Algorithmic Auditing

Latest papers 96

Oct 7, 2026cs.LG

Robust Decentralized Fairness Auditing

Emerging legislation requires large language models (LLMs) to be audited for compliance with regulatory standards, particularly fairness. Such black-box audits typically assume a single auditor with access to a large, representative set of queries. In practice, it can be difficult for an auditor to obtain such a query set, but multiple auditors can together cover the relevant demographic groups by auditing the LLM collaboratively with their individual query sets. However, relying on multiple auditors raises a fundamental trust problem, as they may act on behalf of the LLM provider to portray a misleading appearance of fairness, i.e., fairwashing. We propose Auditopus, a novel approach for robust decentralized fairness auditing. In Auditopus, auditing proceeds in rounds without a central server. In each round, every auditor issues a fixed number of queries to the LLM, and sends only cumulative statistics vectors of its query results to other auditors instead of sensitive queries in clear. The fairness of the audited LLM is then estimated by aggregating all the vectors. We show theoretically and empirically that even a single adversarial auditor in the network can steer this estimate by fabricating the vectors it sends, making an unfair LLM appear fair. To address this threat, Auditopus has each honest auditor locally down-weight any auditor whose cumulative statistics vectors are statistically inconsistent with previous ones. We implement Auditopus and compare it to robust aggregation baselines on two datasets with two pre-trained LLMs. Against an attacker that optimizes the vectors it sends to make the LLM appear fair, Auditopus reduces audit error by up to 78% on average relative to no defense and at least 62% relative to the robust aggregation baselines. Even when 49% of the auditors are adversarial, Auditopus never lets a very unfair or moderately unfair LLM pass as fair.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

Shared and structured inputs undermine collective random choice by reasoning AI agents

Random selection is widely used in resource allocation and auditing, making reliable implementation essential for AI-agent systems. Behavioural tests across six reasoning models uncovered threshold and divisibility rules used in identifier-based choices. For threshold-following GPT-6 Sol and Gemini 3.8 Flash, single-agent measurements prospectively predicted correlated participation under shared identifiers and biased participation under distinct identifiers with common timestamp bits. Changing dates, formats and identifier labels revealed when these predictions held. Explicit instructions to randomize independently reduced but did not eliminate shared-input correlation. To test implications for oversight, we asked four models to select customer requests randomly for human review. GPT-6 Sol approached the target rate while selecting predictably from identifiers; the others rarely selected requests. All four closely followed supplied random draws. These findings expose collective and audit vulnerabilities that selection rates alone miss, making input-dependent bias, correlation and predictability central targets for agent evaluation.
Oct 6, 2026cs.CV

CHARTER: Auditing Reference Substitution in Hierarchical Compact-Evidence Evaluation for Computational Pathology

In digital pathology, compact evidence is often used to explain or audit predictions made by whole-slide image multiple instance learning models. In hierarchical compact-evidence pipelines, candidate filtering introduces a strategy-specific candidate-conditioned prediction alongside the original full-bag prediction. If the evaluation reference changes while the intended target remains the original full-bag prediction, however, not only can the measured fidelity of the same compact evidence change, but comparisons between competing candidate strategies can also change. To make this dependence explicit, we introduce CHARTER, a reference-aware evaluation charter that asks researchers to DECLARE the intended target and reference, QUANTIFY candidate-induced prediction shift, and AUDIT the stability of comparative conclusions. Across the 15 comparisons in our main five-seed Random-K audit, 4 showed determinate reversals; in a matched native-ranking stress test, the ACMIL comparison changed from REVERSED to PRESERVED. CHARTER turns otherwise implicit candidate-filtering and reference choices into an auditable evaluation specification, helping distinguish genuine preservation of the intended prediction from apparent gains induced by changing the prediction being explained.
Oct 1, 2026stat.ML

Tolerance-Based Fairness Auditing: Violation Certification and Sensitivity Screening

As artificial intelligence is increasingly deployed, algorithmic unfairness has raised growing concerns and intensified demands for transparent fairness auditing. In practice, the tolerable degree of algorithmic unfairness depends on the specific legal, ethical, or application context. Given a prespecified tolerance threshold, an important statistical question is how to determine whether a group disparity exceeds the allowable tolerance across different auditing objectives. To address this problem, we develop a unified tolerance-based fairness auditing framework for two complementary auditing objectives: violation certification, which prioritizes control of false violation declarations, and sensitivity screening, which prioritizes reducing missed violations. For the first objective, we develop a constrained empirical likelihood test for formal settings that uses least-favorable-point calibration and can be combined with false flagging rate control for simultaneous subgroup auditing. For the second objective, we develop split empirical likelihood and adjusted split empirical likelihood tests using an adaptive boundary-proxy principle for early-warning settings. Numerical experiments show the distinct error-control--sensitivity trade-offs of these procedures. A COMPAS analysis illustrates the framework in predictive fairness auditing.
Sep 30, 2026cs.LG

