Tabular ML

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7 papers in the last four weeks, up 17% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Jul 13Week of Sep 28

Latest papers 72

Oct 6, 2026cs.LG

FlowCF: Sparse Counterfactual Explanations for Mixed-Type Tabular Data using Flow Matching

In the field of Explainable AI (XAI), counterfactual (CF) explanations interpret a model's decision by suggesting the changes to the input that would lead to a more favourable outcome. To be useful in practice, such an explanation should change few features and change them as little as possible, properties known as sparsity and proximity. We observe that existing methods remain limited in this respect, especially for numerical features, whether they are model-agnostic and amortised, or gradient-based with full access to the model. In this paper, we propose FlowCF, a model-agnostic generative method that frames CF generation as sparse transport from the factual to the target class. We solve this transport with flow matching, which we extend to mixed feature types with a novel mixed flow operator, and exploit the resulting geometry to optimise for sparsity through a gating network that minimises the number of features the transport changes. Extensive experiments on six benchmark datasets demonstrate that FlowCF produces the best numerical sparsity and proximity, changing 29% of the numerical features where the best baseline changes 89%, at 70% smaller displacement, while remaining comparable on the other desiderata.

Emmanouil Panagiotou, Eirini Ntoutsi

Freie Universität Berlin · University of the Bundeswehr Munich

Flow Matching Explainable Artificial Intelligence Counterfactual Explanations Tabular ML

Oct 6, 2026cs.LG

Scalable extraction and visualization of multi-attribute logical and functional dependencies in tabular data

Understanding the structural relationships among attributes in tabular data is fundamental to machine learning and pattern recognition. While functional dependency (FD) discovery has been extensively studied, scalable discovery of logical dependencies (LDs), particularly as the number of attributes and dependency order increase, remains underexplored. These dependencies capture non-deterministic, condition-specific relationships among pairwise or multiple attributes. Furthermore, existing approaches do not provide a unified framework for extracting multi-attribute LDs and FDs. To address these limitations, we propose LDTool and HLDTool for extracting and visualizing multi-attribute LDs and FDs from tabular data. LDTool extends dependency discovery beyond pairwise relationships, while HLDTool enables scalable extraction through hypergraph-guided search-space reduction. Experiments on three simulated and eleven real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework extracts meaningful LDs and FDs while improving scalability. LDTool recovers the same FDs as existing FD discovery methods with lower runtime in high-dimensional feature spaces, whereas HLDTool enables dependency discovery in datasets with hundreds of features. The proposed framework provides interpretable visualizations of dependency structures and supports applications in exploratory data analysis and the quantitative evaluation of synthetic tabular data.

Chaithra Umesh, Arvind Lomrore, Neethu D +3

Institute of Computer Science, University of Rostock, Germany · School of Data Science, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Thiruvananthapuram, India · Leibniz-Institute for Food Systems Biology, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany +1

Sep 30, 2026cs.LG

Hybrid Methods for Robust Tabular Data Imputation

Missing data are a fundamental challenge in statistical analysis and machine learning, as the choice of imputation method substantially impacts downstream inference. In this work, we propose two hybrid imputation methods called NuclearForest and SoftForest, which combine nuclear-norm-based low-rank initialization using Singular Value Thresholding (SVT) and SoftImpute, respectively, with a non-iterative Random Forest refinement. For the SVT-based component, we further introduce an adaptive step-size rule, prove adaptive step-size bounds, and establish convergence for the corresponding zero-initialized iteration. The low-rank initialization provides a structured warm start that captures the global covariance patterns in the data, while the subsequent Random Forest step recovers residual nonlinear signals encoding local dependencies. We conduct an extensive benchmark on diverse datasets from different application domains, comparing the proposed methods with seven established imputation methods under the Missing Completely at Random (MCAR), Missing at Random (MAR), and Missing Not at Random (MNAR) mechanisms across varying missingness rates. Our results demonstrate that NuclearForest and SoftForest match or exceed the imputation fidelity of state-of-the-art iterative methods such as MissForest, while significantly reducing computational cost. In particular, they achieve speedups of approximately 5.81 times and 9.52 times over MissForest by replacing iterative cycles with a single refinement step. Our approach effectively exploits the low-rank structure of real-world tabular data and accommodates mixed-type variables, providing an efficient and robust solution for data imputation in bioinformatics, economics, and beyond.

Jinwei Li, Michelle Bruch, Daniel Tenbrinck

Department of Data Science Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg Erlangen, Germany

Incomplete Data Imputation Tabular ML

Sep 28, 2026cs.LG

Large Language Models for Automated Cross-Domain Machine Learning Task Type Identification: A Benchmark Dataset and Evaluation

Machine learning task type identification is essential for constructing valid ML pipelines, yet in practice it is typically specified manually. We investigate whether large language models (LLMs) can infer both the data domain and the downstream prediction task directly from dataset-level information when only the target feature is provided by the user. Together with our LLM-based system we also release an annotated benchmark comprising 625 public tabular and time series datasets. We evaluate the proposed approach in three settings: (i) tabular datasets in comparison with established AutoML heuristics, (ii) cross-domain evaluation across tabular and time series datasets, and (iii) a practical deployment scenario using smaller local models. The results show consistent advantages for LLM-based task type identification, with increasing difficulty in heterogeneous and resource-constrained settings. LLM-based approaches outperform AutoGluon in the tabular setting, reaching 0.98 F1 macro compared to 0.93. In the cross-domain setting, the best model achieves 0.90 F1 macro, while smaller locally deployable models reach 0.75, indicating a trade-off between deployment feasibility and accuracy.

