Finance

We present the first portfolio-level validation of MarketSenseAI, a deployed multi-agent LLM equity system. All signals are generated live at each observation date, eliminating look-ahead bias. The system routes four specialist agents (News, Fundamentals, Dynamics, and Macro) through a synthesis agent that issues a monthly equity thesis and recommendation for each stock in its coverage universe, and we ask two questions: do its buy recommendations add value over both passive benchmarks and random selection, and what does the internal agent structure reveal about the source of the edge? On the S&P 500 cohort (19 months) the strong-buy equal-weight portfolio earns +2.18%/month against a passive equal-weight benchmark of +1.15% (approximating RSP), a +25.2% compound excess, and ranks at the 99.7th percentile of 10,000 Monte Carlo portfolios (p=0.003). The S&P 100 cohort (35 months) delivers a +30.5% compound excess over EQWL with consistent direction but formal significance not reached, limited by the small average selection of ~10 stocks per month. Non-negative least-squares projection of thesis embeddings onto agent embeddings reveals an adaptive-integration mechanism. Agent contributions rotate with market regime (Fundamentals leads on S&P 500, Macro on S&P 100, Dynamics acts as an episodic momentum signal) and this agent rotation moves in lockstep with both the sector composition of strong-buy selections and identifiable macro-calendar events, three independent views of the same underlying adaptation. The recommendation's cross-sectional Information Coefficient is statistically significant on S&P 500 (ICIR=+0.489, p=0.024). These results suggest that multi-agent LLM equity systems can identify sources of alpha beyond what classical factor models capture, and that the buy signal functions as an effective universe-filter that can sit upstream of any portfolio-construction process.

Sparsity or complexity? In modern high-dimensional asset pricing, these are often viewed as competing principles: recent empirical evidence favors richer models, while economic intuition has long favored parsimony. We reconcile this tension by distinguishing capacity sparsity-restrictions on effective model capacity-from factor sparsity-the parsimonious structure of priced risks. Revisiting the benchmark empirical design of Didisheim et al. (2025), we combine nonlinear feature expansions with basis pursuit, using column generation and GPU acceleration to scale estimation to 432 million candidate factors. Reaching this scale reveals a reversal in out-of-sample performance: sparse portfolios trail dense ridgeless benchmarks at lower complexity but achieve a higher Sharpe ratio and lower pricing error at the largest candidate set. Capacity expansion and factor sparsity are therefore complements: enlarging the candidate space allows a parsimonious pricing kernel to outperform its dense counterpart.

Recent deployments of large language models (LLMs) as autonomous trading agents raise questions about whether financial decision-making competence generalizes beyond specific market patterns and how it should be trained and evaluated in noisy markets lacking ground truth. We propose a structured framework for training and evaluating such models. Central to our approach is a curated, multiple-choice question (MCQ) dataset derived from classic textbooks and historical markets, verified by an AI committee, enriched with structured reasoning traces, and augmented to reduce shortcut learning. To evaluate whether performance on isolated MCQs generalizes to real-world trading, we introduce a two-stage protocol combining test-set evaluation with an MCQ-based chronological trading simulation. Extensive evaluations across market regimes provide statistically robust evidence that open models trained with our framework exhibit competitive, risk-aware behavior over time, outperform open-source baselines, and approach frontier-model performance at smaller scale. We release the dataset and evaluation framework to support further research.

We introduce JFinTEB, the first comprehensive benchmark specifically designed for evaluating Japanese financial text embeddings. Existing embedding benchmarks provide limited coverage of language-specific and domain-specific aspects found in Japanese financial texts. Our benchmark encompasses diverse task categories including retrieval and classification tasks that reflect realistic and well-defined financial text processing scenarios. The retrieval tasks leverage instruction-following datasets and financial text generation queries, while classification tasks cover sentiment analysis, document categorization, and domain-specific classification challenges derived from economic survey data. We conduct extensive evaluations across a wide range of embedding models, including Japanese-specific models of various sizes, multilingual models, and commercial embedding services. We publicly release JFinTEB datasets and evaluation framework at https://github.com/retarfi/JFinTEB to facilitate future research and provide a standardized evaluation protocol for the Japanese financial text mining community. This work addresses a critical gap in Japanese financial text processing resources and establishes a foundation for advancing domain-specific embedding research.

