Synthetic Data Evaluation

Generated (or synthetic) image data is increasingly used to augment or replace real training datasets when target imagery is scarce, expensive, or biased. For hand detection, particularly in occupational safety settings, public datasets mostly contain bare hands. This under-represents the variation in hand appearance introduced by gloves, tattoos, jewelry, and other personal protective equipment, creating a distribution shift that safety-critical applications encounter at deployment. We test whether generative inpainting, editing only the hand region of a real photograph to introduce accessories, can close this shift gap. On a paired dataset of real images and their synthetic counterparts, we train YOLOv8n hand detectors under six training-and-scheduling regimes (Experiments A-F, three random seeds each), evaluate every detector on a real test set and on a real-gloves-only test split, and report the mean average precision (mAP) at two overlap thresholds ([email protected] and [email protected]:0.95) along with paired statistical tests. A two-stage experiment: train on real U synthetic data, then fine-tune the resulting weights on real-only at a lower learning rate, increases [email protected] compared to the real-only baseline model on the standard real test set, and improves the real-gloves out-of-distribution gap. Another three-stage experiment preserves box-tightness best, reaching the highest [email protected]:0.95 of any other experiment in the study. The synthetic-data utility for safety-critical hand detection is determined by the training procedure, and simple multi-stage experiments extract substantial real-deployment benefit from inpainted accessory data.

Differentially private (DP) text synthesis promises to unlock sensitive corpora for model training, but it remains unclear whether DP synthetic data transmits genuinely new knowledge and capabilities present only in those corpora. This is because existing evaluations rely on tasks that are nearly solvable without training, so strong benchmark performance does not establish that DP synthesis can substitute original data access. Thus, we introduce ContinuousBench, a continuously and automatically-regenerated benchmark that measures capability gain from DP synthetic text. Each quarter, a new release pairs a never-before-seen training corpus with a derived QA set, constructed to be: (1) unsolvable sans-corpus; and (2) learnable under DP, as the tested knowledge is supported by hundreds of independent records. Researchers produce DP synthetic data from the training corpus and run our standardized training and evaluation harness on their synthetic data to measure gains. We instantiate two tracks: Geminon, a procedurally-generated dataset about fictional creatures; and News, a stream of newly crawled public news articles. Although standard benchmarks are nearly saturated, on ContinuousBench we find that non-private synthesis transfers substantial knowledge from the original corpus, while state-of-the-art DP synthesis methods generally fail to do so, even at $\varepsilon=100$.

Privacy and data sharing are often in tension. Many organizations use synthetic data to reduce privacy risk and still share useful data. For tabular data, auditing privacy remains hard. In many cases, even humans cannot easily tell if a table is real or synthetic. In this paper, we propose a method based on LLM discrimination. We ask an LLM to classify each table sample as REAL or SYNTHETIC. We test two settings: C1 with table only, and C2 with table plus distributional metadata. We use LLaMA as an open model and Gemini as a reference model. In our experiments, we run three synthesis models, CTGAN, TVAE, and Gaussian Copula, on two public datasets, UCI Adult and ACS Census. We collect 451 valid trials. Our results show clear differences between models. On Adult, LLaMA reaches DRS=0% in reported cells, while Gemini reaches DRS=100% for CTGAN and TVAE. On Census, LLaMA predicts SYNTHETIC for most samples, while Gemini stays high in C1 but drops for CTGAN and TVAE in C2. We also compare with a classifier two-sample test (C2ST) and record linkage as distributional baselines, and with a human pilot of 2 annotators and 240 trials. Our results show that LLM discrimination is a practical privacy audit signal when model choice, per provider reporting, and data encoding are handled with care. For reproducibility, code and experiment scripts are available at https://github.com/SlokomManel/LLM-as-a-Discriminator.

Safety detection models require examples of HHH (Helpful, Harmless, Honest)-violating outputs for robust generalization, however such examples are scarce. Activation Steering (AS) has emerged as a data-efficient method for generating target-concept-aligned responses. We investigate whether AS can generate high-quality training datasets for downstream classifiers, a question that remains untested. We present a two-fold study with intrinsic and extrinsic evaluation across $4$ concepts $\times\,2$ models $\times\,4$ steering methods. Intrinsically, beyond the field-standard rubric of steering success (concept alignment) and coherence, we introduce sample- and set-level diversity as a quality axis previously absent from the literature, and find that increasing steering strength reduces response diversity. Extrinsically, we replace HHH-violating examples in the available training data with steered generations and fine-tune detection classifiers. AS-generated data results in a better classifier than the prompting-generated data on $3$ of $4$ concepts. However, only $41$ of $136$ AS configurations outperform prompting, indicating that downstream utility lies in a narrow regime that jointly satisfies success, coherence, and diversity. The harmonic mean of these three axes correlates with downstream AUROC more consistently across concepts than success and coherence alone, providing a practical heuristic target for practitioners tuning AS hyperparameters. Together, our results highlight the potential of AS in synthetic data generation for improving safety detection and identify diversity as a critical, previously overlooked axis for tuning AS.

