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Deep super-resolution networks for precipitation downscaling achieve strong bulk skill yet systematically under-predict the heavy-tail events that drive flood risk. We demonstrate that the primary obstacle is the loss function, not the data: under intensity-weighted MAE, real and synthetic labels at the same input are simply averaged, meaning data augmentation shifts the predicted mean rather than the conditional distribution. We resolve this with Q-SRDRN, a multi-quantile super-resolution network trained with pinball loss at tau in 0.50, 0.95, 0.99, 0.999. Two CNN-specific design choices make this practical: IncrementBound enforces monotonicity while preserving each quantile channel's gradient identity, and separate per-quantile output heads provide independent filter banks for bulk and tail detection. Under this design, data augmentation via cVAE becomes complementary: the median head absorbs synthetic patterns without contaminating upper quantiles. Empirically, on Florida (convective/tropical-cyclone dominated), the un-augmented Q-SRDRN P999 head detects 1,598 of 2,111 events at 200 mm/day versus 88 for the deterministic baseline--an 18x detection-rate gain (4.2% to 75.7%)--with 63% lower KL divergence and 3.9% lower RMSE. Adding cVAE-generated samples lifts the P50 channel from 14 to 1,038 hits at 200 mm/day. On California (atmospheric-river dominated), the architecture reaches near-perfect detection (P999 SEDI >= 0.996 through 300 mm/day). On Texas, the baseline catches only 2 of 10,720 events at 200 mm/day while the P999 head catches 8,776 (81.9%). While the cVAE does not transfer across regions, multi-quantile regression captures extremes wherever the large-scale signal is strong, while augmentation rescues the median where it is not.

Psychological defense mechanisms (PDMs) are unconscious cognitive processes that modulate how individuals perceive and respond to emotional distress. Automatically classifying PDMs from text is clinically valuable but severely hindered by data scarcity and class imbalance, challenges which generative augmentation alone cannot resolve without psychological grounding. In this work, we address these challenges in the PsyDefDetect shared task (BioNLP@ACL 2026) by proposing a context-aware synthetic augmentation framework combined with a hybrid classification model. Our hybrid model integrates contextual language representations with basic clinical features, along with 150 annotated defense items. Experiments demonstrate that definition quality in prompting directly governs generation fidelity and downstream performance. Our method surpasses DMRS Co-Pilot, reaching an accuracy of 58.26% (+40.25%) and a macro-F1 of 24.62% (+15.99%), thereby establishing a strong baseline for psychologically grounded defense mechanism classification in low-resource settings. Source code is available at: https://github.com/htdgv/CASA-PDC.

Discrete diffusion models are widely used for learning and generating discrete distributions. As the generation process is inherently sequential, the acceleration of sampling is of significant importance. In this work, we parallelize the mainstream $τ$-leaping algorithm for absorbing discrete diffusion in a Continuous-Time Markov Chain (CTMC) framework. By leveraging the continuous-time stochastic integral form of the $τ$-leaping algorithm and the Picard iteration method, we achieve parallel-in-time sampling acceleration and provide a proof of exponential-factorial convergence for our algorithm. We improve the overall time complexity of $τ$-leaping under absorbing settings from ${\mathcal{O}}(d \log S)$ to ${\mathcal{O}}(\log (d\log S)\cdot \log d)$ with respect to NFE. Empirically, our method shows consistent acceleration across synthetic and real-data settings. The new sampler achieves at most $7$--$9\times$ runtime speedup for synthetic distribution, and maintains the same quality with $50\%$ fewer NFE and $1.45$--$1.86\times$ runtime speedups in image/text tasks on a single GPU. Our research expands the potential of discrete diffusion models for efficient parallel inference, with broader implications for applications such as molecular structure and language generation.

