Spatial Generalization
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4 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.
Latest papers 27
High-resolution socioeconomic variables are important for applications such as urban planning, public health, disaster response, and resource allocation. In practice, however, these variables are often observed only at a coarse spatial resolution. We introduce Puffin, a probabilistic framework for statistical disaggregation that raises the resolution of coarse totals using high-resolution satellite embeddings as covariates. Instead of predicting a single value for each fine-resolution subregion, Puffin learns a probability distribution and is trained through an aggregation-aware likelihood. At inference, Puffin conditions these predictions on the observed regional total and splits it among the subregions. The resulting fine-scale estimates are consistent with the observed aggregate and come with calibrated uncertainty, without requiring fine-resolution labels for training. We evaluate Puffin on German and US census, employment, and election data across population, jobs, and other count variables, and study when statistical disaggregation succeeds or fails across regions, countries, and targets.
How Many Independent Samples Does a Satellite Image Contain? Generalization Bounds for Spatially Dependent Data
Machine learning classifiers for remote sensing imagery are typically evaluated as though every pixel were an independent sample. Spatial autocorrelation violates this assumption, since neighboring pixels carry redundant information which inflates sample sizes. How many independent samples does a satellite image actually contain? For an image whose spatial correlation persists over a range of pixels, the effective sample size is , not . We prove this as a finite-sample upper bound for classifiers on spatially correlated data, and show via a matching lower bound that the rate is tight, and no algorithm can do better. We extend the results to images with directional correlation and spatially varying correlation structure. Our result justifies spatial cross-validation since block holdout with separation proportional to the correlation range achieves optimal generalization guarantees, while random holdout can underestimate confidence interval widths by a factor proportional to . We validate the theory on synthetic data and satellite image tiles from three sensors (Landsat 8, Sentinel-2, and Sentinel-1).
ReGraph: A Computational Account of Emergent Generalization in the "what" and "where" Dual Visual Streams
Where generalization capacity--the ability to extract context-invariant relational structures--first emerges remains a central question in AI and neuroscience. The foundation for this capacity lies upstream of the hippocampus, within the entorhinal cortex, where parallel pathways dissociate relational structure in the medial entorhinal cortex (MEC) from sensory content in the lateral entorhinal cortex. However, as Eichenbaum argued, such factorization likely originates earlier, driven by the segregation of the dorsal ('where') and ventral ('what') visual streams. Supporting this, grid-like firing patterns--a signature of MEC (context-invariant codes)--also appear in preceding neocortical regions along the dorsal pathway. Yet, how such representations are computationally formed along upstream pathways remains unknown. To investigate this in silico, we developed ReGraph, a recurrent dual-stream graph model with biological inductive biases, including retina-driven stream-specialized encoding, dorsal-to-ventral modulation, and dynamic lateral connectivity. Trained on the action benchmark Something-Something V2, ReGraph revealed a pathway-specific emergence of relational mapping: context-invariant codes and grid-like spatial bases uniquely co-emerged along the extended dorsal stream. In contrast, their absence in single-stream, unmodulated variants, and standard baselines implies that these inductive biases are prerequisites for relational structures. Crucially, our post-hoc analyses demonstrated that these grid-like bases serve as reusable routing templates for information processing via lateral connectivity. Together, our findings provide a computational account that generalization may not be a faculty that emerges abruptly within a dedicated region, but a property that already takes shape as sensory information is parsed into factorized streams of hierarchical visual processing.
Less is more: error-distance scaling relation for data-efficient kilometer-scale downscaling of extreme heat
Extreme heat is where urban adaptation needs kilometer-scale data the most, but the simulations training a downscaler can cost more than they save, and how much is needed has not been identified. We measured it with CASPER, a U-Net with a structure-preserving loss downscaling 32 km reanalysis to 1 km temperature, humidity and wind, across 24 configurations of one to eight months. Held-out error grows linearly with climatological distance to the training data, RMSE = 0.83 + 2.95 d, explaining 90% of its variance against 7% for volume and predicting unseen months in advance. On held-out extreme summer weeks CASPER preserves the fine-scale structure and cross-variable physics that matched-budget baselines degrade, and matches station observations during documented heat waves to within 1.8 K. Transfer to a new region degrades geographically; 11 days of local simulation cuts Vancouver's held-out error from 3.8 to 1.3 K. Training periods should span the target climate: the same accuracy for four times less simulation, putting kilometer-scale downscaling of extreme heat within reach of groups without large computing facilities.