A Rank Graduation metric for Algorithmic fairness

Fairness assessment in algorithmic decisions that affect individuals, such as credit scoring, often relies on parity measures calculated at the aggregate group level. Such measures may not reveal which individuals experience unfairness or which explanatory factors contribute to it. In this paper, we propose a rank-based framework that evaluates fairness through the distribution of model prediction errors, thereby linking fairness assessment with predictive accuracy and explainability. The framework combines Rank Graduation Fairness (RGF), its integrated measure AURGF, a centered Cramer--von Mises permutation test, and a feature removal procedure for fairness explainability. We evaluate the methodology using logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and a multilayer perceptron. The simulation study shows that protected-group imbalance can reverse descriptive fairness comparisons, whereas the proposed inferential procedure correctly distinguishes fair from unfair mechanisms. Its application to HMDA mortgage data produces model rankings that differ from those obtained with classical fairness criteria. Tree-based models, rather than logistic regression, provide the strongest combination of predictive accuracy and rank-based fairness, while the fairness null hypothesis is rejected for all four models. The persistence of disparity across statistical, bagging, boosting, and neural network specifications, together with the feature removal results, indicates that the observed unfairness is not specific to a single algorithm or predictor, but is associated with group differences embedded in the characteristics of the lending data. These findings support a broader approach to trustworthy artificial intelligence that combines predictive accuracy, fairness measurement, statistical inference, and explainability.
Sep 29, 2026cs.HC

Fairness Theatre: Evaluating Post-Hoc Fairness Interventions in Vendor-Controlled Early Warning Systems

Public institutions increasingly procure AI systems whose design they cannot inspect or change. In higher education, proprietary Early Warning Systems (EWS) leave colleges with few options beyond adjusting model outputs to address inequity. This raises the question of how fairness work is coordinated among vendors, institutions, advisors, and students with unequal power to change these systems? Using student records from a public college in Ontario, Canada, we evaluate six post-hoc fairness interventions on a research EWS under simulated procurement constraints. We compare fairness, accuracy, and demographic disparities, introducing error-type profiling to trace how interventions redistribute false positives and false negatives. Interventions redistributed disparities without consistently reducing them. Two implementations favored already-advantaged groups because they used group size to define disadvantage; small, marginalized groups remained poorly served. These findings show how procurement constraints and implementation choices shape the possibilities for fairness work. We call the resulting condition fairness theatre; dashboard metrics converge while groups' error burdens persist or worsen.
Sep 29, 2026econ.TH

When Does Randomized Oversight Align AI Agents That Can Conceal?

Oversight changes the evidence it relies on. We ask when randomized audits and scoring align AI agents that can conceal misconduct and alter records. Stronger auditing makes undeterred violations better hidden. Because the provider writes the agent's objective, sanctions need not stop at forfeiture, and rare audits deter every type of agent if evidence survives concealment and audit draws cannot be learned in advance. When evidence can be erased, deterrence must come from lower gains from violation, such as credit for stopping, or from costlier or fewer ways to conceal. These conditions identify what failed when agents in OpenAI's cybersecurity evaluations compromised parts of Hugging Face's infrastructure in July 2026.
Sep 29, 2026cs.LG

VStress: Correlation-Aware Auditing and Adaptive Budget Allocation for Repeated Verifiers

Repeated verifier calls are useful only when they contribute conditional information. We introduce VStress, an auditable replay contract, and VStress-CA, a correlation-aware allocation policy that estimates the conditional marginal information of an unqueried verifier on a sealed calibration split, discounts uncertainty, normalizes by call cost, and stops or abstains when the next call is not informative. The controller freezes its decision and cost ledger before joining the clean oracle; a dependence-shift alarm disables channel preference and falls back to exact-stop. The controlled audit gives the mechanism boundary: at 35% symmetric corruption, majority-5 improves balanced accuracy from 0.6578 to 0.7739, whereas at 65% it loses 0.1226 points. In the matched fixed-budget comparison, breadth, redundancy, and adaptive allocation obtain balanced accuracies 0.6048, 0.6375, and 0.6538, with 3.4216 calls per item and an RLVR score of 0.6417 for VStress-CA. Dependence diagnostics also increase from same-model repeats to cross-family channels, with conditional marginal gains of 0.0126, 0.0462, and 0.0913. These measurements turn correlation from a post-hoc warning into an auditable allocation decision.
Sep 27, 2026cs.AI