Educational aspect-based sentiment analysis (ABSA) can support course improvement, but public aspect-labeled student feedback remains scarce because educational reviews are private, institution-specific, and expensive to annotate. This study introduces a controlled synthetic benchmark for educational ABSA built from 10,000 synthetic course reviews with explicit train-validation-test splits and a 20-aspect pedagogical schema spanning instructional quality, assessment and course management, learning demand, learning environment, and engagement. The corpus is generated with sampled target labels, sampled nuance attributes, and a realism-tuned prompt refined through a three-cycle judge-editor procedure. On the resulting benchmark, local baselines with TF-IDF, two-step transformers, and joint encoders show that the task is nontrivial; the strongest untuned model, BERT, reaches a held-out detection micro-F1 of 0.2760, while a modest lower-rate BERT schedule improves this to 0.2930. Full-test GPT-based inference with gpt-5.2 reaches 0.2519 micro-F1 in zero-shot mode and 0.2501 with retrieval-based few-shot prompting, placing batch inference above the classical baseline and close to the compact joint encoders. A conservative external evaluation on 2,829 mapped student-feedback reviews from Herath et al. yields a micro-F1 of 0.4593 for BERT on a 9-aspect overlap, indicating partial synthetic-to-real transfer. Realism and faithfulness analyses are reported as generator diagnostics that clarify how the benchmark was stabilized and where label noise remains. The study therefore contributes a synthetic educational ABSA corpus, a documented generation procedure, and a reproducible benchmark setting for a domain in which public labeled data remain difficult to obtain.

The issues that must be considered regarding the utilization of synthetic data generated through LLMs for multilabel patent classification include (i) when the use of such data may help and (ii) why. Indeed, the former part appropriately adjusts for the possibility of improving results by an increase in sample size. The current experiment involves six open-source LLMs (from 3.8B to 12B parameters) for four real-data regimes in classification of 64 WIPO labels of assistive technologies. Both full-synthesis generation, conditioned on the label set, and paraphrasing methods are applied, with each used in combination with three classifier categories. It is shown that the claimed improvements in micro F1 for BERT-for-Patents from 0.120 to 0.702 mainly reflect a volume effect; indeed, replication with replacement in 165 examples produces 0.678. Thus, the improvement over the control is +0.024, while compared to the best baseline (focal loss reweighting) is +0.219. The second crucial point to consider here is that of evolving fidelity scores as the data generation regime varies. For low real-data regimes, the volume effect dominates and the correlation coefficient between maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) and classification performance equals r = +0.95. As more real data is used, the correlation becomes inverted and reaches r = -0.73 at the 1:10 regime (Fisher z = +6.47, p < 0.001, 95% CI on Delta r [ +0.96, +1.00 ]). In terms of a fixed budget allocation, combining real data (about 20-30%) with synthetic (70-80%) outperforms both purely synthetic and purely real strategies. Moreover, a corpus that allows for improvement in classification performance up to +0.58 in raw micro F1 may adversely affect a Jaccard-overlap retrieval proxy. Prompt-family variations for other genres may provide some explanation of the phenomenon, but using the standard-patent filter still decreases nDCG@10 by 26%.

We introduce AvalancheBench, a benchmark for evaluating enterprise data agents through \emph{latent world recovery}. AvalancheBench improves on existing benchmarks in three ways. First, it evaluates analytical understanding rather than pipeline completion: systems are scored on whether they recover the segments, drivers, temporal events, and relationships that explain the data, not merely on whether they execute a workflow or produce a plausible report. Second, it provides ground truth for goal-driven analytics by generating observations from a known latent world, enabling partial credit for incomplete but valid recoveries. Third, it exposes how early analytical mistakes propagate into later conclusions: missed segments, merged events, or wrong attributions can lead to systematically wrong recommendations. In this sense, AvalancheBench complements real-data benchmarks by providing a controlled setting for diagnosing whether agents recover the analytical structure behind enterprise data. On a first e-commerce use case, the strongest configuration of a leading coding agent recovers only 26% of the rubric, with failures concentrated in generic customer segmentations and merged temporal events.

