Psychometric Validation

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3 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

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Latest papers 48

Oct 5, 2026q-bio.NC

COMPASS 2.0: psychometric representational similarity analysis distinguishes symptom structure from personal signal

Language models can score psychiatric questionnaires from speech, but agreement with self-report may reflect the questionnaire rather than the person. We introduce psychometric representational similarity analysis, a framework for comparing the structure of speech-derived scores, self-report, item wording and theory, and implement it alongside person-level construct scoring in COMPASS 2.0. We show how similarly worded items induce covariance without psychological signal. In pre-registered discovery and confirmation analyses of clinical interviews from 275 participants, language-derived symptom geometry resembled wording more than self-report, with no structure beyond wording detected by the registered tests. Geometric agreement with self-report survived assigning participants someone else's answers, whereas person-paired scores captured distress more than specific symptoms. Complementary analyses examined counselling quality and wording structure across 34 instruments and the Research Domain Criteria (RDoC) framework. These findings distinguish agreement about psychological structure from evidence that language-derived assessments track individual people.

Baihan Lin

Department of Artificial Intelligence and Human Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA · Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA · Department of Neuroscience, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA +2

Representational Similarity Analysis Psychometric Validation Clinical Language Model Evaluation

Sep 24, 2026cs.CL

Artificial Societies Benchmark: A Validation Framework for Synthetic Research

A synthetic survey can reproduce the average answer while misrepresenting how people differ, how their answers relate to one another, or how they respond to changes in conditions. We introduce the Artificial Societies Benchmark to help researchers assess whether synthetic populations support their intended analyses. The framework combines eleven tests across internal, construct, and external validity, drawing on twenty human sources and comparing nine language models. It connects each research use to the evidence it requires and tests how results change with the information we supply about respondents. Importantly, strong performance in one domain does not establish fidelity in the others. Models often answer too consistently, compress response scales, and alter relationships between traits whilst richer profiles improve prediction for some models and worsen it for others. The resulting scorecard helps researchers identify which aspects of a synthetic population can support their analysis and where researchers need further human evidence.

Edoardo Chidichimo, Min Jun Jung, Felix P. S. Wallis +1

Artificial Societies University of Oxford, UK

Benchmark Design Computational Social Science Psychometric Validation Large Language Model-Based Social Simulation Synthetic Data Evaluation

Sep 16, 2026cs.AI

Measuring AI Leadership: Development and Validation of a Multidimensional Measure for AI-Native Organizations

AI is changing what leaders must judge, explain, learn, and coordinate, yet existing measures do not capture these behaviors at the level needed to study leadership in AI-enabled work. We develop the AI Leadership Battery, which organizes 36 behaviorally specific subdimensions into 11 theory-specified content families. Following established scale-development procedures, the research used deductive item generation; content validation of definitional correspondence and definitional distinctiveness; exploratory factor analysis and item reduction; confirmatory factor analysis in independent samples; and tests of internal consistency reliability, convergent validity, discriminant validity, and criterion-related and incremental validity. Across the development and validation studies, the analyses provided evidence for the Battery's content, multidimensional structure, reliability, and distinction from selected orbiting constructs. The Battery also contributed additional information beyond orbiting constructs across organizational growth, decision speed, customer/stakeholder response capability, AI-enabled team performance, AI-enabled work experience, AI security and risk management, and AI adoption and integration. The resulting measure provides researchers with a behavioral framework for examining how leaders in AI-enabled work regulate judgment, learning, adaptation, transparency, and accountability.

Mustafa Akben, Leslie Coyne

Department of Management and Entrepreneurship Love School of Business, Elon University · Signalead LLC

Psychometric Validation

Sep 8, 2026stat.AP

Bridging Network Psychometrics and Artificial Intelligence: An Ising-Potts Model with LLM-Derived Weights

The Potts model extends the Ising model to multinomial data. We introduce a Rater Ising-Potts model that uses agreement indicators between pairs of ratings and category labels, with weights derived from LLM embeddings. The model does not presuppose ordered category thresholds or equidistant scoring; instead, it focuses on pairwise agreement among ratings and assigns category-specific positive weights, making it suited for multi-category scoring reliability. We evaluate the model on three constructed-response datasets spanning a corpus of K=14,466 short answers on a three-level rubric and two AERA essay prompts of roughly 1,200-1,400 responses on four-point rubrics. We compare three strategies for sharpening the similarity signal: top-K pruning, min-max normalization with a power transformation, and ColBERT late-interaction similarities. Top-K pruning, which replaces the dense similarity graph with a sparse local network of strongest semantic neighbors, consistently yields the highest accuracy and Cohen's kappa, and the selected neighborhoods are always a small fraction of the corpus. Power tuning consistently ranks second, while ColBERT is competitive on longer essay prompts and adds little on short answers. Across all settings, most misclassifications occur between adjacent score levels, confirming that the model preserves the ordinal structure of scoring rubrics without imposing rigid assumptions. These findings suggest that LLM-derived similarities, combined with a parsimonious Potts formulation and a sparse local graph, offer a robust and interpretable framework for reliability auditing in educational assessment. We discuss extensions to multiple raters and hierarchical rating designs.

