Spatiotemporal Forecasting

Ask about this topic

Overview

Spatiotemporal forecasting studies how patterns evolve across both space and time, supporting decisions such as routing traffic, preparing for floods, and tracking disease outbreaks. Common approaches include graph neural networks for connected locations, convolutional and Transformer models for gridded fields, and state-space or neural-operator methods for long sequences and physical dynamics. Researchers also use physics-informed constraints, multimodal data, and probabilistic or generative models to represent mechanisms and forecast uncertainty. A central challenge is making forecasts stable and calibrated over long horizons while generalizing to sparse observations, new regions, and changing conditions; realistic benchmarks often reveal weaknesses hidden by standard test splits.

Latest papers

CardsList

429 papers59 papers in the last four weeks, up 48% on the four weeks before. 0.3% of all new papers.

  1. Modern Structure-Aware Simplicial Spatiotemporal Neural Network

    Apr 17, 2026Zhaobo Hu, Vincent Gauthier, Mehdi NaimaSpatiotemporal ForecastingSpatiotemporal GNNs

    SAMOVAR, T´el´ecom SudParis · Institut Polytechnique de Paris · CNRS – LIP6

  2. M3R: Localized Rainfall Nowcasting with Meteorology-Informed MultiModal Attention

    Apr 15, 2026Sanjeev Panta, Rhett M Morvant, Xu Yuan +2Precipitation NowcastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Lafayette, LA, USA · University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA

  3. FAST: A Synergistic Framework of Attention and State-space Models for Spatiotemporal Traffic Prediction

    Apr 15, 2026Xinjin Li, Jinghan Cao, Mengyue Wang +5Spatiotemporal ForecastingTraffic Forecasting

    Columbia University New York, NY, USA · San Francisco State University San Francisco, CA, USA · University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA, USA +5

  4. Dynamic Sheaf Diffusion Networks with Adaptive Local Structure for Heterogeneous Spatio-Temporal Graph Learning

    Apr 13, 2026Abeer Mostafa, Raneen Younis, Zahra AhmadiOver-Smoothing in GNNsGraph Neural Networks

    Peter L. Reichertz Institute for Medical Informatics, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany · Lower Saxony Center for Artificial Intelligence and Causal Methods in Medicine (CAIMed), Hannover, Germany

  5. From Time Series to State: Situation-Aware Modeling for Air Traffic Flow Prediction

    Apr 13, 2026Anqi Liu, Jiangtao Zhao, Guiyuan Jiang +3Air Traffic ManagementTraffic Flow Estimation

    Ocean University of China

  6. PDE-regularized Dynamics-informed Diffusion with Uncertainty-aware Filtering for Long-Horizon Dynamics

    Apr 10, 2026Min Young Baeg, Yoon-Yeong KimSpatiotemporal ForecastingLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

  7. Anticipating tipping in spatiotemporal systems with machine learning

    Apr 7, 2026Smita Deb, Zheng-Meng Zhai, Mulugeta Haile +1Spatiotemporal ForecastingReservoir Computing

    School of Electrical, Computer, and Energy Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA · DEVCOM Army Research Office, 6340 Rodman Road, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD 21005-5069, USA · Department of Physics, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA

  8. EAGLE: Edge-Aware Graph Learning for Proactive Delivery Delay Prediction in Smart Logistics Networks

    Apr 6, 2026Zhiming Xue, Menghao Huo, Yujue WangSupply Chain ManagementSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    College of Engineering, Northeastern University Boston, USA · School of Engineering, Santa Clara University Santa Clara, USA · Department of Chemistry and Chemical Biology, University of New Mexico Albuquerque, USA

  9. Towards Scaling Law Analysis For Spatiotemporal Weather Data

    Apr 6, 2026Alexander Kiefer, Prasanna Balaprakash, Xiao WangWeather ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Bredesen Center, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee · Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee

  10. El Nino Prediction Based on Weather Forecast and Geographical Time-series Data

    Apr 5, 2026Viet Trinh, Ha-Vy Luu, Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham +3Spatiotemporal Forecasting

    University of Economics and Law, Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam · Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam

  11. Solar-VLM: Multimodal Vision-Language Models for Augmented Solar Power Forecasting

    Apr 5, 2026Hang Fan, Haoran Pei, Runze Liang +3Solar Power ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    School of Economic and Management, North China Electric Power University, 102206, Beijing, China · School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, 102206, Beijing, China · Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, 100084, Beijing, China +1

  12. LAtent Phase Inference from Short time sequences using SHallow REcurrent Decoders (LAPIS-SHRED)

    Apr 1, 2026Yuxuan Bao, Xingyue Zhang, J. Nathan KutzSpatiotemporal ForecastingLatent Dynamics Modeling

    Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Washington. · School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington. · Autodesk Research, London, UK.

