Exoplanet Atmospheres

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Exoplanet Atmospheres.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Exoplanet Atmospheres.

21 papers

Latest in Exoplanet Atmospheres

Sep 15, 2026astro-ph.IM

Graph neural networks for exoplanet atmospheres

Calculating disequilibrium chemistry in exoplanet atmospheres remains a significant computational bottleneck in atmospheric retrievals. The increasing observational precision from facilities such as JWST and the Ariel mission requires including disequilibrium chemistry in these analyses. Previous studies have demonstrated that neural networks can emulate kinetic chemistry, although their spatial inductive bias does not align with the topology of chemical reaction networks. This study introduces a graph neural network surrogate that represents chemical species as nodes and temperature-dependent reaction rates as edges, thereby enabling information propagation along physically meaningful chemical pathways. The model is trained on atmospheres generated using the Venot+2020 chemical scheme and Guillot temperature-pressure profiles. The GNN accurately reconstructs disequilibrium abundances across the sampled parameter space and reduces the mean abundance error by a factor of approximately 3 compared to the previous U-Net model. When applied to transmission spectra, most predictions fall within the observational precision expected for JWST and Ariel, with only about 7% of test atmospheres exceeding a 20 ppm mean spectral error. Performance variations are primarily observed in chemically transitional regimes near a carbon-to-oxygen ratio of one and at low temperatures. An evaluation of the boundary-case planet WASP-39b demonstrates effective performance under a moderate domain shift. Perturbation analysis indicates that disturbances propagate along chemical connectivity rather than spatial adjacency, confirming that the architecture captures the structure of reaction networks. These results suggest that GNN surrogates provide accurate, computationally efficient predictions of disequilibrium chemistry, facilitating integration into the atmospheric retrieval pipeline.
Antonia Vojtekova, Kai Hou Yip, Ingo P. Waldmann +4
Aug 31, 2026astro-ph.EP

Accelerating Chemical Kinetics for Exoplanet Atmospheres using Neural Networks

Observations increasingly reveal the coupled radiative, chemical, and dynamical processes that shape exoplanet atmospheres. Interpreting these atmospheres requires models that can capture this complexity. However, multidimensional models remain fundamentally limited by computational cost, and answering key questions requires simulating the governing physical mechanisms at speeds classical methods cannot achieve. As a result, models often rely on simplifying approximations, such as equilibrium chemistry, even when those assumptions miss important effects. There is a pressing need for fast and accurate chemical kinetics solvers to model planetary atmospheres. Here we present a machine learning local-box chemical kinetics solver for exoplanet atmospheres using a residual flow-map architecture. We demonstrate that this surrogate model is several orders of magnitude faster than a classical solver, achieving microsecond-scale inference while retaining percent-level accuracy. The surrogate model covers a parameter space that spans T=300T=300-30003000 K, P=106P=10^{-6}-10410^{4} bar, Δt=103Δt=10^{-3}-10810^{8} s, and compositions ranging from 10210^{-2} to 10310^{3} times solar in both C/O ratio and metallicity. Our model outperforms several commonly used machine learning architectures and performs robustly under the extreme stiffness characteristic of atmospheric chemistry. The machine learning framework presented here is a flexible and efficient approach to emulating state-to-state flow-map problems that commonly arise in numerical simulations.
Isaac Malsky, Xi Zhang, Tiffany Kataria +5
Aug 5, 2026astro-ph.EP

MarsCast: Transfer Learning of AI Weather Foundation Models to Planetary Atmospheres