Petros Tsialis, Steffen Limmer, Tobias Rodemann +1

University of Applied Sciences Aalen · Honda Research Institute Europe

LLM Evaluation Tabular ML Automated Machine Learning Cross-Dataset Generalization

Sep 28, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Correctness: Evaluating Semantic Knowledge in Cross-Table Transfer

Semantic knowledge is increasingly used to bridge heterogeneous schemas in tabular learning, but how much does that knowledge actually improve prediction? Studies in tabular learning commonly answer this question through semantic ablations that modify or suppress the supplied semantic knowledge. We show that these ablations can lead to misleading conclusions about predictive benefit: poor performance under altered semantics may be taken as evidence that the intended knowledge is beneficial. Across real and controlled experiments, altering semantic content can produce large performance differences even when the model gains little predictive benefit from having that semantic knowledge in the first place. To separate these effects, we distinguish two quantities: content sensitivity and predictive utility. Content sensitivity measures the change in performance when semantic content is altered, whereas predictive utility measures the benefit of the intended semantic knowledge relative to a suitable reference without that knowledge. This distinction motivates an evaluation framework in which the control is chosen according to the question being asked: altered controls assess sensitivity to semantic content, whereas claims that semantic knowledge improves prediction require a suitable reference. Even then, predictive utility is not fixed; it varies across suitable references and decreases when the reference can more easily recover the tested knowledge from other inputs or labeled examples. In a bounded audit of 25 semantic-ablation comparisons across nine studies, only one of 18 explicit predictive-utility claims is paired with a control that clearly isolates the tested semantic contribution. Together, these findings motivate a simple evaluation principle: semantic-ablation controls should be chosen and interpreted according to the question they are intended to answer.

Seokyong Sheem, Hochang Lee, Suyeong Lee +1

Korea University

Tabular ML Tabular Prediction

Sep 22, 2026cs.LG

CRISP: Scalable Importance-Stratified Coresets for Imbalanced Tabular Learning

Large imbalanced tabular datasets make repeated gradient-boosted tree training expensive. Existing coreset methods often lose accuracy when most majority examples are removed. We present CRISP (Coreset Reduction via Importance-Stratified Pruning), a linear-time method that allocates a negative-class budget across quantile strata of a proxy-model score. Sample weights account for unequal inclusion probabilities. At 95% negative-class reduction on a production fraud dataset, CRISP trains on approximately 1.70M of 25M rows and retains 99.7% of full-data Average Precision. This is a 93.2% reduction in total training rows. On public CriteoPrivateAds, CRISP has the highest mean Average Precision at each tested rate from 90% to 99.4% majority reduction. Sparkov results are mixed at lower rates, but CRISP has the highest mean at 99.2% and 99.4%. Ablations identify budget allocation and inverse-propensity weighting as the main sources of the production-dataset gain.

Hardhik Mohanty, Indrayana Rustandi, Mohamadreza Sheibani

University of Southern California Los Angeles, California, USA · Coinbase San Francisco, California, USA

Class-Imbalanced Learning Training Data Selection Tabular ML Coreset Selection

Sep 21, 2026cs.LG

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Childhood Stunting in Bangladesh: Fairness and Temporal Robustness Assessment

Childhood stunting remains a major public health concern in Bangladesh and reflects long-term growth failure influenced by child, maternal, household, socioeconomic, and health-service factors. This study used nationally representative Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey data from 2007 to 2022 to develop machine learning models for population-level prediction of childhood stunting and to assess temporal robustness and subgroup fairness. Children aged 0-59 months with complete anthropometric and predictor data were included. Data from the 2007, 2011, and 2014 survey rounds were used for model development, while the 2018 and 2022 rounds were retained as temporal test datasets. Twelve feature-selection approaches were assessed, and the KNN permutation importance-selected predictor set was used for final model evaluation. Eleven machine learning models were evaluated: ten conventional algorithms and one pretrained tabular foundation model, TabPFN. Performance was assessed using balanced accuracy, AUROC, F1-score, Brier score, and expected calibration error. Subgroup fairness was examined by child sex, place of residence, and socioeconomic status. The final analytic sample included 18,844 children, of whom 35.05% were stunted. In the development hold-out test dataset, TabPFN showed the highest observed balanced accuracy overall at 67.58%, while AdaBoost showed the highest observed balanced accuracy among conventional models at 67.51%. In temporal testing, the highest observed balanced accuracy was found for Gradient Boosting in BDHS 2018 and XGBoost in BDHS 2022. Model performance varied across survey rounds and subgroups, highlighting the importance of temporal validation, subgroup fairness assessment, and transparent interpretation in public health prediction modeling.

Md Ahshanul Haque, Muhammad Ashad Kabir

School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, NSW, Australia

Healthcare Algorithmic Fairness Tabular ML

Sep 14, 2026cs.LG

Agentic Search Spaces for Tabular Machine Learning

Despite the rapid progress of LLM-based agents for planning, code generation, and debugging, their practical value for tabular machine learning remains underexplored. In this paper, we investigate a concrete use case: whether state-of-the-art agentic AI systems can design extended HPO search spaces for established tabular models that outperform the standard search spaces provided by the model authors. Specifically, we represent each tabular model as a modular pipeline covering preprocessing, embeddings, architecture, training, and inference. We then task the agent to propose candidate code implementations for each module and use a classical HPO algorithm to jointly optimize over these candidates and the model's default hyperparameters. Compared with the base HPO spaces, the expanded search spaces improve the performance of nearly every model family across a suite of 45 datasets, with average relative gains of 0.6%, rising to 2.0% on small-to-medium regression datasets. Notably, these gains come at no extra tuning cost: the enlarged spaces outperform the base under the same tuning and ensembling budgets. The gains transfer to the recent TabArena benchmark, where the agentic spaces improve the official Elo scores of four of the five model families and the two strongest agentic ensembles surpass the best AutoGluon ensemble of conventional models. Overall, our study suggests that LLM agents can provide practical value for tabular ML by expanding the design space.