Audit-First VAPO: Risk-Certified Selective Updates under Imperfect Verification

Imperfect verifiers can assign a harmful update direction even when clipping and regularization bound its magnitude. We introduce Audit-First VAPO, which separates discrete directional admission from continuous magnitude control. An observation-only accept-appeal-abstain policy uses a finite secondary-verification budget; its action trace is frozen before clean labels are joined. Simultaneous finite-sample bounds then certify selected harmful risk, coverage, and verifier-call rate over a predeclared policy family. Conditional Hoeffding-Azuma bounds account for the dependence induced by shared budgets, and rollout or verifier changes initiate a new certification stage. After admission, a bounded trust-clip-KL actuator controls magnitude. We evaluate two models on two reasoning benchmarks against static RLVR, matched-random selection, confidence thresholding, noise correction, and verifier augmentation. On Qwen3.5-0.8B and GSM8K at target risk ρ=0.08ρ=0.08, RC-VAPO achieves 74.1% accuracy, selected harmful risk 0.0697, coverage 0.4125, and relative verifier cost 1.16×1.16\times. At matched coverage and update magnitude, its selected-risk difference from matched random is -0.0260 with paired 95% interval [−0.0364,−0.0157][-0.0364,-0.0157]. Across asymmetric, confidence-dependent, and correlated-verifier noise, the certificate is satisfied on 57 of 60 independent runs. These comparisons isolate informative directional selection from proposal suppression, update shrinkage, and additional verifier computation.
Sep 22, 2026cs.LG

When Post-Processing Fairness Constraints Help and When They Harm: Evidence from Eight Cross-Domain Evaluations

Fairness audits in production ML typically occur once, at deployment, on a single domain. Both fail in practice: fairness can shift after retraining or a changing user base, and interventions validated on one dataset are rarely tested across the heterogeneous domains an organization deploys. We present FAPE (Fairness Auditing for Production Environments), a four-stage framework evaluating a single post-processing intervention, Fairlearn's ThresholdOptimizer, across eight domain evaluations: criminal justice, income prediction, legal admissions, credit lending, agricultural lending, a multi-domain benchmark corpus, healthcare, and education. Each is scored on demographic parity and equalized odds difference, plus disparate impact ratio and accuracy cost where computable. Intervention effectiveness tracks baseline disparity magnitude: across model-domain pairs the constraint improved disparity in 9 of 14 high-disparity cases and worsened it in 3 of 4 near-fair ones. Each of the five high-disparity exceptions reverses under one of two measurement checks, a minimum group size or thresholds fit on held-out data. A CUSUM monitor started at deployment, tested on a simulated shift, separates constrained models that never met a 0.1 parity convention from those that met it and later regressed. A single deployment-time audit is therefore an unreliable guide, which argues for baseline-disparity screening and continuous monitoring
Sep 17, 2026cs.CY

Governance-as-Code: Translating EU AI Act Technical Requirements into Executable Compliance Pipelines for Generative AI Systems

The EU AI Act (Regulation 2024/1689) imposes technical obligations on high-risk AI providers, yet Articles 8-15 were drafted for predictive AI and leave seven technical gaps when applied to generative systems, spanning non-deterministic data governance, training-data provenance, continuous conformity, human oversight, open-ended robustness, emergent risk, and generative fairness. We deliver Governance-as-Code (GaC), a framework of 43 machine-checkable acceptance criteria across six compliance modules that run in a CI/CD pipeline and emit Article-indexed audit evidence, and we show the actual Rego policy code rather than merely describing it. Our central commitment is that the Act's open-textured standards ("appropriate levels," "possible biases") become declared, auditable numbers: robustness thresholds are derived from the provider's documented baseline and a state-of-the-art floor, and framing bias is collapsed into eight measurable proxies tested by counterfactual demographic probing. We also correct who owes what, since under Article 25 and Chapter V a downstream deployer relies on the upstream provider's Article 53 training-data summary and documents only the layers it controls, so GaC verifies that summary rather than demanding per-sample documentation the deployer never had. We validate on two enterprise deployments, a high-risk advisory chatbot and a limited-risk content generator, benchmarking against a manual expert audit rather than documentation artifacts that were never designed to enforce compliance. GaC reproduces all of the manual audit's findings, including three penalty-triggering violations, while cutting audit labor by roughly 75%.
Sep 16, 2026cs.LG

Anomaly Detection in General Ledger Data: Results from a Hybrid Approach

Journal Entry Tests (JETs) are a mandatory part of annual audits to evaluate and assess both highrisk audit areas and potential material misstatements. However, as JETs are designed to detect known patterns based on domain knowledge, the resulting lists are often very large and require substantial additional effort from the auditor. To ensure the economic efficiency of the audit, the number of false positives in JET result lists must be reduced. Especially machine learning (ML) methods represent a promising approach to improve anomaly detection in this field. In this research in progress paper, we investigate different approaches on how to combine JETs with ML-methods in a hybrid manner. We present specialized models to increase the detection performance and validity of anomaly detection results to improve audit efficiency. The experiments are based on synthetic data consisting of different normal and anomalous journal entries.
Sep 14, 2026cs.LG

A Decision-Support Audit Protocol for Supervision Drift in Proxy-Labeled Credit-Risk Prediction