We investigate the transferability of Earth weather foundation models to planetary atmospheres by adapting the GraphCast graph neural weather forecasting model to Mars. While GraphCast achieves state-of-the-art performance for terrestrial forecasting, its applicability to non-Earth environments remains unexplored. Using the Mars Climate Database (MCD), which provides global atmospheric fields across vertical altitude levels (similar to Earth pressure levels), we evaluate zero-shot and fine-tuned GraphCast predictions of Martian temperature and wind fields. Zero-shot forecasts produce a surprisingly accurate depiction of current conditions but fail to reproduce diurnal variability and rapidly decay toward climatological mean states. To address this limitation, we fine-tune GraphCast using MCD variables and top-of-atmosphere solar radiation forcing while holding humidity constant. Fine-tuning enables rapid learning of Martian thermal variability. Within as few as 10 training epochs, the model begins to capture the diurnal cycle and forecasts up to 10 days reproduce seasonal and vertical temperature structure. Prediction quality improves with training sample size and exhibits sensitivity to seasonal initialization. These results demonstrate that Earth-trained AI weather models can be adapted to simulate Martian atmospheric dynamics, providing a pathway toward rapid planetary weather prediction to support mission operations, dust storm risk mitigation, and future human exploration.
M. L. Carroll, J. Li, S. D. Guzewich +3
Jul 29, 2026cs.DL

Evidence-Based Scientific Question Discovery: A Framework with Historical Backtesting

Current AI systems are optimized for answering questions; the scientific enterprise is bottlenecked earlier, at discovering the questions worth investigating. We present a framework that turns a traceable, reproducible, scope controlled research corpus into ranked, falsifiable research questions: evidence is represented as provenance carrying claims; cross paper tensions are detected, typed, and human adjudicated; surviving signals are refined into questions and ranked by a two stage protocol separating scientific priority from execution priority. We instantiate the framework on exoplanet atmospheres, a domain that uniquely combines literature, structured catalogs, and space telescope archives. In a historical backtest, all questions generated from evidence available before 2021 were substantively engaged by the 2021 to 2026 literature the sys?tem never saw: two were answered, including one whose premise the community later explicitly refuted and the top ranked question is independently posed and still open. These results sug?gest that systematic question discovery from evidence tensions surfaces the questions working scientists subsequently invest in.
Hui Mao
Jul 22, 2026physics.comp-ph

Dynamical and Optimization Trade-offs of Levi--Civita Coordinates for Learned Close-Encounter Dynamics

Classical regularization removes the binary-collision singularity from the Kepler problem, but its value as a representation for learned Hamiltonian dynamics has not been systematically isolated. We compare Cartesian and planar Levi--Civita formulations of a perturbed Kepler system with a smooth quadrupole potential. With the perturbation supplied analytically, a Levi--Civita Hamiltonian splitting holds the maximum relative energy error near 2.1×1052.1\times10^{-5} through eccentricity e=0.99e=0.99, while the Cartesian splitting becomes unstable. This advantage persists at matched physical horizon and force-evaluation budget, where the regularized baseline is 3×1053\times10^{-5}, about 4.74.7--8.38.3 orders of magnitude below the Cartesian arm depending on eccentricity. In held-out high-eccentricity tests with matched sampling, regularized models produce finite rollouts in 40/4040/40 runs versus 0/400/40 for Cartesian. However, the fixed-shell construction supplies the regularized model with the exact initial orbit energy, and survival still carries O(1)\mathcal{O}(1) energy error. Four neural residual objectives fail to approach the analytic result. Exact-feature controls show that the regularized residual is a four-monomial degree-6 polynomial that a direct least-squares solve fits to the baseline. The remaining exact-feature gap is due to severe raw-basis ill-conditioning: orthogonalization restores baseline fitting for L-BFGS in two iterations. Small MLPs remain at O(1)\mathcal{O}(1) rollout error even after gauge symmetrization. Levi--Civita coordinates therefore improve dynamical conditioning while worsening raw-basis optimization conditioning; accurate neural residual learning remains unresolved. This is a controlled falsification-plus-trade-off study, not a solution to learned close-encounter dynamics.
Abhishek Shankar
Jul 6, 2026cs.LG

FUSE: FK-Steered Multi-Modal Flow Matching for Efficient Simulation-Based Posterior Estimation

