Spurious Correlations

Representations on the Symmetric Positive Definite (SPD) manifold have garnered significant attention across different applications. In contrast, the manifold of full-rank correlation matrices, a normalized alternative to SPD matrices, remains largely underexplored. This paper introduces Riemannian networks over the correlation manifold, leveraging five recently developed correlation geometries. We systematically extend basic layers, including Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR), Fully Connected (FC), and convolutional layers, to these geometries. Besides, we present methods for accurate backpropagation for two correlation geometries. Experiments comparing our approach against existing SPD and Grassmannian networks demonstrate its effectiveness.

Sparse autoencoders (SAEs) are a core interpretability tool for large language models, and progress on SAE architectures depends on benchmarks that reliably distinguish better SAEs from worse ones. We audit the SAE quality metrics in SAEBench, the de-facto standard SAE evaluation suite, through three complementary lenses: reseed noise on a fixed SAE, ground-truth correlation on synthetic SAEs, and discriminability across training trajectories. We find that two of these metrics, Targeted Probe Perturbation (TPP) and Spurious Correlation Removal (SCR), fail multiple lenses at their canonical settings and should not be used to evaluate SAEs. The other metrics show higher reseed noise and lower discriminability than the field assumes. The sae-probes variant of $k$-sparse probing is the most reliable metric we tested, but even sae-probes struggles to separate variants of the same SAE architecture. Our results show the field needs better SAE benchmarks.

Shortcut features are often invoked to explain out-of-distribution (OOD) failure, but training correlation, learned shortcut use, and test-time failure need not coincide. We study a minimal binary model with one invariant coordinate and one family-dependent shortcut coordinate. In the deterministic regime, positive average shortcut correlation pulls logistic ERM toward positive shortcut weight, but ridge regularization keeps the classifier invariant-dominated and prevents deterministic OOD failure. When the invariant coordinate is noisy, ridge-logistic ERM switches to the shortcut rule once the training shortcut signal exceeds the invariant signal. Whether that transition causes failure depends on the held-out family: weaker shortcut correlation yields positive excess risk, and sign-flipped families yield above-chance error. Synthetic checks match these analytic regimes and show that the same training-side transition can have different held-out consequences. The model separates shortcut attraction, shortcut-rule transition, and cross-family OOD failure.

Emergent misalignment (EM), where fine-tuning on a narrow task (like insecure code) causes broad misalignment across unrelated domains, was first demonstrated by Betley et al. (2025). We conduct the most comprehensive EM study to date, reproducing the original GPT-4o finding and expanding to 12 open-source models across 4 families (Llama, Qwen, DeepSeek, GPT-OSS) ranging from 8B to 671B parameters, evaluating over one million model responses with multiple random seeds. We find that EM replicates in GPT-4o but is far from universal: only 2 of 12 open-source models (17%) exhibit consistent EM across seeds, with a significant correlation between model size and EM susceptibility. Through checkpoint-level analysis during fine-tuning, we demonstrate that EM emerges late in training, distinct from and subsequent to near convergence of the primary task, suggesting EM emerges from continued training past task convergence. This yields practical mitigations: early stopping eliminates EM while retaining an average of 93% of task performance, and careful learning rate selection further minimizes risk. Cross-domain validation on medical fine-tuning confirms these patterns generalize: the size-EM correlation strengthens (r = 0.90), and overgeneralization to untruthfulness remains avoidable via early stopping in 67% of cases, though semantically proximate training domains produce less separable misalignment. As LLMs become increasingly integrated into real-world systems, fine-tuning and reinforcement learning remain the primary methods for adapting model behavior. Our findings demonstrate that with proper training practices, EM can be avoided, reframing it from an unforeseen fine-tuning risk to an avoidable training artifact.

