Traffic

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can provide flexible traffic surveillance where fixed roadside cameras are unavailable, costly, or impractical. However, raw UAV video is difficult to use for traffic analytics because vehicle motion is observed in perspective image coordinates rather than in a stable metric road coordinate system. This paper presents a lightweight pipeline for converting monocular oblique UAV traffic video into a local metric bird's-eye-view (BEV) representation. Visible road geometry, including lane markings, road borders, and crosswalks, is used to estimate a road-plane homography from image coordinates to metric ground-plane coordinates. Vehicle observations from dataset annotations or detectors are then projected to BEV using estimated ground contact points. The resulting trajectories support estimation of vehicle direction, speed, heading, and dynamic 3D cuboids on the road plane. We evaluate the pipeline on UAVDT using ground-truth annotations to isolate calibration and geometric reconstruction from detector and tracker errors. For sequence M1401, 40 sampled frames from img000001-img000196 produce 632 metric cuboid instances across 23 tracks. Results show that road-geometry calibration can transform monocular UAV footage into interpretable traffic-camera-style analytics, including BEV tracks and synchronized 3D cuboid visualizations. They also reveal key limitations: far-field vehicles are sensitive to homography errors, manual validation is currently more reliable than fully automatic calibration, and the single-plane assumption limits performance in non-planar or ambiguous road regions. The proposed pipeline provides a practical foundation for deployable UAV traffic cameras and future real-time traffic digital-twin systems.

Physics-informed deep learning (PIDL) neural networks have shown their capability as a useful instrument for transportation practitioners in utilizing the underlying relationship between the state variables for traffic state estimation (TSE). Another efficient traffic management approach is implementing varying speed limits (VSLs) on transportation corridors to control traffic and mitigate congestion. However, the existing training architecture of PIDL in the literature cannot accommodate the changing traffic characteristics on a freeway with VSL. To tackle this challenge, we propose a novel framework integrating teacher-student ensemble training with PIDL neural networks for TSE under VSL scenarios. The physics of flow conservation law is encoded locally in the teacher models by PIDL, and the student model uses a multi-layer perceptron classifier (MLP) to identify traffic characteristics and selects the ensemble member of PIDL neural networks for TSE. This integrated framework provides a natural solution for capturing the heterogeneity of VSL and accurately addressing the TSE problem. The case study results validate the proposed ensemble approach, demonstrating its superior performance in TSE compared to other popular baseline methods, as indicated by relative L2 error.

Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management. Existing approaches predominantly model traffic flow as aggregated time series. However, traffic dynamics are governed by aircraft states and their interactions in continuous airspace. Such aggregation obscures fine-grained information, including aircraft kinematics, boundary interactions, and control intent. Here we present AeroSense, a state-to-flow modeling paradigm that predicts future traffic flow directly from instantaneous airspace situations represented as dynamic sets of aircraft states derived from ADS-B trajectories. By establishing an end-to-end mapping from microscopic aircraft states to future regional traffic flow, AeroSense preserves aircraft-level dynamics while naturally accommodating varying traffic density without relying on historical look-back windows. Experiments on a large-scale real-world dataset show that AeroSense exhibits admirable predictive accuracy and robustness over aggregation-based forecasting approaches, particularly during high-density traffic periods. These findings suggest that aircraft-state situation modeling provides a promising alternative to conventional time-series forecasting in air traffic flow management.

Taxiway routing and on-surface conflict avoidance are coupled safety-critical decision problems in airport surface operations. Existing planning and optimization methods are often limited by online computational cost, while reinforcement learning methods may struggle to represent downstream traffic conflicts and balance multiple objectives. This paper presents Conflict-aware Taxiway Routing (CaTR), a reinforcement learning framework for real-time multi-aircraft taxiway routing. CaTR constructs a grid-based airport surface environment with action masking, introduces a hierarchical foresight traffic representation to encode current and downstream conflict-related traffic conditions, and adopts a value-decomposed reinforcement learning strategy to prioritize sparse but safety-critical objectives. Experiments are conducted on a realistic environment based on Changsha Huanghua International Airport under multiple traffic density levels. Results show that CaTR achieves better safety--efficiency trade-offs than representative planning, optimization, and reinforcement learning baselines while maintaining practical runtime.