There is a growing interest in utilizing synthetic populations for a diverse range of applications. At the same time, we are witnessing a tremendous growth in artificial intelligence in all walks of life. This paper evaluates whether zero-shot large language model (LLM)-generated health survey data can serve as inputs to a conventional iterative proportional fitting (IPF) workflow for geographically explicit population synthesis. Using the 2023 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we generate synthetic survey records for the U.S. states of Colorado and Mississippi with GPT-4.1 and Gemini-2.5-Pro. We use the generated data in an IPF-based synthesis pipeline and evaluate the resulting census tract-level synthetic populations against external benchmarks. Results show both LLMs capture several major state-level contrasts, indicating zero-shot generation produces geographically differentiated survey data. However, performance is strongly variable-dependent. Downstream effects in population synthesis are mixed, as IPF sometimes amplifies or reduces errors in the generated data. Spatial validation shows that LLM-based populations reproduce census tract-level patterns reasonably well, especially for variables that were more aligned with the ground truth data. Overall, the LLM-generated survey data shows promise as supplementary input, but not yet as a replacement for real survey data.

Selective conformal prediction can yield substantially tighter uncertainty sets when we can identify calibration examples that are exchangeable with the test example. In interventional settings, such as perturbation experiments in genomics, exchangeability often holds only within subsets of interventions that leave a target variable "unaffected" (e.g., non-descendants of an intervened node in a causal graph). We study the practical regime where this invariance structure is unknown and must be estimated from data. Our main result quantifies how coverage degrades when the estimated safe calibration set accidentally includes interventions that affect the target, and gives a conservative correction when an upper bound on this error is available. Rather than learning a full causal graph, we learn only the intervention-target relationships needed to choose calibration interventions. We give algorithms for this partial learning task and evaluate them on synthetic structural equation models and Replogle K562 CRISPR-interference data, where the experiments illustrate synthetic gains from selective calibration and finite-sample tradeoffs on real perturbation screens.

Pixel-space diffusion models are trained on full-bandwidth noisy images, yet the useful signal available to the denoiser is strongly frequency dependent. Under rectified-flow diffusion and natural-image power-law spectra, the per-band data-to-noise contour $k^{*}(t) = (1-t)^{-2/α}$ separates a signal-bearing low-frequency region from a noise-dominated high-frequency region at each time $t$. We show that this implicit coarse-to-fine structure is not merely descriptive: it induces a capacity-allocation problem. A standard pixel-space denoiser must discover the moving bandwidth boundary internally and can spend computation on frequency-time regions where the optimal prediction collapses to deterministic baselines rather than data-distribution modeling. To make this boundary explicit, we introduce Spectral Forcing, a parameter-free, time-conditional 2D-DCT low-pass operator applied to the noisy input before the patch embedder. Its cutoff expands monotonically with the diffusion time and becomes the identity at the data endpoint. Through controlled synthetic experiments, we identify the regime in which the operator is beneficial: coarse patch tokenization and data whose high-frequency content is predominantly noise rather than essential signal. On ImageNet-256 with JiT-700M/32, Spectral Forcing consistently improves both FID and Inception Score across different training epochs, demonstrating robust gains throughout training; at finer tokenization, the spectral forcing is still competitive. We further insert the unchanged operator into SenseNova-U1, a unified text-to-image model, where it improves DPG-Bench and GenEval, showing that the input-side spectral prior transfers beyond class-conditional generation. These results suggest a route to capacity-efficient pixel-space diffusion by showing the signal and hiding the noise.

Multi-turn prompt injection follows a known attack path -- trust-building, pivoting, escalation but text-level defenses miss covert attacks where individual turns appear benign. We show this attack path leaves an activation-level signature in the model's residual stream: each phase shift moves the activation, producing a total path length far exceeding benign conversations. We call this adversarial restlessness. Five scalar trajectory features capturing this signal lift conversation-level detection from 76.2% to 93.8% on synthetic held-out data. The signal replicates across four model families (24B-70B); probes are model-specific and do not transfer across architectures. Generalization is source-dependent: leave-one-source-out evaluation shows each of synthetic, LMSYS-Chat-1M, and SafeDialBench captures distinct attack distributions, with detection on real-world LMSYS reaching 47-71% when its distribution is represented in training. Combined three-source training achieves 89.4% detection at 2.4% false positive rate on a held-out mixed set. We further show that three-phase turn-level labels(benign/pivoting/adversarial) unique to our synthetic dataset are essential: binary conversation-level labels produce 50-59% false positives. These results establish adversarial restlessness as a reliable activation-level signal and characterize the data requirements for practical deployment.