Renat Sergazinov, Artem Chistyakov, Sergey Pankevich +1

† Yandex ‡ HSE University

Large Language Model-Guided Optimization Tabular ML Tabular Prediction Hyperparameter Optimization

Sep 7, 2026cs.LG

TabBench-Bio: A Living Benchmark for Machine Learning on High-Dimensional Biomedical Tables

Biomedical tables often combine thousands of measured variables with only tens or hundreds of labelled samples, a regime that is poorly represented in general-purpose tabular benchmarks. We introduce TabBench-Bio, a living and interactive benchmark of 43 biomedical datasets spanning multiple domains. Under a shared cross-validation protocol, we compare classical estimators, neural networks, and tabular foundation models across 28 feature-by-sample operating points. At the reference cell of 10,000 features and 100 training samples, RealTabPFN v2.5 has the highest point estimate, followed by Logistic Regression and TabDPT, whose point estimates are nearly identical. A paired bootstrap over the target pool separates RealTabPFN v2.5 from Logistic Regression by 145 Elo (95% interval [59, 232]). Tabular foundation models generally occupy the leading ranks, while the strongest configuration depends on the operating point and biomedical modality. The AutoML framework AutoGluon, using its one-hour "extreme" preset, is configured as a separate resource-intensive reference and is reported here at the reference cell. Fold-level predictions, run status, and deterministic aggregations make every reported result reproducible and reusable. We invite the community to contribute: TabBench-Bio is designed to grow, and we welcome submissions of new biomedical tabular datasets, particularly from underrepresented assays and clinical endpoints, for inclusion in future releases. The interactive leaderboard is available at: https://tabbench-bio.eu

Jules Kreuer, Sofiane Ouaari, Julia Hellmig +2

Methods in Medical Informatics, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany

Tabular Foundation Models Tabular ML Tabular Prediction

Sep 2, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Laws, Tabular Data and Actuarial Ratemaking Models

Scaling laws in modern deep learning describe how held-out loss improves as model capacity, training data, and compute increase, often following power-law trends. We investigate whether analogous scaling regularities arise in actuarial ratemaking, where data are tabular, heterogeneous, and noisy, and where classical models such as GLMs remain strong baselines. Using a real-world motor insurance portfolio, we train models from different families across increasing fractions of the training data and multiple random seeds, evaluating out-of-sample Poisson deviance, a likelihood-based loss for Poisson count predictions in which lower values indicate better held-out fit. We find that all model families improve with additional data, but scaling exponents differ substantially: TabM exhibits markedly stronger data scaling than purely supervised tabular Transformers and standard MLP baselines. Transformer variants show weak parameter scaling unless augmented with additional inductive biases (TabM-style adaptation or self-supervision). These results provide quantitative guidance on model selection by data regime and suggest that effective scaling on actuarial tabular tasks depends on architecture and loss function objective design, with simple increases in Transformer size providing limited gains.

Ronald Richman

insureai and Bayes Business School, Johannesburg, South Africa

Tabular ML Scaling Laws

Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

Solving In-Table Prediction Problems by Deep Neural Networks with Performance Evaluation Using Synthetic Data

Tabular deep learning (TDL) leverages neural networks (NN) to extract patterns from tabular data. Traditional TDL methods follow a supervised learning paradigm, where a target feature is explicitly given. In this work, however, we explore a different approach by employing deep NNs to learn relationships among individual columns within a given table. We investigate whether NNs can predict the values of arbitrarily selected columns in a given table based on the remaining known columns. We call this problem In-Table Prediction (ITB), which is slightly different from table imputation methods and the pretraining task of TDL. Three potential usage scenarios are identified, which, to our best knowledge, have not been extensively studied in the literature. A self-supervised learning approach is applied to address this problem by randomly selecting columns to be masked out and used as learning targets. This work focuses on tabular datasets containing only continuous features. To handle missing values in continuous features, a novel neural layer is proposed to embed both numerical and empty values. Synthetic data is generated based on predefined column relationships, with empty values inserted using two distinct mechanisms. Additionally, an adapted masking strategy is employed to create test data. Performances of three NN architectures, namely MLP, Resnet and Transformer, are evaluated using the generated synthetic data. We conclude that, the attention-based structure outperforms the other two networks, when a sufficiently large number of training examples is available and a relatively large embedding length is chosen. We stress that these findings are obtained under controlled, synthetic conditions with a small number of columns and it should therefore be regarded as an initial, narrowly-scoped investigation rather than a general characterization of ITP on real-world tabular data.

Xiao Zhao, Daniela Oelke

Institute for Machine Learning and Analytics Offenburg University · Department of Electrical Engineering, Medical Engineering and Computer Science Offenburg University

Learning with Missing Data Tabular ML Tabular Prediction

Aug 28, 2026cs.LG

Actionable CBFI: Integrating Structural Decomposition and Causal Counterfactual Recourse for Tabular Machine Learning

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) increasingly calls for actionable counterfactual recourse, yet current methodologies face challenges related to causal invalidity, excessive cognitive burden, and predictive failure. Exhaustive causal search algorithms often require modifications to multiple attributes, whereas additive attribution-guided methods, such as SHAP, ignore higher-order feature synergies, leading to suboptimal predictive momentum and diffuse intervention effort in complex nonlinear models, such as XGBoost. To bridge this gap, we introduce actionable case-based feature importance (A-CBFI), a diagnosis-prescription integrated framework for tabular machine learning. Grounded in structural causal models (SCMs), A-CBFI isolates synergistic interaction bottlenecks and releases suppressive structural locks, translating them into targeted interventions. By mathematically separating the active user intervention space (L_{\mathrm{active}}) from downstream effects and concentrating over 98.3% of the intervention effort on diagnosed root causes, A-CBFI enables highly targeted interventions. Empirical evaluations across the financial and healthcare domains demonstrate that A-CBFI reduces the active human intervention burden by 77.0% while maintaining comparable global recourse cost to exhaustive causal baselines. By prioritizing the diagnosed causal bottlenecks, A-CBFI provides targeted and actionable recourse while maintaining causal validity and achieving full relative convergence across all causally feasible instances.