The proliferation of financial misinformation poses a severe threat to market stability and investor trust, misleading market behavior and creating critical information asymmetry. Detecting such misleading narratives is inherently challenging, particularly in real-world scenarios where external evidence or supplementary references for cross-verification are strictly unavailable. This paper presents our winning methodology for the "Reference-Free Financial Misinformation Detection" shared task. Built upon the recently proposed RFC-BENCH framework (Jiang et al. 2026), this task challenges models to determine the veracity of financial claims by relying solely on internal semantic understanding and contextual consistency, rather than external fact-checking. To address this formidable evaluation setup, we propose a comprehensive framework that capitalizes on the reasoning capabilities of state-of-the-art Large Language Models (LLMs). Our approach systematically integrates in-context learning, specifically zero-shot and few-shot prompting strategies, with Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) to optimally align the models with the subtle linguistic cues of financial manipulation. Our proposed system demonstrated superior efficacy, successfully securing the first-place ranking on both official leaderboards. Specifically, we achieved an accuracy of 95.4% on the public test set and 96.3% on the private test set, highlighting the robustness of our method and contributing to the acceleration of context-aware misinformation detection in financial Natural Language Processing. Our models (14B and 32B) are available at https://huggingface.co/KaiNKaiho.

Synthetic augmentation is increasingly used to mitigate data scarcity in financial machine learning, yet its statistical role remains poorly understood. We formalize synthetic augmentation as a modification of the effective training distribution and show that it induces a structural bias--variance trade-off: while additional samples may reduce estimation error, they may also shift the population objective whenever the synthetic distribution deviates from regions relevant under evaluation. To isolate informational gains from mechanical sample-size effects, we introduce a size-matched null augmentation and a finite-sample, non-parametric block permutation test that remains valid under weak temporal dependence. We evaluate this framework in both controlled Markov-switching environments and real financial datasets, including high-frequency option trade data and a daily equity panel. Across generators spanning bootstrap, copula-based models, variational autoencoders, diffusion models, and TimeGAN, we vary augmentation ratio, model capacity, task type, regime rarity, and signal-to-noise. We show that synthetic augmentation is beneficial only in variance-dominant regimes, such as persistent volatility forecasting-while it deteriorates performance in bias-dominant settings, including near-efficient directional prediction. Rare-regime targeting can improve domain-specific metrics but may conflict with unconditional permutation inference. Our results provide a structural perspective on when synthetic data improves financial learning performance and when it induces persistent distributional distortion.

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems for financial document QA typically follow a chunk-based paradigm: documents are split into fragments, embedded, and retrieved by similarity. In structurally homogeneous corpora such as regulatory filings, this suffers from cross-document chunk confusion. Semantic File Routing (SFR), which uses LLM structured output to route queries to whole documents, reduces catastrophic failures but sacrifices targeted-chunk precision. We identify this robustness-precision trade-off on the FinDER benchmark (1,500 queries across five groups): SFR achieves higher average scores (6.45 vs. 6.02) and fewer failures (10.3% vs. 22.5%), while chunk-based retrieval (CBR) yields more perfect answers (13.8% vs. 8.5%). To resolve it, we propose Hybrid Document-Routed Retrieval (HDRR), a two-stage architecture that uses SFR as a document filter followed by chunk retrieval scoped to the identified document(s), eliminating cross-document confusion while preserving chunk precision. HDRR achieves the best performance on every metric: an average score of 7.54 (25.2% above CBR, 16.9% above SFR), a 6.4% failure rate, 67.7% correctness (+18.7 pp over CBR), and a 20.1% perfect-answer rate (+6.3 pp over CBR, +11.6 pp over SFR), simultaneously attaining the lowest failure rate and highest precision across all five groups. Beyond accuracy, HDRR is also the most efficient of the high-quality systems: it preserves CBR's compact per-query token budget (~5K-15K, an order of magnitude below SFR's ~50K-200K), incurs no indexing-time LLM spend (versus the one-time ~$100 cost of contextual indexing), and uses fewer per-query LLM calls than self-correcting agentic baselines, translating directly to lower API spend and inference-time energy at deployment scale.

