Overview

Dynamic graph learning studies networks whose connections, attributes, or both evolve, from timestamped interaction events to sequences of graph snapshots. Common approaches include temporal graph neural networks with memory, attention, or state-space models, alongside methods that learn changing graph structure, temporal representations, or causal patterns. They are used for tasks such as link and event prediction, anomaly detection, traffic forecasting, and analysis of brain or transaction networks. A central challenge is balancing responsiveness to new patterns with retention of useful history, while ensuring efficient, interpretable models are evaluated under realistic distribution shifts and negative-sampling protocols.

Latest papers

124 papers12 papers in the last four weeks, up 33% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Apr 8, 2026

DSPR: Dual-Stream Physics-Residual Networks for Trustworthy Industrial Time Series Forecasting

Accurate forecasting of industrial time series requires balancing predictive accuracy with physical plausibility under non-stationary operating conditions. Existing data-driven models often achieve strong statistical performance but struggle to respect regime-dependent interaction structures and transport delays inherent in real-world systems. To address this challenge, we propose DSPR (Dual-Stream Physics-Residual Networks), a forecasting framework that explicitly decouples stable temporal patterns from regime-dependent residual dynamics. The first stream models the statistical temporal evolution of individual variables. The second stream focuses on residual dynamics through two key mechanisms: an Adaptive Window module that estimates flow-dependent transport delays, and a Physics-Guided Dynamic Graph that incorporates physical priors to learn time-varying interaction structures while suppressing spurious correlations. Experiments on four industrial benchmarks spanning heterogeneous regimes demonstrate that DSPR consistently improves forecasting accuracy and robustness under regime shifts while maintaining strong physical plausibility. It achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance, with Mean Conservation Accuracy exceeding 99% and Total Variation Ratio reaching up to 97.2%. Beyond forecasting, the learned interaction structures and adaptive lags provide interpretable insights that are consistent with known domain mechanisms, such as flow-dependent transport delays and wind-to-power scaling behaviors. These results suggest that architectural decoupling with physics-consistent inductive biases offers an effective path toward trustworthy industrial time-series forecasting. Furthermore, DSPR's demonstrated robust performance in long-term industrial deployment bridges the gap between advanced forecasting models and trustworthy autonomous control systems.
Apr 2, 2026

Optimizing EEG Graph Structure for Seizure Detection: An Information Bottleneck and Self-Supervised Learning Approach

Seizure detection from EEG signals is highly challenging due to complex spatiotemporal dynamics and extreme inter-patient variability. To model them, recent methods construct dynamic graphs via statistical correlations, predefined similarity measures, or implicit learning, yet rarely account for EEG's noisy nature. Consequently, these graphs usually contain redundant or task-irrelevant connections, undermining model performance even with state-of-the-art architectures. In this paper, we present a new perspective for EEG seizure detection: jointly learning denoised dynamic graph structures and informative spatial-temporal representations guided by the Information Bottleneck (IB). Unlike prior approaches, our graph constructor explicitly accounts for the noisy characteristics of EEG data, producing compact and reliable connectivity patterns that better support downstream seizure detection. To further enhance representation learning, we employ a self-supervised Graph Masked AutoEncoder that reconstructs masked EEG signals based on dynamic graph context, promoting structure-aware and compact representations aligned with the IB principle. Bringing things together, we introduce Information Bottleneck-guided EEG SeizuRE DetectioN via SElf-Supervised Learning (IRENE), which explicitly learns dynamic graph structures and interpretable spatial-temporal EEG representations. IRENE addresses three core challenges: (i) Identifying the most informative nodes and edges; (ii) Explaining seizure propagation in the brain network; and (iii) Enhancing robustness against label scarcity and inter-patient variability. Extensive experiments on benchmark EEG datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in seizure detection and provides clinically meaningful insights into seizure dynamics. The source code is available at https://github.com/LabRAI/IRENE.
Apr 1, 2026

Dynamic Graph Neural Network with Adaptive Features Selection for RGB-D Based Indoor Scene Recognition

Multi-modality of color and depth, i.e., RGB-D, is of great importance in recent research of indoor scene recognition. In this kind of data representation, depth map is able to describe the 3D structure of scenes and geometric relations among objects. Previous works showed that local features of both modalities are vital for promotion of recognition accuracy. However, the problem of adaptive selection and effective exploitation on these key local features remains open in this field. In this paper, a dynamic graph model is proposed with adaptive node selection mechanism to solve the above problem. In this model, a dynamic graph is built up to model the relations among objects and scene, and a method of adaptive node selection is proposed to take key local features from both modalities of RGB and depth for graph modeling. After that, these nodes are grouped by three different levels, representing near or far relations among objects. Moreover, the graph model is updated dynamically according to attention weights. Finally, the updated and optimized features of RGB and depth modalities are fused together for indoor scene recognition. Experiments are performed on public datasets including SUN RGB-D and NYU Depth v2. Extensive results demonstrate that our method has superior performance when comparing to state-of-the-arts methods, and show that the proposed method is able to exploit crucial local features from both modalities of RGB and depth.
Mar 31, 2026

