Tabpfn

Dexterous in-hand manipulation requires policies that coordinate high-DoF hand joints through intermittent, contact-rich interaction. Beyond target-orientation tracking, such policies must discover finger gaits that preserve object stability while adapting to geometry, anisotropy, pose, contact, and sensing changes. We propose \method, a tactile-conditioned behavior prior model for dexterous reorientation. \method distills multi-scale sphere specialists into a latent controller and lets downstream policies reuse the fixed tactile prior through residual latent actions, reducing renewed exploration from raw joint commands. The prior conditions on tactile-proprioceptive history so latent behavior reflects the current hand-object interaction. We evaluate arbitrary-pose transfer across anisotropic objects, commanded-axis rotation, and an arm-hand Grasp-to-AnyPose task in which the robot must grasp, lift, transport, and reach goal poses for novel tool geometries and generalized placements. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method accelerates training and enables stable policies where matched raw-action PPO remains near failure, with successful sim-to-real transfer in in-hand and arm-hand tasks.

This first release of Prior Labs in relational learning shows our continued commitment to open science. We open-source three pieces of software that we expect to accelerate research in the field towards meaningful real-world impact. We aim to steer further development based on feedback from, and in collaboration with, the community. Given the early stage of development, our $α$-release targets researchers and early-adopting practitioners. Over the past years, a variety of datasets and tasks for relational learning have emerged, but the community has not converged on a reliable, reproducible way to compare different methods on these tasks. Our $α$-release, RelArena-$α$, provides a unified framework for running and comparing baselines on RelBench v1 by standardizing data loading, evaluation protocols, tuning regimes, and support for systems with custom tuning, inspired by established tabular benchmarks such as TabArena. We plan to work with the research community to further develop RelArena-$α$ into a catalyst for progress in the relational learning community. We release the initial version of TabPFN-Rel, a purpose-built relational harness for TabPFN-3. Currently ranked first among models on RelArena-$α$, TabPFN-Rel makes key improvements upon RDBLearn. Beyond its ranking, TabPFN-Rel serves as a strong baseline, adding to the growing evidence that flattening a relational database into a single table remains competitive with specialized relational architectures on real-world tasks. To facilitate adoption of relational learning methods in research and industry, we release an initial $α$-version of our Relational Predictive Interface, RPI, an open-source, model-agnostic interface that enables early adopters to easily define problems on new databases and apply any model implemented in RelArena-$α$, including TabPFN-Rel, to these problems.

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) have emerged as novel approaches for tabular predictive tasks, demonstrating competitive predictive performance to ensemble tree-based models. Most TFMs are trained and evaluated on independent and identically distributed data, but this assumption changes in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, which compromise the robustness of models. Limited research has been conducted of TFMs under distribution shifts. We present an empirical evaluation of Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) performance of nine TFMs, spanning diverse pre-training strategies and architectures: TabPFNv2, TabPFNv2.5, TabPFNv2.6, TabPFNv3, TabICL, TabICLv2, Mitra, LimiX and TabFM. Three real-world datasets from the TableShift study were considered (HELOC, Voting, Childhood Lead), covering label, socioeconomic, and geographic shift types. Our results show that all evaluated TFMs degrade systematically under distribution shift regardless of pre-training strategy, with shift gaps ranging from 0.003 to 0.060 depending on shift type. The relationship between in-distribution and OOD predictive performance documented for classical tabular models extends into TFMs. We also identified a scalability gap, as high-performing models demand significant memory and computational resources beyond what standard deployment infrastructure can support. This study extends existing benchmarks for OOD in tabular data, providing evidence to support their adoption in high-stakes domains characterized by structural distribution shifts.

