Next-Token Prediction

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Period ending 2026-09-14

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A weekly snapshot of new work published in Next-Token Prediction.

Period ending 2026-09-07

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80 papers

Latest in Next-Token Prediction

Sep 10, 2026cs.LG

Why Does Post-Training Quantization Work?

Post-training quantization compresses large language models (LLMs) by storing their weights at reduced precision, and each quantized weight introduces an error into the hidden states. Naively, these errors should accumulate with depth and corrupt next-token prediction; randomly initialized models accumulate these discrepancies rapidly, whereas quantized pretrained models accumulate much less hidden-state error and largely maintain downstream task performance, even though they were never trained with quantization noise. This raises the question we address: why does post-training quantization work? Comparing full-precision and quantized forward passes, we identify two mechanisms that characterize pretrained quantization robustness. First, the error a layer newly introduces tends to oppose the error it inherits from the layer's input. The two cancel partially such that the discrepancy between full-precision and quantized passes grows slowly. This counteracting residual interaction develops during pretraining. Our quantitative analysis identifies it as a major factor slowing hidden-error growth. Second, LM-head geometry preferentially preserves the scores and probabilities of high-ranked tokens, which typically represent the model's most confident predictions. Together, these mechanisms explain why quantization error that passes through numerous layers can still produce only small output changes, and we verify the findings across models and quantization settings.
Yuxiang Chen, Michael Beyer, Jun Zhu +1
Sep 8, 2026cs.CL

Osprey: Target-agnostic Pre-training Makes Stronger Drafters in Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding is critical for accelerating LLM inference. However, the speedup is fragile: drafters are typically trained against a narrow distribution for a single target model, and their acceptance rate collapses under workload shifts. This is a striking inversion of modern LLM development, where target models are valued precisely for the broad generalization they acquire through large-scale pretraining. We argue that the natural remedy, pretraining, has been hard to apply to drafters because existing recipes are target-specific: the drafter consumes the target's hidden states and is distilled on the target's logits, so pretraining must be repeated for each target. We introduce Osprey, which instead bootstraps drafters from off-the-shelf pretrained small language models, treating broad pretraining as a reusable, target-agnostic asset and reducing per-target work to a lightweight adaptation step. Realizing this requires overcoming two challenges: small LMs are far deeper than a latency-bound drafter can afford, and their pretrained computation must remain intact while the drafter learns to ingest target hidden states and emit tokens in the target's vocabulary. Osprey addresses both by pruning to a shallow backbone, restoring its language-modeling capability with target-agnostic next-token pretraining, and adapting it to each target through vocabulary alignment, zero-initialized QKV expansion, and distillation from the target model's output distribution. Empirically, a single pretrained Osprey backbone transfers across targets and improves mean acceptance length by 16.1% for Qwen3-8B, 21.2% for Llama-3.3-70B-Instruct, and 22.7% for the 229B MiniMax-M2.5 (with 17.5% higher tokens per second), with the largest gains on out-of-domain and multilingual data. Our code is available at https://github.com/LeanModels/Osprey.
Fengxiang Bie, Yuqing Jian, Yifan Yu +7
Sep 7, 2026cs.CL

Line-Coupled Language Model

Autoregressive language models generate one token per decoding step, limiting the useful output of each forward pass. Although diffusion models, insertion-based decoding, and multi-token prediction enable parallel generation, they either incur additional training-time token traffic or struggle to predict strongly dependent future tokens. We introduce the Line-Coupled Language Model (LCLM), an autoregressive model that advances multiple text lines together by predicting the next token for every active line while coupling the lines through shared causal context. LCLM interleaves line tokens into a single causal sequence and uses line-staggered rotary positions, retaining the standard next-token objective and causal attention. Controlled experiments show that cross-line targets are substantially less dependent than consecutive same-line targets, supporting lines as parallel generation units. With 881M parameters, LCLM produces an average of 2.94 content tokens per forward pass with a validation cross-entropy loss of 2.44, compared with 1.00 token per forward pass and a loss of 2.39 for the vanilla autoregressive baseline. Most notably, even when LCLM generates 16 tokens per forward pass, its loss is only 0.09 higher than that of the vanilla autoregressive baseline (2.34 vs. 2.25).
Shiyuan Li, Shaorong Zhang, Zhaorui Yang +3
Sep 3, 2026cs.LG

Unlocking Lossless Speedups in LLMs via Discrete Diffusion

Large Language Models (LLMs) owe much of their success to next-token prediction (NTP), but their autoregressive (AR) structure requires slow, sequential token generation. To overcome this bottleneck, we introduce diffusion-augmented LLMs, a new class of models that defines an AR model distribution while using diffusion to draw multiple tokens in parallel from that distribution. We decouple the parameters of these models into two sets: AR weights, trained using the standard NTP objective, and lightweight diffusion weights, trained to generate multiple tokens simultaneously. The diffusion weights are learned through a simple Diffusion Distillation phase that adds negligible overhead to existing LLM training pipelines. We also introduce ΨΨ-Spec, a family of samplers that enables lossless acceleration and inference-time scaling at a fixed context length. Unlike speculative decoding, our method requires no separate draft model. Unlike diffusion LLMs (d-LLMs), it accelerates generation without sacrificing the quality of the underlying AR model. The resulting models, called Uno, can be trained from scratch or built by augmenting existing open-weight AR LLMs. Uno achieves higher throughput than leading speculative-decoding methods at every evaluated batch size and delivers up to 3×3\times speedups over the base AR model, including at the largest batch size supported by the device. Notably, our 8B Uno model outperforms the leading open d-LLM, the 26B DiffusionGemma, and the proprietary Mercury 2 across all evaluated benchmarks in agentic tool use, coding, and long-context reasoning. We release code and checkpoints at: https://s-sahoo.github.io/uno/
Subham Sekhar Sahoo, Lingjie Chen, Khiem Pham +14
Sep 3, 2026cs.IR

EPIC: Explicit Posterior Item Conditioning for Semantic ID Diffusion Recommendation

Semantic ID (SID) generative recommendation predicts the next item by generating a short tuple of discrete tokens. Recent masked-diffusion methods improve this process through bidirectional context and flexible decoding, yet recommendation ultimately requires selecting among complete catalog items. At each denoising step, a partial SID can correspond to multiple feasible items, while existing methods primarily reason through position-wise token predictions. We propose Explicit Posterior Item Conditioning (EPIC), which introduces explicit item-level competition into SID denoising. EPIC constructs a personalized posterior over feasible candidate items using the current generation context and the user's recent interactions, then projects this distribution back to unresolved SID positions to guide subsequent token decisions. The pretrained backbone remains frozen and requires no additional decoder forward pass. Experiments on four Amazon benchmarks show consistent improvements over strong baselines, while diagnostic analyses indicate that the gains primarily arise from personalized transition evidence that preserves promising item hypotheses during denoising.
Tuan-Binh Tran, Thanh Tam Nguyen, Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen +3
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

REER-PT: Reverse-Engineered Reasoning for Perplexity-Guided Pre-training Data Augmentation

As language-model compute continues to scale, high-quality training data is becoming an increasingly important bottleneck. Conventional next-token prediction supervises what follows a context but leaves the intermediate reasoning behind that continuation implicit. We introduce \textbf{REER-PT}, a scalable framework that extends Reverse-Engineered Reasoning (REER) to raw pre-training data. REER-PT identifies continuations that are difficult to predict but can still be inferred from the preceding context, and inserts concise reasoning annotations that reconstruct the missing connection between context and continuation. Candidate annotations are generated and refined offline, with perplexity serving as the optimization signal. Constraints on length and target leakage filter out unhelpful or trivial annotations. This sparse transformation preserves the source text and remains compatible with standard next-token prediction, avoiding online reasoning rollouts during pre-training. We apply REER-PT to transform a source pre-training corpus into an augmented one. Across augmented-data, original-token, and selected-continuation comparisons, perplexity reductions range from 0.42 to 7.29, and only about 0.05% of annotation 13-grams appear verbatim in the source text. We then train two 680M-parameter models with the same architecture and training configuration on the source and augmented corpora, respectively. The augmented-data model gains up to 2.07 percentage points on several knowledge and reasoning benchmarks. Together, the perplexity analysis indicates improved continuation predictability, while the controlled pre-training experiments suggest that this augmentation can improve model performance without changing the standard pre-training objective.
Haoran Que, Jiajun Shi, Ting Huang +7
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

KItCAT: Knowledge Injection via Input Corruption for Auto-regressive Training

LLMs acquire vast amounts of knowledge during pre-training, but often lack the specialized knowledge needed to answer questions from niche sources such as manuals or technical documents unseen during pre-training. Continued pre-training (CPT) is widely used to inject such knowledge into model parameters. However, niche documents seldom repeat facts, making it difficult for CPT to robustly acquire such knowledge. Recent works address this by generating multiple paraphrases of the new knowledge, but paraphrasing is computationally expensive and typically requires powerful LLMs. In this work, we introduce KItCAT: Knowledge Injection via Corrupted Auto-regressive Training, a lightweight training strategy that reduces the need for paraphrasing in decoder-only LLMs. KItCAT augments standard next-token prediction by stochastically corrupting the input sequence. During training, a random subset of input tokens is replaced with other vocabulary tokens while the original next-token labels are kept unchanged. This simple intervention generates diverse training inputs from each sample, enabling large-scale data augmentation at negligible cost. We show that KItCAT consistently improves over CPT across multiple datasets and model families. Code is available at https://github.com/meghanadhpulivarthi/KItCAT.
Meghanadh Pulivarthi, Kushagra Bhushan, Vineet Kumar +5
Aug 30, 2026stat.ML

