prompt. A probability should depend on evidence; costs should determine the action taken from it. We test whether four deployed reviewer interfaces preserve this separation using 15,792 responses on 720 candidate patches, with one that passed and one that failed an archived test harness for each of 360 repository issues. In matched calls with the patch and monitor evidence fixed, replacing an equal-cost policy with a 10:1 false-accept policy changes reported failure probabilities by 13.6 to 16.9 percentage points on average. For every reviewer, the actions returned under the high-cost prompt are worse than rejecting all patches. Applying the same high-cost rule to probabilities elicited under equal costs reduces loss for all four systems, showing that probability elicitation itself contributes to the excess loss. We also evaluate a modular pipeline that elicits risk without policy information, combines an independent monitor score, and applies costs in code. Relative to calibrated reviewer-only scores, the pipeline improves average probability accuracy and, at equal costs, reduces mean loss by .073 per issue while accepting 58 to 68% of patches. At 10:1, it accepts none and matches reject-all. Downstream policy can therefore change the probability it is meant to use, motivating separate evaluation of risk, outside evidence, and action.
Aug 2, 2026cs.CL

Language Equality has a Price: A Systematic Investigation of Multi-turn LLM Performance for EU-24+

We evaluate large language models (LLMs) as language agents playing goal-directed dialogue games in self-play across 30 languages: the 24 official EU languages plus six others. Unlike static or preference-based evaluation, this paradigm is multi-turn, reference-free and programmatically scored, and because the game mechanics are language-agnostic it extends to a new language by localising a fixed set of prompt and word-list files. Evaluating nine open-weight and commercial LLMs, we find that no open-weight model covers the EU-24 well: in every official language both commercial systems outscore every open-weight model, and the two weakest average below 40 points across the EU-24. The commercial systems stay ahead even in languages with four orders of magnitude less public web text, showing that linguistic parity is achievable, but not from public crawls alone. A model's home region lifts it without closing the gap: Chinese is the strongest of all 30 languages for two Chinese-developed models, yet the best Chinese score of any model belongs to a US commercial system. Coverage is also not parity of service. Pooled over models and languages, the median non-English language costs 31% more to run than English, and scores 10% lower.
Aug 2, 2026cs.CL

CrossLex: A Source-Grounded Benchmark for Cross-Jurisdictional Legal Reasoning in Large Language Models

Legal reasoning is inherently jurisdiction-dependent: the same facts can call for different legal rules and yield different conclusions across legal systems. Yet existing benchmarks rarely evaluate whether large language models (LLMs) can recognize such jurisdiction-specific variation, especially when identical fact patterns lead to divergent legal outcomes.We introduce CrossLex, a same-fact, legal-source-grounded benchmark for evaluating cross-jurisdictional legal reasoning in LLMs across three jurisdictions: China, California, and Germany. Built from authoritative legal sources, CrossLex aligns 55 legal issues spanning contract, consumer, criminal, family, and labor law, and constructs jurisdiction-aligned questions paired with answers and supporting citations. In total, CrossLex contains 6,149 instances organized into 385 fact groups, with all legal issues, answers, and cited authorities reviewed by legal professionals.To disentangle basic legal knowledge from cross-jurisdictional reasoning, CrossLex defines three complementary tasks: single-jurisdiction reasoning (T1), joint cross-jurisdictional comparison (T2), and fine-grained cross-jurisdictional evaluation (T3). We further propose Grounded Joint, a metric that jointly assesses answer correctness and legal-source grounding, and provide a unified evaluation for streamlined benchmarking. Extensive experiments on representative LLMs show that, although current models can often answer legal questions correctly, they struggle to provide accurate cross-jurisdictional legal citations.We hope that CrossLex will facilitate future research on source-grounded cross-jurisdictional legal reasoning.
Aug 2, 2026cs.CR

Security-First Evaluation of Text-to-Terraform: Benchmarking LLMs and SLMs for Secure IaC Generation

Cloud misconfiguration remains a leading cause of security incidents, yet whether LLMs and SLMs can generate security-compliant Infrastructure-as-Code is an open question. We benchmark seven models, three closed LLMs (Claude Opus 4, GPT-5.4, Gemini 2.5 Pro) and four open SLMs (Qwen2.5-Coder-14B, WizardCoder-33B, CodeLlama-13B, Magicoder-S-CL-7B), on AWS Terraform generation across 17 scenarios, integrating Checkov and Trivy scanners into a GitLab CI/CD pipeline and evaluating two prompt strategies at three security levels (pass@5). Syntactic validity and security compliance are largely orthogonal properties in LLM-generated IaC, a model that reliably produces well-formed Terraform does not necessarily produce secure Terraform: WizardCoder-33B achieves 77.8% validate rate yet zero Checkov compliance, while Claude Opus 4 reaches 23.1% Checkov and 92.5% Trivy pass rates under detailed security prompting. Consequently, prompt engineering alone is insufficient: automated multi-tool scanning remains a necessary complement to LLM-assisted IaC generation regardless of model family or prompt strategy. All artifacts are publicly available.