Dynamic Graph Learning

Latest papers 74

Sep 28, 2026cs.LG

WorldGraph: Graph-Native World Modeling

World models infer latent states of an environment to capture its underlying dynamics and predict future evolution. Many real-world environments, however, are inherently relational and observed as evolving graphs, where entities, relations, and their properties change over time. Prior graph-related world models use graph structures to organize internal states or support task-specific reasoning, rather than treating an evolving graph itself as the modeled world. We instead study graph world modeling (GWM), where graph evolution itself constitutes the world dynamics. We formulate graph world modeling over observed graph evolution, latent graph states, and heterogeneous graph-transition predictions. Based on this formulation, we construct GWM-Zero, a benchmark covering node-, edge-, and graph-level transitions over eight temporal graph datasets. We propose WorldGraph, which combines a state-aware graph transformer for multi-granularity structural and transition-conditioned evolution modeling with transition-aware GRPO using dynamic grouping and structure-aware verifiable rewards. Extensive experiments on GWM-Zero show that WorldGraph consistently outperforms representative graph representation, temporal graph learning, graph pretraining, and graph world-model baselines across all three transition granularities.
Sep 23, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Static Graph World Models: Learning Stochastic Latent Dynamics over Evolving Topologies

Graph-based world models have recently emerged as a means of learning transitions over relational state representations. However, existing approaches are largely limited to fixed-topology graphs or deterministic, fully observable environments. We propose the Graph Dynamics Model (GDM), a world model for graph-structured observations that is designed to handle the more general setting of evolving topologies in stochastic and partially observable environments. The GDM uses a sparse recurrent adjacency matrix to model topology updates and perform message passing, together with a recurrent state-space architecture for modelling stochastic transitions. Furthermore, we identify a gap in the evaluation of graph-based world models, as existing methods do not provide a means of comparing predicted and true distributions over the joint graph state comprising the interdependent topology, node features, and graph features. We therefore introduce the Graph Distribution Distance (GDD) metric, which uses maximum mean discrepancy with a graph kernel to comprehensively compare joint next-state distributions. We evaluate the GDM across several environments, including stochastic and partially observable settings. We demonstrate that GDM outperforms baseline models and displays zero-shot generalisation on large graphs.
Sep 22, 2026cs.LG

CacheDyG: Decoupling Temporal Propagation for Efficient Dynamic Graph Learning

Dynamic graphs are widely used to model time-evolving relational systems in real-world applications. Dynamic graph neural networks provide an effective framework for capturing both structural dependencies and temporal dynamics in such data. However, they typically intertwine temporal graph propagation with every optimization epoch and often maintain large trainable representations for each node-time pair. This design repeatedly recomputes largely unchanged historical structures, leading to substantial training and parameter overhead. To address this critical issue, we propose CacheDyG, a Cache-refine framework for efficient Dynamic Graph learning. Specifically, it decouples temporal propagation from routine parameter updates by constructing a time-ordered temporal dependency cache that stores graph-aware node-time representations in non-trainable buffers. During standard training epochs, CacheDyG reads from the cache and updates only a lightweight cache refiner, an adaptive residual gate, and the link predictor. Selective cache refresh further keeps cached representations aligned with the supervised objective while avoiding epoch-wise sparse propagation. Experiments on five dynamic graph benchmarks show that CacheDyG adopts substantially fewer trainable parameters and lower runtime to obtain more competitive predictive performance than baselines. These results demonstrate that cache-based decoupling provides an effective principle for scalable dynamic graph learning.
Sep 16, 2026cs.AI

Time-Aligned Evolving Concept Graphs for Scientific Relation Forecasting

Forecasting scientific relations can guide discovery by identifying promising connections before they emerge. Existing approaches often model concept semantics and graph structure separately or summarize semantics over coarse historical snapshots, leaving semantic representations potentially misaligned with rapidly evolving graph evidence. We propose a time-aligned evolving concept graph framework that jointly models semantic and structural evolution. Its core idea is to treat dated papers as shared update events, reconstructing semantic and structural states from the same publication history through each prediction time. Pair-level fusion combines these states to forecast first co-occurrence, relation formation, and conditional relation type. Holding architecture and training fixed, refreshing context alongside graph updates improves mean relation AUPRC by 16.6% over frozen context. On a graph built from 187,848 papers with 270,687 concepts and 7.45 million co-occurrence links, the complete framework improves mean relation AUROC from 0.9290 for the strongest evaluated baseline to 0.9722, with mean population-weighted AUPRC 0.005778.
Sep 2, 2026cs.SI

