Latent Variable
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21 papers in the last four weeks, up 163% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.
Latest papers 160
Large language models (LLMs) exhibit a strong capacity for in-context learning: Given labeled examples, they can generate good predictions without parameter updates. However, many interactive settings go beyond static prediction to online decision-making, in which effective behavior demands adaptation over long multi-turn horizons in response to feedback, and efficient algorithms in these domains must use compact representations of what they have learned. Recently, continuous transformer architectures with latent chain of thought have shown promise for offline iterative tasks such as directed graph-reachability. Motivated by this, we study whether continuous latent context tokens equip transformers to more effectively realize online learning. We give explicit constructions of constant-depth transformers that implement two foundational online decision-making procedures -- the weighted majority algorithm and -learning -- by storing their algorithmic state as linear combinations of feature embeddings, using a small number of latent context tokens. We further train a small GPT-2-style transformer with latent contexts using a multi-curriculum objective that does not directly supervise the latent states. On long synthetic online prediction sequences, this model outperforms larger and more complex LLMs, including Qwen-3-14B and DeepSeek-V3. Our results suggest that continuous latent contexts provide a simple and effective persistent state for transformers to implement online learning algorithms.
LoopUS: Recasting Pretrained LLMs into Looped Latent Refinement Models
Looped computation shows promise in improving the reasoning-oriented performance of LLMs by scaling test-time compute. However, existing approaches typically require either training recurrent models from scratch or applying disruptive retrofits, which involve substantial computational costs and may compromise pretrained capabilities. To address these limitations, we introduce \textbf{Looped Depth Up-Scaling} (LoopUS), a post-training framework that converts a standard pretrained LLM into a looped architecture. As a key technical contribution, LoopUS recasts the pretrained LLM into an encoder, a looped reasoning block, and a decoder. It operationalizes this latent-refinement architecture through four core components: (1) block decomposition, guided by staged representation dynamics; (2) an input-dependent selective gate to mitigate hidden-state drift; (3) random deep supervision for memory-efficient learning over long recursive horizons; and (4) a confidence head for adaptive early exiting. Collectively, these mechanisms transform a standard non-looped model into a looped form while stabilizing it against both computational bottlenecks and representation collapse. Through stable latent looping, LoopUS improves reasoning-oriented performance without extending the generated traces or requiring recurrent training from scratch. For more details, see https://thrillcrazyer.github.io/LoopUS
Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation
We study online estimation in latent-variable models by recasting the problem as tracking a moving empirical equilibrium. Standard online EM and stochastic approximation analyses primarily study convergence toward the population parameter and typically do not isolate the empirical batch optimum from the online tracking error at finite horizon. Our framework decomposes the online estimate into the frozen batch equilibrium at the current running statistic and a tracking lag that captures the algorithm's delay behind this moving target. We prove a batch-to-online transfer theorem: provided , the online estimator inherits the batch central limit theorem and the sharp first-order risk constant. Our key observation is that the empirical optimum evolves on a smooth equilibrium manifold indexed by the running statistic. An -th order equilibrium-jet predictor combined with an order- frozen corrector yields localized tracking rates . We formalize EM-compressibility and EM-jet-compressibility as the structural conditions that make the equilibrium response and the Newton corrector evaluable from a retained streaming statistic. The theory is instantiated in latent linear Gaussian covariance estimation, where the first-order scheme operates on a compressed statistic with explicit finite-sample risk envelopes and a certified restart rule.
Belief or Circuitry? Causal Evidence for In-Context Graph Learning
How do LLMs learn in-context? Is it by pattern-matching recent tokens, or by inferring latent structure? We probe this question using a toy graph random-walk across two competing graph structures. This task's answer is, in principle, decidable: either the model tracks global topology, or it copies local transitions. We present two lines of evidence that neither account alone is sufficient. First, reconstructing the internal representation structure via PCA reveals that at intermediate mixture ratios, both graph topologies are encoded in orthogonal principal subspaces simultaneously. This pattern is difficult to reconcile with purely local transition copying. Second, residual-stream activation patching and graph-difference steering causally intervene on this graph-family signal: late-layer patching almost fully transfers the clean graph preference, while linear steering moves predictions in the intended direction and fails under norm-matched and label-shuffled controls. Taken together, our findings are most consistent with a dual-mechanism account in which genuine structure inference and induction circuits operate in parallel.
Structured Coupling for Flow Matching
Standard flow matching scales well but typically relies on an unstructured source distribution, limiting its ability to learn interpretable latent structure. Latent-variable models, by contrast, capture structure but often sacrifice generative quality. We bridge this gap by proposing Structured Coupling for Flow Matching (SCFM), a cooperative framework that augments flow matching with structured latent representation learning. By introducing structured latent variables and exogenous noise into the source, SCFM jointly learns a structured prior (via latent variable modeling) and a continuous transport map (via flow matching). It uses a shared time-dependent recognition network for both latent variable model variational inference and intermediate-time flow velocity estimation. This yields a structurally informed yet unconditional, simulation-free flow model, where the latent variable model can also assist flow sampling. Empirically, SCFM facilitates unsupervised latent representation learning for clustering, disentanglement and downstream tasks, while remaining competitive with flow matching in sample quality, showing that meaningful structure can be learned without sacrificing generative fidelity.