Credit-risk models are trained on proxy labels and deployed under temporal and segment change, yet no single transfer metric separates base-rate shift, probability-scale shift, and feature-label relationship change. We contribute a design-science artifact: a locked, multi-signal audit protocol for supervision drift in proxy-labeled credit-risk prediction. Five layers (transfer performance, an oracle-gap probe, a calibration diagnostic, feature-label stability, and a synthetic positive control), thresholds, and decision rules were locked before interpretation; a bounded reading is a designed outcome. On a public LendingClub dataset (temporal 2013 to 2016 and cross-segment transfer), ranking is stable and oracle gaps are small; the clearest temporal signal is a prevalence and probability-scale mismatch that intercept-only diagnostic recalibration largely reduces, though its cause is not identifiable from the available release. The positive control responds only to larger injected shifts; subtler drift cannot be excluded. Mapping diagnostic patterns to governance actions is conceptual guidance, not validated here.
Sep 14, 2026cs.SE

When Agent Metrics Measure Different Things: An Evidence-Grounded Audit of the Praxa AI Pipeline

Agent evaluations can be numerically correct while measuring a different construct from the one implied by their labels. We present a retrospective measurement audit of selected Praxa AI implementation files, historical evaluation artifacts, and operational records. A 139-case offline routing report contains 112 passes and 27 failures despite zero gating failures, because known gaps are explicitly exempted from the gate. An identifier-free export represents 8,843 tool-attempt rows: 8,395 recorded durations and 448 missing values. Of the durations, 121 equal the signed 32-bit maximum and carry abandoned-client labels; inspected database code clamps elapsed lifecycle age. The pooled recorded 99th percentile is 2,147,483,647 ms, versus 38,118.31 ms among server-observed completed calls. This is a stratum contrast, not a treatment effect. In a documented single-trajectory compaction pilot, the reported follow-up input reduction is 94.39%, but the reduction across the trigger and follow-up calls together is 46.54%. We reproduce the descriptive calculations, verify 91 timing statistics through a separate weighted rational-arithmetic implementation, and execute 13 scoring-function and 12 analysis-verifier tests. Finite-completion bounds show how missing durations limit all-row timing statements without imputing values. The contribution is a source-linked case study and reusable verification package for separating gate policy, lifecycle timing, and request-level accounting from broader agent-performance claims. Historical provider runs and the full current pipeline were not independently reproduced; general capability superiority and population-level statistical significance are not established.
Sep 14, 2026cs.LG

Interpolation Is Not Invariance: Pair Count Is Not Coverage in Transformation Audits

Counting equivalent pairs is a common way to report transformation-audit coverage, but it can substantially overstate the constraints imposed by an audit: pairs generated from the same semantic object are correlated, and complete orbit graphs contain algebraically redundant edges. We therefore distinguish four complementary quantities---edge count mm, effective contrast rank ss, population support rank rr, and graph spectral gap ηη---and characterize their roles in audit coverage and deployment reliability. Under a rank-rr Gaussian contrast model, a population-invariant calibrated reader exists exactly when the anchor has a component in ker⁡T\ker T. When an audit has rank s<rs < r, its unobserved risk is R⋆/UR^\star/U, with U∼Beta⁡((r−s)/2,s/2)U \sim \operatorname{Beta}((r-s)/2,s/2); when s≥rs \ge r, exact calibrated interpolation is infeasible. The same distinction appears in orbit topology: a spanning tree imposes the same exact-null constraints as a complete graph, while a sharp graph Poincare inequality propagates edge-level drift to an entire orbit at a cost proportional to 1/η1/η. Cyclic audits can additionally yield zero pair-level leave-one-out error without holding out any semantic object. To address these failures, we derive exact block-Woodbury leave-one-orbit-out updates and introduce a source-disjoint deployment gate over finitely many candidate readers. The gate retains the original reader unless uncertainty bounds certify lower drift within a prescribed clean-utility budget. etc..
Sep 12, 2026cs.CY

Characterizing Bluesky Content Moderation Service: From Automation of Service to Landscape of Harms

Empirical research on content moderation is fundamentally constrained by the opaque deployment of moderation systems on major social media platforms. To this end, the recent emergence of decentralized platforms with transparent, public moderation logs presents an unprecedented opportunity for independent audits. In this work, we leverage this architectural transparency to conduct the first large-scale audit of the default moderation system on Bluesky, the Bluesky Moderation Service (BMS). Analyzing its 10.6M moderation labels from 2025, we investigate three foundational aspects: (i) its mechanism (the degree of automation versus human oversight), (ii) its efficacy (accuracy in detecting harms), and (iii) its purpose (the landscape of harms it identifies). Our findings reveal a human-AI collaborative system where labels for sexual and graphic content are applied automatically in seconds, while nuanced and high stakes labels require more human oversight, taking hours or days. Through a manual annotation study, we find the BMS operates with high precision (0.837), but struggles with low recall (0.222), with our annotators identifying 4.5×\times more harmful content than the moderation system in a random sample. Finally, unsupervised clustering of the most frequently applied labeled posts uncovers detected harms ranging from hostility in discourse toward protected groups to the spread of sexually explicit and other graphic content. Our work offers a look into the operational realities of a deployed moderation system, providing a concrete data-driven foundation for designing more effective and transparent moderation systems.
Sep 7, 2026cs.CR