Generative augmentation is often proposed as a remedy for small medical-image datasets, but synthetic images are only useful when they improve downstream task performance. "Augmentation" here means synthetic supplementation: GAN-generated samples added to the real training pool, not geometric or photometric transforms of existing images. Twelve class-plane StyleGAN2-ADA generators were trained on constrained BRISC 2025 partitions to test whether their output, with or without InceptionV3 feature-space filtering, improves held-out tumour classification across three classifier families: a random forest (RF) on InceptionV3 features, a compact two-headed convolutional neural network (CNN), and MobileViTV2, a mobile hybrid convolutional-transformer. Each was evaluated at 1:1 and 1:2 real-to-synthetic ratios. An independent GPT-5.5 blind test placed gated real-versus-synthetic discrimination at 57.73% (95% CI: 54.48--60.92%) on the model-legible subset -- modestly above chance. The RF classifier did not benefit from the synthetic MRIs. The CNN showed consistent mean gains that did not survive Holm correction. MobileViTV2 showed the clearest benefit: filtered 1:1 augmentation improved tumour classification accuracy by 1.02% absolute (95% CI: 0.54--1.54%; Holm-corrected p = 0.0104). A secondary efficiency analysis found that every augmented CNN condition selected its checkpoint 42--64% earlier than baseline, while compute-matched MobileViTV2 runs reached selection after 50--67% fewer real-data epochs. Overall, augmentation utility was found to be architecture- and ratio-dependent, not guaranteed by visual fidelity alone.

Today, tool-calling agents are commonly evaluated or tested on static datasets of execution traces, including input commands, agent responses, and associated tool calls. However, internal production datasets are often insufficient or unusable for testing; for example, they may contain sensitive or proprietary data, or they may be too sparse to support comprehensive testing (especially pre-deployment). In these settings, practitioners are increasingly replacing or augmenting real datasets with synthetic ones for evaluation purposes. A key challenge is quantifying the relation between these synthetic datasets and the real data. We introduce SynAE, an evaluation framework for assessing how well synthetic benchmarks for multi-turn, tool-calling agents replicate and augment the characteristics of real data trajectories. SynAE assesses the validity, fidelity, and diversity of synthetic data across four metric categories: (i) task instructions and intermediate responses, (ii) tool calls, (iii) final outputs, and (iv) downstream evaluation. We evaluate SynAE using recent agent benchmarks and test common synthetic data failure modes via realistic and controlled generation schemes. SynAE detects fine-grained variations in data validity, fidelity and diversity, and shows that no single metric is sufficient to fully characterize synthetic data quality, motivating a multi-axis evaluation of synthetic data for agent testing. A demo of SynAE is available at https://synae-2026-synae-demo.static.hf.space/index.html, with code at https://github.com/wsqwsq/SynAE.

We propose SADGE, a quantitative similarity metric that predicts the performance of synthetic image datasets for common computer vision tasks without downstream model training. Estimating whether a synthetic dataset will lead to a model that performs well on real-world data remains a bottleneck in model development. Existing evaluation metrics (e.g., PSNR, FID, CLIP) primarily measure semantic alignment between real and synthetic images (Appearance Similarity Score). Less commonly, structural similarity between images is considered to assess the domain gap (Geometric Similarity Score). However, to the best of our knowledge there exists no studies that evaluate which similarity metric is the best downstream predictor for a given synthetic dataset. In this paper, we show over a wide variety of different synthetic datasets and downstream tasks that neither appearance nor geometry alone can reliably predict downstream performance; rather, it is their non-linear interplay that dictates synthetic data utility. Specifically, we measure how commonly used Appearance and Geometric Similarity metrics computed between synthetic and real images correlate with downstream performance in object detection, semantic segmentation, and pose estimation. Across five public synthetic-to-real benchmark families and 15 dataset-level variants (79k image pairs), SADGE achieves the strongest association with downstream transfer performance under both linear and rank-based criteria, reaching Pearson r=0.88 and Spearman rho=0.77. We compute for each combination of geometry-based methods and appearance-based approaches SADGE scores across all benchmark families. The best configuration is obtained by fusing DINOv3 appearance similarity with MASt3R geometric consistency through a constrained bilinear interaction, outperforming both the strongest geometry-only baseline and the strongest appearance-only baseline .