Causality-inspired Federated Learning for Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graphs

Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on parameter averaging or distribution alignment, which implicitly assume that all features are equally transferable across clients, overlooking both the spatial and temporal heterogeneity and the presence of client-specific knowledge in real-world graphs. In this work, we identify that such assumptions create a vicious cycle of spurious representation entanglement, client-specific interference, and negative transfer, degrading generalization performance in Federated Learning over Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graphs (FSTG). To address this issue, we propose a novel causality-inspired framework named SC-FSGL, which explicitly decouples transferable causal knowledge from client-specific noise through representation-level interventions. Specifically, we introduce a Conditional Separation Module that simulates soft interventions through client conditioned masks, enabling the disentanglement of invariant spatio-temporal causal factors from spurious signals and mitigating representation entanglement caused by client heterogeneity. In addition, we propose a Causal Codebook that clusters causal prototypes and aligns local representations via contrastive learning, promoting cross-client consistency and facilitating knowledge sharing across diverse spatio-temporal patterns. Experiments on five diverse heterogeneity Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) datasets show that SC-FSGL outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
Mar 30, 2026

Graph Vector Field: A Unified Framework for Multimodal Health Risk Assessment from Heterogeneous Wearable and Environmental Data Streams

Digital health research has advanced dynamic graph-based disease models, topological learning on simplicial complexes, and multimodal mixture-of-experts architectures, but these strands remain largely disconnected. We propose Graph Vector Field (GVF), a framework that models health risk as a vector-valued field on time-varying simplicial complexes, coupling discrete differential-geometric operators with modality-structured mixture-of-experts. Risk is represented as a vector-valued cochain whose evolution is parameterised with Hodge Laplacians and discrete exterior calculus operators, yielding a Helmholtz-Hodge decomposition into potential-driven (exact), circulation-like (coexact), and topologically constrained (harmonic) components linked to interpretable propagation, cyclic, and persistent risk mechanisms. Multimodal inputs from wearable sensors, behavioural/environmental context, and clinical/genomic data are incorporated through a bundle-structured mixture-of-experts in which modality-specific latent spaces are attached as fibres to the base complex. This separates modality-specific from shared contributions and offers a principled route toward modality-level identifiability. GVF integrates geometric dynamical systems, higher-order topology (enforced indirectly via geometric regularisation and Hodge decomposition), and structured multimodal fusion into a single framework for interpretable, modality-resolved risk modelling. This paper develops the mathematical foundations, architectural design, and formal guarantees; empirical validation is the subject of ongoing work.
Mar 25, 2026

DyMRL: Dynamic Multispace Representation Learning for Multimodal Event Forecasting in Knowledge Graph

Accurate representation of multimodal knowledge is crucial for event forecasting in real-world scenarios. However, existing studies have largely focused on static settings, overlooking the dynamic acquisition and fusion of multimodal knowledge. 1) At the knowledge acquisition level, how to learn time-sensitive information of different modalities, especially the dynamic structural modality. Existing dynamic learning methods are often limited to shallow structures across heterogeneous spaces or simple unispaces, making it difficult to capture deep relation-aware geometric features. 2) At the knowledge fusion level, how to learn evolving multimodal fusion features. Existing knowledge fusion methods based on static coattention struggle to capture the varying historical contributions of different modalities to future events. To this end, we propose DyMRL, a Dynamic Multispace Representation Learning approach to efficiently acquire and fuse multimodal temporal knowledge. 1) For the former issue, DyMRL integrates time-specific structural features from Euclidean, hyperbolic, and complex spaces into a relational message-passing framework to learn deep representations, reflecting human intelligences in associative thinking, high-order abstracting, and logical reasoning. Pretrained models endow DyMRL with time-sensitive visual and linguistic intelligences. 2) For the latter concern, DyMRL incorporates advanced dual fusion-evolution attention mechanisms that assign dynamic learning emphases equally to different modalities at different timestamps in a symmetric manner. To evaluate DyMRL's event forecasting performance through leveraging its learned multimodal temporal knowledge in history, we construct four multimodal temporal knowledge graph benchmarks. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DyMRL outperforms state-of-the-art dynamic unimodal and static multimodal baseline methods.
Mar 19, 2026

