Sustainability

Quantifying organizational environmental action from publicly available web content remains a challenging environmental data science problem because relevant information can be dispersed across multiple webpages and is primarily communicated through unstructured text. We present a scalable computational framework for transforming organizational web content into structured measures of environmental action and demonstrate the approach using Jewish congregations in the United States. We constructed a national database of 4,964 congregations by integrating multiple geospatial, knowledge-base, directory, and manually reviewed sources. Of these, 2,657 had active websites that were successfully crawled, producing a corpus of 154,454 webpages. We compared three approaches for detecting environmental actions: keyword retrieval followed by large language model (LLM) classification, semantic vector retrieval followed by LLM classification, and direct LLM classification classification without preliminary retrieval. Agreement with an expert human reviewer was lowest for keyword retrieval ($κ$ = 0.26), higher for semantic vector retrieval ($κ$ = 0.42), and similar for direct LLM classification ($κ$ = 0.40). Although semantic retrieval achieved the highest agreement, its retrieval recall was 0.87, indicating loss of relevant content before classification. Applied to the complete corpus, direct LLM classification identified at least one environmental action at 1,398 congregations (53%), providing greater coverage than either retrieval-based approach. These results demonstrate that preliminary retrieval can reduce computational cost but may exclude relevant information before it reaches the classifier. The framework provides a reproducible approach for extracting organization-level environmental information from unstructured web content that can be adapted to other institutions.

Environmental controversies in global supply chains pose significant risks for global buyers. This study examines whether overseas suppliers' exposure to buyers' artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled environmental governance reduces supplier environmental controversies. Drawing on organizational information processing theory and signaling theory, we investigate how suppliers' exposure to AI-enabled governance influences their environmental controversies and the institutional contingencies under which this effect varies. Using text analysis to measure buyer AI-enabled environmental governance, we analyze panel data on 2,505 suppliers of U.S.-listed firms across 41 countries from 2020 to 2024 with multidimensional fixed-effects models. We find that suppliers' exposure to buyer AI-enabled environmental governance is negatively associated with supplier environmental controversies in the following year. This negative relationship is stronger in supplier countries with higher AI readiness and regulatory quality. The study contributes to research on AI-enabled sustainability governance and sustainable supply chain risk management.

AI literacy provides foundational competencies that support ethical, transparent, and sustainable technological development, although higher-order capabilities such as governance, critical evaluation, and strategic decision-making extend beyond basic literacy into advanced levels of AI competency. This study positions AI literacy as a governance capacity that complements and strengthens all 17 SDGs. It introduces a six-level taxonomy of artificial intelligence reasoning and ethics that extends traditional learning models by incorporating ethical judgement and strategic foresight. This taxonomy forms the foundation of an integrated framework linking education, governance, and sustainable development. A survey of 300 participants from diverse professional backgrounds within a national context which reveals strong technical awareness but limited ethical and governance readiness, highlighting critical gaps in public capacity to manage artificial intelligence responsibly. Findings show that ethical reasoning and reflective thinking are the strongest predictors of sustainable and trustworthy artificial intelligence use. The study proposed to embed literacy-based competencies into curricula, institutional policies, and governance mechanisms to accelerate equitable and responsible progress toward sustainable development goals

Edge-AI model selection is commonly driven by one isolated metric - accuracy, latency, memory, energy, or safety, even though a deployable language model must balance all five. Our work focuses on answering the question whether na- tively trained small language models (SLMs) or large language models (LLMs) compressed through post-training quantization offer the more sustainable edge- deployment trade-off. We introduce a reproducible Holistic Sustainability Score (HSS) organized around the triple bottom line: an economic pillar for capability and systems efficiency, an environmental pillar for operational GPU energy and a social pillar for harmful-prompt robustness. Five BF16 SLMs and five LLMs under different quantization approaches - BF16, INT8, NF4 4-bit, GPTQ 4-bit, and GGUF Q4 produce 30 measured configurations. Capability is assessed on five zero-shot benchmarks; efficiency uses latency, throughput, peak VRAM and energy; and safety is approximated by attack success rate on five harmful prompts. Qwen3-30B-A3B/GGUF Q4 ranks first in the combined pool (93.38), followed by Mistral-Small-24B/GGUF Q4 (92.40), while Phi-4-mini/BF16 is the highest- ranked SLM in that pool (89.49). Thus, the hypothesis that native SLMs must be the most sustainable edge choice is not supported universally; optimized quantized LLMs can win overall, while SLMs remain competitive through lower resource demand. Quantization is a systems-level choice rather than a monotonic precision- efficiency trade-off and HSS remains relative to its comparison pool and proxy definitions.