Large language models are increasingly used to generate financial alpha signals, but many have memorized the historical data in their training corpora, producing apparent accuracy that collapses out of sample. Membership inference attacks (MIA) have been proposed as a diagnostic. What has not been established is whether MIA scores are informative about memorization in this setting, or whether signal-level filtering built on them helps once realistic costs are applied.We introduce MemGuard-Alpha, comprising a composite contamination score combining five MIA methods with a temporal proximity feature, and Cross-Model Memorization Disagreement, which exploits variation in training cutoffs across models. We then audit both. Across seven LLMs (124M-7B), 50 S&P 100 constituents, 42,800 prompts and 299,600 prompt-model MIA scores spanning 2019-2024, three findings emerge.First, where in-sample status is defined by a training cutoff, a temporal proximity feature recovers that label perfectly (ROC-AUC 1.000) because it is a monotone transform of the defining variable; any composite score containing such a feature reports separation that is arithmetic rather than detection. Second, the discriminative power of the MIA scores is largely attributable to scale differences between models: asked at a fixed date which models had that date in training, raw scores appear highly informative (AUC up to 0.99), but under three independent within-model normalizations discrimination falls to 0.487-0.537. Third, with transaction costs applied symmetrically, no filtering variant improves risk-adjusted performance over the unfiltered ensemble, none attains significant Fama-French five-factor alpha, and excluding the single weakest model outperforms every contamination-based filter.We report these as negative results with the failure modes that produced them, and release all artifacts needed to reproduce them.

Adapting large language models (LLMs) to specialized financial reasoning typically requires expensive fine-tuning that produces model-locked expertise. Training-free alternatives have emerged, yet our experiments show that leading methods (GEPA and ACE) achieve only marginal gains on the FAMMA financial reasoning benchmark, exposing the limits of unstructured text optimization for complex, multi-step domain reasoning. We introduce Automated Skill Distillation and Adaptation (ASDA), a framework that automatically generates structured skill artifacts through iterative error-corrective learning without modifying model weights. A teacher model analyzes a student model's failures on financial reasoning tasks, clusters errors by subfield and error type, and synthesizes skill files containing reasoning procedures, code templates, and worked examples, which are dynamically injected during inference. Evaluated on FAMMA, ASDA achieves up to +17.33% improvement on arithmetic reasoning and +5.95% on non-arithmetic reasoning, substantially outperforming all training-free baselines. The resulting skill artifacts are human-readable, version-controlled, and compatible with the Agent Skills open standard, offering any organization with a labeled domain dataset a practical and auditable path to domain adaptation without weight access or retraining.

In this paper, we propose LingDT-VL-OCR, a document parsing system tailored to financial-domain documents, transforming ultra-long financial PDFs into semantically consistent, highly accurate, structured outputs with auditing-grade provenance. To address finance-specific challenges such as complex layouts, cross-page structural discontinuities, and cell-level referencing capability, LingDT-VL-OCR combines (1) a Cross-page Contents Consolidation algorithm to restore continuity across pages and a Document-level Heading Hierarchy Reconstruction (DHR) module to build a globally consistent Table of Contents (TOC) tree for structure-aware retrieval, and (2) a difficulty-adaptive curriculum learning training strategy for table parsing, together with a CellBBoxRegressor module that uses structural anchor tokens to localize table cells from decoder hidden states without external detectors. Experiments demonstrate that our model shows high performance on the Overall metric of OmniDocBench. To enable realistic evaluation in the financial vertical, we further introduce FinDocBench, a benchmark that includes six financial document categories with expert-verified annotations and evaluation metrics including Table of Contents edit-distance-based similarity (TocEDS), cross-page concatenated TEDS, and Table Cell Intersection over Union (C-IoU). We evaluate a wide range of state-of-the-art models on FinDocBench to assess their capabilities and remaining limitations on financial documents. Overall, LingDT-VL-OCR and FinDocBench provide a practical foundation for reliable downstream financial document applications.

Existing LLM safety evaluations rely on binary attack-success rates and domain-agnostic taxonomies, leaving regulated Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) deployments exposed to failures elicited through legally or professionally plausible framing. We introduce RAHS (Risk-Adjusted Harm Score), a risk-sensitive metric jointly capturing disclosure severity, disclaimer mitigation, and inter-judge agreement, and FinRedTeamBench, a 989-prompt benchmark spanning seven BFSI risk areas and 34 sub-categories mapped to regulatory frameworks. Evaluation uses an ensemble of three heterogeneous LLM judges, validated against human experts, and an adaptive multi-turn red-teaming pipeline. On nine open-weight models, RAHS preserves separation under near-ceiling ASR, ranking is stable under hyperparameter sweeps, and multi-turn pressure drives not only more jailbreaks but more operationally severe disclosures, exposing failure modes that single-turn, domain-agnostic evaluations cannot reveal.