Evaluating Cross-region Generalization for Wavelet-Diffusion Precipitation Downscaling
Diffusion models have shown strong potential for kilometer-scale precipitation downscaling, but their performance in geographically unseen regions and event regimes remains insufficiently understood. Building on the wavelet diffusion model (WDM) framework, this study evaluates cross-region and cross-event generalization. Six 3 x 3 deg U.S. regions represent convective, winter, tropical, and atmospheric-river precipitation regimes. Low-resolution inputs are generated by block averaging NOAA Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor (MRMS) composite reflectivity fields. A WDM trained only on Oklahoma (OK) samples and a WDM trained on all six regions are compared with nearest-neighbor and Bicubic interpolation. Model performance is evaluated using three metric families that measure image-domain reconstruction, spectral and distributional fidelity, and bin-wise precipitation detection. The OK-trained WDM remains competitive outside OK. Although the all-region WDM delivers the best and most consistent overall image-domain and detection performance, its gains are uneven across precipitation intensities. Bin-wise critical success index (CSI) over 5-dBZ reflectivity bins shows that WDM improvements concentrate in localized higher-reflectivity structures, which image-domain metrics partly obscure. In addition, the performance differences among samples are strongly associated with the spatial organization of the precipitation field, quantified by Moran's I as the spatial autocorrelation of each reflectivity bin. The sample-level Moran's I-CSI correlation stratified by sample intensity reaches 0.901 in all six regions, including regions unseen during training. Overall, these findings support future efforts to transfer downscaling models to regions with limited local training data and to generate globally consistent, high-resolution precipitation products.
Geospatial embeddings detect old-growth forests but buffered spatial validation narrows their advantage over Sentinel features
Old-growth forests develop over centuries under minimal anthropogenic disturbance, producing structurally complex and biodiverse stands. In Europe, protecting them requires mapping that is accurate for individual forest parcels yet deployable continent-wide. Geospatial foundation model (GFM) embeddings enable label-scarce land classification, but their value for old-growth detection remains unknown. Here, we map old-growth forests across 211,893 ha of Romania's Southern Carpathians, a beech-spruce landscape typical of the Alpine Biogeographic Region. We construct high-confidence, expert-informed reference labels for old-growth and non-old-growth parcels. We add AlphaEarth, TESSERA v2 and Sentinel-1/2 features to a common baseline of topographic and human-access predictors, then compare them under spatially blocked validation with and without 10 km train-test buffers to limit residual autocorrelation. With buffering, GFM and Sentinel-1/2 predictors increase precision-recall AUC by 0.21-0.25 [95% CIs: 0.15-0.34] relative to baseline, indicating spectral data contain a spatially robust old-growth signal. With a PR-AUC of 0.84 [0.79-0.88], TESSERA outperforms Sentinel-1/2 (+0.08 [+0.05 to +0.11]) and AlphaEarth (+0.08 [+0.04 to +0.12]) under unbuffered spatial validation. At a 10 km buffer, however, this advantage narrows to +0.04 [-0.01 to +0.11] and +0.03 [-0.04 to +0.10], intervals consistent with no difference. At 10 m resolution, convolutional neural networks add no benefit over pixel-based XGBoost. Comparisons with four national- and continental-scale products show the importance of non-old-growth labels, and reveal 81% agreement between our predictions and a field-calibrated map. We conclude that buffered spatial validation is vital when transferring old-growth detection models to unseen landscapes, and provide our labels and predictions for future work.
MIND the Gap: A Geographic Implicit Neural Representation with Adjustable Spatial Scale
Geographic measurements are often sparse, leaving large areas without labels for the quantities we want to map. Geographic implicit neural representations (INRs) address this by learning smooth, general-purpose embeddings that can be queried at any coordinate. Downstream models combine these embeddings with sparse labels to predict target values at unsampled locations without satellite imagery at inference. However, generalization to distant regions remains largely unexplored, despite its importance for remote sensing applications. We introduce Matryoshka Implicit Neural Distillation (MIND), which distills embeddings from specialist pretrained geospatial models into a single generalist coordinate embedding with adjustable spatial granularity. MIND uses nested supervision at several embedding dimensions, which define a series of contiguous chunks. In our experiments, early chunks capture coarser geographic variation, while later chunks add more fine-grained details. A downstream predictor can retain only leading chunks or be fitted with our Chunked Penalty to downweight later chunks while keeping the full embedding, without retraining the INR. To measure MIND and compare to existing approaches around the world, we introduce CoordBench, a large-scale INR evaluation suite of datasets and targets that aims to test both local interpolation and prediction in held-out regions at various spatial scales. MIND and its Chunked Penalty variant achieve the highest aggregate regression and classification scores among tested INRs, and the highest scores overall under regional holdout, setting a new state-of-the-art for geographic INRs.