Herding -- where agents align their behaviors and act collectively -- is a central driver of market fragility and systemic risk. Existing approaches to quantify herding rely on price-correlation statistics, which inherently lag because they only detect coordination after it has already moved realised returns. We propose GeomHerd, a forward-looking geometric framework that bypasses this observability lag by quantifying coordination directly on upstream agent-interaction graphs. To generate these graphs, we treat a heterogeneous LLM-driven multi-agent simulator -- each financial trader instantiated by a persona-conditioned LLM call -- as a forecastable world, and evaluate the geometric pipeline on the Cividino--Sornette continuous-spin agent-based substrate as our headline financial testbed. By tracking the discrete Ollivier--Ricci curvature of these action graphs, GeomHerd captures the structural topology of emerging coordination. Theoretically, we establish a mean-field bridge mapping our graph-theoretic metric to CSAD, the classical macroscopic herding statistic, linking GeomHerd to downstream price-dispersion measurement. Empirically, GeomHerd anticipates herding long before aggregate market baselines: on the continuous-spin substrate, our primary detector fires a median of 272 steps before order-parameter onset; a contagion detector ($β_{-}$) recalls 65% of critical trajectories 318 steps early; and on co-firing trajectories the agent-graph signal precedes price-correlation-graph baselines by 40 steps. As a complementary indicator, the effective vocabulary of agent actions contracts during cascades. The geometric signature transfers out-of-domain to the Vicsek self-driven-particle model, and a curvature-conditioned forecasting head reduces cascade-window log-return MAE over detector-conditioned and price-only baselines.

On-policy self-distillation has emerged as a promising paradigm for post-training language models, in which the model conditions on environment feedback to serve as its own teacher, providing dense token-level rewards without external teacher models or step-level annotations. Despite its empirical success, what this reward actually measures and what kind of credit it assigns remain unclear. Under a posterior-compatibility interpretation of feedback conditioning, standard in the implicit-reward literature, we show that the self-distillation token reward is a Bayesian filtering increment whose trajectory sum is exactly the pointwise mutual information between the response and the feedback given the input. This pMI can be raised by input-specific reasoning or by input-generic shortcuts, so we further decompose the teacher log-probability along the input axis. Based on this analysis, we propose CREDIT (Contrastive REward from DIsTillation), which isolates the input-specific component with a batch-contrastive baseline. At the sequence level, CREDIT is a teacher-side surrogate for a contrastive pMI objective that also penalizes responses remaining likely under unrelated inputs. Across coding, scientific reasoning, and tool-use benchmarks on two model families, CREDIT delivers the strongest aggregate performance at negligible additional compute.

Neural generative samplers for lattice field theory can be costly to train and evaluate. When they miss modes or assign them incorrect relative weights, biased observables do not reveal which collective variables are responsible. We project a trained flow-matching velocity onto vector fields built from lattice operators and Fourier modes. In two-dimensional lattice $φ^4$ theory, the projection separates changes in the overall magnetization from the lowest nonzero-momentum fluctuations and guides an explicit invertible proposal that treats them separately. Allowing the amplitude of the lowest nonzero-momentum fluctuations to depend on the magnetization improves the overlap between the proposal and target distributions, while the same two-parameter modification at higher momenta gives smaller improvements. The Metropolis--Hastings correction defines a Markov chain with the target Boltzmann distribution as its stationary law, and the normalized proposal density yields finite-volume partition-function estimates consistent with an independent HMC calculation. At the larger tested volume, the overlap between the proposal and target distributions deteriorates substantially, limiting the range over which the same parameterization remains effective.

Preference learning methods like Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) are known to induce reliance on spurious correlations, leading to sycophancy and length bias in today's language models and potentially severe goal misgeneralization in future systems. In this work, we provide a unified theoretical analysis of this phenomenon, characterizing the mechanisms of spurious learning, its consequences on deployment, and a provable mitigation strategy. Focusing on log-linear policies, we show that standard preference-learning objectives induce reliance on spurious features at the population level through two channels: mean spurious bias and causal-spurious correlation leakage. We then show that this reliance creates an irreducible vulnerability to distribution shift: more data from the same training distribution fails to reduce the model's dependence on spurious features. To address this, we propose tie training, a data augmentation strategy using ties (equal-utility preference pairs) to introduce data-driven regularization. We demonstrate that this approach selectively reduces spurious learning without degrading causal learning. Finally, we validate our theory on log-linear models and provide empirical evidence that both the spurious learning mechanisms and the benefits of tie training persist for neural networks and large language models.

