Traffic

Urban traffic forecasting often relies on information distributed across stakeholders who may be unable to share raw data due to privacy or commercial constraints, motivating federated spatial-temporal approaches. In such federated settings, each client observes traffic over a distinct sensor subgraph with its own spatial topology and temporal dynamics, leading to significant heterogeneity across clients. Existing federated spatial-temporal methods typically rely on model parameter aggregation and provide limited mechanisms for recovering spatial dependencies across client boundaries. This introduces two key limitations. Specifically, parameter aggregation across heterogeneous graph domains tends to dilute client-specific representations, while road network partitioning breaks the propagation of traffic dynamics across client boundaries. To address these challenges, we propose FedeRICo, a federated traffic forecasting framework that combines gradient-level collaboration with boundary-aware residual communication. FedeRICo employs a dual-branch forecasting architecture in which a globally guided branch captures transferable forecasting structure, while a private residual branch preserves client-specific corrections and incorporates boundary residual signals. The global branch is coordinated through gradient alignment across all clients, enabling collaborative optimisation without destructive parameter interference. To recover cross-client spatial dependencies, boundary messages are extracted through a trend-residual decomposition that suppresses periodic structure and communicates only transient spatial-temporal residual signals between physically adjacent clients. Experiments across four real-world traffic forecasting benchmarks demonstrate that FedeRICo consistently outperforms state-of-the-art federated spatial-temporal baselines while maintaining competitive training runtime.

Accurate simulation is crucial for autonomous driving development, yet capturing real-world traffic complexity remains challenging. Existing simulators that rely on predefined rules or static data playback struggle with dynamic traffic. CRITICAL uses real traffic data and a large language model (LLM) to adjust the initial simulation configuration, but the simulated distribution still diverges from real traffic as the rollout evolves. We propose REARL, a closed-loop simulation enhancement framework that integrates real traffic data with LLMs. Real traffic data are clustered, and each cluster center is used as a representative scenario that provides typical real-world traffic patterns for the LLM. A timed sliding-window detector then monitors discrepancies in vehicle speed distribution and mean spacing between pairs of vehicles. If a metric exceeds a threshold, the LLM adjusts vehicle decision-making; otherwise the existing controller is kept. The LLM also selects a matching real vehicle from a traffic snapshot and modulates the simulated vehicle with reference to that real action. In a controlled HighD highway setting, compared with the CRITICAL baseline and a PPO-based learning baseline, REARL reduces the Hellinger distance for speed distributions to 0.3067 and the MAPE for mean spacing to 0.8371, while achieving a time headway (THW) of 22.8575 and a lane change rate of 0.0708.

Machine learning (ML) has become the dominant approach for network traffic classification, achieving very high predictive performance. However, a model is only valuable if it learns semantically meaningful and trustworthy patterns rather than exploiting spurious correlations. Conventional evaluation practices predominantly assess predictive performance. Consequently, whether the model relies on semantically meaningful patterns remains unknown. To address these challenges, we adapt the knowledge generation framework for network traffic classification. The adapted framework combines data, ML models, explainability, visualization, and expert reasoning to support the iterative exploration, verification, and refinement of model behavior and data preprocessing. The framework is grounded in findings from the literature, benchmark dataset analyses, practical experience with XAI-based traffic classification, and expert feedback, providing practical guidance for semantic model validation. By complementing predictive performance with semantic validation and human expertise, the proposed framework supports the development of network traffic classification models that are not only accurate but also robust and trustworthy.

Differences in vehicle kinematic characteristics between production autonomous vehicles (PAVs) and human-driven vehicles (HVs) have been limitedly investigated by empirical studies. Most recent studies rely on simulation-based models, while some further investigate low-level adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems in controlled experiments. These methods commonly adapt some time-domain metrics to characterize PAV-HV differences across limited driving conditions. However, current PAVs equipped with high-level autonomous driving systems generate driving behaviors in a black box using data-driven models. These fundamentally different mechanisms for generating behaviors may produce distinct kinematic characteristics in traffic. More importantly, these time-domain metrics cannot reflect frequency-related traffic dynamics across different driving scenarios. Thus, this study adapted a real-world PAV dataset with four PAV platforms and developed a frequency-domain framework to quantify kinematic differences between PAVs and HVs across diverse driving scenarios, including varying driving states, lighting, weather, and vehicle densities. The framework transforms kinematic signals into the frequency domain and extracts spectral features, and then compares these features between PAVs and HVs based on kernel density estimation and Wasserstein distance. The results reveal clear scenario-dependent PAV-HV spectral differences. Specifically, speed-related differences were consistently smaller during car-following than cruising, while rainy conditions consistently enlarged acceleration-related differences compared with clear conditions. These findings highlight the necessity of multi-scenario evaluations and demonstrate the value of frequency-domain analysis for characterizing PAV-HV kinematic differences under real-world conditions.

The development of autonomous driving demands comprehensive testing in mixed-traffic scenarios involving vulnerable road users (VRUs), where purely artificial agents often fail to capture authentic human social negotiations. While human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulators enable safe investigation of these interactions, existing multi-agent platforms struggle with the network latency and synchronization constraints required for high-fidelity haptic feedback. To resolve this, we present CARLAverse, an open-source, multimodal simulation ecosystem. Extending modular hardware abstraction, CARLAverse integrates driving (DrivoCARLA), cycling (CycloCARLA), and pedestrian (WalkoCARLA) simulators into a shared virtual environment. Its core methodological contribution is a distributed physics architecture: latency-critical ego dynamics and high-frequency force feedback are computed locally on client nodes, while a central CARLA server orchestrates non-player character (NPC) physics and global traffic. By decoupling haptic control loops from network bottlenecks, CARLAverse enables scalable, cross-institutional HITL experiments without compromising physical immersion. Code and documentation: https://git.ieem-ka.de/simulator-environments/carlaverse

Traffic flow prediction is a core supporting technology for intelligent transportation systems. It uses historical data to infer future traffic dynamics in specific areas, thereby helping to alleviate congestion and improve resource allocation efficiency. Traditional neural networks struggle to break through accuracy limits due to their reliance on singular feature modeling, while large language models (LLMs) suffer from insufficient capture of spatial topological information and mining spatiotemporal correlation. This study proposes a Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model (DF-LLM) for traffic flow prediction. The model incorporates three core components: spatiotemporal embedding module, spatiotemporal fusion module, and LLM backbone. The spatiotemporal embedding module enables synergistic representation of multi-scale spatiotemporal features. The spatiotemporal fusion module integrates spatial topology and dynamic dependencies via graph convolution. The LLM backbone adopts a differentiated parameter adaptation strategy to balance training efficiency and traffic data adaptability. Additionally, it introduces a context aggregation attention module to strengthens global dependencies. More importantly, the LLM backbone takes the residual connections to mitigate the gradient vanishing in deep networks. Experiments show that DF-LLM has achieved better performance by comparing the metrics on all the four datasets.

Data-residency constraints force enterprises to self-host LLMs, but continuous adoption of newer models without decommissioning their predecessors expands the serving fleet, fragmenting a finite GPU pool. We consolidate traffic from over 200 internal applications onto a single model by closing quality gaps identified through production error analysis along three axes: instruction following, function-calling, and internal task distribution. Quality is tracked by offline benchmarks stratified to production traffic and scored by deterministic verifiers or calibrated LLM judges. Rather than optimising all objectives jointly, which introduces cross-domain reward interference, we train a separate GRPO expert per axis and merge them via two-stage SLERP. Each expert's reward exposes a distinct failure mode, namely semantic collapse, over-calling, and verbosity hacking, each requiring a domain-specific fix. In non-reasoning mode the recipe surpasses a ${\sim}7\times$ larger by total parameters baseline on the in-house Arena with 69.6 to 65.8, instruction following with 0.85 to 0.83, and function-calling with 0.79 to 0.77, while lifting general dialogue benchmarks. The model absorbs 50% of platform traffic, 116M requests per month, at a fraction of the serving cost.