Do AI Coding Assistants Check Before They Install? A Pre-Registered Demand-Side Audit of Trust Signals in the Research Software Supply Chain

AI coding assistants now select, install, and configure software, and attackers have exploited that position through invented package names, compromised maintainer accounts, and manipulated repository text. In response, the supply-chain community publishes machine-checkable trust signals: software bills of materials, signed releases, build provenance attestations, and declared official channels. Whether coding assistants read or act on those signals has not been measured for any of these classes on research software. We pre-registered and ran a controlled study on six open-source research software projects (three HPC, three quantum computing) drawn from an 87-project corpus, with protocol, seed, panel, and analysis plan deposited with a DOI before any trial. W created nine modified copies for each project: no signal, one per signal class, two with a signature or attestation from the wrong issuer, one with all four signals, and one reproducing documented conflicts in the project's own metadata. Three models under two ways of operating an assistant, with and without an approval step, gave 1,920 registered trials, plus a supplement on three frontier models. We scored behavior from container logs rather than from what the assistant said, and recorded the cost of every trial. Verification was rare under every condition: in 9 of 1,920 registered trials (0.5%), the assistant opened any provenance signal before installing in 0 of 384 control trials, and no trial ran a verification command, so signal presence had no measurable effect. We drew three conclusions: publishing signals is necessary but not sufficient; price did not buy verification (the model that verified most often costs 0.10pertrial;themostcapable,at0.10 per trial; the most capable, at 1.00, verified nothing); verification must be built into the program that runs the assistant. We release the per-trial cost ledger, the protocol, and every log.
Sep 7, 2026cs.MA

Scores Alone Do Not Prove Discovery: The Discovery Certification Protocol for Auditing AI Research Agents

AI research agents combine public information and experimental feedback to produce measurable results. The Discovery Certification Protocol (DCP) turns an outcome claim into an executable audit under a registered model, information boundary, and budget. Gate 1 validates useful improvement. Gate 2 tests recovery by matched agents given the starting information and observed Web content, with run history and new measurements withheld. Core requires adequate registered controls, zero recoveries, and a finite-sample recovery bound. Optional Gate 3 compares truthful and neutral feedback from a shared checkpoint; Evidence adds a supported effect and a null-policy equivalence check. Controlled SQLite and virtual catalyst audits pass both decision kernels. On real-data response surfaces, Yacht and Ionosphere pass the Core kernel after zero recoveries in 96 attempts, with an upper bound of 0.0468. Each target combines ten observed utilities and six predictions into a 16-entry data product. Yacht scores 0.7677 on reconstruction of all 32 switch effects, with utility-prediction MAE 0.0315 on its six unmeasured configurations. Fresh truthful continuations recover the target level in 9/30 and 16/30 trials, respectively, separating achieved utility from process repeatability. A deterministic verifier reproduces these local decisions from frozen records.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CR

Agent Flight Recorder: Tamper-Evident Audit Trails with On-Chain Anchoring for Long-Horizon Tool-Using Agents

Long-horizon agents execute thousands of actions, resulting in sequential failures rather than isolated errors. When a coding agent deletes a production database or a prompt injection spreads across agents, the incident raises questions of causality, authority, and non-repudiable third-party verification. The Agent Flight Recorder captures each agent action as a structured, canonically serialized event binding eight semantic fields from intent through execution to provenance. Hash chaining and Merkle batching provide tamper evidence and compact inclusion proofs. For cross-organizational disputes where no party's infrastructure qualifies as neutral ground, periodic on-chain anchoring of epoch roots lets any verifier with the disclosed payload and Merkle proof check the record independently, without pre-agreeing on a trusted intermediary. The on-chain footprint is minimal: each anchor stores a 32-byte epoch root and a back-pointer, and no event content touches the chain. We evaluate the system across five cumulative ablation configurations on synthetic agent workloads. The full system adds ~48 microseconds median per-event latency and 512 bytes per event. L2 anchoring costs $2.30 per 100K events at 100-event epochs. The full integrity stack detects edit, delete, reorder, and fork tampering at 100% with zero false positives. Structured forensic queries achieve 1.0 precision on guardrail and delegation lookups where unstructured text search yields 0.013 and 0.077 respectively.
Sep 1, 2026cs.AI

When Can a Machine Trust a Statute? A Survival Certificate for Machine-Extracted Legal Logic

Statutes are increasingly parsed by machines before people read them, and the parsers disagree: on Missouri's statutes, two independently written extractors diverge on numeric-threshold presence at a false-negative rate of 0.43. We ask what formal logic survives such noise. We build a passive survival certificate for the Duquenne-Guigues implication basis of machine-extracted statutory contexts: per-attribute inter-extractor disagreement is measured, replayed against the basis in 1,000 Monte Carlo trials, and an implication is certified only when a one-sided Wilson 95% lower bound on survival reaches 0.95; every certified implication carries premise spans and a minimal counterexample. On 29,365 Missouri sections and 502 Indian central-Act sections, the preregistered held-out gate passes (10 statute families across 7 Titles exact; 16 across 11 with 5% tolerance), yet under one globally deployed error model 93.2% of held-out chapters fall below the informativeness floor, and a 2x2 factorial assigns that to calibration-rate transfer, not selection. The certificate is usable but fragile: deploy it per-chapter-calibrated or error-tolerant. Code, data products, and the audit trail, including one retracted claim, are released.
Sep 1, 2026cs.CY