Few-shot multimodal classification commonly attaches a lightweight head, such as $k$-nearest neighbors, logistic regression, or a linear SVM, to a frozen pretrained encoder. Although computationally efficient, these heads can produce poorly calibrated confidence scores, limiting their reliability in calibration-sensitive applications. We evaluate TabPFN as a plug-and-play, zero-gradient classification head for frozen image, text, and audio encoders. Across 22{,}820 evaluation episodes spanning 14 datasets, 11 encoders, and three modalities, TabPFN achieves the best mean rank among nine classification heads on both negative log-likelihood (NLL) and expected calibration error (ECE). At a representative setting, it reduces NLL by 48--62% and ECE by 2.1--5.3$\times$ relative to the average of the eight baselines while matching or exceeding their average accuracy. Its accuracy advantage is conditional, concentrating at moderate-to-high shot counts and low-to-moderate feature dimensions ($k \ge 50$, $d \le 32$), and diminishing when labeled data are scarce, feature dimensions are high, or competing methods approach ceiling accuracy. In targeted backbone-adaptation experiments, replacing the trained linear head with TabPFN substantially improves calibration while preserving competitive accuracy. These results provide empirical guidance for using TabPFN as a training-free head in calibration-sensitive multimodal classification. To support transparency and reproducibility, we publicly release the source code, experiment configurations, and evaluation scripts in our GitHub repository: https://github.com/Jingxiang-Zhang/tabpfn-multimodal-embeddings.

Tabular foundation models have advanced deep learning for tabular data by delivering strong default performance across many small and medium tasks. Yet in niche domains, where data is scarce, high-dimensional, and shifted from the pretraining distribution, they may still fail to outperform carefully designed domain-specific methods. Many such domains also provide curated relational knowledge in the form of knowledge graphs and knowledge banks, but how to use this knowledge to improve and steer \textit{small} specialist tabular foundation models remains unclear. We address this problem through \textbf{Know}ledge-informed fine-tuning of \textbf{s}mall \textbf{T}abular \textbf{F}oundation \textbf{M}odels (\modelname). Specifically, we study nanoscale TabPFN- and TabICL-style variants, pretrained under controlled synthetic prior families and adapted using two complementary mechanisms: structural attention priors derived from knowledge graphs and parameter-efficient low-rank updates. We show that injecting domain-specific structural knowledge during fine-tuning yields meaningful gains over vanilla variants in specialist settings, whereas gains on general-domain tasks are marginal. We further observe that continual fine-tuning of frontier models can trigger collapse of pretrained knowledge and mechanisms.

We introduce TabPFN-CFM, a causal foundation model that can handle multiple causal problems. TabPFN-CFM predicts both causal structure and outcomes from observational data, supports queries on all three levels of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy and uses known graph structure when available to improve predictions. TabPFN-CFM is trained on synthetic datasets, and generalises to real datasets, demonstrating improved performance over both structural and outcome prediction baselines.

We present the first causal mechanistic analysis of a tabular foundation model, investigating how TabPFN 2.5's feature wise attention heads distribute computation across layers. Using activation patching, ablation, and attention entropy across two synthetic regression datasets, we find clear temporal specialisation: one head's causal necessity dominates that of the others by 2 to 5 times at peak layer, with its dominant layer shifting across tasks of different complexity, while the remaining heads exhibit symmetric late layer profiles. Attention entropy and patching provide convergent evidence for the computationally active layers of the dominant head. We additionally investigate inference time steerability via contrastive activation steering, which fails to transfer across samples. We attribute this result to TabPFN's in context learning mechanism, which encodes task structure through context dependent attention rather than the stable parametric directions that make steering tractable in language models.

We investigate how to make small tabular foundation models effective for High-Dimensional, Low-Sample Size (HDLSS) tabular prediction without retraining large backbones. We introduce Graph-guided Ordering with Local Refinement (GO-LR), show its equivalence to weighted Minimum Linear Arrangement, and interpret the practical solver as a TSP-path-style surrogate. We propose GOTabPFN,which builds on GO-LR, and a Neuro-Inspired Subunit Compression (NSC) unit to pool locally adjacent ordered features into meta-features, yielding a compact representation that makes TabPFN-style prediction practical in HDLSS regimes. Across tabular benchmarks, GOTabPFN improves stability and accuracy under tight token budgets.