Road traffic noise remains a major environmental challenge, yet most speed management strategies are static and do not respond to short-term variations in traffic noise emissions. Although variable speed limit (VSL) systems are widely deployed for safety and congestion mitigation, traffic noise is rarely treated as an explicit operational control objective. This paper proposes a noise-aware VSL framework that integrates aggregated traffic-state estimation with a simplified CNOSSOS-EU-based emission indicator. A stage-based controller with time-varying reference thresholds dynamically adjusts discrete speed-limit levels in response to estimated emission conditions. The framework is evaluated using microscopic traffic simulation calibrated with empirical motorway data and replicated across multiple stochastic realisations. Over a 24-hour evaluation period, the adaptive strategy reduces the receiver-based equivalent sound level by 2.9 dB(A) relative to unrestricted traffic conditions, while maintaining an average vehicle speed approximately 11.3 km/h higher than a permanently imposed low-speed regime. Period-wise analysis shows that speed reductions are activated selectively when emission levels approach calibrated targets, rather than enforcing a constant intermediate limit. Traffic stability indicators reveal moderate increases in speed variability compared with unrestricted operation, but substantially lower braking intensity than under uniform low-speed enforcement. These results demonstrate the feasibility of integrating environmental performance indicators into operational speed control, providing a practical complement to conventional infrastructure-based noise mitigation measures.

Reinforcement learning achieves strong traffic signal control performance in simulation, yet policies trained in simulators often fail once deployed in the real world, a failure known as the Sim-to-Real gap. When RL is applied to traffic signal control, this gap arises from several sources: sensing, action execution, traffic dynamics, and the control objective. Their relative impact and the reliability of existing Sim-to-Real mitigation methods remain insufficiently understood, and the field lacks a standard benchmark for systematically measuring the gap and evaluating mitigation methods. We present Sim2Signal, a benchmark that decomposes the Sim-to-Real gap into observation, action, transition, and reward gaps, corresponding to mismatches in the four components of the underlying MDP, and induces each gap in isolation under a shared protocol. We evaluate 18 mitigation methods on 2 base controllers, across 33 gap settings and 10 calibrated networks built from 5 real-world locations. We find that direct transfer consistently degrades performance across all four gap sources, but the severity of the degradation does not predict the effectiveness of mitigation. Instead, mitigation effectiveness depends strongly on the network and gap setting: outside the action gap, a method that helps in one case may fail in another. The most effective methods generally estimate what the gap changes, rather than make the policy insensitive through domain randomization or invariant representations. Our code is available at https://github.com/DaRL-LibSignal/Sim2Signal

As air traffic volumes in the National Airspace System continue to expand, in particular at low altitude, the need for scalable decision support tools used by air traffic controllers will also require more development. This article introduces Voice-to-Trajectory for Air Traffic Control, a joint voice communication-flight trajectory data embedding framework, that can be a component of situational awareness in congested airspaces, and assist the development of tools for ATC as they reason in real-time over Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast trajectories, or the intent expressed by pilots in natural language. We show that these data modalities are not independent and represent a common physical referent: an aircraft flying through the airspace. V2TATC maps a voice instruction and the trajectory of the addressed aircraft to nearby points in a single latent space that can be queried in both directions. It combines a self-supervised trajectory encoder, a frozen speech encoder, a contrastive joint embedding, and a bijective lifting via normalizing flows. We demonstrate V2TATC's effectiveness on the San Francisco Bay Area, for its concentration of major airports, and its mix of commercial and general aviation traffic. Lastly, we release a novel paired voice-trajectory dataset, and report experiments on cross-modal retrieval, ablations, and latent-space analysis.

Airport landside traffic centers connect terminal arrivals with taxis, ride-hailing vehicles, private cars, buses, metro services, parking facilities, and terminal-area roadways. Peak arrivals can create coupled congestion across passenger queues, vehicle queues, pickup berths, storage areas, and access roads. This study proposes a QUBO-inspired computational framework for bottleneck diagnosis and dynamic dispatch in this setting. Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Hangzhou Xiaoshan International Airport serve as case airports. A five-minute state model links passenger arrivals, vehicle supply, pickup berth service, vehicle storage, and road capacity. Bottleneck diagnosis uses service intensity, road demand saturation, bottleneck frequency, queue severity, shadow-price leverage, and a composite congestion severity index. Two dispatch schemes are tested under consistent demand inputs: finite-action model predictive control and quadratic-unconstrained-binary-optimization-inspired simulated annealing. In the strong-peak baseline scenario, the QUBO-inspired method reduces the final passenger queue from 3445 to 2477 passengers at Shanghai Pudong and from 2053 to 1482 passengers at Hangzhou Xiaoshan. Case results indicate different dominant bottlenecks. Shanghai Pudong is more affected by road saturation, whereas Hangzhou Xiaoshan is more affected by pickup berth service. Robustness tests under demand, supply, service, road-capacity, modal-share, and random-noise perturbations show retained queue-reduction benefits under the tested uncertainty levels.

We study the problem of learning compact rule-based compressors for structured network traffic. Each packet is a record of header fields that are highly redundant within a flow, and a compressor is a small set of rules matching such records and replacing predictable fields with short codes. We cast rule learning as a two-stage problem: (i) an unsupervised structure-discovery stage that recursively partitions training packets using a normalized entropy-ratio criterion robust to small samples, and (ii) a constrained selection stage that uses dynamic programming to pick the rule subset maximizing expected compression gain under a hard budget on the number of installable rules. We instantiate the framework on Static Context Header Compression (SCHC), the IETF standard for rule-based header compression in constrained networks, and evaluate it on four real-world Internet-of-Things and 5G core-network datasets. Our method, Robust Entropy Clustering for Adaptive comPression (RECAP), surpasses expert-engineered rule sets with a small number of learned rules and removes the need for manual rule design.

Real-time bidding (RTB) ad exchanges typically forward nearly all incoming requests to demand-side platforms (DSPs), even though only a small fraction receive bids. This over-distribution weakens auction outcomes: DSPs throttle participation under compute and budget constraints, reducing the effective use of limited bidding capacity. We present a competition-aware request dispatch framework that uses distributional bid prediction and probabilistic forwarding to decide whether each request should be sent to each DSP. The system adapts per-DSP thresholds over time through lightweight policy optimization to track non-stationary market conditions. We evaluate the framework through four sequential online experiments on a production platform serving over 20 billion daily requests. A full multi-DSP deployment reduces DSP request volume under the policy by 34.2% while increasing net revenue by 4.6% (p<0.001) in a recent 14-day window after an initial DSP adaptation period. Further analysis highlights strong heterogeneity across traffic segments and reveals that aggregate metrics can be misleading. Segment-level and per-DSP analyses suggest that the policy surfaces comparative advantages among DSPs, improving monetized outcomes without increasing overall request volume.

In Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based surveillance offers an innovative solution to traffic surveillance with wide coverage and real-time data collection capabilities. In comparison to fixed ground-based infrastructure, UAVs are able to respond to dynamic traffic but present challenges such as vehicle detection at varying altitudes, compensation for motion-induced image variations and efficient processing of high-resolution images. Deep learning has been largely beneficial on improving the detection accuracy; however, for practical deployment, a critical assessment of the accuracy, latency, and harmonization with current transportation systems needs to be carefully considered. This survey reviews recent advancements in the UAV-based traffic monitoring, with a primary focus being deep neural network models for traffic analytics in various urban settings. Three main challenges identified in the literature are ensuring compatibility with traffic control systems, achieving real-time processing to optimize traffic flow, and maintaining robust detection in different environmental conditions. Existing solutions often lack comprehensive frameworks for utilizing UAV captured data to respond to incidents and manage traffic effectively. Future research should focus on optimal detection models, edge processing, and adaptive control integration to improve the responsiveness of urban traffic management.

Realistic and diverse trajectory generation is central to enabling higher levels of vehicle automation. While rule-based and classical learning-based methods may struggle to capture the complexity of traffic behavior, generative models have already demonstrated in other fields that they can handle a comparable level of complexity. In this paper, we build upon previous work on generative adversarial network (GAN)-based semantic bird's-eye-view traffic generation and extend the proposed framework in several key aspects. We improve the semantic representation, replace the trajectory extraction procedure with a graph-based association method, and systematically investigate increasingly larger fields of view. In addition, we introduce a quantitative evaluation framework to assess hallucinations and object permanence in generated videos. Our experiments demonstrate that the framework generalizes to larger and more complex traffic scenes while maintaining statistically realistic trajectories and coherent spatial relationships between traffic participants. Within 150GPU hours of training and with inference times below 20ms for scenes of up to 20s, our results demonstrate that video-based GANs remain an efficient and scalable approach for realistic trajectory generation, even in substantially larger traffic scenes, making them well suited for downstream tasks such as prediction, planning, and simulation in automated driving.