Agentic memory enables LLMs to persist information beyond a single context window and reuse it in later decisions, but it also introduces a new vulnerability: spurious correlations, where retrieved memory carries miscorrelated evidence and propagates erroneous reasoning into downstream decisions. Despite the widespread use of agentic memory, this risk remains largely underexplored. We address it from two aspects. First, we benchmark several canonical types of spurious patterns identified through causal structure and record them across trajectory-level memory. Diagnosing agentic memory systems on this benchmark reveals that memory improves reasoning on clean inputs but amplifies reliance on spurious patterns when they are present. Second, we propose CAMEL, a plug-and-play calibration method that operates across diverse memory architectures at both write and retrieval time. CAMEL consistently reduces reliance on spurious patterns across all three types while preserving or improving performance on clean inputs and staying robust under adaptive attacks targeting the calibration. Overall, CAMEL offers a principled and lightweight solution toward more reliable agentic memory deployment.

GNNs have become a standard tool for learning on relational data, yet they remain highly vulnerable to backdoor attacks. Prior defenses often depend on inspecting specific subgraph patterns or node features, and thus can be circumvented by adaptive attackers. We propose PRAETORIAN, a new defense that targets intrinsic requirements of effective GNN backdoors rather than surface-level cues. Our key observation is that flipping a victim node's prediction requires substantial influence on the victim: attackers tend to either inject many trigger nodes or rely on a small set of highly influential ones. Building on this observation, PRAETORIAN (i) analyzes internal correlations within potential trigger subgraphs to detect abnormally large injected structures, and (ii) quantifies external node influence to identify triggers with disproportionate impact. Across our evaluations, PRAETORIAN reduces the average attack success rate (ASR) to 0.55% with only a 0.62% drop in clean accuracy (CA), whereas state-of-the-art defenses still yield an average ASR of >20% and a CA drop of >3% under the same conditions. Moreover, PRAETORIAN remains effective against a range of adaptive attacks, forcing adversaries to either inject many trigger nodes to achieve high ASR (>80%), which incurs a >10% CA drop, or preserve CA at the cost of limiting ASR to 18.1%. Overall, PRAETORIAN constrains attackers to an unfavorable trade-off between efficacy and detectability.

The training data of large language models (LLMs) comprises a wide range of biomedical literature, reflecting data from many different patient populations. We investigate how it might be possible to recover information on correlation and causal links between patient characteristics, as a key building block for medical decision making. To avoid the pitfalls of direct elicitation, we propose an approach based on structured comparison questions, specifically patient comparison triplet questions. This is combined with a statistical model for the LLM representation that provides estimates of correlations without access to activations or model internals. Intuitively, we consider how similarity decisions of LLMs based on a first variable are affected by providing information on a second variable for one of the patients being assessed. We then induce prompt-level environment shifts to obtain correlation estimates for different subpopulations, which enables an invariant causal prediction (ICP) approach to obtain conservative candidate parent links. We demonstrate the method in two clinical domains, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and multiple sclerosis (MS). Across prompted environments, the elicited correlations are smooth, stable, and clinically interpretable, yet vary in a statistically significant way that supports downstream invariance testing, such that ICP provides a small set of candidate invariant parent links. These results show that indirect elicitation via triplet comparisons can recover meaningful association structure from LLMs and offer a cautious route from implicit correlations to causal statements that are congruent with LLM answering patterns.