Causal Evidentiary Governance for High-Risk Machine Learning Systems

Machine learning systems deployed for credit, hiring, and resource distribution are increasingly subject to regulatory oversight from policies such as the EU AI Act and GDPR. Current fairness governance practices rely on observational fairness metrics, post-hoc explainability, and immutable audit logs, but provide limited support for causal attribution and efficient evidentiary verification. We introduce Causal Evidentiary Governance (CEG), a framework in which regulated institutions commit to a versioned directed acyclic graph (DAG) that partitions causal pathways into allowable and disallowed groups. The Causal Harm Rate measures prediction variation attributable to disallowed causal pathways. Each decision is accompanied by a signed Decision-Evidence Packet (DEP), cryptographically binding the prediction to a digest of the published DAG and path-specific attributions. DEP digests can be appended to a Merkle tree to enable logarithmic-cost inclusion proofs. We validate CEG through a two-layer empirical methodology using demographic summaries from four years of PMA credit supervisory data to construct 10,000 synthetic credit applicants across four strategic DAG counterfactuals. Causal Harm Rate isolates injected causal effects more clearly than demographic parity or equalized odds. Cross-model validation and ablation studies assess robustness. Evaluation on the German Credit dataset shows that harm associated with specific causal pathways can be substantially understated by associational fairness metrics. Finally, a proof-of-concept implementation demonstrates operationally plausible throughput and highlights relevant performance tradeoffs.
Aug 31, 2026cs.AI

VFR-Audit: Verdict-Level Reliability for Fairness Audits in Hospital Length-of-Stay Prediction

Fairness audits in clinical Artificial Intelligence convert continuous fairness metrics into binary pass-or-fail verdicts against operational thresholds, where hospital governance boards, payers, and regulators act on the resulting verdicts. Such audits are repeated over time and across hospital sites, thus the same verdict can flip between pass and fail across audits. Existing uncertainty methods such as Bayesian posteriors, bootstrap confidence intervals, and permutation tests address verdict instability only at the continuous-metric level. Converting metric-level uncertainty into a verdict-stability claim remains a manual step that scales poorly across the (model, metric, attribute) cells an audit covers. Existing uncertainty methods also leave open whether bias-mitigation steps, such as reweighing or per-group threshold shifts, yield a stable passing verdict at the cost of model discrimination measured as AUROC or AUPRC.To address this verdict-stability gap, we propose VFR-Audit, a framework built around the Verdict Flip Rate (VFR), a scalar bounded between 0 and 0.5 that measures the probability of verdict reversal under stratified bootstrap resampling. VFR-Audit reports VFR alongside three reliability axes, namely within-cohort resampling stability, audit-size sensitivity, and cross-hospital verdict agreement via Fleiss' kappa.
Aug 17, 2026cs.CR

The Acknowledgment Point Is the System: Durable Policy-Decision Receipts for AI Audit Evidence

An AI audit record is useful only if its durability and trust boundary are explicit. Returning a guarded decision before any durable write minimizes latency, but it cannot guarantee that evidence survives an immediate crash. We rebuild RuntimeGuard-AI around this constraint. The resulting research prototype binds each deterministic policy decision to the exact policy source, commits a privacy-minimizing record at a caller-selected synchronization boundary, and returns an Ed25519-signed receipt that states whether that boundary completed. After restart, the engine validates framed records, manifests, shard placement, sequence continuity, and replay identity. A separate attestation path groups committed records into chained, signed Merkle epochs that an auditor verifies with an externally obtained key. On an Apple M4 Pro at four worker threads and 2,048-byte prompts, buffered signed evidence reaches 27,193 requests/s with 141.9 microseconds median latency. Per-record data and full synchronization reduce throughput to approximately 242 requests/s and raise median latency to 16.0 ms. Sealing a 100,000-record signed epoch takes 97.0 ms. The result is a measured durability-latency trade-off, not a "free" asynchronous audit path. The prototype does not prove model execution, prevent a compromised signer from forking history, or establish legal conformity.
Aug 13, 2026cs.LG

Sampling Luck Masquerades as Allocation Gain: Auditing Test-Time Budget Allocation for Neural Combinatorial Optimization