Disordered traffic flow is characterized by weak or non-existent lane discipline in the presence of strong vehicle heterogeneity and continuous lateral interactions, challenging traditional lane-based modeling assumptions. This study presents an empirical study of macroscopic and microscopic aspects of disordered traffic using high-resolution UAV trajectory data collected on an urban arterial. A two-dimensional extension of Edie's framework is applied to quantify aggregate traffic variables and produce a two-dimensional fundamental diagram, revealing that traffic states cannot be adequately represented using one-dimensional formulations and highlighting the persistent role of lateral redistribution. The propagation of congestion is estimated directly from the spatiotemporal speed fields, demonstrating the emergence of coherent stop-and-go waves and showing a similar dynamics as conventional lane-based flow, in spite of the heterogeneous vehicle interactions. At the microscopic level, steady-state follower-leader identification is used to examine desired time gaps and minimum lateral spacing, vehicle dimension distributions, and kinematic characteristics, revealing pronounced inter-class heterogeneity that explains disordered traffic behavior. The study provides an empirical framework linking vehicle-level interactions and aggregate traffic dynamics and establishes a data-driven basis for the calibration and validation of traffic models for disordered mixed traffic systems.

Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) prediction is a core component of intelligent transportation systems. As traffic congestion patterns become increasingly dynamic in large cities, maintaining high prediction accuracy poses a major challenge for ride-hailing platforms. Existing methods either fail to adapt to irregular traffic patterns and sudden congestion, or suffer from new distributions without disentangling long-term trends from short-term fluctuations, thereby degrading model performance in real-world scenarios. To address this challenge, we propose DSETA, an incrementally updated Dual-Stage ETA prediction framework. Specifically, the continual learning process is divided into \textit{inter-day} and \textit{intra-day} stages. We first design the \textit{intra-day} learning stage, which relies entirely on real-time data to enable dynamic adaptation to short-term traffic patterns caused by events like holidays or accidents. Next, we develop the \textit{inter-day} learning stage, which leverages aggregated historical data from a short time window to capture knowledge of long-term distribution shifts, such as seasonal trends and traffic network evolution. Subsequently, to prevent catastrophic forgetting and preserve knowledge of regular patterns, we explore a \textit{Historical Traffic Knowledge Consolidation} module. Finally, we validate DSETA's effectiveness and robustness through extensive offline and online experiments conducted on real-world datasets from DiDi's platform. Online A/B tests across three major cities including Beijing, Wuhan, and Xi'an consistently demonstrated performance gains, achieving MAE reductions of 6.62%, 0.73%, and 2.40% respectively. This framework has been successfully deployed in DiDi's production environment, processing hundreds of millions of daily requests and validating its strong performance in industrial applications.

Traffic prediction is a core task in intelligent transportation systems, supporting applications such as adaptive signal control, route guidance, and ride-hailing dispatch. Deep learning models, including graph convolutional networks, recurrent networks, and Transformers, achieve strong results on standard benchmarks, but their architectures are designed by hand, requiring significant expert effort and producing models that often generalize poorly across cities and datasets. Neural Architecture Search (NAS) offers a systematic alternative to manual design. It automates the search over candidate architectures of deep learning models, finding designs that match the spatial-temporal structure of traffic data without manual trial and error. This survey reviews NAS methods applied to traffic prediction, organized by search strategy: gradient-based methods, evolutionary methods, and one-shot weight-sharing methods. For each category, we analyze how the search space is designed to cover spatial and temporal traffic operators, and how the search strategy balances cost against architecture quality. We also discuss open challenges, computational scalability to large road networks, manual search space design, cross-city generalization, dynamic graph structure, and the open question of NAS for spatial-temporal foundation models, and identify directions for future research.

Autonomous fleets enable mobility platforms to coordinate idle vehicles directly, making fleet-wide rebalancing possible. However, two obstacles limit reliable deployment: overlapping regional and local traffic patterns can hide roads that remain useful for dispatch, and mobility drift can make a trained policy unreliable. Existing spatial aggregation mixes these patterns, while updating all parameters from limited recent data is costly and can damage stable knowledge. We propose \name, a framework that connects a dispatch-oriented multi-scale graph wavelet module with Drift-Guided Layer-Selective Optimization (DGLS). The first module addresses the representation challenge by separating graph-frequency patterns and weighting each scale according to its value for demand prediction and feasible rebalancing. DGLS addresses the adaptation challenge by measuring Dispatch-weighted Spectral Drift, selecting affected layers within a resource budget, and separating short shocks from persistent changes through a drift-aware fast--slow update. Candidate validation further rejects updates that fail to improve held-out dispatch reward without worsening monitored service or safety constraints. Experiments on both real-world datasets and simluated environments demonstrate the effectiveness of \name\ in comparing with state-of-the-art methods. The source code and datasets are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/MobiWave-40F8/.

Predicting traffic flow is crucial to optimizing transportation systems and improving urban mobility. Many graph convolution-based models have been proposed to extract spatial-temporal features and predict traffic flow. However, most focus on spatial-temporal and semantic correlation in topological relationships. There are two primary problems to address. Firstly, the convolutional structure in the model focuses on utilizing static spatial dependencies and spatial-temporal relationships in topological structures, while neglecting the different information propagation delays between adjacent nodes in the convolution. Secondly, these methods often stack a large number of complex structures, resulting in a substantial increase in computational time during the model training phase, thereby disregarding the model's requirements for timeliness. In this paper, we propose a novel network called the Attention-Based Spatial-Temporal Fusion Graph Convolution Network (A-STFGCN). We design a spatial-temporal fusion block to extract the spatial-temporal feature correlations with propagation delay errors removed and to capture both long-term and short-term temporal characteristics of the data within a multi-head self-attention mechanism based on a mask matrix. Extensive experiments on five real-world datasets demonstrate that our method achieves the best overall performance while having good computation and data utilization efficiency compared with the eight baseline methods.

Assessing the severity of a traffic accident scenario is important to decide which emergency service to dispatch. Missing an ambulance dispatch on a pedestrian accident is a fatal issue that can lead to death. Recently, Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have been a promising tool for accident reasoning, yet many VLMs are not grounded in real-life accident response protocols, making them not usable in accident severity assessment off-the-shelf. We introduced DispatchRAG, an accident assessor and dispatcher framework grounded in real-life Japanese traffic-accident response protocols, designed to enhance VLMs to generate an appropriate emergency response during an emergency scenario. Utilizing a RAG-based retrieval mechanism to retrieve the most relevant accident protocol and an LLM-powered reasoner to suggest the most proper response. To support evaluation, we introduce Accident Dispatch Dataset, a comprehensive dataset of accident assessment and emergency response according to Japanese accident response protocols adapted from the MM-AU dataset. We validate our framework on the Accident Dispatch Dataset, showing strong performance across various accident scenarios compared to the baseline VLM, pointing toward integration in autonomous vehicles that can automatically report both their own and nearby accidents.

Safe and efficient navigation in mixed-traffic environments remains a critical challenge for Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), primarily due to the complex interdependence between the AV's decisions and the unpredictable reactions of human drivers. This paper introduces a comprehensive decision-making framework that formulates the driving interaction as a Generalized Nash Equilibrium Problem (GNEP). Unlike decoupled optimization approaches, this framework explicitly models shared safety and geometric constraints, ensuring that the feasibility of the AV's strategy is dynamically linked to the opponent's actions. To solve this non-convex problem in real-time, we propose a dedicated solver based on Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). The complete architecture was validated on a test track using a real autonomous Renault Zoé interacting with a human driver. Experimental results demonstrate the system's ability to handle critical scenarios by generating comfortable, human-like trajectories. Benchmarks confirm the solver's operational feasibility, achieving convergence in under 50 ms.