How many key-value associations can a $d\times d$ linear memory store? We show that the answer depends not only on the $d^2$ degrees of freedom in the memory matrix, but also on the retrieval criterion. In an isotropic Gaussian model for the stored pairs, we show that top-1 retrieval, where every signal must beat its largest distractor, requires the logarithmic model-size scale $d^2\asymp n\log n$. We prove that the correlation matrix memory construction, which stores associations by superposing key-target outer products, achieves this scale through a sharp phase transition, and that the same scaling is necessary for any linear memory. Thus the logarithm is the intrinsic extreme-value price of winner-take-all decoding. We next consider listwise retrieval, where the correct target need not be the unique top-scoring item but should remain among the strongest candidates. To formalize this regime, we propose the Tail-Average Margin (TAM), a convex upper-tail criterion that certifies inclusion of the correct target in a controlled candidate list. Under this listwise retrieval criterion, the capacity follows the quadratic scale $d^2\asymp n$. At load $n/d^2\toα$, we develop an exact asymptotic theory for the TAM empirical-risk minimizer through a two-parameter scalar variational principle. The theory has a rich phenomenology: in the ridgeless limit it yields a closed-form critical load separating satisfiable and unsatisfiable phases, and it predicts the limiting laws of true scores, competitor scores, margins, and percentile profiles. Finally, a small-tail extrapolation further leads to the conjectural sharp top-1 threshold $d^2\sim 2n\log n$.

Despite theoretical advantages, causal methods for Gene Regulatory Network (GRN) inference from single-cell RNA-seq data consistently fail to match or outperform correlation-based baselines in many realistic benchmarks, a persistent puzzle which casts doubt on the value of causality for this task. We argue that existing benchmarks are insufficiently controlled to answer this question because they evaluate on real or semi-real data where multiple pathologies co-occur, confounding failure modes, and obscuring the specific conditions under which different inference methods excel or fail. To address this gap, we introduce a controlled diagnostic framework that isolates seven biologically motivated pathologies (dropout, latent confounders, cell-type mixing, feedback loops, network density, sample size, and pseudotime drift) and measure how six representative methods spanning three inference paradigms degrade as each pathology intensifies. Across 6,120 controlled experiments, we find that causal methods genuinely dominate in clean and structurally favorable regimes, but specific pathologies (notably dropout and latent confounders) selectively neutralize their advantages. We further introduce an error-type decomposition that reveals methods with similar aggregate accuracy commit qualitatively different errors. To probe whether single-pathology effects persist when multiple stressors co-occur, we perform an interaction sweep over the three most impactful pathologies and find that their joint effects are sub-additive, while also exposing density-conditional cross-overs invisible to single-dial analysis. Our findings offer a nuanced understanding of when and why different methods succeed or fail for GRN inference, providing actionable insights for method development and practical guidance for practitioners.

Brain MRI foundation models learn rich representations of anatomy, but interpreting what clinical information they encode remains an open problem. Standard sparse autoencoders (SAEs) suffer from severe feature collapse in deep transformer layers, and in Alzheimer's disease (AD) research, aging confounds nearly every clinical variable, making naive annotation unreliable. We propose GeoSAE, a geometry-guided SAE framework that uses the foundation model's learned manifold structure to prevent feature collapse and annotates each surviving feature via age-deconfounded partial correlations. Applied to ~14k T1-weighted MRI scans from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and the Australian Imaging biomarkers and Lifestyle (AIBL) datasets, GeoSAE identifies a compact, fully interpretable feature set that predicts mild cognitive impairment (MCI)-to-AD conversion (AUC 0.746) using only 2% of the embedding dimensions, while comorbidity-annotated features achieve only chance-level performance. The identified features replicate across cohorts without retraining (r=0.97) and localize to neuroanatomically distinct regions consistent with Braak staging. This shows that geometry-guided SAEs can extract interpretable, biomarkers from frozen brain MRI foundation models.

The Vicsek model is a minimal model of collective motion, capturing how local alignment interactions can generate macroscopic nonequilibrium order in systems such as bird flocks. In this work, we use active learning to map the Vicsek phase diagram as a function of noise strength, density, and particle speed. A neural-network classifier is trained on global polar-order labels, and classifier entropy is used to select new simulations near uncertain crossover regions. The resulting phase map resolves a high-noise disordered gas, a low-noise polar ordered regime, and an intermediate coexistence-candidate regime whose noise window shifts upward and broadens with increasing density. Independent density and local-order diagnostics indicate that the intermediate regime contains dense, locally ordered bands coexisting with a dilute, weakly ordered background. Comparison with the ordered regime shows that banded coexistence is identified by the joint enhancement of band contrast, local-order heterogeneity, and positive density-order correlation. Overall, these results establish a machine-learning-guided workflow for active matter, in which active learning constructs an operational phase map and independent spatial diagnostics convert classifier-defined regimes into physically interpretable nonequilibrium morphologies.