Recommender systems mediate everyday consumption, offering a promising channel for encouraging sustainable choices. Prior research shows that explanations influence users' perceptions of recommendations and can support more informed decisions. We argue that explanations can also serve as behavioral nudges by foregrounding sustainability information at the moment of choice. This study investigates how different behavioral framings of sustainability information in recommendation explanations affect user choices and perceptions. Using generative AI, we generate sustainability-aware explanations by drawing on nudge theory and validate them through human evaluation and LLM-as-a-judge audits. Building on this foundation, we conduct two randomized studies (N = 529) in a low involvement domain (instant coffee) and a high involvement domain (hotel bookings), in which participants choose among preference matched recommendations accompanied by these explanations. Our results show that, across both domains, merely disclosing sustainability information in explanations does not change choices, whereas framing that information or invoking a descriptive social norm significantly increases sustainable selections and eases decision-making. Notably, perception and behavior diverge, as plain disclosure improves explanation evaluations without translating into more sustainable selection behavior. Our work demonstrates how LLMs can generate theory-grounded explanations at scale, pointing toward practical explanation-based interventions for social good. We conclude by discussing implications for adaptive explanation design with generative AI.

The semiconductor sector faces a dual transition: scaling manufacturing execution through Artificial Intelligence (AI) while satisfying stringent sustainability mandates, such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). This paper presents a scoping review of 1,465 documents indexed in Web of Science and Scopus, spanning AI-integrated metrology, supply chain ESG, and federated industrial data spaces. Network analysis reveals a highly fragmented "core-periphery" knowledge structure, emphasizing a critical structural hole between AI-driven process optimization and downstream sustainability governance. To close these gaps, this study proposes a 6-layer Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD) architecture grounded in a System of Systems (SoS) paradigm. By establishing distinct "grid-to-core" and "standards-through-supply-chain" integration pathways, the proposed framework demonstrates how virtual metrology (VM), localized federated learning, and defensive RegTech mechanisms can build provenance-aware data fabrics. Ultimately, this architecture positions regulatory compliance as a driver for innovation, enabling secure, climate-neutral, and circular value chains in semiconductor manufacturing.

Scope 3 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions account for the majority of corporate carbon footprints, yet remain difficult to analyze at scale due to sparse disclosures, heterogeneous report document formats, and limited evidence traceability. Existing approaches typically rely on large language models to extract emissions information from ESG reports, but often lack explicit evidence grounding or depend on costly manual annotation and verification to ensure extraction reliability. To address these challenges, we propose Scope3Trace, an evidence-grounded information extraction framework designed to extract interpretable and traceable Scope 3 emissions information from real-world ESG and sustainability reports. The framework integrates a document information extraction pipeline that performs PDF collection and OCR parsing, LLM-assisted page localization and table reconstruction, and hybrid rule-LLM extraction of organization- and building-level emissions disclosures with evidence-grounded verification. Building upon this framework, we further contribute a dual-level, evidence-grounded, multimodal dataset comprising organization-level Scope 3 disclosures extracted from heterogeneous sustainability reports. Scope3Trace enables reliable extraction and transparent integration of heterogeneous sustainability disclosures, achieving high accuracy in extracting Scope 1-3 totals and category-level disclosures from sustainability reports.