Real-world deployment of AI vision models is both fueled and limited by the data available for training and testing. Real datasets are sparse and uneven: long-tailed or unbalanced distributions hinder generalization, and the low number of samples in low density regions makes it hard to run evaluations. Synthetic data can fill these gaps, providing us with a way to sample the input space more continuously and improve data coverage for benchmarks. Focusing on the autonomous driving safety-critical case of pedestrian detection in the dark, we show how synthetic low-light samples can be used to better characterize the performance of a state-of-the-art object detection model as a function of the scene illumination. We use a synthetic RAW image augmentation technique to generate low-light samples that match the noise model of the camera sensor. Performance metrics on real and synthetic low-light data are similar, indicating that the AI model finds it hard to distinguish between them.

Hyperspectral super-resolution (HSR) reconstructs a high-spatial-resolution hyperspectral image by fusing a low-resolution hyperspectral image (LR-HSI) with a high-resolution multispectral image (HR-MSI). In the absence of real-world paired data, HSR methods are evaluated almost exclusively on synthetic experiments derived from hyperspectral datasets through Wald's protocol. Despite the protocol's widespread adoption, its practical implementation varies markedly across research works, typically relying on a single (usually Gaussian) or very few point spread functions (PSFs), one or two spectral response functions (SRFs), and a couple of spatial downsampling factors. As a result, reported performance figures are difficult to compare across the literature, in addition to being often difficult to reproduce; furthermore, they may not generalize across realistic sensing conditions. We introduce HyperBench, a unified and extensible framework that standardizes synthetic experimentation for HSR. HyperBench supports diverse degradation configurations spanning ten PSFs, four SRFs derived from operational multispectral sensors, configurable spatial downsampling factors, and matched additive white Gaussian noise; its goal is to automate large-scale evaluation and structured logging. By decoupling model development from experimental design, the framework enables reproducible, apples-to-apples cross-method comparison with minimal friction. We use HyperBench to evaluate six recently proposed HSR methods across a 70-configuration sweep on four widely used hyperspectral scenes and observe that the inter-method PSNR spread widens from approximately 5 dB on the easiest PSF to over 13 dB on the hardest - a fragility that is structurally invisible to the prevailing single-configuration evaluation protocol. HyperBench code is available at https://github.com/ritikgshah/HyperBench .

Synthetic sonar datasets offer a scalable alternative to costly real-world acquisition, yet their utility remains limited by the absence of rigorous quantitative validation. We present ACOUSIM (ACOustic SIMulation and Validation Platform), a physics-informed framework that evaluates the statistical alignment between synthetic and real sonar imagery without relying on generative models. A Gazebo-based environment generates sonar-like images by explicitly controlling seabed texture, illumination-driven shadowing, platform altitude, and noise. Realism is quantified against two public sonar datasets, SeabedObjects-KLSG-II and Sonar Common Target Detection (SCTD), using global intensity and local texture (LBP) distributions assessed via Kullback-Leibler divergence, Jensen-Shannon divergence, and Earth Mover's Distance. Results show strong texture alignment (KL < 0.07) across all classes, with plane-class intensity alignment outperforming ship-class due to shadow geometry complexity. ACOUSIM establishes a reproducible, distribution-level baseline for sim-to-real sonar evaluation and directly supports reliable dataset validation for underwater image analysis.

Driven by rapid advances in large-scale generative models, synthetic data has emerged as a promising solution for visual understanding. While modern diffusion models achieve remarkable photorealistic image synthesis, their potential in complex visual segmentation tasks remains underexplored. In this work, we conduct a systematic analysis of synthetic images from state-of-the-art diffusion models to uncover the factors governing their utility. In particular, synthetic images characterized by dense scene composition and fine instance fidelity demonstrate distinctive benefits, yielding significantly more discriminative spatial representations. Building on these insights, we propose SENSE, a unified framework that leverages flexible and scalable synthetic data to substantially enhance segmentation performance. Notably, SENSE is model-agnostic, compatible with diverse architectures (e.g., DPT and Mask2Former), and scales effectively across models with varying parameter capacities. Extensive experiments on Cityscapes, COCO, and ADE20K validate the effectiveness and generalization capability of our approach. Code is available at https://github.com/zhang0jhon/SENSE.

