Electricity Price Forecasting

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Period ending 2026-09-21

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  1. GraphToolbox: A Configurable Python Framework for Graph Neural Network Forecasting

    Sep 21, 2026Eloi Campagne, Yvenn Amara-Ouali, Yannig Goude +1Electricity Price ForecastingTabular Prior-Data Fitted Network

  2. Peak-Aware Short-Term Load Forecasting Across Distribution Grid Aggregation Levels

    Sep 16, 2026Souhardya Chattopadhyay, Julian Oelhaf, Antonia Schoening +5Electricity Price ForecastingChronos

  3. Multi-Appliance Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring via Label-Preserving Aggregate Recomposition and Prediction Consistency

    Sep 16, 2026Jiangfeng Liu, Yanfang FanElectricity Price ForecastingEnergy Forecasting

  4. Halo: Improving forecast accuracy through heteroscedastic estimation

    Sep 11, 2026Adam CataldoHeteroskedasticityElectricity Price Forecasting

  5. A Hilbert-Valued Functional Decomposition Framework for Explaining Time-Dependent Outputs

    Sep 10, 2026Sophie Hanna Langbein, Niklas Koenen, Marvin N. Wright +1ExplainabilityElectricity Price Forecasting

  6. Foundation models for electricity price forecasting and battery arbitrage: Can they replace market-specific forecasting models?

    Aug 31, 2026Arkadiusz Lipiecki, Rafał WeronElectricity Price ForecastingLlm-Based Forecasting Methods

  7. Virtual Temperature Sensors in Power Transformers Using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

    Aug 13, 2026Berk Hadzhamolla, Alexander Johannes Stasik, Signe Riemer-SørensenUnified TransformerNeural Ordinary Differential Equations

  8. XGBoost "is all you need": the case of forecasting transmitted heat energy in District Heating Systems

    Aug 11, 2026Milan ZdravkovićElectricity Price ForecastingXgboost

  9. Market-Information-Aware Gated-LoRA of Foundation Models for Transferable Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting

    Aug 11, 2026Hang Fan, Wei Wei, Shengwei MeiElectricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

  10. ArchEGraph: A Large-Scale Graph Dataset for Geometry-Topology-Physics Aligned Building Energy Modeling

    Aug 7, 2026Yihui Li, Yihui Chen, Kaidi Zha +7Building Information ModelingEnergy Resources

  11. Short-term load forecasting under EU-AI Act Requirements in Safety-Critical Environments: Results from a 41-day live challenge on the aggregated German transmission-grid load

    Aug 5, 2026Thomas Bartz-Beielstein, Inalbek Akiev, Lalo MohamadElectricity Price ForecastingSafety-Critical Scenarios

  12. Design-Time Optimization of Deep Neural Networks for Intermittent Learning on Microcontrollers

    Aug 4, 2026Jakob Schubert, Maximilian Kasper, Maximilian Linke +5Graph Neural Network InferenceCortex

  13. Climate-resilient electric vehicle charging infrastructure for sustainable cities: An interpretable causal-ensemble framework for preventive maintenance and low-carbon mobility

    Jul 23, 2026Cande Lian, Wentao Zeng, Jiabin Wu +2Electric VehiclesElectricity Price Forecasting

  14. Probabilistic Physics-Aware Machine Learning Predictions of Electric Truck Energy Consumption with Field Data

    Jul 21, 2026Hannes Nilsson, Rafael Basso, Balázs Kulcsár +1Electricity Price ForecastingElectric Vehicles

  15. Behaviour-Conditioned Neural Processes for Adaptive Residential Short-Term Load Forecasting

    Jul 17, 2026Ramin Soleimani, Andrea Visentin, Dirk PeschElectricity Price ForecastingLatent Variable

  16. A Benchmark for Electrical Load Forecasting Across Grid Levels: Time-Series Transformers Outperform Established Methods

    Jul 17, 2026Matthias Hertel, Sebastian Pütz, Jonathan Kolar +3Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  17. Learning-based Probabilistic Load Forecasting with Post-hoc and In-model Uncertainty

    Jul 14, 2026Sarah Al-Shareeda, Gulcihan Ozdemir, Heung Seok JeonElectricity Price ForecastingQuantile Regression

  18. Inter-Stop Energy Prediction and Causal Driver Quantification for Dual-Source Trolleybuses via a Time-Aware Tabular Deep Learning Architecture

    Jul 13, 2026Wentao Zeng, Zijian Huang, Yiming Bie +2Electricity Price ForecastingTransit Network Design