Learning Representations through Token Prediction: Geometry, Approximation, and Downstream Guarantees

Token prediction is a central pre-training objective for modern language models. Despite its empirical success, why token prediction learns broadly useful representations remains incompletely understood. We develop a statistical framework connecting token prediction with representation geometry, encoder approximation, and downstream performance. Under a softmax prediction head, we show that accurate token prediction organizes token embeddings according to similarities between the distributions of contexts in which different token types appear, as measured by Hellinger distance, with explicit errors governed by prediction accuracy and token frequency. Meanwhile, the contextual representation provides a low-dimensional coordinate for the conditional distribution of the target token relative to these embeddings. We further introduce a self-consistency principle showing that repeated applications of a shared representation block can progressively refine the contextual representation without introducing additional block parameters. Among representations with the same prediction accuracy, this recurrent construction favors those that can be stably reconstructed from their contexts. Finally, we establish downstream guarantees for token generation, token community recovery, and classification by a linear probe, showing how prediction accuracy and recovered geometry translate into performance beyond the pre-training objective. Together, these results explain how the simple objective of predicting tokens can recover semantic geometry and produce broadly useful representations. A controlled simulation illustrates the theoretical mechanisms.
Shulei Wang
Aug 30, 2026math.OC

Transformer-Based Flow Shop Scheduling Using MILP-Generated Training Data

Advances in machine learning (ML) have created new opportunities to complement traditional operations research (OR) methods. In particular, transformer models can capture complex interactions in token sequences by mapping tokens into a high-dimensional embedding space and propagating contextual information via attention. This makes them a candidate to model non-permutation flow shop scheduling with secondary resources as a next-token prediction task, where tokens represent job-machine-secondary resource tuples. For training, mixed-integer linear programming (MILP)-generated schedules are tokenized and used as next-token prediction data. During inference, partial token sequences (prefixes) are randomly generated and completed by the trained transformer through constrained decoding. A computational study is conducted on a flow shop with 8 jobs, 4 machines, and 3 secondary resources, where jobs are selected from a fixed pool of 20 jobs that is sampled during training and provides the candidates during prefix completion. The transformer achieves better solution quality (smaller makespans) compared to a genetic algorithm (GA), the NEH heuristic, and random search. It is outperformed only by the MILP model and the iterated greedy (IG) heuristic. The study concludes that transformer models can, to some extent, learn patterns from MILP-optimized non-permutation flow shop schedules and that transformer-based scheduling represents an interesting direction for future research, particularly in settings with a fixed, recurring job set.
Roderich Wallrath
Aug 10, 2026cs.CV

Financial Numerical Prediction and Allocation as Token Generation

Financial prediction typically relies on task-specific regression, ranking, or policy heads, separating the language model from the numerical object ultimately evaluated. We investigate whether a causal language model can instead represent forecasts and decisions directly through constrained token generation. FinATOM introduces a unified, head-free interface for three-step stock-return forecasting and dynamic five-ETF allocation. The forecasting model autoregressively emits volatility-standardized return tokens and is trained with ordinal and ranking supervision followed by a one-epoch token-level policy stage. The allocation model generates normalized long-only weights; supervised fine-tuning imitates a causal mean--variance anchor, and DAPO-augmented GRPO optimizes realized 21-day Sharpe subject to anchor consistency. In 2023--2025 ETF tests, the allocation policy improves pooled gross Sharpe from 1.428 to 1.529 and net Sharpe under a 5-bp transaction-cost model from 1.394 to 1.494. The multimodal allocation input attains the highest three-period mean Sharpe of 1.540, with its clearest advantage in 2025. On FinTexTS, the SFT and policy strategies achieve 73.52%/2.68 and 73.72%/2.69 cumulative-return/Sharpe, respectively. These results support the feasibility of direct language-model token generation for financial numerical prediction and decision-making, while motivating broader tests across assets, regimes, and random seeds.
Xu Ouyang, Moontae Lee
Aug 6, 2026cs.CL

Hierarchical Latent Prediction for Language Models

While standard Next-Token Prediction (NTP) lays the foundation of language model pre- training, its teacher-forced training paradigm may not be optimal for long-horizon reasoning and planning. Recent works such as Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) and Next-Latent prediction (NextLat) try to mitigate the problem through predicting multiple future tokens and self-supervised prediction in the latent space. However, those auxiliary objectives either have a limited horizon or suffer from compounding error from multi-step rollout. We introduce Hierarchical Latent Prediction (HiLP), which introduces an auxiliary higher-level abstract latent to help reduce the error accumulation effect in latent-space rollouts. Experiments show that HiLP can lead to longer-horizon coherent belief state representation and demonstrate the effectiveness of our method across coding and multi-step reasoning benchmarks, and offers more speculative decoding efficiency.
Chang Shi, Tim Pearce, Manan Tomar +2
Aug 4, 2026cs.SD

Equivariant Music Transformer

Humans recognize a musical passage even when it is shifted in time or transposed in pitch, indicating a notion of equivariance in the representation space. Our analysis, however, shows that standard music transformers map such time-shifted or pitch-transposed inputs onto uncorrelated representations: these models become progressively less equivariant as they scale in size or train longer. This suggests that in standard music transformers, additional model capacity is allocated to memorizing absolute patterns rather than capturing shared musical structures. In this paper, we propose the Equivariant Music Transformer (EMT), which enforces equivariance through self-distillation by jointly optimizing a next-token-prediction and an auxiliary equivariance regularization loss. We find that the additional equivariance loss acts as a beneficial regularizer, simultaneously improving next-token prediction and producing equivariant latent representations. Through both objective and subjective evaluations, EMT demonstrates superior equivariance and generative capability compared to data augmentation, feature engineering, and state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines. More broadly, our findings reveal that standard language modeling methods alone do not capture music's translational symmetries, and dedicated inductive biases are required to produce better music representations. The code, weights and demos are available online.
Zixun Guo, Simon Dixon
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

LoopMTP: A looped transformer guided by latent multi-token prediction

Looped transformers have emerged as a parameter-efficient alternative to scaling depth for strong reasoning. By reusing one stack of layers across TT iterations, they attain the effective depth and reasoning capabilities of larger models at a fixed parameter count. Yet existing approaches suffer from latent overthinking and undifferentiated computation, largely because intermediate representations receive no guidance across loops. Multi-token prediction (MTP) supplies exactly the dense, forward-looking supervision the loop is missing. We propose \textsc{LoopMTP}, which links the two through a structural correspondence in latent space: a model that loops TT times can anticipate TT future tokens. \textsc{LoopMTP} realizes this by softly aligning the hidden state of loop tt with the embedding of the token tt steps ahead, while a lightweight gate preserves useful information across iterations. \textsc{LoopMTP} improves average accuracy by up to 8.1% (relative) over the non-looped baseline, with training remaining stable for up to 15 loops.
Behzad Shomali, Markus Frey, David Berghaus +2
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

Maglev: Sliding Recurrent Memory

We introduce \ours{}, a recurrent Transformer architecture with fixed-size memory that generalizes sliding-window attention while remaining parallelizable during training. \ours{} consists of two coupled models: a prefiller QQ, which leverages full attention\footnote{In practice, we use interleaved full and sliding-window attention for QQ, as this yields stronger performance. The essential requirement is that QQ be more expressive than PP, with access to the full history.} to produce memory targets mtm'_t, and a decoder PP, which uses only sliding-window attention and recurrent K/V injection to produce decoder memories mtm_t for next-token prediction. We train \ours{} with a memory consistency loss that aligns mtm_t with mtm'_t, allowing inference to use PP alone. Empirically, \ours{} improves validation loss and downstream pretraining benchmarks over sliding-window and latent recurrent transformer baselines. Moreover, sharing parameters between PP and QQ reduces parameter memory while preserving most of the gains.
Bo Liu, Qiang Liu
Aug 1, 2026cs.CL

AdaMTP: An Adaptive Training Paradigm for Multi-Token Prediction

Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) has emerged as an effective paradigm that augments a shared Large Language Model backbone with auxiliary heads, training the model to predict several future tokens in parallel to enrich its supervision signal and accelerate inference. However, existing training frameworks adopt a rigid, fixed-length prediction horizon, disregarding the highly non-uniform information density of natural language and code. Forcing the auxiliary heads to predict across high-entropy semantic boundaries injects noisy, conflicting training signals; because these heads share the backbone's latent representations, the resulting gradients backpropagate and interfere with the model's core capabilities. We propose AdaMTP, an adaptive training paradigm that dynamically aligns the prediction horizon with the intrinsic predictability of the sequence. At its core, an entropy-based segmentation algorithm leverages the base model to detect sudden surges in uncertainty as semantic boundaries, partitioning sequences into variable-length groups. Each token is assigned an adaptive prediction depth, and a dynamically masked MTP objective suppresses the loss for predictions that cross these boundaries, attenuating the noisy gradients that degrade the backbone. Across mathematical reasoning, code generation, and general benchmarks on three backbones (Llama-3.1-8B, Qwen-2.5-7B, Gemma-3-12B), AdaMTP consistently outperforms standard MTP in both task performance and inference speedup.
Ziqiang Cui, Han Shi, Bowei He +8
Jul 31, 2026cs.CL

PTP: Previous-Token Prediction based LLM Inversion for Near-Exact Prompt Reconstruction