Statistical Feature Augmentation for Anomaly Detection in Dynamic Graphs

Dynamic networks are being applied in many domains, from social media to logistics systems, each with their own set of special characteristics. A model employed on this type of data must capture the duality between temporal/structural and feature-based information. Yet state-of-the-art deep learning models often struggle to learn especially short-term behavioral interaction signals, such as sender intensity or interaction inertia, directly from raw event streams. To address this gap, we propose a statistical feature augmentation method that explicitly encodes behavioral interaction statistics into the input feature space. We evaluate our proposed method on an anomaly detection task across three real-world datasets (Reddit, Wikipedia, MOOC) and seven models spanning both continuous-time and discrete-time architectures. As a baseline, we apply the same models trained on the original embeddings. Our results show, that augmentation consistently improves detection performance. Beyond performance, the enriched input enables fine-grained post-hoc analysis of behavioral importance, since each statistic occupies a dedicated input dimension. In particular, this work showcases a promising approach for merging classical network analysis with deep learning.
Aug 19, 2026cs.LG

Enhancing Distance-Based Graph Autoencoders with Structural Penalties for Dynamic Graph Embedding

Graph autoencoders (GAEs) are widely used for learning representations of dynamic graphs. However, their optimisation objectives typically do not take structural heterogeneity across nodes into account. We propose three distance-based GAE variants that incorporate structural penalties into the reconstruction loss. All variants share a two-layer Graph Convolutional Network encoder and a Euclidean-distance decoder trained with distance-based reconstruction objectives. We extend sparsity-corrected loss with two node-level regularization terms: (i) a hub penalty based on degree centrality, and (ii) a penalty based on Natural Community Local Intrinsic Dimensionality (NC-LID). The paper is motivated by prior evidence linking high NC-LID to reduced embedding quality. The proposed methods are designed to emphasize reconstruction errors for structurally ambiguous nodes. Experiments on multiple dynamic graph data sets show that incorporating NC-LID-based regularization consistently improves reconstruction performance over the baseline without structural regularization and the method using hub-aware regularization. These findings highlight NC-LID as a useful structural signal for enhancing distance-based graph autoencoders in dynamic settings.
Aug 10, 2026cs.LG

VeinCast: Physics-Guided Dynamic Field Graphs with Graph-Conditioned Fusion for Global Medium-Range Weather Forecasting

Global medium-range weather forecasting requires modeling structured yet state-dependent interactions among heterogeneous atmospheric fields. Existing data-driven models largely learn these interactions implicitly, whereas equation-level physical constraints may inherit approximation and model-form biases. We present VeinCast, a physics-guided dynamic field graph and graph-conditioned fusion framework that jointly forecasts 69 surface and upper-air fields. Within each local window, its Physics-Guided Dynamic Field Graph combines predefined atmospheric relations with state-dependent Top-K residual edges and adapts Earth-window attention using the resulting graph context. Graph-Conditioned Latent Fusion further employs graph context and source-node centrality to guide field-to-latent aggregation, while bounded feedback preserves field-specific information. On the 1.5∘1.5^\circ ERA5 benchmark, VeinCast demonstrates competitive forecasting performance across all 69 meteorological fields at lead times of up to 14 days, compared with representative global weather forecasting models including FuXi, Pangu-Weather, GraphCast, FengWu, and ARROW. Ablations confirm that the two modules provide complementary gains, demonstrating the effectiveness of relational-level physical guidance for data-driven weather forecasting.
Aug 9, 2026cs.AI

A Structural Dynamics Graph World Model: Unified Modeling, Constrained Rollout, and Interpretable Calibration

The state evolution of a complex system arises jointly from object laws, relational propagation, domain conservation, and unmodeled error. Forcing all sources into one black box makes mechanism attribution and constraint preservation unauditable; forcing every mechanism into one equation family discards mature domain solvers. We propose SD-GWM, a Structural Dynamics Graph World Model as an executable structural contract: nodes declare self-dynamics S, edges declare neighbor graph-coupled dynamics N---both fixed-form mechanism assets (rules, ODEs, solvers) calibrating only authorized parameters. An optional bounded residual R concentrates learnability, while a global projection maps states to feasibility, enforcing constraints without guaranteeing accuracy gains. On eight pre-registered research questions, SD-GWM delivers (i) heterogeneous integration: rules and solvers plug in natively; (ii) semantic fidelity: disabling R preserves source semantics bit-for-bit, with four theory properties under explicit proof/empirical boundaries; (iii) auditable governance: stepwise traces enable counterfactual fault localization (top-1 = 1.0) without post-hoc approximations. On a semi-synthetic flood testbed and USGS streamflow, SD-GWM reduces constraint violations to floating-point tolerance in analytical tests and to zero in semi-synthetic and real-data cases. Persistence matches SD-GWM in calm periods, but during a 254-day extreme-flood shift persistence and all neural baselines collapse (90-min RMSE 892-3007 cfs) while SD-GWM holds at 108 cfs (8-28x gain). The bounded residual cuts RMSE ~50% only under backbone bias. We position SD-GWM not as a universally superior forecaster, but as a verifiable substrate for auditable, constraint-safe spatiotemporal mining.
Aug 7, 2026cs.LG