When Symbol Names Should Not Matter: A Logistic Theory of Fresh-Symbol Classification
Template tasks have emerged as a clean testbed for asking whether transformers reason with abstract symbols rather than concrete token names. We study the fixed-label classification version of this problem, where train and test examples share latent templates but may use disjoint vocabularies. Unlike next-token prediction, the model need not emit unseen symbols; it must learn a decision rule invariant to symbol renaming. We analyze regularized kernel logistic classification in the transformer-kernel regime. Our main result decomposes the learned predictor into an ideal template-level classifier and a finite-sample perturbation caused by accidental token overlaps in the training data. We encode these overlaps by a colored collision graph and prove high-probability margin-transfer guarantees for fresh-symbol classification. This perspective extends template-based analyses to logistic classification and refines scalar diversity conditions: vocabulary size controls the average rate of collisions, but collision geometry controls whether the ideal classification margin is preserved. More broadly, the same perturbation framework applies to abstraction-augmented inputs, yielding a general margin-versus-collision criterion for identifying when prompting strategies improve fresh-symbol generalization. Synthetic template experiments illustrate the predicted roles of regularization, sample size, and transformer-kernel structure.
PairAlign: A Framework for Sequence Tokenization via Self-Alignment with Applications to Audio Tokenization
Modern learning systems represent perceptual signals with continuous vectors, but comparison, retrieval, memory, alignment, and reasoning are often naturally symbolic. In language, this interface is given by tokens; for speech and audio, it must be learned. Existing audio tokenizers use local quantization, clustering, or reconstruction, leaving sequence consistency, compactness, length control, termination, and edit geometry indirectly optimized. We introduce PairAlign, a framework for compact audio tokenization through sequence-level self-alignment. PairAlign treats tokenization as conditional sequence generation: an encoder maps speech to a condition, and an autoregressive decoder emits tokens from BOS to EOS, learning identity, order, length, and termination. Given two content-preserving views, each token string is trained to be likely under the other's representation, while unrelated examples provide competing sequences. This yields a surrogate for edit-distance preservation while discouraging collapse. Starting from a VQ tokenizer, PairAlign extends a frame-synchronous prior into an autoregressive tokenizer using VQ-derived and EMA-teacher targets, cross-paired teacher forcing, anti-bypass regularization, likelihood contrast, length control, and timing recovery. On 3 s speech, PairAlign learns compact token strings with strong cross-view consistency. In retrieval, it operates at 12.71 tokens/s and reduces archive tokens by 55% versus VQ while preserving edit-distance search. The results expose a compactness--locality trade-off: PairAlign does not aim to dominate dense geometric or SSL tokenizers on every local metric, but provides a lower-rate symbolic interface for comparison, retrieval, and analysis. More broadly, PairAlign is a sequence-symbolic analogue of JEPA-style predictive learning, predicting a learned variable-length symbolic sequence rather than a continuous latent.
Topological Signatures of Grokking
We study the grokking phenomenon through the lens of topology. Using persistent homology on point clouds derived from the embedding matrices of a range of models trained on modular arithmetic with varying primes, we identify a clear and consistent topological signature of grokking: a sharp increase in both the maximum and total persistence of first homology (). Persistence diagrams reveal the emergence of a dominant long-lived topological feature together with increasingly structured secondary features, reflecting the underlying cyclic structure of the task. Compared to existing spectral and geometric diagnostics -- specifically, Fourier analysis and local intrinsic dimension -- persistent homology provides a unified geometric and topological characterization of representation learning, capturing both local and global multi-scale structure. Ablations across data regimes and control settings show that these topological transitions are tied to generalization rather than memorization. Our results suggest that persistent homology offers a principled and interpretable framework for analyzing how neural networks internalize latent structure during training.
Learning Discrete Autoregressive Priors with Wasserstein Gradient Flow
Discrete image tokenizers are commonly trained in two stages: first for reconstruction, and then with a prior model fitted to the frozen token sequences. This decoupling leaves the tokenizer unaware of the model that will later generate its tokens. As a result, the learned tokens may preserve image information well but still be difficult for an autoregressive (AR) prior to predict from left to right. We analyze this mismatch using Tripartite Variational Consistency (TVC), which decomposes latent-variable learning into three consistency conditions: conditional-likelihood consistency, prior consistency, and posterior consistency. TVC shows that two-stage training preserves the reconstruction side but leaves prior consistency outside the tokenizer objective: the overall token distribution is fixed before the AR prior participates in training. Motivated by this view, we add a distribution-level prior-matching signal during tokenizer training, while keeping the reconstruction objective unchanged. We optimize this signal with a Wasserstein-gradient-flow update. For hard categorical tokens, the update reduces to a token-level contrast between an auxiliary AR model that tracks the tokenizer's current token distribution and the target AR prior. It requires only forward passes through the two AR models and does not backpropagate through either of them. The resulting tokenizer, wAR-Tok, reduces AR loss and improves generation FID on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet at comparable reconstruction quality.
Causal Probing for Internal Visual Representations in Multimodal Large Language Models
Despite the remarkable success of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) across diverse tasks, the internal mechanisms governing how they encode and ground distinct visual concepts remain poorly understood. To unravel these mechanisms, we propose a causal framework based on activation steering to actively probe and manipulate internal visual representations. Through systematic intervention across four visual concept categories, our results reveal a divergence in concept encoding: entity knowledge is distinctively localized, whereas abstract concepts are globally distributed across the network. Critically, this divergence uncovers a mechanistic driver of scaling laws: increasing model depth is indispensable for encoding distributed and complex abstract concepts, whereas entities maintain a consistently high degree of localization. Furthermore, reverse steering uncovers that blocking explicit output triggers a surge in latent activations, exposing a compensatory mechanism between perception and generation. Finally, by extending our analysis to visual reasoning, we expose a disconnect between perception and reasoning: although MLLMs successfully recognize geometric relations, they treat them merely as static visual features, failing to trigger the procedural execution necessary for solving problems.