Large language models (LLMs) can generate or synthesize clinical text for a wide range of applications, from improving clinical documentation to augmenting clinical text analytics. Yet evaluations typically focus on a narrow aspect -- such as similarity or utility comparisons -- even though these aspects are complementary and best viewed in parallel. In this study, we aim to conduct a systematic evaluation of LLM-generated clinical text, which includes intrinsic, extrinsic, and factuality evaluations of synthetic clinical notes rephrased from MIMIC databases at million-note scale. Our analysis demonstrates that synthetic notes preserve core clinical information and predictive utility for coarse-grained tasks despite substantial linguistic changes, but lose fine-grained details for task like ICD coding. We show this loss of detail can be substantially mitigated by rephrasing notes by chunks rather than by the whole note, but at the cost of reduced factual precision under incomplete context. Through fact-checking and error analysis, we further find that synthesis errors are dominated by misinterpretation of clinical context, alongside temporal confusion, measurement errors, and fabricated claims. Finally, we show that the synthetic notes -- despite their task-agnostic nature -- can effectively augment task-specific training for rare ICD codes.

Synthetic data is widely used in healthcare to create datasets that preserve statistical properties of real data without exposing sensitive patient information. Generating and evaluating synthetic data across privacy, utility, and fairness dimensions is crucial for enabling high-quality data availability in downstream prediction tasks and clinical decision making. We present \textbf{Memisis}, a tool that orchestrates and evaluates synthetic data by leveraging existing synthesis libraries, large language models (LLMs), and state-of-the-art evaluation metrics. Our tool creates a unified workflow for data generation, validation, and evaluation. Users can control training size, training epochs, and the number of synthetic rows to sample. Beyond manual configuration, an interactive agent mode allows users to specify data generation goals in natural language, and the tool orchestrates the full pipeline by invoking existing synthesizers while performing the requisite evaluation. For the demo, we use an open-source schizophrenia dataset with protected attributes related to race and gender, evaluate six synthesizers spanning GANs, VAEs, diffusion models, and normalizing flows, and use a local LLM to orchestrate the workflow. The system affords users flexibility and control over the data generation and evaluation process.

In recent years, text clustering has become a critical technique for applications including intent discovery, topic mining, and recommendation systems. However, evaluating text clustering algorithms remains challenging since many real-world textual datasets are not suitable for clustering assessment due to ambiguous semantic boundaries, the high dimensionality of embeddings, and inconsistent cluster structure. Current clustering dataset generators are designed for numerical data, providing limited support for text-specific benchmarking. This paper introduces TextClusterLab, a comprehensive framework for text clustering research. TextClusterLab offers a Large Language Model (LLM)-driven text clustering dataset generator to produce synthetic text datasets for evaluating clustering algorithms. This generator supports setting various clustering attributes, such as class imbalance, intra-cluster compactness, and inter-cluster diversity. These generated datasets can serve as practical benchmarks for testing the robustness and versatility of text clustering algorithms in diverse scenarios. Moreover, we introduce a benchmark to verify whether a text dataset is suitable for clustering evaluation. Therefore, TextClusterLab provides an integrated framework for reproducible and comprehensive text-specific clustering research. Our TextClusterLab is publicly available at https://github.com/research-paper-code/TextClusterLab, and some synthetic example datasets with various attributes are publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/DW-irlab/TextClusterLab.

Large Language Models (LLMs) generate realistic synthetic data but offer no guarantee that their outputs respect the causal mechanisms governing the target domain. We introduce CausalSynth, a framework that decouples causal structure generation from semantic realization, yielding synthetic data that is both causally valid and linguistically rich. The framework operates in three phases. First, a Structural Causal Model (SCM) - a tuple of structural equations defined over a directed acyclic graph (DAG) generates causal skeletons, i.e., variable assignments that satisfy the Global Markov Property of the governing DAG, via ancestral sampling. Second, an LLM acts as a constrained \emph{realizer}, a conditional translator that maps each skeleton to a high-dimensional observation such as a clinical note or a transaction log. Third, an Iterative Consistency Verification module detects structural violations through deterministic extraction and feeds targeted corrections back to the LLM, forming a closed-loop refinement process. We identify the Semantic Backdoor problem the systematic tendency of LLMs to override imposed causal facts with pre-training priors -- and prove that our iterative mechanism reduces the resulting selection bias relative to standard rejection sampling. On three causal benchmarks (ASIA, ALARM, and MIMIC-Struct), CausalSynth preserved conditional independencies with false-positive rates near the nominal $α=0.05$ level and achieved realizability rates above 96% with 70B-parameter LLM backbones. The framework additionally supports principled interventional and counterfactual generation through noise retention and graph mutilation.

