Traffic Forecasting

Ask about this topic

Overview

Traffic forecasting estimates how movement and demand will change across road networks, transit systems, airspace, and communications networks, supporting planning, routing, and resource allocation. Common approaches combine graph neural networks, temporal convolutions, attention-based Transformers, and newer state-space models; other work uses signal decomposition, physical or agent-based simulation, and contextual data such as incidents, weather, or mobility patterns. Researchers are extending these models with probabilistic predictions, foundation models, and online, continual, or federated adaptation to handle uncertainty, privacy, and changing conditions. A central challenge is making forecasts accurate and efficient while ensuring they transfer across places, sensor configurations, and traffic regimes—and that improvements in forecast metrics actually help downstream decisions.

Latest papers

CardsList

87 papers8 papers in the last four weeks, down 20% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. TSNN: A Non-parametric and Interpretable Framework for Traffic Time Series Forecasting

    May 9, 2026Bowen Liu, Haijian Lai, Chan-Tong Lam +4Time Series ForecastingTraffic Forecasting

    Faculty of Applied Sciences, Macao Polytechnic University, Macao SAR, China

  2. Efficient Prompt Learning for Traffic Forecasting

    May 8, 2026Qianru Zhang, Xinyi Gao, Alexander Zhou +3OOD GeneralizationPrompt Tuning

    School of Computing and Data Science The University of Hong Kong · School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science The University of Queensland · Department of Computing The Hong Kong Polytechnic University

  3. Generalising Travel Time Prediction To Varying Route Choices In Urban Networks

    May 7, 2026Łukasz Gorczyca, Kacper Drozd, Michał Bujak +1Intelligent Transportation SystemsTraffic Flow Estimation

    Jagiellonian University Doctoral School of Exact and Natural Sciences · Jagiellonian University

  4. Road Risk Monitor: A Deployable U.S. Road Incident Forecasting System with Live Weather and Road-Level Tiles

    May 5, 2026Anton IvchenkoIntelligent Transportation SystemsTraffic Accident Anticipation

  5. Local Truncation Error-Guided Neural ODEs for Large Scale Traffic Forecasting

    May 5, 2026Xiao Zhang, Yafei Li, Ruixiang Wang +3Spatiotemporal ForecastingNeural ODEs

    Zhengzhou University · Northwestern Polytechnical University

  6. CNN-based Multi-In-Multi-Out Model for Efficient Spatiotemporal Prediction

    May 2, 2026Hyeonseok JinEfficient Neural Network InferencePrecipitation Forecasting

    Department of Artificial Intelligence Convergence, Graduate School, Chonnam National University

  7. Forecasting Individual NetFlows using a Predictive Masked Graph Autoencoder

    Apr 22, 2026Georgios Anyfantis, Pere Barlet-RosTemporal GNNsTraffic Forecasting

    Department of Computer Architecture Universitat Polit`ecnica de Catalunya Barcelona, Spain

  8. GAMMA-Net: Adaptive Long-Horizon Traffic Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Model based on Interleaved Graph Attention and Multi-Axis Mamba

    Apr 18, 2026Dongyi He, Yuanquan Gao, Bin Jiang +1Long-Term Time Series ForecastingIntelligent Transportation Systems

    School of Artificial Intelligence, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing, 400054, China

  9. FedLLM: A Privacy-Preserving Federated Large Language Model for Explainable Traffic Flow Prediction

    Apr 17, 2026Seerat Kaur, Sukhjit Singh Sehra, Dariush EbrahimiPrivacy-Preserving Language ModelsTraffic Flow Estimation

    Department of Physics & Computer Science, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Canada

  10. Unveiling Stochasticity: Universal Multi-modal Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

    Apr 17, 2026Weijiang Xiong, Robert Fonod, Nikolas GeroliminisTraffic ForecastingProbabilistic Time Series Forecasting

    Urban Transport Systems Laboratory (LUTS), EPFL, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland

  11. FAST: A Synergistic Framework of Attention and State-space Models for Spatiotemporal Traffic Prediction

    Apr 15, 2026Xinjin Li, Jinghan Cao, Mengyue Wang +5Spatiotemporal ForecastingTraffic Forecasting

    Columbia University New York, NY, USA · San Francisco State University San Francisco, CA, USA · University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA, USA +5

  12. Interpretable long-term traffic modelling on national road networks using theory-informed deep learning

    Mar 27, 2026Yue Li, Shujuan Chen, Akihiro Shimoda +1Traffic ForecastingTraffic Flow Estimation

    Martin Centre for Architectural and Urban Studies, University of Cambridge, 1–5 Scroope Terrace, Cambridge, CB2 1PX, United Kingdom · Independent Researcher, Cambridge, United Kingdom

  13. Ultra-fast Traffic Nowcasting and Control via Differentiable Agent-based Simulation

    Mar 26, 2026Fumiyasu Makinoshima, Yuya Yamaguchi, Eigo Segawa +2Intelligent Transportation SystemsAgent-Based Modeling

    Fujitsu Limited, Kawasaki, Japan · Fujitsu Research of America, Pittsburgh, PA, USA · Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA +1

  14. Long-Horizon Traffic Forecasting via Incident-Aware Conformal Spatio-Temporal Transformers

    Mar 17, 2026Mayur Patil, Qadeer Ahmed, Shawn Midlam-Mohler +4Spatiotemporal TransformersTraffic Forecasting

    Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering and the Center for Automotive Research, The Ohio State University · Ohio Department of Transportation · Honda Research Institute USA, Inc.