Subspace Projection Methods for Fast Spectral Embeddings of Evolving Graphs

Several graph data mining, signal processing, and machine learning downstream tasks rely on information related to the eigenvectors of the associated adjacency or Laplacian matrix. Classical eigendecomposition methods are powerful when the matrix remains static but cannot be applied to problems where the matrix entries are updated or the number of rows and columns increases frequently. Such scenarios occur routinely in graph analytics when the graph is changing dynamically and either edges and/or nodes are being added and removed. This paper puts forth a new algorithmic framework to update the eigenvectors associated with the leading eigenvalues of an initial adjacency or Laplacian matrix as the graph evolves dynamically. The proposed algorithm is based on Rayleigh-Ritz projections, in which the original eigenvalue problem is projected onto a restricted subspace which ideally encapsulates the invariant subspace associated with the sought eigenvectors. Following ideas from eigenvector perturbation analysis, we present a new methodology to build the projection subspace. The proposed framework features lower computational and memory complexity with respect to competitive alternatives while empirical results show strong qualitative performance, both in terms of eigenvector approximation and accuracy of downstream learning tasks of central node identification and node clustering.
Mar 15, 2026

A Multi-Scale Graph Learning Framework with Temporal Consistency Constraints for Financial Fraud Detection in Transaction Networks under Non-Stationary Conditions

Financial fraud detection in transaction networks involves modeling sparse anomalies, dynamic patterns, and severe class imbalance in the presence of temporal drift in the data. In real-world transaction systems, a suspicious transaction is rarely isolated: rather, legitimate and suspicious transactions are often connected through accounts, intermediaries or through temporal transaction sequences. Attribute-based or randomly partitioned learning pipelines are therefore insufficient to detect relationally structured fraud. STC-MixHop, a graph-based framework combining spatial multi-resolution propagation with lightweight temporal consistency modeling for anomaly and fraud detection in dynamic transaction networks. It integrates three components: a MixHop-inspired multi-scale neighborhood diffusion encoder a multi-scale neighborhood diffusion MixHop-based encoder for learning structural patterns; a spatial-temporal attention module coupling current and preceding graph snapshots to stabilize representations; and a temporally informed self-supervised pretraining strategy exploiting unlabeled transaction interactions to improve representation quality. We evaluate the framework primarily on the PaySim dataset under strict chronological splits, supplementing the analysis with Porto Seguro and FEMA data to probe cross-domain component behavior. Results show that STC-MixHop is competitive among graph methods and achieves strong screening-oriented recall under highly imbalanced conditions. The experiments also reveal an important boundary condition: when node attributes are highly informative, tabular baselines remain difficult to outperform. Graph structure contributes most clearly where hidden relational dependencies are operationally important. These findings support a stability-focused view of graph learning for financial fraud detection.
Mar 14, 2026

Node Role-Guided LLMs for Dynamic Graph Clustering

Dynamic graph clustering aims to detect and track time-varying clusters in dynamic graphs, revealing how complex real-world systems evolve over time. However, existing methods are predominantly black-box models. They lack interpretability in their clustering decisions and fail to provide semantic explanations of why clusters form or how they evolve, severely limiting their use in safety-critical domains such as healthcare or transportation. To address these limitations, we propose an end-to-end interpretable framework that maps continuous graph embeddings into discrete semantic concepts through learnable prototypes. Specifically, we first decompose node representations into orthogonal role and clustering subspaces, so that nodes with similar roles (e.g., hubs, bridges) but different cluster affiliations can be properly distinguished. We then introduce five node role prototypes (Leader, Contributor, Wanderer, Connector, Newcomer) in the role subspace as semantic anchors, transforming continuous embeddings into discrete concepts to facilitate LLM understanding of node roles within communities. Finally, we design a hierarchical LLM reasoning mechanism to generate both clustering results and natural language explanations, while providing consistency feedback as weak supervision to refine node representations. Experimental results on four synthetic and six real-world benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness, interpretability, and robustness of DyG-RoLLM. Code is available at https://github.com/Clearloveyuan/DyG-RoLLM.
Mar 10, 2026

BrainSTR: Spatio-Temporal Contrastive Learning for Interpretable Dynamic Brain Network Modeling

Dynamic functional connectivity captures time-varying brain states for better neuropsychiatric diagnosis and spatio-temporal interpretability, i.e., identifying when discriminative disease signatures emerge and where they reside in the connectivity topology. Reliable interpretability faces major challenges: diagnostic signals are often subtle and sparsely distributed across both time and topology, while nuisance fluctuations and non-diagnostic connectivities are pervasive. To address these issues, we propose BrainSTR, a spatio-temporal contrastive learning framework for interpretable dynamic brain network modeling. BrainSTR learns state-consistent phase boundaries via a data-driven Adaptive Phase Partition module, identifies diagnostically critical phases with attention, and extracts disease-related connectivity within each phase using an Incremental Graph Structure Generator regularized by binarization, temporal smoothness, and sparsity. Then, we introduce a spatio-temporal supervised contrastive learning approach that leverages diagnosis-relevant spatio-temporal patterns to refine the similarity metric between samples and capture more discriminative spatio-temporal features, thereby constructing a well-structured semantic space for coherent and interpretable representations. Experiments on ASD, BD, and MDD validate the effectiveness of BrainSTR, and the discovered critical phases and subnetworks provide interpretable evidence consistent with prior neuroimaging findings. Our code: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/BrainSTR1.
Mar 9, 2026