Asset retrieval (finding similar assets in a financial universe) is central to quantitative investment decision-making. Existing approaches define similarity through historical price patterns or sector classifications, but such backward-looking criteria provide no guarantee about future behavior. We argue that effective asset retrieval should be future-aligned: the retrieved assets should be those most likely to exhibit correlated future returns. To this end, we propose Future-Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning (FASCL), a representation learning framework whose soft contrastive loss uses pairwise future return correlations as continuous supervision targets. We further introduce an evaluation protocol designed to directly assess whether retrieved assets share similar future trajectories. Experiments on 5,631 US-listed securities against 14 baselines show that FASCL attains the best future return correlation at every retrieval depth and the best rank information coefficient at every depth and horizon, leads on trend consistency in 13 of 16 cells, and gives the highest gross Sharpe ratio in a spread trading backtest at every basket size. Code is available at https://github.com/HyeongminLEE/fascl .

Credit exposure in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) is often implicit and token-mediated, creating a dense web of inter-protocol dependencies. Thus, a shock to one token may result in significant and uncontrolled contagion effects. As the DeFi ecosystem becomes increasingly linked with traditional financial infrastructure through instruments, such as stablecoins, the risk posed by this dynamic demands more powerful quantification tools. We introduce DeXposure-FM, the first time-series, graph foundation model for measuring and forecasting inter-protocol credit exposure on DeFi networks, to the best of our knowledge. Employing a graph-tabular encoder, with pre-trained weight initialization, and multiple task-specific heads, DeXposure-FM is trained on the DeXposure dataset that has 43.7 million data entries, across 4,300+ protocols on 602 blockchains, covering 24,300+ unique tokens. The training is operationalized for credit-exposure forecasting, predicting the joint dynamics of (1) protocol-level flows, and (2) the topology and weights of credit-exposure links. The DeXposure-FM is empirically validated on two machine learning benchmarks; it consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art approaches, including a graph foundation model and temporal graph neural networks. DeXposure-FM further produces financial economics tools that support macroprudential monitoring and scenario-based DeFi stress testing, by enabling protocol-level systemic-importance scores, sector-level spillover and concentration measures via a forecast-then-measure pipeline. Empirical verification fully supports our financial economics tools. The model and code have been publicly available. Model: https://huggingface.co/EVIEHub/DeXposure-FM. Code: https://github.com/EVIEHub/DeXposure-FM.

Do the functional narratives in cryptocurrency whitepapers correspond to how their tokens behave in markets? We develop a content-verified, contamination-aware pipeline for measuring structural correspondence between project narratives and market structure, and report two results. The first is a cautionary one. An apparent entity-level signal in an earlier version of our corpus -- specialised tokens appearing to align more strongly than broad infrastructure tokens -- was entirely an artifact of corpus contamination: roughly a quarter of the documents were failed-download stubs or wrong-document whitepapers (for example, a "Cosmos" entry that was in fact Binance Smart Chain text), and the apparent ordering does not survive content verification: on the clean corpus no token registers as helping alignment. We therefore report it as a contamination diagnosis, not a finding. The second is an honest null. Combining zero-shot NLP classification of 43 content-verified whitepapers across 10 semantic categories with seven cross-sectional market-structure statistics computed from hourly data (17,543 timestamps, 2023-2024), and aligning the two spaces with Procrustes rotation and Tucker's congruence coefficient ($φ$), we do not detect a significant claims-market alignment in this $n = 43$ sample (dimension-matched $φ= 0.303$, zero-padded $φ= 0.223$; both non-significant). A positive-control and power analysis shows the binding constraint is the low reliability of the text instrument: the minimum detectable effect is $φ\approx 0.66$, well above the observed $\approx 0.22$. This is absence of evidence for alignment, not evidence of its absence -- we can reject strong alignment ($φ\geq 0.70$) but cannot distinguish weak alignment ($φ\approx 0.3$) from none.