Facial Expression Recognition faces two core challenges. The first is class imbalance in public datasets, which skews the learning process and weakens generalization. The second is related to privacy and data collection constraints, which limit the sharing of facial images and restrict the creation of large, balanced datasets. To address these issues, we examine three complementary strategies for constructing privacy-preserving FER datasets in the standard seven discrete facial expression classes setting. Our strategies are: (i) pseudo-labeling large unlabeled face collections with a teacher model under a confidence-thresholding scheme, (ii) prompt-driven synthesis using diffusion models conditioned on demographic attributes, and (iii) task-aware GAN-based expression editing that modifies facial expression while preserving identity and realism. For training and evaluation, we employed widely adopted datasets, including AffectNet, RAF-DB, and FER2013. We utilized the synthetic datasets DigiFace, DCFace, and EmoNet-Face BIG as unlabeled sources for pseudo-labeling. Additionally, we utilized the FFHQ dataset as the source for generative synthesis. The main experiments are conducted using a classic CNN backbone, IR50, and we also explore a more complex architecture, POSTERv1, to assess its feasibility and robustness. Using cross-dataset evaluations, we analyze the trade-offs each strategy presents in curated datasets. The findings demonstrate how synthetic data can effectively substitute or be combined with real datasets to mitigate imbalance and privacy limitations. Code and generated datasets:https://www.github.com/AliAZ98/SyntFER

Synthetic persona datasets cite alignment with official demographics as a basis for trust, yet downstream users consume them as joint structures across age, sex, region, occupation, education, name, and institutional status. Marginal alignment does not imply that these joints are preserved. We propose the Independence-Assumption Footprint (IAF), an audit primitive that operates on the attribute combinations a dataset card itself documents as treated independently. For each such combination, IAF compares the synthetic joint against an external official or institutional reference, using direct joint tables where available and rule-implied checks otherwise. Applied to NVIDIA Nemotron-Personas-Korea (one million Korean synthetic personas), IAF finds that NPK aligns with KOSIS marginals while three joints fail. The major-by-occupation distribution against the KEIS graduate universe carries a large conditional mismatch. The age profile of military service is institutionally inconsistent. Female representation in male-dominated occupations is substantially over-flattened toward parity, with the strict screening verdict mapping-dependent and age-robust under direct standardisation. A transferability demonstration across six further NPK locales finds locale-dependent rather than universal diagnostics, with reference-taxonomy cardinality confounding cross-locale flag counts. For synthetic personas used as silicon samples, marginal claims must therefore be paired with disclosure-anchored joint audits before reuse. The released audit artefacts (reference manifests, occupational crosswalks, derived metrics, reproducibility scripts) instantiate this protocol on the NPK family and are released for retargeting at other synthetic persona resources.

Tabular data sharing under privacy constraints is increasingly important for research and collaboration. Synthetic data generators (SDGs) are a promising solution, but synthetic data remains vulnerable to attacks, such as membership inference attacks (MIAs), which aim to determine whether a specific record was part of the training data. State-of-the-art MIAs are powerful but impractical: they rely on shadow modeling, requiring hundreds of SDG training runs, and need auxiliary data several times larger than the original training set. Fast proxy metrics like distance to closest record (DCR) are efficient but have limited sensitivity to MIA risk. We introduce ReMIA (Relative Membership Inference Attack), a practical privacy metric that requires only two SDG training runs and additional data no larger than the original training set. Rather than predicting whether a record was in the training set, ReMIA generates two synthetic datasets from two source datasets and measures whether a classifier can identify which source a record came from. Experiments across multiple tabular datasets and SDGs show that ReMIA has a sensitivity comparable to state-of-the-art MIAs while being substantially more practical. We further observe that SDGs can achieve privacy-utility trade-offs that traditional noise-based anonymization methods do not match. Code is available at https://github.com/aindo-com/remia.

Class attribution maps (CAMs) provide local explanations for the decisions of convolutional neural networks. While widely used in practice, the evaluation of CAMs remains challenging due to the lack of ground-truth explanations, making it difficult to evaluate the soundness of existing metrics. Independently, most commonly used CAM methods produce low-resolution attribution maps, which limits their usefulness for detailed interpretability. To address the evaluation challenge, we introduce a synthetic dataset with ground-truth attributions that enables a rigorous comparison of CAM evaluation metrics. Using this dataset, we analyze existing metrics and propose ARCC, a new composite metric that more reliably identifies faithful explanations. To address the low resolution issue, we introduce RefineCAM, a method that produces high-resolution attribution maps by aggregating CAMs across multiple network layers. Our results show that RefineCAM consistently outperforms existing methods according to the proposed evaluation.

