Interpretable ML
ML: Machine Learning
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19 papers in the last four weeks, up 58% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.
Latest papers 206
Learning systems based on IF-THEN rule representations readily offer interpretability, making them a crucial focus in contemporary AI research. A key objective for such rule sets is to achieve both high discriminative power and interpretability. While existing state-of-the-art algorithms implicitly prioritize predictive accuracy, they often fall short on one or more quality metrics that ensure interpretability, such as coverage and parsimony of rule sets. Motivated by this, this paper propose the development of CDPR, which aims to create highly accurate and interpretable rule sets for classification problems. To the best of our knowledge, this represents the first attempt to establish such an approach. In this study, we introduce two algorithms rooted in submodular maximization, which not only provide provable guarantees on coverage but also yield rule sets that are both discriminative and parsimonious. We empirically demonstrate that rule sets learned through our approaches achieve higher accuracy and interpretability and has more than a 2.5-fold improvement in average coverage rates when compared to the next best algorithm.
Simultaneous Latent Budget Trees for Stratified Classification
In the era of Explainable Artificial Intelligence, there is a renewed focus on single trees for their ease of interpretation. This paper introduces Simultaneous Latent Budget Trees, a probabilistic machine learning framework for classification trees in the presence of a stratification factor such as a temporal, spatial, or demographic variable, acting as a control variable or potential confounder. Standard tree growth procedures are not designed to optimize a conditional split rule. A model-based split rule is proposed in which child nodes are interpreted as latent components of a simultaneous mixture model, such as the Simultaneous Latent Budget Model and its constrained versions, fitted to the parent node. Mixing parameters drive the observations, differently for each group, to the child nodes whereas latent budgets parameters update the response classes profile of each level of the control variable. Parameters are estimated by least squares considering a neural network perspective of the model. An informative tree structure can be interactively visualized with interpretation aids on the node and the paths, including visual pruning and decision tree selection procedure. Suitable measures are proposed to handle an unbalanced response class distribution. The proposed methodology is applied to investigate gender-related differences in disease progression of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis. The SLBT library with the various tree-based algorithms is available in the linked GitHub repository.
Information Lattice Learning as Probabilistic Graphical Model Structure Learning
Information lattice learning (ILL) learns interpretable rules of a signal by alternately projecting the signal onto a partition lattice that encodes a hierarchy of abstractions and lifting selected rules back to the signal domain. When the signal is a probability mass function, we show the probabilistic rules learned by ILL admit a natural probabilistic graphical model (PGM) interpretation and develop this interpretation in detail. A partition in ILL induces a deterministic quotient variable, and a rule is the marginal law of that quotient variable. A rule set is therefore a collection of marginal constraints over interpretable abstractions. General lifting is the feasible family of all joint distributions satisfying those constraints, while special lifting chooses a maximum-ignorance reconstruction, implemented in ILL by an L2 uniformity principle closely related to maximum entropy. Under a Shannon-entropy lifting, the same constraints yield a log-linear factor graph whose factors are indexed by learned abstractions. The information lattice itself, however, is not a Bayesian network: its edges encode refinement and coarsening of abstractions, not conditional dependence. Thus ILL is best viewed as structure learning for interpretable constraint-based factor graphs over quotient variables. This view clarifies how ILL relates to graphical models and maximum entropy models, while suggesting new directions for inference, identifiability, and hybrid symbolic-probabilistic learning.
Interpretable Factor Decomposition for Decision Intelligence in Large-Scale Financial Markets: Evidence from China's A-Share Market
We present an interpretable machine learning pipeline to decompose Cross-Sectional Equity Return Predictability into auditable factor contribution. We apply an XGBoost model with TreeSHAP attribution and conduct stress testing on 3632 Chinese A-share stocks from 2009 until 2019. Using 60-month, rolling windows over 55 months of out-of-sample data, XGBoost obtains a mean AUC of 0.547 and +2.38%/month (Newey-West t = 5.94; Annualized Sharpe 2.23) long-short spread for the top vs bottom quintiles. This alpha is persistent after adjusting for the Carhart four-factor model (+2.31%/month; t = 7.48). SHAP Decomposition indicates that behavioral signals (turnover and momentum) account for 58.2% of predictive attribution compared to 10.7% for valuation ratios, on average, across 55 industry groups. Ablation analysis serves to cross-validate this ranking and provides evidence that SHAP and ablation diverge in a manner that highlights feature substitutability structure that is largely invisible to either method used in isolation.