When GNNs Fail: Quantifying and Overcoming Temporal Correlation Volatility in Time Series

Modeling multivariate time series by representing them as graphs, where individual series act as nodes and pairwise temporal corre- lations serve as edges, has gained significant traction. Recent advances in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated strong perfor- mance by assuming a static graph topology and aggregating information from neighboring series. In this work, we investigate the representa- tional power of GNNs for forecasting under both static and dynamic settings (i.e., when pairwise correlations evolve drastically over time) and identify critical limitations in current architectures. To formalize this, we first propose Temporal Correlation Volatility (TCV), a model- agnostic metric designed to quantify the distributional evolution of these latent structures. We establish a clear connection between TCV and performance degradation, demonstrating that many popular models, including Transformers, generalize poorly in high-TCV settings and are often outperformed by simple structure-agnostic baselines. To address these limitations, we propose Graph Layer for Inference in Dynamic En- vironments (GLIDE), a novel GNN layer enhanced by two theoretically grounded design mechanisms: (D1) Path-based Message Passing, which captures path-based neighborhoods and (D2) Static and Dynamic Propagation Separation, which identifies optimal dynamics via local static approximation. These components significantly improve learning under dynamic topology while preserving robustness in static scenarios. Ex- tensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmarks show that GLIDE improves average performance by up to 45.6% across static and dynamic settings, with the largest gain reaching 85.7%. The source code is available at https://github.com/ChenS676/GLIDE.
Aug 7, 2026cs.LG

Edge Sparsification via Temporal Forman-Ricci Curvature for Dynamic Graph Learning

Temporal graph learning has become essential for analyzing real-world systems whose interactions continuously evolve over time, including financial transaction networks, communication systems, and online social platforms. However, learning from large-scale temporal graphs remains computationally challenging when networks are dense and rapidly changing. To address this limitation, we propose a network-curvature-inspired edge sparsification framework for dynamic graph learning. Our proposed method, TRicci, extends classical Forman-Ricci curvature to directed weighted temporal graphs by capturing structural support, temporal recency, and local interaction competition. Experiments on 9 transaction networks and 3 temporal graph benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework preserves predictive performance across multiple graph-level prediction tasks. The results show that TRicci sparsifies temporal graphs by approximately 80% while reducing end-to-end downstream training and inference time by an average of 55.94%, without substantial degradation in predictive performance. Our findings suggest that temporal curvature can serve as a principled basis for scalable temporal graph learning by preserving predictive temporal-structural information under substantial sparsification.
Aug 7, 2026cs.AI

Where Does Neural Advantage Arise in Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph Prediction?

Aggregate performance on continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) combines, in a single score, the portion attributable to known temporal regularities and the additional predictive power of neural models. This study separates the two at the query level. We construct a mechanism-constrained predictor that uses pair recurrence, recency and history position, renewal patterns, and short sequential transitions while learning the compatibility within each mechanism. Across four CTDG datasets, this predictor recovers a substantial portion of the performance of strong neural baselines, and the recovered performance quickly saturates with a small, dataset-specific set of explicit mechanisms. Neural residuals concentrate on queries for which the positive and negative candidates have similar mechanism-execution profiles. Allowing conditional interactions among mechanisms is more effective than simply reweighting their existing contributions. Conditioning the contribution of one mechanism on the execution state of another recovers 54.9-73.2% of the original neural-only queries and improves overall paired accuracy on all four datasets. Although the magnitude of the effect varies across datasets, these results show that the performance gap of neural CTDG models need not be treated solely as an opaque difference in representational capacity. At least part of the gap is localized to queries with similar candidate execution profiles and can be functionally explained by conditional coordination among known, low-dimensional mechanisms.
Aug 6, 2026cs.LG