Quantifying geographic domain shift to decouple the geospatial transferability of human mobility flow generation models
Human mobility serves as an essential proxy for understanding social, economic, and environmental dynamics in urban systems. Geospatial transferability, which measures a model's capability in a new location or unseen region, is a critical dimension for comparing different human mobility generation models. However, few studies have studied the intrinsic characteristics of geospatial transferability. To this end, this study systematically investigates the geospatial transferability of four representative human mobility generation models using a large-scale benchmark dataset of census tract level commuting flows across 2265 counties in the United States. Inspired by the domain adaptation theory in machine learning, we introduce geographic domain shift to describe the intrinsic differences in geographic feature distributions and spatial structures between source and target regions, which may jointly affect model transferability. Moreover, we propose two metrics, mutual information and spatial shift, to quantify the geographic domain shift. To examine their associations with model transferability, we employ linear mixed-effects regression to analyze the associations between geographic domain shifts and transferability. Our results reveal substantial spatial heterogeneity and asymmetry in transfer performance across regions. Both information shift and spatial shift exhibit statistically significant and complementary explanatory power. This indicates that geospatial transferability depends not only on model design but also on intrinsic geographic differences. These findings provide a novel methodological framework for evaluating and improving the geospatial transferability of human mobility generation models and support more robust and fair human mobility data synthesis across diverse regions. It also offers insights on spatial transferability for GeoAI model development.
Evaluating AlphaEarth Foundations Embeddings for Wildfire Susceptibility Mapping
Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products. AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) provides analysis-ready geospatial embeddings that may reduce this dependence on heavy harmonisation and task-specific feature engineering, but their value for wildfire susceptibility mapping has not been systematically evaluated. Using Victoria, Australia (2017-2025), as a case study, we show that AEF embeddings can reconstruct commonly used variables in wildfire susceptibility analysis with high accuracy. In downstream susceptibility models trained on satellite-derived fire occurrence data, embedding-based susceptibility models achieve ROC-AUC values above 0.92 and consistently identify high wildfire susceptibility across eastern Victoria, particularly Gippsland and the north-eastern uplands, with additional localized hotspots in central and northwestern Victoria. A key feature of AEF embeddings is their strong near-region transferability within climatically similar regions. When embedding-based models trained in Victoria are applied to Canberra and Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, ROC-AUC improves by around 4% at Canberra and declines by around 2% at Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, compared with a mean decrease of approximately 25% for physical-variable models. These findings provide practical guidance for using AEF embeddings and lay a foundation for scalable wildfire susceptibility mapping workflows for downstream users such as government agencies and (re)insurers.
Spatial Heterogeneity-Aware Multi-Hazard Susceptibility and Risk Mapping at Regional Scale
Floods and landslides often co-occur, but their relationships with environmental controls vary spatially. This study develops a spatial heterogeneity-aware framework for flood-landslide susceptibility and relative-risk mapping in Kerala, India, and Nepal. It combines 15 km x 15 km grid cells with region-specific contextual zones and compares proximity-gated cross-zone training (S1) and ecology-gated zone-constrained training (S2). S1 permits geographically nearby models to be assigned across contextual boundaries, whereas S2 restricts model development and assignment to the same zone. Random Forest models for each hazard use strategy-specific predictor sets and are evaluated on spatially held-out test samples. Susceptibility surfaces are integrated with CRITIC-weighted exposure and vulnerability indices to produce hazard-specific and nine-class bivariate relative-risk maps. S1 achieved higher mean accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, AUC-ROC, and PR-AUC for both hazards and regions. The largest difference occurred for Nepal flood susceptibility, where AUC-ROC increased from 0.728 under S2 to 0.886 under S1 and PR-AUC from 0.512 to 0.823. S2 produced lower Brier scores for both Nepal hazards and retained zone-specific differences in predictor selection, SHAP rankings, and response patterns, particularly in Kerala. Both strategies reproduced flood-prone lowland and landslide-prone upland patterns but differed in susceptibility and risk classes. Bivariate risk-map agreement was 0.521 in Kerala and 0.711 in Nepal, with allocation disagreement exceeding quantity disagreement in all S1-S2 comparisons. Susceptibility-to-risk correspondence remained below 0.350, showing that exposure and vulnerability changed priority locations. Overall, cross-zone learning strengthens regional discrimination, while zone-constrained learning preserves environmental differences, supporting their integration.