Recent advancements in generative AI facilitate large-scale synthetic data generation for model evaluation. However, without targeted approaches, these datasets often lack the sociotechnical nuance required for sensitive domains. We introduce NodeSynth, an evidence-grounded methodology that generates socially relevant synthetic queries by leveraging a fine-tuned taxonomy generator (TaG) anchored in real-world evidence. Evaluated against four mainstream LLMs (e.g., Claude 4.5 Haiku), NodeSynth elicited failure rates up to five times higher than human-authored benchmarks. Ablation studies confirm that our granular taxonomic expansion significantly drives these failure rates, while independent validation reveals critical deficiencies in prominent guard models (e.g., Llama-Guard-3). We open-source our end-to-end research prototype and datasets to enable scalable, high-stakes model evaluation and targeted safety interventions (https://github.com/google-research/nodesynth).

LLarge language model (LLM)-based AI agents deployed in manufacturing environments require populated, schema-correct data for validation, yet production MES data is proprietary, privacy-encumbered, and vendor-specific. This paper introduces the Template-as-Ontology principle: a single Python configuration module (700-770 lines, 45 validated exports) serves simultaneously as the specification for a time-stepped manufacturing simulator and as the runtime domain schema for AI analytics tools, producing alignment by construction rather than integration. We formally define the domain template as a typed relational configuration schema and prove that structural alignment between simulation and tool layers is guaranteed by single-source consumption. A five-layer pipeline--simulation, PostgreSQL, CDC/Iceberg lakehouse, star schema, and 12 parameterized AI tools--generates causally coherent, MES-shaped data spanning 66 entity types across four operational domains mapped to ISA-95/IEC 62264. We validate the architecture with six industry templates (aerospace, pharma, automotive, electronics, beverages, warehousing) running on identical framework code. Calibration experiments (60 runs, 10 seeds per template) confirm parametric controllability: observed KPIs fall within configured ranges across all templates. A controlled hallucination experiment (72 tool invocations, Qwen3-32B) demonstrates that ontology-constrained parameters eliminate tool-parameter fabrication (0% constrained vs. 43% unconstrained hallucination rate for the evaluated model, Fisher's exact test p < 10^-12); the 0% constrained rate is an architectural guarantee that holds for any model. The framework provides a reusable data layer for discrete manufacturing AI validation.

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with machine learning has attracted substantial attention in both academic research and industrial practice. However, the two communities often evaluate models under markedly different conditions. Methodological work typically relies on semi-simulated benchmarks and metrics that require counterfactual outcomes, whereas real-world applications rely on observable metrics based on ranking or test outcomes. Despite the well-known gap between methodological progress and practical deployment, the relationship between these evaluation regimes has not been examined systematically. We conduct a large-scale empirical study of treatment effect evaluation across standard semi-simulated benchmark families and real-world datasets. Our benchmark covers meta-learners paired with multiple base learners, as well as specialized causal machine learning models. We evaluate these methods using observable metrics common in application-oriented literature, alongside counterfactual metrics commonly used in methods papers. Our results reveal two complementary gaps. First, counterfactual metrics do not reliably recover the estimators preferred by observable metrics, even on the same semi-simulated benchmarks. Second, rankings obtained on semi-simulated benchmarks do not transfer to real datasets. We further find that simple meta-learners with strong base models are consistently competitive, in contrast to specialized causal models. Overall, our findings suggest that progress in treatment effect estimation research should not be assessed solely through counterfactual metrics and semi-simulated benchmarks, but it would benefit from incorporating observable metrics and real-data validation.

ML models in healthcare are typically evaluated using curated real-world EHR data. A key limitation of such evaluations is that they may fail to assess the robustness of ML models to changes in the data at deployment, which is a common issue because EHR data used for ML model development cannot capture all such changes. Mass casualty incidents (MCIs) caused by disasters are critical instances where this will be an issue, as they induce rare, uncertain, and novel changes to routine system conditions. Because real-world EHR data from MCIs are often limited or unavailable, assessing ML robustness under such conditions before deployment remains challenging. Here, we propose an agent-based modelling approach for generating synthetic EHR data to evaluate the robustness of ML models under MCI scenarios. We use real-world EHR data to develop and calibrate an agent-based model (ABM) of an emergency department (ED) that explicitly models patient arrivals, resource capacity, and clinical workflow. By changing these system conditions to reflect plausible MCI scenarios, the ED model generates synthetic versions of the real-world EHR data that exhibit shifts in system behaviour. Using these synthetic data, we test ML models for predicting length of stay. We observed consistent declines in recall under MCI conditions relative to baseline system conditions, resulting in an increase in the number of patients with prolonged length of stay that were missed by the ML models. These results highlight the impact of changes in system conditions on patient outcomes, EHR data, and ML model performance. Our work establishes ABM-based synthetic EHR data generation as a proactive and systematic approach for evaluating the robustness of ML models under MCI or other system conditions not captured in real-world EHR data, supporting the safer and more effective deployment of ML models in healthcare systems.