Efficient waste segregation is critical for sustainable urban management and environmental governance. Existing automated systems are limited by single-modality visual processing, insufficient contextual understanding, and weak regulatory alignment. To address these issues, we propose a language-guided vision-AI framework that integrates vision-language models and multimodal large language models for joint visual-linguistic reasoning. This framework implements a visual question answering paradigm aligned with India's Solid Waste Management Rules 2016. We construct a new WasteVQA dataset with 13,500 question-answer pairs across 21 waste categories. Experiments show that the BLIP-based model achieves a BLEU score of 0.8291 and a BERTScore of 0.9273, outperforming traditional CNN-based methods. This work improves source-level segregation accuracy, ensures regulatory compliance, and supports scalable deployment for municipal and citizen-facing waste management, promoting multimodal AI in sustainable urban infrastructure. The source code and dataset are available at: https://github.com/Khushkataruka/WasteAssistant

We present LLM4SDM, the first study of open-source smaller language models (OS-sLLMs) for automated assessment of shared decision making (SDM) using the Observer OPTION12 framework. Unlike previous work that relies on large commercial models and the shorter OPTION5 instrument, our study focuses on privacy-preserving locally deployable models and Dutch melanoma consultation transcripts. Using expert-annotated clinical consultations, we evaluate three general-domain and two medical-domain OS-sLLMs during a development-phase pilot study. Results show that general-domain models outperform medical-domain models, which exhibit substantial hallucination and instruction-following failures. Gemma3:12b achieves the strongest agreement with human annotations (Pearson r=0.51, Spearman \r{ho}=0.59). Item-level and qualitative analyses reveal systematic challenges related to temporal discourse reasoning, conversational role attribution, and evidence grounding. We further introduce a Judge-LLM consensus framework designed to support disagreement resolution among multiple models. Our findings suggest that while current OS-sLLMs cannot replace human annotators, they offer a promising foundation for privacy-preserving human-in-the-loop SDM assessment.

Russian and Arabic are among the major languages of scientific communication. Language barriers impede the exchange of research results between these communities, which affects international collaboration and the progress of sustainability-related research. We present a benchmark for Arabic--Russian scientific translation. The benchmark includes a hybrid parallel corpus of about 27,000 sentence pairs, compiled from scientific abstracts and general-domain texts (religion, news, conversations). We fine-tune three multilingual language models -- mT5-base (580M parameters), NLLB-200-distilled-1.3B (1.3B), and Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct (7B) -- using LoRA with ranks 8, 16, 32, and 64. The Qwen2.5-7B model with QLoRA (rank 8) yields BLEU 23.15, chrF 43.89, BERTScore 0.906, and COMET 0.758. These are +4.36 BLEU and +0.051 COMET above the zero-shot baseline. Few-shot prompting with three examples does not improve performance, indicating that domain-specific fine-tuning is required. We release the models, the corpus, and the evaluation code. By lowering the language barrier for scientific texts, the work enables knowledge exchange between Arabic-speaking and Russian-speaking researchers. It contributes to sustainable partnerships (UN SDG 17) and innovation infrastructure (SDG 9), aligning with the conference's focus on technology-driven sustainable development.

LLMs agents are increasingly used in multi-agent settings, yet their behaviour in sustainability games remains largely unexplored. This work investigates whether lying can emerge among LLM agents in a competitive sustainability game in which agents are informed that common resources can regenerate, although regeneration does not actually occur. We develop an agent-based model of a sustainability game in which agents manage industrial, military, and ecological resources, and interact through a network. LLM agents can observe neighbours' status, declare future attacks, receive permission to lie, and access reputation information, while rule-based agents provide an interpretable behavioural baseline. The results show that neighbour information strongly changes system dynamics, increasing attacks while improving biosphere retention and coexistence. Also, the presence of future declarations reduce extinction risk without suppressing conflict. Behaviourally, deception emerges even when agents are not explicitly allowed to lie, and explicit permission mainly increases bluffing and diversion rather than direct backstabbing. Finally, the presence of reputation memory and information about the current biosphere level reduces system ecological depletion. These findings suggest that deception can arise as an emergent behaviour in LLM-agent systems and that communication between LLM-agents could support sustainability while dealing with risk.