Sejong Oh

Dankook University, Republic of Korea

Feature Attribution Counterfactual Explanations Tabular ML Causal Intervention

Aug 13, 2026cs.CV

TabSOM: A tabular-to-image encoding method based on self-organizing maps

Tabular-to-image methods have emerged as novel approaches to leverage the high predictive performance of convolutional neural networks and vision transformers. They convert tabular data into image representations, mapping each feature at a fixed pixel location derived from a dimensionality-reduction method (e.g., t-SNE, UMAP, PCA). However, they encode only the marginal value of each feature and discard information about feature relationships. We propose TabSOM, a tabular-to-image encoding built on the Self-Organizing Map (SOM), which provides: (i) a spatial layout in which every input feature occupies a fixed canvas position derived from its component plane via collision-free Hungarian assignment; and (ii) a graph that captures pairwise feature relationships derived from the SOM component planes. The resulting image stacks two multi-scale node channels: one encodes feature values at fixed scales, while the other encodes pairwise feature interactions as spatial connections between related features. Two SOM-derived interpretability approaches are introduced: a prototype-inspired partial dependence plot and a class--separation importance score. Benchmarked against twelve existing tabular-to-image methods across public binary-classification datasets, TabSOM ranks first or second on every dataset and achieves the lowest variance of any method evaluated. Interpretability obtained with TabSOM was validated against Random Forest, XGBoost, and SHAP, the class-separation score shows reasonable agreement with established baselines on the top-ranked features while capturing complementary structural information from input data. These results demonstrate that TabSOM provides an effective and interpretable approach for applying deep learning architectures to tabular data, bridging the performance--interpretability gap in this domain.

David Chushig-Muzo, María Ángeles Rodríguez de Cara, Eva Milara +3

School of Mathematical and Computational Sciences, Yachay Tech University, Ecuador

Tabular ML Self-Organizing Maps Tabular Prediction

Aug 11, 2026cs.CV

Unlocking the Power of Medical Tabular Data via Semantic-Aware Multimodal Pre-training

While vision-language models dominate medical representation learning, unstructured text lacks the dense, quantitative diagnostic phenotypes inherent in structured clinical tables. However, existing multimodal pre-training methods underutilize this potential due to semantic-agnostic designs that treat tabular inputs as flat vectors and employ unstable continuous regression objectives. To overcome this, we propose a novel semantic-aware framework explicitly modeling the intrinsic two-dimensional structure of tabular data. First, addressing the inter-feature hierarchy of varying diagnostic importance, we introduce Importance-Aware Adaptive Masking to construct a label-free curriculum prioritizing salient features. Second, addressing the intra-feature continuity-discreteness duality, we propose a Soft-Label Discretized Module that replaces unstable numerical regression with stable distribution matching, thereby mathematically preserving ordinal relationships. Extensive experiments across large-scale dermatology (SLICE-3D, HOP) and ophthalmology (EyePACS) datasets establish a new state-of-the-art (SOTA), demonstrating exceptional robustness and cross-domain generalizability.

Yingsheng Liu, Haiming Li, Jingmin Zhu +6

Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia · Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia · The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Cross-Modal Representation Learning Multimodal Pretraining Tabular ML Tabular Representation Learning

Aug 10, 2026cs.LG

Tabular Numeric Stretch Transformation

Tabular data presents unique challenges for deep learning due to its heterogeneous nature, where numeric features exhibit diverse distributions, scales, and statistical properties. Although recent advances have improved how models learn from tabular data, how numeric data are transformed into model-friendly representations remains comparatively underexplored. We introduce the stretch transformation framework, which formulates numeric feature preprocessing as an optimization problem to make the target function smoother and thus more learnable. Our framework has two variants: (1) unsupervised stretch, which uniformly redistributes feature density via minimax optimization, and (2) supervised stretch, which optimizes target-aware numeric feature transformations from the perspective of target-function smoothness by minimizing the target function's Dirichlet energy in the transformed space. Our theoretical analysis further connects this framework to several popular transformations: unsupervised stretch is closely related to Piecewise Linear Encoding through a shared piecewise-linear geometry and approaches the empirical CDF transformation as the number of bins grows, while supervised stretch becomes closely related to target encoding in the fine-binning limit. Comprehensive experiments on 38 datasets from the TALENT benchmark demonstrate that supervised stretch consistently outperforms all baselines. These results show that explicitly optimizing for target function smoothness is a powerful and underexplored strategy for tabular deep learning.