Mobile network operators monitor aggregated traffic volumes to assess the operational health of core network infrastructure. Reliable failure detection is challenging due to strong temporal structure, non-stationarity, measurement artefacts, and extreme class imbalance, which limit static threshold-based monitoring. This paper proposes a two-stage online learning framework for traffic-based failure detection in mobile core networks. Stage I incrementally models normal traffic dynamics using lightweight regression with time-aware features. Stage II analyses prediction residuals together with contextual indicators to detect genuine service-affecting network failures. The framework operates fully online under a prequential evaluation protocol, enabling continuous adaptation with low computational overhead. Across linear and non-linear models, the proposed two-stage architecture achieves the best precision-recall trade-off, attaining the highest recall, F1-score, and AUC at acceptable false positive rates. These results demonstrate the importance of explicit residual decomposition for reliable failure detection in streaming mobile core network data.

The stochastic fundamental diagram (SFD) provides a probabilistic description of the relationship between traffic density and flow or speed, enabling uncertainty-aware traffic modeling. However, existing stochastic models frequently struggle to accommodate rigorous physical constraints while retaining sufficient flexibility to capture complex nonlinear patterns. To address this, we propose a novel semiparametric SFD modeling framework by leveraging specially designed functional forms. These functions intrinsically satisfy physical constraints defined on the moments of the conditional flow distribution given traffic density while incorporating neural-network-based structures to capture complex empirical patterns. We derive a system of moment-matching equations to convert physical constraints into the parameterization of the conditional distribution, proving that a unique solution exists for the location-scale family of distributions, thereby guaranteeing model well-posedness. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the framework can be extended to non-location-scale distributions, including those requiring additional boundary constraints. Empirical evaluations on a real-world dataset reveal that our approach consistently outperforms representative baselines, delivering superior probabilistic accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification, particularly in congested regimes. Overall, the proposed framework provides a theoretically grounded and flexible foundation for stochastic traffic flow modeling.

Intelligent Transportation Systems deployed on highways predominantly rely on conventional RGB cameras for traffic perception and vehicle tracking. However, highway environments present unique challenges: the absence of artificial lighting infrastructure, combined with high vehicle velocities, results in severely degraded perception performance under low-light conditions. Specifically, nighttime scenarios suffer from motion blur, insufficient exposure, and poor signal-to-noise ratios, which catastrophically impair the reliability of RGB-based sensing systems. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Joint Event-RGB Adaptive Tracking (JEAT) framework. Unlike existing multi-sensor trackers constrained by rigid, hard-coded prioritization, JEAT merges asynchronous event streams and RGB frames into a unified joint data association optimization. By employing an Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter to continuously estimate measurement noise via NIS statistics, the framework dynamically weights and fuses both modalities, optimally harnessing event streams during dark or high-speed motion while leveraging RGB frames under bright or static conditions. Furthermore, given the absence of publicly available datasets tailored for event-based highway perception with diverse environmental conditions, we present SEHN, a large-scale synthetic dataset generated using the CARLA simulator. Our dataset encompasses diverse environmental conditions (daytime, nighttime, nighttime with out artificial lighting) and varying traffic densities, providing synchronized RGB imagery and event streams to facilitate multi-modal fusion research. Our code and datasets will be available at https://github.com/haidongwang96/SEHN.

Dynamic traffic variations in Open Radio Access Networks (O-RAN) lead to drift, which degrades the performance of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML) models. Traditional retraining approaches maintain forecasting accuracy but incur high computational cost and may lead to violations of Service Level Agreements (SLAs). This work proposes a Q-learning-based adaptive retraining approach that formulates the retraining decision as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), where a Reinforcement Learning (RL) agent learns a policy that balances forecasting accuracy and retraining cost. The proposed approach incorporates a multi-expert Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) ensemble to mitigate catastrophic forgetting and improve robustness across diverse traffic conditions. Experimental results show that the proposed approach effectively reduces retraining overhead compared to greedy and random baselines, while maintaining system performance within predefined limits.

Accurate trajectory prediction in autonomous driving hinges on modeling dynamic and context-dependent interactions among traffic agents. However, most existing approaches are purely data-driven and lack structural priors, which limits their generalization under distribution shifts. In this work, interaction modeling is revisited through the structure and dynamics of traffic networks, and SWIFT (Small-World Interaction Framework for Trajectory prediction) is proposed as a unified framework that integrates small-world networks with traffic flow theory. SWIFT introduces structural inductive biases via a Small-World Interaction Network that captures both local and global dependencies, and a Flow Regime Encoder that adapts the interaction structure to scene-level traffic states. Interaction reasoning is further enhanced through a multi-relational graph module that explicitly encodes direct and higher-order agent relationships. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets, nuScenes, MoCAD, and NGSIM, show that SWIFT consistently outperforms strong baselines in prediction accuracy across diverse traffic regimes. Beyond accuracy, SWIFT exhibits improved generalization to unseen locations and regimes, robustness under noisy observations, and strong performance with limited training data, supporting the effectiveness of its structure-aware design.

Universal traffic laws describe recurrent patterns in congestion, mobility and driving behavior across cities, providing a scientific basis for transportation planning, management and control. Their discovery, however, remains expert-driven, requiring candidate regularities to be identified from heterogeneous observational evidence or validated through intervention experiments. Although autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) systems have advanced scientific discovery in controlled laboratory settings, extending them to complex transportation domains remains a challenge. Here we present TrafficSci, an agentic AI system that formulates traffic-law discovery as an iterative, auditable workflow integrating evidence scoping, critic-judge hypothesis induction, and observational-interventional validation. Across four case studies spanning population, network, control and trajectory scales, TrafficSci autonomously rediscovers three established traffic laws and identifies an unreported intrinsic temporal memory scale in urban driving behavior, statistically consistent across eight cities and two trajectory datasets. TrafficSci provides a route for extending AI-driven scientific discovery from controlled domains to complex urban systems.

A local-to-global context mismatch arises when autoregressive traffic simulators trained on ego-centric driving logs are deployed in globally observable closed-loop environments. In such logs, the ego vehicle has rich local observations, while surrounding agents are only partially observed due to perception limits and occlusions. As a result, simulators may learn incomplete context--action mappings that remain hidden in log-based training but emerge during closed-loop rollouts, leading to unrealistic behaviors such as abnormal stops, unsafe interactions, and rule violations. We propose CRAFT, a Contextual pReference Alignment Framework for Traffic Simulation, to mitigate this mismatch via self-supervised failure discovery and preference-guided test-time alignment. CRAFT treats the base simulator as a globally observable sandbox, generating diverse what-if rollouts from logged initial states to expose context-induced failures. These failures are grounded with human-aligned driving priors and converted into preference supervision for training a Contextual Preference Evaluator (CPE). At inference time, CPE acts as a plug-in alignment module that scores candidate actions under complete scene context and reweights autoregressive decoding toward globally coherent behaviors. CRAFT mitigates this local-to-global contextual bias, reducing collisions by 31.2% and traffic violations by 33.2% without retraining the base simulator.

Interactive traffic simulation is a vital world model for autonomous driving. A central challenge in long-horizon simulation is modeling sustained multi-agent interactions, which is further exacerbated by dynamic token cardinality as agents continuously enter and exit the scene. In this work, we propose that the solution lies in the synergy between the architectural inductive biases and statistical priors of large-scale sequence models, e.g., Large Language Models (LLMs). Our probing experiments reveal that the transferability of attention mechanisms and the distributional consistency between motion tokens and natural language enable small-scale, heavily frozen LLMs to rapidly adapt to traffic modeling. Building on this insight, we introduce RosettaSim, a unified framework that projects scene topology, agent states, and spawning intents into a structured autoregressive stream with variable length, achieving both strong short-term accuracy and stable long-horizon simulation fidelity. Furthermore, evaluating extended rollouts presents yet another hurdle, as one-to-one agent correspondence inevitably fades over time. To address this, we introduce Retrieval-based Traffic Evaluation (RTE), which retrieves semantically similar real-world scenarios as context-aware reference anchors. Experiments on the Waymo Open Sim Agent Challenge (WOSAC) demonstrate that RosettaSim achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short- and long-term simulation. Furthermore, RTE exhibits a stronger correlation with standard metrics ($r=0.83$) than existing approaches ($r=0.74$), indicating improved alignment with long-horizon simulation fidelity.