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is critical for scientific discovery, with generative models offering a promising path toward efficient inference. However, existing methods struggle with effective multimodal modeling. They often rely on brute-force fusion strategies that ignore the structural disparities between parameters and observations, thus limiting estimation fidelity. In this work, we introduce FUSE (Feynman-Kac steered mUlti-modal flow matching for efficient Simulation-based posterior Estimation). Unlike prior work, FUSE employs a dual-track architecture that preserves the distinct features of multimodal inputs while facilitating dynamic interaction. Additionally, we propose an FK-steered sampling strategy that leverages intermediate observation likelihoods to guide the generative trajectories, effectively improving the sample quality during inference. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on standard SBI benchmarks, producing posteriors that closely match ground-truth MCMC. Furthermore, in a real-world exoplanet orbital estimation task, FUSE successfully resolves complex parameter degeneracies that challenge existing methods, highlighting its potential to accelerate complex scientific discoveries in astrophysics and beyond.
Weichen Qin, Yufan Xie, Peihao Wang +8
Jun 23, 2026astro-ph.EP

An Agnostic Machine Learning Model of Photosynthetic Habitability

The search for exoplanet biosignatures is guided by whether planetary environments can sustain photosynthesis. As such, the Photosynthetic Habitable Zone (PHZ) was recently proposed, as the overlap between the canonical habitable zone and the orbital range where stellar irradiance is sufficient to drive photosynthesis. Existing PHZ estimates rely on empirical light-response curves from Earth phytoplankton, and thus include implicit Earth-centric biases. We introduce an agnostic PHZ derived from a generalized model of photosynthesis grounded in thermodynamics and redox chemistry, without reference to model organisms. The model is built on a generic photochemical reaction in which photon capture couples oxidation of a donor molecule to the reduction of CO2. The optical properties and CO2 reduction rate are optimized against irradiance spectra for exoplanets orbiting main-sequence stars, using a genetic algorithm that mimics evolution by natural selection. Our simulations predict that photosynthetic organisms compensate for reduced flux by evolving larger light-harvesting structures. As a result, photosynthetic viability declines only linearly with orbital distance, despite stellar flux falling off quadratically. As such, the agnostic PHZ expands well beyond previous Earth-based estimates. Earth-like (visible light) oxygenic photosynthesis is flux-limited at the outer habitable zone for cool M-dwarf stars; however, both anoxygenic photosynthesis and a hypothetical, NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis are viable across the entire habitable zone for M, K, and G stars. This implies that M-dwarf exoplanets could sustain robust oxygenic photosynthesis, though it would be different to that found on Earth, presenting reflectance biosignatures in the NIR band rather than the visible.
Callum Gray, Cassandra Hall, Stefano Santabarbara +5
Jun 22, 2026astro-ph.IM

Machine Learning and Deep Learning for Exoplanet Detection and Atmospheric Characterization with JWST and the Upcoming Ariel Mission

The detection and atmospheric characterization of exoplanets have entered a new data-intensive era driven by the James Webb Space Telescope and the upcoming Ariel mission. Modern surveys produce millions of light curves and high-resolution spectra that overwhelm traditional pipelines, motivating the rapid integration of Machine Learning and Deep Learning methods into the exoplanet workflow. This review synthesizes the latest progress in applying ML/DL techniques to exoplanet detection (transit identification, candidate vetting, false-positive rejection) and atmospheric characterization (retrieval, detrending, cross-correlation, surrogate modelling) in the context of JWST and Ariel. We start with classical algorithms such as Random Forests and Convolutional Neural Networks, move through Transformers and Recurrent architectures, then survey modern simulation-based inference using Neural Posterior Estimation and Flow Matching Posterior Estimation with normalizing or continuous normalizing flows. We discuss benchmark efforts, including the Ariel Machine Learning Data Challenges (2019 to 2025) hosted with NeurIPS, and key JWST case studies such as the WASP-39b Early Release Science programme. Results indicate that DL approaches consistently match or exceed traditional pipelines in both speed and accuracy, while ML-driven retrievals reduce inference time from CPU-hours to seconds and can accelerate nested-sampling retrievals by factors of 3-8 without compromising Bayesian evidence. We identify outstanding challenges interpretability, calibration of uncertainties under noisy data, hybrid modelling, and the generalization of models across instruments and planet populations and outline a research roadmap spanning the JWST era and beyond into Ariel's launch in 2029.
Muallim Yakubu, Vwavware Oruaode Jude
Jun 17, 2026astro-ph.EP