Large language models (LLMs) generate text by auto-regressively sampling the next token. This inherently leads to a many-to-many mapping between prompts and responses, complicating the task of inferring prompts from observed outputs. Prior work on LLM inversion frames prompt recovery as a semantic reconstruction task. They rely on fine-tuning pretrained sequence-to-sequence models on large external datasets--and requiring access to model weights or logits--to generate semantically plausible prompts. In contrast, we present a functional approach to inverting a given LLM in a black-box setting, without auxiliary aids. We train an explicit inverse language model entirely from scratch on data synthetically generated from the target LLM itself. Analogous to forward next-token prediction, our inverse model is trained using previous-token prediction, establishing a generative link between the forward and inverse processes that enables faithful prompt reconstruction. Moreover, it naturally supports diverse prompt reconstructions through sampling, whereby all such prompts induce similar responses under the forward, target LLM. Our approach generalises across datasets and exhibits transferability in reconstructing prompts from responses generated by different LLMs. Further, across the set of token based evaluation metrics for prompt and response reconstructions, our approach outperforms prior work.
Pirzada Suhail, Nagasai Saketh Naidu, Atanu R Sinha +1
Jul 31, 2026cs.SD

ParaASR: Multi-Token Prediction for Fast and Long-Context LLM-Based Speech Recognition

Audio-encoder-LLM-decoder architectures have become the dominant paradigm for modern automatic speech recognition (ASR), improving transcription quality through large-scale language modeling. However, the cost of autoregressive decoding scales with decoder size, creating a fundamental trade-off between recognition quality and serving latency. We argue this trade-off is not inherent: unlike open-ended text generation, ASR outputs are strongly anchored to the input speech signal, providing a natural inductive bias toward high-parallelism decoding. Building on this, we introduce ParaASR, an ASR system that leverages Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) to let a 4B LLM decoder emit multiple tokens per forward step. Starting from a publicly available audio-language foundation, the model first establishes a robust autoregressive recognizer and then aligns five future-token branches through a staged optimization recipe. At inference, it proposes a six-token continuation per step and admits only the verified prefix into the transcript, preserving the safety of standard autoregressive decoding. The average accepted length reaches 5.0 out of 6 proposed tokens, confirming that the deterministic structure of speech makes ASR an especially natural setting for multi-token decoding. ParaASR further retains a native 32K-context window and transcribes up to 30 minutes of audio in a single pass. Across diverse benchmarks, it attains average error rates of 2.97%, 3.68%, and 3.70% on Chinese, English, and long-form evaluations, respectively, while reaching a real-time factor (RTF) as low as 0.0053. These results show that decoder scaling, low-latency inference, and long-context transcription need not be competing goals when future-token proposals are anchored by the acoustic signal and guarded by autoregressive verification.
Qingjian Lin, Yuxin Li, Haoyang Zhang +14
Jul 28, 2026cs.CL

AngelSpec: Towards Real-World High Performance Inference with Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding accelerates large language model inference without changing the target distribution, but no single drafting structure performs best across real-world workloads. Autoregressive multi-token prediction (MTP) is a lightweight, stable proposal mechanism, whereas block-parallel diffusion amortizes drafting latency over much longer candidate sequences; the better choice depends strongly on the output distribution. We present AngelSpec, a unified training framework for MTP and block-parallel speculative decoding that addresses this heterogeneity at three levels. At the training level, rather than fitting one universal drafter to a uniform data mixture, we co-specialize structure and data: the MTP drafter is trained on diverse conversational data for high-entropy open-ended chat, and the block-diffusion drafter on code and mathematics data for longer predictable continuations. At the architecture level, we propose DFly, a block-diffusion framework combining a hybrid target-conditioning backbone with a predecessor-conditioned autoregressive head, improving target-feature utilization and intra-block dependency modeling while keeping generation parallel. At the inference level, both acceptance length and verification cost vary with domain, request, online load, and hardware, so DFly treats verification as a shared batch-level resource: it reallocates compute toward high-confidence prefixes across requests and combines expected utility with a profiled cost model to adapt verification depth online. Across the Hy3 series, DFly raises the average accepted length on Hy3-A21B by roughly 30% and attains the highest average throughput at every tested concurrency from 4 to 64, a 1.98-2.40x speedup over autoregressive decoding and 10.5-11.8% higher throughput than DFlash. We release AngelSpec to support training and extending these methods.
Hong Liu, Rui Cen, Junhan Shi +10
Jul 23, 2026cs.LG

Windowed-MTP: Removing the Full-Context Draft-KV Tax at Million-Token Context

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by having a cheap draft propose tokens that a target verifies in parallel. Frontier models increasingly ship a built-in Multi-Token-Prediction (MTP/NEXTN) draft head under the assumption that the draft is negligibly cheap. At million-token context this breaks: an MTP draft head typically runs full attention over the entire KV cache at every draft step, so its read grows linearly with context and comes to dominate the draft cost -- precisely where speculation is most valuable. The effect compounds with draft length (a deep native draft can turn net-negative, slower than no speculation) and sharpens under hybrid/linear-attention targets, where cheaper verification leaves the draft's full-attention read exposed. We apply a StreamingLLM-style sliding window plus attention sink to the draft's attention only (Windowed-MTP), leaving full-attention verification intact. It is training-free, drop-in, and lossless by construction: the full-attention target still decides every accepted token, so windowing changes only which tokens are proposed, never which are accepted. It bounds the draft's KV working set to a constant, dropping ~99% of KV entries at 1M. Across three architecture families (Qwen GDN-MoE 35B/122B and a Mamba2-hybrid NoPE 120B) at 1M context on a single GPU in SGLang, windowing cuts the per-decode-step cost over the shipping native MTP draft by +28% to +44%, an input-invariant margin that widens with context. Since per-token latency is this cost divided by acceptance length, at matched acceptance end-to-end decode latency improves by the same amount, and more where windowing also lifts acceptance, while preserving the target's verified output distribution. Finally, the unread draft KV -- 7.7-11% of total KV at 1M -- is reclaimed via a compact ring buffer at no acceptance or quality cost.
Alagappan Valliappan
Jul 21, 2026cs.CL

HPD-Parsing: Hierarchical Parallel Document Parsing

Efficient teamwork typically combines global coordination with parallel execution, a principle not yet fully reflected in unified Vision-Language Model (VLM)-based document parsers. Existing unified parsers process an entire page jointly but generate its output through a single token-by-token autoregressive trajectory, creating a sequential bottleneck that grows with document length. Such full-page sequential generation overlooks a key property of document parsing: layout must be analyzed globally, whereas block content can be parsed in parallel. Based on this observation, we introduce HPD-Parsing, which replaces full-page autoregressive generation with a Hierarchical Parallel Decoding paradigm. A main layout branch organizes the overall document structure and dynamically assigns block-level content decoding to concurrent branches, while progressive multi-token prediction (P-MTP) further reduces the decoding steps within each branch. Experiments on public benchmarks show that HPD-Parsing achieves 4,752 tokens per second, delivering 2.62×2.62\times the throughput of the fastest existing document parsing model and 3.06×3.06\times that of the vanilla autoregressive baseline, while maintaining competitive parsing accuracy. These results establish hierarchical parallel decoding as an effective alternative to full-page autoregressive generation, opening a new direction for efficient unified document parsing.
Shu Wei, Jingjing Wu, Lingshu Zhang +10
Jul 20, 2026cs.CL

For What Reason? Interpreting Models' Encoding of Causation and Antithesis

Discourse relations provide document structure, critical to language understanding and enabling language model performance and ethicality. In this work, we investigate how instruction-tuned Transformer models (LLaMA and Mistral) encode discourse relations in English, with a particular focus on the contrasting relations of causation and antithesis. Framing the task as a next-token prediction task and applying a suite of interpretability techniques to test model internals, our findings show that certain early layers make predictive decisions at mid-sequence tokens, while some mid-level layers finalize their decisions closer to the last token. Most of the remaining layers primarily propagate earlier decisions rather than actively influencing them. Additionally, we observe that some layers exhibit a preference for one answer over alternatives, suggesting asymmetric representation of discourse-based reasoning.\footnote{Our code is available at https://github.com/abhidipbhattacharyya/causation_vs_antithesis}
Abhidip Bhattacharyya, Shira Wein
Jul 19, 2026cs.LG

What does a Bayes-filtered transformer believe? A predictive Monte Carlo approach

A Bayes-filtered transformer (BFT) is a transformer trained on sequences that are generated in two steps: first a latent task is drawn from a prior, then observations are drawn conditional on that task. Trained under autoregressive log loss, the BFT's next-token prediction, in the idealized limit, is the Bayesian posterior predictive distribution (PPD) induced by that prior and that conditional law. In practice the trained BFT is only an approximation of this ideal PPD, raising an interpretive question: what prior and posterior over the latent task has the trained BFT actually internalized? Existing work answers this question by comparing the trained BFT's predictions against the predictions of various "reference" posteriors, each standing in for a different candidate algorithm or computation the BFT might be implementing. This prediction-space comparison is fragile: different posteriors can share the same posterior-mean predictions. We use predictive Monte Carlo (PMC) as a general interpretability tool for any BFT: using only next-token generation, PMC returns an approximation to the implicit prior and posterior over the latent task, answering the interpretive question directly in latent space. We apply PMC to three stylized task families spanning 0-Markov and 1-Markov exchangeability. The phenomena previously reported in these settings remain visible in latent space. Code is available at https://github.com/afiq-aswadi/bft-pmc
Afiq Abdillah Effiezal Aswadi, Haotong Ma, Susan Wei
Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