Wi-Fi sensing detects human motions and activities by analysing the channel state information (CSI) derived from Wi-Fi transmissions. However, the impact of variable transmission traffic, which dictates the effective sampling rate and interval, is often overlooked. Existing Wi-Fi sensing systems are trained with fixed input size and sampling rate, which suffer from poor sampling rate generalisation. This paper proposes a novel Wi-Fi sensing approach for motion recognition applications, e.g., gesture and activity recognition, under variable traffic patterns. A sampling rate versatile neural network (SRV-NN) based on the transformer is proposed to efficiently handle variable input-sized sensing signals. A dynamic sampling rate augmentation is employed for variable sampling rates and intervals. To validate our approach, we have carried out extensive experimental evaluation, using two self-collected datasets, namely SRV activity and SRV gesture, as well as two publicly available datasets. Our method demonstrated exceptional performance and stability under variable sampling rates, with substantial improvements in average accuracy compared to baseline models without augmentation. The proposed approach significantly enhances stability by greatly reducing accuracy variance across different sampling rates.

Probabilistic weather forecasting requires not only accurate trajectories, but calibrated distributions over plausible atmospheric futures. Recent data-driven systems have achieved remarkable deterministic skill, and diffusion-based ensemble forecasters have substantially improved sample realism and uncertainty quantification. However, their inference cost scales with forecast horizon, ensemble size, and the number of denoising steps required for each transition, making large operational ensembles expensive. To address this, we present Tyche, a one-step conditional flow model for efficient probabilistic weather forecasting. Tyche models the conditional forecast distribution with a destination-aware average-velocity flow that maps Gaussian noise directly to future weather states in a single function evaluation (1-NFE). To make this one-step transport learnable in high-dimensional geophysical fields, we derive a JVP-regularized rectification objective that enforces temporal self-consistency across source and destination flow timesteps without explicitly forming Jacobians. The transport field is parameterized by an isotropic Swin-style transformer that preserves fine-scale spatial structure while remaining scalable on global grids. To improve ensemble reliability under autoregressive forecasting, we further introduce a rollout-based finetuning stage with curriculum CRPS calibration supervision. Experiments on ERA5 at 1.5$^\circ$ and 6-hour resolution show that our Tyche, using merely a single NFE, matches or exceeds the forecast skill and calibration of state-of-the-art multi-step generative baselines and the operational ECMWF IFS ensemble.

Traffic digital twins are powerful tools for advanced traffic management, and most systems are built on static geometric representations. However, these representations fail to capture the dynamic functional semantics required for behavior-aware reasoning, such as how a lane operates under complex traffic conditions. To address this gap, we introduce GeoLaneRep, a behavior-grounded lane representation learning framework for traffic digital twins. GeoLaneRep jointly encodes static lane geometry, observed vehicle trajectories, and operational descriptors into a shared, cross-camera semantic embedding. The encoder is trained with a joint objective combining contrastive cross-camera alignment, auxiliary role supervision, and temporal anomaly detection. Across 16 roadside cameras and 132 lanes, the learned embeddings achieve a $0.004$ lateral-rank error and an edge-role F1 of $1.000$ in zero-shot cross-camera matching, and an AUROC of $0.991$ for window-level anomaly detection. We further show that the same behavioral embeddings can condition a diffusion-based generator to synthesize lane geometries that satisfy targeted operational specifications, with $87.9\%$ overall specification accuracy across 38 lane groups. GeoLaneRep thus provides a semantic interface between roadside observations and downstream digital twin tasks, supporting cross-camera transfer, behavior-aware monitoring, and goal-directed lane synthesis. The framework is openly available at https://github.com/raynbowy23/GeoLaneRep.

Network traffic anomaly detection represents a critical cybersecurity task, yet widespread encryption makes this task increasingly challenging. In response, image-based methods that model traffic as visual patterns have emerged as the dominant approach. However, this work pioneers the identification of a pervasive full-frequency'' characteristic and an associated limitation termed spectral mismatch'' within this paradigm. Specifically, while encrypted traffic exhibits prominent high-frequency components, mainstream reconstruction methods demonstrate an inherent bias toward learning low-frequency information. This fundamental mismatch results in incomplete representations that consequently degrade anomaly detection performance. To address this challenge, we propose FreeUp, a novel frequency-decoupled framework designed explicitly for encrypted traffic analysis. FreeUp decomposes traffic data into distinct low- and high-frequency bands, processing them through separate, dedicated branches along with a customized training strategy that ensures stable and independent frequency-specific learning. Furthermore, recognizing that simple reconstruction error proves inadequate for evaluating dual-branch architectures, we introduce an uncertainty-inspired fusion scoring mechanism. This mechanism quantifies the reconstruction uncertainty of the frequency-specific branches and dynamically integrates their outputs, yielding a more comprehensive and reliable anomaly score. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks demonstrate that FreeUp consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/ikun0124/FreeUp.