Matthias von Davier

Inter-Rater Reliability Psychometric Validation Rubric-Based Evaluation

Aug 31, 2026cs.LG

Three Ways Classical Test Theory Can Mislead About LLM Judges

Evaluations that use a large language model (LLM) as a judge have begun to borrow reliability statistics from classical test theory and its extensions. We examine three such statistics that need one administration and no gold labels. None of them can isolate the judge, because one judge under one prompt supplies no variance component of its own. Claude Haiku 4.5 judged 210 constructed short answers against ten-element checklists. On the 180 with parsed verdicts, the Kuder-Richardson coefficient (KR-20) came out at 0.5223 on the judge's verdicts and 0.5231 on error-free gold verdicts. In simulation, bank design alone moves KR-20 from 0.01 to 0.68 at the judge's measured 4.72% error rate. The dependability index

Φ(λ)

, a ratio of mean squared distances from the pass mark, sits 0.22 to 0.38 below the judge's accuracy against gold and returns 0.54 to 0.68 on error-free gold verdicts. Livingston-Lewis accuracy treats the rubric elements as a sample, and at a pass mark of five elements it credits error-free gold scores with 0.78, close to the judge's 0.81. A statement about the judge therefore needs gold labels or a varied scorer facet, and a reliability ratio needs the bank's spread beside it. One of the four closest judge-evaluation papers varies the prompt and still reads a reliability below 0.7 as a sign that a model cannot serve as a judge, although that reliability moves with the spread of the samples scored. We derive a decision table and four reporting lines from these two rules.

Louis Yiven Zhu

University of Oxford

LLM-as-a-Judge Psychometric Validation LLM Reliability Benchmark Validity

Aug 9, 2026cs.AI

Automated Generation of Complexity-Validated Decision Scenarios Using Large Language Models

Cognitive decision-making research depends on diverse scenarios with carefully controlled complexity, yet manual production is slow, inconsistent, and biased. We developed an automated pipeline that uses LLms to generate structured decision scenarios and validates their complexity through a composite framework rooted in established task-complexity theory. We evaluated 4,238 scenarios across multiple domains and complexity tiers. Measurement validation met rigorous psychometric standards. Agreement among five independent model families was nearly perfect, with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.997 and a kappa of 0.971. Known-groups validity demonstrated large separation between tiers, with an eta-squared of 0.587 and all pairwise comparisons significant at p less than .001. Factor analysis revealed a dominant complexity construct, with loadings between 0.87 and 0.96 across three frameworks, while interactivity formed a weaker secondary dimension at 0.34. Discriminant validity was limited by a strong relationship between complexity and text length that persisted after controlling for tier, yielding a partial correlation of 0.86. This constrains construct purity but does not undermine the instrument's tier-grading function. Model analyses showed a negative association between throughput and schema pass rate (r = -0.967, p = .007, n = 5), suggesting a speed-quality trade-off, though largely driven by one high-throughput model. Llama 4 Maverick generated scenarios fastest at 134 per minute versus 25 for DeepSeek Chat V3.2, but underproduced complex-tier scenarios, whereas DeepSeek Chat V3.2 balanced domain coverage with high schema compliance. The system demonstrated strong psychometric properties, enabling reliable classification into Simple, Moderate, and Complex tiers and providing the measurement infrastructure needed for downstream cognitive assessment of AI systems

Abdalla Doleh, Toni Somers, Ratna Babu Chinnam

Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, 48202, USA · Mike Ilitch School of Business, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, 48202, USA

Synthetic Data Generation Psychometric Validation

Aug 7, 2026cs.CL

Natural Language Processing Psychometrics

Natural Language Processing (NLP) models predicting mental health outcomes rarely specify what they measure: contextual knowledge, emotional content, or syntactic structure. NLP Psychometrics treats psychological prediction from text as a psychometric problem, linking scores to interpretable linguistic evidence and testing beyond the training text format. Nine LLMs, conditioned on controlled personas (cognitive digital shadows), completed psychometric questionnaires with textual explanations per item. We extracted emotional profiles and syntactic-semantic structure via textual forma mentis networks, combined with personality and sociodemographic variables in ablated random forest (RF) regressors, using SHAP to identify which features drove performance and in which direction. Full RF models explained up to 70.8% of variance in life satisfaction (SWLS), 55.7% in depression (PHQ-9), and, for DASS-21, 68.5% depression, 76.0% anxiety, 72.4% stress. Sociodemographics alone explained no meaningful variance in depression, anxiety, or stress, but did so for life satisfaction, where emotion features and income were the strongest predictors; neuroticism and network topology instead dominated depression and anxiety, reversing direction between them. Without retraining, RF models separated diaries from low- and high-score personas (

r

up to 0.91) and, using only network/emotion features, classified clinical from control participants in real transcripts with up to 68% accuracy. These results show the promise and limits of synthetic data: LLM personas can expose model biases, recover patterns consistent with clinical rumination, and support psychometric prediction from human text without a matched questionnaire, but cannot substitute for human validation. NLP Psychometrics makes these distinctions explicit, measurable, and testable through interpretable AI and network/emotional features.