Balancing multiscale similarity and cartographic constraints: A similarity-driven optimization framework for line generalization
Cartographic generalization is essential for generating multiscale map representations by balancing information preservation and cartographic readability. However, automated generalization remains challenging because existing approaches often treat spatial similarity evaluation, cartographic constraints, and parameter optimization as separate processes, limiting adaptive and interpretable control across scales. This study formulates cartographic generalization as a constrained multiscale similarity optimization problem and proposes a similarity-driven framework for adaptive generalization control. The framework integrates multiscale spatial similarity as an optimization objective to quantify representation consistency between original and generalized data, while incorporating cartographic constraints to regulate readability, smoothness, and geometric validity. A unified objective function is optimized to automatically identify scale-dependent parameter configurations for different generalization algorithms. Experiments using multiple line simplification algorithms, target scales, and similarity measures, including geometric, structural, and learning-based metrics, demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves an effective balance between similarity preservation and cartographic abstraction. The results further show that combining similarity optimization with cartographic constraints provides more consistent and interpretable parameter control than relying on similarity evaluation alone. This study provides a unified optimization perspective that connects similarity assessment, constraint modeling, and algorithm control, contributing to adaptive and automated cartographic generalization.
Capacity-Aware Deep Learning for Generalizable Traffic Volume Estimation Across Links and Cities
Network-wide traffic volume estimation typically relies on propagating measurements from fixed sensors, making performance highly dependent on sensor density and limiting deployment in sparsely instrumented networks. We propose a link-level learning framework that estimates hourly traffic volumes from widely available territorial data only, including probe speed profiles, road and topological descriptors, along with weather observations. A supervised local mapping is learned from sparse sensor measurements and evaluated under two generalization settings: intra-network (unseen links within the training network) and inter-network (unseen city). This formulation frames traffic volume estimation as a spatial out-of-distribution generalization problem under sparse supervision. To enhance spatial robustness, we introduce a capacity-aware formulation that models volume as the product of a link-specific structural capacity and an hourly regime-aware utilization ratio, embedding traffic-theoretic constraints directly into the learning process. Extensive experiments in both generalization settings demonstrate that the proposed structural constraints consistently outperform a state-of-the-art baseline under spatial distribution shift.
Geographic Diversity Beats Data Volume for Cross-Domain Generalization in Zero-Label JEPA Driving World Models
Self-supervised latent world models can assign a surprise score to driving scenarios without any human labels. A natural follow-up question is whether such a model, trained on driving data from one geographic region, can generalize its notion of complexity to unseen cities and sensor configurations. We study this question through a controlled transfer experiment: we train JEPA-based world models on nuPlan data (Pittsburgh, Boston, Singapore) and evaluate zero-shot on held-out Argoverse 2 validation scenarios from Miami and Austin. We find that models trained on geographically diverse data generalize significantly better than models trained on equal amounts of single-geography data. In a matched-scale ablation at 63,000 scenarios per condition (n=3 seeds each), combined training reduces mean surprise score by 16.5% relative to nuPlan-only training (0.228 +/- 0.015 vs 0.273 +/- 0.008). Notably, training on 200,000 AV2-only scenarios (3x more data from one geography) still produces higher surprise (0.264) than the combined 63K model, suggesting that geographic diversity is a stronger predictor of cross-domain generalization than raw data volume.
Mind the Gap: Standard 3DGS Evaluation Primarily Measures Near-Trajectory Interpolation
Standard MipNeRF360-style 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) evaluation holds out every N-th frame -- but these frames have trained neighbors on both sides, so the metric measures near-trajectory interpolation rather than spatial generalization. We introduce a fair matched-count protocol that isolates this effect: both arms train on the same number of images and differ only in whether the holdout is spread evenly (interpolation) or forms a contiguous spatial sector (extrapolation). Our primary finding is a large, consistent interpolation-extrapolation gap of 3~12dB -- several times the differences typically reported between competing methods. The gap is robust to training noise, is in two cases large enough to flip a method ranking under multi-seed confirmation, and -- crucially -- persists across three representation families, including a non-Gaussian volumetric neural radiance field (NeRF), so it reflects spatial coverage rather than any one representation. Diagnostically, it is dominated by a diffuse/geometry-proxy component and tracks each view's angular distance to its nearest training view, a zero-cost signal that also guides capture planning; loss-side regularization yields only marginal gains. Standard holdouts remain useful for near-trajectory rendering but should not, alone, be read as evidence of spatial generalization. Prior work notes protocol sensitivity; ours is, to our knowledge, the first to combine matched-count paired holdout, cross-representation quantification, and a diagnostic analysis Table 1. We describe a spatial-holdout benchmark toolkit with standardized splits and baselines for 16 scenes, which we are preparing for public release.