  19. Does Demand Response Increase Vulnerability to Cyber Attacks by Adversarial Data Modifications?

    Jul 7, 2026Clemens Kortmann, Eike CramerDemand ResponseElectricity Price Forecasting

  20. Static Metrics Are Insufficient: Predicting Java Method Energy Usage with Execution Time

    Jul 7, 2026Muhammad Imran, Vincenzo Stoico, Ivano MalavoltaElectricity Price ForecastingExecution Efficiency

  21. Evaluating Time Series Foundation Models for Electricity Price Forecasting: Contamination Risk, Distributional Shifts, and Covariate Dependence

    Jul 2, 2026Zhenghua Pan, Ahmed Aziz EzzatElectricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  22. Probabilistic Low-Voltage Peak Load Forecasting with Time Series Foundation Models Evaluated on Application-Oriented Metrics

    Jul 2, 2026Benedikt Kaas, Manuel Treutlein, Hannes Benedikt Gerber +5Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  23. Relational and Sequential Conformal Inference for Energy Time Series over Graphs via Foundation Models

    Jun 30, 2026Keivan Faghih Niresi, Alice Cicirello, Olga FinkTemporal Graph Neural NetworksElectricity Price Forecasting

  24. An Agentic AI Pipeline for Appliance-Level Energy Anomaly Detection and LLM-Driven Recommendations

    Jun 26, 2026Dihia Falouz, Aida Douaibia, Amine Bechar +3Predictive MaintenanceElectricity Price Forecasting

  25. Cellular Predictions on the Move: What about Data?

    Jun 24, 2026Natalia Vesselinova, Pauliina IlmonenAccurate Traffic ForecastingElectricity Price Forecasting

  26. Towards Continuous Power Forecasting: Practical Continual Learning for Real-World Energy Systems in Nonstationary Time Series

    Jun 23, 2026Yujiang He, Frederic Uhrweiller, Bernhard SickElectricity Price ForecastingEfficient Continual Learning

  27. Interpretable Kolmogorov-Arnold Network with Feature-Isolated Temporal Attention Mechanism for Electricity Load Forecasting

    Jun 22, 2026Jinhao Li, Hao WangElectricity Price ForecastingKolmogorov-Arnold Networks

  28. Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting for New England Using a Hybrid Transformer-XGBoost Framework with Weather, Calendar, and COVID-19 Indicators

    Jun 18, 2026Reza Ghanavati, Behrooz MosallaeiElectricity Price ForecastingCovid-19

  29. Delta-Based Target Reformulation for Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Using LSTM and Transformer Models

    Jun 16, 2026Vansh BansalElectricity Price ForecastingNon-Stationarity

  30. Quantum Reservoir Computing for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting in Resource-Constrained Energy Systems

    Jun 11, 2026Mansi Od, Param Pathak, Nouhaila Innan +1Reservoir ComputingElectricity Price Forecasting

  31. Investigating Calibration Challenges in Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting

    Jun 8, 2026Jan Niklas Lettner, Hadeer El Ashhab, Benjamin SchäferElectricity Price ForecastingScoring

  32. EnergyMamba: An Uncertainty-Aware Graph-Enhanced Selective State Space Model for Energy Consumption Prediction

    May 30, 2026Dahai Yu, Rongchao Xu, Lin Jiang +1Electricity Price ForecastingPredictive Uncertainty

  33. Uncertainty-Aware Transfer Learning for Cross-Building Energy Forecasting: Toward Robust and Scalable District-Level Energy Management

    May 28, 2026Shadmehr Zaregarizi, Khashayar YavariElectricity Price ForecastingEnergy Forecasting

  34. Diffusion Model-Based Data Assimilation for Real-World Energy Consumption Forecasting

    May 27, 2026Ruoyu Hu, Dahai Yu, Feng Bao +2Data AssimilationElectricity Price Forecasting

  35. Electricity Consumption Forecasting: An Approach Using Cooperative Ensemble Learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations

    May 25, 2026Eduardo Luiz Alba, Gilson Adamczuk Oliveira, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro +1Electricity Price ForecastingShapley Value

  36. Hybrid Kolmogorov-Arnold Network and XGBoost Framework for Week-Ahead Price Forecasting in Australia's National Electricity Market

    May 21, 2026Houxuan Zhou, Sriram Prasad, Chenghao Huang +2Electricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

  37. PeakFocus: Bridging Peak Localization and Intensity Regression via a Unified Multi-Scale Framework for Electricity Load Forecasting

    May 20, 2026Wangzhi Yu, Peng Zhu, Qing Zhao +2Electricity Price ForecastingIntensity