Edoardo Sebastiano De Duro, Emma Franchino, Massimo Stella

CogNoscoLab, Department of Psychology and Cognitive Science, University of Trento, Italy

Clinical Outcome Prediction Psychometric Validation Computational Psycholinguistics Clinical NLP

Aug 3, 2026cs.CL

Every Wrong Answer Counts: Option-Level Psychometrics for LLM Multiple-Choice Benchmarks

Most multiple-choice question (MCQ) benchmarks evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) only by whether they select the correct answers. This binary scoring treats all incorrect responses alike, even though an LLM's preferences among incorrect options may contain systematic and useful information about its behavior and ability. We introduce the LLM Nominal Response Model (LLM-NRM), an option-aware psychometric framework that models the full distribution over answer choices to jointly estimate LLM ability and option-level item characteristics, while separating model-specific response calibration sharpness, positional preference, and difficulty-dependent fallback behavior. Across 189 LLMs and 31,554 items from 14 benchmarks, LLM-NRM predicts held-out LLM-item interactions more accurately than binary Item Response models and conventional nominal-response baselines, and its ability estimates achieve the strongest Spearman correlation of 0.920 with the external human-preference Arena.ai Elo leaderboard. Distractor identity contributes +101% additional Fisher Information per item beyond correctness, and incorrect responses alone recover full-information ability estimates with Spearman 0.943. The learned item parameters also enable efficient benchmarking, where 41 selected items preserve the full-bank ranking with Kendall's correlation 0.85, corresponding to a 770 times reduction. In conclusion, we show that incorrect answers carry distinct and useful measurement information rather than representing equivalent mistakes.

Xiao Fei, Yang Zhang, Sarah Almeida Carneiro +1

École Polytechnique, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, France · Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence, United Arab Emirates

LLM Evaluation Psychometric Validation Item Response Theory

Aug 3, 2026cs.SD

Comparative Validation of GPT-4o-mini and Teacher Mean Scores for Automated Scoring of Music Analysis Responses: Single-Pass Deployment, Repeatability, and Strategy-Specific Bias

Scoring open-ended music analysis responses is time-consuming and requires nuanced judgments of harmonic knowledge and formal understanding. This study evaluates the validity and repeatability of GPT-4o-mini for rubric-based scoring of music analysis essays, using teacher mean scores as the benchmark. A dataset of 300 university-level student responses was scored by teachers on four dimensions: Harmony, Form, Reasoning, and Terminology. GPT-4o-mini scored the same responses using three prompting strategies: few-shot prompting with chain-of-thought reasoning (Fs+CoT), retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), and self-consistency based on five internal generations per administration (SC). Each strategy was administered three times with the model, prompt, rubric, and response held constant. Single-pass scores represented an operational scoring condition, whereas median aggregation across three runs was used to examine robustness. Agreement with teacher mean scores was evaluated using correlation, intraclass correlation, Krippendorff's alpha, quadratic weighted kappa, and scoring error indices. Fs+CoT showed the strongest agreement with teacher mean scores in both single-pass scoring and median aggregation. RAG showed systematic over-scoring, whereas SC produced highly repeatable scores but weaker individual-level agreement. Dimension-level analyses showed that scoring performance varied across rubric components, with Terminology generally showing weaker agreement than Reasoning. These findings indicate that GPT-4o-mini can generate stable scores for complex music analysis responses, but prompting strategies produce distinct scoring profiles. Operational use therefore requires strategy-specific calibration, dimension-level validation, and continued human oversight.

Baicheng Lin, Lingxi Jin, Kyung-Seok Min

Department of Education, Sejong University, South Korea · Department of Educational Technology, Ewha Womans University, South Korea

LLM-as-a-Judge Educational Technology Automated Essay Scoring Psychometric Validation Rubric-Based Evaluation

Jul 29, 2026cs.AI

Dimensionality and Measurement Precision in HLE's Multiple-Choice Subset

Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) is widely used to evaluate frontier language models. HLE organizes its questions into eight subject-domain categories, whose subscores are often interpreted as evidence of distinct capabilities. However, no study has assessed whether these labels correspond to empirically separable latent constructs, nor whether the benchmark effectively differentiates between models of similar ability. We evaluate 29 LLMs on the text-only multiple-choice subset of HLE (

J = 428

items) and apply psychometric methods to assess both the dimensionality of the benchmark and the distribution of its measurement precision. Fitting a two-parameter logistic IRT model, we find convergent evidence that HLE measures a single general reasoning factor: McDonald's

ω_h = 0.998

, domain labels explain only 3.5% of item response variance, within- and between-domain residual correlations are nearly identical (Cohen's

d = 0.016

), and domain-specific ability estimates are near-redundant with the total score (

r \geq 0.81

). A separate analysis of the test information function reveals that measurement precision concentrates at moderate ability levels and drops sharply above

θ= 0

, where frontier models sit. These findings suggest that HLE's domain subscores do not warrant distinct capability interpretations and that the benchmark's ability to discriminate among the strongest models is limited.

Mayank Sharma, Savira Nadela, Tyler Matteson

Stanford University

LLM Evaluation Psychometric Validation

Jul 24, 2026cs.CL

Developing and Validating the Spanish Version of the Large Language Models Dependency Scale (LLM-D12-SP)

There is a growing need for reliable and culturally validated instruments to assess psychological dependency on large language models (LLMs), particularly as LLMs are increasingly used for task execution, decision-making, and communication in organizational and work-related settings. This need is especially relevant for Spanish-speaking populations, where LLM adoption is rapidly expanding, yet validated psychometric tools remain scarce. The present study reports the first validation of the Spanish version of the Large Language Model Dependency Scale (LLM-D12-SP), extending prior validations conducted in English- and Arabic-speaking samples. The LLM-D12 is a two-dimensional instrument assessing Instrumental Dependency (reliance on LLMs for performing tasks and supporting decisions) and Relationship Dependency (psychological reliance on LLMs for companionship and social interaction). A total of 386 Spanish-speaking participants (M = 28.0 years, SD = 6.1; 55% male) completed the LLM-D12-SP. Confirmatory factor analysis supported the original two-factor structure. The scale demonstrated good internal consistency (Cronbach's alpha = 0.89 total; 0.86 Instrumental; 0.85 Relationship). Discriminant validity analyses indicated that the two subscales represent related but distinct constructs. External validation showed that both dependency dimensions were positively associated with internet addiction and perceived trustworthiness of LLMs, while showing weak or no association with need for cognition. Together with prior English and Arabic validations, these findings establish cross-linguistic support for the scale's structure and provide a psychometrically sound tool for investigating psychological aspects of LLM use in organizational contexts.