Large language models are becoming increasingly significant in financial applications. Nevertheless, prevailing benchmarks are largely dependent on simulated or generic data, which leads to a significant gap between reported performance and actual efficacy in real-world scenarios. To tackle this challenge, we present BizFinBench.v2, the first integrated offline and online benchmark built upon authentic user query-response data from both Chinese and U.S. equity markets. It comprises 28,860 questions across eight offline and two online tasks. Experimental results show that GPT-5 achieves a mere 61.5% accuracy, still failing to meet the practical business requirement (84.8%). Among the evaluated commercial models, DeepSeek-R1 exhibits superior investment efficacy. Error analysis grounded in real financial practice reveals persistent limitations in existing models. By overcoming the constraints of prior benchmarks, BizFinBench.v2 provides a substantiated foundation for advancing LLM deployment in the financial sector. Our data and code are available at https://github.com/HiThink-Research/BizFinBench.v2.

We study how generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) reshapes financial analysts' information production. Using the 2023 integration of GenAI into FACTSET as a plausibly exogenous change in AI access, we find that FACTSET-associated reports become markedly richer--featuring 26% more distinct information sources, 24% broader topical coverage, and 21% more analytical methods--while also improving timeliness. However, these gains do not uniformly improve decision quality: relative forecast accuracy declines when analysts face greater information-processing demands. Yet, a machine-learning benchmark processing the same observable inputs shows no analogous deterioration, pointing to a human processing constraint rather than poorer underlying information. Placebo tests using other data vendors make a common platform-wide technology trend unlikely. Overall, GenAI relaxes information-acquisition constraints while making human attention a more important bottleneck.

Understanding the economic intent of Ethereum transactions is critical for user safety, yet current tools expose only raw on-chain data or surface-level intent, leading to widespread ``blind signing'' (approving transactions without understanding them). Through interviews with 16 Web3 users, we find that effective explanations should be structured, risk-aware, and grounded at the token-flow level. Motivated by these findings, we formulate TxSum, a new domain-grounded NLP task for DeFi transaction explanation, and construct a dataset of 187 complex Ethereum transactions with 2,375 token-flow annotations and transaction-level summaries. We further introduce MATEX, a grounded multi-agent framework for high-stakes transaction explanation. It selectively retrieves external knowledge under uncertainty and audits explanations against raw traces to improve token-flow-level factual consistency. MATEX achieves the strongest overall explanation quality, especially on micro-level factuality and intent quality. It improves user comprehension on complex transactions from 52.9% to 76.5% over the strongest baseline and raises malicious-transaction rejection from 36.0% to 88.0%, while maintaining a low false-rejection rate on benign transactions.

Financial text embeddings must distinguish changes in event status, perspective, and obligations even when passages share similar wording. NMIXX adapts existing encoders through 18.8k source-linked triplets: paraphrases and Korean-English translations preserve meaning, while targeted financial rewrites introduce semantic contrasts. We examine this recipe across seven backbones on English and Korean financial and general-domain semantic textual similarity (STS), and analyze the composition and passage lengths of KorFinSTS. BGE-M3 attains the highest adapted financial correlations in this comparison, improving from 0.1969 to 0.2967 on FinSTS and from 0.0512 to 0.2732 on KorFinSTS. Its general English and Korean correlations decrease by 0.0391 and 0.0463. Across the seven models, five improve their mean financial correlation, but all reduce their mean general-domain correlation. Per-language comparisons and benchmark-weight sensitivity analysis reveal differences obscured by a single aggregate score. The study contributes a finance-specific supervision design and evidence for evaluating adaptation jointly with retained general semantic capability; direct cross-language retrieval remains outside its evaluation scope.

Reliable evaluation of large language models (LLMs) is critical as their deployment rapidly expands, particularly in high-stakes domains such as business and finance. The LLM-as-a-Judge framework, which uses prompted LLMs to evaluate response quality, is appealing due to its scalability, low cost, and strong correlations with human stylistic preferences. However, it remains unclear how accurately these methods can assess response quality in domains where correctness matters more than style. To address this gap, we introduce the Business and Finance Fundamentals Benchmark (BFF-Bench), a dataset of 160 challenging questions and long-form responses authored by financial professionals. These experts subsequently evaluated the correctness of 1,200 responses generated by a diverse set of LLMs on both BFF-Bench and a challenging subset of MT-Bench. With this expert-annotated dataset of judgments (VERDICTS), we analyze the agreement between a suite of automated grading methods and human experts. While we observe that LLM Judges are more reliable than other grading methods, our findings reveal a clear pattern in LLM Judge performance: when not provided with a correct reference, judges show high agreement with human experts only on questions the judges were able to correctly answer themselves. We demonstrate that providing the judges with expert-written references largely mitigates this issue, highlighting the limits of using LLM-as-a-Judge without any form of human verification.