High benchmark accuracy does not guarantee genuine use of visual evidence. We study this problem in traffic accident Video Question Answering (VideoQA), where correct answers should depend on scene-specific visual evidence but may instead be inferred from textual shortcuts. Through an audit of four public benchmarks, we find that several recent open-weight Vision-Language Models (VLMs) perform competitively, and sometimes better, without video input. On the MM-AU benchmark, removing video consistently improves accuracy, and adding more frames further degrades performance. To quantify visual dependence, we introduce two dataset-level diagnostics: Blind Gap, measuring above-chance text-only performance, and Visual Gain, measuring the marginal benefit of adding video. We further propose an instance-level Shortcut Score that combines text-only confidence with visual necessity signals, enabling continuous, training-free filtering of shortcut-prone questions. The resulting subsets reduce shortcut bias and improve visual grounding. Our findings reveal large differences in grounding quality across benchmarks and show that visually grounded evaluation, not just high accuracy, is essential in safety-critical VideoQA.

Encrypted traffic classification has achieved strong performance, but its decision process remains difficult to interpret. Existing methods usually combine flow statistics, packet sequences, and byte-level representations into opaque latent features, making it unclear which type of evidence actually drives the prediction. In this paper, we propose Traffic-CBM, a structurally interpretable multimodal framework for encrypted traffic classification. Instead of directly fusing heterogeneous traffic signals into a black-box representation, Traffic-CBM organizes them into a unified hierarchical concept space. These concepts are not manually annotated semantic attributes; rather, they are scalar evidence summaries constrained by predefined traffic evidence groups. More specifically, grouped flow statistics are mapped to statistical concepts, dedicated temporal encoders learn temporal concepts from disjoint feature subspaces, and byte-level evidence is further organized into packet-level and cross-packet concepts. This design turns heterogeneous traffic evidence into an explicit concept representation and makes different levels of traffic evidence easier to analyze. We evaluate Traffic-CBM on multiple encrypted traffic benchmarks. Results show that it achieves competitive and balanced classification performance while providing a clearer structural interpretation interface than conventional end-to-end fusion models. Further analyses suggest that the learned concept space is actively used in the prediction process and provides a clearer structural explanation of multimodal traffic evidence.

Recent research has investigated the use of large language models (LLMs) to generate traffic scenarios for autonomous driving. However, pretrained LLMs often fail to align with real-world traffic distributions. In this work, we present TrafficAlign, an automated framework that synthesizes traffic scenarios based on real-world driving videos, performs data validation, and aligns LLMs with the synthesized scenarios. The evaluation shows that traffic scenarios generated by TrafficAlign are highly effective, revealing up to 10.8% more collisions on average across three autonomous driving models than state-of-the-art methods. Furthermore, fine-tuning these driving models with TrafficAlign-generated scenarios significantly reduced collision rates by 36.1% compared with the original models. A qualitative study using traffic datasets from six geographically diverse regions shows that TrafficAlign-generated scenarios exhibit strong alignment with corresponding traffic distributions in these regions.

Vehicle license plate recognition is an integral component of intelligent transportation systems. In this work, we present an embedded real-time license plate recognition system customized for developing countries. We address the challenge of handling complex, unstructured traffic scenes with diverse vehicle types while implementing the system on an embedded platform for low-cost deployment. Our method consists of license plate detection on a multi-vehicle image, followed by character recognition on the detected license plates. Both steps use lightweight convolutional neural networks to balance accuracy and efficiency. We also introduce the SL-LPR dataset of Sri Lankan road images, which contains a variety of vehicle types and traffic conditions typically seen in developing countries. On this dataset, the license plate detection and character recognition models achieved 93.6% mAP and 87.88% accuracy, respectively, and were competitive against larger models on several public datasets. To achieve real-time performance in a resource-constrained embedded environment, we applied low-bitwidth quantization using the Brevitas library and implemented FPGA acceleration for the models using the FINN framework. The end-to-end system can operate at 11.5~FPS when implemented on the Xilinx Kria KV260 platform. These results demonstrate that our system is effective for real-time license plate recognition on an embedded device, even in complex traffic scenarios. The SL-LPR dataset is available for research use at: https://github.com/sl-lpr-uom/SL-LPR.git.

Closed-loop traffic simulation remains challenging because it must generate interactive multi-agent behaviors that are scene-consistent and controllable throughout rollout. Prior diffusion-based approaches achieve strong realism, but their computational cost can hinder deployment in time-constrained replanning loops for autonomous vehicle planning and simulation. We present a diffusion-based scenario generation framework conditioned on instance-centric scene context and multimodal proposal priors, with optional test-time guidance for shaping safety-critical behaviors. A compact action-latent representation and proposal-based initialization improve sampling efficiency and reduce per-step runtime without retraining. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset demonstrate a favorable balance among realism, safety, and controllability across diverse interactive scenarios, while showing that test-time guidance enables systematic trade-offs among competing objectives.

The use of dedicated corridors for Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) traffic is one of the most commonly proposed pathways to integrating them into existing airspace operations. Most prior research has focused on the design of networks of AAM corridors and conflict resolution for aircraft within corridors. It is also generally believed that while attractive from an implementation perspective, corridor-based operations may be inefficient, especially in the absence of centralized traffic management. In this paper, we show that contrary to this belief, it is possible for autonomous aircraft to learn to self-organize into corridor flows in decentralized settings. We illustrate our approach using scenarios in which fixed-wing aircraft need to safely and efficiently traverse (1) a single corridor with metering after the exit, (2) a sequence of two consecutive corridors, and (3) a corridor that splits into two. We find that in decentralized settings with only local information, the aircraft are able to conform to the corridor boundaries more than 94% of the time and reach their goal in a relatively efficient manner. Furthermore, tactical interventions to handle violations of the separation minimum are needed only infrequently in low- and medium-density settings. However, such tactical interventions become more frequently necessary only when traffic density is high.

We propose a method for estimating time-varying traffic flow patterns from sparse aggregated vehicle counts. The method partitions the study area into spatial regions, constructs a set of feasible region-to-region routes, and solves a weighted least-squares optimization problem to determine the number of vehicles to allocate on each route. A weighted contribution matrix encodes sensor coverage, steering the optimizer toward flow configurations that are directly observable by sensors. Edge-level trajectories are then derived by scoring candidate routes against the temporal and volumetric profiles of aggregated regional sensor counts. The method is evaluated on the Brussels road network using real and synthetic traffic data. Results show that the proposed approach reproduces the daily traffic profile in the input data and outperforms the baseline methods at a fraction of the computational cost.

Identifying complex and safety-critical driving scenarios in large unlabelled datasets is an important but expensive problem. Existing approaches rely on human annotators, supervised classifiers, or carefully engineered rule sets, all of which require substantial prior knowledge about what constitutes a difficult scenario. We ask whether a model can discover scenario complexity on its own, with no labels at any stage. We train a minimal Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) on structured agent state data from the nuPlan mini dataset and use the temporal prediction error as a zero-shot complexity score. Without access to any ground-truth labels during training or evaluation setup, the model assigns significantly higher scores to scenarios involving unprotected turns, crosswalk interactions, and pedestrian proximity, and significantly lower scores to lane-following and stationary-traffic scenarios. We validate this finding through four ablation experiments that isolate the source of the signal, and through a downstream anomaly detection evaluation that achieves Average Precision of 0.512 against a 0.436 chance baseline. The results show that temporal prediction error in a self-supervised latent world model is a practical proxy for driving scenario complexity.

Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent challenge in car-dependent cities, imposing significant economic and societal costs. Traffic signal systems are increasingly deployed as networked cyber-physical components within smart-city infrastructures, where distributed sensing and edge intelligence enable adaptive traffic management. This paper investigates reinforcement learning (RL) as an edge-intelligent approach for adaptive traffic signal operation at a signalized urban intersection in Kuwait. A Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)-based controller is developed to dynamically allocate green-phase durations using locally observed traffic states, without relying on future demand information or centralized coordination. The controller is evaluated in a realistic simulation environment informed by real-world hourly traffic volume data from Kuwait, and is compared against both conventional fixed-time control and a vehicle-actuated controller representing the current state of practice, using average vehicle delay, queue length, and emissions as performance metrics. Under nominal conditions, the proposed controller reduces average vehicle delay by 46% relative to fixed-time control and 34% relative to actuated control, while also lowering per-vehicle CO2 emissions by approximately 23%. These performance gains persist under demand perturbations of +/-15%, generalize from weekday to weekend traffic patterns, and are corroborated by a reward function ablation; low variance across five random seeds confirms their statistical reliability. These findings demonstrate the practicality of learning-based edge traffic signal control as a building block for IoT-enabled smart-city transportation systems, and as a deployable precursor toward fully connected, Internet of Vehicles (IoV)-based urban mobility.