Time-series data augmentation plays a crucial role in regression-oriented forecasting tasks, where limited data restricts the performance of deep learning models. While Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown promise in synthetic time-series generation, existing approaches primarily focus on matching marginal data distributions and often overlook the temporal dynamics that naturally exist in the original multivariate time series. When generating multivariate time series, this mismatch leads to distribution shift and temporal drift, thereby degrading the fidelity of the synthetic sequences. In this work, we propose a model-agnostic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-based framework to mitigate distribution shift and preserve temporal dynamics in synthetic time series. We provide a theoretical analysis of how conditional generative models accumulate deviations under sequential generation and demonstrate that the MCMC algorithm can correct these discrepancies by enforcing consistency with empirical transition statistics between neighboring time points. Extensive experiments on the Lorenz, Licor, ETTh, and ILI datasets using RCGAN, GCWGAN, TimeGAN, SigCWGAN, and AECGAN demonstrate that the proposed MCMC framework consistently improves autocorrelation alignment, skewness error, kurtosis error, R$^2$, discriminative score, and predictive score. These results suggest that synthetic time series consistent with the original data require explicit preservation of transition laws rather than solely relying on adversarial distribution matching, thereby offering a principled direction for improving generative modeling of time-series data.

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online environments where data distributions evolve over time. Several recent approaches have been proposed to address this limitation, but, typically, they slowly adapt to distribution shifts because they update predictions only in a forward manner, that is, they generate a prediction for a newly observed data point while previously computed predictions are not updated. In this paper, we propose a novel online conformal inference method with retrospective adjustment, which is designed to achieve faster adaptation to distributional shifts. Our method leverages regression approaches with efficient leave-one-out update formulas to retroactively adjust past predictions when new data arrive, thereby aligning the entire set of predictions with the most recent data distribution. Through extensive numerical studies performed on both synthetic and real-world data sets, we show that the proposed approach achieves coverage close to the nominal level while reducing predictive interval width by up to approximately 30% compared to existing online conformal prediction methods, demonstrating improved statistical efficiency alongside faster adaptation.

Cultural heritage collections often contain contemporary and historical visual records of the same physical object. Linking these records is difficult because corresponding images may differ in viewpoint, acquisition conditions, color reproduction, framing, resolution, and degradation, while genuine historical images are frequently scarce. This study investigates whether synthetically aged contemporary images can replace or complement missing historical training data in bidirectional instance-level retrieval. Synthetic old-domain images are generated using degradation-oriented transformations. An EfficientNetV2-M model is evaluated on identity-disjoint training, validation, and test sets across three dataset partitions and three training seeds. Mixed real-synthetic training is compared with real-only baselines using proportionally scaled and fixed 300-batch-per-epoch schedules. Complete replacement of genuine historical images reduced bidirectional mean R@1 from 86.56% to 81.27%, showing that synthetic aging does not reproduce the full genuine old-domain variability. Increasing the number of independently generated synthetic variants provided no consistent improvement. Under controlled scarcity, however, synthetic completion improved mean R@1 by 3.69 percentage points at 25% genuine historical coverage and by 2.92 points at 50%, relative to the proportionally scaled real-only baselines. At 75%, the gain decreased to 2.00 points, while performance remained comparable to the complete-real-data reference. Fixed-schedule real-only controls did not reproduce these improvements. The results indicate that genuine and synthetic observations are complementary. Synthetic completion primarily benefits retrieval by extending cross-domain identity coverage rather than by increasing training exposure, with its contribution gradually decreasing as genuine historical coverage increases.

Background manipulation is a practical but under-specified image-forensics setting: the manipulated evidence can sit outside the salient foreground object, while many evaluations emphasize object-centric copy-move, splicing, or generic synthetic edits. We introduce BG-REAL, a public real-data anchored benchmark package for background manipulation detection and localization. The current release is built from Open Images V7 instance-segmentation sources and contains 7,000 processed samples over 1,200 source groups, including 6,000 public-data anchored samples and 1,000 synthetic control samples. BG-REAL covers six edit families, matched authentic controls, source-group splits, mask and leakage QA, 599 human-assisted quality-control rows, three completed external baselines (TruFor, MVSS-Net, and HiFi-Net), and five-seed model evaluation. Beyond aggregate accuracy, we use matched-authentic-control diagnostics to measure how often baselines misclassify re-encoded authentic images as manipulated at a threshold fixed on held-out validation data; false-positive rates range from 0.57 (TruFor, the lowest) to 1.00 (several weak or mask-informed baselines), indicating that re-encoding artifacts are a shared shortcut risk across baselines rather than a problem specific to any one model. The release provides the construction pipeline, evaluation protocol, paper-ready figures, and reproduction documentation. We frame BG-REAL as a background-manipulation-focused complement to general image-manipulation-localization benchmarks, not as a fully real-only or general-purpose benchmark.

Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance across many tasks, but their high computational cost limits deployment in resource-constrained environments. Knowledge Distillation (KD) offers a practical solution by transferring knowledge from a teacher model of a larger size to a smaller student model. While prior work has mainly examined task-specific or small-scale settings, the post-training stage for building general instruction-following models has received limited attention. In this paper, we conduct a systematic study of KD in post-training using the large-scale Tulu 3 dataset. We find that KD outperforms supervised fine-tuning (SFT) in low-data regimes, but its advantage diminishes as more training data is added. Distilling from a stronger instruction-tuned teacher restores substantial gains even with abundant data, indicating that KD remains effective when the teacher provides knowledge that the student cannot easily acquire from the training data alone. We further study domain-specific, low-resource scenarios and propose a two-stage KD strategy that leverages synthetic teacher-labeled data followed by refinement on human annotations. This method consistently improves student performance, providing practical guidance for building compact models in data-scarce environments.

We introduce a new context-enriched, multimodal time series forecasting benchmark, TimesX. TimesX contains a wide selection of high-quality real-world time series with diverse domains and textual contexts obtained from an automated data generation pipeline, which helps address three main issues of existing multimodal forecasting benchmarks: (1) poor generalization due to the small scale and synthetic nature of benchmark data, (2) very limited types of textual contexts in the benchmarks, and (3) an inability to mitigate data leakage in evaluation. We conduct a thorough empirical study of zero-shot multimodal forecasting approaches on TimesX. Our results suggest that many approaches that perform well on existing benchmarks may fail on TimesX. In contrast, simple ensemble methods that leverage rich textual context accompanying time-series can outperform strong baselines on TimesX.

Collaborative machine learning (CML) enables multiple clients to train a global model jointly in a data-distributed setting. To address data privacy and communication efficiency, one-shot CML has been increasingly adopted, where clients communicate with the server only once by sharing synthetic or processed proxy data. This single-round communication, however, eliminates the possibility of iterative correction at the server, making the learning process particularly vulnerable to client unreliability. In this setting, unreliable clients, whether malicious or non-malicious, may provide biased proxy data that favors certain groups, thereby degrading the fairness of the global model and harming minority or unprivileged groups. In this work, we propose a server-side defense framework based on a bilevel optimization formulation. The proposed approach learns client-level weights to mitigate the influence of biased client proxy data while enforcing fairness constraints by using a very small trusted root dataset available at the server. Experimental results on benchmark datasets show that our method improves fairness with little accuracy loss under biased proxy data contributions from unreliable clients. Moreover, the proposed approach remains effective even when unreliable clients make up a majority of the system, consistently outperforming other existing methods.

Relational Foundation Models (RFMs) require large-scale synthetic relational databases for pretraining, but existing approaches tightly couple data generation with the model training pipeline. We study whether PluRel, a general-purpose synthetic relational database generator, can serve as an external data source for RDB-PFN, a relational in-context learner originally pretrained with a 600K-task single-table warm-up followed by an approximately 1.8M-task adaptation stage. We build a conversion pipeline that maps PluRel-generated databases, including externally constructed binary prediction tasks, into the RDB-PFN training format and evaluate three curriculum strategies: SCHEMA-GUIDED FIRST (real-world schema then fully synthetic), FULLY SYNTHETIC (diverse synthetic schemas throughout), and SCHEMA-GUIDED LAST (fully synthetic then real-world schema). Using only approximately 5,500 relational databases (approximately 33K tasks), roughly 55x fewer tasks than the original protocol, and no single-table warm-up, our best curriculum (SCHEMA-GUIDED FIRST) achieves 0.6346 average ROC-AUC across 19 real benchmark tasks at 1024-shot context, recovering 87.6% of the published RDB-PFN performance (0.7245). At 64-shot context, the gap narrows to 93.8% (0.6116 vs. 0.6517). Our results demonstrate that external synthetic generators can provide useful pretraining signals for RFMs when combined with appropriate curriculum design and that exposure to a real-world schema early in training is substantially more effective than late-stage schema adaptation.