  13. The Recipe Matters More Than the Kitchen:Mathematical Foundations of the AI Weather Prediction Pipeline

    Apr 1, 2026Piyush Garg, Diana R. Gergel, Andrew E. Shao +1Weather ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Commercial AI Lab, RWE Trading Americas Inc., Bellevue, WA, USA · AI Research Lab, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Victoria, BC, Canada

  14. NeuroDDAF: Neural Dynamic Diffusion-Advection Fields with Evidential Fusion for Air Quality Forecasting

    Apr 1, 2026Prasanjit Dey, Soumyabrata Dev, Angela Meyer +1Air Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  15. Predicting Dynamics of Ultra-Large Complex Systems by Inferring Governing Equations

    Apr 1, 2026Qi Shao, Duxin Chen, Jiawen Chen +5Dynamical SystemsNonlinear System Identification

    School of Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing, 210096, P. R. China. · School of Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen Mary University of London, London, E1 4NS, UK. · School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London E1 4NS, UK. +4

  16. Real Time Local Wind Inference for Robust Autonomous Navigation

    Apr 1, 2026Spencer FolkAerial RoboticsRobot Navigation

    Mechanical Engineering and Applied Mechanics, University of Pennsylvania

  17. Hybrid Quantum-Classical Spatiotemporal Forecasting for 3D Cloud Fields

    Mar 31, 2026Fu Wang, Qifeng Lu, Xinyu Long +4Spatiotemporal ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    CMA Earth system Modeling and Prediction Center (CEMC) and State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), Beijing, 100081, China · the School of Computer Science and Engineering, Sichuan University of Science and Engineering, Yibin City, 643000, China · the School of Electronic and Communication Engineering, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, 510006, China +2

  18. Improving Ensemble Forecasts of Abnormally Deflecting Tropical Cyclones with Fused Atmosphere-Ocean-Terrain Data

    Mar 31, 2026Qixiang Li, Yuan Zhou, Shuwei Huo +2Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China · School of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China · Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, and the Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China

  19. E-TIDE: Fast, Structure-Preserving Motion Forecasting from Event Sequences

    Mar 29, 2026Biswadeep Sen, Benoit R. Cottereau, Nicolas Cuperlier +1Event-Based VisionEfficient Neural Network Inference

    National University of Singapore, Singapore · CerCo, CNRS UMR 5549, Universit´e de Toulouse, France · ETIS UMR8051, CY Cergy Paris Universit´e, ENSEA, CNRS, Cergy, France +1

  20. AIFS-COMPO: A Global Data-Driven Atmospheric Composition Forecasting System

    Mar 29, 2026Paula Harder, Johannes Flemming, Mihai Alexe +3Air Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

  21. Characterization and forecasting of national-scale solar power ramp events

    Mar 27, 2026Luca Lanzilao, Angela MeyerSolar Power ForecastingPower Systems

    School of Engineering and Computer Science, Bern University of Applied Sciences, Quellgasse 21, Biel, 2501, Bern, Switzerland · Department of Geosciences and Remote Sensing, TU Delft, Stevinweg 1, Delft, 2628 CN, South-Holland, The Netherlands

  22. GLU: Global-Local-Uncertainty Fusion for Scalable Spatiotemporal Reconstruction and Forecasting

    Mar 27, 2026Linzheng Wang, Jason Chen, Nicolas Tricard +2Spatiotemporal ForecastingDigital Twins

    Department of Mechanical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, 02139, MA, United States of America.

  23. Spatiotemporal System Forecasting with Irregular Time Steps via Masked Autoencoder

    Mar 26, 2026Kewei Zhu, Yanze Xin, Jinwei Hu +3Spatiotemporal ForecastingIrregular Time-Series Modeling

    Department of Chemical Engineering, University College London, UK · Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK · Department of Computer Science, University of Liverpool, UK +4

  24. Pure and physics-guided deep learning approaches for spatio-temporal groundwater level prediction

    Mar 26, 2026Matteo Salis, Gabriele Sartor, Rosa Meo +2Physics-Informed MLAttention Mechanisms

    Computer Science Department, University of Turin, Turin, Italy · LISTIC Laboratory, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, Annecy-le-vieux, France · Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico di Torino and University of Turin, Turin, Italy

  25. Marchuk: Efficient Global Weather Forecasting from Mid-Range to Sub-Seasonal Scales via Flow Matching

    Mar 25, 2026Arsen Kuzhamuratov, Mikhail Zhirnov, Andrey Kuznetsov +2Weather ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    AXXX · FusionBrain Lab

  26. BHCast: Unlocking Black Hole Plasma Dynamics from a Single Blurry Image with Long-Term Forecasting

    Mar 24, 2026Renbo Tu, Ali SaraerToosi, Nicholas S. Conroy +2AstrophysicsSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    University of Toronto · Vector Institute · University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign +1

  27. WaveSFNet: A Wavelet-Based Codec and Spatial--Frequency Dual-Domain Gating Network for Spatiotemporal Prediction

    Mar 24, 2026Xinyong Cai, Runming Xie, Hu Chen +1Spatiotemporal ForecastingConvolutional Neural Networks

    College of Software Engineering, Sichuan University · College of Computer Science, Sichuan University · Sichuan University National Key Laboratory of Fundamental Science on Synthetic Vision

  28. Sonny: Breaking the Compute Wall in Medium-Range Weather Forecasting

    Mar 22, 2026Minjong CheonWeather ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Sejong University, Seoul, South Korea

  29. Data-driven ensemble prediction of the global ocean

    Mar 20, 2026Qiusheng Huang, Xiaohui Zhong, Anboyu Guo +3Probabilistic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Incubation Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. · Shanghai Innovation Institute, Shanghai, China. · Shanghai Academy of Artificial Intelligence for Science, Shanghai, China. +2

  30. End-to-end data-driven prediction of urban airflow and pollutant dispersion

    Mar 18, 2026Nishant Kumar, Franck Kerhervé, Lionel Agostini +1Air Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Institut Pprime, CNRS, Université de Poitiers, ISAE-ENSMA, Curiosity Team, Bât. H2 - Bd. Marie & Pierre Curie TSA 51124, 86073 Poitiers Cedex 9, France