Overview

Tabular regression studies how to predict a continuous value from structured records, where each row contains features such as measurements, categories, or past observations. Common approaches range from linear and kernel methods, splines, and regression trees to boosted ensembles, neural networks, and transformer-based foundation models pretrained on synthetic tables. Work also addresses missing values, feature interactions, data augmentation, interpretability, and probabilistic predictions using quantile methods, conformal intervals, or proper scoring rules. No method dominates across settings: boosted trees remain strong baselines, while foundation models can help in some data regimes, and reliable uncertainty, extrapolation, computational cost, and performance on small or noisy datasets remain open challenges.

Latest papers

CardsList

35 papers3 papers in the last four weeks, level with the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Crop Yield Prediction Using Regression Models: A Comparative Evaluation of Model Performance

    Oct 27, 2026Saptak Das, Arijit Sarkar, Soumik Neogi +1Crop Yield PredictionTabular Regression

  2. Scenario Generalization and Sector Transfer in Real Surface Irrigation Surrogate Modelling with Tabular Models

    Oct 19, 2026Alessandro Cagiano, M. Aybars Seyhan, Fabiola Gangi +2Surrogate ModelingSpatial Generalization

  3. Revisiting Tabular Deep Regression: Objectives and the Limits of Global Early Stopping

    Oct 9, 2026Danil Rudenko, Georgii Bulgakov, Nikolay Kartashev +3Tabular RegressionQuantile Regression

  4. LAIR-Net: Leaky Alignment-Impulse Residual Networks for Tabular Regression

    Oct 8, 2026Rahul Goswami, Aryan Bhambu, Bittu KarmakarTabular RegressionResidual Learning

  5. Do Tabular Foundation Models Know Physics? Contamination, Units, and the Deterministic Limit

    Sep 2, 2026Wassim Tenachi, Yashar Hezaveh, Laurence Perreault Levasseur +1Tabular Foundation ModelsPhysical Reasoning

  6. Context Window Failures in Relational Foundation Models

    Aug 31, 2026Denis Oliveira Correa, Francisco Galuppo AzevedoRelational Foundation ModelsGraph Foundation Models

  7. EXAONE Tabular 1.0 : Technical Report

    Aug 26, 2026Moonjung Eo, Min-Kook Suh, Hye-Seung Cho +4Tabular Foundation ModelsTabular ICL

  8. TabNSM: Neural Sparse Mixer for Tabular Regression

    Aug 18, 2026Ali Eslamian, Qiang ChengTabular RegressionTabular Representation Learning

  9. PATH: Next-Interval Prediction via Autoregressive Tree Hierarchy on Tabular Data

    Aug 8, 2026Pengxiang Cai, Wanchen Lian, Chenyang Liu +4Regression Prediction IntervalsTabular Regression

  10. Handling Missing Data in Probabilistic Regression Trees

    Aug 6, 2026Taiane Schaedler Prass, Alisson Silva Neimaier, Guilherme PumiLearning with Missing DataDecision Tree Learning

  11. From field-scale to large-scale spectral libraries: Tabular foundation models in soil spectroscopy

    Aug 1, 2026Viacheslav Barkov, Jonas Schmidinger, Robin Gebbers +1Tabular Foundation ModelsRecursive Least Squares

  12. Interpretable Fuzzy Rule-Based Regression Extension for Ex-Fuzzy Library

    Jul 22, 2026Cayan Deniz Kucuktopana, Javier Fumanal-Idocin, Richard Pitts +1Interpretable MLFuzzy Logic

  13. Counterfactual Residual Data Augmentation for Regression

    Jun 26, 2026Hossein Mohebbi, Oliver Schulte, Ke Li +1Synthetic Tabular Data GenerationCounterfactual Data Augmentation

  14. Solve for the Hyperparameter, Skip the Search: Kolmogorov-Optimal Scaling Laws for Spline Regression

    Jun 22, 2026Yong Yi Bay, Kathleen A. YearickModel SelectionScaling Laws

  15. LLMs on Tabular Data with Limited Semantics: Evidence from Industrial Car Retrofit Prediction

    Jun 13, 2026Aina Vila Pons, Ioannis Tzachristas, Constantinos AntoniouTabular PredictionTabular Regression

  16. CLARITree: Cholesky and Lookahead Accelerations for Regression with Interpretable Piecewise Linear Trees

    Jun 11, 2026Yixiao Wang, Hayden McTavish, Varun Babbar +2Tree SearchInterpretable ML

  17. RowNet: A Memory Transformer for Tabular Regression

    Jun 3, 2026Askat Rakhymbekov, Gulshat MuhametjanovaMemory-Augmented Neural NetworksTabular Regression

  18. On the Uncertainty Quantification Ability of Tabular Foundation Models

    May 31, 2026Tyler R. Johnson, Kian Ben-Jacob, Nima Negarandeh +2Tabular Foundation ModelsUncertainty Quantification

  19. Hinge Regression Trees and HRT-Boost: Newton-Optimized Oblique Learning for Compact Tabular Models

    May 22, 2026Hongyi Li, Jun Xu, Hong YanGradient-Boosted Decision TreesDecision Tree Learning

  20. Tabular foundation models for robust calibration of near-infrared chemical sensing data

    May 20, 2026Robin Reiter, Denis Cornet, Fabien Michel +2Tabular Foundation ModelsTabular Regression

  21. Agentic-imodels: Evolving agentic interpretability tools via autoresearch

    May 5, 2026Chandan Singh, Yan Shuo Tan, Weijia Xu +4Interpretable MLAutomated Machine Learning

  22. ScoringBench: A Benchmark for Evaluating Tabular Foundation Models with Proper Scoring Rules

    Mar 31, 2026Jonas Landsgesell, Pascal Knoll, Tizian WenzelTabular RegressionTabular Foundation Models

  23. TabPFN Extensions for Interpretable Geotechnical Modelling

    Mar 22, 2026Taiga Saito, Yu Otake, Daijiro Mizutani +1Uncertainty QuantificationTabular Foundation Models

  24. Distributional Regression with Tabular Foundation Models: Evaluating Probabilistic Predictions via Proper Scoring Rules

    Mar 9, 2026Jonas Landsgesell, Pascal Knoll, Tizian WenzelTabular Foundation ModelsProper Scoring Rules