In many real-world computer vision applications, including medical imaging and industrial inspection, binary classification tasks are characterized by a severe scarcity of positive samples. A widely adopted solution is to generate synthetic positive data using image-to-image transformations applied to negative samples. However, a fundamental challenge remains: how can we reliably assess whether such synthetic data will improve downstream model performance? In this work, we propose a geometry-driven metric that predicts the utility of synthetic data without requiring model training. Our approach operates in the embedding space of a pre-trained foundation model and represents the dataset through difference vectors between samples. We evaluate whether the weight vector of a linear classifier can be expressed within the subspace spanned by these variations by measuring the relative projection error. Intuitively, if the variations induced by synthetic data capture task-relevant directions, their span can approximate the classifier, resulting in low projection error. Conversely, poor synthetic data fails to span these directions, leading to higher error. Across multiple datasets and architectures, we show that this metric exhibits strong correlation with downstream classification performance of CNNs trained on mixtures of real negative and synthetic positive data. These findings suggest that the proposed metric serves as a practical and informative tool for evaluating synthetic data quality in data-scarce settings.

Tabular data plays an important role in many fields and industries, including those with elevated privacy considerations and risks. As such, there is a rising interest in generating high-quality synthetic proxies for real tabular data as a means of reducing privacy risk and proprietary data exposure. With tabular diffusion models (TDMs) demonstrating leading performance in synthesizing such data, understanding and measuring the privacy risks associated with these models is imperative. Leveraging state-of-the-art membership inference attacks for TDMs in both black- and white-box settings, this work quantifies the impact of training setup, synthesis choices, and attacker knowledge on privacy leakage. Moreover, the results demonstrate that adversaries need not have perfect knowledge of the training setup, identical data distributions, or massive compute resources to construct successful attacks. Finally, the pitfalls associated with applying heuristic privacy metrics, such as distance-to-closest record, are revealed.

Tabular foundation models are pre-trained on one of three classes of corpus: curated datasets drawn from benchmark repositories, tables harvested at scale from the web, or synthetic tables sampled from a parametric generative prior. Despite the centrality of pre-training data to model performance, little is known about how these corpora relate to one another in distribution, and the impact this has on downstream performance. In this work we take three canonical, archetypal datasets used to train tabular foundation models; the T4 dataset represents web-scraped corpora, the TabFM dataset curated tables from Kaggle, and the TabICL dataset as the only well-used synthetic prior with publicly available parameters. We characterise each corpus using aggregate features over whole tables, columns and correlations, and compare them using discriminator AUCs and k-NN coverage metrics. We find that the TabICL synthetic prior occupies a narrow region of the space of real tables, that this mismatch cannot be closed by optimising prior hyper-parameters across more than 86 thousand configurations, and that curated and web-scraped corpora are broadly interchangeable on a distributional level in feature space. Surprisingly, the distributional gap between synthetic pre-training data and real tables has a clearly detectable effect on performance under neither feature-based proximity measures or TabICL's own internal representations, suggesting that coverage of the real-data distribution is not the primary driver of TabICL's generalisation.

Synthetic data has transformed language model training, yet its role in time series forecasting remains poorly understood. We present a large-scale empirical study: nine experiment groups, 4,218 runs systematically evaluating synthetic time series augmentation across five architectures, four synthetic signals and seven datasets. The effect is sharply architecture-conditional: channel-mixing models (TimesNet, iTransformer) benefit in the majority of trials, while channel-independent models (DLinear, PatchTST) are consistently degraded. In selected low-resource settings the gains are striking: TimesNet trained on only 10% of Weather data with synthetic augmentation surpasses the full-data baseline (4 of 16 sparsity-dataset combinations). Averaged across all architectures, augmentation hurts in 67% of trials. We further find that only the Seasonal-Trend generator reliably helps across the tested benchmarks, and that hard curriculum switching is actively harmful (+24% MSE degradation). These results provide concrete, actionable guidelines on how to use synthetic data: use synthetic augmentation with channel-mixing architectures, use gradual annealing schedules, and treat low-resource augmentation as architecture- and dataset-dependent. Code is available at \href{https://github.com/hugoiscracked/synthetic-ts/tree/main}