AI-generated image detection is a moving-target problem: detectors trained on one generator often fail when a new generator appears, and only a few labeled examples are available. We study a simple image-to-table formulation for this regime, where each image is encoded by a frozen DINOv3 backbone, its CLS feature is reduced to a 500-dimensional structured row with PCA, and TabPFN performs real/fake classification by in-context tabular inference rather than task-specific classifier training. This turns fake-image detection into low-data structured prediction over learned visual features, making detector adaptation depend on the labeled context set instead of gradient-based fine-tuning. On GenImage, LATTE, a recent state-of-the-art detector, remains stronger when many labeled samples from all generators are available, by 7.4% in the largest pooled setting, but DINOv3-PCA-TabPFN is stronger in the practically important low-data regime, outperforming LATTE by up to 8.2%, and in transfer settings where the detector must generalize from one generator to another. These results position tabular foundation models as a strong complementary adaptation mechanism for image forensics, shifting adaptation from detector retraining to lightweight in-context updates with a small labeled set of examples. Code URL: https://github.com/jpwalter30/Towards-Generalizable-Detection-of-AI-Generated-Images

Modelling claim frequency and severity for non-life insurance pricing predominantly relies on generalised linear models, with gradient-boosted machines as the leading machine learning alternative. Tabular foundation models (TFMs) present a fundamentally different inference paradigm. By pre-training on large collections of synthetic datasets, TFMs enable inference on new data through in-context learning, without any dataset-specific fitting or hyperparameter tuning. This paper presents a first empirical evaluation of TabPFN for motor insurance pricing, benchmarking it against GLM and XGBoost on two publicly available MTPL datasets. Our results show that TabPFN does not consistently outperform established baselines, exhibits substantially longer inference times, and is sensitive to the size of the in-context training set. While tabular foundation models represent a promising direction, particularly in data-scarce settings, their current performance does not offer a viable replacement for established actuarial methods.

Near-infrared spectroscopy is increasingly used as a rapid, non-destructive chemical sensing technology for the analysis of food, pharmaceutical, biological, and environmental samples. However, the practical deployment of NIR sensors still depends on calibration models able to handle high-dimensional, collinear spectra, limited sample sizes, preprocessing dependence, spectral outliers, and extrapolation beyond the calibration domain. Here, we evaluate whether tabular foundation models can provide a new calibration strategy for NIR chemical sensing. We benchmark TabPFN on 66 NIR datasets covering 54 regression and 12 classification tasks, and compare direct inference on raw spectra with preprocessing-optimized inference against PLS/PLS-DA, Ridge, Catboost, and one-dimensional convolutional neural networks. The study uses a unified validation framework in which preprocessing and model selection are performed exclusively on calibration data before external test evaluation. In regression, preprocessing-optimized TabPFN achieves the best overall average rank and significantly outperforms PLS, CatBoost, TabPFN on raw spectra, and CNN-1D, while remaining statistically comparable to Ridge. In classification, TabPFN applied directly to raw spectra provides the best average rank, with performance close to the optimized variant. Robustness analyses show that TabPFN provides strong average predictive performance but that its advantage decreases on spectral outliers and extrapolated samples, where classical chemometric models remain competitive. These results suggest that tabular foundation models can complement established chemometric workflows for NIR chemical sensing, especially in small- to medium-sized calibration settings, while highlighting the need for spectroscopy-specific priors and uncertainty-aware deployment strategies.