Dynamic Graph Prompting via Topology-Routed Mixed-Curvature Experts

Dynamic graph prompting freezes a pre-trained temporal backbone and adapts it to label-scarce downstream tasks using lightweight prompts. However, existing methods operate within a single, fixed embedding space. In this work, we reveal that temporal shifts in local clustering and degree heterogeneity actively reorganize the edge curvature spectrum---indicating that the optimal representation geometry dynamically evolves with local topology over time. We formalize this unaddressed mismatch as geometry under-adaptation. To overcome this limitation, we propose CurvPrompt, a topology-routed geometry prompting framework for dynamic graphs. Instead of relying on a single space, CurvPrompt maintains a bank of curvature-diverse Riemannian experts, each paired with a learnable prompt. A topology-aware gate dynamically routes each node--time instance to a sparse subset of experts, constructing a personalized mixed-curvature representation. To ensure parameter efficiency and training stability under extreme label scarcity, CurvPrompt employs soft routing during pre-training to build a continuous topology--geometry mapping, and transitions to hard Top-K routing with uniform weights during downstream adaptation. Extensive experiments across four benchmark datasets show that CurvPrompt significantly advances few-shot link prediction while delivering strong, consistent performance on node classification tasks, validating the necessity of geometry-adaptive prompting.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CR

PriDyG: Privacy-preserving Dynamic Graph Inference with LLM-GNN Collaboration

Graph inference over relational data can expose sensitive edge information, and this risk becomes more severe in dynamic graphs, where repeated model updates cause privacy loss to accumulate. We formulate Edge-level Differentially Private Dynamic Graph Inference (EDG) and propose PriDyG, a private inference framework that combines GNN-based structural learning with LLM-based semantic reasoning. PriDyG introduces incremental private multi-hop aggregation, which buffers newly arrived edges and processes each edge exactly once. By parallel composition, the total privacy cost equals that of a single static release, independent of the number or schedule of model updates. Compared with geometrically decaying budget allocation, incremental aggregation avoids exponentially increasing noise while preserving exact one-hop signals and at least half of two-hop information transfers. PriDyG further complements privatized GNN outputs with LLM predictions derived solely from node text, incurring no additional edge-level privacy cost. Experiments on four benchmarks for node classification and link prediction show that PriDyG consistently outperforms geometrically decaying baselines under the same privacy budget and matches the utility of naive per-update retraining while reducing cumulative privacy cost by up to three orders of magnitude.
Aug 4, 2026cs.DC

Accelerating Dynamic Graph Clustering on GPU Architectures with cuGraph

This work addresses community detection in temporal networks through GPU-accelerated extensions of spectral clustering and modularity-based algorithms originally designed for static graphs. Built on the NVIDIA RAPIDS ecosystem, the framework enables the characterization and tracking of communities in snapshot-based dynamic graphs, either by Leiden greedy optimization with multi-GPU support via Dask-based workload distribution, or eigendecomposition of a symmetric Bethe-Hessian operator. Our multislice modularity backend achieves up to roughly three orders of magnitude speedup over the CPU reference under an equal-work budget, depending on graph density and snapshot count, while preserving compatibility with existing graph analytics pipelines. We demonstrate its applicability on real-world and synthetic datasets, facilitating exploratory analysis of structural network properties over time. Such capabilities are relevant across several application domains, such as epidemic spreading, financial systems, cybersecurity, and trajectory and mobility analysis. We release our implementation as free and open-source software, including Python bindings through the NetworkX-Temporal library for ease of use and zero-code acceleration with existing codebases.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

Multi-Source Dynamic Graph Learning for Compound-Flood Forecasting in Managed Coastal Systems

Compound flooding in managed coastal systems is influenced by hydrological conditions and water-management activity observed across multiple monitoring stations. Current forecasting models can capture temporal dependencies with low average errors, but global error metrics may conceal poor reproduction of prolonged high-water plateaus that are relevant to flood early warning. Because hydrometeorological and operational signals are distributed across heterogeneous gages, single-site records do not fully represent high-water dynamics. Nevertheless, unconstrained fusion of cross-site signals can degrade the stability of local temporal forecasts. This work proposes an anchored forecasting framework that incorporates cross-site information through state- and lead-dependent bounded residual corrections. A multi-source regime representation constructed from hydrometeorological and operational observations adaptively calibrates inter-site relationships and correction scales, enabling targeted cross-site adjustment while preserving the local temporal forecast as a stable anchor. Beyond conventional global error statistics, we evaluate event-scale high-water characteristics through the temporal alignment of forecasted and observed high-water processes. Experiments demonstrate that selectively integrating multi-station dynamic conditions improves the prediction reliability of sustained high-water plateaus while maintaining high accuracy during routine hydrological conditions, supporting flood early warning and water-management decision support.
Jul 30, 2026cs.AI

Dynamic Spectral Filtering for Temporal Graph Learning: Learning Evolving Propagation Operators