Zihao Ye, Juyong Kim, Johnna Sundberg +2

Machine Learning Department Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA

Tabular ML Automated Feature Engineering Tabular Prediction

Aug 8, 2026cs.AI

GRACE: LLM-Grounded Semantic Metric Spaces for Scalable Mixed-Data Clustering

Clustering mixed tabular data requires a unified metric space to bridge the inherent heterogeneity between continuous numerical measurements and discrete categorical symbols. Traditionally, algorithms rely entirely on dataset-internal statistics to estimate categorical relationships, which confines the learned metric to empirical co-occurrences and ignores conceptually obvious yet statistically unobserved affinities. Although LLMs offer external world knowledge, applying their text-centric reasoning to highly abstract tabular concepts presents significant challenges. Bridging this modality gap to construct a semantically complete metric typically requires embedding LLMs into iterative metric learning loops to dynamically optimize cross-modality representations. This incurs intractable computational overhead, forcing a compromise between semantic enrichment and scalability. Therefore, we propose GRACE, an LLM-grounded framework for scalable mixed-data clustering. GRACE shifts semantic acquisition to the attribute-value level via a multi-perspective LLM querying strategy, mapping heterogeneous values into knowledge-informed descriptions. Crucially, this one-shot grounding extracts general-purpose semantic representations that embed heterogeneous attributes into a unified space, decoupling expensive LLM invocation from iterative optimization. Furthermore, GRACE cross-validates these external semantics against dataset-internal statistical evidence to ensure alignment with the dataset-specific cluster structure. Ultimately, GRACE matches the scalability of conventional statistics-driven baselines while achieving superior clustering accuracy and conceptual interpretability over 11 competing methods. The source code is available at https://github.com/develop-yang/GRACE-GRACE-A

Zihua Yang, Zhencheng Xie, Junyang Chen +4

Guangdong University of Technology · Tsinghua University · Peking University +2

Clustering Unsupervised Clustering Metric Learning Tabular ML

Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

NOMADD: Numerical Optimization of Models Adapting to Data Drift

Tabular model performance degrades when feature distributions change over time or the relationship between features and outcome variables change over time, known as data drift and concept drift, respectively. These issues are challenging to mitigate in real time because labeled data may not be immediately available, or re-training a model could be impractical. While tools exist to reduce drift, they are typically bespoke to neural network architectures and adapt how models are trained. In this paper, we offer an alternative post-hoc method to reduce concept drift, which is applicable to a variety of models, from trees to neural networks to tabular foundation models. This new tool is especially useful when constraints, such as high model accuracy, bounded inference time, or model size requires users to choose between different models for their specific use-cases. Our algorithm fits the base model separately on each labeled training period, measures how its parameters evolve against a single anchor model pooled over all of those periods, compresses those changes with a low-rank factorization, and extrapolates each latent factor forward with a damped, regularized forecast. On the 18-dataset Drift-Resilient TabPFN benchmark, evaluated under that benchmark's own protocol and metric, the extrapolation improves every base family it is applied to, and achieves performance competitive with the state-of-the-art Drift-Resilient TabPFN with seconds of training. In contrast, Drift-Resilient TabPFN requires pre-training on millions of synthetic datasets over approximately 1,300 GPU-hours, and is orders of magnitude slower in inference (depending on the model). In the discussion, we explore the promise and challenges of extending this tool to other modalities.

Swapn Shah, Keith Burghardt

University of North Carolina at Charlotte

Concept Drift Tabular ML Drifting Models

Aug 2, 2026cs.LG

Logit-Origin Centering for Singleton Test-Time Adaptation

Tabular data is used extensively in many real-world use cases. Deep learning models have been developed to deal with tabular data, but generally perform poorly when the test data distribution differs from that of the training data. Researchers have proposed test-time adaptation approaches to deal with this problem. The fully test-time adaptation (FTTA) setting involves adapting deployed classifiers to shifted target distributions using only unlabeled test data. Leading FTTA methods inherit a batch-dependent approach from computer vision literature. This paper demonstrates for the first time that such approaches degrade sharply in strict streaming regimes where examples arrive and must be classified one at a time. This occurs because at a batch size of one, batch-level statistics become unavailable or poorly estimated. We argue that singleton tabular FTTA is not merely a small-batch variant of ordinary FTTA, but a distinct identifiability problem where only the location of the model's score stream remains directly observable. To address this, we propose Prequential Logit-Origin Centering (PLOC), a lightweight approach that keeps the source model frozen and shifts the logit space at each step. PLOC stores only a single running number (the mean of past logits), requires no labels, estimates no priors, and bypasses weight updates entirely. A deferred variant applies a static shift that preserves the source ranking, and thus the AUROC, exactly. Evaluated across five tabular benchmarks, three architectures (MLP, FT-Transformer, and TabTransformer), and five independent source checkpoints, PLOC significantly outperforms strong tabular and entropy-based baselines.

Mayank Sharma, Rohit Kumar Mourya, Pratik Mazumder

Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur, Jodhpur, India

Test-Time Adaptation Tabular ML

Jul 31, 2026cs.LG

Ensemble of Unsupervised Deep Learning for Clustering Imbalanced Tabular Data

Data imbalance poses a major challenge in supervised classification, where the majority-class bias contributes to false negatives and overestimates classification accuracy. Unsupervised deep clustering can be immune to class imbalance because representation learning for clustering is performed without class labels. Deep clustering has been proposed for images, languages, and graphs, while its application to tabular data has only emerged recently. This paper is among the first to examine the performance of state-of-the-art deep clustering methods under varying levels of data imbalance. We introduce two novel cluster ensemble approaches: one aggregates deep clustering assignments across different embedding dimensions, and the other applies majority voting to the best-performing clustering algorithms. Experiments on 16 binary tabular datasets with varying and artificially induced levels of imbalance reveal distinct strengths of different deep clustering methods. On average, our ensemble methods outperform individual clustering methods in ACC, NMI, and ARI scores, offering greater resilience to data imbalance when identifying ground-truth classes without supervision. Therefore, in an imbalanced data scenario, deep clustering can serve as a strong alternative to supervised classification.