Dzongkha Next Word Prediction System

Dzongkha, being the national language of Bhutan, is a common and widely spoken language in the country. Official documents, scriptures and other literature products are written in Dzongkha in order to retain the cultural value. However, documenting Dzongkha writing is a challenging and time-consuming process, largely due to the complexity of the script, the need for multiple keystrokes per syllable, and the limited availability of efficient typing tools. An immediate system that can predict and display a list of probable words for Dzongkha is the solution for this problem. The project is mainly aimed to make Dzongkha typing as convenient as possible by reducing the number of keystrokes. Our dataset is acquired from DCDD and has a total of 100000 sentences, 1331282 words and 28344 unique words. The data preprocessing was done by removing all the alphanumeric characters, tokenization, generating N-gram sequences and padding. Three models selected for training are LSTM, Bi-LSTM and GRU. The training process included fine-tuning of the model's hyperparameters. GRU being lightweight and able to handle larger datasets performed best with 74.03% accuracy and also solved the problem of overfitting.
Prerna Chhetri, Tenzin Yoezer, Phuntsho Wangmo +1
Jul 12, 2026cs.LG

Predictive Divergence Masks for LLM RL

Reinforcement learning for large language models (LLMs) typically relies on trust-region masks to stabilize off-policy updates. The dominant PPO-style approach uses the sampled-token importance ratio for two criteria: a proximity criterion, which asks whether the policy has moved too far from the behavior policy, and a direction criterion, which asks whether the update pushes it farther away. Recent work DPPO improves the proximity criterion by replacing PPO's ratio-based test with a probability divergence between the behavior and training policies. However, its direction criterion is still inherited from PPO. A token can be masked only when the sampled-token importance ratio moves away from one. We observe that this ratio-based direction criterion is a single-sample proxy that can disagree in sign with the change of the divergence that defines the proximity criterion. We therefore propose the predictive divergence mask, which asks whether the next policy-gradient step will increase or decrease the same divergence used by the trust region. For the discrete softmax policies used in LLM RL, we derive this prediction in closed form. Because production rollout engines expose only a truncated (top-K) view of the vocabulary, we develop two lightweight top-KK estimators for this prediction. Detailed analysis shows the divergence-based direction is better aligned with the realized change of the divergence than the sampled ratio, and the resulting masks improve RL training across model scales and precision settings.
Xiangxin Zhou, Jiarui Yao, Penghui Qi +4
Jul 9, 2026cs.LG

A Practical Investigation of Training-free Relaxed Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding accelerates sampling from an autoregressive LLM by using a faster auxiliary model to draft tokens which are then verified in parallel by the LLM. Standard speculative decoding is lossless: its rejection and resampling steps exactly preserve the LLM's sampling distribution. Recent work argues that relaxing this strict guarantee can yield further speed-ups, controlled capability-speed trade-offs, or even capability gains. We practically investigate training-free relaxed speculative decoding techniques, unify existing approaches within a shared framework, benchmark them on contemporary settings, and distil takeaways and empirical findings for practitioners. Important takeaways include: relaxation can require considerable capability evaluation unlike lossless speculative decoding, and many relaxed approaches rely on a drafter that is a good language model, making them unsuited for lightweight dedicated multi-token-prediction drafters.
Guoxuan Xia, Luka Ribar, Paul Balanca
Jul 1, 2026cs.AI

Beyond Next-Token Prediction: An RLVR Proof of Concept for Tool-Use Agents on Atlassian Workflows

Large language models are trained to predict the next token, not to act inside a specific API. In niche enterprise SaaS workflows -- where success means hitting the right endpoint with the right nested arguments in the right order -- this objective mismatch shows up as silent failures: dropped required fields, hallucinated tools, or early stops after a single read. We ask whether Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), applied directly in the target environment, closes the gap. As a proof of concept we build a suite of five synthetic environments emulating the Jira REST v3 and Confluence v2 APIs at schema fidelity; rewards are computed entirely from the tool-call trace, with no live API, no learned judge, and no human label in the loop. Scoring prompted Qwen3-1.7B and Qwen3.5-4B on the same checkers that drive GRPO training, we find that on the four scenarios whose rewards are non-degenerate the RL-trained policy lifts average reward from a 4B-baseline range of 0.35--0.92 to 0.95--1.00, with the largest single gain on Confluence page creation (0.351.000.35 \rightarrow 1.00). We position this as a preliminary step toward outcome-optimised small models for niche enterprise APIs, and foreground two limitations a workshop reader should weigh: hand-crafting verifiable rewards does not scale beyond the handful of endpoints reported here, and one of our five scenarios (ticket-transition) has a saturating reward shape that the prompted 4B already maxes out.
Karthikeya Aditya Vissa, Sankalp Mane, Ananya Mantravadi +2
Jun 30, 2026cs.CV

Generative Lane Topology Reasoning via Autoregressive Model with Geometry Prior

Lane topology reasoning aims to construct a lane graph from onboard sensor observations. Existing methods follow a detection and association paradigm that treats each lane instance independently, leading to geometric inconsistency at connected endpoints and incomplete graphs due to visual occlusions. To address these issues, we propose TopoGPT, a generative framework that learns the geometry prior from typical lane graph structures through autoregressive sequence modeling. Specifically, we construct a large-scale map dataset comprising 3.3M scenes. For each lane graph, a lane tokenizer serializes it into discrete tokens, while a scene context encoder converts it into a rasterized image and extracts global features as scene tokens. We pre-train an autoregressive lane sequence transformer via scene-conditioned next-token prediction, endowing the model with the geometry prior over lane graph structures. Building upon this prior, a perception adapter aligns BEV features from multi-view images with the pre-trained scene condition, transferring the learned geometry prior to sensor-based lane graph prediction. On the OpenLane-V2 benchmark, TopoGPT outperforms existing methods by an average of +6.4 on lane-level and +11.6 on point-level metrics, and produces geometrically consistent and structurally complete lane graphs.
Jiahui Fu, Zehao Huang, Han Li +2
Jun 28, 2026cs.LG

How Token Influence Decays with Distance: A Green-Function View of Trained Language Models

We study how the next-token prediction of an autoregressive Transformer language model changes under small perturbations of earlier input token embeddings. Motivated by operator learning and iterative solvers for differential equations, we investigate how the influence of one token on another decays with distance in a trained model. In multilevel methods for differential equations, such as domain decomposition, multigrid, and multilevel preconditioning, one often exploits a separation between strong local interactions and weaker but essential global interactions. The latter correspond to the long tail of the Green's function and are typically handled by a coarse-level operator. Inspired by this perspective, we compute an empirical, distance-resolved gradient profile of token dependencies using autograd. Experiments on trained Pythia models and Qwen2.5-0.5B show that, over the measured distance range, the median Jacobian sensitivity is much better described by a power-law-type decay than by an exponential alternative: the diagonal-normalized profile is well described by G(r)γ+β(r+1)p\overline G(r) \approx γ+β(r+1)^{-p} with exponents p0.7p \approx 0.7--0.90.9 (typically 0.80.8--0.90.9). This behavior appears on coherent text from Gutenberg and WikiText-103. Token-shuffling experiments show that the power-law profile persists even when syntax and prediction quality collapse, whereas randomly initialized models do not exhibit it. The slowly decaying long-range sensitivity thus appears to be a learned property of trained autoregressive Transformer operators. These findings suggest that hierarchical or coarse-level mechanisms in language models may be able to exploit the long-tailed sensitivity profiles.
Matthias Brändel, Stephan Köhler, Oliver Rheinbach
Jun 25, 2026cs.CL

EntMTP: Accelerating LLM Inference with Entropy Guided Multi Token Prediction

Multi-token prediction has been shown to increase data density during training, improve downstream text-generation quality, and serves as the defacto approach for self-speculative decoding. Existing foundation and open source models that use MTP heads commit to a static tree-based attention topology throughout the entire generation sequence, meaning the speculation depth, and thus the compute required during verification, stays constant regardless of the context. This is fundamentally misaligned with the entropy patterns of natural language where low-entropy regions often support reliable multi-step drafting, while high-entropy regions require more conservative speculation. To address this, we propose Entropy-guided Multi-Token Prediction (EntMTP), a training-free scheduler that toggles between tree-based attention topologies from a set of task-specific pareto-optimal trees conditioned on a running estimate of local generation entropy. By matching speculation depth to context predictability, EntMTP maximizes expected accepted-token throughput across the full distribution of generated text without sacrificing generation quality. When evaluated across Humaneval, ShareGPT, GSM8k, and Litbench benchmarks, EntMTP consistently achieves a 1.15x speedup against Hydra and peak speedup of 1.36x against Medusa baselines respectively.
Carrie Chen
Jun 25, 2026cs.LG

Structure Before Collapse: Transient semantic geometry in next-token prediction

Neural Collapse predicts that balanced one-hot classification pushes model representations to be equally far from each other; a symmetric configuration that depends only on the output label and ignores any semantic similarity in the inputs. This creates a puzzle: next-token prediction language models are trained predominantly (as context length increases) with one-hot labels: the same context is very unlikely to appear twice in training with different labels. However, they clearly learn latent structural features. That is, despite the one-hot training regime, a language model's contextual embeddings represent the fact that the next word in ''Mary broke the ___'' is likely to be filled by tokens in the latent classes of a) medium-sized, b) rigid, c) inanimate nouns. How does gradient descent find such categorical semantic structure when co-occurrence statistics collapse to one-hot sparsity, eliminating any shared next-tokens among different contexts? To investigate this tension we identify three synthetic controlled settings where inputs have latent semantic factors but are mapped to distinct one-hot labels. We find that semantic geometry emerges early in training, and that representations cluster by shared attributes despite receiving no explicit supervision to do so. This structure is transient: with sufficient capacity and time, the model eventually reaches the predicted symmetric state where all representations are equally separated. We study this phase transition through Gram matrix analysis and propose a preliminary modification to the commonly used unconstrained features model to capture the emergent semantic geometry.
Yize Zhao, Isabel Papadimitriou, Christos Thrampoulidis
Jun 25, 2026cs.LG

HyperDFlash: Hyper-Connection-Aligned Block Speculative Decoding with Gated Residual Reduction