  15. Spatial PDE-aware Selective State-space with Nested Memory for Mobile Traffic Grid Forecasting

    Mar 12, 2026Zineddine Bettouche, Khalid Ali, Andreas Fischer +1Spatiotemporal ForecastingTraffic Forecasting

    Deggendorf Institute of Technology, Dieter-Görlitz-Platz 1, 94469 Deggendorf

  16. VisiFold: Long-Term Traffic Forecasting via Temporal Folding Graph and Node Visibility

    Mar 12, 2026Zhiwei Zhang, Xinyi Du, Weihao Wang +2Traffic ForecastingLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

    Key Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Beijing Jiaotong University), Ministry of Education · School of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China · Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

  17. Deep Learning Network-Temporal Models For Traffic Prediction

    Mar 12, 2026Yufeng Xin, Ethan FanMultivariate Time Series ForecastingLLM-Based Time Series Forecasting

    RENCI, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill, NC, USA

  18. AI-Enhanced Spatial Cellular Traffic Demand Prediction with Contextual Clustering and Error Correction for 5G/6G Planning

    Mar 11, 2026Mohamad Alkadamani, Colin Brown, Halim YanikomerogluTraffic ForecastingWireless Communications

    Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada (ISED) · Carleton University · Communications Research Centre (CRC)

  19. DWAFM: Dynamic Weighted Graph Structure Embedding Integrated with Attention and Frequency-Domain MLPs for Traffic Forecasting

    Mar 1, 2026Sen Shi, Zhichao Zhang, Yangfan HeTraffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China · Hubei Key Laboratory of Applied Mathematics, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China · Key Laboratory of System Control and Information Processing, Ministry of Education, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China +2

  20. Time Series Foundation Models as Strong Baselines in Transportation Forecasting: A Large-Scale Benchmark Analysis

    Feb 27, 2026Javier Yanes-Pulido, Filipe RodriguesTime-Series Foundation ModelsZero-Shot Time Series Forecasting

    Technical University of Denmark, Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark

  21. Learning from Yesterday's Error: An Efficient Online Learning Method for Traffic Demand Prediction

    Feb 25, 2026Xiannan Huang, Quan Yuan, Chao YangTraffic ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering, Ministry of Education at Tongji University, 4800 Cao’an Road, Shanghai, 201804, Shanghai, China · Urban Mobility Institute, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai, 200092, Shanghai, China

  22. Positional-aware Spatio-Temporal Network for Large-Scale Traffic Prediction

    Feb 25, 2026Runfei ChenTraffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal GNNs

    Urban Mobility Institute Tongji University Shanghai, China, 200092

  23. MMCAformer: Macro-Micro Cross-Attention Transformer for Traffic Speed Prediction with Microscopic Connected Vehicle Driving Behavior

    Feb 17, 2026Lei Han, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Younggun Kim +2Traffic ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Smart and Safe Transportation lab at the Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, USA

  24. UniST-Pred: A Robust Unified Framework for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecasting in Transportation Networks Under Disruptions

    Feb 15, 2026Yue Wang, Djellel Difallah, Areg Karapetyan +1Intelligent Transportation SystemsSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    New York University Abu Dhabi

  25. HieraMix: A Hierarchical MLP-Mixer for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting

    Nov 26, 2025Yongyao Wang, Xie Yu, Jingyuan Wang +2Intelligent Transportation SystemsSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    1State Key Laboratory of Complex & Critical Software Environment (SKLCCSE) · School of Computer Science and Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China · 3MOE Engineering Research Center of Advanced Computer Application Technology, Beihang University, China

  26. Efficient Traffic State Prediction With Dynamic Joint Spatio-Temporal Relation Inference

    Apr 10, 2025Zhifeng Hao, Kai Hu, Juncai Zhang +2Temporal Convolutional NetworksDynamic Graph Learning

    School of Cyberspace Security, Hainan University, Haikou, China

  27. Spatio-Temporal Partial Sensing Forecast for Long-term Traffic

    Aug 2, 2024Zibo Liu, Zhe Jiang, Zelin Xu +5Long-Term Time Series ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Department of Computer & Information Science & Engineering, University of Florida · Department of Computer Science, University of Kentucky