Tran Gia Bao, Mo El-Haj, Sameha Al-Shakhsi +3

VinUniversity · Lancaster University · Hamad Bin Khalifa University +2

Human-AI Interaction Psychometric Validation

Jul 15, 2026cs.AI

Measuring How Students Rely on Generative AI in Academic Writing: Development and Multi-Source Validation of the Generative AI Reliance Types Scale (GenAI-RTS)

As generative AI (GenAI) becomes increasingly embedded in undergraduate academic writing, how students rely on these tools, rather than simply whether they use them, has become a central question for learning, academic integrity, and educational equity. Existing measures of reliance were developed inductively, focused on discrete problem-solving tasks, and validated mainly with homogeneous samples. This study developed and validated the GenAI Reliance Types Scale (GenAI-RTS), a 20-item instrument measuring four theoretically derived types of GenAI reliance: Strategic, Instrumental, Dependent, and Dialogic. Validation followed the multisource framework of the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing, drawing on a survey of 382 undergraduates at a U.S. Minority-Serving Institution and interviews with 14 purposively sampled students. Confirmatory factor analyses of six competing models supported a five-factor structure in which Strategic Reliance comprises two facets, Deliberate Use and Critical Evaluation, alongside Instrumental, Dependent, and Dialogic factors (CFI = .92, RMSEA = .08; DWLS CFI = .98, RMSEA = .07). Subscale reliability was acceptable to good (omega = .75-.88), and scalar measurement invariance held across gender, first-generation status, and STEM/non-STEM majors, to our knowledge the first such evidence for a GenAI reliance instrument. Rasch analysis indicated that a five-point response format would improve category functioning. Strategic reliance was positively associated with AI literacy, and the reliance types differentiated students across multiple writing process and outcome variables. The GenAI-RTS offers researchers and educators a theoretically grounded, psychometrically validated instrument for identifying undergraduate reliance profiles and supporting research, assessment, and AI literacy intervention.

Shahin Hossain, Tukhbita Afroz Nawmi

Generative AI in Education Psychometric Validation

Jul 13, 2026cs.AI

Bringing Back Rule Induction to Fluid Intelligence Research? An Initial Validation of the ARC-AGI Benchmark in Humans

Two competing perspectives on fluid intelligence (gf) measures propose that performance is primarily constrained either by working memory capacity or by the ability to induce novel relations. The first perspective is currently dominant in measurement, as evident from the use of a limited set of recurring rules, whereas the second perspective is reflected in many definitions but rarely present in measurement. The ARC-AGI benchmark predominantly requires rule induction and was proposed as a measure of gf for both humans and artificial systems. However, its psychometric properties have not yet been examined in human samples. We therefore investigated the psychometric characteristics and nomological network of ARC-AGI in a first study with 100 participants. A compilation of ARC-AGI items showed good psychometric properties and correlated substantially with figural fluid intelligence as measured by a figural reasoning test (

ρ

= .63). Associations with figural originality were weak. These findings provide initial support for the validity of ARC-AGI as a measure of human fluid intelligence. Future research should include more rule induction tasks as well as additional multivariate covariates. This study is unusual by studying a task in humans that was initially designed for machines. We suggest systematically embedding AI benchmarks into the nomological network of human cognitive abilities to enable more systematic evaluation and interdisciplinary cooperation.

Jasmin Thelen, Oliver Wilhelm

Institute of Psychology and Education, Ulm University, Germany

Psychometric Validation

Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

Evaluating Nonuniform Dependability Across Response Conditions: A Conditional Generalizability Framework Illustrated in Automated Essay Scoring

Aggregate reliability estimates can obscure heterogeneity in measurement-design burden across response conditions, so a single G- or D-study may mischaracterize a design's adequacy for particular strata. This study introduces a conditional generalizability framework with three components. First, automated scoring configurations -- the encoder architectures and scoring-head families admissible within a fixed pipeline -- are treated as a universe of admissible measurement conditions rather than incidental modeling choices. Second, analytical D-study projections are compared with empirical configuration sweeps over a finite scoring pool, yielding two estimands of design adequacy whose agreement or divergence diagnoses the realized configuration universe. Third, evidence is conditioned on entropy-defined response strata, treating entropy as an operational stratification variable, not a construct claim about writing quality. Whereas recent generalizability-theory extensions address AI-generated item variants on the response side, this framework addresses the analogous scoring-side problem: AI-mediated scoring configurations. Demonstrated with automated essay scoring of timed L2 writing, the realized design was dependable in aggregate (Phi approx 0.76). Re-estimated within entropy strata, dependability stayed high but declined modestly and robustly (Phi = 0.88, 0.87, 0.84) -- a gradient implying different decision-study requirements, the highest-entropy stratum requiring the most crossed conditions. The framework offers a portable workflow for evaluating nonuniform dependability.