Neural combinatorial optimization (NCO) solvers report the best of many sampled solutions per instance, and the sample count is, by convention, identical for every instance. Whether a non-uniform allocation of a fixed total budget would buy anything has not been measured. We measure it, and we audit the measurement itself. First, on in-distribution workloads the allocation headroom is not detectable. Across three pretrained solvers (POMO, AM, SymNCO) on uniform TSP-100, an oracle allocation computed and evaluated on the same stored samples reports a 2.2-2.6% gain with intervals excluding zero; measured out of sample the same gain is indistinguishable from zero (0.457, 0.015, -0.512 percent). Following the customary in-sample procedure, all three solvers would have supported a published 2%-level gain that does not exist. We calibrate this bias against an instance-wise null in which the true gain is zero by construction; over the ranges we test it does not shrink with more samples or more instances. Second, the same correction that removes the phantom gains preserves a real one. Under distribution shift (a workload mixing uniform and clustered instances), a pre-registered confirmatory experiment finds that allocation guided by held-out sample statistics improves best-of-k by 11.5% (AM, primary endpoint; 95% CI [7.4, 19.7]) and 12.0% (SymNCO, replication) at equal evaluation budget, with the signal-acquisition cost not charged; a pre-registered negative control (POMO, an order of magnitude more robust to shift) shows -0.3% [-0.7, 0.24]. The gain exceeds a frozen distribution-label baseline by 4.2 points [1.9, 7.7]. An exploratory policy charging a 20-sample probe against the same budget retains 3.4% (AM) and 4.6% (SymNCO). We give a correction procedure and a reporting checklist, and release all data, code, and the pre-registration record.
Aug 13, 2026cs.AI

Correct Is Not Governed: Provenance Integrity in Agentic Workflows

Agentic workflows are commonly evaluated by whether they reach the correct outcome. That is insufficient in institutional settings, where a correct action may rely on the wrong authority, an unsupported completion claim, or work made stale by a later change. We define governed execution as work whose decisions, completion, and response to change are supported by inspectable provenance. We present Matrix, a deterministic causal-state layer that records authority and fact dependencies, verifies completion evidence, and selectively invalidates affected work. Across controlled comparisons, governed and direct workflows often reached the same outcomes, but only the governed path consistently preserved governing evidence, refused unsupported closure, and limited recovery to dependent tasks. A role-separated transfer challenge then failed: a deterministically enforced completeness contract severely over-blocked synthetic packets produced outside its authoring context. These results do not establish Matrix as a general accuracy enhancer; they support its primary role as an institutional integrity layer for making agentic work auditable and independently verifiable.
Aug 12, 2026cs.CY

Co-constructing sociotechnical AI governance: participatory system mapping using algorithm registers

Algorithm registers have been championed as a means of providing transparency on the use of algorithms in public services. Yet potential publics differ in their expectations of what should be made transparent and how, as well as in their interest in and ability to parse the information currently published in the registers. Moreover, it remains unclear how these instruments can represent the sociotechnical systems in which these algorithms are embedded, and how system-level transparency can facilitate accountability. In this paper, we ask, what do algorithm registers reveal (and occlude) about the sociotechnical systems governing algorithmic systems, and how can diverse stakeholder perspectives inform a more pluralistic system-theoretic safety analysis? To do this, we probe the municipal algorithm register of a Dutch city through a case study of a decision-support tool for caseworkers' assessment of citizens' welfare benefits eligibility based on legal automation through a business rule engine. Through interviews, surveys, and participatory system mapping workshops (with municipal staff, civil society organisations, and ombudsmen, N=8), we seek to understand to what extent the register allows stakeholders to map the algorithmic system in question. These maps inform a System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) that situates the register within a wider sociotechnical governance structure. Participants' contributions allow us to identify potential safety hazards which would not have been possible to see using the algorithm register alone, including benefits eligibility denial, system performance deterioration, and inability to contest wrongful decisions. By engaging both direct and indirect stakeholders, we reflect on the normative dimensions of algorithm governance efforts and how politics shape the practice of system safety analysis.
Aug 11, 2026cs.CY

Governing Agentic AI in FinTech

Financial institutions are delegating consequential decisions to agentic AI systems that decompose goals, coordinate models and tools, and act with little oversight. Yet agentic AI governance in FinTech is under-investigated. We argue the binding governance constraint is not capability but verifiability. We define the Verifiability Gap as the shortfall between the verification delegated authority demands and the explainability and reproducibility retained after a decision. It is indexed to a verifier, evidentiary standard, and audit lag. We develop a multilevel governance theory for agentic AI and test its mechanisms in three studies over nine model versions, from a three-billion-parameter local model to a commercial frontier system. Study 1 shows that provider releases alter historical financial actions, and that the controls replay needs belong to the provider: the frontier model rejects temperature, top_p and top_k outright and exposes no random seed. Under the tightest controls each endpoint allows, a local model reproduced 320 of 320 executions, hosted models 319 of 320 and 959 of 960. Study 2 shows that orchestration is a latent policy layer. Architecture changes final actions, and no execution record repeated in any configuration at any scale. The frontier model reproduces its own actions more often than the local ones, its record no better, and loses a comparable share of its differentiation. Capability buys a higher starting point, not auditability. Study 3 shows two deterministic credit-model versions each reproduce their current action perfectly, yet the current cannot recover a historical one. We conceptualize reproducibility as a governance profile, not a scalar, yielding evidence-contingent delegation: authority is defensible only while retained evidence substantiates its exercise. Beyond finance, the framework extends to other high-stakes domains requiring auditability.
Aug 11, 2026cs.CY

