Overview

Process mining studies how recorded activities reveal the actual paths people and systems take through workflows, helping organizations find bottlenecks, check rules, and anticipate outcomes. Discovery methods build process models such as Petri nets from event logs, while conformance checking compares observed behavior with models or guidelines. Predictive approaches use sequence models, graphs, and probabilistic methods to forecast next activities, durations, or risks; newer work also uses object-centric data and language models to extract or explain processes. A central challenge is balancing accurate, useful models with incomplete or noisy logs, especially when case-based representations hide concurrency and rare but important behavior.

Latest papers

45 papers3 papers in the last four weeks, down 75% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

Jun 8, 2026

LLM-Orchestrated Conformance Checking in Stroke Care Without Computer-Interpretable Guidelines

Objective: Conformance checking in healthcare seeks to assess whether patient care pathways adhere to clinical guidelines. However, its practical application often depends on the availability of formal, machine-interpretable representations of guidelines, such as Computer-Interpretable Guidelines (CIGs), which are seldom available in real-world clinical settings. Methods: This work introduces a modular framework based on the orchestration of Large Language Models (LLMs) to support medical conformance checking directly from unstructured clinical and guideline texts, without requiring predefined CIGs. The proposed architecture integrates multiple LLMs and supporting components to extract patient traces from clinical discharge letters, identify normative rules from textual clinical guidelines, translate these rules into executable scripts, and compute a Trace Conformance Indicator to quantify compliance within the event log. Results: The framework was implemented and evaluated in the stroke care domain at the neurological ward of Alessandria Hospital. Hundreds of patient traces were automatically extracted from hospital data and assessed against 50 rules derived from the reference guideline. The analysis showed that more than 86% of the available traces were conformant. Conclusion: The results demonstrate the feasibility of using orchestrated LLMs for practical healthcare conformance analysis. At the same time, the study provides evidence of a high level of adherence to stroke care guidelines at Alessandria Hospital.
May 26, 2026

Developing a Totally Unimodular Linear Program for Optimal Conformance Checking: When and Why It Complements A*

Alignment-based conformance checking is the state-of-the-art approach for comparing observed process executions with normative process models. The standard exact solution relies on an A*-based heuristic search, which can exhibit exponential runtime in the presence of long traces or substantial deviations. This paper introduces a reformulation of alignment-based conformance checking as a totally unimodular linear program (LP) defined on the reachability graph of the synchronous product. By exploiting the underlying network-flow structure, the proposed formulation guarantees the existence of an integral optimal extreme-point solution through LP relaxation, thereby avoiding the combinatorial overhead associated with integer variables and branch-and-bound search. We conduct an extensive empirical evaluation on more than 2.1 million conformance checking instances derived from real-world and synthetic benchmark datasets. The results show that A* and the LP approach exhibit complementary performance characteristics: the former performs best on short, well-conforming traces, while the LP formulation provides substantial speedups for longer traces with deviations, precisely where conformance checking is most informative. Based on these findings, we derive simple algorithm-selection guidelines that combine both approaches, achieving average runtime savings of 38.6% with 96% selection accuracy compared to always using A*.
May 5, 2026

From Data Lifting to Continuous Risk Estimation: A Process-Aware Pipeline for Predictive Monitoring of Clinical Pathways

This paper presents a reproducible and process-aware pipeline for predictive monitoring of clinical pathways. The approach integrates data lifting, temporal reconstruction, event log construction, prefix-based representations, and predictive modeling to support continuous reasoning on partially observed patient trajectories, overcoming the limitations of traditional retrospective process mining. The framework is evaluated on COVID-19 clinical pathways using ICU admission as the prediction target, considering 4,479 patient cases and 46,804 prefixes. Predictive models are trained and evaluated using a case-level split, with 896 patients in the test set. Logistic Regression achieves the best performance (AUC 0.906, F1-score 0.835). A detailed prefix-based analysis shows that predictive performance improves progressively as new clinical events become available, with AUC increasing from 0.642 at early stages to 0.942 at later stages of the pathway. The results highlight two key findings: predictive signals emerge progressively along clinical pathways, and process-aware representations enable effective early risk estimation from evolving patient trajectories. Overall, the findings suggest that predictive monitoring in healthcare is best conceived as a continuous, dynamically aware process, in which risk estimates are progressively refined as the patient journey evolves.
Apr 28, 2026