Pulock Das, Yina Hou, Md. Kamrozzaman Bhuiyan +1

Department of Computer Science Tennessee State University Nashville, TN, USA · Enosis Solutions Dhaka, Bangladesh · Department of Computer Science North Carolina A&T State University Greensboro, NC, USA

Class-Imbalanced Learning Clustering Unsupervised Clustering Deep Clustering Tabular ML

Jul 29, 2026cs.LG

TreeCCA: Canonical Correlation Analysis via Gradient-Boosted Trees

Gradient-boosted trees dominate tabular machine learning, yet canonical correlation analysis has always relied on linear or neural encoders. We propose \textbf{TreeCCA}, the first method to train gradient-boosted tree ensembles end-to-end as CCA encoders, inheriting their plug-and-play reliability: no architecture design, familiar hyperparameters, and strong performance with defaults. The technical enabler is the Eckart-Young (EY) loss, which supplies closed-form per-sample gradients that slot directly into any standard GBT library (XGBoost, LightGBM) as a custom objective. TreeCCA is the first CCA method to combine nonlinear accuracy with native interpretability: every tree split selects one feature, so gain importances reveal which inputs drive cross-view correlation at no extra cost. We demonstrate these properties on synthetic benchmarks, where TreeCCA matches or exceeds Deep CCA (2.61 vs.\ 2.43 on Signed Power; 2.93 vs.\ 2.89 on Hermite), and on a sparse benchmark with zero linear cross-view covariance, where TreeCCA recovers the true support with

\text{Precision@}S = 1.00

at

p=50

while PMD finds no signal. On the UCI HAR sensor-fusion benchmark, TreeCCA achieves comparable accuracy to Deep CCA at

5\times

lower cost, while XGBoost gain importances directly validate a physics-motivated hypothesis about the data --- an interpretation not readily available with neural encoders. Across five popular tabular multi-view datasets, TreeMCCA consistently matches or exceeds linear CCA in both nonlinear correlation extraction and downstream classification accuracy.

James Chapman

Gradient-Boosted Decision Trees Multi-View Learning Tabular ML

Jul 25, 2026cs.AI

Adaptive Graph-of-Islands Evolution for Automatic Feature Engineering with LLMs

Automatic feature engineering (AutoFE) for tabular data requires discovering informative transformations from a large program space. Existing approaches suffer from three limitations: classical methods rely on fixed operator libraries with limited expressivity, LLM-based methods generate proposals from static prompts without retaining search experience, and evolutionary methods use fixed migration policies that ignore task-specific cross-family transfer utility. We introduce TOPOFE, a framework that formulates AutoFE as graph-structured multi-island evolutionary program search. The transformation space is partitioned into semantically coherent families, each explored by an island through LLM-guided mutation and crossover. Each island maintains a Prompt Adaptation Memory that accumulates accept/reject feedback to steer proposals toward productive regions without parameter updates. To coordinate global exploration, TOPOFE dynamically learns a directed topology graph whose edge weights encode transfer utility between transformation families. Cross-island transfer is triggered by adaptive saturation detection and performed through LLM-mediated hybrid synthesis, enabling discovery of compositional feature programs that cannot emerge from isolated local search. Experiments on 29 tabular datasets show that TOPOFE consistently outperforms most state-of-the-art AutoFE methods on classification and regression tasks. Beyond predictive performance, TOPOFE produces feature sets with lower redundancy and higher representational coverage, while the learned topology graph acquires meaningful task-specific transfer structure correlated with downstream gains. The discovered feature programs transfer reliably across diverse predictors and LLM backbones, demonstrating that improvements arise from TOPOFE's structured search and adaptive coordination rather than backbone-specific generation capability.

Sha Li, Naren Ramakrishnan

Department of Computer Science Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA 24060 · Department of Computer Science Virginia Tech Alexandria, VA 22305

Evolutionary Optimization Large Language Model-Guided Optimization LLM-Based Program Synthesis Tabular ML Automated Feature Engineering

Jul 23, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Laws for Classical Machine Learning on Tabular Data: A Benchmark Study

Prior classical-ML learning-curve work fits power laws to tree, linear, and kernel models on tabular data, but at small scale: typically one curve, one team, a handful of cells. We present a distributed classroom-scale replication: 127 graduate students each ran a fixed protocol on 3 assigned datasets, drawn from 18 tabular classification and regression datasets and 6 model families (Boosting, Random Forest, SVM, Linear/Logistic, Ridge, Lasso), yielding 11,536 training runs and 1,648 fitted power-law curves of the form error(N) = a N^(-b) + c. Three findings. (1) Power laws fit: R^2 > 0.8 on 77.7% of cells, with tree ensembles dominating at full data (Boosting 50% of datasets, RandomForest 33%; linear models underperform on classification). (2) Approximate shared exponents within a model family: for 5 of 6 families, a single family-level exponent predicts each family's cross-dataset curves nearly as well as per-dataset exponents (R^2 gap < 0.011), though AIC favors the unconstrained fit and curve collapse is partial (32-58% of points within +/-0.5 dex). We frame this as approximate predictive compressibility, not dataset-independent universality; Lasso fails outright (negative control) and Ridge is fragile under leave-one-dataset-out. (3) Replicator-implementation variance: with random_state=42 fixed, independent re-implementations of the same protocol still differ by mean CV(b) = 0.144 on the fitted exponent -- not seed variance, but the spread induced by unconstrained parts of the protocol (preprocessing, encoding, missing-value handling). We release the aggregated curves, per-cell fits, and a practical data-requirement table for N* to reach target error 0.15.