TransitNet: A Compact Attention-Augmented Deep Learning Framework for Low-SNR Transit Blind Searches

Motivated by the observational incompleteness of intermediate-to-long-period Earth-size planets, we present TransitNet, a compact attention-augmented deep-learning framework for low-SNR transit blind searches. To enable realistic method development and objective threshold calibration under blind-search conditions, we develop a unified dataset construction, benchmarking, and threshold-selection framework. On recovery benchmarks constructed from unseen Kepler targets, TransitNet attains 95.2 percent accuracy in the challenging SNR range of 6 to 8 and outperforms both TLS and BLS, achieving ROC-AUC and PR-AP values of 0.974 and 0.982, respectively. In an injected Earth-size and sub-Earth-size transit recovery experiment, TransitNet achieves a recovery rate of 93.0 percent, substantially exceeding those of TLS (63.1 percent) and BLS (60.0 percent). In addition to detection, TransitNet provides attention-based estimates of transit windows and midpoints. On an independent evaluation set, 97.4 percent of injected transits are fully covered by the estimated transit window. Applied to real Kepler observations, the model successfully recovers all 34 selected confirmed Kepler planets, with a mean absolute transit midpoint error of 1.24 hours. The model combines a compact footprint of about 1.5 MB with high inference efficiency, yielding speed-ups of about 12 to 25 times relative to CPU-TLS and about 4 to 5 times relative to CPU-BLS. These results demonstrate that TransitNet provides an accurate, scalable, and computationally efficient framework for low-SNR transit blind searches in the tested regime and motivate its extension to longer-period Earth-size planet searches.
Xingchen Yan, Jian Ge, Qingtian Liu +3
Jun 16, 2026astro-ph.IM

Modeling Doppler Shifts in Radial-Velocity Data with Deep Learning toward Earth-mass Exoplanet Detection

Detecting the tiny Doppler shifts induced by Earth-mass planets in stellar radial-velocity measurements remains extremely challenging due to stellar activity. Many deep-learning methods performing well on simulated data remain difficult to apply reliably on real stellar spectra. The aim of this work is to develop a deep-learning framework that generalizes to real, unseen spectra and improves the detectability of Earth-mass planets in radial-velocity data. We train artificial neural networks on HARPS-N solar spectra with injected planetary signals, using physics-motivated spectral representations based on flux and line-formation temperature, together with their velocity gradients. Two training strategies are explored: hold-out testing and cross-validation. Model robustness is enhanced through genetic-algorithm-based hyperparameter optimization, and predictive uncertainty is quantified using Monte Carlo dropout. Our most precise neural network model reliably retrieves, under the cross-validation strategy, the amplitudes, phases, and orbital periods of planetary signals with amplitudes greater than or equal to 25 cm/s and periods between 10 and 550 days. In addition, in all cases tested here, the successfully recovered signals correspond to the most significant peaks in the periodograms of the Doppler-shift predictions. Temperature-based spectral-shell representations consistently outperform flux-based shells. We also release doppleriann, a Python package implementing the proposed framework. Our results demonstrate that combining physically motivated spectral representations with deep learning provides a promising pathway toward the detection of Earth-mass planets in radial-velocity data from real observations, supported by a modeling framework that is both physically grounded and statistically rigorous, incorporating uncertainty quantification and optimized training strategies.
Isidro Gómez-Vargas, Xavier Dumusque, Yinan Zhao +2
Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

ThousandWorlds: A benchmark for climate emulation of potentially habitable exoplanets