CLARITree: Cholesky and Lookahead Accelerations for Regression with Interpretable Piecewise Linear Trees
Regression trees are among the most interpretable yet expressive model classes in machine learning. Historically, greedy induction has been the dominant approach for constructing well-performing regression trees. While optimal methods based on dynamic programming and branch-and-bound exist, they are computationally prohibitive for general linear regression trees, despite often achieving substantially better performance than greedy approaches. Recent work has shown that specialized lookahead strategies can dramatically improve runtime while maintaining near-optimal performance, primarily in classification settings. In this work, we develop a novel algorithm for near-optimal, sparse, piecewise linear regression trees that combines a lookahead-style search strategy with efficient rank-one Cholesky updates of the Gram matrix. We demonstrate, both theoretically and empirically, that our method achieves a favorable trade-off between computational efficiency, predictive accuracy, and sparsity, and scales significantly better than the current state of the art.
The Standard Interpretable Model: A general theory of interpretable machine learning to deductively design interpretable methods using Lagrangian mechanics
As Artificial Intelligence models grow in complexity, interpretability has become an indispensable tool for understanding, debugging, and controlling their computations. However, interpretability lacks general theories to deductively design interpretable methods. This gap between theories and methods results in a fragmented literature and inconsistent evaluation protocols. To fill this gap, we introduce the Standard Interpretable Model (SIM), a general theory grounded in Lagrangian mechanics that enables the deductive design of interpretable methods. Specifically, the SIM summarises, in a set of premises, what interpretability is for a target user. From these premises, the SIM systematically derives interpretability symmetries and corresponding constraints, which shape the landscape of a Lagrangian whose minima correspond to optimal interpretable models. To reach the minima, one can either update the parameter values of an opaque model to make it more interpretable or compile constraints into an interpretable architecture. We empirically show that the SIM identifies and solves limitations of existing methods (including traditional, concept-based, and mechanistic interpretability), highlights underexplored research directions, and informs the design of core programming interfaces. Beyond being a research method, the deductive nature of the SIM offers pedagogical grounding for interpretability curricula and may shift the scientific community's perspective of a discipline that has long been fragmented.
3D-CBM: A Framework for Concept-Based Interpretability in Generative 3D Modeling
This research introduces a framework for incorporating Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) into 3D generative architectures to address the inherent 'semantic gap' in deep geometric learning. As deep models become central to 3D content creation, explainability shifts from a peripheral feature to a fundamental requirement for trust and accountability in safety-critical domains such as healthcare and manufacturing. CBMs provide an intrinsic interpretability solution by constraining latent representations to align with human-defined concepts, yet their application to unstructured 3D data remains largely unexplored. We design, implement, and validate a formal 3D-CBM architecture that maps raw geometric inputs, including point clouds and meshes, into a multi-tiered taxonomy of interpretable primitives and functional attributes. The framework further identifies strategic datasets, such as PartNet and ShapeNet, specialized for concept-based supervision. Experimental results from a 3D part-manipulation proof-of-concept experiment demonstrate the framework's efficacy, achieving a concept prediction accuracy of 88.8% and a Chamfer Distance of 0.0115. Critically, the model enables precise test-time intervention, allowing for the interactive correction of structural errors. This work establishes a foundation for semantically-steerable 3D generation and invites further exploration into collaborative human-in-the-loop design systems.
In Defense of Information Leakage in Concept-based Models
Concept-based models (CMs), deep neural networks that ground their predictions on representations aligned with human-understandable concepts (e.g., "round", "stripes", etc.), have been shown to learn representations that leak concept-irrelevant information. As the traditional narrative goes, this leakage is undesirable and should be eradicated as it leads to uninterpretable models. In this paper, we posit that this conventional view of leakage in CMs is not only ill-posed, as the evidence of how leakage makes a model less interpretable is often inconclusive, but also bound to lead to impractical CMs under common real-world constraints. Specifically, we argue that in real-world settings where concept incompleteness is the norm, some leakage is often necessary for constructing accurate and intervenable CMs. To this end, we propose that there is such a thing as benign leakage and show that, by optimizing a reframing of the typical CM training objective, CMs can encourage and exploit this form of leakage without sacrificing accuracy or intervenability.