  38. Empirical evaluation of Time Series Foundation Models for Day-ahead and Imbalance Electricity Price Forecasting in Belgium

    May 16, 2026Chi Bui, Maria Margarida Mascarenhas, Arnaud Verstraeten +1Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  39. Benchmarking Transformer and xLSTM for Time-Series Forecasting of Heat Consumption

    May 10, 2026Marja Wahl, Daniel R. Bayer, Sven Rausch +1Electricity Price ForecastingBidirectional Long Short-Term Memory

  40. A Market-Rule-Informed Neural Network for Efficient Imbalance Electricity Price Forecasting

    May 9, 2026Runyao Yu, Julia Lin, Derek W. Bunn +6Electricity Price ForecastingPrices

  41. Hedging Memory Horizons for Non-Stationary Prediction via Online Aggregation

    May 7, 2026Yutong Wang, Yannig Goude, Qiwei YaoLlm-Based Forecasting MethodsElectricity Price Forecasting

  42. Gated Multimodal Learning for Interpretable Property Energy Performance Prediction and Retrofit Scenario Analysis

    May 6, 2026Yunfei Bai, Aaron Tesfa Tsion, Raul Rosales +2Energy ResourcesElectricity Price Forecasting

  43. Federated Learning for Early Prediction of EV Charging Demand

    May 6, 2026Vasilis Perifanis, Foteini Nikolaidou, Nikolaos Pavlidis +2Electric VehiclesElectricity Price Forecasting

  44. SPLICE: Latent Diffusion over JEPA Embeddings for Conformal Time-Series Inpainting

    Apr 30, 2026Arnaud ZinflouMultivariate Time Series ImputationElectricity Price Forecasting

  45. Explainable Load Forecasting with Covariate-Informed Time Series Foundation Models

    Apr 30, 2026Matthias Hertel, Alexandra Nikoltchovska, Sebastian Pütz +3Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  46. Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era

    Apr 29, 2026My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha +1Electricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

  47. Energy-Arena: A Dynamic Benchmark for Operational Energy Forecasting

    Apr 27, 2026Max Kleinebrahm, Jonathan Berrisch, Philipp Eiser +11Electricity Price Forecasting

  48. Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for Short Term Electricity Price Forecasting in Australia's National Electricity Market

    Apr 26, 2026Wei Lu, Jay Wang, Dingli Duan +3Electricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

  49. Interpretable Physics-Informed Load Forecasting for U.S. Grid Resilience: SHAP-Guided Ensemble Validation in Hybrid Deep Learning Under Extreme Weather

    Apr 26, 2026Md Abubakkar, Sajib Debnath, Md. Uzzal MiaElectricity Price ForecastingPhysics-Informed Machine Learning

  50. Liquid Neural Network Models for Natural Gas Spot Price Time-Series Forecasting

    Apr 24, 2026Yiqian Liu, Jiayi Niu, Adam Kelleher +1Electricity Price ForecastingElectricity Markets

  51. FETS Benchmark: Foundation Models Outperform Dataset-specific Machine Learning in Energy Time Series Forecasting

    Apr 24, 2026Marco Obermeier, Marco Pruckner, Florian Haselbeck +1Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  52. Spatio-temporal modelling of electric vehicle charging demand

    Apr 21, 2026Kaoutar Bouaachra, Yvenn Amara-Ouali, Yannig Goude +1Electric VehiclesElectricity Price Forecasting

  53. Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Risk-Sensitive Estimation via Conditional Value-at-Risk

    Apr 20, 2026Feras Al Taha, Eilyan BitarConditional-Value-At-RiskEstimators

  54. Assessing the Performance-Efficiency Trade-off of Foundation Models in Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting

    Apr 16, 2026Jan Niklas Lettner, Hadeer El Ashhab, Veit Hagenmeyer +1Electricity Price ForecastingTime Series Foundation Models

  55. Parametric and Generative Forecasts of EPEX Day\char45 Ahead Energy Market Curves

    Jan 28, 2026Julian Gutierrez, Redouane SilventeElectricity Price ForecastingStochastic Volatility

  56. Foundation vs. Specialized Models: Evaluating Catastrophic Forgetting in Continual Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 1, 2025Nouha Karaouli, Denis Coquenet, Elisa Fromont +2Time Series Foundation ModelsCatastrophic Forgetting

  57. Predicting Estimated Times of Restoration for Electrical Outages Using Longitudinal Tabular Transformers

    May 1, 2025Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja, Valliappan Muthukaruppan, Carls BenjaminElectricity Price ForecastingRestoration