Detecting Fake Reviewer Groups in Dynamic Networks: An Adaptive Graph Learning Method

The proliferation of fake reviews, often produced by organized groups, undermines consumer trust and fair competition on online platforms. These groups employ sophisticated strategies that evade traditional detection methods, particularly in cold-start scenarios involving newly launched products with sparse data. To address this, we propose the Diversity- and Similarity-aware Dynamic Graph Attention-enhanced Graph Convolutional Network (DS-DGA-GCN), a new graph learning model for detecting fake reviewer groups. DS-DGA-GCN achieves robust detection since it focuses on the joint relationships among products, reviews, and reviewers by modeling product-review-reviewer networks. DS-DGA-GCN also achieves adaptive detection by integrating a Network Feature Scoring (NFS) system and a new dynamic graph attention mechanism. The NFS system quantifies network attributes, including neighbor diversity, network self-similarity, as a unified feature score. The dynamic graph attention mechanism improves the adaptability and computational efficiency by captures features related to temporal information, node importance, and global network structure. Extensive experiments conducted on two real-world datasets derived from Amazon and Xiaohongshu demonstrate that DS-DGA-GCN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving accuracies of up to 89.8% and 88.3%, respectively.
Mar 9, 2026

Graph2Video: Leveraging Video Models to Model Dynamic Graph Evolution

Dynamic graphs are common in real-world systems such as social media, recommender systems, and traffic networks. Existing dynamic graph models for link prediction often fall short in capturing the complexity of temporal evolution. They tend to overlook fine-grained variations in temporal interaction order, struggle with dependencies that span long time horizons, and offer limited capability to model pair-specific relational dynamics. To address these challenges, we propose Graph2Video, a video-inspired framework that views the temporal neighborhood of a target link as a sequence of "graph frames". By stacking temporally ordered subgraph frames into a "graph video", Graph2Video leverages the inductive biases of video foundation models to capture both fine-grained local variations and long-range temporal dynamics. It generates a link-level embedding that serves as a lightweight and plug-and-play link-centric memory unit. This embedding integrates seamlessly into existing dynamic graph encoders, effectively addressing the limitations of prior approaches. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets show that Graph2Video outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on the link prediction task in most cases. The results highlight the potential of borrowing spatio-temporal modeling techniques from computer vision as a promising and effective approach for advancing dynamic graph learning.
Mar 6, 2026

Polarized Direct Cross-Attention Message Passing in GNNs for Machinery Fault Diagnosis

The reliability of safety-critical industrial systems hinges on accurate and robust fault diagnosis in rotating machinery. Conventional graph neural networks (GNNs) for machinery fault diagnosis face limitations in modeling complex dynamic interactions due to their reliance on predefined static graph structures and homogeneous aggregation schemes. To overcome these challenges, this paper introduces polarized direct cross-attention (PolaDCA), a novel relational learning framework that enables adaptive message passing through data-driven graph construction. Our approach builds upon a direct cross-attention (DCA) mechanism that dynamically infers attention weights from three semantically distinct node features (such as individual characteristics, neighborhood consensus, and neighborhood diversity) without requiring fixed adjacency matrices. Theoretical analysis establishes PolaDCA's superior noise robustness over conventional GNNs. Extensive experiments on industrial datasets (i.e., XJTUSuprgear, CWRUBearing and Three-Phase Flow Facility datasets) demonstrate state-of-the-art diagnostic accuracy and enhanced generalization under varying noise conditions, outperforming seven competitive baseline methods. The proposed framework provides an effective solution for safety-critical industrial applications.
Mar 5, 2026

Random Dot Product Graphs as Dynamical Systems: Limitations and Opportunities

Can we learn the differential equations governing the evolution of a temporal network? We investigate this within Random Dot Product Graphs (RDPGs), where each network snapshot is generated from latent positions evolving under unknown dynamics. We identify three fundamental obstructions: gauge freedom from rotational ambiguity in latent positions, realizability constraints from the manifold structure of the probability matrix, and trajectory recovery artifacts from spectral embedding. We develop a geometric framework based on principal fiber bundles that formalizes these obstructions. We characterize invisible dynamics as exactly the skew-symmetric generators, and show the realizable tangent space has dimension nd−d(d−1)/2nd - d(d-1)/2. An holonomy dichotomy emerges: polynomial dynamics have commuting generators, stationary eigenvectors, and trivial holonomy, making gauge alignment purely statistical; Laplacian dynamics satisfy a non-commutativity criterion producing nontrivial holonomy, with curvature weighted by 1/(λι+λγ)1/(λ_ι+ λ_γ) linking gauge sensitivity to the spectral gap. In d=2d=2 this yields full restricted holonomy SO(2)\mathrm{SO}(2); for d≥3d \ge 3 generic full SO(d)\mathrm{SO}(d) remains conjectural. Cram'er--Rao lower bounds reveal that the same spectral gap controlling curvature and injectivity simultaneously controls Fisher information, so geometric and statistical difficulty are inextricable. We prove an identifiability principle: symmetric dynamics cannot absorb skew-symmetric gauge contamination, so dynamics structure can resolve gauge ambiguity. We demonstrate this constructively with anchor-based alignment and a UDE pipeline recovering vector fields from noisy graph sequences. Yet finite-sample interactions between noise, gauge, and dynamics expressiveness remain beyond the asymptotic theory. We frame this gap as an open challenge.
Mar 4, 2026

