One Panel Does Not Fit All: Case-Adaptive Multi-Agent Deliberation for Clinical Prediction
Organizations: Georgia Institute of Technology · Peking University
Abstract
Large language models applied to clinical prediction exhibit case-level heterogeneity: simple cases yield consistent outputs, while complex cases produce divergent predictions under minor prompt changes. Existing single-agent strategies sample from one role-conditioned distribution, and multi-agent frameworks use fixed roles with flat majority voting, discarding the diagnostic signal in disagreement. We propose CAMP (Case-Adaptive Multi-agent Panel), where an attending-physician agent dynamically assembles a specialist panel tailored to each case's diagnostic uncertainty. Each specialist evaluates candidates via three-valued voting (KEEP/REFUSE/NEUTRAL), enabling principled abstention outside one's expertise. A hybrid router directs each diagnosis through strong consensus, fallback to the attending physician's judgment, or evidence-based arbitration that weighs argument quality over vote counts. On diagnostic prediction and brief hospital course generation from MIMIC-IV across four LLM backbones, CAMP consistently outperforms strong baselines while consuming fewer tokens than most competing multi-agent methods, with voting records and arbitration traces offering transparent decision audits.
Figures & tables
| Model | Method | MIMIC-IV Diagnosis | BHC Generation | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro F1 | Perfect Rate | Reasoning | Readability | Utility | ||
| Llama-3.1-70B ( Grattafiori et al., 2024 ) | Single Agent | 78.68 | 44.25 | 3.24 | 3.61 | 3.67 |
| Self-Consistency ( Wang et al., 2022b ) | 78.91 | 45.05 | 3.78 | 4.06 | 4.18 | |
| Chain-of-Thought ( Wei et al., 2022 ) | 78.99 | 45.55 | 3.47 | 3.80 | 3.92 | |
| Majority Voting ( Kaesberg et al., 2025 ) | 85.84 | 66.55 | 3.43 | 3.53 | 3.55 | |
| LLM-as-a-Judge ( Zheng et al., 2023 ) | 83.13 | 57.40 | 4.02 | 4.16 | 4.22 | |
| # Agents | Macro F1 | Macro Precision | Macro Recall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64.84 | 62.42 | 70.83 |
| 2 | 67.77 | 66.33 | 72.33 |
| 3 | 68.97 | 67.50 | 74.33 |
| 4 | 67.37 | 67.00 | 71.33 |
| 5 | 68.17 | 67.83 | 72.33 |
| 6 | 67.22 | 66.83 | 70.83 |
Appendix figures & tables4 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Metric | Mean | Std | Min | Median | Max |
| Options per case | 7.239 | 1.921 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Correct labels per case | 1.505 | 0.692 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Distractors per case | 5.734 | 1.253 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Input words | 621 | 382 | 46 | 537 | 3353 |
| Input characters | 3991 | 2447 | 325 | 3434 | 22391 |
| Correct option ratio (%) | 19.92 | 4.07 | 16.67 | 16.67 | 25.00 |
| Model | Method | Correct. | Coverage | Coherence | Linkage | Priority | Tracking | Density |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llama-3.1-70B ( Grattafiori et al., 2024 ) | Single Agent | 3.73 | 3.08 | 3.24 | 3.27 | 3.55 | 3.45 | 3.92 |
| Self-Consistency | 4.00 | 3.78 | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.98 | 3.84 | 4.00 | |
| Chain-of-Thought | 3.96 | 3.73 | 3.69 | 3.67 | 3.84 | 3.67 | 4.10 | |
| Majority Voting | 2.88 | 3.78 | 3.18 | 3.53 | 3.63 | 3.16 | 3.49 | |
| LLM-as-a-Judge | 3.65 | 4.80 | 3.63 | 3.71 | 4.39 | 3.82 | 3.94 | |
| Devil’s Advocate | 3.98 | 4.57 | 4.00 | 4.31 | 4.45 | 4.37 | 4.59 |
| Method | Tokens | Macro F1 | Perfect Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAMP (Ours) | 15,458 | 0.8750 | 67.10 |
| Majority Voting | 6,252 | 0.8584 | 66.55 |
| LLM-as-a-Judge | 17,249 | 0.8313 | 57.40 |
| Devil’s Advocate | 18,673 | 0.8306 | 57.20 |
| MedAgents | 19,721 | 0.8277 | 56.70 |
| Chain-of-Thought | 1,854 | 0.7899 | 45.55 |