We present HyperDFlash, a block-parallel speculative decoding framework tailored to DeepSeek-V4's Hyper-Connections (HC). Despite the strong performance of DeepSeek-V4's native Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) module on initial token drafting, its draft accuracy degrades sharply at later positions, as error accumulation from unverified intermediate tokens harms draft acceptance rates. Although the original DFlash method supports efficient one-pass block drafting, it cannot be seamlessly adapted to the HC paradigm, since DeepSeek-V4's multi-path residual stream induces inherent feature misalignment with conventional drafting designs. To resolve this architectural mismatch, we propose two dedicated, model-aligned optimizations for HC residual streams. First, we adopt pre-collapse residual states as the exclusive conditioning signal, preserving complete multi-path structural information and better aligning the drafter with the target's native prediction pathway. Second, we replace the heavy generic linear compressor with a lightweight gated residual reducer, whose parameters are directly inherited from the target model's built-in hc_head module. This design yields input-aware path aggregation with three orders of magnitude fewer parameters while maintaining precise architectural alignment. We further enhance model training via a targeted KL distillation loss applied to the LM-head, regularizing predictions against the target distribution to improve early draft quality. Extensive experiments across math reasoning, code synthesis, and conversational benchmarks demonstrate that HyperDFlash consistently outperforms both the native MTP baseline and vanilla DFlash adaptation, achieving substantial gains in average accepted draft length and decoding speedup. These results validate HC alignment, gated reduction, and targeted distillation for high-performance speculative decoding.
Luxi Lin, Shuang Peng, Rui Ma +7
Jun 23, 2026cs.CV

P-MTP: Efficient Document Parsing via Multi-Token Prediction with Progressive Depth Scaling

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have revolutionized document parsing by enabling end-to-end mapping from images to structured text, imposing a significant latency bottleneck, particularly for token-dense documents. While Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) has emerged as a promising approach for accelerating inference, its potential is constrained by optimization instability when scaling to deeper look-ahead depth. In this paper, we propose \textbf{P-MTP}, a framework that leverages \textbf{Progressive Multi-Token Prediction} with a lightweight MTP module to scale the look-ahead depth for high-throughput document parsing. Specifically, we introduce Progressive Curriculum Loss that adaptively re-weights different look-ahead depths using cumulative path reliability and retrospective target consistency. By effectively suppressing gradient noise in long-range predictions, P-MTP, facilitates an automated easy-to-hard optimization transition, enabling the model to master increasingly distant look-ahead depths. Furthermore, we propose Confidence-Gated Dynamic Drafting to maximize the effective look-ahead depth and acceptance rate by adaptively calibrating speculative length during inference, thereby minimizing computational waste and further pushing the boundaries of inference speedup. Experimental results across multiple benchmarks and architectures demonstrate that P-MTP, achieves up to a 5×5\times speedup with negligible loss in accuracy, providing the first successful validation of extensive look-ahead MTP in the document parsing domain.
Le Xiang, Chenxi Zhai, Shu Wei +5
Jun 22, 2026cs.CV

Data Provenance for Image Auto-Regressive Generation

Image autoregressive models (IARs) have recently demonstrated remarkable capabilities in visual content generation, achieving photorealistic quality and rapid synthesis through the next-token prediction paradigm adapted from large language models. As these models become widely accessible, robust data provenance is required to reliably trace IAR-generated images to the source model that synthesized them. This is critical to prevent the spread of misinformation, detect fraud, and attribute harmful content. We find that although IAR-generated images often appear visually identical to real images, their generation process introduces characteristic patterns in their outputs, which serves as a reliable provenance signal for the generated images. Leveraging this, we present a post-hoc framework that enables the robust detection of such patterns for provenance tracing. Notably, our framework does not require modifications of the generative process or outputs. Thereby, it is applicable in contexts where prior watermarking methods cannot be used, such as for generated content that is already published without additional marks and for models that do not integrate watermarking. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach across a wide range of IARs, highlighting its high potential for robust data provenance tracing in autoregressive image generation.
Bihe Zhao, Louis Kerner, Michel Meintz +3
Jun 20, 2026cs.CL

Deeper is Not Always Better: Mitigating the Alignment Tax via Confident Layer Decoding

Autoregressive generation in large language models (LLMs) conventionally decodes from the final layer, assuming that deeper representations yield more reliable next-token predictions. We revisit this assumption by revealing a recurring Guess-Refine-Perturb dynamic: early layers form coarse guesses, intermediate layers refine reasoning-relevant semantics, and final layers can perturb these refined predictions toward generic or alignment-preferred tokens. We introduce Confident Decoding, a training-free decoding strategy that dynamically selects the most reliable near-final layer through entropy-guided conservative backward search. We further provide a theoretical formulation of layer selection as an optimal stopping problem, showing that under bounded projection noise and dominant late-stage alignment perturbation, our search rule filters perturbation while bounding the loss relative to the oracle refinement layer. Experiments across dense and Mixture-of-Experts LLMs demonstrate consistent gains on challenging reasoning benchmarks, including GPQA-Diamond, Omni-MATH, and HLE, with zero memory overhead and less than 2% latency increase. These results suggest dynamically bypassing final-layer perturbations can unlock stronger reasoning behavior from aligned LLMs.
Xuanming Zhang, Sining Zhoubian, Yuxuan Chen +8
Jun 19, 2026cs.CL

Test-Time Training with Next-Token Prediction

Next-token prediction is the self-supervised signal that trains language models, and every observed prompt token provides the same signal at test time. We study whether this signal can define the inner-loop objective for test-time training (TTT) in pretrained long-context language models. Many TTT architectures require models to be trained with test-time adaptation in mind, limiting their direct applicability to released LLM checkpoints. While recent in-place TTT methods make fast-weight adaptation possible for pretrained LLMs without redesigning the backbone, they leave a central question unresolved: what should each test-time write store? Existing recipes train the fast weight to match a learned local value proxy but they are not directly tied to the self-supervised next-token prediction signal. We introduce Test-Time Training with Next-Token Prediction (TTT-NTP), a drop-in fast-weight adaptation method for pretrained LLMs that instead supervises updates using the model's own next contextual hidden state. This makes each local write follow the same causal computation that supports next-token prediction: the value target is a pointwise linear projection of a single next-position contextual state. On RULER Full-13, averaged over 4k to 32k contexts, TTT-NTP is the only method that consistently improves the released backbone across four models spanning three families and a 0.6-8B size range, by 3.9 points on Llama-3.1-8B, 3.0 on Mistral-7B-v0.3, 4.1 on Qwen3-4B, and 2.9 on Qwen3-0.6B. On the real-world LongBench-v2 long-document QA benchmark, TTT-NTP improves over the base model by 5.6 points on Llama-3.1-8B and 3.7 on Mistral-7B-v0.3, while preserving commonsense and knowledge performance. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/yancyou/TTT-NTP.
Xuan Ouyang, Zefan Cai, Junjie Hu
Jun 12, 2026cs.CL

Simplifying the Modeling of Arbitrary Conditionals in Natural Language

Causal Transformers model sequences through an autoregressive factorization of the joint distribution, which enables efficient left-to-right decoding and conditional likelihood computation. However, they cannot tractably sample from or evaluate arbitrary conditionals -- e.g., a block of text conditioned on past and future tokens. Recent work aims to solve this problem through novel architectures, but they often lead to sub-optimal modeling of such conditionals and degraded generations. We propose Arbitrary Conditionals GPT (AC-GPT) which introduces a simple modification to standard causal Transformers to enable evaluating and sampling from arbitrary conditionals -- including past, future, and mixed contexts -- within a single forward pass. Unlike prior approaches, our method preserves the standard left-to-right ordering and next-token prediction objective essential for both strong performance and efficient training on natural language. Crucially, this compatibility allows existing LLMs to be fine-tuned for arbitrary conditioning. Our empirical results indicate that our method outperforms baselines on modeling arbitrary conditionals, without degrading standard left-to-right performance.
Yinhan Lu, Eric Elmoznino, Léo Gagnon +3
Jun 10, 2026cs.LG

Breaking Entropy Bounds: Accelerating RL Training via MTP with Rejection Sampling

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a key component in modern large language models, yet the rollout stage remains the key bottleneck in RL training pipelines. Although Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) offers a natural solution to accelerate rollouts through speculative decoding, many studies have observed that MTP acceptance rates degrade significantly during RL training, leading to limited speedup performance. To address this bottleneck, we present Bebop, a systematic study of MTP in LLM post-training, and offer practical recipes to integrate MTP into large-scale RL pipelines. First, we reveal that the MTP acceptance rate is fundamentally bounded by the fluctuation of model entropy, which demonstrates a clear negative linear relationship with the rise of entropy in the RL stage. Second, we show that probabilistic rejection sampling largely alleviates the disturbance introduced by entropy in RL compared to greedy draft sampling. We further identify that the conventional MTP training objectives (cross-entropy or KL) are suboptimal in such settings, and therefore we propose a novel end-to-end TV loss that directly optimizes multi-step rejection sampling acceptance rate, yielding ~10% acceptance rate improvements, achieving up to 95% acceptance rates and up to 25% extra inference throughput gains across mathematical reasoning, code generation, and agentic tasks. Third, we test various online MTP training strategies during RL and show that pre-RL MTP training with e2e TV loss and rejection sampling achieves a consistent acceptance rate and speedup throughout the entire RL, eliminating the need for costly online MTP updating. We provide extensive experiments and analysis that validate our findings. Experimental results show our method achieves up to 1.8x end-to-end acceleration in async RL training of Qwen3.5, Qwen3.6, and Qwen3.7 models.
Yucheng Li, Huiqiang Jiang, Yang Xu +14
Jun 10, 2026cs.CL