We introduce a toolkit for uncovering spurious correlations between recording characteristics and target class in speech datasets. Spurious correlations may arise due to heterogeneous recording conditions, a common scenario for health-related datasets. When present both in the training and test data, these correlations result in an overestimation of the system performance -- a dangerous situation, specially in high-stakes application where systems are required to satisfy minimum performance requirements. Our toolkit implements a diagnostic method based on the detection of the target class using only the non-speech regions in the audio. Better than chance performance at this task indicates that information about the target class can be extracted from the non-speech regions, flagging the presence of spurious correlations. The toolkit is publicly available for research use.

Wearable sensor-based human gait analysis holds great promise in healthcare, rehabilitation, clinical diagnosis and monitoring, and sports activities. Specifically, ground reaction force (GRF) provides essential insights into the body's interaction with the ground during movement and is typically measured using instrumented treadmills equipped with force plates. However, such equipment is expensive and restricted to laboratory environments. To enable a more portable solution, wearable insole sensors have been used to measure GRF. These sensors, however, are prone to noise and external interference, which reduces measurement accuracy. Deep learning methodologies could be adopted to address these issues, but they often require significant computing resources to achieve high accuracy, limiting their applicability for real-time analysis on portable devices. To overcome these limitations, we propose Selective Correlation Based Knowledge Distillation (SCKD) for estimating GRF from data collected by insole sensors. Our proposed method utilizes selected features considering temporal characteristics in the process of extracting correlation maps for knowledge transfer, enhancing interpretability and mitigating issues in high dimensional data processing. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the compact models generated by our distillation framework through comparison with existing methods. Various configurations of teacher-student architectures and training approaches are examined based on multiple evaluation criteria, utilizing data collected at different walking speeds and with different window sizes. Experimental results confirm that our approach outperforms existing methods in estimating GRF from wearable insole sensor data. Therefore, our approach offers a reliable and resource-efficient solution for human gait analysis.

The LASSO-Clip-EN (LCEN) algorithm was previously introduced for nonlinear, interpretable feature selection and machine learning. However, its design and use was limited to regression tasks. In this work, we create a modified version of the LCEN algorithm that is suitable for classification tasks and maintains its desirable properties, such as interpretability. This modified LCEN algorithm is evaluated on four widely used binary and multiclass classification datasets. In these experiments, LCEN is compared against 10 other model types and consistently reaches high test-set macro F$_1$ score and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) metrics, higher than that of the majority of investigated models. LCEN models for classification remain sparse, eliminating an average of 56% of all input features in the experiments performed. Furthermore, LCEN-selected features are used to retrain all models using the same data, leading to statistically significant performance improvements in three of the experiments and insignificant differences in the fourth when compared to using all features or other feature selection methods. Simultaneously, the weighted focal differentiable MCC (diffMCC) loss function is evaluated on the same datasets. Models trained with the diffMCC loss function are always the best-performing methods in these experiments, and reach test-set macro F$_1$ scores that are, on average, 4.9% higher and MCCs that are 8.5% higher than those obtained by models trained with the weighted cross-entropy loss. These results highlight the performance of LCEN as a feature selection and machine learning algorithm also for classification tasks, and how the diffMCC loss function can train very accurate models, surpassing the weighted cross-entropy loss in the tasks investigated.