Complex-valued signals like MRI and audio spectrograms are typically modelled as flat two-channel Euclidean data. The inherited Euclidean metric $dA^2 + A^2 dθ^2$ vanishes at the origin, leaving phase unpenalised exactly where the signal is weakest. We replace it with the decoupled product metric $dA^2 + dθ^2$ on the cylindrical closure $[0, \infty) \times S^1$, which stays non-degenerate at $A = 0$. We measure what this substitution costs and buys. Exact analytical bridges across synthetic fields, fastMRI knee data, and LibriSpeech spectrograms show Cartesian paths induce a heavy-tailed angular velocity distribution (Pareto index $\approx 1$). Under independent coupling, 43%-49% of signal energy falls on paths turning faster than $π$ rad per unit time. Cylindrical paths never reach this speed. We formulate Cylindrical Flow Matching (CyFM) to strictly bound the angular regression target, coupling noise and data via exact minibatch Optimal Transport jointly over whole fields. This coupling reduces few-step generation error by 3%-60%. CyFM achieves lower generative error than the best Cartesian baseline at every step up to $k = 8$ on synthetic fields and speech spectrograms, with all seeds separated. On knee MRI, the single-step advantage is 1.8x. At convergence ($k = 100$), the two geometries show no significant difference. Finally, a prior-only control exposes the cost of flat parametrisation: on synthetic fields, a single Cartesian Euler step performs worse than the unintegrated noise prior (0.376 vs. 0.150).

Gradient boosted decision trees require a stopping rule to avoid overfitting. The standard rule monitors a validation loss and stops if the loss fails to improve for a fixed patience period. However, the patience parameter has no interpretable scale and validation losses can be noisy or implicitly defined by a user-specified gradient. We propose ScoreStop, a gradient-based early-stopping rule that casts the stopping decision at each iteration as a test of the null hypothesis that the current predictor is the population risk minimizer. We use a functional score test, computed on validation data, with a statistic that is scale-invariant in the update direction, with a known asymptotic distribution under the null. Because our test uses gradients rather than loss values, the same construction applies to implicit losses such as LambdaRank, and data-dependent losses such as Cox regression via influence functions. In synthetic experiments and real-data benchmarks, we show that ScoreStop is competitive with loss-based methods.

Single-arm trials are an important study design for evaluating drug efficacy and safety without enrolling patients into a control arm. Although they do not provide the gold-standard evidence of randomized controlled trials, they are increasingly used in clinical development as they offer an efficient, ethical, and practical alternative. A wide variety of approaches can be used to construct control comparators and estimate treatment effects, from fixed comparators informed by clinical knowledge to data-based and model-based patient-level comparators, also known as synthetic controls. Powerful and flexible machine learning models can allow outcome-model-based synthetic controls to overcome key limitations of direct data-based approaches, yield more robust estimates of treatment effects, and provide a principled way to incorporate corrections or encode additional assumptions when external data are not directly comparable. In this work, we argue that outcome-model-based synthetic control arms are an important tool for single-arm trials. We focus on digital twins, personalized predictions of disease progression generated from machine learning models trained on historical datasets, which naturally leverage these flexible approaches. We review doubly robust estimators, present power and sample size formulas, and discuss trade-offs in selecting historical data for training and analysis. We also outline practical considerations for deploying digital twins within the framework of recent FDA draft guidance on the use of artificial intelligence in drug development. Finally, we reanalyze data from trials in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and Huntington's disease to demonstrate the proposed methods.

The importance of clear and correct text in legal documents cannot be understated, and, consequently, a grammatical error correction tool meant to assist a professional in the law must have the ability to understand the possible errors in the context of a legal environment, correcting them accordingly, and implicitly needs to be trained in the same environment, using realistic legal data. However, the manually annotated data required by such a process is in short supply for languages such as Romanian, much less for a niche domain. The most common approach is the synthetic generation of parallel data; however, it requires a structured understanding of the Romanian grammar. In this paper, we introduce, to our knowledge, the first Romanian-language parallel dataset for the detection and correction of grammatical errors in the legal domain, RoLegalGEC, which aggregates 350,000 examples of errors in legal passages, along with error annotations. Moreover, we evaluate several neural network models that transform the dataset into a valuable tool for both detecting and correcting grammatical errors, including knowledge-distillation Transformers, sequence tagging architectures for detection, and a variety of pre-trained text-to-text Transformer models for correction. We consider that the set of models, together with the novel RoLegalGEC dataset, will enrich the resource base for further research on Romanian.