When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecasting
Spatio-temporal point-process models must often generalise across space when local event histories are sparse. We study whether exogenous spatial context can compensate in such regimes. Using a fixed log-Gaussian Cox process backbone, we compare an event-only model with the same model augmented by AlphaEarth embeddings as linear spatial context. We evaluate spatial transfer on emergency medical services (EMS) forecasting across eight held-out regions, fixed forecast anchors, and a sweep over history length , using only AlphaEarth (AE) embeddings available strictly before each anchor. AE improves out-of-region predictive performance across all history regimes, with the largest gains under scarce histories: approximately -- multiplicative improvements at weeks, tapering to roughly -- at -- weeks. These results show that contextual information can substantially stabilise spatially transferred point-process forecasts when event history is limited.
Evolving Spatial Weights for Cartographic Synthesis
The integration of multiple thematic data layers into a single composite map, known as the cartographic synthesis problem, is typically addressed through expert-driven weighting schemes. This study presents a multi-objective formulation of cartographic synthesis grounded in spatial autocorrelation structure. We develop a bi-objective evolutionary framework, GIS-moGA, that estimates layer weights by simultaneously maximizing global spatial structure, measured by Global Moran's I, and minimizing local spatial heterogeneity, measured by the variance of Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA). Because naive evaluation of spatial relationships requires O(N^2) operations, direct computation becomes impractical for larger datasets. We address this challenge by exploiting the 97.7% sparsity of queen contiguity matrices, reducing effective complexity to O(N k) and enabling scalable municipal-level analysis. The framework is evaluated on a high-dimensional spatial epidemiology dataset with N = 523 units from Araraquara, Brazil. A 64-scenario experimental design is used to examine evolutionary behavior across parameter settings. Results show that higher mutation rates are important for maintaining population diversity and preventing premature convergence in spatially autocorrelated fitness landscapes, where crossover operators can disrupt geographically coherent structures. Compared with expert-derived Analytic Hierarchy Process baselines, the resulting Pareto fronts show substantial hypervolume gains and significant improvements in spatial coherence (p < 0.001, Cliff's delta = 0.87). These findings provide a systematic and scalable framework for data-driven geographic multi-criteria decision analysis.
Exploring the potential of AlphaEarth and TESSERA embeddings for Fine-scale Local Climate Zone Mapping: A case study across five cities in Switzerland
Understanding urban spatial morphology is critical for climate modeling, risk assessment, and sustainable urban design, and Local Climate Zone (LCZ) mapping provides the basic framework for this. However, many cities still use coarse ~100-m resolution LCZ records, which are unsuitable for fine-scale urban research. In this study, precomputed embeddings from TESSERA (Feng et al., 2025) and AlphaEarth (Brown et al., 2025) are compared to traditional Sentinel-1/2 (S1S2) composites in five Swiss cities to see if they can upscale coarse LCZ maps to 10-m resolution using an attention-based U-Net. Three experiments assess multi-city transferability, the impact of higher-resolution reference data, and temporal robustness to year-to-year phenology changes. We find that all datasets achieve strong performance with test data Intersection-over-Union (IoU) ranging from 0.59-0.69 and 0.77-0.82 in the first two experiments. TESSERA consistently outperforms both S1S2 and AlphaEarth across both settings As expected, we find that the transfer of embedding-based models from one year to another remains an open challenge. Overall, however, our results demonstrate the promising potential of embeddings derived from EO foundation models to reduce time consuming preprocessing, respectively, manual feature engineering tasks and to guide a universal deep learning-based LCZ mapping workflow. When combined with a simple location-aware attention U-Net architecture, the embeddings enhance regional transferability and scalability, supporting the development of comprehensive and reproducible fine-scale LCZ maps for global urban climate applications Improving reference data quality remains the strongest lever for further accuracy gains.