Multi-look acquisition is a widely used strategy for reducing speckle noise in coherent imaging systems such as digital holography. By acquiring multiple measurements, speckle can be suppressed through averaging or joint reconstruction, typically under the assumption that speckle realizations across looks are statistically independent. In practice, however, hardware constraints limit measurement diversity, leading to inter-look correlation that degrades the performance of conventional methods. In this work, we study the reconstruction of speckle-free reflectivity from complex-valued multi-look measurements in the presence of correlated speckle. We model the inter-look dependence using a first-order Markov process and derive the corresponding likelihood under a first-order Markov approximation, resulting in a constrained maximum likelihood estimation problem. To solve this problem, we develop an efficient projected gradient descent framework that combines gradient-based updates with implicit regularization via deep image priors, and leverages Monte Carlo approximation and matrix-free operators for scalable computation. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach remains robust under strong inter-look correlation, achieving performance close to the ideal independent-look scenario and consistently outperforming methods that ignore such dependencies. These results highlight the importance of explicitly modeling inter-look correlation and provide a practical framework for multi-look holographic reconstruction under realistic acquisition conditions. Our code is available at: https://github.com/Computational-Imaging-RU/MLE-Holography-Markov.

Neural NLI models overfit dataset artifacts instead of truly reasoning. A hypothesis-only model gets 57.7% in SNLI, showing strong spurious correlations, and 38.6% of the baseline errors are the result of these artifacts. We propose Product-of-Experts (PoE) training, which downweights examples where biased models are overconfident. PoE nearly preserves accuracy (89.10% vs. 89.30%) while cutting bias reliance by 4.71% (bias agreement 49.85% to 45%). An ablation finds lambda = 1.5 that best balances debiasing and accuracy. Behavioral tests still reveal issues with negation and numerical reasoning.

Fault detection and diagnosis are critical for the optimal and safe operation of industrial processes. The correlations among sensors often display non-Euclidean structures where graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used therein. However, for large-scale systems, local, global, and dynamic relations extensively exist among sensors, and traditional GNNs often overlook such complex and multi-level structures for various problems including the fault diagnosis. To address this issue, we propose a structure-aware multi-level temporal graph network with local-global feature fusion for industrial fault diagnosis. First, a correlation graph is dynamically constructed using Pearson correlation coefficients to capture relationships among process variables. Then, temporal features are extracted through long short-term memory (LSTM)-based encoder, whereas the spatial dependencies among sensors are learned by graph convolution layers. A multi-level pooling mechanism is used to gradually coarsen and learn meaningful graph structures, to capture higher-level patterns while keeping important fault related details. Finally, a fusion step is applied to combine both detailed local features and overall global patterns before the final prediction. Experimental evaluations on the Tennessee Eastman process (TEP) demonstrate that the proposed model achieves superior fault diagnosis performance, particularly for complex fault scenarios, outperforming various baseline methods.

Large language models are increasingly deployed to simulate patients for clinical training, research, and mental health tools, yet population-level validity remains largely untested. We introduce PsychBench, the first epidemiological audit of LLM patient simulation: 28,800 profiles from four frontier models (GPT-4o-mini, DeepSeek-V3, Gemini-3-Flash, GLM-4.7) evaluated against NHANES and NESARC-III baselines across 120 intersectional cohorts. The central finding is a coherence-fidelity dissociation: models produce clinically plausible individuals while misrepresenting the populations they are drawn from. Variance compression ranges from 14 percent (GLM-4.7) to 62 percent (DeepSeek-V3), eliminating the distributional tails of clinical reality. Despite test-retest correlations above r = 0.90, 36.66 percent of cases cross diagnostic thresholds between runs. Symptom correlation matrices diverge across demographic groups beyond split-half noise, with transgender populations diverging three to five times more than racial differences. Calibration bias is systematic and asymmetric. Models overestimate depression severity for most groups by 3.6 to 6.1 points (Cohen d = 1.13 to 1.91), consistent with training on clinical corpora with elevated base rates. For transgender women the direction inverts: models capture only 8 to 46 percent of documented minority stress elevation, yielding a -5.42 residual (d = -1.55). Models also attribute irritability to Black men and fatigue to women beyond matched controls, encoding racialized and gendered assumptions. Patterns replicate across US and Chinese architectures, indicating failures tied to current training paradigms rather than isolated implementations. For most users, LLM mental health tools risk pathologizing ordinary distress; for transgender users, algorithmic erasure of genuine need. The patients look right. They do not represent real populations.