Imitation learning enables robots to acquire complex manipulation skills from demonstrations, but its effectiveness is limited by the cost of collecting high-quality data. Trajectory-level data augmentation methods alleviate this challenge by recombining expert demonstrations under varied initial states. However, such methods typically insert interpolations or other non-expert transition segments between disjoint parts, and such non-expert segments could reduce the quality of the generated data. This paper introduces Minimizing Interpolation (MinInter), an effective trajectory selection method that, for each sampled initial configuration, chooses the source demonstration requiring the least interpolation to form a complete trajectory. By explicitly minimizing interpolations during data generation, MinInter produces higher-quality synthetic demonstrations while remaining compatible with existing data generation frameworks. Experiments on 12 manipulation tasks with 26 variants from the MimicGen benchmark show that MinInter consistently improves both data generation success rates and policy success rates, with the largest gains on contact-rich, long-horizon and high-variance settings. Compared to the recent SkillGen framework, MinInter achieves higher policy success rates despite its conceptual simplicity, underscoring the value of interpolation minimization for data augmentation.

Accurate 3D reconstruction of objects with reflective, transparent, or low-texture surfaces still remains notoriously challenging. Such materials often violate key assumptions in multi-view reconstruction pipelines, such as photometric consistency and the availability on distinct geometric texture cues. Existing datasets primarily focus on diffuse, textured objects, and therefore provide limited insight into performance under real-world material complexities. We introduce 3DReflecNet, a large-scale hybrid dataset exceeding 22 TB that is specifically designed to benchmark and advance 3D vision methods for these challenging materials. 3DReflecNet combines two types of data: over 120,000 synthetic instances generated via physically-based rendering of more than 12,000 shapes, and over 1,000 real-world objects captured using consumer devices. Together, these data consist of more than 7 million multi-view frames. The dataset spans diverse materials, complex lighting conditions, and a wide range of geometric forms, including shapes generated from both real and LLM-synthesized 2D images using diffusion-based pipelines. To support robust evaluation, we design benchmarks for five core tasks: image matching, structure-from-motion, novel view synthesis, reflection removal, and relighting. Extensive experiments demonstrate that state-of-the-art methods struggle to maintain accuracy across these settings, highlighting the need for more resilient 3D vision models.

Vision-language models (VLMs) are now widely used in downstream tasks. However, real-world applications often expose VLMs to distribution shifts induced by semantic variation (e.g., shape, size, and style). Robustness certification determines if a model's prediction changes when transformations are applied to its input. While most certification frameworks study geometric or pixel-level transformations over inputs, this work proposes a novel framework that enables certifying VLM robustness under semantic-level transformations. Leveraging the open-vocabulary capability of VLMs, we use text prompts as semantic proxies to construct transformations parameterized by an extent that controls the degree of semantic variation. By characterizing the VLM decision boundary in closed form, our framework quantitatively certifies extent intervals for which the predicted class remains unchanged under the semantic transformation. Our framework is the first to certify VLM robustness under semantic-level variations without requiring additional data for each variation, making it practical to apply. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world data show that our framework enables certifying robustness under diverse semantic variations across scenarios.

Mid-infrared astronomy from the ground faces critical challenges in accurately detecting and quantifying sources due to the dominant spatially and time-variable background noise. Moreover, chopping and nodding, the traditional methods for dealing with these background issues, will not be technically feasible on the next generation of extremely large telescopes. This limitation requires the development of novel computational methods for a robust background reduction. We present and evaluate a novel method named LOw-RAnk Background ELimination (LORABEL) to improve the sensitivity of mid-infrared astronomical observations, without the need for classical telescope nodding, source masking, or other overheads in observing time. We applied a low-rank background-reduction strategy to (1) data taken on the ground with the VISIR with synthetically injected sources, and (2) airborne data from SOFIA. We compared the performance of our new method to classical chopping and nodding techniques, and analysed the effect on source photometry and detection precision for different observational scenarios. In regimes with a low signal-to-noise ratio (S/N $<5$) in the ground-based VISIR data, LORABEL reduces variation in the photometric error with respect to chopping differences alone and even the classical chop-nod sequence, at the cost of introducing a bias. Secondly, we demonstrate that LORABEL increases detection precision in comparison to traditional background-reduction methods. For the SOFIA dataset, we achieve a $20-100$ fold decrease in mean background flux with respect to the traditional chop-nod method while preserving most of the source flux. Our findings suggest that LORABEL is applicable to a wider range of instrumental observation, that is, both ground-based and airborne, and it is a suitable tool in the context of faint-source detection.