Temporal graph learning is commonly organized around the evolution of node states or the encoding of interaction histories. We study an underexplored, operator-centric question: should the graph propagation mechanism itself evolve over time? We introduce Dynamic Spectral Filtering (DSF), which represents propagation at snapshot t by a Chebyshev polynomial filter with vector-valued, time-dependent coefficients. DSF explicitly treats these compact multi-order coefficients as recurrent temporal states. A recurrent branch proposes updates, while multiplicative global and order-specific gates regulate their magnitude. The temporal state is independent of the number of nodes. On MOOC, Wikipedia, and Reddit temporal link-prediction benchmarks, converged DSF runs attain AP scores of 0.7851, 0.9088, and 0.9860, respectively, with 93K to 133K trainable parameters, 68 to 182 MB peak GPU memory, and 1.6 to 2.1 seconds of training per epoch. Against the closely related DEFT baseline, DSF is better on MOOC, within 0.001 AP on Reddit, and modestly lower on Wikipedia, while using 8.3 to 8.6 times fewer parameters, 25 to 33 times less GPU memory, and 5 to 19 times less time per epoch. Relative to all measured alternatives, it uses 3.3 to 38.6 times less GPU memory. These results support direct spectral-response evolution as a useful temporal inductive bias when computational efficiency is a first-class requirement.
Jul 30, 2026cs.AI

Back to All-Entity Ranking: Sampler-Dependent Evaluation in Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs

Next-destination prediction in continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) commonly ranks an observed interaction against sampled negative destinations. The resulting score is conditional on both the negative distribution and the number of candidates chosen by the researcher. We show that a non-uniform negative distribution changes the Bayes-optimal ranking, while even a finite candidate set drawn uniformly can destabilize model rankings and measured module effects. Time-varying source-destination history membership and model operations that use this information directly transmit the sampler's influence to the evaluation score. We examine this mechanism using a factorial evaluation of repeated and new positives against seen and unseen negatives, a minimal scorer based solely on pair-history membership, and controlled representation interventions. Across six models on LastFM, MOOC, Reddit, and Wikipedia, at least one model pair changes relative order between the expected Uniform-20 metric and the full catalog on three of the four datasets. The measured effect of the same module also changes in magnitude and direction with the candidate-set size and training objective. These results establish that model-superiority and ablation conclusions from sampled-negative benchmarks are conditional on the stated candidate configuration. All-entity ranking evaluates every destination in a fixed catalog, eliminating negative-selection freedom and sampling variation while retaining the original CTDG scorer. We therefore recommend all-entity ranking as the primary evidence for architecture comparisons on CTDG benchmarks with an enumerable, fixed destination catalog.
Jul 26, 2026cs.SI

GTIN: A Unified Framework for Joint Event and Time Prediction in Temporal Graphs

Temporal graphs are increasingly used to model dynamic systems in diverse domains such as social networks, financial networks, and traffic networks. Predicting both what the next event will be and when it will occur in these systems is crucial for understanding and anticipating complex behaviors, but has not been studied much. To address this gap, we propose a unified mathematical framework capable of capturing varying degrees of complexity across temporal graphs. Our framework is flexible and expressive enough to accommodate a wide range of network structures and temporal dynamics. Building upon this analysis, we introduce our novel approach for jointly predicting the next event and its occurrence time. Empirical evaluations across multiple datasets demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms existing techniques, particularly in scenarios involving irregular event patterns and complex temporal dependencies. These findings highlight the potential of our framework as a robust foundation for future research in temporal event prediction.
Jul 20, 2026cs.LG

Adaptive Multi-Expert Graph Transformer for Interpretable EEG-Based Diagnostics

Electroencephalographic (EEG) abnormalities arise from dynamic changes in neural synchrony across spatial and temporal scales, yet many computational approaches reduce these dynamics to static features. We present a Spatial Multi-Expert Graph Transformer that models each EEG recording as a sequence of dynamic functional connectivity graphs. Time-resolved connectivity is estimated using the weighted Phase Lag Index (wPLI), and hierarchical graph encoding aggregates information from electrode to regional and global levels. A multi-expert transformer architecture enables subtype-aware reasoning, with a gating mechanism adaptively fusing expert outputs for global abnormality prediction. Experiments on the TUAB dataset show competitive abnormal EEG detection performance and demonstrate the potential of dynamic graph modeling with adaptive expert fusion for interpretable, subtype-aware spatial--temporal analysis.
Jul 20, 2026cs.LG

Scalable and Efficient Joint Spiking Embedding Predictive Architecture for Large-Scale Dynamic Graphs