Yi Gui

Measurement Incorporated

Automated Essay Scoring Psychometric Validation

Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

When the Target Domain Changes: AI-Mediated Construct Drift in High-Stakes English Language AssessmenW

High-stakes English proficiency tests treat standardized, unaided performance as evidence for score interpretations about academic English proficiency. This interpretation remains meaningful, but as target language use domains increasingly involve generative AI, the extrapolation from unaided test performance to academic communicative readiness becomes less self-evident. This conceptual validity argument reframes AI as a score-interpretation problem in high-stakes language testing, not only an operational issue of scoring, feedback, security, or misconduct. Synthesizing current literature in three uneven layers, the paper shows that most work treats AI as assessment infrastructure, while far less theorizes its implications for construct validity and extrapolation warrants. It defines AI-mediated construct drift as the misalignment that arises when communicative abilities required in the target domain change through AI mediation while test constructs remain anchored to an unaided-performance model. It proposes bounded AI mediation as a validity-oriented design principle: a standardized condition in which all test takers access the same institutionally controlled AI assistant, with predefined assistance boundaries, logged interactions, and tasks that distinguish comprehension support from answer generation. The paper argues that score interpretations should be narrowed and supplemented when used to support claims about AI-mediated academic communication.

Yi Gui

Measurement Incorporated

Educational Assessment Generative AI in Education Psychometric Validation

Jul 8, 2026cs.CY

Validating LLMs in social science: Epistemic threats and emerging norms

Large language models (LLMs) are reshaping social science methodology. Researchers increasingly prompt language models to generate quantitative measurements of social concepts, for example labeling data or simulating survey responses. Yet LLMs pose methodological challenges including bias, hallucination, and brittleness across contexts, with unclear threats to validity. Standard practices and norms for addressing these challenges are still emerging. We collect and systematically analyze validation practices in a comprehensive corpus of papers from eight flagship social science journals that use LLMs as measurement instruments. We find that LLM-generated measurements frequently play a central role in empirical analyses, yet validation practices are inconsistent and limited. We outline complementary strategies for more robust validation, pointing toward better norms and standards around the use of LLMs in social science.

Meera Desai, Dallas Card, Abigail Z. Jacobs

School of Information, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA · Center for the Study of Complex Systems, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.

LLM Evaluation Computational Social Science Psychometric Validation LLM Reliability

Jul 8, 2026cs.AI

Measuring Intelligence Beyond Human Scale

How can we measure intelligence beyond human capability? Human-authored benchmarks saturate, and above human capability, examiners may not know which tasks are both hard and verifiable. We argue that this difficulty is inherent to absolute-scale evaluation and propose a new paradigm based on relative measurement in which models generate public challenges that separate other systems. Aggregating these outcomes yields an adversarial psychometric rating system that can scale with the systems being measured. We describe practical protocols that reduce incentives for private-information attacks, support judge-free adjudication, and naturally scale with agent capabilities. We instantiate the framework across verifiable and open-ended, non-verifiable domains, illustrating how model-generated evaluation can continue to measure systems beyond the human frontier.

Jerry Han, Rafael Moschopoulos, Ella Colby +6

Princeton Superalignment

LLM Evaluation AI Agent Evaluation Synthetic Benchmark Generation Psychometric Validation

Jul 2, 2026stat.ML

The Dual Nature of LLM Persona: Aggregated Tendencies and Frame-Dependent Geometry

Evaluations of LLM personas via psychometric questionnaires typically rely on aggregate scores, discarding within-instance correlation structure. We test whether this geometric structure is intrinsic or frame-dependent. Constructing within-instance correlation matrices from IPIP-50 responses, we analyze geometry on SPD manifolds under manipulated question orderings in GPT-4o simulating American and Chinese-American personas. We find that persona expression comprises two dissociable components: aggregated features (Big Five scores) degrade under randomization (21% drop) but are frame-robust; geometric features (SPD manifold) collapse under frame misalignment (42% drop) but recover substantially (to 84%) under shared frames, surpassing aggregated features (76%). This collapse-recovery pattern reveals that persona geometry is not intrinsic but a frame-dependent coordination pattern encoding information invisible to aggregation. Our findings establish a dual-nature framework for LLM personas, frame-dependent geometry versus frame-robust aggregates, necessitating frame-aware evaluation and challenging static trait conceptions.

Yuan Yuan

Independent Researcher.

Persona Consistency Personality Modeling in Language Models Psychometric Validation Representation Geometry in Language Models

Jun 26, 2026cs.CL

Correct codes for the wrong reasons? validating LLMs as measurement instruments for theoretical constructs

When a large language model (LLM) codes a construct in text as a human annotator would, that agreement makes the LLM a reliable coder. Yet reliability leaves construct validity untouched. The instrument may be theory-naive, reaching the code through a correlate that meets none of the demands the construct's theory makes, and no current method tells that apart from genuine measurement. We propose grain calibration as a method that closes the gap. It decomposes a construct into clause-level components, tests each against the text with extractive evidence, and combines the results through an explicit, theory-derived rule. Because the rule is stated rather than lodged in one opaque pass, its structure is evidence about the process rather than the output. It shows which components settled a code, and, when the code is wrong, whether a component was missed or an adjacent construct mistaken for it. Validation shifts from scoring an instrument's outputs against an annotator to showing that the instrument runs on the construct its theory specifies.