Towards Graph-Based Deep Learning for Map Generalization: Insights from Building Footprints Simplification and Aggregation
Map generalization remains one of the fundamental tasks in cartography, especially for the simplification and aggregation of complex building footprints. This study presents the first exploratory application of graph-based deep learning to both tasks, reformulating simplification as node movement prediction and aggregation as link prediction within a unified graph learning framework. We evaluate representative graph neural network architectures (GCN, GAT, and GraphSAGE) on multi-scale building datasets, showing that GraphSAGE demonstrates relative strengths in link prediction accuracy, while also revealing persistent challenges in precise node movement prediction. Beyond quantitative performance, the results highlight that aggregation poses greater complexity and challenges than simplification, underscoring the difficulty of capturing higher-level spatial relationships in map generalization with current deep learning approaches. Although limitations such as data imbalance and the need for post-processing remain, the study provides valuable insights and methodological directions for advancing automated map generalization with deep learning approaches.
CityGen: Structure-Guided City-Style Synthesis for Cross-City Autonomous Driving
Autonomous driving systems are commonly trained and evaluated within limited geographic regions, which hinders their scalability when deployed in new cities. However, significant domain shifts in appearance, road topology, and traffic patterns often cause severe performance degradation under cross-city deployment. Existing approaches based on domain adaptation, data augmentation, or synthetic data generation typically rely on labeled target data, city-specific annotations, or task-specific designs, limiting their scalability and effectiveness for holistic evaluation. In this paper, we introduce CityTransfer-Bench, a geographically disjoint benchmark for evaluating cross-city generalization across perception, segmentation, and planning, and propose CityGen, a diffusion-based generative framework that performs zero-label city adaptation via HD-map-conditioned synthesis guided by city-level visual prompts. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CityGen consistently improves cross-city robustness across multiple tasks, establishing a scalable and label-efficient foundation for generalizable autonomous driving.
Slum Detection and Density Mapping with AlphaEarth Foundations: A Representation Learning Evaluation Across 12 Global Cities
Pixel-level slum mapping has long been constrained by limited cross-city generalisation, the absence of continuous density estimation, and weak global comparability. AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF), a globally consistent 64-dimensional annual surface embedding at 10 m, offers a new analysis-ready basis for lightweight slum monitoring, but its applicability to slum detection - an indirectly coupled task shaped by both built form and socio-economic processes - remains untested. We evaluate AEF on slum classification and sub-pixel density estimation across 12 cities and 69 city-year pairs (2017-2024), using GRAM pseudo-masks as supervisory labels. The evaluation spans four training strategies, two protocols (random split and 3x3 spatial block cross-validation), six auxiliary feature configurations, and five baseline models, complemented by representation-level analyses (PCA, SHAP) and full-AOI mapping. Five findings emerge. (1) Same-city cross-year training is optimal under both protocols (median spatial F1 = 0.616, R^2 = 0.466); temporal expansion outperforms cross-city transfer, indicating city-scale representational drift. (2) Regression R^2 is driven primarily by zero/non-zero boundary discrimination: positive-pixel R^2 is consistently negative across all cities, revealing limited capacity to model intra-pixel density gradients at 10 m. (3) PC36 is consistently top-ranked across tasks; classification saturates at k = 32 while regression remains unsaturated at k = 64. (4) POI features yield the largest density gain (Delta R^2 = +0.064). (5) For six cities meeting dual-task usability thresholds, full-AOI inference across 2017-2024 preserves slum cluster structure (mean SSIM = 0.926). The study delineates the capabilities and complementarity needs of foundation-model embeddings for slum monitoring.
Low-Rank Adaptation of Geospatial Foundation Models for Wildfire Mapping Using Sentinel-2 Data
Wildfire burned-area mapping is essential for damage assessment, emissions modeling, and understanding fire-climate interactions across diverse ecological regions. Recent geospatial foundation models provide strong general-purpose representations for satellite imagery, yet there is still no clear understanding of how to efficiently adapt these models for downstream Earth observation tasks, particularly under geographic and temporal domain shift. This study evaluates three state-of-the-art Geospatial Foundation Models (GFMs) - Terramind, DINOv3, and Prithvi-v2 - for burned-area mapping across the United States and Canada using Sentinel-2 data. Leveraging 3,820 wildfire events from 2017-2023, we conduct spatial and temporal generalization tests across diverse biomes. We systematically compare full fine-tuning, decoder-only fine-tuning, and Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for adapting each model. Across all experiments, LoRA provides the strongest cross-domain generalization while updating less than 1% of parameters, demonstrating a favorable trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. Prithvi-v2 with LoRA achieves the highest overall accuracy and the largest improvement compared to full fine-tuning. These findings indicate that geospatial foundation models, when adapted using lightweight parameter-efficient methods such as LoRA, offer a robust and scalable solution for large-scale burned-area mapping. Code is available at https://github.com/alishibli97/wildfire-lora-gfm.