Vision Language Models (VLMs) have been applied to several specific domains and have shown strong problem-solving capabilities. However, astronomical imaging, a quite complex problem involving multidisciplinary knowledge and several subtasks, has not been adequately studied. Due to the complexity of the astronomical imaging process, both world-class astronomical organizations, such as NASA, and expert enthusiasts devote a great deal of time and effort. This is because the processes in astronomical imaging have complex underlying correlations that significantly influence one another, making the quality diagnosis and error localization of astronomical images challenging. To address this problem, we propose AstroVLM, a collaborative multi-agent system for diagnosing the quality of astronomical images. Experiment results show that AstroVLM outperforms all baselines on real-world astronomical imaging quality diagnosis tasks, providing a reference for language models to handle complicated multi-process tasks.

The communication bottleneck in federated learning (FL) has spurred extensive research into techniques to reduce the volume of data exchanged between client devices and the central parameter server. In this paper, we systematically classify gradient and model compression schemes into three categories based on the type of correlations they exploit: structural, temporal, and spatial. We examine the sources of such correlations, propose quantitative metrics for measuring their magnitude, and reinterpret existing compression methods through this unified correlation-based framework. Our experimental studies demonstrate that the degrees of structural, temporal, and spatial correlations vary significantly depending on task complexity, model architecture, and algorithmic configurations. These findings suggest that algorithm designers should carefully evaluate correlation assumptions under specific deployment scenarios rather than assuming that they are always present. Motivated by these findings, we propose two adaptive compression designs that actively switch between different compression modes based on the measured correlation strength, and we evaluate their performance gains relative to conventional non-adaptive approaches. In summary, our unified taxonomy provides a clean and principled foundation for developing more effective and application-specific compression techniques for FL systems.

Asset retrieval (finding similar assets in a financial universe) is central to quantitative investment decision-making. Existing approaches define similarity through historical price patterns or sector classifications, but such backward-looking criteria provide no guarantee about future behavior. We argue that effective asset retrieval should be future-aligned: the retrieved assets should be those most likely to exhibit correlated future returns. To this end, we propose Future-Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning (FASCL), a representation learning framework whose soft contrastive loss uses pairwise future return correlations as continuous supervision targets. We further introduce an evaluation protocol designed to directly assess whether retrieved assets share similar future trajectories. Experiments on 5,631 US-listed securities against 14 baselines show that FASCL attains the best future return correlation at every retrieval depth and the best rank information coefficient at every depth and horizon, leads on trend consistency in 13 of 16 cells, and gives the highest gross Sharpe ratio in a spread trading backtest at every basket size. Code is available at https://github.com/HyeongminLEE/fascl .

Evaluation of Image Quality Assessment (IQA) models has long been dominated by global correlation metrics, such as Pearson Linear Correlation Coefficient (PLCC) and Spearman Rank-Order Correlation Coefficient (SRCC). While widely adopted, these metrics reduce performance to a single scalar, failing to capture how ranking consistency varies across the local quality spectrum. For example, two IQA models may achieve identical SRCC values, yet one ranks high-quality images (related to high Mean Opinion Score, MOS) more reliably, while the other better discriminates image pairs with small quality/MOS differences (related to $|Δ$MOS$|$). Such complementary behaviors are invisible under global metrics. Moreover, SRCC and PLCC are sensitive to test-sample quality distributions, yielding unstable comparisons across test sets. To address these limitations, we propose \textbf{Granularity-Modulated Correlation (GMC)}, which provides a structured, fine-grained analysis of IQA performance. GMC includes: (1) a \textbf{Granularity Modulator} that applies Gaussian-weighted correlations conditioned on absolute MOS values and pairwise MOS differences ($|Δ$MOS$|$) to examine local performance variations, and (2) a \textbf{Distribution Regulator} that regularizes correlations to mitigate biases from non-uniform quality distributions. The resulting \textbf{correlation surface} maps correlation values as a joint function of MOS and $|Δ$MOS$|$, providing a 3D representation of IQA performance. Experiments on standard benchmarks show that GMC reveals performance characteristics invisible to scalar metrics, offering a more informative and reliable paradigm for analyzing, comparing, and deploying IQA models. Codes are available at https://github.com/Dniaaa/GMC.