MOSAIC: Module Discovery via Sparse Additive Identifiable Causal Learning for Scientific Time Series
Causal representation learning (CRL) seeks to recover latent variables with identifiability guarantees, typically up to permutation and component-wise reparameterization under appropriate assumptions. However, identifiability does not imply interpretability: latent semantics are typically assigned post hoc by alignment with known ground-truth factors. This limitation is particularly acute in scientific time series, where underlying mechanisms are unknown and discovering interpretable structure is a primary goal. In contrast, scientific observations (such as residue-pair distances, climate indices, or process sensors) are inherently semantic, as they correspond to named physical quantities. This raises a key question: can the interpretability of observations be transferred to the identifiable latent space? We propose MOSAIC (Module discovery via Sparse Additive Identifiable Causal learning), a sparse temporal VAE that integrates temporal CRL identifiability with support recovery over observed variables. MOSAIC identifies latent variables via regime-conditioned temporal variation, and recovers for each latent a sparse set of associated observations through an additive decoder, yielding module-level interpretability. We show that ANOVA main-effect supports are identifiable under general smooth mixing functions, and provide finite-sample recovery guarantees for a tractable sparse-additive variant. Empirically, MOSAIC recovers domain-consistent variable groups across RNA molecular dynamics, solar wind, ENSO climate, the Tennessee Eastman process, and a synthetic tokamak benchmark, enabling interpretable discovery of latent mechanisms in scientific time series.
Transformed Latent Variable Multi-Output Gaussian Processes
Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGPs) provide a principled probabilistic framework for modelling correlated outputs but face scalability bottlenecks when applied to datasets with high-dimensional output spaces. To maintain tractability, existing methods typically resort to restrictive assumptions, such as employing low-rank or sum-of-separable kernels, which can limit expressiveness. We propose the Transformed Latent Variable MOGP (T-LVMOGP), a novel framework that scales MOGPs to a massive number of outputs while preserving the capacity to capture meaningful inter-output dependencies. T-LVMOGP constructs a flexible multi-output deep kernel by mapping inputs and output-specific latent variables into an embedding space using a Lipschitz-regularised neural network. Combined with stochastic variational inference, our model effectively scales to high-dimensional output settings. Across diverse benchmarks, including climate modelling with over 10,000 outputs and zero-inflated spatial transcriptomics data, T-LVMOGP outperforms baselines in both predictive accuracy and computational efficiency.
Proximal Projection for Doubly Sparse Regularized Models
Regularization is often used in high-dimensional regression settings to generate a sparse model, which can save tremendous computing resources and identify predictors that are most strongly associated with the response. When the predictors can be represented by a Gaussian graphical model, the structure of the predictor graph can be exploited during regularization. Our proposed model exploits this underlying predictor graph structure by decomposing the estimated coefficient vector into a sum of latent variables that correspond to the sum of each node contribution to the coefficient vector. Regularization is then performed on the latent variables rather than on the coefficient vector directly. We use a penalty function that permits a clear user-defined trade-off between the L1 and L2 penalties and propose a novel proximal projection during optimization. Further, our implementation computes the projection operator for the intersection of selected groups, which conserves more computing resources compared to predictor duplication methods, especially for high-dimensional data. Through simulation, we evaluate the performance of our approach under different graph structures and node counts, and present results on real-world data. Results suggest that our method exhibits stable performance relative to other singly or doubly sparse graphical regression models.
Latent Bridge: Feature Delta Prediction for Efficient Dual-System Vision-Language-Action Model Inference
Dual-system Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models achieve state-of-the-art robotic manipulation but are bottlenecked by the VLM backbone, which must execute at every control step while producing temporally redundant features. We propose Latent Bridge, a lightweight model that predicts VLM output deltas between timesteps, enabling the action head to operate on predicted outputs while the expensive VLM backbone is called only periodically. We instantiate Latent Bridge on two architecturally distinct VLAs: GR00T-N1.6 (feature-space bridge) and π0.5 (KV-cache bridge), demonstrating that the approach generalizes across VLA designs. Our task-agnostic DAgger training pipeline transfers across benchmarks without modification. Across four LIBERO suites, 24 RoboCasa kitchen tasks, and the ALOHA sim transfer-cube task, Latent Bridge achieves 95-100% performance retention while reducing VLM calls by 50-75%, yielding 1.65-1.73x net per-episode speedup.
Calibration of the underlying surface parameters for urban flood using latent variables and adjoint equation
Calibrating the urban underlying surface parameters is crucial for urban flood simulation. We formulate the parameter calibration problem into an optimization problem within the Bayesian framework using the maximum likelihood principle. We adopt the urban flood dynamical system model as the surrogate model and innovatively introduce latent variables inspired by machine learning to represent more uncertainties, which can also be compatible with common physical parameter calibration. For more efficient optimization, we construct the adjoint equation of the surrogate model to obtain gradient information and propose the parameter sharing technique and the localization technique to reduce the computation complexity of the adjoint equation. A simple case verifies the proposed method can converge quickly and is insensitive to the observation time interval. In the case derived from Test 8A, we calibrate Manning's coefficient of urban roads, with a maximum relative error of 13.88% and a minimum of 1.16%.