TFWaveFormer: Temporal-Frequency Collaborative Multi-level Wavelet Transformer for Dynamic Link Prediction

Dynamic link prediction plays a crucial role in diverse applications including social network analysis, communication forecasting, and financial modeling. While recent Transformer-based approaches have demonstrated promising results in temporal graph learning, their performance remains limited when capturing complex multi-scale temporal dynamics. In this paper, we propose TFWaveFormer, a novel Transformer architecture that integrates temporal-frequency analysis with multi-resolution wavelet decomposition to enhance dynamic link prediction. Our framework comprises three key components: (i) a temporal-frequency coordination mechanism that jointly models temporal and spectral representations, (ii) a learnable multi-resolution wavelet decomposition module that adaptively extracts multi-scale temporal patterns through parallel convolutions, replacing traditional iterative wavelet transforms, and (iii) a hybrid Transformer module that effectively fuses local wavelet features with global temporal dependencies. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that TFWaveFormer achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming existing Transformer-based and hybrid models by significant margins across multiple metrics. The superior performance of TFWaveFormer validates the effectiveness of combining temporal-frequency analysis with wavelet decomposition in capturing complex temporal dynamics for dynamic link prediction tasks.
Mar 4, 2026

How Predicted Links Influence Network Evolution: Disentangling Choice and Algorithmic Feedback in Dynamic Graphs

Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic interaction tendencies with amplification effects induced by network dynamics and algorithmic feedback. We propose a temporal framework based on multivariate Hawkes processes that disentangles these two sources and introduce an instantaneous bias measure derived from interaction intensities, capturing current reinforcement dynamics beyond cumulative metrics. We provide a theoretical characterization of the stability and convergence of the induced dynamics, and experiments show that the proposed measure reliably reflects algorithmic feedback effects across different link prediction strategies.
Mar 3, 2026

EEG-SeeGraph: Interpreting functional connectivity disruptions in dementias via sparse-explanatory dynamic EEG-graph learning

Robust and interpretable dementia diagnosis from noisy, non-stationary electroencephalography (EEG) is clinically essential yet remains challenging. To this end, we propose SeeGraph, a Sparse-Explanatory dynamic EEG-graph network that models time-evolving functional connectivity and employs a node-guided sparse edge mask to reveal the connections that drive diagnostic decisions, while remaining robust to noise and cross-site variability. SeeGraph comprises four components: (1) a dual-trajectory temporal encoder that models dynamic EEG with two streams, where node signals capture regional oscillations and edge signals capture interregional coupling; (2) a topology-aware positional encoder that derives graph-spectral Laplacian coordinates from the fused connectivity and augments node embeddings; (3) a node-guided sparse explanatory edge mask that gates the connectivity into a compact subgraph; and (4) a gated graph predictor that operates on the sparsified graph. The framework is trained using cross-entropy loss together with a sparsity regularizer on the mask, yielding noise-robust and interpretable diagnoses. The effectiveness of SeeGraph is validated on public and in-house EEG cohorts, including patients with neurodegenerative dementias and healthy controls, under both raw and noise-perturbed conditions. Its sparse, node-guided explanations highlight disease-relevant connections and align with established clinical findings on functional connectivity alterations, thereby offering transparent cues for neurological evaluation.
Mar 2, 2026

Towards OOD Generalization in Dynamic Graphs via Causal Invariant Learning

Although dynamic graph neural networks (DyGNNs) have demonstrated promising capabilities, most existing methods ignore out-of-distribution (OOD) shifts that commonly exist in dynamic graphs. Dynamic graph OOD generalization is non-trivial due to the following challenges: 1) Identifying invariant and variant patterns amid complex graph evolution, 2) Capturing the intrinsic evolution rationale from these patterns, and 3) Ensuring model generalization across diverse OOD shifts despite limited data distribution observations. Although several attempts have been made to tackle these challenges, none has successfully addressed all three simultaneously, and they face various limitations in complex OOD scenarios. To solve these issues, we propose a Dynamic graph Causal Invariant Learning (DyCIL) model for OOD generalization via exploiting invariant spatio-temporal patterns from a causal view. Specifically, we first develop a dynamic causal subgraph generator to identify causal dynamic subgraphs explicitly. Next, we design a causal-aware spatio-temporal attention module to extract the intrinsic evolution rationale behind invariant patterns. Finally, we further introduce an adaptive environment generator to capture the underlying dynamics of distributional shifts. Extensive experiments on both real-world and synthetic dynamic graph datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model over state-of-the-art baselines in handling OOD shifts.
Mar 2, 2026