Biological Spatial Priors Regularize Foundation Model Representations for Cross-Site MSI Generalization in Colorectal Cancer
Predicting microsatellite instability (MSI) status from routine hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) whole slide images (WSIs) offers a practical alternative to molecular testing, but models trained at one institution tend to generalize poorly to slides acquired at a different site. Foundation model representations, despite their generality, still encode site-specific texture alongside the conserved biological morphology underlying MSI. We investigate whether tile-level spatial priors derived from known MSI histology can guide these representations toward more site-invariant features. We introduce a biologically motivated spatial prior based on peripheral distance encoding, reflecting the Crohn's-like peripheral lymphocytic reaction at the tumor invasive margin, and evaluate a secondary local immune neighborhood encoding reflecting the lymphocyte-to-tumor ratio in each tile's immediate spatial neighborhood. Both priors are injected into a TransMIL aggregator before self-attention, allowing the transformer to integrate spatial biological context with UNI2-h or Virchow2 features across all attention layers. We evaluate six foundation model and MIL aggregator combinations as a reference, then assess the effect of each spatial prior. Training on TCGA-COAD (137 slides) and evaluating externally on TCGA-READ (50 slides) without retraining, peripheral distance encoding achieves MSI AUC 0.959 +/- 0.012 on COAD and MSS specificity 1.000 on READ, compared to 0.957 and 0.939 for the strongest reference configuration. Local immune neighborhood encoding achieves comparable internal AUC but lower cross-site specificity, suggesting margin proximity encodes a more site-invariant biological signal than local immune density. Results suggest biologically grounded spatial priors act as regularizers that reduce reliance on site-specific imaging patterns.
Geospatial foundation-model embeddings improve population estimation unevenly across space and scale
Reliable subnational population estimates are essential for applications, yet remain difficult where censuses are sparse, outdated or spatially coarse. Existing population-mapping workflows rely on hand-built geospatial covariates, such as settlement extent, night-time lights, and environmental conditions, which must be assembled and harmonised across scales and geographies. Geospatial foundation models offer an alternative by learning reusable representations of place from more multifaceted and heterogeneous data sources. Here, we benchmark Population Dynamics Foundation Model (PDFM) embeddings against the harmonised geospatial covariates for subnational population estimation in Brazil, Nigeria and the United States. Under geographically structured validation, PDFM increased predictive fit by a median of 20.1% (IQR: 10.0-33.2%, across country-model comparisons) reduction in unexplained variance, and reduced Kullback-Leibler divergence by 23.2% (9.2-26.2%). However, these gains were uneven. PDFM was most advantageous where the geospatial covariates weakly characterised settlement context, such as larger and less-developed subnational areas. Moreover, PDFM performance was scale-coupled with embeddings providing less flexible transfer across spatial aggregations than geospatial covariates. These findings showed that geospatial foundation-model representations of place can improve population estimation in data poor settings, but their benefits break down predictably under spatial scale mismatch, revealing a fundamental limitation of current geospatial AI.
Towards Generalizable Mapping of Hedges and Linear Woody Features from Earth Observation Data: a national Product for Germany
Hedges and other linear woody features provide valuable ecosystem services, particularly within intensively managed agricultural landscapes. They are key elements for climate adaptation and biodiversity amongst others not only due to a largely varying flora, but also as a feeding-, resting-, and nesting place for many animals and insects including valuable pollinators. Therefore, they require dedicated management, preservation, and attention. Thus, systematic and large-scale mapping of these features from Earth observation data is of high importance. However, transferable and reusable workflows for linear woody feature mapping remain a key methodological challenge, given the diversity of sensor types, spatial resolutions, data acquisition conditions, and complex landscape variability encountered across study areas. We introduce a modular workflow built around two independently optimizable components. Firstly, a flexible input data interface that consolidates heterogeneous Earth observation data into a binary woody vegetation mask, and secondly, a deep neural network trained to separate linear from non-linear shapes within these masks. We demonstrate the workflow by deriving three national-scale linear woody feature maps for all of Germany from three input sources with 0.73 m, 1 m and 3 m spatial resolution, respectively, by using a single trained model without retraining. Evaluation against refined reference data from four federal state biotope mapping campaigns and comparison with two existing linear woody feature maps demonstrate that the workflow produces competitive results across all evaluation sites on a national level. The modular design and its demonstrated applicability at national scale provide a foundation for scalable and generalizable linear woody feature mapping beyond Germany.