Can News Predict the Market? Limits of Zero-Shot Financial NLP and the Role of Explainable AI

Can financial news reliably predict short-term stock movements? Despite advances in large language models, this question remains unresolved. We revisit this problem using a zero-shot natural language processing framework, investigating whether models can extract actionable signals from financial news without domain-specific training. We design a structured pipeline that combines zero-shot natural language inference with temporal aggregation, explicitly modelling recency and event-dependent impact horizons when integrating information across articles. To address the need for transparency in high-stakes settings, we introduce a multi-layered explainability framework that links predictions to token-level, article-level, and aggregate evidence, and produces grounded natural language rationales. Across multiple models and prediction horizons, we find that zero-shot approaches consistently fail to outperform simple baselines, with particularly weak performance on negative movements, suggesting deeper structural limitations in mapping news sentiment to short-term price dynamics. However, explainability signals reliably distinguish between trustworthy and unreliable predictions, offering practical value even when accuracy is limited. These findings highlight the limits of zero-shot financial NLP and motivate a shift toward decision-support systems that prioritise transparency and uncertainty awareness. Code: https://github.com/alimert05/zero-shot-stock-xai
Ali M Karaoglu, Shreyank N Gowda
Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

CLP: Collocation-Length Prediction for Zero-Loss Adaptive Multi-Token Inference

Large language model inference is bottlenecked by autoregressive decoding, where each token requires a full forward pass. Multi-token prediction (MTP) offers a promising acceleration path, but existing approaches suffer from a fundamental architectural flaw: the MTP head for the first token competes with the backbone's own language model (LM) head, leading to severe quality degradation when predictions are accepted. We identify this head-backbone competition as the root cause of repetitive and incoherent outputs in prior MTP-based acceleration methods. To address this, we propose Backbone-as-Architect, a design principle where the backbone LM head always generates the first token, and MTP heads are responsible only for subsequent tokens. Building on this principle, we introduce CLP (Collocation-Length Predictor), a lightweight span-level decision layer that predicts how many additional tokens can be safely accepted at each decoding step. CLP uses only a single linear layer (4.6K--7.7K parameters), replacing the over-engineered 1M-parameter gate networks used in prior work. Experiments on Qwen2.5 models (0.5B, 1.5B, 7B) show that CLP achieves 1.20x--1.29x speedup on 1.5B and 1.14x--1.20x on 7B, with zero quality degradation (repetition ratio < 0.02), while gate-based approaches fail to accelerate (1.07x) or produce severely degraded outputs (repetition ratio > 0.5%). We further demonstrate that shorter prediction horizons (k=2) recover 24% higher MTP head accuracy on large models, establishing a scaling-aware design principle. We identify MTP head prediction accuracy as the binding constraint on acceleration and establish a clear roadmap for future improvements.
Xuezhen Xie, Zhiqiang Zhou
Jun 8, 2026cs.AI

Next-Token Prediction Learns Generalisable Representations of Sleep Physiology

Foundation models offer a promising route to compress multi-modal physiological signals into compact representations of human health, with broad applications across sleep medicine, cardiology, neurology and other healthcare domains. Existing models have typically been trained with masked-reconstruction or contrastive objectives. However, masked reconstruction may be poorly suited to the stochastic nature of these signals, while contrastive approaches rely on positive-pair definitions despite the semantic invariances of physiological signals being poorly understood. In this work, we show that next-token prediction is a simple and scalable alternative. We develop Hypnos, a multi-modal sleep foundation model trained using eight different sensing modalities (e.g. EEG, ECG, respiratory signals) drawn from over 20,000 overnight polysomnography recordings. We tokenize each modality into streams of discrete tokens using residual vector quantization, then train a large auto-regressive RQ-Transformer to jointly predict the next token across all modalities in parallel. After training, Hypnos can be applied to continuous streams of sensor data from any subset of supported modalities, generating embeddings for downstream tasks. Across a range of benchmarks, Hypnos significantly outperforms existing foundation models. In sleep stage classification, we match the performance of strong supervised baselines on held-out test sets whilst using 100×100\times less labelled data. Hypnos even generalises to daytime physiology, surpassing a dedicated ECG foundation model at detecting atrial fibrillation. Our results demonstrate that next-token prediction is a strong self-supervised objective for representation learning from multi-modal physiological signals.
Jonathan F. Carter, Lionel Tarassenko
Jun 8, 2026eess.AS

FlashTTS: Fast Streaming TTS with MTP Acceleration and X-pred Mean Flow Distillation

Recent progress in speech dialogue systems requires Text-to-Speech (TTS) models to be faster and more responsive. Modern speech dialogue systems impose two primary requirements on TTS models: low latency and support for streaming inputs and outputs. However, most existing single-codebook LLM-based TTS methods rely on multi-stage pipelines that lack native streaming capabilities. These systems typically suffer from high end-to-end latency due to slow autoregressive prediction and multi-step flow matching. To address these limitations, we propose FlashTTS, an open-source and low-latency streaming TTS framework. FlashTTS introduces a lagged multi-track architecture that natively processes streaming text and speech inputs, thereby eliminating the need for sentence-level buffering. To accelerate acoustic generation, we integrate parallel Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) with an X-pred mean flow matching decoder. This configuration achieves high-fidelity token-to-mel generation in exactly two function evaluations (2-NFE). By jointly optimizing input processing and decoding efficiency, FlashTTS offers a practical foundation for real-time speech dialogue systems. Experiments show that FlashTTS substantially reduces First-Packet Latency to 325ms compared to robust streaming baselines, all while preserving strong zero-shot voice cloning and cross-lingual intelligibility. Speech samples are available. The model code and checkpoints will be released as open source.
Hanke Xie, Xiaming Ren, Dake Guo +10
Jun 4, 2026cs.CL

Rethinking LoRA Memory Through the Lens of KV Cache Compression

Parametric retrieval augmentation encodes document information into lightweight, document-specific modules such as LoRA adapters, reducing the need to include all evidence as input context. However, it remains unclear how this parameter-side memory interacts with context-side memory stored in the KV cache. We study this interaction in document-level question answering by progressively evicting document key-value states and measuring when a document LoRA contributes beyond the retained context. We find that document LoRA adds little when the KV cache is largely intact, but becomes increasingly useful under aggressive compression, recovering 13-21 ROUGE-L points when no document context remains. The gain is largest when the base model encodes the document, and the adapter is applied only during answer generation, suggesting that document LoRA is better understood as decoding-time parametric memory than as a document encoder. Finally, QA-style supervision produces substantially stronger adapters than raw-context next-token-prediction. These results position document LoRA as a complementary memory channel whose value emerges precisely when context-side evidence is scarce.
Chunsheng Zuo, Liaoyaqi Wang, William Jurayj +2
Jun 2, 2026cs.CL

Knowledge Editing for Masked Diffusion Language Models

Knowledge editing aims to update or correct factual knowledge in a language model. A widely used approach, locate-then-edit, first localizes a fact within the model and then edits the weights there. To date, such methods have been developed exclusively for autoregressive models (ARMs). Whether they work for masked diffusion models (MDMs), which model text bidirectionally and generate by iterative denoising rather than next-token prediction, remains an open question. We address it by transferring locate-then-edit to MDMs and comparing multiple MDMs with their matched ARMs. Our central finding has two parts. First, where an edit should be applied transfers between them: the same early-to-mid-layer MLP at the last subject token is most effective for both. Second, this shared location does not guarantee a shared outcome. Single-token edits succeed in both, but as targets grow longer, editing degrades far more sharply in the MDMs than in the ARMs. The failure stems from how the edited fact is generated: producing a multi-token target passes through intermediate states in which the target is partially unmasked, for which the edit was never optimized. Guided by this diagnosis, we introduce a simple correction that optimizes the edit including such states, substantially restoring multi-token performance. Our code is available at https://github.com/holi-lab/MDM-KE.
Haewon Park, Yohan Jo
Jun 2, 2026cs.RO

MAGNIFIED: RL Fine-tuning of Multimodal Large Language Models for Motion Planning

Multi-modal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in semantic understanding and common sense reasoning, making them promising candidates for solving planning problems in autonomous driving. However, the next-token text prediction objectives traditionally used in pre-training and supervised fine-tuning (SFT) of MLLMs may fall short of fulfilling the planning objectives for autonomous vehicles. The next-token prediction objective merely encourages per-token imitation in text, often irrespective of multi-step consequences and the alignment with crucial planning considerations such as giving space to other road actors. To overcome these limitations, we propose a reinforcement learning fine-tuning (RLFT) approach, MAGNIFIED, that aligns the MLLM-based driving agent with planning objectives by learning from token-level rewards. By mapping a sequence of predicted tokens to corresponding vehicle trajectories and learning from planning rewards, MAGNIFIED optimizes for the true planning objectives rather than focusing solely on token prediction accuracy, enabling the model to refine its understanding of the planning task beyond simple imitation. We validate our approach on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset with a novel setup incorporating rasterized birds-eye views and tokenized trajectories as inputs and planning-oriented outputs. An initial SFT phase establishes a strong baseline in outputting plan trajectories as sequences of X-Y coordinates in text, while subsequent RL fine-tuning substantially enhances planning performance relative to the SFT baseline (demonstrating over a 10.5% reduction in overlap rate and a 38.9% reduction in off-road rate), underscoring the potential of RLFT on MLLMs to achieve vehicle planning that is better aligned with compliant, comfortable, and efficient driving.
Letian Chen, Yiren Lu, Justin Fu +5
Jun 2, 2026cs.CL

Causal Evidence of Stack Representations in Modeling Counter Languages Using Transformers