Prior-Data Fitted networks (PFNs) have been very successful in tabular contexts, handling prediction tasks in context. However, they are designed for single-task inference, meaning that predicting several target values within a context requires repeated forward calls and precludes inter-task information sharing. We propose TabPFN-MT, which is trained on an expanded multi-target synthetic prior to capture inter-task dependencies in context. This model uses an expanded $y$-encoder and a shared decoder head to enable multitask in-context learning and simultaneous inference. The model is uniquely specialized for small-to-medium datasets by relying on in-context learning rather than traditional gradient-based training. Within this regime (averaging fewer than 1,000 samples), extensive evaluations across 344 datasets demonstrate that TabPFN-MT establishes a new state-of-the-art for deep tabular multitask learning. Furthermore, despite the inherent compute asymmetry of joint optimization, our model remains highly competitive with the latest state-of-the-art single-task ensembles. Notably, on multitask datasets it achieves an overall Accuracy rank of 4.89, the highest average rank among all models tested. Crucially, TabPFN-MT delivers this highly competitive performance while reducing the inference cost for $T$ tasks from $O(T)$ to $O(1)$ forward passes, offering a massive computational efficiency improvement for multi-target tabular applications.

Pediatric critical care is a dynamic, high-stakes process involving constant monitoring and adjustments in life-saving treatments. Modeling these interventions is crucial for effective decision support. To address the challenges of high complexity and data scarcity in pediatric Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO), we frame clinical decision-making as learning to act from trajectories, i.e., imitation learning that learns action models from observational data, with a key feature that actions are not directly observed. We consider TabPFN, a recent transformer-based approach for tabular data, and traditional baselines including XGBoost and Multi-Layer Perceptrons(MLPs) on real-world pediatric ECMO data to learn the action models. We find that the TabPFN-based approach consistently outperforms these classical baselines, supporting its use as a strong clinician-behavior baseline for pediatric ECMO decision support.

Tabular data underpins most high-value prediction problems in science and industry, and TabPFN has driven the foundation model revolution for this modality. Designed with feedback from our users, TabPFN-3 builds on this foundation to scale state-of-the-art performance to datasets with 1M training rows and substantially reduce training and inference time. Pretrained exclusively on synthetic data from our prior, TabPFN-3 dramatically pushes the frontier of tabular prediction and brings substantial gains on time series, relational, and tabular-text data. On the standard tabular benchmark TabArena, a forward pass of TabPFN-3 outperforms all other models, including tuned and ensembled baselines, by a significant margin, and pareto-dominates the speed/performance frontier. On more diverse datasets, TabPFN-3 ranks first on datasets with many classes, and beats 8-hour-tuned gradient-boosted-tree baselines on datasets up to 1M training rows and 200 features. TabPFN-3 introduces test-time compute scaling to tabular foundation models. Our API offering TabPFN-3-Plus (Thinking) exploits this to beat all non-TabPFN models by over 200 Elo on TabArena, rising to 420 Elo on the largest data subset, and outperforms AutoGluon 1.5 extreme while being 10x faster, without using LLMs, real data, internet search or any other model besides TabPFN. TabPFN-3 extends the capabilities of our models, enabling SOTA prediction on relational data (new SOTA foundation model on RelBenchV1) and tabular-text data (SOTA on TabSTAR via TabPFN-3-Plus); and improves existing integrations: a specialized checkpoint, TabPFN-TS-3, ranks 2nd on the time-series benchmark fev-bench, and SHAP-value computation is up to 120x faster. TabPFN-3 achieves this performance while being up to 20x faster than TabPFN-2.5. In addition, a reduced KV cache and row-chunking scale to 1M rows on one H100 with fast inference speed.

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance, often outperforming supervised models in zero-shot settings. Recent TSFM architectures, such as Chronos-2 and TabPFN-TS, aim to integrate covariates. In this paper, we design controlled experiments based on simple target-covariate relationships to assess this integration capability. Our results show that TabPFN-TS captures these relationships more effectively than Chronos-2, especially for short horizons, suggesting that the strong benchmark performance of Chronos-2 does not automatically translate into optimal modeling of simple covariate-target dependencies.