Dynamic graph learning aims to capture evolving structural and semantic patterns in real-world systems, such as fraud detection and recommender systems. Due to the scarcity of labeled data in real-world dynamic graphs, recent studies have introduced generative or contrastive paradigms (e.g., masked graph autoencoders or graph contrastive learning) to generate task-agnostic graph embeddings. However, these methods typically rely on complex edge-level reconstruction objectives and tailored graph augmentation strategies. This incurs substantial computational overhead when scaling to large-scale dynamic graphs. In this paper, we propose SG-JEPA, a joint spiking embedding predictive architecture for large-scale dynamic graphs. In contrast to existing self-supervised methods, SG-JEPA partitions nodes into context and target sets along the temporal dimension to learn embeddings that are predictive of each other via additional spatial-temporal information. Furthermore, through encoding sequential inputs into coarse-to-fine spike count embeddings, spiking neurons enable SG-JEPA to adapt to the varying computational constraints of downstream tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SG-JEPA achieves competitive or even superior performance over discriminative baselines on node classification, while effectively scaling to the dynamic graph with 13 million edges. SG-JEPA avoids the complex machinery (negative sampling, graph augmentations, edge-level reconstruction, etc.), resulting in superior training efficiency and memory scalability compared with prior self-supervised dynamic graph baselines.
Jul 18, 2026cs.LG

TVGL-CFM:Generating and Forecasting Time-Varying Trajectories of Dynamic Networks with Conditional Flow Matching

Many complex systems such as brain networks, financial markets, and gene-regulatory circuits are described not by a fixed graph but by one that changes over time. A standard way to summarise such structure at each instant is the sparse precision (inverse-covariance) matrix, and the time-varying graphical lasso (TVGL) turns a multivariate signal into a smooth chain of these matrices. We introduce TVGL-CFM, a single model that learns the distribution of such chains and can both generate new, realistic time-varying network trajectories for a given class and forecast how an observed trajectory will continue. Each precision matrix lives on a curved space of positive-definite matrices, but a log-Euclidean chart flattens an entire trajectory into an ordinary vector space, so a simple conditional flow-matching model can be trained and sampled there while every decoded matrix is guaranteed to be a valid precision matrix. For forecasting we start the flow not from noise but from a rough extrapolation of the recent history, so the model only has to learn a small correction. Across EEG motor-imagery, chaotic systems, and gene-expression data, TVGL-CFM generates trajectories that keep the class-discriminative structure of real data, and it forecasts future connectivity more accurately than raw-signal baselines. Generating the structured precision trajectory directly is therefore more faithful than generating raw signals and estimating connectivity afterwards.
Jul 13, 2026cs.LG

Institutional Equity Holdings Prediction Using Node Affinities of Dynamic Graphs

Institutional equity holdings disclosed in SEC Form 13F filings provide a rich temporal record of portfolio decisions by large investment managers. However, forecasting future allocations and modeling future demand remains challenging due to disclosure lags, reporting noise, and strong persistence in institutional behavior. We introduce the first benchmark for these tasks using temporal graph machine learning, framing holdings prediction as node affinity prediction -- i.e., forecasting portfolio weights -- on a discrete-time temporal bipartite graph of managers and securities extracted from preprocessed filings. On a sampled dataset comprising 99 managers and the S&P 500 index (503 securities, 209,351 temporal edges across 48 quarters from 2013--2025), Node Affinity prediction model using Virtual State (NAVIS) achieves a state-of-the-art test Normalized Discounted Cumulative Gain (NDCG) of 0.9127 with features (0.9121 without), outperforming all dynamic graph representation learning competitors by a substantial margin, and outperforming all heuristic methods. Remarkably, a simple Exponential Moving Average baseline achieves 0.8882, surpassing all dynamic graph models except NAVIS and all heuristics except Persistent Forecast (0.8891), highlighting the strong smoothness and persistence of institutional portfolios. Domain-specific node features provide only marginal gains (<1.2%), indicating that temporal and structural signals in the 13F ownership graph already capture most of the predictable information. By benchmarking a suite of Temporal Graph Benchmark (TGB) models under the node affinity prediction setting, both with and without features, on real-world 13F data, this work provides a reproducible foundation for temporal graph machine learning in holdings prediction and portfolio allocation.
Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

Drift-Aware Temporal Graph Rewiring (DATGR) for Adaptive Semantic Modeling in Biomedical Text