Formal languages have proven to be effective conduits to understand the inner mechanisms of transformers. Past work has shown that transformers trained on next token prediction over counter languages learn representations consistent with an underlying stack structure. Beyond representational analysis, this paper investigates the causal role of these representations. Linear probes are trained to predict the stack depth at each token from the model's hidden states, and a principal representation direction is extracted from the probe. Ablation of this direction from the model causes sequential accuracy to collapse to near 0%, providing strong empirical evidence that the stack representation is not just learned, but is causally necessary for model performance.
Nishit Singh
May 31, 2026cs.LG

Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Models

While Next-Token Prediction (NTP) has unified LLM pretraining, its adaptation to unbounded, continuous time series (TS) remains open. To bridge the gap, we introduce UniTok, a universal tokenizer that transforms TS into discrete tokens, and UniTok-FM, a foundation model pretrained via NTP on these tokens. UniTok-FM is a general-purpose foundation model that supports zero-shot and prompt-boosted forecasting, as well as few-shot generation and classification via training-free in-context inference--a capability not achieved by prior works. Technically, UniTok is a vector-quantized autoencoder incorporating prefix normalization for scale stabilization, a progressive-resolution causal architecture for encoding and decoding, and a structure-preserving reconstruction loss for training. UniTok-FM adopts an off-the-shelf LLM architecture without TS-specific modifications. Instead of pretraining on isolated TS, it performs NTP on context windows formed by multiple series with similar patterns, aiming to capture their shared dynamics. Experiments on forecasting, generation, and classification show that a single unified UniTok-FM consistently outperforms statistical and supervised baselines, achieves competitive performance with task-specific foundation models, and uniquely enables training-free in-context inference across tasks.
Yunhao Zhang, Ruiying Qi, Jiale Zheng +3
May 29, 2026cs.LG

A Pre-Training Analogue of Grokking in Language Models: Tracing Delayed Grammatical Generalization

Grokking, the phenomenon in which neural networks generalize long after fitting their training data, has been studied in supervised settings on many epochs. LLM pre-training instead involves next-token prediction over an unlabeled corpus, with limited data repetition and no explicit train/validation split. To address this, we propose an exposure-based framework that enables the study of grokking-like dynamics during LLM pre-training. We ground our evaluation in BLiMP minimal pairs, which provide controlled grammatical contrasts. For every BLiMP minimal pair, we identify a critical phrase, the smallest continuous span that captures the grammatical contrast and the phenomenon-relevant context. Examples whose critical phrase appears in the pre-training window are assigned to the proxy-train split; the remaining examples are assigned to the proxy-validation split. Across five grammatical phenomena, we observe delayed generalization. Analyzing pre-training checkpoints before and after generalization shows that grammatical concept vectors become more predictive of grammatical acceptability and occupy a higher-dimensional subspace after generalization. We also find that attention from the critical token to the relevant context token is concentrated in a small number of heads.
Sherin Muckatira, Namrata Shivagunde, Vijeta Deshpande +1
May 29, 2026cs.CL

Speculative Pipeline Decoding: Higher-Accruacy and Zero-Bubble Speculation via Pipeline Parallelism

Speculative Decoding (SD) accelerates low-concurrency LLM inference by employing a draft-then-verify paradigm. However, mainstream methods typically rely on multi-token prediction, which introduces escalating prediction difficulty and serial drafting latency. To address these, we propose Speculative Pipeline Decoding (SPD), a groundbreaking framework that unlocks the true potential of pipeline parallelism. By partitioning the target LLM into nn pipeline stages, SPD allows LLM to process nn tokens within single sequence in parallel to accelerate decoding. To continuous fill the pipeline in single sequence decoding, a speculation module aggregates intermediate features across different pipeline depths to predict the next token, executing strictly in parallel with the target model's pipeline step, to realize bounded difficulty, higher acceptance rates, and zero latency bubbles. Our experiments demonstrate that SPD achieves significantly higher theoretical and wall-clock speedup compared to mainstream baselines at moderate pipeline depth, though more aggressive settings require further improvement. Our code is available at https://github.com/yuyijiong/speculative_pipeline_decoding
Yijiong Yu, Huazheng Wang, Shuai Yuan +2
May 28, 2026cs.LG

STAP: A Shuffle-Tokenized App Predictor with Ultra Long Context for Vocabulary-Free Mobile App Prediction

Predicting the next mobile application a user will launch is essential for intelligent device resource management and proactive assistance. Existing models rely on fixed app vocabularies, which prevents them from generalizing across different app ecosystems. Many also depend on user-specific knowledge, which complicates deployment in cold start scenarios. We propose STAP, a Transformer-based model that eliminates the need for a fixed vocabulary. STAP replaces true app identities with randomly reassigned virtual indices via a shuffle mechanism, and compensates for discarded semantic information by processing behavioral sequences with an ultra-long context design. A theoretical analysis shows that, given a sufficiently long context, the predicted distribution converges to the correct one despite the anonymity of the mapping. Experiments on two datasets from different continents demonstrate that STAP achieves strong cross-dataset zero-shot prediction accuracy -- a setting where all existing fixed-vocabulary methods are inherently inapplicable -- while its cold start performance within each dataset remains competitive with leading models. Furthermore, we introduce a deployment strategy that enables the model to retain a sufficiently long context during continuous inference while keeping latency within acceptable bounds.
Chengyu Fan, Hang Liu
May 27, 2026cs.LG

Joint Training of Multi-Token Prediction in Reinforcement Learning via Optimal Coefficient Calibration

Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as the standard paradigm for improving reasoning capability of large language models, while Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) has been a widely adopted module in pretraining. Combining them is a natural approach, yet current RL practices detach MTP gradients because joint training degrades the performance. We revisit this failure from an optimization perspective. We show that the per-step effect of MTP on the RL objective can be decomposed into two terms: a first-order correlation and a second-order perturbation penalty. This decomposition unifies three MTP training regimes: Detach, Cross-Entropy loss, and Policy loss, and explains why each succeeds or fails. Further analysis of policy loss reveals that, although it aligns with intuition, performance still degrades: the correlation term decays while the quadratic penalty persists. Guided by the analysis, we propose Optimal Coefficient Calibration (OCC), an adaptive scheme that tracks the optimal coefficient online via a log-probability proxy at negligible cost. Across six competition-level mathematical reasoning benchmarks, OCC consistently matches or exceeds the detach baseline, delivering improved joint MTP-RL training performance.
Zili Wang, Jiajun Chai, Lin Chen +3
May 26, 2026cs.CL

Pair-In, Pair-Out: Latent Multi-Token Prediction for Efficient LLMs

Long chain-of-thought reasoning has made autoregressive decoding the dominant inference cost of modern large language models. Existing methods target either the input side (latent compression) or the output side (speculative decoding and multi-token prediction, MTP), but the two lines of work have been pursued independently. Moreover, output-side methods must incur an expensive verifier pass to validate the unreliable draft tokens predicted by MTP. To address these issues, we propose \textbf{Pair-In, Pair-Out (PIPO)}, which unifies both sides by viewing a latent compressor and an MTP head as mirror-image operations: the compressor folds two input tokens into one latent representation, while the MTP head unfolds one hidden state into one additional output token. To remove the verifier cost without sacrificing reliability, PIPO trains a lightweight confidence head that decides whether draft tokens should be accepted. We observe that On-Policy Distillation (OPD) naturally matches the rejection-sampling criterion of speculative decoding, so the confidence head can be trained alongside OPD with negligible extra cost. Experiments on AIME 2025, GPQA-Diamond, LiveCodeBench v6, and LongBench v2 with Qwen3.5-4B and 9B backbones show that PIPO improves pass@4 over regular decoding by up to +7.15+7.15 points, while delivering up to 2.64×2.64\times first-token-latency and 2.07×2.07\times per-token-latency speedups. Project Page: GitHub.com/RedAI-Infra/PIPO.
Wenhui Tan, Minghao Li, Xiaoqian Ma +5
May 24, 2026cs.CL

Mimir: Large-scale Multilingual Concept Modeling

Current language modeling approaches are built around tokens. Text corpora are split into tokens, and models are trained by performing computations on these tokens, such as predicting the next token given the preceding ones as context. This paradigm has become the standard in modern language modeling, especially given the outstanding performance obtained by token-based architectures. However, recent works have not only begun to question how language models process and understand meaning from tokens, but also to question whether using higher levels of granularity could advance the research field. This led to the idea of Concept Modeling, that is, to directly train models for next-concept prediction rather than next-token prediction. In this work, we introduce Mimir, a 1.6B Large Concept Model trained for multilingual concept understanding and generation. We leverage a large-scale multilingual pre-training corpus (38,883,987,240 sentences) spanning 46 languages and a large-scale multi-turn, and multilingual instruction-tuning dataset (66,816,428 sentences) covering a total of 35 languages. We extensively evaluate model performance against a language model with a comparable number of parameters.
Elio Musacchio, Lucia Siciliani, Pierpaolo Basile
May 24, 2026cs.CL

NITP: Next Implicit Token Prediction for LLM Pre-training

Standard next-token prediction (NTP) supervises language models solely through discrete labels in the output logit space. We argue that this sparse one-hot supervision leaves the latent representation space under-constrained, allowing hidden states to drift into degenerate and anisotropic configurations that can limit generalization. To address this issue, we propose Next Implicit Token Prediction (NITP), which augments discrete prediction with dense continuous supervision directly in the representation space. NITP trains the model to predict the implicit semantic content of the next token, using shallow-layer representations from the same model as stable self-supervised targets. We provide theoretical analysis showing that NITP regularizes the optimization landscape by mitigating under-constrained degrees of freedom and encouraging a compact, structured representation geometry. Empirically, across dense and MoE models ranging from 0.5B to 9B parameters, NITP consistently improves downstream performance with negligible computational overhead. On a 9B MoE model, NITP achieves a 5.7% absolute improvement on MMLU-Pro, along with gains of 6.4% on C3 and 4.3% on CommonsenseQA, with approximately 2% additional training FLOPs and no additional inference cost. Our implementation is available at https://github.com/aHapBean/NITP.
Xiangdong Zhang, Debing Zhang, Shaofeng Zhang +3
May 22, 2026cs.CL