We present SpheriCity, an expert-grounded conversational prototype designed to support trustworthy knowledge sensemaking from sustainability reports. City-level circularity assessment reports contain rich information about materials, infrastructure, and policy interventions, yet their length and heterogeneous structure make cross-document synthesis and comparison difficult for practitioners and researchers working on circular economy initiatives. While large language models (LLM) promise faster knowledge access and synthesis, their opaque reasoning, hallucinations, and lack of source transparency introduce risks for trust and interpretability, and require verification in high-stakes sustainability contexts. SpheriCity addresses these challenges through a provenance-first conversational agent that foregrounds evidence traceability, structured synthesis, and interaction scaffolds to support exploratory querying and cross-document synthesis across sustainability reports. We conducted a formative expert review with six sustainability experts using representative queries spanning cross-city comparison, policy summarization, and recommendation-oriented tasks. Experts evaluated responses across dimensions and provided qualitative reflections on the system's usefulness for sustainability knowledge work. Our results reveal that transparent sourcing, contextual explanation, interpretability, and alignment with expert workflow strongly shape expert trust and judgments of system usefulness. This work contributes (1) a conversational prototype for sustainability knowledge sensemaking, (2) an expert-grounded evaluation framework for assessing AI responses in high-stakes knowledge domains, and (3) design insights into how provenance, uncertainty communication, and integration in workflow influence expert users' trust in AI assistance for sustainability decision support.

Both digital economy and digital technology researchers increasingly recognize the need to better address the role that artificial intelligence (AI) plays in shaping the evolution of the environmental, social and governance aspects of development. It appears that sustainability and AI research converge on the features of wicked problems that are complex, interconnected and dynamic. Building off such convergence, this article aims to map out the necessary, challenging, and promising intersections by providing an overview of the state of art research. Based on 541 bibliographic data collected from the Web of Science (WoS) database, the findings reveal the increasingly central body of work on green and sustainable science and technology in bridging various disciplines, main journals and key topics and concepts. The findings reveal how such interactions can be necessary, challenging, and promising. The article concludes with few general arguments regarding how to diversify and expand the community of practice regarding AI for sustainable development, especially in the areas of expected AI application areas and institutions.

The coffee supply chain is one of the most complex agri-food networks, marked by geographically dispersed production, multi-tier coordination, and high sensitivity to quality and freshness. While sustainability and digitalization have gained attention, demand forecasting, optimization, and traceability are often treated separately. This study presents a two-phase integrated framework. First, a hybrid CNN-LSTM model is used for demand forecasting. On the public Coffee Chain Sales dataset with chronological 70/15/15 splitting, the model achieves MAE of 22.87 and R^2 of 0.90, outperforming the best deep learning benchmark by ~12% and classical methods by over 30%. In the second phase, the forecasted demand feeds a tri-objective mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model that jointly minimizes cost, minimizes carbon emissions, and maximizes product freshness in a multi-period, multimodal, closed-loop supply chain with circular recovery. Freshness is modeled via exponential decay based on inventory age. Using the epsilon-constraint method, 25 Pareto solutions are obtained. Sensitivity and policy analyses show that balanced sustainability policies can reduce emissions by 22.4% with only a 9.9% cost increase while maintaining near-optimal freshness. Keywords: Coffee supply chain; Deep learning; Demand forecasting; Multi-objective optimization; Circular economy; CNN-LSTM; Mixed-integer linear programming.

The rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been accompanied by significant increases in computational and environmental costs, driven by large-scale investments in AI infrastructure, hardware, and software. In particular, graphics cards have become central to AI training, with frequent hardware updates required to meet escalating computational demands. However, the environmental damages of graphics cards production remain understudied. This study addresses this gap by estimating the environmental damages associated with graphics cards production over the past decade (2013-2025). We analyze trends in energy consumption, carbon emissions and resource depletion. We compile and provide a dataset documenting the environmental damages of NVIDIA workstation graphics cards production since 2013. Our analysis of this dataset reveals a steady increase in production-related impacts over the period. Our finding highlights the need for greater transparency in life-cycle data, a persistent challenge in AI environmental assessments. While operational efficiency improvements (e.g., energy-efficient training, carbon-aware computing) are often prioritized, our results underscore that production-related impacts are also escalating and cannot be overlooked. The AI community must move beyond incremental optimizations and confront the necessity of sufficiency. This shift may demand structural changes such as policy interventions, hardware design for longevity, and cultural shifts away from perpetual growth and increased performance.

E-commerce recommender systems strongly influence which products users consider and purchase, yet sustainability signals such as Product Carbon Footprint (PCF) are almost never available at catalog scale. We study carbon-aware product recommendation in the realistic setting where PCF labels are missing for most items and must be inferred. We first estimate product-level carbon footprints via a retrieval-augmented PCF estimation pipeline that transfers supervision from the Carbon Catalogue, a small set of life-cycle-assessed products, to a large unlabeled e-commerce catalog using semantic similarity search, few-shot LLM prompting, and a nearest-neighbour fallback. We then apply a carbon-aware post-hoc re-ranking strategy on top of relevance scores produced by three established recommendation models: BPR, NeuMF, and LightGCN. The method trades off predicted user-item engagement against estimated carbon footprint through a single tunable parameter, lambda. In this offline study, engagement is operationalized through Amazon review interactions, which serve as implicit feedback and as a proxy for user interest or purchase behavior. We evaluate the framework on the Amazon Reviews dataset across three product categories: Home and Kitchen, Sports and Outdoors, and Electronics. By sweeping lambda, we construct Pareto frontiers that characterize the achievable engagement and carbon trade-off for each model and category. Substantial carbon reductions are achievable at minimal engagement cost across all models and categories. However, the available carbon headroom varies by model and category, underscoring the importance of model choice and domain context.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in sustainability-related decision support, reporting, and public communication, yet little systematic evidence exists on the environmental attitudes embedded in their outputs. This paper develops a benchmark for evaluating environmental cognition, affect, and behavioural recommendations in LLMs and applies it to 31 widely used proprietary and open-weight models. Drawing on questions from established environmental awareness surveys and additional sustainability-related behavioural measures, we compare LLM responses 1) among models and 2) between models and human survey benchmarks from Germany. We assess their robustness across prompting conditions. We find that many LLMs align more closely with environmentally progressive attitudes than the average survey respondent, exhibiting higher levels of environmental affect and cognition and recommending behaviours associated with substantial potential CO2 reductions. At the same time, we observe no systematic relationship between sustainability-oriented responses and model origin, size, or release context. However, models exhibit contextual sensitivity, controlled by persona-based prompting and show sycophantic shifts mirroring user-specified ideological positions, which raises concerns about steerability and normative reliability in real-world deployments. Our findings provide a reusable evaluation framework for assessing sustainability-related value alignment in LLMs and highlight the importance of governance, transparency, and critical oversight as AI systems become increasingly embedded in sustainability transformations and public decision-making.

Agentic AI systems are increasingly proposed for social-good domains, often invoking the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a vocabulary of global benefit. Yet claims of social good do not establish accountability to the communities a system claims to serve. We present a structured survey of 112 papers on agentic AI for social good published between 2015 and 2026. We find a moral-geographic asymmetry: papers are least likely to specify geographic context in precisely the domains where local political, legal, and cultural context matters most. Across the corpus, 82 of 112 papers (73%) specify no geographic context. Papers aligned with health or physical/ecological SDGs specify geography 37-40% of the time, while papers aligned with institutional and social-policy SDGs do so only 13%. SDG 16, peace, justice, and strong institutions, is both the most-covered goal in the corpus and the one with the lowest geographic-specification rate. We interpret this as moral abstraction: agentic AI for social good often treats institutional good as universal in ways it does not treat health or ecological good. A second finding compounds this: only 28 of 112 papers (25%) report any real-world deployment or small-scale test. We identify five accountability gaps and propose a minimal reporting standard for more context-specific, participatory, and accountable agentic AI for social good.