The Controller Area Network (CAN) is a safety-critical in-vehicle communication protocol that lacks built-in security mechanisms, making intrusion detection essential. Existing approaches predominantly formulate CAN intrusion detection as a classification task, mapping complex traffic patterns to attack labels. However, this formulation abstracts away the temporal and relational structure of CAN traffic and misaligns with real-world forensic workflows, which require systematic reasoning about traffic behavior. To address this gap, we introduce CAN-QA, the first benchmark that reformulates CAN traffic analysis as a question-answering (QA) task. CAN-QA converts raw CAN logs into temporally segmented windows and applies deterministic rule-based templates to generate natural-language questions paired with automatically derived ground-truth answers. The resulting dataset comprises 33,128 QA pairs across 10 categories, each targeting distinct semantic and temporal properties of CAN traffic. Using CAN-QA, we evaluate large language models across both True/False and multiple-choice formats. Our results indicate that, although these models capture superficial statistical regularities, they struggle with temporal reasoning, multi-condition inference, and higher-level behavioral interpretation. Our code is available at https://github.com/Kriiiiss/CAN-QA.

In high-conflict mixed-traffic scenarios involving human-driven and autonomous vehicles, most existing autonomous driving systems default to overly conservative behaviors, lack proactive interaction, and consequently suffer from limited public acceptance. To mitigate intent misunderstandings and decision failures, we present a Large Language Model based interactive decision-making framework that augments scene understanding and intent-aware interaction to jointly improve safety and efficiency. The approach uses Object-Process Methodology to semantically model complex multi-vehicle scenes, abstracting low-level perceptual data into objects, processes, and relations, thereby streamlining reasoning over latent causal structure. Building on this representation, the Large Language Model parses both explicit and implicit intents of surrounding agents and, under jointly enforced safety and efficiency constraints, selects candidate maneuvers. We further generate perturbed trajectory candidates via Monte Carlo sampling and evaluate them to obtain an optimized executable trajectory. To foster transparency and coordination with nearby road users, the final decision is translated by the Large Language Model into concise natural-language messages and broadcast through an external Human-Machine Interface, completing a closed loop from scene understanding to action to language. Experiments in a cluster driving simulator demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms traditional baselines across safety, comfort, and efficiency metrics, while a Turing-test-style evaluation indicates a high degree of human-likeness in decision making. Besides, these results suggest that coupling semantic scene abstraction with Large Language Model mediated intent reasoning and language-based eHMI communication offers a practical pathway toward interactive, trustworthy autonomous driving in dense mixed traffic.

In this paper, we propose a Physics-Informed Neural Network framework for time-dependent simulations of pollution propagation originating from moving emission sources. We formulate a robust variational framework for the time-dependent advection-diffusion problem and establish the boundedness and inf-sup stability of the corresponding discrete weak formulation. Based on this mathematical foundation, we construct a robust loss function that is directly related to the true approximation error, defined as the difference between the neural network approximation and the (unknown) exact solution. Additionally, a collocation-based strategy is introduced to speed up neural network training. As a case study, we investigate pollution propagation caused by snowmobile traffic in Longyearbyen, Spitsbergen, supported by detailed in-field measurements collected using dedicated sensors. The proposed framework is applied to analyze the effects of thermal inversion on pollutant accumulation. Our results demonstrate that thermal inversion traps dense and humid air masses near the ground, significantly enhancing particulate matter (PM) concentration and worsening local air quality.

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated strong reasoning capabilities and attracted increasing research attention in the field of autonomous driving (AD). However, safe application of LLMs on AD perception and prediction still requires a thorough understanding of both the dynamic traffic agents and the static road infrastructure. To this end, this study introduces a framework to evaluate the capability of LLMs in understanding the behaviors of dynamic traffic agents and the topology of road networks. The framework leverages frozen LLMs as the reasoning engine, employing a traffic encoder to extract spatial-level scene features from observed trajectories of agents, while a lightweight Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) encodes the local high-definition (HD) maps. To assess the intrinsic reasoning ability of LLMs, the extracted scene features are then transformed into LLM-compatible tokens via a reprogramming adapter. By residing the prediction burden with the LLMs, a simpler linear decoder is applied to output future trajectories. The framework enables a quantitative analysis of the influence of multi-modal information, especially the impact of map semantics on trajectory prediction accuracy, and allows seamless integration of frozen LLMs with minimal adaptation, thereby demonstrating strong generalizability across diverse LLM architectures and providing a unified platform for model evaluation.