Improving Hospital Process Management through Process Mining: A Case Study on COVID-19 Clinical Pathways

This study analyzes COVID-19 care pathways using the COVID Data for Shared Learning dataset. We build a transparent, reproducible pipeline that transforms heterogeneous clinical tables into a process-mining-ready event log and applies discovery, declarative conformance checking, and outcome analysis. The reconstructed pathways highlight the monitoring backbone of inpatient care, variability at the Emergency department-admission interface, and outcome differences driven by age and exposure to intensive care units. These insights support triage standardization, capacity planning, and step-down coordination from intensive care units to lower-acuity wards, showing how process mining can inform evidence-based hospital governance.
Apr 24, 2026

All Eyes on the Workflow: Automated and Efficient Event Discovery from Video Streams

Disciplines such as business process management and process mining aid organizations by discovering insights about processes on the basis of recorded event data. However, an obstacle to process analysis is data multi-modality: for instance, data in video form are not directly interpretable as events. Existing approaches rely on a dictionary of activity label as input, cannot provide frame-by-frame labeling explanations, or rely on superseded computer vision techniques. In this work, we present SnapLog, an approach to extract event data from videos by converting frames to feature vectors using image embeddings and performing temporal segmentation through frame-wise similarity matrices. A generalized few-shot classification is then used to assign labels to the video segments, yielding labeled, timestamped sub-sequences of frames that are interpretable as events. Conventional process mining techniques can be used to analyze the resulting data. We show that our approach produces logs that accurately reflect the process in the videos.
Apr 23, 2026

Promoting Simple Agents: Ensemble Methods for Event-Log Prediction

We compare lightweight automata-based models (n-grams) with neural architectures (LSTM, Transformer) for next-activity prediction in streaming event logs. Experiments on synthetic patterns and five real-world process mining datasets show that n-grams with appropriate context windows achieve comparable accuracy to neural models while requiring substantially fewer resources. Unlike windowed neural architectures, which show unstable performance patterns, n-grams provide stable and consistent accuracy. While we demonstrate that classical ensemble methods like voting improve n-gram performance, they require running many agents in parallel during inference, increasing memory consumption and latency. We propose an ensemble method, the promotion algorithm, that dynamically selects between two active models during inference, reducing overhead compared to classical voting schemes. On real-world datasets, these ensembles match or exceed the accuracy of non-windowed neural models with lower computational cost.
Apr 20, 2026

Dynamic Risk Assessment by Bayesian Attack Graphs and Process Mining

While attack graphs are useful for identifying major cybersecurity threats affecting a system, they do not provide operational support for determining the likelihood of having a known vulnerability exploited, or that critical system nodes are likely to be compromised. In this paper, we perform dynamic risk assessment by combining Bayesian Attack Graphs (BAGs) and online monitoring of system behavior through process mining. Specifically, the proposed approach applies process mining techniques to characterize malicious network traffic and derive evidence regarding the probability of having a vulnerability actively exploited. This evidence is then provided to a BAG, which updates its conditional probability tables accordingly, enabling dynamic assessment of vulnerability exploitation. We apply our method to a cybersecurity testbed instantiating several machines deployed on different subnets and affected by several CVE vulnerabilities. The testbed is stimulated with both benign traffic and malicious behavior, which simulates network attack patterns aimed at exploiting the CVE vulnerabilities. The results indicate that our proposal effectively detects whether vulnerabilities are being actively exploited, allowing for an updated assessment of the probability of system compromise.
Apr 20, 2026