The search for life beyond Earth will depend on detecting faint signatures in the atmospheres of potentially habitable exoplanets. Interpreting those signatures requires understanding the host planet's climate: the same molecule may signal life on one planet and abiotic chemistry on another. Global climate models (GCMs) provide this understanding, but individual runs can require up to millions of core-hours and substantial domain expert time. Machine-learning emulators could remove this bottleneck, but progress has been limited by the absence of a curated, multi-model exoclimate dataset. We introduce ThousandWorlds, an ML-ready benchmark for exoclimate emulation and for the broader regime of low-data, multi-simulator, parameter-to-field regression. The dataset contains approximately 1800 simulations from five GCMs, mapping eight planet parameters to 3D atmospheric fields including temperature, humidity, winds, clouds, and radiation. Three nested subsets define progressively harder challenges: single-simulator regression, multi-simulator regression with complete observations, and multi-simulator regression with structured missingness. We propose two evaluation protocols: one for ranking methods, and one that measures performance relative to the disagreement between GCMs themselves. We evaluate seven baselines spanning simple methods, deep learning, and Gaussian processes. GP-based methods perform best, suggesting that ThousandWorlds exposes a regime where off-the-shelf deep learning does not yet succeed. Data: https://doi.org/10.57967/hf/8695. Code: https://github.com/edstevenson/ThousandWorlds.
Edward T. Stevenson, Mei Ting Mak, Eric Wolf +4
Jun 10, 2026astro-ph.EP

Machine-learning clustering of close-in exoplanet populations: links to pebble accretion

Close-in exoplanets exhibit a wide range of orbital architectures and physical properties shaped by both formation conditions and migration processes. Although population-synthesis models predict distinct planetary populations, establishing a quantitative connection between observed exoplanets and synthetic populations remains challenging. We investigate the intrinsic organisation of close-in exoplanets using physically motivated dynamical parameters and connect the resulting populations to pebble-accretion formation pathways. A two-stage Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is applied to an observed sample of close-in exoplanets, performing unsupervised probabilistic clustering in a feature space dominated by dynamical descriptors of planet-star interactions. The resulting clusters are mapped onto a pebble-accretion synthetic population within a statistically motivated three-dimensional parameter space. Formation-related quantities, including gas availability, gas fraction, and ice-rock mass ratio, are then used to interpret the mapped populations. We identify statistically supported sub-populations without imposing predefined classification boundaries, including very-massive gas giants, hot giants, warm-Jupiter-dominated systems, and lower-mass giants. The mapped synthetic populations reveal systematic differences in formation timing, gas accretion, and solid growth histories. In particular, very-massive gas giants are preferentially associated with earlier formation epochs than hot-giant and warm-Jupiter-dominated populations. These results demonstrate that physically motivated machine-learning approaches can provide a statistically robust framework for linking observed exoplanet populations to theoretical planet formation pathways.
Yi Duann, Anders Johansen, Haiyang S. Wang +1
Jun 1, 2026astro-ph.EP

One Transit Is All You Need: Detecting Exoplanets Through Learned Stellar Behaviour with EXOVEIL

I present EXOVEIL, a transit detection system that learns what a star's brightness should look like and flags when reality disagrees. Unlike existing systems that require phase-folded input, EXOVEIL operates on raw flux time series and can detect planets that transit only once.A Transformer world model, trained on 16,499 Kepler light curves with transit-masked self-supervised learning, predicts expected stellar flux. A matched-filter detector with variance weighting extracts transit signals from the prediction residuals. A learned classifier (XGBoost) separates planets from false positives, achieving AUC 0.938 on Kepler DR25. Applied to single-transit injection-recovery, EXOVEIL recovers 32% of transits at 1000 ppm depth a task where all classification-based systems score 0% by construction. A blind search of 3,737 Kepler stars yields 179 new transit-like signals not present in the DR25 TCE catalogue, including 46 monotransit candidates. Applied withoutretraining to 47 confirmed TESS planets in the PLATO LOPS2 field, EXOVEIL achieves 100% recovery, demonstrating zero-shot cross-mission transfer. At PLATO's 25-second cadence, detection reaches 100 ppm -- approaching the Earth-analog regime. I provide the first application of conformal prediction to transit detection (95.9% empirical coverage) and release the system as pip install exoveil with pretrained weights and a candidate catalogue.
Pratik Priyanshu
May 28, 2026astro-ph.EP