Assessing progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires multi-step reasoning over visual cues, contextual knowledge, and development indicators, where incomplete evidence use and imperfect evidence integration can introduce hidden prediction biases. Real-world SDG monitoring further spans both qualitative judgments and quantitative estimation. However, existing benchmarks typically evaluate these aspects in isolation, obscuring systematic biases that emerge when models substitute priors for evidence. To address this gap, we propose SDGBiasBench, a large-scale benchmark suite for SDG-oriented vision-language reasoning. Spanning 500k expert-involved multiple-choice questions and 50k regression tasks, the benchmark enables comprehensive assessment of both decision-level and estimation-level bias in Vision--Language Models (VLMs). Evaluations on SDGBiasBench reveal an intrinsic SDG bias in current VLMs, where predictions are frequently driven by SDG specific priors rather than reliable multi-modal cues. To mitigate such bias, we propose CADE (Contrastive Adaptive Debias Ensemble), a training-free, plug-and-play method that leverages modality-specific answer priors. CADE yields significant gains on the proposed benchmark, improving multiple-choice accuracy by up to 25% and reducing regression MAE by up to 12 points across multiple VLMs. We hope our work can foster the development of more fair and reliable AI systems for sustainable development.

Urban heat exposure is becoming an increasingly critical challenge due to the intensifying urban heat island effect. Fine-grained shade patterns, especially those induced by urban buildings, strongly influence pedestrians' thermal exposure and outdoor activity planning. However, accurately modeling and analyzing urban shade at scale remains difficult because of the lack of large-scale datasets and systematic evaluation frameworks. To address this challenge, we present ShadeBench, a comprehensive dataset and benchmark for urban shade understanding. ShadeBench contains geographically diverse urban scenes with temporally varying simulated shade maps and textual descriptions, together with aligned satellite imagery, building skeleton representations, and 3D building meshes. Built upon this multimodal dataset, ShadeBench supports a range of downstream tasks, including shade generation, shade segmentation, and 3D building reconstruction. We further establish standardized evaluation protocols and baseline methods for these tasks. By enabling scalable and fine-grained shade analysis, ShadeBench provides a foundation for data-driven urban climate research and supports future studies in heat-resilient urban planning and decision-making. The code and dataset are publicly available at https://darl-genai.github.io/shadebench/.

Urban Building Energy Modeling plays a critical role in achieving the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals 7 and 11. Although existing studies based on satellite imagery and deep learning have achieved remarkable progress, many challenges exist: most existing studies are inherently predictive, failing to reflect the generative nature of urban planning; although generative AI and diffusion models have seen explosive growth in satellite imagery, they lack the urban functional generation (e.g., energy layer); third, aligned high-quality high-resolution building energy data with satellite imagery is limited and scarce. Here we propose SENSE (Satellite-based ENergy Synthesis for Sustainable Environment), a unified generative UBEM framework that jointly synthesizes realistic urban satellite imagery and aligned high-quality building energy consumption and height maps. By conditioning on road networks and urban density metrics, SENSE, based on a controllable diffusion model, leverages the knowledge learned by large vision models to generate urban building energy consumption and height information (annotations) in the latent space. Experiments across four cities (New York City, Boston, Lyon, Busan) demonstrate that SENSE achieves high visual fidelity and strong physical consistency, satisfying the ASHRAE standard metric. Experiments demonstrate that SENSE can generate enough annotated synthetic data using less than 20% labeled energy data, boosting downstream prediction performance by 10% IoU. Compared to SOTA urban energy prediction methods, SENSE significantly reduced prediction error (reduced 3%-11% NMBE and 1%-9% CVRMSE). This study offers an energy-efficiency urban planning and physical generation solution for urban science, energy science and building science. The dataset and code: https://huggingface.co/datasets/skl24/MUSE and https://github.com/kailaisun/GenAI4Urban-Energy/.