Conventional dimensionality reduction methods mainly optimize variance or correlation, leaving statistical dependence, data diversity, contrast, and interpretability under addressed. We propose three new independence criteria for designing supervised and unsupervised dimensionality reduction (DR) methods, aiming to improve feature extraction and representation quality. Our framework combines linear and nonlinear formulations and is evaluated using contrast, classification accuracy, and interpretability measures. The interpretability of eigenfaces helps to effectively summarize dominant class-specific structures and trends within representative images. Evaluated on MNIST and a Gender face dataset for classification and reconstruction, our methods achieve significant improvements in contrast (up to $+$20.1%), accuracy (up to $+$17.4%), and interpretability (up to $+$120.0%) over Principal Component Analysis (PCA), t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE), Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), and Variational Autoencoder (VAE) baselines, while also improving VAE reconstruction performance by 9.5%. These results suggest a promising direction for interpretable representation learning based on statistical dependence and independence criteria.

Unimodal vision models are known to rely on spurious correlations, but it remains unclear to what extent Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) exhibit similar biases despite language supervision. In this paper, we investigate spurious bias in MLLMs and introduce SpurLens, a pipeline that leverages GPT-4 and open-set object detectors to automatically identify spurious visual cues without human supervision. Our findings reveal that spurious correlations cause two major failure modes in MLLMs: (1) over-reliance on spurious cues for object recognition, where removing these cues reduces accuracy, and (2) object hallucination, where spurious cues amplify the hallucination by over 10x. We validate our findings in various MLLMs and datasets. Beyond diagnosing these failures, we explore potential mitigation strategies, such as prompt ensembling and reasoning-based prompting, and conduct ablation studies to examine the root causes of spurious bias in MLLMs. By exposing the persistence of spurious correlations, our study calls for more rigorous evaluation methods and mitigation strategies to enhance the reliability of MLLMs.

Machine learning models are inherently bound to the distribution of the training data, often exploiting non-causal shortcuts. As a result, achieving robustness to spurious correlations remains a challenge. While existing approaches rely on data manipulation or re-weighting strategies to achieve robustness, they typically require dense group labels, multiple training domains, or specialized pre-processing. We propose Invariance Pair Guidance (IPG), a method to mitigate reliance on spurious correlations using a sparse set of counterfactual pairs. Unlike other methods demanding extensive supervision, IPG utilizes a novel dual-update mechanism to dynamically correct the optimization trajectory. We generate input pairs that isolate the spurious attribute to define the invariance, a characteristic that should not affect the outcome of the model. Based on these pairs, we define a corrective gradient that complements the traditional gradient descent approach. The correction adapts via a predefined invariance condition. Experiments on ColoredMNIST, Waterbirds-100, and CelebA datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach and its robustness to group shifts, supported by a theoretical convergence analysis. IPG offers a data-efficient and theoretically grounded path to robustness.

Despite substantial advances, large language models (LLMs) continue to exhibit hallucinations, generating plausible yet incorrect responses. In this paper, we highlight a critical yet previously underexplored class of hallucinations driven by spurious correlations -- superficial but statistically prominent associations between features (e.g., surnames) and attributes (e.g., nationality) present in the training data. We demonstrate that these spurious correlations induce hallucinations that are confidently generated, immune to model scaling, evade current detection methods, and persist even after refusal fine-tuning. Through systematically controlled synthetic experiments and empirical evaluations on state-of-the-art open-source and proprietary LLMs (including GPT-5), we show that existing hallucination detection methods, such as confidence-based filtering and inner-state probing, fundamentally fail in the presence of spurious correlations. Our theoretical analysis further elucidates why these statistical biases intrinsically undermine confidence-based detection techniques. Our findings thus emphasize the urgent need for new approaches explicitly designed to address hallucinations caused by spurious correlations.