Manuel Pita

Artificial Intelligence, Social Interaction and Complexity Laboratory CICANT, Universidade Lusófona 376, Campo Grande, 1700-097 Lisbon, Portugal

LLM Evaluation Psychometric Validation LLM Reliability

Jun 18, 2026cs.AI

Apparent Psychological Profiles of Large Language Models are Largely a Measurement Artifact

Psychological instruments designed for humans are increasingly used to assign large language models (LLMs) stable psychological profiles that affect their usability, safety assessment, and use as proxies for human participants in research. Using a formal psychometric framework, we show that these profiles are largely a measurement artifact. Administering a battery of personality and risk-preference instruments spanning self-reports and behavioral tasks to 56 instruction-tuned LLMs alongside large human reference samples, we report four findings. First, differences between models are driven not by the traits an instrument targets but by a directional response bias, a tendency to respond toward one end of the scale, or one labeled option, regardless of item content; a variance decomposition attributes 81-90% of between-model variation to this bias, against 9-16% in humans. Second, the bias declines with model capability but is not eliminated by it. Third, because bias rather than trait drives responding, an instrument's apparent reliability is almost entirely predicted by its response orthogonality, a term we coin for the proportion of items for which trait and bias point in opposite directions. Fourth, the profile a model appears to have shifts with the items used and can be manufactured through item selection. These results demonstrate that the apparent psychological profiles of LLMs are artifacts of the instrument used to measure them, not properties of the models themselves. As instruments borrowed from human psychology are rarely fully orthogonal and may inherently lack validity for LLMs, we call for dedicated assessments centered on response orthogonality.

Jelena Meyer, David Garcia, Dirk U. Wulff

Max Planck Institute for Human Development. · University of Konstanz. · Barcelona Supercomputing Center. +1

LLM Evaluation Personality Modeling in Language Models Psychometric Validation

Jun 17, 2026cs.CL

LLMs Struggle to Measure What Distinguishes Students of Different Proficiency Levels: A Study of Item Discrimination in Reading Comprehension Assessment

Item discrimination is a fundamental psychometric property of educational assessment, which measures whether an item meaningfully distinguishes students with higher proficiency from students with lower proficiency. While various existing works have explored whether large language models (LLMs) can estimate item difficulty, it remains unclear whether they can capture item discrimination. In this work, we evaluate 42 proprietary and open-weight LLMs in zero-shot settings using two complementary approaches: direct discrimination prediction, where models explicitly estimate an item's discrimination value from its content, and response-based Classical Test Theory (CTT) calibration, where LLM answers are treated as synthetic student responses to compute discrimination scores. Our results show that direct prediction yields weak alignment with human-calibrated discrimination: the best-performing model reaches only a Spearman correlation of 0.152. Response-based CTT calibration provides a stronger but still limited signal, with the all-persona synthetic respondent pool reaching a Spearman correlation of 0.241. These findings highlight item discrimination as an open challenge for LLM-based psychometric evaluation: current LLMs contain non-random discrimination-relevant signal, but they do not yet reliably capture how assessment items distinguish human students.

Han Chen, Ming Li, Chenguang Wang +4

MBZUAI · University of Maryland · Virginia Tech

LLM Evaluation Educational Assessment Psychometric Validation

Jun 2, 2026cs.CL

The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometrics

When prompting language models for psychometric assessment, researchers assume that the responses reflect the injected persona and the meaning of the survey item. We test this premise using a diagnostic design that crosses five semantically distinct baseline personas with five semantically equivalent variants of each of four prompt components (persona wording, task instruction, item wording, option symbol). Measuring the 1-Wasserstein distance between the resulting response distributions and partitioning the variation among the five components allows for the separation of target effects from prompt artifacts. We apply the framework to 13 open-weight small language models (0.6B to 14B) on the Big Five Inventory and the Short Dark Triad. We find that in most models, the task instruction and option symbol displace response distributions further than paraphrasing the persona description or the item itself. For a substantial share of items, the artifact share of explained variation exceeds 50%; non-semantic changes of the prompt account for more response variation than the baseline personas. Our framework lets researchers quantify these prompt artifacts before interpreting psychometric output.

Nils Schwager, Christoph Hau, Simon Münker +1

Trier University, Trier, Germany

Prompt Sensitivity LLM Prompting Personality Modeling in Language Models Psychometric Validation

May 30, 2026cs.SI

GenPT: Beyond Self-Report for Reliable LLM Psychometrics via Generative Projective Testing

Self-report questionnaires remain the prevailing tool for probing the psychological states of persona-conditioned agents (PC-Agents). However, classical instruments inherit two well-known threats: contamination from training corpora and directional bias driven by social-desirability or contextual framing. To overcome these methodological bottlenecks, we ask whether projective paradigms can be adapted into a robust psychometric tool. We introduce \textbf{GenPT} (Generative Projective Testing), which reformulates TAT, Rorschach, and SCT with newly generated stimuli and organizes assessment as a three-stage pipeline to derive standardized psychological indicators and target states. Evaluating PC-Agents induced via CharacterRAG and AnnaAgent profiles, we benchmark GenPT's reliability and validity against classical questionnaires. The results indicate that questionnaires exhibit systematic directional shifts under social-desirability framing, most strongly on suicide ideation. In contrast, GenPT's collected behavioral patterns stay near the symmetric baseline. Furthermore, under a longitudinal counselling context, GenPT-based depression assessment shifts by roughly an order of magnitude more than the questionnaire counterpart when Qwen3 serves as the backbone. Overall, GenPT complements self-report methods in scenarios where contamination resistance, bias asymmetry, and context sensitivity matter. Code and stimuli can be found at https://github.com/sci-m-wang/GenPT.