When Is Next-Token Prediction Useful? Marginalization, Ergodicity, Mixture Identifiability, Local Sufficiency, RAG, Tools, and Programming

Language models trained on observed sequences are often described as learning the conditional distribution of the next token given previous tokens. This description is only conditionally correct. A model trained on realized token trajectories does not observe full conditional laws; it receives sampled continuations. Moreover, real language generation is conditioned not only on previous words but also on non-textual circumstances: facts, events, intentions, goals, beliefs, social context, and task-specific constraints. This paper distinguishes three objects that are often conflated: the full conditional language process conditioned on latent circumstances, the marginal text-only process obtained by integrating those circumstances out, and the model-induced distribution learned from finite observed corpora. The paper argues that interpreting model training as estimating the marginal text-only law requires strong assumptions of stationarity, representativeness, and ergodicity, assumptions that are standard in statistical estimation but problematic when applied to heterogeneous language corpora. Even if these assumptions hold, the marginal text-only law is useful only when the observed prefix is an approximately sufficient statistic for the latent circumstances relevant to continuation. In information-theoretic terms, usefulness requires that the residual conditional mutual information between the next token and the omitted circumstances, given the observed text, be small. The paper then extends this argument to heterogeneous training corpora. Finally, the paper interprets Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG) and tool use as conditional sufficiency devices.
Francesco Corielli
May 14, 2026cs.CL

Factorization-Error-Free Discrete Diffusion Language Model via Speculative Decoding

Discrete diffusion language models improve generation efficiency through parallel token prediction, but standard X0X_0 prediction methods introduce factorization errors by approximating the clean token posterior with independent token-wise distributions. This paper proposes Factorization-Error-Free Discrete Diffusion Language Modeling (FeF-DLLM), which replaces independent clean-token prediction with an exact prefix-conditioned factorization of the clean posterior to better preserve token dependencies. To reduce the sequential cost introduced by prefix conditioning, FeF-DLLM further incorporates speculative decoding within diffusion denoising, accelerating inference while maintaining the parallel prediction and re-masking properties of DLLMs. Theoretically, we prove that FeF-DLLM generates from the true joint distribution and derive its expected acceleration ratio. Experiments on GSM8K, MATH, HumanEval, and MBPP demonstrate that our method improves accuracy by an average of 5.04 percentage points while achieving an average inference speedup of 3.86×3.86\times.
Xun Fang, Yunchen Li, Hang Yuan +1
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Self-Pruned Key-Value Attention: Learning When to Write by Predicting Future Utility

Under modern test-time compute and agentic paradigms, language models process ever-longer sequences. Efficient text generation with transformer architectures is increasingly constrained by the Key-Value cache memory footprint and bandwidth. To address this limitation, we introduce Self-Pruned Key-Value Attention (SP-KV), a mechanism designed to predict future KV utility in order to reduce the size of the long-term KV cache. This strategy operates at a fine granularity: a lightweight utility predictor scores each key-value pair, and while recent KVs are always available via a local window, older pairs are written in the cache and used in global attention only if their predicted utility surpasses a given threshold. The LLM and the utility predictor are trained jointly end-to-end exclusively through next-token prediction loss, and are adapted from pretrained LLM checkpoints. Rather than enforcing a fixed compression ratio, SP-KV performs dynamic sparsification: the mechanism adapts to the input and typically reduces the KV cache size by a factor of 33 to 10×10\times, longer sequences often being more compressible. This leads to vast improvements in memory usage and decoding speed, with little to no degradation of validation loss nor performance on a broad set of downstream tasks. Beyond serving as an effective KV-cache reduction mechanism, our method reveals structured layer- and head-specific sparsity patterns that we can use to guide the design of hybrid local-global attention architectures.
Gergely Szilvasy, Manuel Faysse, Maria Lomeli +5
May 13, 2026cs.AI

Conditional Attribute Estimation with Autoregressive Sequence Models

Generative models are often trained with a next-token prediction objective, yet many downstream applications require the ability to estimate or control sequence-level properties. Next-token prediction can lead to overfitting of local patterns during training, underfitting of global structure, and requires significant downstream modifications or expensive sampling to guide or predict the global attributes of generated samples at inference time. Here, we introduce Conditional Attribute Transformers, a novel method for jointly estimating the next-token probability and the value of an attribute conditional on each potential next token selection. This framework enables three critical capabilities within a single forward pass, without modification of the input sequence: (1) per-token credit assignment across an entire sequence, by identifying how each token in a sequence is associated with an attribute's value; (2) counterfactual analysis, by quantifying attribute differences conditional on alternative next token choices; (3) steerable generation, by decoding sequences based on a combination of next-token and attribute likelihoods. Our approach achieves state of the art performance on sparse reward tasks, improves next-token prediction at sufficient model sizes, estimates attribute probabilities orders of magnitude faster than sampling, and can guide decoding of autoregressive sequence models on a range of language tasks.
Erica Stutz, Giacomo Marino, Daniella Meeker +2
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Multi-Token Residual Prediction

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) generate text by iteratively denoising masked token sequences, offering a tradeoff between parallelism and quality compared to autoregressive models. In current practice, the number of tokens decoded per step is controlled by a confidence threshold, and quality degrades monotonically as more tokens are denoised per step. We introduce Multi-token Residual Prediction (MRP), a lightweight module that enables dependency-aware multi-token denoising within a single backbone forward pass. MRP exploits a key property of the denoising process: the logit distributions at adjacent denoising steps are remarkably similar. Rather than running the backbone a second time to obtain the next-step logits, MRP predicts the residual between steps from the backbone's hidden states, effectively denoising more tokens per backbone forward at a fraction of the cost. We apply MRP across the two operating regimes of DLM decoding. In the high-quality-low-throughput static denoising regime, MRP serves as a drafter for speculative decoding: its proposals are verified against the backbone, yielding lossless acceleration of up to 1.4x in SGLang. In the low-quality-high-throughput dynamic denoising regime, MRP instead drives a remasking scheme that revokes over-eager reveals, recovering most of the accuracy lost to aggressive low-threshold decoding and improving accuracy by up to 22.6 points on code generation task HumanEval and 17.7 points on reasoning task GSM8K.
Yufeng Xu, Zishuo Bao, Qian Wang +6
May 12, 2026cs.CL

From Token to Token Pair: Efficient Prompt Compression for Large Language Models in Clinical Prediction

By processing electronic health records (EHRs) as natural language sequences, large language models (LLMs) have shown potential in clinical prediction tasks such as mortality prediction and phenotyping. However, longitudinal or highly frequent EHRs often yield excessively long token sequences that result in high computational costs and even reduced performance. Existing solutions either add modules for compression or remove less important tokens, which introduce additional inference latency or risk losing clinical information. To achieve lossless compression of token sequences without additional cost or loss of performance, we propose Medical Token-Pair Encoding (MedTPE), a layered method that extends standard tokenisation for EHR sequences. MedTPE merges frequently co-occurring medical token pairs into composite tokens, providing lossless compression while preserving the computational complexity through a dependency-aware replacement strategy. Only the embeddings of the newly introduced tokens of merely 0.5-1.0% of the LLM's parameters are fine-tuned via self-supervised learning. Experiments on real-world datasets for two clinical scenarios demonstrate that MedTPE reduces input token length by up to 31% and inference latency by 34-63%, while maintaining or even improving both predictive performance and output format compliance across multiple LLMs and four clinical prediction tasks. Furthermore, MedTPE demonstrates robustness across different input context lengths and generalisability to scientific and financial domains and different languages.
Mingcheng Zhu, Zhiyao Luo, Yu Liu +1
May 11, 2026cs.LG

Likelihood scoring for continuations of mathematical text: a self-supervised benchmark with tests for shortcut vulnerabilities

We introduce an automatically generated benchmark for predicting hidden text in technical papers. A paper supplies visible context XX and a hidden continuation YY; the evaluated model writes an auxiliary forecast string ZZ, and a separate scorer assigns next-token probability to YY both with and without conditioning on ZZ. This gives a label-free test of whether ZZ transmits information about the continuation, compared against controls where ZZ is recent context rather than a forecast. Our main testbed is equation-suffix prediction: the predictor sees context and the first part of a displayed equation, then forecasts the rest. The task mixes surface-level arXiv/TeX text modeling with reasoning-sensitive inference; the suffix is one of many roughly equivalent continuations, so the benchmark is read statistically rather than item-by-item. On 1363 equation continuations from 138 recent physics and mathematics papers, forecasts from GPT-5.5, Opus 4.7, and GPT-5.4 nano all improve clipped likelihood over the context control under both Qwen3-8B and Kimi K2.6 scorers, distinguishing model families and reasoning-effort settings without human labels. To emulate shortcuts where ZZ further primes the scorer rather than making a useful forecast, we also fine-tune the scorer on context-only prompts and apply it to held-out papers as a stronger control. GPT-5.5 forecasts still beat this fine-tuned control; GPT-5.4 nano forecasts do not. Longer prose/TeX continuations show positive but noisier lift over controls, concentrated near the beginning of the target. These results support cross-model likelihood scoring as a static benchmark and as a setup for probing shortcut vulnerabilities before reinforcement learning or model-selection optimization is applied.
Daniel Ranard