Safety-critical traffic reasoning requires contrastive consistency: models must detect true hazards when an accident occurs, and reliably reject plausible-but-false hypotheses under near-identical counterfactual scenes. We present CCTVBench, a Contrastive Consistency Traffic VideoQA Benchmark built on paired real accident videos and world-model-generated counterfactual counterparts, together with minimally different, mutually exclusive hypothesis questions. CCTVBench enforces a single structured decision pattern over each video question quadruple and provides actionable diagnostics that decompose failures into positive omission, positive swap, negative hallucination, and mutual-exclusivity violation, while separating video versus question consistency. Experiments across open-source and proprietary video LLMs reveal a large and persistent gap between standard per-instance QA metrics and quadruple-level contrastive consistency, with unreliable none-of-the-above rejection as a key bottleneck. Finally, we introduce C-TCD, a contrastive decoding approach leveraging a semantically exclusive counterpart video as the contrast input at inference time, improving both instance-level QA and contrastive consistency.

Large language model (LLM) agents have shown strong capabilities in long-horizon reasoning, tool use, and decision-making in digital environments, yet extending them to physically grounded systems remains challenging. Unlike web, code, or game environments, where objectives are often weakly coupled, physical systems evolve through tightly coupled dynamics in which local interventions propagate across interacting subsystems over time. Urban traffic control exemplifies this challenge, as traffic signals, freeways, public transit, and taxi systems continuously interact through shared spatial infrastructure and temporal mobility demand. Existing optimization, reinforcement learning (RL), and LLM-based approaches are largely designed for isolated subsystems, limiting coordinated reasoning and system-level optimization. We propose TrafficClaw, a LLM-based generalizable traffic control agent for physical urban systems. TrafficClaw operates within a unified traffic environment that exposes coupled urban dynamics and feedback, performs executable spatiotemporal reasoning with persistent memory for long-horizon adaptation, and leverages multi-stage agentic RL for coordinated system-level optimization. Experiments across three metropolitan regions and six traffic-control tasks demonstrate strong generalization, robustness, and cross-subsystem coordination. Our project is available at https://github.com/usail-hkust/TrafficClaw.

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and stochasticity in traffic dynamics. Therefore, this paper proposes an elegant yet universal approach that transforms existing models into probabilistic predictors by replacing only the final output layer with a novel Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) layer. The modified model requires no changes to the training pipeline and can be trained using only the Negative Log-Likelihood (NLL) loss, without any auxiliary or regularization terms. Experiments on multiple traffic datasets show that our approach generalizes from classic to modern model architectures while preserving deterministic performance. Furthermore, we propose a systematic evaluation procedure based on cumulative distributions and confidence intervals, and demonstrate that our approach is considerably more accurate and informative than unimodal or deterministic baselines. Finally, a more detailed study on a real-world dense urban traffic network is presented to examine the impact of data quality on uncertainty quantification and to show the robustness of our approach under imperfect data conditions. Code available at https://github.com/Weijiang-Xiong/OpenSkyTraffic

Traffic simulations, essential for planning urban transit infrastructure interventions, require vehicle-category-specific origin-destination (OD) data. Existing data sources are imperfect: sparse tollbooth sensors provide accurate vehicle counts by category, while extensive mobility data from cellular network activity captures aggregated crowd movement, but lack modal disaggregation and have systematic biases. This study develops a machine learning framework to correct and disaggregate cellular network data using sparse tollbooth counts as ground truth. The model uses temporal and spatial features to learn the complex relationship between aggregated mobility data and vehicular data. The framework infers destinations from transit routes and implements routing logic to distribute corrected flows between OD pairs. This approach is applied to a bus depot expansion in Trondheim, Norway, generating hourly OD matrices by vehicle length category. The results show how limited but accurate sensor measurements can correct extensive but aggregated mobility data to produce grounded estimates of background vehicular traffic flows. These macro-scale estimates can be refined for micro-scale analysis at desired locations. The framework provides a generalisable approach for generating origin-destination data from cellular network data. This enables downstream tasks, like detailed traffic simulations for infrastructure planning in data-scarce contexts, supporting urban planners in making informed decisions.