Standard benchmarks evaluate time series foundation models (TSFMs) using aggregate metrics, but these can mask severe failures in critical operating regimes. We introduce regime-stratified evaluation and apply it to three TSFMs on two standard traffic speed benchmarks. Traffic exhibits abrupt regime switching between free-flow and congested states, producing bimodal speed distributions during transitions. When we stratify by traffic regime, both accuracy and prediction-interval coverage degrade sharply during transitions: transition-regime MAE reaches 11 mph (versus 3 mph overall), and empirical coverage of 90% prediction intervals drops as low as 55%. These failures are invisible in aggregate metrics because free-flow observations dominate the sample. A simple historical conditional baseline (sampling from per-sensor training distributions) achieves better transition coverage than any TSFM, but has far worse overall accuracy. We propose bimodal mixture augmentation (BMA), a post-hoc method that combines TSFM forecasts with historical distributional knowledge, approaching the historical baseline's transition coverage while preserving the TSFM's accuracy. Our results suggest that TSFM benchmarks should incorporate regime-aware evaluation to surface failures that aggregate metrics hide.

Traffic scene understanding requires models to reason beyond object recognition, including lane topology, multi-view geometry, temporal evolution, and signal-phase semantics. However, existing traffic-oriented multimodal benchmarks largely emphasize passive visual recognition or isolated video understanding, offering limited support for evaluating structure-aware traffic reasoning under controlled conditions. We introduce OmniTraffic, a controllable generation pipeline and benchmark for spatio-temporal traffic reasoning. Built around 12 real-world intersections reconstructed into editable 3D traffic environments and complemented by surveillance footage from two countries, OmniTraffic supports both controlled and natural-condition evaluation. It defines a three-level task hierarchy spanning scene perception, multi-view and temporal reasoning, and decision support. Using structured traffic metadata, OmniTraffic generates synchronized multi-view VQA samples covering vehicle states, lane functions, view--BEV correspondence, temporal dynamics, and signal-phase analysis, resulting in 8M VQA samples and a 3K human-verified test set. Evaluation of eleven frontier MLLMs reveals a large human--model gap, with the most pronounced failures in topology-grounded and spatio-temporal reasoning tasks. Fine-tuning a lightweight MLLM on simulated OmniTraffic data further improves performance on real-world traffic scenes, demonstrating the value of simulation-generated supervision for traffic-specific multimodal reasoning. Beyond a fixed dataset, OmniTraffic provides an extensible pipeline with configurable intersections, camera views, traffic demands, signal phases, visual conditions, and rare events.

Accurate traffic flow prediction remains challenging in cross-city, data-scarce scenarios where limited historical data hinders model generalisation. The chaotic nature of traffic dynamics, complex spatio-temporal dependencies, and heterogeneous urban networks complicate few-shot learning across cities. Existing deep learning approaches either treat traffic as purely deterministic or lack mechanisms to model wave-like interference patterns essential for cross-regime traffic dynamics. To address these limitations, this paper proposes CIWI-CKT, a novel Chaos-Informed Wave Interference Feature Fusion framework with Cross-City Knowledge Transfer. Our framework introduces three core innovations: chaos-informed wave generation that extracts measurable chaos invariants and models traffic as adaptive wave components; meta-interference processing that captures wave interactions between support and query regimes while producing a predictability score for confidence estimation; and chaos-aware meta-learning that enables efficient cross-city knowledge transfer while preserving chaotic characteristics. We establish theoretical guarantees including chaos-to-wave stability, wave-induced dimension reduction, and meta-learning generalisation bounds. Extensive experiments on four real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that CIWI-CKT significantly outperforms state-of-the-art spatio-temporal graph learning, transfer learning, prompt-based, and few-shot methods, improving prediction accuracy while substantially reducing required training data.

This paper presents an implemented CARLA-VISSIM co-simulation framework for an urban corridor comprising approximately fifteen connected intersections centered on Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard in Chattanooga, Tennessee. The system integrates CARLA 0.10.0 Unreal Engine 5 with PTV VISSIM 2026 through a bidirectional, step-synchronized interface that couples VISSIM's microscopic vehicle, pedestrian, and signal-controller logic with CARLA's high-fidelity 3D rendering. A LiDAR-derived elevation model and RoadRunner-based High Definition (HD) map provide terrain-accurate road geometry deployed consistently across both simulators. The framework incorporates explicit actor ownership, mirrored lifecycle management, coordinate reconciliation, and a latest-state-per-actor update policy, enabling stable interaction between VISSIM-controlled traffic and a CARLA-controlled ego vehicle. A corridor-scale case study demonstrates consistent traffic-signal mirroring, synchronized vehicle-pedestrian interactions, and stable mixed-authority operation under peak loads of approximately 100 vehicles and 100 pedestrians. The deployment captures the interaction of the five signalized intersections along MLK Street and their connecting upstream and downstream intersections, revealing synchronization challenges unique to multi-intersection corridors. Results indicate that this MLK-centered corridor provides an effective testbed for verifying cross-simulator consistency and that the proposed architecture supports reliable, perception-ready co-simulation for corridor-level traffic studies.

In modern vehicular systems, robust performance under harsh conditions has become a critical problem of autonomous driving. Our study delivers a comprehensive evaluation of the newest iteration of the YOLO series, which is YOLOv11 Nano architecture benchmarked against the widely adopted YOLOv8 Nano as a baseline on a custom fused dataset that combines the Indian Driving Dataset (IDD) [1] and Berkeley Deep Drive Dataset (BDD100K) [2]. We have analyzed the trade-offs among detection accuracy, inference speed, and computational efficiency in high-entropy scenarios involving dense mixed traffic, rain, and low-light conditions. Specifically, YOLOv11n achieves a mean Average Precision (mAP@50) of 46.6%, with a notable 3.2% improvement in Precision over the baseline, effectively reducing false positives in cluttered scenes. Furthermore, the proposed model exhibits enhanced energy efficiency, requiring 22% fewer FLOPs (6.3G vs. 8.1G) while maintaining real-time inference speed of 70.9 FPS on a Tesla T4 GPU, offering an optimal trade-off for safety-critical edge deployment.

Traffic prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems and urban computing, yet many cities continue to suffer from traffic data scarcity due to limited sensor deployment and uneven urban development. Cross-city knowledge transfer has thus attracted increasing attention, enabling data-rich cities to assist data-scarce ones. However, centralized approaches raise privacy concerns, while existing federated methods struggle with pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity across cities. To address these challenges, we propose MoE-FedTP, a personalized federated cross-city spatiotemporal prediction framework based on lightweight Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) networks. MoE-FedTP first employs spatiotemporal neural networks to extract features from both source and target cities, then introduces a set of expert networks derived from different source cities through partial parameter sharing. A gating mechanism dynamically fuses the experts to capture diverse traffic dynamics, achieving fine-grained modeling of urban heterogeneity while preserving privacy. Experiments on four real-world traffic datasets show that MoE-FedTP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cross-city and federated learning baselines, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing prediction accuracy for data-scarce cities.

Traffic accident anticipation -- predicting the likelihood of an imminent collision at every frame of a dashcam video -- is safety-critical yet difficult to scale, because collecting in-domain annotated accident footage for every deployment scenario is prohibitively expensive. We study this task under a zero-shot setting where no target-domain training data is available: the model must learn exclusively from a publicly available binary-labelled driving-accident dataset and generalise to unseen dashcam footage. We propose a framework that bridges the gap between the frame-level temporal risk estimation task and coarsely labelled binary accident datasets by coupling a VideoMAE-v2 backbone with a per-frame prediction head under a sliding-window protocol. Our method achieves 2nd place in the 2026 CVPR@AUTOPILOT Zero-Shot Accident Anticipation competition. Code is available at https://github.com/TimeSouth/zero-shot-taa-solution.