Enhancing Anomaly-Based Intrusion Detection Systems with Process Mining

Anomaly-based Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs) ensure protection against malicious attacks on networked systems. While deep learning-based IDSs achieve effective performance, their limited trustworthiness due to black-box architectures remains a critical constraint. Despite existing explainable techniques offering insight into the alarms raised by IDSs, they lack process-based explanations grounded in packet-level sequencing analysis. In this paper, we propose a method that employs process mining techniques to enhance anomaly-based IDSs by providing process-based alarm severity ratings and explanations for alerts. Our method prioritizes critical alerts and maintains visibility into network behavior, while minimizing disruption by allowing misclassified benign traffic to pass. We apply the method to the publicly available USB-IDS-TC dataset, which includes anomalous traffic affected by different variants of the Slowloris DoS attack. Results show that our method is able to discriminate between low- to very-high-severity alarms while preserving up to 99.94% recall and 99.99% precision, effectively discarding false positives while providing different degrees of severity for the true positives.
Apr 16, 2026

M2-PALE: A Framework for Explaining Multi-Agent MCTS--Minimax Hybrids via Process Mining and LLMs

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a fundamental sampling-based search algorithm widely used for online planning in sequential decision-making domains. Despite its success in driving recent advances in artificial intelligence, understanding the behavior of MCTS agents remains a challenge for both developers and users. This difficulty stems from the complex search trees produced through the simulation of numerous future states and their intricate relationships. A known weakness of standard MCTS is its reliance on highly selective tree construction, which may lead to the omission of crucial moves and a vulnerability to tactical traps. To resolve this, we incorporate shallow, full-width Minimax search into the rollout phase of multi-agent MCTS to enhance strategic depth. Furthermore, to demystify the resulting decision-making logic, we introduce M2-PALE (MCTS--Minimax Process-Aided Linguistic Explanations). This framework employs process mining techniques, specifically the Alpha Miner, iDHM, and Inductive Miner algorithms, to extract underlying behavioral workflows from agent execution traces. These process models are then synthesized by LLMs to generate human-readable causal and distal explanations. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach in a small-scale checkers environment, establishing a scalable foundation for interpreting hybrid agents in increasingly complex strategic domains.
Apr 12, 2026

AutoFlows++: Hierarchical Message Flow Mining for System on Chip Designs

Understanding communication behavior in modern system-on-chip (SoC) designs is critical for functional verification, performance analysis, and post-silicon debugging. Communication traces capture message exchanges among system components and provide valuable insights into system behavior. However, deriving concise communication specifications from such traces remains challenging due to interleaved instances of communication flows, and ambiguous causal relationships among messages. Existing mining approaches often struggle with scalability and ambiguity when traces contain complex interleaving of message patterns across multiple components. These conditions often lead to an explosion in the number of candidate flows and inaccurate extraction of communication behaviors. This paper presents AutoFlows++, a design-architecture-guided hierarchical framework for mining message flows from communication traces of complex SoC designs. AutoFlows++ operates in two stages: local mining followed by global mining. In the local mining stage, simple communication patterns are extracted from traces observed at individual communication interfaces between components. In the global mining stage, these local patterns are composed to identify higher-level message flows that characterize communication behavior across multiple components. Experimental results on both synthetic traces and traces generated from SoC models in GEM5 demonstrate that AutoFlows++ significantly improves flow extraction accuracy compared with prior approaches, highlighting its effectiveness for practical SoC validation tasks.
Apr 1, 2026

Know Your Streams: On the Conceptualization, Characterization, and Generation of Intentional Event Streams

The shift toward IoT-enabled, sensor-driven systems has transformed how operational data is generated, favoring continuous, real-time event streams (ES) over static event logs. This evolution presents new challenges for Streaming Process Mining (SPM), which must cope with out-of-order events, concurrent activities, incomplete cases, and concept drifts. Yet, the evaluation of SPM algorithms remains rooted in outdated practices, relying on static logs or artificially streamified data that fail to reflect the complexities of real-world streams. To address this gap, we first perform a comprehensive review of data stream literature to identify stream characteristics currently not reflected in the SPM community. Next, we use this information to extend the conceptual foundation for ES. Finally, we propose Stream of Intent, a prototype generator to produce ES with specific features. Our evaluation shows excellence in producing reproducible, intentional ES for targeted benchmarking and adaptive algorithm development in SPM.
Mar 27, 2026