Who Gets Heeded? An Obligation-Level Audit of Responsiveness in EPA Rulemaking

Notice-and-comment rulemaking gives any affected party the same formal right to influence federal regulation, but formal access is not substantive capacity to shape rule text. Existing strategies operate at the rule or aggregate-corpus level, too coarse to capture the discrete regulatory obligations where commenters seek change. We introduce obligation-level responsiveness auditing, an auditable, AI-assisted framework for measuring whether public-comment engagement co-occurs with changes to specific regulatory duties. The framework extracts proposed and final-rule obligations, matches comments to the obligations they address, and classifies proposed-final outcomes; each load-bearing component is evaluated against blind human judgment. We apply the framework to 70,075 comments across 36 EPA anchor rulemakings, drawn from a corpus of 786,197 comments across 6,145 dockets from 2010-2022. Three descriptive findings emerge. First, engagement is associated with revision at a modest within-docket magnitude. Second, support-versus-opposition direction does not clearly differentiate outcomes, an informative null inconsistent with simple preference-aggregation. Third, under a permissive reconstruction of commenter type, organizational-majority engagement concentrates in editorial-refinement rather than substantive-modification outcomes at the cross-docket level. A blind human audit of the load-bearing outcome contrast preserves this third finding under corrected labels and reveals that text-similarity methods are insufficient for distinguishing editorial from substantive regulatory change, a measurement-validity lesson we treat as a supporting methodological contribution. Together, these findings locate the equity asymmetry upstream of agency response: in differential capacity across commenter populations to identify, interpret, and contest specific legal obligations.
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

When Can Fraud Operations Authorize Automation? A Decision-Support Framework for Fresh Audit Evidence and Review Workload

Fraud operations must allocate events among automatic approval, analyst review, and automatic blocking even though the labels needed to evaluate these actions are selective and delayed. Predictive scores order cases, but they do not show whether the evidence is current and representative enough to delegate an action to the model. We develop freshness-constrained audit capacity (FCAC), a decision-support framework that treats automation as an authorization decision constrained by action risk, evidence freshness, and shared review capacity. It evaluates candidate action regions from mature randomized audits and a prespecified temporal allowance. Supported regions are automated; unsupported regions remain in review. The resulting decision record reports evidence age, audit demand, total review workload, value exposure, and compatible temporal change. We show that current action risk is unidentified without restricting unobserved label evolution. Under representative randomized audits, label-independent evidence windows, and a prespecified condition linking historical and current action risk, we derive simultaneous finite-sample control of unsafe authorization. Chronological evaluations with simulated audits on IEEE-CIS, ULB-Worldline, and Elliptic++ yield zero-drift automation rates of 84.4%, 67.4%, and 81.3%, with total review workloads of 24.1%, 46.0%, and 43.1%. The experiments reveal an audit-capacity trade-off: sparse auditing delays authorization, whereas intensive auditing eventually increases workload. A separately specified BAF stress test further indicates that fallback thresholds must reflect candidate-specific evidence rather than a common fraction of the risk limit. These findings identify audit freshness and analyst capacity as joint design considerations for fraud decision support.
Aug 8, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Aggregate Calibration: Decomposing Income-Conditional Recall Disparities in Automated Credit Default Prediction

Data-centric curation pipelines frequently rely on model confidence scores to flag and filter noisy or mislabeled training instances. Evaluating this filtering convention on a large-scale consumer lending sample (LendingClub, N = 1,344,936) uncovers an underlying demographic asymmetry: high-income defaulters are disproportionately classified as label noise relative to low-income defaulters (Cramer's V approximately 0.03-0.07). Re-examining this behavior through the lens of equal opportunity [Hardt et al., 2016] reveals a far more severe discrepancy: a 16.86 percentage point gap in true positive rate (recall) between high- and low-income borrowers who ultimately defaulted. Implementing a sequential feature-blinding methodology allows us to isolate the drivers of this disparity across three distinct mechanisms: (1) direct reliance on self-reported applicant income; (2) algorithmic absorption of upstream institutional bias encoded within origination interest rates; and (3) a residual disparity (3.55 percentage points in cross-validation; 2.56 percentage points on a held-out test partition, Z = -4.04, p < 0.0001) that remains even after purging both income and interest rates from the model. Out-of-sample signed SHAP valuations demonstrate that this residual gap is maintained by structural proxies, most notably loan amount and home ownership status. These empirical findings show that simply blinding an algorithm to sensitive attributes fails to ensure fairness when institutional pricing decisions and behavioral proxy variables collectively reconstruct the omitted signals. We outline the practical implications of these findings for auditing data-centric AI workflows within regulated financial institutions.