Efficient acquisition, storage, and utilization of traffic data are critical challenges in spatio-temporal data management. Most traffic data systems collect and store observations at fixed, coarse-grained temporal intervals to reduce storage and computation costs. However, such coarse-grained data severely limits downstream applications that require predictions at a finer temporal granularity. Collecting and maintaining fine-grained traffic data across all locations and time periods would impose a substantial burden on database storage and preprocessing pipelines. To address this temporal granularity mismatch, we formulate a novel problem: predicting fine-grained future traffic using coarse-grained sampled data. We propose the Spatial-Temporal Refinement Predictor (STRP), a granularity-aware framework for spatio-temporal data systems. STRP integrates two components: Tree Convolution for efficient and interpretable spatial dependency modeling, and Inverse Dilated Convolution for progressive temporal extrapolation. STRP supports two practical prediction settings: window-based and duration-based, to handle different forms of granularity mismatch. Experiments on six benchmark datasets show that STRP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both accuracy and efficiency. Our work offers a practical and interpretable approach to managing granularity mismatches in spatio-temporal traffic data systems.

In mixed-traffic environments where autonomous and human-driven vehicles may co-exist, motion planning for autonomous vehicles requires anticipating the future behaviors of surrounding human drivers. Existing reinforcement learning-based methods generally directly incorporate the predicted human intents into the observation to enable a proactive planning. However, human intent is inherently uncertain due to the behavioral diversity, perception noise, and partial observability. Treating predicted intends as deterministic states can result in unsafe decisions for autonomous vehicles. To address this problem, we propose Uncertainty-Aware Motion Planning (UAMP), which incorporates uncertainty in human intent prediction for AV decision-making. Specifically, UAMP first introduces a proximity-aware uncertainty estimator to quantify the interaction-conditioned intent uncertainty and constructs an uncertainty-guided joint intent distribution over surrounding human-driven vehicles. Within this uncertainty set, UAMP further introduces Uncertainty-Calibrated Value Learning (UCVL) to correct value function learning biases arising from directly incorporating uncertain human intent predictions into the observation. Extensive experiments in various mixed-traffic scenarios show that UAMP significantly improves safety and driving comfort, while maintaining traffic efficiency compared with existing approaches. The code is released at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/UAMP-5638.

Mesoscopic traffic flow models combines the merits of both macroscopic and microscopic models by capturing individual vehicle behavior in great detail and remaining the computational efficiency. At the time of this study, the mesoscopic model proposed by Eissfeldt (2004) is used in Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO). The movement of vehicles is governed by dynamic headways between edges. However, the model does not fully comply with the principle of the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) model. Several problems are identified, including the incomplete consideration of queue dynamics and the limited implementation of backward traveling spaces. Two case study scenarios demonstrate that the problems lead to unrealistic onset and recovery pattern of congestion. The magnitude of congestion is generally underestimated with this model. To address these drawbacks, a proper mesoscopic discrete-time implementation of link transmission model, which follows the LWR principle, is proposed. By explicitly incorporating backward traveling spaces to capture queue spillback phenomena, the proposed model provides a more precise representation of congestion dynamics. The link density outputs are consistent with the kinematic wave theory and the microscopic traffic simulation in SUMO, thus verifying its theoretical accuracy.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed through hosted APIs, making model extraction a practical threat to model ownership and service security. However, individual extraction queries often resemble benign requests, and existing evaluations often focus on single-query anomaly scoring or pure benign-versus-attacker user settings. We formulate model extraction monitoring as benign-calibrated traffic-window distribution testing and show that an embarrassingly simple detector is effective: embed incoming queries into a semantic space and test whether their aggregate distribution deviates from historical benign traffic. We instantiate the detector with maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), using only benign-vs-benign comparisons to set the decision threshold. We evaluate on fourteen attacker-normal query pairs from four extraction scenarios and compare with adapted PRADA, SEAT, CAP, DATE, and marginal Mahalanobis baselines. Across three random seeds, MMD achieves 0.3% benign FPR, 100.0% pure-attacker TPR, 90.5% average TPR over attacker fractions, and 95.1% balanced accuracy. These results show that benign-calibrated distribution testing is a strong empirical baseline for model extraction detection in both user-level and mixed multi-user LLM API traffic. Code is released at: https://github.com/LabRAI/mmd-llm-mea-detection.

Traffic accident liability analysis is a critical yet challenging task in intelligent transportation and legal assistance. Existing methods often suffer from low efficiency, subjective judgment, and inconsistent analysis results. Meanwhile, large language models are constrained by noisy video inputs and insufficient legal domain knowledge. To address these issues, this work presents TrafficRAG, a multimodal retrieval-augmented framework for automated traffic accident analysis and report generation. Specifically, the proposed framework first adopts a vision-language model to produce structured textual descriptions of accident scenarios, which serve as accurate retrieval queries. Based on these textual queries, a hybrid retrieval strategy integrating BM25 sparse retrieval and dense embedding retrieval is employed to fetch relevant traffic regulations and similar historical cases. Finally, the large language model incorporates retrieved legal knowledge and multimodal accident evidence for comprehensive reasoning, and generates standardized, legally grounded liability analysis reports. Extensive experiments show that TrafficRAG consistently outperforms baseline methods, achieving 77.32% Legal Norm Adaptation Accuracy, 81.71% Factual Faithfulness, and a Liability Ratio MAE of 5.48%. The results validate that integrating multimodal factual evidence with legal clauses via retrieval augmentation can effectively improve the reliability and accuracy of traffic accident liability determination.

Pilot readback of Air Traffic Control (ATC) voice instructions is a primary safeguard against miscommunication in air transportation. However, readback anomalies remain implicated in approximately 80% of aviation incidents. This vulnerability is further exacerbated by rising traffic volume and elevated cognitive workload, thereby motivating automated readback monitoring by machine. Traditional rule-based and machine learning approaches struggle to generalize across the highly variable and evolving phraseology of air traffic controller-pilot communications. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have opened a new avenue through their strong reasoning and generalization capabilities, existing approaches still face deployment and computational barriers in practice. In this work, we propose Semantic reasoning for Communication via Open-set Plug-in with Examples (SCOPE), a novel lightweight-training LLM framework that advances both the efficiency and accuracy of machine-based ATC readback monitoring. The core idea is to couple a plug-in open-set classifier with a carefully designed in-context learning mechanism on top of a frozen LLM. Extensive experiments on the semi-synthetic communication dataset show that SCOPE attains superior accuracy while delivering the low-latency response required for operational environments. Under a few-shot setting, SCOPE achieves 91.05% accuracy in open-set detection and corrects 96.63% of anomalous readbacks, thereby outperforming the strongest available baselines while providing explanations for its decisions. These findings demonstrate the potential of our framework as a practical pathway toward interpretable and controllable ATC readback monitoring.

Software-Defined Networking (SDN) provides flexible and programmable network management; however, its centralized control architecture remains highly vulnerable to Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) attacks, particularly Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks that distribute malicious traffic across multiple targets to evade conventional detection mechanisms. In this paper, a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG)-based framework is proposed for real-time detection and mitigation of Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks in SDN environments. The proposed framework combines interface-level traffic features representation, semantic embedding generation, FAISS-based similarity retrieval, and Large Language Model (LLM)-driven contextual inference to classify traffic behavior without requiring conventional supervised model training or retraining. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, extensive experiments were conducted under multiple Carpet-Bombing DDoS attack scenarios with different attack intensities. In addition, two traffic representation strategies, namely structured JSON-based representation and natural language-based representation (NLR), were investigated using multiple state-of-the-art LLMs. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework achieved highly accurate and stable attack detection performance, while the framework configuration utilizing the Gemma-4-31B-IT model achieved the strongest overall detection results. Furthermore, real-time experiments confirmed the capability of the proposed framework to rapidly detect and mitigate Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks while maintaining stable SDN network operation. The obtained results highlight the effectiveness of integrating RAG mechanisms with LLM for intelligent and adaptive SDN security analysis.