Ming Wang, Shuang Wu, Bixuan Wang +7

School of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China · Mental Health Education Center, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China · School of Psychology, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China +3

Psychometric Validation

May 24, 2026cs.AI

AI Cartography: Mapping the Latent Landscape of AI Benchmark Ecosystems

While aggregate leaderboard scores drive AI development, they contain substantial measurement noise whose sources and magnitudes remain unquantified, making it unclear when rankings reflect genuine capability differences versus evaluation artifacts. We introduce a framework for measuring the latent landscape in AI benchmark ecosystems. Applying Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) and Generalizability Theory to 4,000+ models from the Open LLM Leaderboard, we decompose sources of ranking variance and establish: (1) structures assumed in current reporting practice underestimate the strength of relationships between benchmarks; (2) evidence of local dependence among leaderboard items, undermining uses of benchmarks as measurement instruments under current scoring systems; (3) contributor metadata explains more rank-relevant variance (

\approx9\%

) than architecture or deployment categories in this context; (4) a manifest-score "scaling law" slope has low reliability (

R_β=0.53

); by contrast, the latent general-factor size slope is highly stable across ecosystem controls (

R_g=0.97

). We are able to provide unique insights into benchmark dynamics, such as which benchmarks are a function of LLM size and which can be oppositely impacted by post-training practices. We provide actionable diagnostics to determine how benchmark rankings can be trusted and how benchmark design can be improved.

Michael Hardy, Anka Reuel, Lijin Zhang +6

Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA · BroadMetrics, Edison, NJ, USA

LLM Evaluation Benchmark Design Psychometric Validation Benchmark Validity

May 19, 2026cs.AI

Generative-Evaluative Agreement: A Necessary Validity Criterion for LLM-Enabled Adaptive Assessment

When the same LLM generates assessment items, simulates student responses, and scores them, the validation loop is self-referential. We introduce Generative-Evaluative Agreement (GEA), a validity criterion measuring whether an LLM's scoring function recovers the skill levels its generative function was instructed to produce. In the first direct measurement of GEA on a two-stage adaptive assessment, the model recovers roughly half the intended variance r = 0.698 with systematic positive bias. GEA is strong r > 0.7 for syntactically verifiable skills but near zero for design-level skills, and low-skill overestimation inflates scores near the routing threshold. We argue that granular, skill-decomposed rubrics are the principal proposed mechanism for strengthening GEA and outline complementary mitigations.

Grandee Lee, Yue Wang, Che Yee Lye +1

Singapore University of Social Sciences

LLM Evaluation Educational Assessment Psychometric Validation Automated Grading

May 15, 2026cs.AI

Can We Trust AI-Inferred User States. A Psychometric Framework for Validating the Reliability of Users States Classification by LLMs in Operational Environments

The use of large language models to assess user states in conversational and adaptive systems is based on the assumption that the metrics used for such assessment are stable and interpretable at the level of individual scores. This paper empirically tests this assumption, focusing on the psychometric reliability of artificial intelligence (AI) measures of user states. This study employed replication evaluation procedures to assess the repeatability of a broad set of metrics across three different bimodal large language models (GPT-4o audio, Gemini 2.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5 Flash). Analyses include both individual score reliability and aggregated reliability, allowing us to distinguish metrics potentially useful for real-time adaptation from those that retain their value only in aggregated analyses. The results demonstrate that metric reliability cannot be considered a default property in interpretive domains. The lack of stability at the level of individual scores precludes the interpretation of such scores as indicators of user state in real-time adaptive systems, even if these metrics demonstrate stability after aggregation. At the same time, the study indicates that individually unstable metrics can retain analytical utility in post-hoc studies, identifying rules governing interactions and their relationships with user experience parameters such as satisfaction, trust, and engagement. The main contribution of this work, besides quantifying the severity of the problem (only 31 of 213 metrics met the criteria), is the proposal of a replicable evaluation framework, enabling measurable evaluations of metric applicability. This approach supports more responsible AI design of adaptive systems, in which the interpretation of results requires explicit validation of reliability and monitoring for violations over time.

Izabella Krzeminska, Michal Butkiewicz, Ewa Komkowska

Orange Research, AI Center, Warsaw, Poland

LLM Evaluation Psychometric Validation LLM Reliability

May 11, 2026cs.CL

The Association of Transformer-based Sentiment Analysis with Symptom Distress and Deterioration in Routine Psychotherapy Care

Sentiment analysis has been of long-standing interest in psychotherapy research. Recently, the Transformer deep learning architecture has produced text-based sentiment analysis models that are highly accurate and context-aware. These models have been explored as proxies for emotion measurement instruments in psychotherapy, but not investigated as stand-alone psychometric tools. Using proposed utterance-level and session-level sentiment features derived from a fine-grained sentiment model on a large corpus of psychotherapy sessions (N = 751), we investigate the distribution of session aggregated sentiment scores. Further, we characterize the relationship of these features to individual components and the overall score of the OQ-45 instrument and find that this sentiment feature is most strongly correlated to components related to emotional valence in directionally intuitive ways. Finally, we report that there are statistically significant differences between the sentiment distributions for patients flagged as at risk of deterioration or dropping out of care via either the OQ Rational or Empirical outcome models. These correlations to a fully-validated psychometric instrument demonstrate that these proposed sentiment features are, at least, adjunctive measures of client distress and deterioration.