Adaptive Querying with AI Persona Priors
We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight query budgets. Classical Bayesian design and computerized adaptive testing typically rely on restrictive parametric assumptions or expensive posterior approximations, limiting their use in heterogeneous, high-dimensional, and cold-start settings. We introduce a persona-induced latent variable model that represents a user's state through membership in a finite dictionary of AI personas, each offering response distributions produced by a large language model. This yields expressive priors with closed-form posterior updates and efficient finite-mixture predictions, enabling scalable Bayesian design for sequential item selection. Experiments on synthetic data and WorldValuesBench demonstrate that persona-based posteriors deliver accurate probabilistic predictions and an interpretable adaptive elicitation pipeline.
Scaling Video Understanding via Compact Latent Multi-Agent Collaboration
Multi-modal large language models (MLLMs) advance vision language understanding but face inherent limitations in long-video tasks due to bounded perception context budgets. Existing agentic methods mitigate this via rule-based preprocessing, yet often suffer from information loss, high cost, and reliance on textual intermediates. We propose MACF, an end-to-end Multi-Agent Collaboration Framework that decouples per-agent perception budgets from global video complexity, enabling scalable video understanding while preserving visual fidelity. MACF partitions videos into segments for locally budgeted agents and enables holistic reasoning via an agent-native latent communication protocol. Each agent encodes partial observations into compact, task-sufficient tokens in a shared embedding space, allowing efficient and information-preserving collaboration by a central coordinator. We introduce a curriculum training strategy that progressively enforces semantic alignment, evidence summarization, and cross-agent coordination. Extensive experiments on diverse video understanding benchmarks show that MACF consistently outperforms state-of-the-art MLLMs and multi-agent systems under identical budget constraints, demonstrating the effectiveness of our latent collaboration for scalable video understanding.
SPLICE: Latent Diffusion over JEPA Embeddings for Conformal Time-Series Inpainting
Generative models for time-series imputation achieve strong reconstruction accuracy, yet provide no finite-sample reliability guarantees, a critical limitation in power systems where imputed values inform dispatch and planning. We introduce SPLICE (Self-supervised Predictive Latent Inpainting with Conformal Envelopes), a modular framework coupling latent generative imputation with distribution-free, online-adaptive prediction intervals. A JEPA encoder maps daily load segments into a 64-dimensional latent space; a conditional latent bridge with four sampling modes generates candidate gap trajectories; an hourly-conditioned decoder maps back to signal space; and Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) wraps the output with coverage-guaranteed prediction bands. The flow-matching variant achieves comparable quality to DDIM in 5--10 ODE steps (5-10x speedup). On thirteen load datasets (nine proprietary, three UCI Electricity, ETTh1), SPLICE achieves the lowest mean Load-only MSE (0.056), winning 9/12 non-degenerate datasets at 91-day gaps and 18/32 across all gap lengths vs. five established baselines, and produces the best CRPS (0.161, -18.3% vs. the strongest competitor). ACI delivers 93--95% empirical coverage, correcting under-coverage failures of up to 7.5 pp observed with static conformal prediction. A pooled JEPA encoder trained on nine feeds transfers to four unseen domains, matching or exceeding per-dataset oracles with only a quick bridge fine-tuning.
Sparsity as a Key: Unlocking New Insights from Latent Structures for Out-of-Distribution Detection
Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) have demonstrated significant success in interpreting Large Language Models (LLMs) by decomposing dense representations into sparse, semantic components. However, their potential for analyzing Vision Transformers (ViTs) remains largely under-explored. In this work, we present the first application of SAEs to the ViT [CLS] token for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, addressing the limitation of existing methods that rely on entangled feature representations. We propose a novel framework utilizing a Top-k SAE to disentangle the dense [CLS] features into a structured latent space. Through this analysis, we reveal that in-distribution (ID) data exhibits consistent, class-specific activation patterns, which we formalize as Class Activation Profiles (CAPs). Our study uncovers a key structural invariant: while ID samples preserve a stable pattern within CAPs, OOD samples systematically disrupt this structure. Leveraging this insight, we introduce a scoring function based on the divergence of core energy profiles to quantify the deviation from ideal activation profiles. Our method achieves strong results on the FPR95 metric, critical for safety-sensitive applications across multiple benchmarks, while also achieving competitive AUROC. Overall, our findings demonstrate that the sparse, disentangled features revealed by SAEs can serve as a powerful, interpretable tool for robust OOD detection in vision models.
LatentDiff: Scaling Semantic Dataset Comparison to Millions of Images
We present LatentDiff, a scalable framework for semantic dataset comparison that operates directly in the latent space of pretrained vision encoders. By combining sparse autoencoder-based divergence testing with density ratio estimation, LatentDiff identifies interpretable semantic differences between datasets at a fraction of the computational cost of caption-based alternatives. We also introduce Noisy-Diff, a benchmark capturing realistic sparse distribution shifts that cause existing methods to struggle. Experiments demonstrate that LatentDiff achieves superior accuracy while remaining robust to settings where an extremely small fraction of images (from 5% to <1% ) differ semantically.