Kaihua Ding

University of Pennsylvania

Tabular ML Scaling Laws ML Reproducibility Tabular Prediction

Jul 22, 2026cs.LG

Auto-Fill: Learning to Predict Missing Values Accurately with Specialist Language Models

Predicting missing cell values in tabular data is a fundamental problem in data cleaning. While state-of-the-art reasoning models show great promise in predicting missing values in tables, by reasoning holistically across rows and columns, they are costly to deploy at scale and tend to be overconfident, often generating hallucinated or false-positive predictions. In this paper, we observe that achieving high-precision missing-value prediction in tables requires a distinct combination of three capabilities: (1) world knowledge, (2) text-based reasoning, and (3) code-based reasoning. We systematically explore design choices for combining these capabilities, and propose an Auto-Fill approach that post-trains three specialist small language models (SLMs), each optimized for one capability. We develop a calibrated ensemble mechanism that either dynamically selects the most confident specialist or abstains, ensuring high accuracy. Extensive experiments on 11 benchmarks with 2200 real tables drawn from diverse domains show that Auto-Fill achieves superior accuracy compared to state-of-the-art reasoning models (e.g., o3-pro, Gemini 3 Pro, and DeepSeek R1), while operating at a fraction (less than 1%) of the cost of these frontier models. Our results highlight the effectiveness of specialization and calibrated abstention in the important domain of tabular data. Auto-Fill is publicly available at https://github.com/lyrain2001/auto-fill.

Yurong Liu, Yeye He, Haoyu Dong +4

New York University · Microsoft Research

Incomplete Data Imputation Selective Prediction Small Language Models Tabular ML

Jul 15, 2026cs.LG

Is the Statistical Advantage Worth the Cost? An Empirical Comparison of KANs and MLPs for Structured Data Classification

This study presents an empirical benchmarking comparison between Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) and Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) on structured tabular classification tasks. Motivated by the growing interest in KANs as an alternative function-approximating architecture, we evaluate their out-of-the-box performance on twelve publicly available datasets spanning binary, multiclass, multilabel, and ordinal problems. Both models were trained under standardized preprocessing, architecture, and fixed hyperparameter settings, with performance assessed using test accuracy and F1-Score, paired hypothesis testing, and effect size analysis. Results show that KANs statistically outperform MLPs in binary and multiclass domains and achieve a significant aggregate advantage across all datasets. However, the observed medium effect size (d = -0.46) raises an important cost-benefit consideration: while KANs offer superior generalization through adaptive spline-based mappings, this advantage comes with substantially higher parameter and computational complexity relative to the MLP baseline. These findings suggest KANs are the preferred choice for high-precision applications, while MLPs remain a robust and efficient option for resource-constrained environments. Future work should extend this analysis to additional data modalities to further refine these architectural selection criteria.

Matthew Steven P. Toledo, Justine Raphael H. Jacinto, Vivekjeet Singh Chambal +3

Institute of Computer Science, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Philippines · Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Applications Lab, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Philippines

Multilayer Perceptrons Tabular Classification Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks Tabular ML

Jul 13, 2026math.OC

Inter-Stop Energy Prediction and Causal Driver Quantification for Dual-Source Trolleybuses via a Time-Aware Tabular Deep Learning Architecture

Dual-source trolleybuses alternate between overhead catenary supply and on-board battery operation, creating energy-use patterns driven by route attributes, high-frequency trajectories, and hourly weather. Existing models struggle to represent these heterogeneous inputs and rarely explain the causal drivers of consumption. This paper proposes a time-aware tabular deep learning framework for inter-stop energy management. Periodic time encoding is integrated into a parameter-efficient batch-ensemble backbone to jointly learn static and sequential features, while Bayesian optimization with tree-structured density estimation tunes hyperparameters. To move beyond prediction, a three-layer causal explanation pipeline combines feature attribution for marginal effects, a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model for causal direction discovery, and a meta-learner for net average treatment effects. Experiments on the Zurich trolleybus dataset enriched with meteorological records achieve a MAPE of 6.52% and R of 0.982, outperforming ten statistical, tree-ensemble, and deep learning baselines. Ablation results show that periodic time encoding contributes most to the accuracy gain. Causal analysis identifies regenerative braking ratio and average speed as the strongest energy-saving factors, while coasting distance is the main driver of excess consumption. The findings offer actionable thresholds for vehicle technology, driving behavior, capacity allocation, and catenary network planning.

Wentao Zeng, Zijian Huang, Yiming Bie +2

School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China a School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China · School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering and Automation, Foshan University, Foshan, China · School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan 528000, China +7

Time Series Forecasting Tabular ML

Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

ProgramTab: Boosting Table Reasoning of LLMs via Programmatic Paradigm

Table-based reasoning with large language models (LLMs), which requires reasoning based on natural language questions and structured tabular data, has gained widespread attention. However, a series of issues still constrain the application of this task. The previous approaches suffered from significant performance degradation when faced with large tables due to the difficulty of long text modeling and the limitation of input length for LLMs. The text-to-SQL approach is used to efficiently extract key information from tables and generate smaller sub-tables. However, tabular data, especially web tables, often lack the necessary structure and consistency, making them unsuitable for performing mathematical logic operations using SQL queries. We propose the ProgramTab framework, which guides LLMs employing in-context learning to perform tabular data preprocessing with Python code, as well as the momentous contents extraction with row and column extraction and SQL generation. The experiment results on table reasoning datasets demonstrate that the ProgramTab framework effectively deals with table-based reasoning tasks and outperforms all LLM-based baselines.