Incomplete propagation data significantly hinders robust fake news detection. Recent approaches leverage large language models to simulate missing user interactions via role-playing, thereby enriching propagation with synthetic signals. However, such propagation data is intrinsically unreliable, and directly fusing it can lead to biased representations, leading to limited detection performance. In this paper, we alleviate the unreliability of synthetic propagation from the mutual information perspective and propose a novel information-theoretic propagation denoising and fusion (InfoPDF) framework to learn effective representations from both real and synthetic propagation. Specifically, we first generate attribute-specific synthetic propagation using large language models. Then we model each synthetic propagation graph as a probabilistic latent distribution to guide reliability-aware adaptive fusion with real propagation. During training, we design a mutual information-based objective to learn compressed and task-sufficient propagation representations. It jointly suppresses noisy signals across attribute-specific synthetic propagation, maintains consistency between real and synthetic propagation representations, and ensures task sufficiency for fake news detection and attribute prediction. Experiments on three real-world datasets show that InfoPDF consistently achieves superior performance across various fake news detection tasks. Further analysis demonstrates that InfoPDF can estimate attribute-level reliabilities and learn more discriminative propagation representations.

Time series data are essential for a wide range of applications, yet access to high-quality datasets is often constrained by privacy concerns, acquisition costs, and labelling challenges. Synthetic time series generation has emerged as a promising approach to address these limitations. In this work, we investigate the use of complex network mappings for synthetic time series generation, focusing on the Quantile Graph (QG) representation and its inverse. While the inverse QG mapping has been previously proposed, its potential as a general-purpose data generator has not been systematically evaluated. We address this gap through a comprehensive empirical study assessing both the fidelity and utility of synthetic time series generated by the Inverse Quantile Graph (InvQG) framework. The evaluation combines statistical feature analysis, network-based topological characteristics, and performance in downstream clustering and classification tasks, using simulated and real-world datasets. The results show that InvQG effectively preserves marginal distributions and short-term temporal dependencies across a wide range of models, while exhibiting predictable limitations in capturing long-range or higher-order dynamics.

Sharing the financial impact of rare adverse events across a group can soften extreme individual burdens, but any participant made worse off by the arrangement has reason to leave. A credible mechanism must therefore provide each agent with a trustworthy cap on their future obligation and should be deployed only if the aggregate harm across participants is bounded. We formalise this as the Certified Allocation Problem: from finite data and without distributional assumptions, find a redistribution rule, produce obligation caps for every participant, and verify that no participant is made materially worse off. We propose Conformal Risk Sharing, which solves this problem by pairing an interpretable sharing policy with split conformal calibration. The sharing intensity is tuned on training data, while held-out calibration data produces distribution-free per-agent guarantees (valid under exchangeability). Experiments on synthetic and real-world data, including precipitation and energy-cooperative data, confirm that the framework can substantially reduce extreme obligations for high-risk agents while controlling harm to others.