Accurate measurement of traffic volumes and flows is vital for modern intelligent transportation. However, despite recent technological advances in sensor devices, it is still expensive to install and maintain fixed traffic counters. Therefore, it is restricted to a small portion of location points where the counters can be installed, which severely limits the possibility of grasping and predicting the total traffic volume at a city-wide level. By contrast, devices with location history such as smartphones and connected vehicles are now widely used and provide much wider spatial coverage. However, the data from these devices are usually partial and noisy, so they are not enough to directly estimate total traffic volumes and flows. In this paper, we use the information from these widely available devices to help decide where to place additional traffic counters, and we study how selecting new measurement locations can improve city-wide traffic estimation performance. To achieve this, we propose an algorithm that chooses additional counter locations to increase the diversity of observed traffic signal patterns, rather than simply spreading counters evenly over space. The goal is to capture traffic-pattern types that are rare in the current counter set and to make the collected observations more representative for later estimation and forecasting. We also present a real-world evaluation; in a target city, we select new locations expected to improve traffic prediction, and we then commissioned new field measurements at those locations at our expense. The resulting data led to an improvement in traffic volume estimation accuracy across different fidelities.

The 3GPP V2X resource allocation framework defines two entity classes -- the base station and the vehicle UE -- and four modes across LTE and NR generations. We demonstrate that this binary taxonomy is structurally incomplete. Base station-led scheduling saturates at high-density traffic nodes, producing latency-tail failures that persist even when mean packet delivery ratios approach the service-class target. UE autonomy is categorically incapable of pre-emergence warning for occluded traffic participants and insufficient for large-scope cascading environmental hazards. We propose Mode 0, a new 3GPP V2X category whose defining entity is the Roadside Computing Unit (RCU) -- an infrastructure ensemble integrating elevated sensing (Seeing), sidelink communication (Speaking), and local computational evaluation (Thinking), owned by traffic management authorities. Mode 0 defines a subfamily spectrum from Mode 0a (all-passive UEs, the guaranteed minimum) through Mode 0c (all-active UEs, the optimal target). Convergent deployment evidence from Chinese national standards (DB11/T 2329.1-2024, T/ITS 0224.1-2025), China Unicom RS-MEC infrastructure, and European and US C-V2X programs confirms that both institutional sides are converging on the roadside traffic node without a coordination standard. A fifteen-run Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization (MAPPO) simulation validates the architectural family: Mode 0a in shared-pool baseline sits at the analytical symmetric-Nash coordination floor; Mode 0c with demand separation achieves strict Pareto improvement for both traffic classes (M0 PDR 0.999, M1 PDR 0.998 at $ρ_{\rm pool} \leq 1$) and lifts the worst-TTI delivery ratio from near-zero to 0.601 -- the only configuration satisfying the latency safety requirement structurally. We call for a 3GPP study item on Mode 0 within the NR-V2X sidelink enhancement work programme.

Active traffic management (ATM) is frequently hindered by traditional macroscopic models and rigid empirical thresholds that fail to capture metastable phase precursors, resulting in delayed, reactive interventions. To address this, we propose SpinFlow, a physics-informed spin-field framework unifying Kerner's three-phase theory with statistical physics for continuous macroscopic traffic phase inference. Inspired by the Heisenberg model, SpinFlow parametrizes spatially varying phase weights via a latent spin vector and a competitive-equilibrium mapping, allowing synchronized flow to emerge naturally. A physics-regularized Expectation-Maximization algorithm inverts this latent structure from high-resolution trajectories, jointly optimizing the spin field while softly enforcing mass conservation and spatial smoothness. We introduce the Phase Equilibrium Degree (PED) to quantify structural alignment and topologically localize phase-transition points. Across four real-world trajectory datasets, SpinFlow achieves $R_{q}^{2}$ up to 0.940, PED drops of 94.9-100%, and interpretable phase maps that outperform three heterogeneous baselines on forward accuracy, physics consistency, and bottleneck localization. SpinFlow pinpoints congestion nucleation without prior network topology, yielding a data-driven, physics-consistent trigger for ATM.

Understanding customer movement within retail spaces is essential for optimizing store layouts. Real-world trajectory data can provide highly accurate insights, but collecting it is costly and often infeasible for many retailers. Heuristics such as Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP) and Probabilistic Nearest Neighbours (PNN) are commonly used as inexpensive approximations, but actual customer trajectories deviate by an average of 28% from shortest paths, highlighting a tradeoff between accuracy and practicality. We propose an agent-based modelling framework that casts customer trajectory prediction as a maximum entropy reinforcement learning (RL) problem, balancing reward maximization with stochasticity to better reflect customers with bounded rationality. Using real-world trajectory data from a convenience store, we show that RL-generated trajectories align more closely with customer behaviour than TSP and PNN, providing more accurate estimates of impulse purchase rates and shelf traffic densities. Furthermore, only RL-based predictions yield repositioning decisions for impulse products that align with those derived from actual trajectory data, resulting in comparable estimated profit gains. Our work demonstrates that RL provides a practical, behaviourally grounded alternative that bridges the gap between oversimplified heuristics and data-intensive approaches, making accurate layout optimization more accessible. To encourage further research, the source code is available on GitHub.

Traffic forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation systems. One of the critical challenges of traffic forecasting is to find spatio-temporal correlations. In recent years, graph convolutional networks and graph attention networks have replaced traditional statistical models to predict future traffic. However, it is complicated for both of them to allow vertices to have far different characters. To address this, we propose the Global-Local Graph Attention Network (GLGAT) with pairwise encoding and the event-based adjacency matrix. The GLGAT allows vertices to have a global attention matrix set for the whole graph and assigns local attention matrix sets to each vertex. Experiments on two real-world traffic datasets show that GLGAT can effectively capture spatio-temporal correlations and has competitive performance against other state-of-the-art baselines.

Safety in reinforcement learning is often specified through cumulative cost constraints, but these trajectory-level guarantees do not directly prevent unsafe individual decisions, especially under nonstationarity. In continual and nonstationary settings, the difficulty is amplified because the risk associated with the same action can vary across contexts, while a fixed state-level threshold may be either too conservative or too weak. We propose Constraint Projection Safety Shield (CPSS), a runtime mechanism that converts a cumulative safety budget into adaptive state-level control constraints during execution. CPSS tracks the remaining safety budget, projects it into a time-varying admissible risk threshold, and filters policy actions whose predicted safety cost exceeds the active threshold. The threshold is adjusted online using contextual signals so that enforcement becomes stricter in more demanding or rapidly changing regimes and less restrictive when the available safety budget is sufficient. We analyze the resulting shielded policy and show that the mechanism guarantees per-state threshold satisfaction for executed actions, induces finite-horizon cumulative cost bounds, and yields a performance degradation bound in terms of intervention frequency and per-step reward distortion. We evaluate CPSS in nonstationary highway merging scenarios using highway-env. Across multiple seeds, CPSS substantially reduces proximity-based safety violations and increases separation margins while intervening selectively rather than dominating the learned policy. These results support adaptive budget-to-threshold projection as a practical way to transform cumulative safety specifications into effective local safety control for continual reinforcement learning systems.

Collisions at non-line-of-sight (NLOS) intersections remain a major safety concern because drivers have limited visibility of approaching traffic. V2X based warnings can reduce these risks, yet many vehicles are not equipped with V2X and drivers may ignore in vehicle alerts. Collective perception (CP) can compensate for low V2X penetration by extending the awareness of connected vehicles, but it cannot influence unconnected vehicles. To fill this gap, our work introduces a complementary concept that adds a cooperative humanoid robot as an active traffic moderator capable of physically stopping a vehicle that attempts to merge into an unseen traffic stream. The system operates on two parallel perception pathways. A dual camera infrastructure unit detects the position, speed and motion of approaching vehicles and transmits this information to the robot as a collective perception message (CPM). The robot also receives cooperative awareness messages (CAM) from connected vehicles through its onboard V2X unit and can act as a relay for decentralized environmental notification messages (DENM) when safety events originate elsewhere along the road. A fusion module combines these streams to maintain a robust real time view of the main road. A Zone of Danger (ZoD) is defined and used to predict whether an approaching vehicle creates a collision risk for a merging road user. When such a risk is detected, the robot issues a human-like STOP gesture and blocks the merging path until the hazard disappears. The full system was deployed at the Future Mobility Park (FMP) in Rotterdam. Experiments show that the combined vision and V2X perception allows the robot to detect approaching vehicles early, predict hazards reliably and prevent unsafe merges in real world NLOS conditions.