Thompson sampling is a widely used strategy for contextual bandits: at each round, it samples a reward function from a Bayesian posterior and acts greedily under that sample. Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs), such as TabPFN v2+ and TabICL v2, are attractive candidates for this purpose because they approximate Bayesian posterior predictive distributions in a single forward pass. However, PFNs predict noisy future rewards, while Thompson sampling requires uncertainty over the latent mean reward function. We propose PFN-TS, a Thompson sampling algorithm that converts PFN posterior predictives into mean-reward samples using a subsampled predictive central limit theorem. The method estimates posterior variance from a geometric grid of $O(\log n)$ dataset prefixes rather than the full $O(n)$ predictive sequence used in previous predictive-sequence approaches, and reuses TabICL's cached representations across rounds. We prove consistency of the subsampled variance estimator and give a Bayesian regret bound that decomposes PFN-TS regret into exact posterior-sampling regret under the PFN prior plus approximation terms. Empirically, PFN-TS achieves the best average rank across nonlinear synthetic and OpenML classification-to-bandit benchmarks, remains competitive on linear and BART-generated rewards, and attains the highest estimated policy value in an offline mobile-health evaluation. Code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/PFN_TS-36ED/.

In this work, we study TabPFN as a training-free, modular summary network for simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI). Tabular foundation models such as TabPFN are pretrained on broad families of synthetic tabular data-generating processes and adapt at test time through in-context learning, making them natural candidates for SBI, where posterior estimation often depends on learning informative summaries of simulated observations. We propose PFN-NPE: a general recipe that uses a pretrained TabPFN encoder as a fixed summary network for simulator outputs, then pairs the resulting summaries with a downstream inference head chosen for the problem. With normalizing flows as the default inference head, PFN-NPE matches established posterior approximation methods and sometimes outperforms them. More importantly, diagnostic probes show that the TabPFN-derived summaries often preserve useful posterior location and marginal information. These analyses also reveal a limitation in that TabPFN-derived summaries may struggle to represent the joint posterior structure even when the marginals are well recovered. Still, our experiments show that TabPFN can serve as an effective summary network across a diverse set of SBI settings, with the inference network left modular and task-dependent.

TabPFN has recently gained attention as a foundation model for tabular datasets, achieving strong performance by leveraging in-context learning on synthetic data. However, we find that TabPFN is vulnerable to label shift, often overfitting to the majority class in the training dataset. To address this limitation, we propose DistPFN, the first test-time posterior adjustment method designed for tabular foundation models. DistPFN rescales predicted class probabilities by downweighting the influence of the training prior (i.e., the class distribution of the context) and emphasizing the contribution of the model's predicted posterior, without architectural modification or additional training. We further introduce DistPFN-T, which incorporates temperature scaling to adaptively control the adjustment strength based on the discrepancy between prior and posterior. We evaluate our methods on over 250 OpenML datasets, demonstrating substantial improvements for various TabPFN-based models in classification tasks under label shift, while maintaining strong performance in standard settings without label shift. Code is available at this repository: https://github.com/seunghan96/DistPFN.

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) achieve state-of-the-art zero-shot accuracy on small tabular datasets, but their in-context learning assumes approximately clean inputs: real- world missing values, outliers, and duplicates create a prior mismatch that degrades both accuracy and calibration. We study reinforcement learning for tabular data cleaning, a learned policy that sequences cleaning operators and introduce L2C-TFM with a model-aware reward (TFMAwareReward). We are explicit about what this reward optimizes: it regularizes the Wasserstein distance between the cleaned and the original (dirty) data, a distributional-stability term, which we measure as a diagnostic. Across six experiments on ten OpenML datasets: (i) three of seven reward designs collapse to degenerate strategies, so reward engineering is non-trivial; (ii) under an 8-seed repeated-holdout protocol the model-aware reward matches a random-forest-reward baseline on accuracy (p=0.38), with a benefit confined to minority-class macro-F1 under class imbalance that is partly a reward-agnostic calibrated-threshold effect; and (iii) a policy pre-trained on one dataset transfers to held-out datasets. A diagnostic analysis shows that the two distances are distinct objectives: cleaning tends to move data away from the prior, and prior-distance, not distance-to-dirty, is what tracks downstream quality. We therefore treat prior alignment as a motivating objective and a target for future work, not a property of the reward evaluated here. Code, datasets, and the nested evaluation harness are available at https://github.com/LaureBerti/Learn2Clean/tree/master/Learn2Clean_TFM.