We propose CerT-MCMC, a framework that equips learned-transport Markov chain Monte Carlo with automatic, rigorous convergence certificates. A normalising flow maps a Gaussian reference to an approximation of the target posterior; the same flow then serves as both the independence Metropolis-Hastings proposal and the basis for a computable spectral-gap bound. We develop two complementary certificates. The covering certificate bounds the weight-ratio oscillation over the full proposal support via finite-sample covering arguments, yielding full-support spectral-gap bounds when a conservative gradient bound is available; its correction term scales as O(n^{-1/D}), making it rapidly weak and eventually vacuous as dimension increases. We prove a matching Omega(n^{-1/D}) lower bound, establishing that this barrier is intrinsic to pointwise Lipschitz certification. The quantile-core certificate restricts attention to a high-probability residual core on which the oscillation is controlled by one-dimensional empirical quantiles, with a finite-sample probability slack of O(n^{-1/2}), independent of the ambient dimension. On synthetic targets (D=2-20), structural-engineering posteriors (D=6,8), real-data logistic regression on the Heart Disease data set (D=13), and synthetic Bayesian logistic regression (D=20), the quantile-core certificate delivers non-vacuous spectral-gap bounds where the covering certificate is vacuous, and its spectral-gap proxy tracks empirical effective sample sizes within 7%. A negative control experiment confirms that the certificate discriminates flow quality by a factor exceeding 10x, whereas acceptance rates differ by only 1.15x. To our knowledge, the dual-certificate framework is the first to provide automatic, dimension-aware convergence certificates for learned-transport MCMC, distinguishing genuine transport failure from proof-technique limitations.

How much of my data was used to train a machine learning model? Dataset Usage Inference (DUI) aims to answer this by estimating what fraction of a dataset contributed to a model's training. However, existing DUI methods rely on assumptions that rarely hold in practice: they require training expensive shadow models to imitate the target model, and they assume access to both known training samples and an in-distribution held-out set confirmed to be absent from training. These conditions make current approaches impractical for modern large models and real data ownership disputes. We introduce a practical DUI framework that removes these constraints. Our method requires neither shadow models nor real held-out data. Instead, it generates synthetic non-member samples, extracts diverse membership signals, and casts DUI as a mixture proportion estimation problem to estimate what share of the candidate dataset was used during training. Experiments on large image generative models show that our method reliably quantifies dataset usage, providing a practical tool for data owners to determine how much of their data was used to train a model.

Fraud detection and anti-money-laundering (AML) compliance are high-value domains for large language models (LLMs), but their serving requirements differ sharply from generic chat workloads. Compliance prompts are often prefix-heavy, schema-constrained, and evidence-rich, combining reusable policy instructions, risk taxonomies, transaction or document context, and short structured outputs such as JSON labels or risk factors. These properties make prefix reuse, KV-cache efficiency, runtime tuning, model orchestration, and output validation first-order systems concerns. This paper introduces a workload-aware LLMOps stack for fraud and AML workloads using self-hosted open-weight models such as Meta Llama and Alibaba Qwen. The stack combines vLLM-style runtime tuning, PagedAttention, Automatic Prefix Caching, multi-adapter serving, adapter and prompt-length-aware batching, sleep/wake lifecycle management, speculative decoding, and optional prefill/decode disaggregation. To avoid exposing institution-specific data, the reproducibility track converts public synthetic AML datasets, including IBM AML and SAML-D, into prefix-heavy compliance prompts with reusable policy text, transaction evidence, typology definitions, and schema-constrained outputs. We also incorporate an LLM-as-judge quality gate using deterministic compliance checks, reference metrics, expert-adjudicated calibration data where available, and multi-judge rubric scoring. Across public-synthetic AML workloads and controlled serving benchmarks, workload-aware tuning improved throughput from 612-650 to 3,600 requests/hour, reduced P99 latency from 31-38 seconds to 6.4-8.7 seconds, and increased GPU utilization from 12% to 78%. These results show that regulated LLM performance is a workload-design, serving-optimization, and quality-gating problem, not only a model-selection problem.

In the realm of computer vision, indoor image recognition presents challenges due to the intricate interplay of lighting conditions, occlusions, and diverse object arrangements within confined spaces. To address the lacks of training indoor images, we introduce a novel approach leveraging Stable Diffusion (SD) for the generation of synthetic images, which serve as a powerful data augmentation tool. The utilization of SD offers a principled framework for synthesizing diverse and realistic indoor scenes, thereby enriching the training data pool for robust indoor image recognition models. Experimental findings on the MIT Indoor Scene dataset reveal the potential of our proposed approach in enhancing the training of deep models when authentic data is limited. Furthermore, to prevent the misuse of SD synthetic images, we introduce a counter measure based on DIffusion Reconstruction Error (DIRE). The powerful DIRE presentation enables training robust classifiers only using lightweight deep models. Experiments show that our approach can perfectly recognize SD generated images with the accuracy of 100% using MobilenetV3.