Fed-GAME: Personalized Federated Learning with Graph Attention Mixture-of-Experts For Time-Series Forecasting

Federated learning (FL) on graphs shows promise for distributed time-series forecasting. Yet, existing methods rely on static topologies and struggle with client heterogeneity. We propose Fed-GAME, a framework that models personalized aggregation as message passing over a learnable dynamic implicit graph. The core is a decoupled parameter difference-based update protocol, where clients transmit parameter differences between their fine-tuned private model and a shared global model. On the server, these differences are decomposed into two streams: (1) averaged difference used to updating the global model for consensus (2) the selective difference fed into a novel Graph Attention Mixture-of-Experts (GAME) aggregator for fine-grained personalization. In this aggregator, shared experts provide scoring signals while personalized gates adaptively weight selective updates to support personalized aggregation. Experiments on two real-world electric vehicle charging datasets demonstrate that Fed-GAME outperforms state-of-the-art personalized FL baselines.
Mar 1, 2026

DWAFM: Dynamic Weighted Graph Structure Embedding Integrated with Attention and Frequency-Domain MLPs for Traffic Forecasting

Accurate traffic prediction is a key task for intelligent transportation systems. The core difficulty lies in accurately modeling the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data. In recent years, improvements in network architecture have failed to bring significant performance enhancements, while embedding technology has shown great potential. However, existing embedding methods often ignore graph structure information or rely solely on static graph structures, making it difficult to effectively capture the dynamic associations between nodes that evolve over time. To address this issue, this letter proposes a novel dynamic weighted graph structure (DWGS) embedding method, which relies on a graph structure that can truly reflect the changes in the strength of dynamic associations between nodes over time. By first combining the DWGS embedding with the spatial-temporal adaptive embedding, as well as the temporal embedding and feature embedding, and then integrating attention and frequency-domain multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs), we design a novel traffic prediction model, termed the DWGS embedding integrated with attention and frequency-domain MLPs (DWAFM). Experiments on five real-world traffic datasets show that the DWAFM achieves better prediction performance than some state-of-the-arts.
Feb 26, 2026

An Analysis of Role Semantics in Directed Dynamic Graph Modeling for Edge Classification

Edge classification on directed dynamic graphs is critical for understanding evolving user-item interactions and behavioral patterns in recommender systems and social platforms. Existing dynamic graph architectures typically process these interactions using shared parameters for nodes with semantically distinct roles, including source, destination, query, and neighbor. While abundant supervision in tasks such as link prediction provides sufficient gradient signal for models to implicitly deduce role semantics and overcome this conflation, there are often far fewer labels available for edge classification. We hypothesize that in such regimes, the ability of models to implicitly separate roles is restricted, degrading downstream performance. To empirically investigate this relationship, we introduce an experimental framework for sequence-based models that explicitly disentangles functional roles using targeted embeddings and an asymmetric pretraining objective. By providing architectural priors for these roles, the framework serves as an evaluative vehicle to isolate and measure the resulting performance delta across a range of label budgets. Our empirical evaluation demonstrates that this explicit role disentanglement yields substantial and consistent relative performance gains over baselines. Furthermore, representational analyses reveal that the mechanism by which the framework provides these benefits is a bifurcation of source and destination latent spaces that improves linear separability.
Feb 26, 2026

Learning Disease-Sensitive Latent Interaction Graphs From Noisy Cardiac Flow Measurements

Cardiac blood flow patterns contain rich information about disease severity and clinical interventions, yet current imaging and computational methods fail to capture underlying relational structures of coherent flow features. We propose a physics-informed, latent relational framework to model cardiac vortices as interacting nodes in a graph. Our model combines a neural relational inference architecture with physics-inspired interaction energy and birth-death dynamics, yielding a latent graph sensitive to disease severity and intervention level. We first develop the method using computational fluid dynamics simulations of aortic coarctation, where learned interaction graphs reveal increasingly structured vortex interactions as vessel narrowing progresses. The resulting graph entropy exhibits a strong monotonic relationship with coarctation severity (R2=0.78R^2=0.78, Spearman ∣ρ∣=0.96|ρ|=0.96). We then evaluate the framework on fluid-structure interaction simulations of intracranial aneurysms using multiple geometric severity descriptors. Among these, aneurysm volume produces the most informative latent representation, with non-interaction graph entropy demonstrating a strong monotonic relationship with severity (Spearman ∣ρ∣=0.91|ρ| = 0.91) and generalising to several alternative morphological measures. Finally, we apply the approach to ultrasound-derived flow fields of a left ventricle under varying levels of left ventricular assist device support, where the latent graph captures the progressive loss of coherent vortex interactions under mechanical assistance, demonstrating cross-modal generalisation to imaging data. Across all datasets, latent interaction graphs and graph entropy provide interpretable markers of disease severity and intervention, linking haemodynamic organisation to clinically relevant physiological changes.
Feb 26, 2026