Anomaly detection in tabular data is challenging due to high dimensionality, complex feature dependencies, and heterogeneous noise. Many existing methods rely on proximity-based cues and may miss anomalies caused by violations of complex feature dependencies. Dependency-based anomaly detection provides a principled alternative by identifying anomalies as violations of dependencies among features. However, existing methods often struggle to model such dependencies robustly and to scale to high-dimensional data with complex dependency structures. To address these challenges, we propose uLEAD-TabPFN, a dependency-based anomaly detection framework built on Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs). uLEAD-TabPFN identifies anomalies as violations of conditional dependencies in a learned latent space, leveraging frozen PFNs for dependency estimation. Combined with uncertainty-aware scoring, the proposed framework enables robust and scalable anomaly detection. Experiments on 57 tabular datasets from ADBench show that uLEAD-TabPFN achieves particularly strong performance in medium- and high-dimensional settings, where it attains the top average rank. On high-dimensional datasets, uLEAD-TabPFN improves the average ROC-AUC by nearly 20% over the average baseline and by approximately 2.8% over the best-performing baseline, while maintaining overall superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods. Further analysis shows that uLEAD-TabPFN provides complementary anomaly detection capability, achieving strong performance on datasets where many existing methods struggle.

Graph foundation models face several fundamental challenges including transferability across diverse domains and data scarcity, which calls into question the very feasibility of creating such models. However, despite similar challenges, the tabular domain has recently witnessed the emergence of the first successful foundation models such as TabPFN. These models are based on the prior-data fitted networks (PFN) framework, in which models are pretrained on carefully designed synthetic datasets to make predictions in an in-context learning setting. Recently, G2T-FM, a framework that converts graph node-level tasks into tabular tasks, has made the first step towards adopting PFNs for graphs, yet it is limited to hand-crafted features and was never pretrained on graph data. In this work, we make the next step by proposing GraphPFN, a PFN-based model designed and pretrained specifically for graph node-level tasks. Following the PFN framework, we first design a prior distribution of synthetic attributed graphs by using a novel combination of multi-level stochastic block models and a preferential attachment process for structure generation and graph-aware structured causal models for attribute generation. Then, we augment the tabular foundation model LimiX with attention-based graph neighborhood aggregation layers and train it on millions of synthetic graphs sampled from our prior. On diverse real-world graph datasets with node-level tasks, GraphPFN achieves state-of-the-art results in both in-context learning and finetuning regimes, outperforming G2T-FM, prior GFMs, and task-specific GNNs trained from scratch. More broadly, GraphPFN shows the potential of PFN-based models for building graph foundation models.

While foundation models have revolutionized fields such as natural language processing and computer vision, their potential in graph machine learning remains largely unexplored. One of the key challenges in designing graph foundation models (GFMs) is handling diverse node features that can vary across different graph datasets. While many works on GFMs have focused exclusively on text-attributed graphs, the problem of handling arbitrary features of other types in GFMs has not been fully addressed. However, this problem is not unique to the graph domain, as it also arises in the field of machine learning for tabular data. In this work, motivated by the recent success of tabular foundation models (TFMs) like TabPFNv2 and LimiX, we propose G2T-FM, a simple framework that allows tabular foundation models to be applied to graph node-level tasks. Specifically, G2T-FM augments the original node features with neighborhood feature aggregation, adds structural embeddings, and then applies a TFM to the constructed node representations. Even in the in-context learning setting, our model achieves strong results when combined with a strong TFM, outperforming both prior GFMs and well-tuned GNNs trained from scratch. Moreover, after finetuning, G2T-FM consistently surpasses well-tuned GNN baselines, often by a significant margin. In summary, our paper reveals the potential of a previously overlooked direction: utilizing tabular foundation models for graph machine learning tasks.