Traffic signboards are vital for road safety and intelligent transportation systems. Yet, recognizing traffic signs at night remains underexplored due to the scarcity of real-world public datasets capturing low-light degradations and distractor classes. Existing benchmarks are predominantly daytime and do not reflect challenges such as headlight glare, motion blur, sensor noise, and vandalized or ambiguous signage. To address these gaps, we introduce INTSD, a large-scale nighttime traffic sign dataset collected across diverse regions of India. INTSD contains street-level images spanning 41 traffic signboard classes, multiple distractor categories, and varied lighting and weather conditions, designed to support both detection and fine-grained classification under nighttime scenarios. To benchmark INTSD, we conduct extensive evaluations using state-of-the-art detection and classification models under standardized protocols. Additionally, we present LENS-Net, a strong baseline that integrates an end-to-end adaptive illumination-aware detector with a multimodal classifier that fuses vision-language representations with soft semantic attribute reasoning over learnable shape and color embeddings. Experiments demonstrate that models trained exclusively on daytime data fail substantially under real nighttime conditions - a gap that is recovered once INTSD is introduced in training, even when controlling for data volume. These results validate INTSD as a complementary nighttime training resource and establish competitive baselines for future research. The code and dataset are publicly available.

This study introduces a novel control framework for adaptive cruise control (ACC) in automated driving, leveraging neural networks and physics-informed constraints. As automated vehicles (AVs) adopt advanced features like ACC, transportation systems are becoming increasingly intelligent and efficient. However, existing AV control strategies primarily focus on optimizing the performance of individual vehicles or platoons, often neglecting their interactions with human-driven vehicles (HVs) and the broader impact on traffic flow. This oversight can exacerbate congestion and reduce overall system efficiency. To address this critical research gap, we propose a neural network-based, socially compliant AV control framework that incorporates social value orientation (SVO). This framework enables AVs to account for their influence on HVs and traffic dynamics. By leveraging AVs as mobile traffic regulators, the proposed approach promotes adaptive driving behaviors that reduce congestion, improve traffic efficiency, and lower energy consumption. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in adapting to varying traffic conditions, thereby enhancing system-wide efficiency. Specifically, when the AV's control mode shifts from prioritizing its own energy conservation to optimizing collective traffic flow efficiency, the controlled AV proactively adapts its acceleration profile. This prosocial behavior yields at least a 38.39% improvement in the average speed of downstream vehicles and effectively dampens traffic oscillations, demonstrating significant enhancements in system-wide dynamics. The implementation code is available https://github.com/lilab2024/Learn2Drive-SVO_v1.git.

Car-following behavior is fundamental to traffic flow theory, yet traditional models often fail to capture the stochasticity of naturalistic driving. This paper proposes an empirical probabilistic sampling approach to car-following modeling that bypasses conventional parametric assumptions. Under this approach, we introduce the Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) model, which represents state transitions as a Markov process and predicts behavior by randomly sampling accelerations from empirical distributions within discretized state bins. Evaluation on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) demonstrates that MC-CF variants significantly outperform all physics-based baselines (IDM, Gipps, FVDM, and SIDM) across both one-step and open-loop trajectory prediction metrics, and remain competitive with modern data-driven baselines including neural network and Gaussian mixture model approaches. Zero-shot generalization on the Naturalistic Phoenix (PHX) dataset further confirms cross-domain transferability. Finally, microscopic ring road simulations validate the framework's scalability: by incrementally integrating unconstrained free-flow trajectories and high-speed freeway data (TGSIM) alongside a conservative inference strategy, the model substantially reduces collisions across most tested scenarios and successfully reproduces naturalistic and stochastic shockwave propagation, though crashes persist under severe shockwave conditions. Overall, the proposed MC-CF model provides a robust and scalable foundation for simulating population-level stochastic traffic behavior that requires no behavioral parameter calibration, making it well-suited for the data-rich future of intelligent transportation.

Cumulative culture enables humans to preserve, reuse, and extend knowledge and skills across experiences and generations. Inspired by this principle, we introduce \textit{SimSkill}, a self-evolving agent built around the Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO) traffic simulator. SimSkill continually identifies capability gaps, generates and solves environment-grounded tasks, verifies solutions through an action--critic loop, and consolidates experience into episodic, procedural, and semantic memory. Through autonomous exploration, it builds a library of reusable skills and knowledge spanning major stages of the traffic-simulation workflow. We evaluate SimSkill on two held-out benchmarks across three backbone LLMs, with each result independently verified. It improves verified success by up to 25 percentage points, and ablations show complementary contributions from procedural and semantic memory. Its benefits remain backbone- and budget-dependent, as memory does not improve every model or uniformly reduce inference cost. More broadly, SimSkill illustrates a natural-language-centered design paradigm for LLM-based agent systems. Its high-level control logic, operating principles, and accumulated knowledge are expressed in natural language, while an LLM integrates them with executable tools and code to realize precise and reproducible execution. All code and experimental data are publicly available at https://github.com/qiliuchn/SimSkill-V1.