Pei Guo, Enjie Liu, Yunzhi Tan +6

♠Big Data and AI Platform Department, Tencent, China · ♢Institute of Computer Science and Technology, Soochow University, China

Tabular ML LLM Reasoning

Jul 6, 2026cs.LG

TabPack: Efficient Hyperparameter Ensembles for Tabular Deep Learning

In deep learning for tabular data, efficient ensembles of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) have recently emerged as effective and practical architectures. Existing methods of this kind use the same hyperparameters for all underlying MLPs, which requires hyperparameter tuning for achieving the best performance. In this work, we introduce TabPack, an efficient MLP ensemble with strong out-of-the-box performance and reduced reliance on traditional tuning. In a single run, TabPack samples and trains many MLPs with different hyperparameters efficiently in parallel and selects ensemble members on the fly during training. Thus, TabPack only requires specifying ranges from which to sample MLP hyperparameter rather than exact hyperparameter values, which naturally demands less precision for good performance. In experiments on medium-to-large public datasets, TabPack with default settings performs on par with extensively tuned prior methods, thus substantially reducing effort and compute resources needed to achieve competitive results on tabular tasks. Notably, running the default TabPack configuration on a modern MacBook took less time than tuning some baselines on an industry-grade GPU.

Yury Gorishniy, Akim Kotelnikov, Ivan Rubachev +1

1Yandex · 2HSE University

Multilayer Perceptrons Ensemble Learning Tabular ML Hyperparameter Optimization

Jul 4, 2026cs.LG

When Does Small Data Work? Accuracy and Efficiency Trade-offs Between Tabular Foundation Models and Conventional Methods for Crowd-State Classification at Hajj and Umrah

Learning from few labeled examples is a central challenge in tabular machine learning, and it becomes the binding constraint in domains where labeling is costly, such as crowd monitoring during Hajj and Umrah. Tabular foundation models, which predict from only a handful of examples without task-specific training, were recently introduced to address this very-few-label regime. In this study we test them on crowd-state classification to assess how much they help when labels are scarce, and we compare them against standard machine learning methods to characterize the accuracy and efficiency trade-offs between the two approaches. Using three real datasets we evaluate different machine learning models, in untuned and tuned forms, against three foundation models. Results show that no single family is best everywhere. The right choice depends on the label budget. When labels are very few, foundation models lead. As labels grow, tuned conventional models catch up and significantly surpass the foundation models on the more structural geometry target. Efficiency separates them further where tuned machine learning models incur a large tuning cost that foundation models avoid, although foundation models reprocess their context at every prediction. We summarize these results as a practical map of which approach to prefer under a given label budget and computational budget.

AlJawharh S. AlOtaibi, Mohamed Eltahir, Jude AlSubaie

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Tabular Foundation Models Few-Shot Learning Tabular ML Classification Data-Efficient Learning

Jul 2, 2026cs.LG

Evolutionary Feature Engineering for Structured Data

Large language models are increasingly used as open-ended search operators in evolutionary optimization. We introduce Evolutionary Feature Engineering (EFE), a framework for using LLM-based evolution to discover preprocessing transformations for structured data. EFE represents transformations as Python programs with a standardized fit/transform interface, allowing them to be inserted directly into existing machine learning pipelines. During evolution, candidate programs are refined using dataset context, summary statistics, and downstream performance feedback on validation set. We instantiate EFE in two settings. For time-series forecasting, EFE-Time learns invertible, dataset-specific normalizations that improve off-the-shelf time-series foundation models. It reduces forecasting errors (MASE, WQL, MAE) 3% or more when averaged across datasets and improvements are as much as 19% on the COVID-Deaths dataset. Notably, these improvements occur with recent TSFMs such as Chronos-2. For tabular prediction, EFE-Tab evolves compact feature programs that add useful interpretable features and remove redundant ones, improving or matching existing LLM-based feature-engineering methods. We found EFE-Tab to be particularly effective on classical decision trees, where small sets of evolved features yield competitive accuracy while preserving interpretability. Overall, EFE demonstrates that LLM-based evolution can improve both accuracy and interpretability when automatically tackling structured data.

Ege Onur Taga, Yilin Zhuang, M. Emrullah Ildiz +4

University of Michigan · Google Research

Large Language Model-Guided Optimization Time Series Forecasting Tabular ML Automated Feature Engineering

Jul 1, 2026cs.LG

Interpretable vs Learned Encoders for High-Cardinality Fraud Detection

A total of seven categorical encoding methods were tested on the IEEE-CIS fraud benchmark dataset (590,540 records, 3.5% positives, 8 high-cardinality columns). The encoders were evaluated using a stratified 5-fold cross-validation (CV) with three repetitions. Five of the encoders had identical frozen LightGBM learners in the downstream phase, allowing for controlled comparisons of their performance to each other. CatBoost and TabNet were included as comparisons across paradigms using different learners. The entity embeddings produced the highest AUC-ROC (0.9612), with a statistically significant tie with that of CatBoost (0.9602) and statistically superior to tier group encoding (0.9548), whereas target encoding was only 0.0023 worse than tier group encoding and the auditor-friendly tier boundaries were maintained. Off-the-shelf TabNet did not outperform tree-based pipelines and collapsed under data scarcity. On AUC-PR, CatBoost leads (0.822 vs. 0.793); no encoder dominated both metrics. Per-column analysis confirmed the embedding advantage arises from joint multi-column representation.

Xiao Han, Jingjing Liu, Moxuan Zheng +2

Goizueta Business School Emory University Atlanta, GA, USA · Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences University of California, Berkeley Kirkland, WA · Stern School of Business New York University New York, NY, USA +2

Financial Fraud Detection Tabular ML Automated Feature Engineering