DELOS: Detecting Shallow Transits in Kepler Photometry Using a Contrastive-Learning Framework

We present DEtection in phase-folded Light curves with cOntrastive Scoring (DELOS), a contrastive-learning-based framework designed to search for shallow transits in Kepler photometry. DELOS combines GPU-accelerated phase folding, optimized phase binning, and a custom one-dimensional convolutional encoder to assign a transit-likeness score to each folded light curve, thereby producing a score periodogram over trial periods without relying on pre-detected threshold-crossing events. Focusing on intermediate-to-long-period signals with orbital periods of 100-150 days, DELOS was trained on 20 million synthetic light curves generated with realistic transit models and Kepler-like noise properties, achieving a validation accuracy of 99.3 percent on the synthetic validation set. In controlled injection-recovery experiments, DELOS improves the combined precision-recall performance by 15.5 percent relative to Box-fitting Least Squares (BLS) and 11.25 percent relative to Transit Least Squares (TLS) in the low Signal-to-Noise Ratios (low-SNR) regime. It also accelerates the search by factors of approximately 3-5 and 74-80 compared with BLS and TLS, respectively. Applied to a selected Kepler validation sample, DELOS recovered all known shallow intermediate-to-long-period transit signals in the tested period range. These results demonstrate that DELOS provides an efficient and sensitive framework for low-SNR transit searches and represents a practical step toward future searches for longer-period terrestrial planets in Kepler, K2, TESS, PLATO, and Earth 2.0 data. Accordingly, this work is intended as a methodological development and validation study, with the detailed astrophysical validation of newly identified candidates deferred to future work.
Qingtian Liu, Jian Ge, XingChen Yan +4
May 21, 2026cs.AI

Cross-domain benchmarks reveal when coordinated AI agents improve scientific inference from partial evidence

Scientific evidence often spans instruments, databases, and disciplines, so no single source records the full phenomenon. This makes it difficult to determine when coordinated AI agents add value over simpler scientific workflows. We evaluate this question with a cross-domain benchmark spanning four scientific tasks: mapping molecular structure into musical representations, detecting historical paradigm shifts in science, identifying vector-borne disease emergence, and vetting transiting-exoplanet candidates. Each case uses a frozen evaluation panel, predefined scoring protocols, explicit baselines, ablations or null controls, and stated limitations. The results define three operating regimes. When different disciplines each capture only part of the phenomenon, cross-channel composites improve over single-channel baselines: climate-vector emergence reaches AUROC 0.944 and exoplanet vetting reaches AUROC 0.955. However, the exoplanet workflow is effectively tied with a strong combined-summary baseline, showing that decomposition does not always improve top-line performance. When one signal dominates, as in paradigm-shift detection, coordination mainly improves interpretation and traceability. For molecular sonification, the gain is representational rather than predictive. ScienceClaw x Infinite provides the auditable artifact and provenance layer for this evaluation. The benchmark therefore assigns value to coordination only when the corresponding performance, provenance, or representation claim is supported by explicit comparators.
Fiona Y. Wong, Markus J. Buehler
May 18, 2026astro-ph.IM

Hyrax: An Extensible Framework for Rapid ML Experimentation and Unsupervised Discovery in the Era of Rubin, Roman, and Euclid

The NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory, Roman Space Telescope, Euclid, and other next-generation surveys will deliver imaging, spectroscopic, and time-domain data at scales that increasingly shift the bottleneck in astronomical machine learning (ML) projects from model design to infrastructure. We present Hyrax, an open-source, modular, GPU-enabled Python framework that supports the full ML lifecycle in astronomy: from data acquisition and training to inference and experiment comparison, with capabilities including multimodal dataset support, integrated vector databases for similarity search, and interactive two- and three-dimensional latent-space exploration for unsupervised discovery. We demonstrate Hyrax's versatility through five representative applications on real survey data: (i) unsupervised representation learning on 4×105\sim 4\times10^5 Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Data Preview 1 (DP1) galaxies, surfacing new merger and low-surface-brightness candidates missing from reference Euclid and Dark Energy Survey catalogs, while also isolating imaging artifacts -- all without labeled training data; (ii) hybrid density-based clustering for identifying cluster-scale gravitational lens candidates in DP1 data; (iii) multimodal early-time transient classification in the Zwicky Transient Facility leveraging light curves, spectra, images, and metadata; (iv) supervised false-positive filtering in shift-and-stack searches for distant solar system objects in the Dark Energy Camera Ecliptic Exploration Project survey; and (v) supervised detection of semi-resolved dwarf galaxies in Hyper Suprime-Cam and LSST-like imaging using synthetic source injection. Together, these results demonstrate that Hyrax provides astronomy-specific ML infrastructure that enables systematic discovery and rapid methodological iteration across next-generation astronomical surveys.
Aritra Ghosh, Drew Oldag, Michael Tauraso +29
Apr 28, 2026cs.NI

Assistants, Not Architects: The Role of LLMs in Networked Systems Design

Designing the architecture of modern networked systems requires navigating a large, combinatorial space of hardware, systems, and configuration choices with complex cross-layer interactions. Architects must balance competing objectives such as performance, cost, and deployability while satisfying compatibility and resource constraints, often relying on scattered rules-of-thumb drawn from benchmarks, papers, documentation, and expert experience. This raises a natural question: can large language models (LLMs) reliably perform this kind of architectural reasoning? We find that they cannot. While LLMs produce plausible configurations, they frequently miss critical constraints, encode incorrect assumptions, and exhibit stickiness'' to familiar patterns. A natural workaround--iterative validation via simulation or experimentation--is often prohibitively expensive at scale and, in many cases, infeasible, particularly when comparing hardware-dependent alternatives. Motivated by this gap, we present Kepler, a lightweight reasoning framework for architecture design that combines structured, expert-driven specifications with SMT-based optimization. Kepler encodes architecturally significant properties--requirements, incompatibilities, and qualitative trade-offs--about systems, hardware, and workloads as constraints, and synthesizes feasible designs that optimize user-defined objectives. It operates at an abstract level, capturing rules-of-thumb'' rather than detailed system behavior, enabling tractable reasoning while preserving key interactions, and provides explanations for its decisions. Through experiments and case studies, we show that Kepler uncovers interactions missed by LLMs and supports systematic, explainable design exploration.
Pratyush Sahu, Rahul Bothra, Venkat Arun +3
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

Stargazer: A Scalable Model-Fitting Benchmark Environment for AI Agents under Astrophysical Constraints

The rise of autonomous AI agents suggests that dynamic benchmark environments with built-in feedback on scientifically grounded tasks are needed to evaluate the capabilities of these agents in research work. We introduce Stargazer, a scalable environment for evaluating AI agents on dynamic, iterative physics-grounded model-fitting tasks using inference on radial-velocity (RV) time series data. Stargazer comprises 120 tasks across three difficulty tiers, including 20 real archival cases, covering diverse scenarios ranging from high-SNR single-planet systems to complex multi-planetary configurations requiring involved low-SNR analysis. Our evaluation of eight frontier agents reveals a gap between numerical optimization and adherence to physical constraints: although agents often achieve a good statistical fit, they frequently fail to recover correct physical system parameters, a limitation that persists even when agents are equipped with vanilla skills. Furthermore, increasing test-time compute yields only marginal gains, with excessive token usage often reflecting recursive failure loops rather than meaningful exploration. Stargazer presents an opportunity to train, evaluate, scaffold, and scale strategies on a model-fitting problem of practical research relevance today. Our methodology to design a simulation-driven environment for AI agents presumably generalizes to many other model-fitting problems across scientific domains. Source code and the project website are available at https://github.com/AIPS-UofT/Stargazer and https://aips-uoft.github.io/Stargazer/, respectively.
Xinge Liu, Terry Jingchen Zhang, Bernhard Schölkopf +2
Apr 16, 2026astro-ph.EP

ExoNet: Calibrated Multimodal Deep Learning for TESS Exoplanet Candidate Vetting using Phase-Folded Light Curves, Stellar Parameters, and Multi-Head Attention