Quantum Support Vector Machine is a kernel-based approach to classification problems. We study the applicability of quantum kernels to financial data, specifically our self-curated Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSEx) Broad Index dataset. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first systematic study of quantum kernels applied to this dataset. Working within the empirical quantum advantage (EQA) framework of Krunic et al., we benchmark several quantum kernels against a classical RBF-kernel SVM baseline, propose the best-performing kernel for this dataset, and relate the observations to the Phase Space Terrain Ruggedness Index metric. We estimate the resources needed to carry out these investigations on a larger scale for future practitioners.

We show that a deep neural network (DNN) trained to construct a stochastic discount factor (SDF) admits an additive decomposition separating nonlinear characteristic discovery from the pricing rule that aggregates them. This decomposition yields a linear factor representation governed by the Portfolio Tangent Kernel (PTK), which summarizes the network's learned features. In population, the implied SDF converges to a ridge-regularized version of the true SDF, with the degree of regularization determined by spectral complexity. Empirically, using U.S. equity data, the PTK representation delivers economically and statistically significant performance gains, while rising spectral complexity imposes tighter limits on finite-sample pricing.

Classification outperforms regression across matched machine learning models in portfolio construction. A stacking ensemble of gradient boosted tree, random forest, and neural network yields a value-weighted annualized Sharpe ratio of 1.83 for classification and 1.11 for regression. This outperformance persists in multiclass settings, across subsamples, and after transaction costs. Spanning tests show that classification retains economically large alphas after we control for regression, whereas regression alphas shrink substantially once we control for classification. These results indicate that classification extracts more return information than matched regression. Our diagnostics trace classification's advantage to sharper and more precise separation of return deciles.

We examine whether financial news can improve realised volatility forecasting using a parsimonious NLP-based framework that incorporates specialised financial word embeddings alongside general-purpose alternatives. News-only forecasts contain useful predictive information but generally do not outperform strong volatility-history benchmarks. Crucially, combining stock-related news forecasts with a strong volatility-history benchmark lowers forecast losses for several specifications and increases realised utility, providing evidence consistent with forecast complementarity. Performance varies across news types, embedding representations, and volatility regimes. SHAP attributions associate forecast variation with economically interpretable firm-specific and macroeconomic news themes.

Statistical fairness metrics in AI-driven credit decisions conflate two causally distinct mechanisms: discrimination operating directly from a protected attribute to a credit outcome, and structural inequality propagating through legitimate financial features. We formalise this distinction using Pearl's framework of natural direct and indirect effects applied to the credit decision setting. Our primary theoretical contribution is an identification strategy for natural direct and indirect effects under treatment-induced confounding -- the prevalent setting in which protected attributes causally affect both financial mediators and the final decision, violating standard sequential ignorability. We show that interventional direct and indirect effects (IDE/IIE) are identified under the weaker Modified Sequential Ignorability assumption, and prove that IDE/IIE provide conservative bounds on the unidentified natural effects under monotone indirect treatment response. We propose a doubly-robust augmented inverse probability weighted (AIPW) estimator for IDE/IIE with semiparametric efficiency properties, implemented via cross-fitting. An E-value sensitivity analysis addresses residual confounding on the direct pathway. Empirical evaluation on 89,465 real HMDA conventional purchase mortgage applications from New York State (2022) demonstrates that approximately 77% of the observed 7.9 percentage-point racial denial disparity operates through financial mediators shaped by structural inequality, while the remaining 23% constitutes a conservative lower bound on direct discrimination. The open-source CausalFair Python package implements the full pipeline for deployment at resource-constrained financial institutions.