Oracle Noise: Faster Semantic Spherical Alignment for Interpretable Latent Optimization
Text-to-image diffusion models have achieved remarkable generative capabilities, yet accurately aligning complex textual prompts with synthesized layouts remains an ongoing challenge. In these models, the initial Gaussian noise acts as a critical structural seed dictating the macroscopic layout. Recent online optimization and search methods attempt to refine this noise to enhance text-image alignment. However, relying on unconstrained Euclidean gradient ascent mathematically inflates the latent norm and destroys the standard Gaussian prior, causing severe visual artifacts like color over-saturation. Furthermore, these methods suffer from inefficient semantic routing and easily fall into the ``reward hacking'' trap of external proxy models. To address these intertwined bottlenecks, we propose Oracle Noise, a zero-shot framework reframing noise initialization as semantic-driven optimization strictly confined to a Riemannian hypersphere. Instead of relying on complex external parsers, we directly identify the most impactful structural words in the prompt to efficiently route optimization energy. By updating the noise strictly along a spherical path, we mathematically preserve the original Gaussian distribution. This geometric constraint eliminates norm inflation and unlocks aggressive step sizes for rapid convergence. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Oracle Noise significantly accelerates semantic alignment and achieves superior aesthetics without black-box models. It completely mitigates Euclidean-induced degradation, establishing state-of-the-art performance across human preference metrics (e.g., HPSv2, ImageReward), semantic alignment (CLIP Score), and sample diversity, all within a strict 2-second optimization budget.
From Local to Cluster: A Unified Framework for Causal Discovery with Latent Variables
Latent variables pose a fundamental challenge to causal discovery and inference. Conventional local methods focus on direct neighbors but fail to provide macro level insights. Cluster level methods enable macro causal reasoning but either assume clusters are known a priori or require causal sufficiency. Moreover, directly applying single variable causal discovery methods to cluster level problems violates causal sufficiency and leads to incorrect results. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes L2C (Local to Cluster Causal Abstraction), a unified framework that bridges local structure learning and cluster level causal discovery. Unlike prior work that requires a complete manual assignment of micro variables to clusters, L2C discovers the partition automatically from local causal patterns. Our solution leverages a cluster reduction theorem to reduce any cluster to at most three nodes without loss of causal information, applies local causal discovery to identify direct causes, effects, and V structures in the presence of latent variables, and performs macro level causal inference via cluster level calculus on the learned cluster graph. L2C does not assume causal sufficiency, as latent variables are handled through local discovery. Theoretical analysis shows that L2C ensures soundness, atomic completeness, and computational efficiency. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real world data demonstrate that L2C accurately recovers ground truth clusters and achieves superior macro causal effect identification compared to existing baselines.
An LLM-Native Psychometric Instrument Reveals a Self-Report--Behavior Gap Across 25 Models
Large language models (LLMs) give stable answers to personality questionnaires, yet these self-reports fail to predict how the models behave. Is this gap an artifact of forcing human trait categories onto LLMs, or something deeper about LLM self-report? To find out, we built the first psychometric instrument whose dimensions are derived from LLM behavior rather than human psychology. Administering 300 items (240 Likert + 60 scenario) to 25 LLMs across 17 model families, 30 times each, exploratory factor analysis revealed five reliable, replicable factors: Responsiveness, Deference, Boldness, Guardedness, and Verbosity (all Tucker , all ). We collected 2,500 open-ended samples and had them rated by 151 humans and a three-judge LLM ensemble. Humans and judges agreed (), but self-report predicted neither the ratings nor objective text measures computed from them: the gap persists even for constructs native to LLMs, where a human-mismatch explanation no longer applies. The exception is Verbosity, whose self-report reaches 74% of the criterion-reliability ceiling against human ratings, but does not track raw output length. On Responsiveness, self-report tracked LLM judges () but not humans (), even though humans and judges otherwise agreed (). This pattern formally rejects any single latent construct driving all three measurements (). Self-report items and LLM judges share a source of variance that human observers do not, and controlling for measurable surface features (length, formatting, enthusiasm markers) does not remove it. This confound is invisible to the within-ensemble reliability checks used to validate LLM judges, and it poses a concrete risk for the LLM-as-judge pipelines now central to model evaluation. We release the instrument as a diagnostic probe for alignment-shaped self-description.
Language as a Latent Variable for Reasoning Optimization
As LLMs reduce English-centric bias, a surprising trend emerges: non-English responses sometimes outperform English on reasoning tasks. We hypothesize that language functions as a latent variable that structurally modulates the model's internal inference pathways, rather than merely serving as an output medium. To test this, we conducted a Polyglot Thinking Experiment, in which models were prompted to solve identical problems under language-constrained and language-unconstrained conditions. Results show that non-English responses often achieve higher accuracy, and the best performance frequently occur when language is unconstrained, suggesting that multilinguality broadens the model's latent reasoning space. Based on this insight, we propose polyGRPO (Polyglot Group Relative Policy Optimization), an RL framework that treats language variation as an implicit exploration signal. It generates polyglot preference data online under language-constrained and unconstrained conditions, optimizing the policy with respect to both answer accuracy and reasoning structure. Trained on only 18.1K multilingual math problems without chain-of-thought annotations, polyGRPO improves the base model (Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct) by 6.72% absolute accuracy on four English reasoning testset and 6.89% in their multilingual benchmark. Remarkably, it is the only method that surpasses the base LLM on English commonsense reasoning task (4.9%), despite being trained solely on math data-highlighting its strong cross-task generalization. Further analysis reveals that treating language as a latent variable expands the model's latent reasoning space, yielding consistent and generalizable improvements in reasoning performance.