Biomedical language evolves rapidly as new discoveries emerge, causing traditional text models to lose semantic fidelity over time. Static embeddings and co-occurrence graphs cannot capture such evolution, leading to performance degradation in retrieval and knowledge discovery tasks. This paper introduces a Drift-Aware Temporal Graph Rewiring (DATGR) framework that models concept evolution by dynamically updating co-occurrence edges based on estimated semantic drift. Instead of retraining embeddings for each time slice, DATGR performs lightweight, feedback-driven rewiring using a logistic update rule applied to edge weights. Evaluated on the Biomedical Multi-Relation Corpus (BIOMRC), the method achieved a mean Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) improvement of approximately 0.066 absolute difference (0.699 vs. 0.633) over a static baseline. Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUPRC) remained comparable (0.738 vs. 0.744), showing that drift-aware adaptation enhances link-prediction recall without a loss in precision. These results demonstrate that edge-level adaptation effectively captures temporal semantic change in evolving biomedical text while remaining computationally efficient and interpretable.
Jul 5, 2026cs.LG

Physics-Informed Graph Learning with Uncertainty Awareness for Open-Set Domain Generalization in Fault Diagnosis

Intelligent industrial maintenance critically relies on reliable fault diagnosis of rotating machinery. However, it faces formidable challenges from unknown fault types and domain shifts induced by varying operating conditions, which is formally formulated as the open-set domain generalization (OSDG) problem. Existing methods are mainly data-driven, thereby overlooking the cascaded propagation of uncertainty across feature extraction, topological learning, and decision-making stages.To tackle this challenge, we propose PGU-OD, a novel Physics-Informed Graph Learning framework with Uncertainty Awareness for Open-set Domain generalization. First, it designs a physics-informed spectral attention module to extract condition-robust fault features, thereby suppressing perceptual uncertainty caused by frequency shifts. Further, it constructs an uncertainty aware adaptive graph learning mechanism to dynamically adjust the edge weights of the sample graph guided by class-scale Gaussian distribution parameters, which mitigates the structural propagation of uncertainty. Finally, a Gaussian-distribution-based adaptive boundary loss function and a dual-criteria open-set inference strategy are developed to optimize decision boundaries and reliably reject unknown faults. Extensive experimental evaluations on two public and widely used rotating machinery fault datasets demonstrate that the proposed PGU-OD outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both known fault classification and unknown fault rejection under domain shifts.
Jul 2, 2026cs.LG

Dynamic Neural Graph Encoding of Inference Processes in Deep Weight Space

The rapid advancements in using neural networks as implicit data representations have attracted significant interest in developing machine learning methods that analyze and process the weight spaces of other neural networks. However, efficiently handling these highdimensional weight spaces remains challenging. Existing methods often overlook the sequential nature of layer-by-layer processing in neural network inference. In this work, we propose a novel approach using dynamic graphs to represent neural network parameters, capturing the temporal dynamics of inference. Our Dynamic Neural Graph Encoder (DNG-Encoder) processes these graphs, preserving the sequential nature of neural processing. Additionally, we also leverage DNG-Encoder to develop INR2JLS (Implicit Neural Representation to Joint Latent Space) for facilitate downstream applications, such as classifying Implicit Neural Representations (INRs). Our approach demonstrates significant improvements across multiple tasks, surpassing the state-of-the-art INR classification accuracy by approximately 10% on the CIFAR-100-INR.
Jun 26, 2026cs.LG

scKDGM: KAN-guided Dynamic Graph Masked Learning for Single-Cell RNA-seq Clustering

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) clustering is essential for identifying cell types, but high dimensionality, sparsity, dropout, and technical noise hinder robust expression representation and cell graph construction. Existing masked autoencoders mainly use expression recovery for feature reconstruction, while graph clustering methods usually depend on fixed KNN graphs and do not feed recovered expression back into graph optimization. We propose scKDGM, a KAN-guided dynamic graph masked learning framework for scRNA-seq clustering. scKDGM uses graph-aware distribution preserving gene masking (GDP-Mask) to perturb cell identity, a KAN-based TAKGCN encoder to learn masked-view representations, mask-guided expression recovery to construct a dynamic graph, and cross-view contrastive learning to transfer recovery signals into topology updates. A ZINB loss models overdispersion and zero inflation. Experiments on 12 real scRNA-seq datasets show that scKDGM outperforms 10 baselines in average NMI and ARI.
Jun 26, 2026cs.AI

Understanding Rollout Error in Graph World Models

World models are increasingly used for planning, yet most analyses of rollout error assume vector-valued states and scalar error amplification. Many planning environments, however, are naturally graph-structured: agents, tools, skills, routes, and dependencies interact through evolving relations. In this work, we study how prediction errors accumulate in Graph World Models (GWMs). We formulate fixed-edge and dynamic-edge GWM rollouts under a unified state-action transition framework and derive topology-aware error bounds. For fixed-edge rollouts, we show that long-horizon node error separates into a topology factor, governed by the graph spectral radius, and a model factor, governed by layer spectral norms. For dynamic-edge rollouts, we introduce a joint node-edge error operator that captures feedback between feature prediction and structure prediction, revealing when edge errors amplify future message passing. Motivated by these bounds, we propose Error-Aware GWM, a training objective that combines spectral regularization, rollout consistency, and critical-node weighting. Across synthetic graph topologies and heterogeneous agent-graph testbeds, we find that rollout error and planning regret grow with horizon, that dynamic-edge training is necessary when structure evolves, and that Error-Aware GWM improves long-horizon stability without sacrificing one-step accuracy. Our results characterize when graph world models remain reliable under autoregressive planning and when topology makes them fail.
Jun 22, 2026eess.SP