New item growth is critical for maintaining a healthy ecosystem in large-scale e-commerce platforms. However, existing systems tend to prioritize presenting users with already popular items, a phenomenon often referred to as the "Matthew effect". In the context of search retrieval, current cold-start models suffer from the misalignment between training objectives and online business metrics, and they lack effective mechanisms to measure an item's growth potential. In this paper, we propose a Multi-Value-Aware retrieval framework tailored for e-commerce search, designed to better align with the cascaded online values across different stages of the search system while balancing immediate conversion and long-term item growth. Our framework GrowthGR consists of two key components: an Item Long-term Transaction Value Prediction (ItemLTV) module and a Multi-Value-Aware Generative Retrieval (MultiGR) module. First, in the ItemLTV module, we employ counterfactual inference to quantify the long-term value increment attributable to a single user interaction. Second, in the MultiGR module, building upon a semantic-ID-based generative retrieval architecture, we leverage structured samples with the search cascade signals and adopt a Multi-Value-Aware Policy Optimization (MoPO) training paradigm to align with multi-stage online values, while explicitly balancing short-term transactional value and long-term growth potential estimated by ItemLTV. We successfully deployed GrowthGR on Taobao's production platform, achieving a substantial 5.3% lift in new item GMV while delivering a non-trivial 0.3% gain in overall search GMV. Extensive online analysis and A/B testing demonstrate its positive impact on the overall ecosystem value.

Our focus are five related questions that stem from a critical software studies perspective. Underpinning this view is the acknowledged need to avoid assumptions regarding the inevitability of the current situation relating to AI. What we need to see is the closeness of the linkage between current commercial AI development and our prevailing social, political and economic circumstances. This does mean that the perspectives presented here are done so critically and conditionally. Most importantly, Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is seen as being problematic both conceptually and definitionally. This conditioning of any view regarding AGI does lead the discussion in specific directions and to certain conclusions regarding the future. However, adopting this perspective enables the work to offer some final recommendations. We set out to ask the following questions, 1. What are the critical pathways that produced the current dominant generative AI tools (capabilities, product forms, adoption patterns)? 2. Which decision points acted as leverage nodes (small changes that had large downstream effects), and which dead ends reveal alternative possibilities that did not become dominant? 3. How do pathways differ across three foundational-model trajectories such as the frontier proprietary models, open-weight models or specific domain and sovereign models? 4. Which alternative projects branched from key leverage nodes, what is their current state, and why did some succeed, stall, fail or become absorbed? 5. Based on this analysis, what socio-technical development programmes could plausibly move toward AGI-adjacent capability while meeting requirements for transparency, moderation, wellbeing and sustainable business models?

The global transition toward sustainable economies is reshaping labor markets, yet systematic methods for identifying and forecasting green skills remain limited. This study presents a computational framework to measure and predict green skill demand using online job postings from Mexico's automotive industry, which contributes about 4% of national GDP. We compile a dataset of job advertisements from Indeed Mexico, OCC Mundial, and LinkedIn (July 2024 to July 2025), yielding 204,373 skill records. A two-stage pipeline combining multilingual embeddings and ESCO validation identifies 274 unique green skills across 8,576 occurrences (4.22% of all skills). We benchmark 15 time series forecasting models using a rolling origin evaluation. Transformer-based models, especially FEDformer, Reformer, and Informer, achieve the best performance, with MAE around 2.5e-5 and relative RMSE below 15. We further propose a framework to classify skills by absolute and relative growth, identifying stable, emerging, and high-impact competencies. Results show current demand is concentrated in operational sustainability practices, while the fastest-growing skills relate to renewable energy, recycling, and hydrogen technologies. This pipeline supports data-driven workforce planning in the green transition.