Although large language model agents are increasingly applied to quantitative-finance workflows, their evaluation remains fragmented across isolated tasks, while the financial relevance of benchmark tasks is often overlooked. Yet financial workflows are inherently multi-stage, spanning interdependent tasks such as forecasting, strategy construction, risk management, and trading. Existing platforms typically focus on a single task, and can therefore overstate agent competence and fail to reveal weaknesses in generalization, real-market interaction, and financially meaningful decision-making. We introduce OpenFinGym, a unified gym environment for quantitative-finance agent development that covers forecasting, market generation, real-time trading, and fraud detection under a single execution and verification interface. OpenFinGym additionally provides an automated task-construction pipeline that turns quantitative finance publications into executable task packages; a containerised runtime with a host-side verifier service that supports scalable agent rollouts and prevents runtime train-test leakage; a paper trading engine with a low-latency data-stream design; deferred-resolution support for long-horizon and event-market forecasts; and integration for SFT and RL post-training

Retrieval over financial filings is difficult because queries are short and acronym-heavy while the answer-bearing evidence sits inside long, table-dense documents. We study sparse-dense hybrid retrieval on FinDER, a benchmark of expert-annotated questions over corporate 10-K filings. Our first finding is methodological: if the retrieval unit is larger than the dense encoder's input window, the dense model never sees a large share of the labeled evidence, confounding comparison against a full-text sparse baseline. We measure this directly and reduce the imbalance with windows chosen for the encoder budget. On this corpus, fusing BM25 and a compact dense encoder improves reference-level Hit@10 by roughly 28 percent over either component, and training-free, untuned reciprocal rank fusion exceeds the equal-weight blend in an exploratory comparison. We then ask whether choosing the fusion weight per query helps: an oracle over the interpolation-weight grid shows headroom of 21.8 percent, yet none of the three lightweight adaptive routers (a score-confidence heuristic, a random forest over query features, and a ridge regressor over query embeddings) establishes a statistically reliable improvement over the fixed blend under company-grouped cross-validation with cluster-robust inference. Simple fusion is a strong baseline here, and we discuss why per-query weighting does not capture the available headroom.

As AI increasingly participates in human decision making, understanding how decision-making authority is distributed between humans and AI has become a fundamental behavioural question. We introduce a behavioural measurement framework combining intent and delegated decision authority to quantify what consumers seek from AI and how much decision-making authority they assign to it. Applied to 1.5 million real-world ChatGPT and Gemini interactions from 6,304 users in the United States and India, we find that financial services are already a substantial AI use case. Consumers overwhelmingly use AI to retrieve information and shape financial judgement, while delegation of financial execution remains rare. By shifting attention from conversation topics to delegated decision authority, this work establishes a behavioural baseline for measuring the transition to increasingly agentic AI.

Financial institutions need an independent way to detect missing, stale, and misclassified corporate-event records in vendor databases. We introduce Search-to-Record, a database-assurance task in which search-enabled large language models reconstruct institution-defined event records from public sources for a known security universe and historical cutoff, and DelistBench, a 1,200-record benchmark for security-level delisting announcements. We evaluate five models in paired closed-book and web-enabled conditions. Web access raises announcement-date accuracy within seven days by 34.0 to 48.0 percentage points and event-status accuracy by approximately 2.8 to 21.7 points; the best system achieves 81.5% overall joint accuracy within seven days. Economy web systems achieve 75.9-78.3% overall joint accuracy within seven days at 4.5-6.6% of the API cost of the most expensive web system. Risk-based triage identifies low-error subsets, although the highest-coverage operating point still sends 27.3% of the balanced test set to review. The evaluation identifies web retrieval as the main source of timing gains and shows that low-cost systems can approach the best system's accuracy. Together, Search-to-Record, DelistBench, and the evaluation provide concrete deployment guidance: calibrate triage to local event prevalence and market mix, preserve positive-event recall, and route positive and ambiguous cases to targeted review.

Transaction-local controls answer whether one financial request may proceed, but market behavior can be distributed across messages, agents, assets, and time. We study this interpretation gap in a virtual exchange populated by ten role-conditioned language-model agents. The agents communicate, trade reference assets and futures, launch tokens, and manage concentrated-liquidity pools under prescriptive adversarial roles. We analyze eight 72-cycle trajectories across two time-blinded hourly replay paths, with a runner-side wallet policy enabled or disabled. The retained artifacts connect generated outgoing messages, policy events, balances, positions, and cycle-end market state. A focal reconstruction shows a launch--promotion--exit scenario realized across private coordination, public claims, follower positioning, repeatedly withheld exits, and a later non-blocking request aligned with a token balance change. Across policy-enabled runs, the gate withholds direct requests selectively; most policy-categorized candidates are flagged rather than blocked, while the surrounding interaction can continue. Repeated runs also show that category-level and within-trajectory relations can recur even when normalized score-change rankings do not. These findings motivate agent-behavior evaluation that links communication, authorization, and evolving state instead of treating individual transaction verdicts as complete safety judgments.