Douglas K. Faust, Peter Awad, Alexandre Vaz +1

Sentio University, Torrance, CA, USA · Western Washington University, Department of Mathematics, Bellingham, WA, USA

Sentiment Analysis Clinical Outcome Prediction Psychometric Validation Clinical NLP

May 10, 2026cs.AI

Machine Psychometrics: A Mathematical Psychology of Artificial Intelligence

Artificial agents now generate behavior rich enough to invite trust, surprise, and concern, yet our evaluation tools still privilege capability scores over psychological structure. This paper argues that the philosophical impasse between two symmetrical errors (Artificial Mind Blindness, which dismisses psychological organization in non-biological systems, and Artificial Mind Projection, which infers human-like inner life from fluent behavior alone) can be circumvented not by resolving the consciousness question, but by introducing a disciplined measurement layer beneath it. Drawing on Michael Levin's continuum view of cognition as goal-directed competency across substrates, and on the methodological repertoire of mathematical psychology (Item Response Theory, Signal Detection Theory, Bayesian cognitive modeling, calibration analysis, cognitive-bias batteries), the paper develops Machine Psychometrics as a measurement science of latent behavioral, metacognitive, communicative, and self-modeling dispositions in artificial agents. Its operational core is the Machine Mindprint: a multidimensional, domain-bounded, versioned profile spanning calibration, source integrity, suggestibility resistance, context stability, expressive alignment, tool integrity, drift monitoring, and distributional grounding. A complementary Trust Protocol turns Mindprints into deployment decisions through probe batteries, perturbation testing, reliability and validity analysis, and longitudinal monitoring across high-stakes domains. The philosophical contribution is a third stance, Artificial Mind Discipline, that neither anthropomorphizes nor dismisses, neither presupposes consciousness nor forecloses it. The aim is not to humanize artificial agents, but to understand them precisely because they are not human, through measurement before judgment.

Alex Bogdan, Adrian de Valois-Franklin

Evolutionairy AI · Toronto, Canada

AI Agent Evaluation AI Agent Monitoring Psychometric Validation Trust in AI

May 8, 2026cs.CL

The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures

Natural Language Processing is rapidly evolving into a primary instrument for Computational Social Science, with researchers increasingly using embeddings to measure latent constructs such as novelty, creativity, and bias. However, this transition faces a fundamental validity challenge: the ''Proxy Presumption,'' or the reliance on geometric properties (e.g., cosine distance) as direct measures of social concepts. We argue that without explicit validation, unsupervised representations remain entangled mixtures of the target construct (

C

) and confounding attributes (

Z

) like topic, style, and authorship. To bridge the gap between semantic embeddings and valid social measures, we introduce the Construct Validity Protocol (CVP). Drawing on causal representation learning and psychometrics, the CVP offers a rigorous pipeline from conceptualization to quantitative verification. We further propose Counterfactual Neutralization, a novel method using LLMs to reduce confounding in embedding space. By providing a standardized Validity Suite -- including tests for discriminant, incremental, and predictive validity -- this work offers the community a toolkit to transform heuristic proxies into robust, scientifically defensible instruments.

Baishi Li, Ta Yu, Kelvin J. L. Koa +1

National University of Singapore · Asian Institute of Digital Finance

Text Embeddings Text Embedding Evaluation Computational Social Science Psychometric Validation

May 6, 2026cs.CL

The Pinocchio Dimension: Phenomenality of Experience as the Primary Axis of LLM Psychometric Differences

We administer 45 validated psychometric questionnaires to 50 large language models (LLMs) to identify the dimensions along which LLMs differ psychometrically. Using Supervised Semantic Differential (SSD), we find that the primary axis of between-model variance separates items describing phenomenally rich experience, including embodied sensation, felt affect, inner speech, imagery, and empathy, from items describing stimulus-driven behavioral reactivity (

R^2_{adj}=.037

,

p<.0001

). To test this hypothesis at the item level, we introduce the Pinocchio score (

π_i

), the ratio of inter-model response variance under neutral prompting to that under a human-simulation prompt, as an annotation-free measure of each item's experiential demand.

π_i

predicts condition-induced shifts in primary factor loading magnitudes (

ρ=-.215

,

p<.0001

,

n=1292

--

1310

items), confirming that between-model divergence on experiential items is structured rather than noisy. Applying PCA to per-model EFA scores across all questionnaires reveals one dominant dimension, the Pinocchio Axis (

Π

): the degree to which a model presents itself as a locus of phenomenal experience rather than a system of behavioral responses. This axis captures 47.1% of cross-questionnaire between-model variance in primary factor scores and converges with item-level Pinocchio scores (

r=.864

). Marked within-provider divergence across closely related model variants is consistent with post-training fine-tuning as a key contributor, supporting the interpretation that

Π

reflects a training-shaped self-representational tendency governing how a model treats experiential language as self-applicable. The dominant axis of between-model psychometric variation is therefore not a conventional personality trait but a self-representational stance toward one's own nature as an experiencer.

Hubert Plisiecki, Sabina Siudaj, Kacper Dudzic +4

IDEAS Research Institute · University of Warsaw

LLM Evaluation Personality Modeling in Language Models Psychometric Validation