XFlowMap: Cross-Scale Generalization and Mapping of Massive Origin-Destination Data
Mapping large origin-destination (OD) datasets remains challenging because flow maps become cluttered, meaningful patterns occur at multiple spatial scales, and existing flow-mapping approaches frequently rely on predefined aggregation units or manual generalization. This paper presents XFlowMap, a framework for the cross-scale generalization and mapping of massive OD data. Specifically, the framework integrates cross-scale flow pattern (cluster) detection, automated flow map generalization, and a new cartographic representation for analyzing and visualizing complex origin-destination flow structures. The approach detects salient flow patterns at their appropriate origin and destination scales, extracts high-level structures, and generates a new flow map representation that supports holistic interpretation of complex origin-destination flow patterns. A scan-statistic-based procedure is developed to evaluate and generalize cross-scale flow clusters. The detected clusters are then visualized using a novel flow symbol that integrates location, direction, strength, and OD scales in a single representation. The framework supports both area-based and point-based OD data, is robust to sparse and noisy datasets, and enables comparative mapping of stratified flow data. Experiments with synthetic data and U.S. migration data demonstrate that the method effectively extracts meaningful cross-scale flow patterns and produces clear, information-rich flow maps for large mobility datasets, supporting both static presentation and interactive exploration.
SparseGF: A Height-Aware Sparse Segmentation Framework with Context Compression for Robust Ground Filtering Across Urban to Natural Scenes
High-quality digital terrain models derived from airborne laser scanning (ALS) data are essential for a wide range of geospatial analyses, and their generation typically relies on robust ground filtering (GF) to separate point clouds across diverse landscapes into ground and non-ground parts. Although current deep-learning-based GF methods have demonstrated impressive performance, especially in specific challenging terrains, their cross-scene generalization remains limited by two persistent issues: the context-detail dilemma in large-scale processing due to limited computational resources, and the random misclassification of tall objects arising from classification-only optimization. To overcome these limitations, we propose SparseGF, a height-aware sparse segmentation framework enhanced with context compression. It is built upon three key innovations: (1) a convex-mirror-inspired context compression module that condenses expansive contexts into compact representations while preserving central details; (2) a hybrid sparse voxel-point network architecture that effectively interprets compressed representations while mitigating compression-induced geometric distortion; and (3) a height-aware loss function that explicitly enforces topographic elevation priors during training to suppress random misclassification of tall objects. Extensive evaluations on two large-scale ALS benchmark datasets demonstrate that SparseGF delivers robust GF across urban to natural terrains, achieving leading performance in complex urban scenes, competitive results on mixed terrains, and moderate yet non-catastrophic accuracy in densely forested steep areas. This work offers new insights into deep-learning-based GF research and encourages further exploration toward truly cross-scene generalization for large-scale environmental monitoring.
Structure-Semantic Decoupled Modulation of Global Geospatial Embeddings for High-Resolution Remote Sensing Mapping
Fine-grained high-resolution remote sensing mapping typically relies on localized visual features, which restricts cross-domain generalizability and often leads to fragmented predictions of large-scale land covers. While global geospatial foundation models offer powerful, generalizable representations, directly fusing their high-dimensional implicit embeddings with high-resolution visual features frequently triggers feature interference and spatial structure degradation due to a severe semantic-spatial gap. To overcome these limitations, we propose a Structure-Semantic Decoupled Modulation (SSDM) framework, which decouples global geospatial representations into two complementary cross-modal injection pathways. First, the structural prior modulation branch introduces the macroscopic receptive field priors from global representations into the self-attention modules of the high-resolution encoder. By guiding local feature extraction with holistic structural constraints, it effectively suppresses prediction fragmentation caused by high-frequency detail noise and excessive intra-class variance. Second, the global semantic injection branch explicitly aligns holistic context with the deep high-resolution feature space and directly supplements global semantics via cross-modal integration, thereby significantly enhancing the semantic consistency and category-level discrimination of complex land covers. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance compared to existing cross-modal fusion approaches. By unleashing the potential of global embeddings, SSDM consistently improves high-resolution mapping accuracy across diverse scenarios, providing a universal and effective paradigm for integrating geospatial foundation models into high-resolution vision tasks.