The discovery of exoplanets at scale has become one of the defining data science challenges in modern astrophysics. NASA's Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) had catalogued over 7,800 planet candidates by early 2026, yet confirmation stands at fewer than 720. This paper introduces ExoNet, a multimodal deep learning framework that jointly processes phase-folded global and local light curve views alongside stellar parameter features through a calibrated late-fusion architecture combining 1D Convolutional Neural Networks, 8-head Multi-Head Attention over temporal feature maps, and a residual fusion head with post-hoc Temperature Scaling calibration. Trained on 7,585 labeled Kepler Objects of Interest, ExoNet achieves Test AUC = 0.9549 and 86.3% accuracy. Applied to 4,720 verified unconfirmed TESS Planet Candidates with TOI-TIC cross-identification verified against the NASA Exoplanet Archive, the model yields 1,754 high-confidence signals, 52 habitable-zone candidates, and six Earth-sized habitable-zone targets below 1.6 Earth radii. TOI-5728.01 and TOI-6716.01 emerge as the most Earth-like unconfirmed candidates. Full ablation confirms each modality improves AUC. Code and catalog are openly released.
Md. Rashadul Islam
Feb 10, 2026astro-ph.EP

Efficient reduction of stellar contamination and noise in planetary transmission spectra using neural networks

The characterization of exoplanetary atmospheres has been transformed by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), whose infrared sensitivity enables transmission spectroscopy at unprecedented precision. However, stellar heterogeneities (e.g., spots and faculae) remain a dominant source of contamination that can bias atmospheric retrievals if not properly corrected. We present a methodology for reducing stellar contamination and instrument-specific noise from exoplanet transmission spectra using neural networks, in particular the so-called Denoising AutoEncoders (DAEs). Our goals are to enable fast, accurate corrections that improve the reliability of atmospheric parameter retrievals and to promote the use of unsupervised algorithms for efficient data processing. We designed and trained DAE architectures using large synthetic datasets of terrestrial (TRAPPIST-1e analogues) and sub-Neptune (K2-18b analogues) planets. Atmospheric retrieval experiments were then performed on contaminated spectra in order to compare our deep-learning approach against standard correction methods in terms of accuracy and computational cost. Our autoencoders successfully reconstruct uncontaminated spectra, preserving essential molecular features even in low-S/N regimes. In retrieval tests, the denoising autoencoder pre-processing yields atmospheric parameter estimates broadly comparable to those obtained with simultaneous stellar-contamination fitting. Notably, our method maintains a much lower computational cost, approximately one order of magnitude smaller. These results demonstrate that DAEs outperform conventional correction methods in computational efficiency while maintaining high accuracy, paving the way for their integration into future atmospheric characterization pipelines for both rocky and sub-Neptune exoplanets.
David S. Duque-Castaño, Lauren Flor-Torres, Jorge I. Zuluaga
Oct 20, 2025astro-ph.EP

Estimating Orbital Parameters of Direct Imaging Exoplanet Using Neural Network

In this work, we propose a flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved. Compared to traditional methods that rely on random sampling within the Bayesian framework, our approach first leverages flow matching posterior estimation (FMPE) to efficiently constrain the prior range of physical parameters, and then employs MCMC to accurately infer the posterior distribution. For example, in the orbital parameter inference of beta Pictoris b, our model achieved a substantial speed-up while maintaining comparable accuracy-running 77.8 times faster than Parallel Tempered MCMC (PTMCMC) and 365.4 times faster than nested sampling. Moreover, our FM-MCMC method also attained the highest average log-likelihood among all approaches, demonstrating its superior sampling efficiency and accuracy. This highlights the scalability and efficiency of our approach, making it well-suited for processing the massive datasets expected from future exoplanet surveys. Beyond astrophysics, our methodology establishes a versatile paradigm for synergizing deep generative models with traditional sampling, which can be adopted to tackle complex inference problems in other fields, such as cosmology, biomedical imaging, and particle physics.
Bo Liang, Hanlin Song, Chang Liu +9