Coarse-to-Fine Learning of Dynamic Causal Structures

Learning the dynamic causal structure of time series is a challenging problem. Most existing approaches rely on distributional or structural invariance to uncover underlying causal dynamics, assuming stationary or partially stationary causality. However, these assumptions often conflict with the complex, time-varying causal relationships observed in real-world systems. This motivates the need for methods that address fully dynamic causality, where both instantaneous and lagged dependencies evolve over time. Such a setting poses significant challenges for the efficiency and stability of causal discovery. To address these challenges, we introduce DyCausal, a dynamic causal structure learning framework. DyCausal leverages convolutional networks to capture causal patterns within coarse-grained time windows, and then applies linear interpolation to refine causal structures at each time step, thereby recovering fine-grained and time-varying causal graphs. In addition, we propose an acyclic constraint based on matrix norm scaling, which improves efficiency while effectively constraining loops in evolving causal structures. Comprehensive evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that DyCausal achieves superior performance compared to existing methods, offering a stable and efficient approach for identifying fully dynamic causal structures from coarse to fine.
Feb 24, 2026

CGSTA: Cross-Scale Graph Contrast with Stability-Aware Alignment for Multivariate Time-Series Anomaly Detection

Multivariate time-series anomaly detection is essential for reliable industrial control, telemetry, and service monitoring. However, the evolving inter-variable dependencies and inevitable noise render it challenging. Existing methods often use single-scale graphs or instance-level contrast. Moreover, learned dynamic graphs can overfit noise without a stable anchor, causing false alarms or misses. To address these challenges, we propose the CGSTA framework with two key innovations. First, Dynamic Layered Graph Construction (DLGC) forms local, regional, and global views of variable relations for each sliding window; rather than contrasting whole windows, Contrastive Discrimination across Scales (CDS) contrasts graph representations within each view and aligns the same window across views to make learning structure-aware. Second, Stability-Aware Alignment (SAA) maintains a per-scale stable reference learned from normal data and guides the current window's fast-changing graphs toward it to suppress noise. We fuse the multi-scale and temporal features and use a conditional density estimator to produce per-time-step anomaly scores. Across four benchmarks, CGSTA delivers optimal performance on PSM and WADI, and is comparable to the baseline methods on SWaT and SMAP.
Feb 23, 2026

Learning Discriminative and Generalizable Anomaly Detector for Dynamic Graph with Limited Supervision

Dynamic graph anomaly detection is critical for many real-world applications but remains challenging due to the scarcity of labeled anomalies. Existing methods are either unsupervised or semi-supervised: unsupervised methods avoid the need for labeled anomalies but often produce ambiguous boundary, whereas semi-supervised methods can overfit to the limited labeled anomalies and generalize poorly to unseen anomalies. To address this gap, we consider a largely underexplored problem: learning a discriminative boundary from normal/unlabeled data, while leveraging limited labeled anomalies when available without sacrificing generalization to unseen anomalies. In this paper, we propose an effective, generalizable, and model-agnostic framework with three main components: (i) residual representation encoding that capture deviations between current interactions and their historical context, providing anomaly-relevant signals; (ii) a restriction loss that constrain the normal representations within an interval bounded by two co-centered hyperspheres, ensuring consistent scales while keeping anomalies separable; (iii) a bi-boundary optimization strategy that learns a discriminative and robust boundary using the log-likelihood distribution modeled by a normalizing flow. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our framework across diverse evaluation settings.
Feb 15, 2026

A Hybrid TGN-SEAL Model for Dynamic Graph Link Prediction

Predicting links in sparse, continuously evolving networks is a central challenge in network science. Conventional heuristic methods and deep learning models, including Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), are typically designed for static graphs and thus struggle to capture temporal dependencies. Snapshot-based techniques partially address this issue but often encounter data sparsity and class imbalance, particularly in networks with transient interactions such as telecommunication call detail records (CDRs). Temporal Graph Networks (TGNs) model dynamic graphs by updating node embeddings over time; however, their predictive accuracy under sparse conditions remains limited. In this study, we improve the TGN framework by extracting enclosing subgraphs around candidate links, enabling the model to jointly learn structural and temporal information. Experiments on a sparse CDR, email, message dataset show that our approach increases average precision by at least 2% over standard TGNs, demonstrating the advantages of integrating local topology for robust link prediction in dynamic networks.
Oct 10, 2025

What Do Temporal Graph Learning Models Learn?