Low-rank Updates in Slowly Time-varying Graphs for Spatial-Temporal Signal Interpolation

A crucial assumption in graph signal processing (GSP) is the existence of an underlying graph that captures the pairwise similarities between nodes, allowing filters to be designed based on this graph for tasks such as denoising. For spatial-temporal data in which node-to-node similarities evolve over time, a static spatial graph is insufficient. In this paper, to represent slowly time-varying pairwise relationships, we model the graph changes in two consecutive adjacency matrices P=W(2)−W(1)P = W^{(2)} - W^{(1)} across time as a low-rank matrix. % Specifically, given an initial adjacency matrix W(1)W^{(1)} at time t=1t=1, we jointly interpolate a signal x2x_2 and estimate W(2)W^{(2)} at t=2t=2 using both a graph signal smoothness prior for x2x_2 and a low-rank prior on . We alternate optimization steps. With W(2)W^{(2)} fixed, x2x_2 is interpolated by solving a linear system. Alternatively, holding x2x_2 fixed, W(2)W^{(2)} is updated via proximal gradient descent (PGD). The proximal mapping of the rank term Gamma(W(2)−W(1))Gamma(W^{(2)} - W^{(1)}) is approximated in linear time using a fast orthogonal matching pursuit (OMP) algorithm that selects a sparse combination of atoms from a dictionary cRcR formed by the outer products of W(1)W^{(1)}'s eigenvectors. We unroll iterations of our algorithm into layers to build a lightweight neural network for limited data-driven parameter tuning. Experiments show that our joint optimization achieves better signal interpolation compared to existing time-varying graph models.
Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

PromptDyG: Test-Time Prompt Adaptation on Dynamic Graphs

Activities in numerous evolving systems can be represented as dynamic graphs in snapshot form at different time intervals, i.e., discrete-time dynamic graphs (DTDGs). Existing methods show impressive advances in capturing historical temporal evolution patterns in DTDGs, but they focus on addressing an offline learning setting, where models are trained using historical snapshots once and then evaluated to all subsequent graph snapshots without further updating. This fails to capture 1) the nature of evolving complexities across graph snapshots and 2) the distribution shift in the testing graph snapshots. To address these problems, we propose PromptDyG, a novel framework that leverages unsupervised test-time Prompt adaptation for Dynamic Graph learning under a live-update online setting. The key insight is that an expressive dynamic graph prompt can be learned on a frozen backbone via minimization of feature-wise, label-free entropy to efficiently and continuously model the evolving patterns. We show theoretically that this unsupervised prompt adaptation can guarantee a larger similarity margin between positive and negative pairs, facilitating more accurate dynamic predictions. It is further confirmed by our extensive empirical results on six benchmark datasets that show consistent and significant improvements of PromptDyG over state-of-the-art baselines.
Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

Quantum-Inspired Contextual Learning for Sparse-Ring Fraud Detection in Dynamic Transaction Graphs

We present an exploratory benchmark and quantum-inspired modeling prototype for fraud screening in dynamic financial transaction graphs. Coordinated fraud may not be visible from individual transactions alone, but may emerge as a multi-period relational pattern. We focus on sparse-ring fraud, a stylized pattern in which a completed directed cycle is distributed across several days, requiring models to integrate evidence across both time and graph structure. We study this problem using a synthetic transaction simulator with completed sparse-ring injections and broken-ring decoys. Daily directed transaction graphs are aggregated into rolling windows and represented using raw graph features, persistent-homology summaries, or hybrid feature vectors that combine both. We compare a gated recurrent unit (GRU) baseline with quantum-inspired Contextual Machine Learning (CML) as sequence-level classifiers. Because the benchmark uses synthetic data, a modest sample size, and sequence-level labels, the results are exploratory. Within this scope, topology-only summaries are too compressed to solve the supervised ring-completion task by themselves, largely because they remove account-pair identity and edge direction. The strongest results come from hybrid representations that combine identity-preserving graph features with topological summaries. These findings suggest that topology is most useful as a contextual layer over dynamic graph features, and that CML is a promising candidate model for fraud patterns whose evidence is distributed across temporal and relational context.