Neuro-Symbolic Process Anomaly Detection

Process anomaly detection is an important application of process mining for identifying deviations from the normal behavior of a process. Neural network-based methods have recently been applied to this task, learning directly from event logs without requiring a predefined process model. However, since anomaly detection is a purely statistical task, these models fail to incorporate human domain knowledge. As a result, rare but conformant traces are often misclassified as anomalies due to their low frequency, which limits the effectiveness of the detection process. Recent developments in the field of neuro-symbolic AI have introduced Logic Tensor Networks (LTN) as a means to integrate symbolic knowledge into neural networks using real-valued logic. In this work, we propose a neuro-symbolic approach that integrates domain knowledge into neural anomaly detection using LTN and Declare constraints. Using autoencoder models as a foundation, we encode Declare constraints as soft logical guiderails within the learning process to distinguish between anomalous and rare but conformant behavior. Evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach improves F1 scores even when as few as 10 conformant traces exist, and that the choice of Declare constraint and by extension human domain knowledge significantly influences performance gains.
Mar 20, 2026

Discovery of Decision Synchronization Patterns from Event Logs

Synchronizing decisions between running cases in business processes facilitates fair and efficient use of resources, helps prioritize the most valuable cases, and prevents unnecessary waiting. Consequently, decision synchronization patterns are regularly built into processes, in the form of mechanisms that temporarily delay one case to favor another. These decision mechanisms therefore consider properties of multiple cases at once, rather than just the properties of a single case; an aspect that is rarely addressed by current process discovery techniques. To address this gap, this paper proposes an approach for discovering decision synchronization patterns inspired by supply chain processes. These decision synchronization patterns take the form of specific process constructs combined with a constraint that determines which particular case to execute. We describe, formalize and demonstrate how the constraint for four such patterns can be discovered. We evaluate our approach in two artificial scenarios. First, with four separate process models each containing a single decision synchronization pattern, i.e., we demonstrate that our approach can discover every type of pattern when only this one type is present. Second, we consider a process model containing all four decision synchronization patterns to show generalizability of the approach to more complex problems. For both scenarios, we could reliably retrieve the expected patterns.
Mar 16, 2026

PMAx: An Agentic Framework for AI-Driven Process Mining

Process mining provides powerful insights into organizational workflows, but extracting these insights typically requires expertise in specialized query languages and data science tools. Large Language Models (LLMs) offer the potential to democratize process mining by enabling business users to interact with process data through natural language. However, using LLMs as direct analytical engines over raw event logs introduces fundamental challenges: LLMs struggle with deterministic reasoning and may hallucinate metrics, while sending large, sensitive logs to external AI services raises serious data-privacy concerns. To address these limitations, we present PMAx, an autonomous agentic framework that functions as a virtual process analyst. Rather than relying on LLMs to generate process models or compute analytical results, PMAx employs a privacy-preserving multi-agent architecture. An Engineer agent analyzes event-log metadata and autonomously generates local scripts to run established process mining algorithms, compute exact metrics, and produce artifacts such as process models, summary tables, and visualizations. An Analyst agent then interprets these insights and artifacts to compile comprehensive reports. By separating computation from interpretation and executing analysis locally, PMAx ensures mathematical accuracy and data privacy while enabling non-technical users to transform high-level business questions into reliable process insights.
Dec 8, 2025

Time Series Foundation Models for Process Model Forecasting

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on single-case prefixes. Prior benchmarks show that machine learning and deep learning models provide only modest gains over statistical baselines, mainly due to the sparsity and heterogeneity of the DF time series. We investigate Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs), large pre-trained models for generic time series, as an alternative for PMF. Using DF time series derived from real-life event logs, we compare zero-shot use of TSFMs, without additional training, with fine-tuned variants adapted on PMF-specific data. TSFMs generally achieve lower forecasting errors (MAE and RMSE) than traditional and specialized models trained from scratch on the same logs, indicating effective transfer of temporal structure from non-process domains. While fine-tuning can further improve accuracy, the gains are often small and may disappear on smaller or more complex datasets, so zero-shot use remains a strong default. Our study highlights the generalization capability and data efficiency of TSFMs for process-related time series and, to the best of our knowledge, provides the first systematic evaluation of temporal foundation models for PMF.