What looks like acceleration can be a quiet transfer of burden from the present to the future. Attempts to replace human labor with AI systems are often presented as rational responses to technological progress, but that view is often structurally short-sighted. Across software development and adjacent knowledge industries, AI is increasingly attractive because it appears to reduce labor costs, speed output, and improve short-term metrics. Yet those gains may be achieved by drawing down human capabilities that are slow to build and difficult to restore. This paper develops a mechanism of capability masking and capability erosion under AI labor substitution. AI-generated output can create the appearance that organizational capability has been replaced, even when dependence on skilled human labor remains. That appearance can support hiring restraint while slower costs accumulate in the background. Evidence from AI-assisted coding shows that generated output still requires substantial human verification and remains uneven in correctness, maintainability, and security. Repository-level studies also suggest limits in handling broader codebase context. More broadly, labor-market, political-economy, and industrial-strategy evidence suggests that substitution pressures are being driven by managerial cost incentives and national competition while increasing risks of concentration and platform control. The result is a system that may look more efficient in the short term while becoming more fragile over time.

Recognizing individual animals over time is central to many ecological and conservation questions, including estimating abundance, survival, movement, and social structure. Recent advances in automated identification from images and even acoustic data suggest that this process could be greatly accelerated, yet their promise has not translated well into ecological practice. We argue that the main barrier is not the performance of the automated methods themselves, but a mismatch between how those methods are typically developed and evaluated, and how ecological data is actually collected, processed, reviewed, and used. Future progress, therefore, will depend less on algorithmic gains alone than on recognizing that the usefulness of automated identification is grounded in ecological context: it depends on what question is being asked, what data are available, and what kinds of mistakes matter. Only by centering these questions can we move toward automated identification of individuals that is not only accurate but also ecologically useful, transparent, and trustworthy.

The United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a globally recognised framework for addressing major societal, environmental, and economic challenges. While recent advances in natural language processing (NLP) and large language models (LLMs) have enabled the automatic identification of SDG-related content, they do not capture whether the described events represent progress toward or regression from a specific goal. To address this gap, we introduce the novel task of SDG polarity detection and present SDG-POD, a benchmark dataset combining manually annotated and synthetically generated examples. We evaluate six state-of-the-art open-source LLMs under both zero-shot and fine-tuning settings and investigate the impact of synthetic data augmentation on model performance. Our results show that SDG polarity detection remains challenging for current LLMs; however, fine-tuned models, particularly QWQ-32B, achieve the best overall performance, with especially strong results on SDG-9, SDG-12, and SDG-15. Furthermore, we demonstrate that synthetic training data consistently improves model robustness and classification performance. This work introduces a new benchmark for SDG polarity detection and provides practical insights into developing LLM-based systems for sustainability monitoring.

Agricultural decision-making faces a dual challenge: sustaining high yields to meet global food security needs while reducing the environmental impacts of input use, including fertilizer losses and other agrochemical applications such as herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides. Nitrogen inputs are central to this tension. They are indispensable for crop growth yet major drivers of greenhouse gas emissions, nutrient runoff, and escalating production costs. Addressing these intertwined pressures requires adaptive decision-support tools that are statistically principled, economically sustainable and interpretable for practitioners. We develop nonlinear model-based bandit algorithms as a framework for adaptive fertilizer management under uncertainty. Building on classical mechanistic yield-response models, our approach links algorithmic exploration-exploitation strategies directly to interpretable biological processes such as maximum yield and nutrient efficiency. This grounding makes recommendations transparent for practitioners while supporting cost-effective and sustainable input use. Methodologically, we establish regret and sample complexity results for the well-specified nonlinear case, examine robustness under misspecification, and evaluate the proposed methods through profit-oriented simulations and an offline replay case study on publicly available multi-site corn nitrogen field trials from the U.S. Midwest. The results show that incorporating biologically meaningful mechanistic structure enables faster learning and higher profit as evidence accumulates, with flexible nonparametric baselines providing a competitive alternative in pooled and heterogeneous settings. Our findings illustrate how interpretable, uncertainty-aware sequential decision rules can support economically sustainable fertilizer recommendations and contribute to more efficient agricultural input use.