Learning on temporal graphs has become a central topic in graph representation learning, with numerous benchmarks indicating the strong performance of state-of-the-art models. However, recent work has raised concerns about the reliability of benchmark results, noting issues with commonly used evaluation protocols and the surprising competitiveness of simple heuristics. This contrast raises the question of which characteristics of the underlying graphs temporal graph learning models actually use to form their predictions. We address this by systematically evaluating eight models on their ability to capture eight fundamental characteristics related to the link structure of temporal graphs. These include structural characteristics such as density, temporal patterns such as recency, and edge formation mechanisms such as homophily. Using both synthetic and real-world datasets, we analyze how well models learn these characteristics. Our findings reveal a mixed picture: models capture some characteristics well but fail to reproduce others. With this, we expose important limitations. Overall, we believe that our results provide practical insights for the application of temporal graph learning models and motivate more interpretability-driven evaluations in graph learning research.
Aug 20, 2025

Graph Structure Learning with Temporal Graph Information Bottleneck for Inductive Representation Learning

Temporal graph learning is crucial for dynamic networks where nodes and edges evolve over time and new nodes continuously join the system. Inductive representation learning in such settings faces two major challenges: effectively representing unseen nodes and mitigating noisy or redundant graph information. We propose GTGIB, a versatile framework that integrates Graph Structure Learning (GSL) with Temporal Graph Information Bottleneck (TGIB). We design a novel two-step GSL-based structural enhancer to enrich and optimize node neighborhoods and demonstrate its effectiveness and efficiency through theoretical proofs and experiments. The TGIB refines the optimized graph by extending the information bottleneck principle to temporal graphs, regularizing both edges and features based on our derived tractable TGIB objective function via variational approximation, enabling stable and efficient optimization. GTGIB-based models are evaluated to predict links on four real-world datasets; they outperform existing methods in all datasets under the inductive setting, with significant and consistent improvement in the transductive setting.
Aug 9, 2025

BrainATCL: Adaptive Temporal Brain Connectivity Learning for Functional Link Prediction and Age Estimation

Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is an imaging technique widely used to study human brain activity. fMRI signals in areas across the brain transiently synchronise and desynchronise their activity in a highly structured manner, even when an individual is at rest. These functional connectivity dynamics may be related to behaviour and neuropsychiatric disease. To model these dynamics, temporal brain connectivity representations are essential, as they reflect evolving interactions between brain regions and provide insight into transient neural states and network reconfigurations. However, conventional graph neural networks (GNNs) often struggle to capture long-range temporal dependencies in dynamic fMRI data. To address this challenge, we propose BrainATCL, an unsupervised, nonparametric framework for adaptive temporal brain connectivity learning, enabling functional link prediction and age estimation. Our method dynamically adjusts the lookback window for each snapshot based on the rate of newly added edges. Graph sequences are subsequently encoded using a GINE-Mamba2 backbone to learn spatial-temporal representations of dynamic functional connectivity in resting-state fMRI data of 1,000 participants from the Human Connectome Project. To further improve spatial modeling, we incorporate brain structure and function-informed edge attributes, i.e., the left/right hemispheric identity and subnetwork membership of brain regions, enabling the model to capture biologically meaningful topological patterns. We evaluate our BrainATCL on two tasks: functional link prediction and age estimation. The experimental results demonstrate superior performance and strong generalization, including in cross-session prediction scenarios.
Apr 10, 2025

Efficient Traffic State Prediction With Dynamic Joint Spatio-Temporal Relation Inference

Traffic prediction is difficult due to the complex interplay of temporal evolution, spatial interactions, and delayed spatio-temporal propagation over road networks. Existing methods either model spatial and temporal dependencies separately or employ unified spatio-temporal structures, but they often insufficiently characterize how neighboring sensors at historical timestamps influence a target node, while complex joint models may incur high computation. This paper proposes STEI-PCN, an efficient pure convolutional network based on spatio-temporal encoding and relation inference. It first builds a local causal joint spatio-temporal graph to restrict candidate interactions, then uses absolute position and relative distance encodings to infer dynamic edge weights. A single-layer graph convolution with a position-aware gated activation unit captures local joint dependencies, and temporal dilated causal convolutions complement long-range temporal patterns. A multi-view prediction module fuses raw, local propagation, and long-range temporal representations for direct multi-step forecasting. Experiments on PeMS03, PeMS04, PeMS07, PeMS08, and PeMS-Bay under multiple horizons show that STEI-PCN achieves competitive accuracy with moderate parameters and low training and inference costs. Ablation and fluctuation analyses further verify the contributions of the main components and empirically analyze the effects of the training-stage constraints under sharp speed changes. Our code is available at a GitHub link https://github.com/Jessez2/STEI-PCN.