Pairing Regularization for Mitigating Many-to-One Collapse in GANs
Mode collapse remains a fundamental challenge in training generative adversarial networks (GANs). While existing works have primarily focused on inter-mode collapse, such as mode dropping, intra-mode collapse-where many latent variables map to the same or highly similar outputs-has received significantly less attention. In this work, we propose a pairing regularizer jointly optimized with the generator to mitigate the many-to-one collapse by enforcing local consistency between latent variables and generated samples. We show that the effect of pairing regularization depends on the dominant failure mode of training. In collapse-prone regimes with limited exploration, pairing encourages structured local exploration, leading to improved coverage and higher recall. In contrast, under stabilized training with sufficient exploration, pairing refines the generator's induced data density by discouraging redundant mappings, thereby improving precision without sacrificing recall. Extensive experiments on both toy distributions and real-image benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed regularizer effectively complements existing stabilization techniques by directly addressing intra-mode collapse.
Sparse Network Inference under Imperfect Detection and its Application to Ecological Networks
Recovering latent structure from count data has received considerable attention in network inference, particularly when one seeks both cross-group interactions and within-group similarity patterns in bipartite networks, which is widely used in ecology research. Such networks are often sparse and inherently imperfect in their detection. Existing models mainly focus on interaction recovery, while the induced similarity graphs are much less studied. Moreover, sparsity is often not controlled, and scale is unbalanced, leading to oversparse or poorly rescaled estimates with degrading structural recovery. To address these issues, we propose a framework for structured sparse nonnegative low-rank factorization with detection probability estimation. We impose nonconvex regularization on the latent similarity and connectivity structures to promote sparsity within-group similarity and cross-group connectivity with better relative scale. The resulting optimization problem is nonconvex and nonsmooth. To solve it, we develop an ADMM-based algorithm with adaptive penalization and scale-aware initialization and establish its asymptotic feasibility and KKT stationarity of cluster points under mild regularity conditions. Experiments on synthetic and real-world ecological datasets demonstrate improved recovery of latent factors and similarity/connectivity structure relative to existing baselines.
Diverse Dictionary Learning
Given only observational data , where both the latent variables and the generating process are unknown, recovering is ill-posed without additional assumptions. Existing methods often assume linearity or rely on auxiliary supervision and functional constraints. However, such assumptions are rarely verifiable in practice, and most theoretical guarantees break down under even mild violations, leaving uncertainty about how to reliably understand the hidden world. To make identifiability actionable in the real-world scenarios, we take a complementary view: in the general settings where full identifiability is unattainable, what can still be recovered with guarantees, and what biases could be universally adopted? We introduce the problem of diverse dictionary learning to formalize this view. Specifically, we show that intersections, complements, and symmetric differences of latent variables linked to arbitrary observations, along with the latent-to-observed dependency structure, are still identifiable up to appropriate indeterminacies even without strong assumptions. These set-theoretic results can be composed using set algebra to construct structured and essential views of the hidden world, such as genus-differentia definitions. When sufficient structural diversity is present, they further imply full identifiability of all latent variables. Notably, all identifiability benefits follow from a simple inductive bias during estimation that can be readily integrated into most models. We validate the theory and demonstrate the benefits of the bias on both synthetic and real-world data.
Multi-Task Anti-Causal Learning for Reconstructing Urban Events from Residents' Reports
Many real-world machine learning tasks are anti-causal: they require inferring latent causes from observed effects. In practice, we often face multiple related tasks where the structural dependencies are a hybrid of task-invariant and task-specific mechanisms. We propose Multi-Task Anti-Causal learning (MTAC), a framework for estimating causes from outcomes and confounders by explicitly exploiting such cross-task invariances. MTAC learns a structural equation model (SEM) that factorizes the outcome-generation process into (i) a task-invariant mechanism and (ii) task-specific mechanisms via a shared backbone with task-specific deviations. Building on the learned forward model, MTAC performs maximum A posteriori (MAP) based inference to reconstruct causes by jointly optimizing latent mechanism variables and cause magnitudes under the learned structural model. We evaluate MTAC on the application of urban event reconstruction from resident reports, spanning three tasks: parking violations, abandoned properties, and unsanitary conditions. On real-world data collected from Manhattan and Newark, MTAC consistently improves reconstruction accuracy over strong baselines, achieving up to 33.04% MAE reduction and demonstrating the benefits of learning transferable mechanisms across tasks.
Vision Wormhole: Latent-Space Communication in Heterogeneous Multi-Agent Systems
Heterogeneous multi-agent systems combine models with different capabilities through a common communication interface. Exchanging internal states directly requires translating between model-specific representations and controlling intermediate computation. We introduce the Vision Wormhole, which repurposes the visual input interface of Vision-Language Models (VLMs) for continuous communication between frozen heterogeneous agents. A Universal Visual Codec encodes each sender's latent rollout into a fixed-size message, maps it through a shared reference space, and decodes received messages into the receiver's image-token span. Per-model codecs and affine reference maps form a hub-and-spoke architecture with components for models. Each model learns its codec independently through self-distillation on anchor texts, and shared-anchor alignment enables reuse across communication partners. Across four VLM families, six team configurations, and nine reasoning benchmarks, Vision Wormhole improves accuracy by 6.0 percentage points on average over text-mediated MAS and achieves a 1.69 geometric-mean speedup in batch-normalized end-to-end runtime.
LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigms
Temporarily ambiguous garden-path sentences ("While the team trained the striker wondered... ") are known to cause processing difficulty, which can manifest itself in a variety of reading behaviors (in-situ slowdowns, rereading), as well as in miscomprehension or outright rejection of the sentence as ungrammatical. Which types of reading behavior are observed critically depends on the experimental method used to collect the data, which makes comparing results between reading paradigms difficult. To address this problem, we present a latent-process multinomial processing tree (MPT) model of human reading and comprehension/judgment behavior in garden-path sentences that we fit to combined data from four different reading paradigms (eye tracking, uni- and bidirectional self-paced reading, Maze). The model distinguishes between the probability of adopting an incorrect initial analysis, the cost of encountering an incompatible continuation, and the cost of syntactic reanalysis. By taking into account trials with inattentive reading, more realistic estimates of the cost parameters are obtained. Cross-validation reveals that the MPT model has a better predictive fit to human reading patterns and end-of-trial task data than a model based solely on LLM-derived surprisal values. We also test several models that assume an influence of surprisal within the MPT architecture, and find that adding surprisal as an additional predictor or reading time and/or garden-path cost further improves predictive fit.
Self-Supervised Learning from Structural Invariance
Joint-embedding self-supervised learning (SSL), the key paradigm for unsupervised representation learning from visual data, learns from invariances between semantically-related data pairs. We study the one-to-many mapping problem in SSL, where each datum may be mapped to multiple valid targets. This arises when data pairs come from naturally occurring generative processes, e.g., successive video frames. We show that existing methods struggle to flexibly capture this conditional uncertainty. As a remedy, we introduce a latent variable to account for this uncertainty and derive a variational lower bound on the mutual information between paired embeddings. Our derivation yields a simple regularization term for standard SSL objectives. The resulting method, which we call AdaSSL, applies to both contrastive and distillation-based SSL objectives, and we empirically show its versatility in causal representation learning, fine-grained image understanding, and world modeling on videos.
Diffusion Models in Simulation-Based Inference: A Tutorial Review
Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful learners for simulation-based inference (SBI), enabling fast and accurate estimation of latent parameters from simulated and real data. Their score-based formulation offers a flexible way to learn conditional or joint distributions over parameters and observations, thereby providing a versatile solution to various modeling problems. In this tutorial review, we synthesize recent developments on diffusion models for SBI, covering design choices for training, inference, and evaluation. We highlight opportunities created by various concepts such as guidance, score composition, flow matching, consistency models, and joint modeling. Furthermore, we discuss how efficiency and statistical accuracy are affected by noise schedules, parameterizations, and samplers. Finally, we illustrate these concepts with case studies across parameter dimensionalities, simulation budgets, and model types, and outline open questions for future research.
Understanding the Staged Dynamics of Transformers in Learning Latent Structure
Language modeling has shown us that transformers can discover latent structure from context, but the dynamics of how they acquire different components of that structure remain poorly understood, leading to assertions that models just remix training data. In this work, we use the Alchemy benchmark in a controlled setting (Wang et al.,2021) to investigate latent structure learning. We train a small decoder-only transformer on three task variants: 1) inferring missing transitions from partial contextual information, 2) composing simple rules to solve multi-transition sequences, and 3) decomposing complex multi-step examples to infer intermediate transitions. By factorizing each task into interpretable components, we show that the model learns the different latent structure components in discrete stages. We also observe an asymmetry: the model composes fundamental transitions robustly, but struggles to decompose complex examples to discover the atomic transitions. Finally, using causal interventions, we identify layer-specific plasticity windows during which freezing substantially delays or prevents stage completion. These findings provide insight into how a transformer model acquires latent structure, offering a detailed view of how capabilities evolve during training.
Learning Latent Graph Geometry via Fixed-Point Schrödinger-Type Activation: A Theoretical Study
We study neural architectures in which each hidden layer is defined by the stationary state of a dissipative Schrödinger-type dynamics on a learned latent graph. On stable branches, the local stationary problem defines a differentiable implicit graph layer. To learn the graph itself, we optimize over the stratified moduli space of weighted graphs and equip each stratum with a non-degenerate Kähler-Hessian metric that keeps natural-gradient descent and face crossing well posed. We then show that a multilayer stationary network is equivalent to an exact global stationary problem on a supra-graph, and that it admits a penalized global relaxation whose stationary states converge to the exact one as the penalty parameter tends to infinity. Reverse-mode differentiation is recovered as the adjoint of the exact global system, and the penalized adjoint converges to it in the same limit. Finally, under finite-dimensional strong-monotonicity and admissible-lift assumptions, the corresponding represented hypothesis classes coincide among resolvent feed-forward networks, graph-stationary networks, supra-graph stationary systems, and sheaf-based architectures with unitary connection. The resulting structural identifications yield complexity bounds controlled by sparse graph or supra-graph geometry rather than dense ambient connectivity.
Bayesian Invariance Modeling of Multi-Environment Data
Invariant prediction [Peters et al., 2016] analyzes feature/outcome data from multiple environments to identify invariant features - those with a stable predictive relationship to the outcome. Such features support generalization to new environments and help reveal causal mechanisms. Previous methods have primarily tackled this problem through hypothesis testing or regularized optimization. Here we develop Bayesian Invariant Prediction (BIP), a probabilistic model for invariant prediction. BIP encodes the indices of invariant features as a latent variable and recover them by posterior inference. Under the assumptions of Peters et al. [2016], the BIP posterior targets the true invariant features. We prove that the posterior is consistent and that greater environment heterogeneity leads to faster posterior contraction. To handle many features, we design an efficient variational approximation called VI-BIP. In simulations and real data, we find that BIP and VI-BIP are more accurate and scalable than existing methods for invariant prediction.
Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations
We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient and accurate individualized imputation and forecasting. By integrating implicit neural representations with latent variable models, TV-INRs learn distributions over time-continuous generator functions conditioned on signal-specific covariates. Unlike existing INR approaches that require extensive training, fine-tuning or meta-learning, our method achieves accurate individualized predictions through a single forward pass. Our experiments demonstrate that with a single TV-INRs instance, we can accurately solve diverse imputation and forecasting tasks, offering a computationally efficient and scalable solution for real-world applications. TV-INRs performs particularly well in low-data regimes, where on several datasets it achieves substantially lower imputation error, including order-of-magnitude improvements.
The observational partial order of causal structures with latent variables
For two causal structures with the same set of visible variables, one is said to observationally dominate the other if the set of distributions over the visible variables realizable by the first contains the set of distributions over the visible variables realizable by the second. Knowing such dominance relations is useful for adjudicating between these structures given observational data. Here, we consider the problem of determining the partial order of equivalence classes of causal structures with latent variables relative to observational dominance. We provide a complete characterization of the dominance order in the case of three visible variables, and a partial characterization in the case of four visible variables. Our techniques also help to identify which observational equivalence classes have a set of realizable distributions that is characterized by nontrivial inequality constraints, analogous to Bell inequalities and instrumental inequalities. We find evidence that as one increases the number of visible variables, the equivalence classes satisfying nontrivial inequality constraints become ubiquitous. (Because such classes are the ones for which there can be a difference in the distributions that are quantumly and classically realizable, this implies that the potential for quantum-classical gaps is also ubiquitous.) Furthermore, we find evidence that constraint-based causal discovery algorithms that rely solely on conditional independence constraints have a significantly weaker distinguishing power among observational equivalence classes than algorithms that go beyond these (i.e., algorithms that also leverage nested Markov constraints and inequality constraints).
Delta-AI: Local objectives for amortized inference in sparse graphical models
We present a new algorithm for amortized inference in sparse probabilistic graphical models (PGMs), which we call -amortized inference (-AI). Our approach is based on the observation that when the sampling of variables in a PGM is seen as a sequence of actions taken by an agent, sparsity of the PGM enables local credit assignment in the agent's policy learning objective. This yields a local constraint that can be turned into a local loss in the style of generative flow networks (GFlowNets) that enables off-policy training but avoids the need to instantiate all the random variables for each parameter update, thus speeding up training considerably. The -AI objective matches the conditional distribution of a variable given its Markov blanket in a tractable learned sampler, which has the structure of a Bayesian network, with the same conditional distribution under the target PGM. As such, the trained sampler recovers marginals and conditional distributions of interest and enables inference of partial subsets of variables. We illustrate -AI's effectiveness for sampling from synthetic PGMs and training latent variable models with sparse factor structure.
Artic-O: End-to-End Articulated Object Reconstruction via Latent Geometry Learning
Reconstructing articulated objects from sparse images requires recovering complete geometry, movable parts, and motion parameters. Recent methods typically separate geometry reconstruction, part reasoning, and articulation estimation into different stages. This separation can weaken consistency between shape, active parts, and motion, while also incurring substantial inference cost. We introduce Artic-O, an end-to-end, feed-forward framework for articulated object reconstruction via latent geometry learning. Instead of fitting geometry in image or view space, Artic-O maps sparse multi-state observations into a pretrained latent geometry space, where a frozen flow-matching decoder provides a complete-shape prior for recovering visible and occluded structures. To connect geometry with articulation, Artic-O fuses visual tokens, geometry latents, and point-wise decoder features in an image-grounded part-reasoning module for active-part segmentation and articulation prediction. We further train the model with a geometry-to-articulation curriculum and a decoupled two-pass strategy to balance reconstruction and part-level supervision. On PartNet-Mobility, Artic-O achieves strong reconstruction quality while being substantially more efficient than LARM, a strong prior method. It reduces Chamfer Distance, improves F-score, and achieves comparable or better articulation accuracy across most joint metrics, while reducing inference time from 9 minutes to about 0.3 seconds per object.
LatentMD: Benchmarking Markdown Boundary Failures in LLM-Generated Text
Large language models (LLMs) increasingly generate Markdown that is consumed by renderers, agents, code extractors, and structured downstream pipelines. Yet existing evaluations often conflate content quality with format adherence, leaving Markdown boundary failures under-measured. We introduce LatentMD, a benchmark and evaluation protocol for diagnosing CommonMark-level fence-boundary failures in LLM-generated Markdown. LatentMD separates content correctness from boundary correctness, enabling detection of outputs that are content-correct but boundary-broken. The benchmark contains 4,179 prompts and a CLI for scoring arbitrary model outputs. Across 9 LLMs and roughly 37,600 generations, we find that Markdown boundary failures are widespread: 38.0% of valid main-grid outputs are content-correct but boundary-broken, with substantial boundary breakage under unspecified prompts and in a small human-authored validation set. Ablations show that failures are driven primarily by same-family symmetric-delimiter collisions rather than nesting alone, are only partially mitigated by prompt hints, and generalize to Python triple-quote docstrings while JSON remains robust as an asymmetric-delimiter control. LatentMD provides a reproducible diagnostic target for parser-sensitive LLM evaluation.