Profy: Interpretable Visualization of Expertise-Dependent Motor Skills Toward Supporting Piano Practice
The quality of piano performance depends on nuanced timing, articulation, and dynamic control, but practice feedback is often summary-based and hard to act on. We introduce Profy, a weakly supervised system that learns from take-level labels derived from aggregated listener ratings (expert-labeled vs. amateur-labeled) to produce time-aligned highlights for review during piano practice. We collected synchronized 1 kHz key-motion and audio from 73 pianists and used 1,083 valid takes for modeling and evaluation. The model outputs clip-level predictions together with evidence scores on a shared resampled model time base for visualization. On 20 amateur clips from short technique studies annotated by 21 expert pianists, the displayed highlight score aligns with passages that expert pianists marked for review despite training without localized labels (Pearson r=0.61, ROC-AUC 0.75). Rather than summarizing a take with a single global score, Profy helps learners decide where to inspect next by supporting scrubbing, looping, and focused replay of time-localized passages associated with expert-amateur differences.
SSL-GMMVC: Interpretable Voice Conversion via Locally Linear GMM Transforms in Self-Supervised Representation Space
We introduce SSL-GMMVC, an interpretable voice conversion method in self-supervised speech space. The method models paired source-target features with a Gaussian mixture model and performs conversion as a posterior-weighted sum of affine transforms. This yields locally linear transformations that adapt to heterogeneous feature-space structure while remaining analytically tractable. Through objective and subjective evaluations, we show that SSL-GMMVC improves speaker similarity with comparable intelligibility and naturalness, and that even a constrained covariance variant surpasses a deep learning baseline as the number of mixture components increases. Further analyses link component selection to phonetic structure and reveal interpretable scaling and rotation in the learned transforms. These findings highlight SSL-GMMVC as an effective, analyzable framework for voice conversion.
Bridging Expert Knowledge and Automated Feature Engineering via Self-Evolution
In high-stakes settings such as brand compliance, clinical care, and content moderation, machine learning cannot be deployed as opaque oracles: practitioners inspect the features driving model decisions, and models must leverage the expert documentation governing these domains. In practice, the data arrives as unstructured content, and features extracted from it must be interpretable, discriminative, and aligned with what experts consider important. Existing methods fall short: they target tabular inputs, lack demonstrated expert alignment, and cannot operationalize qualitative criteria such as 'maintain professional tone' into precise features. We present FEST (Feature Engineering with Self-evolving Trees), combining dual-stream feature generation (semantic and deterministic), semantic deduplication, and tree-guided iterative evolution to discover auditable features from raw text and images. FEST leads in 17 of 20 classifier-task combinations across brand classification, content authenticity detection, and stress detection, with a mean gain of 4.2 pp over the strongest baseline across five classifiers. An LLM-as-judge evaluation shows FEST achieves 60-80% coverage of expert-designed brand features at strict semantic-alignment thresholds, corroborated by a human expert study rating features highly on relevance, clarity, and actionability. When seeded with expert guidelines, FEST refines qualitative criteria into operational features, improving accuracy by 6-12 pp on average across brands. To enable systematic evaluation of expert alignment in automated feature engineering, we release BrandGuide, the first dataset pairing expert-designed features with 1M+ assets across 2,683 brands. By grounding feature engineering in expert knowledge, FEST opens a practical pathway for interpretable ML in domains demanding human oversight.
One Lens, Many Worlds : A Capability-Typed Interface for World-Model Interpretability
World models are now built on substantially different computational substrates. Latent recurrent state-space models such as PlaNet and the Dreamer family compress observations into recurrent states; token-based models such as IRIS quantize observations into a learned codebook and predict autoregressively with a transformer; and joint-embedding predictive architectures such as I-JEPA predict in a learned latent space with no pixel decoder. The interpretability methods applied to these models, including probing, activation patching, sparse autoencoders, and surprise analysis, share a common set of primitives, yet they are re-implemented from scratch for each architecture because existing hook-and-cache tooling assumes a transformer language model with no notion of actions, environment steps, or imagined rollouts. We argue that this fragmentation reflects the tooling rather than the models, and that the shared structure of world models is captured by a small typed interface. We present WorldModelLens, an open-source interpretability substrate organized around a capability-typed adapter: every model implements four required methods (encode, transition, initial state, sample) and declares a set of optional heads (decode, reward, continue, actor, critic) through an explicit capability descriptor, so that reinforcement-learning and self-supervised world models are first-class without either imitating the other. A single hook and cache layer exposes time-indexed activations, imagination rollouts, and intervention replay over this interface, allowing each analysis to be written once.
Biological Reasoning-Informed Regression for Interpretable Regulatory DNA Activity Prediction
DNA cis-regulatory elements (CREs) such as enhancers control gene expression levels. Accurately predicting regulatory activity from DNA sequences is valuable but challenging, as it requires understanding complex biological regulatory processes. Existing methods typically regress activity scores from sequences in a black-box manner, limiting both interpretability and regression performance. Meanwhile, large language models (LLMs) benefit from explicit reasoning processes, yet directly applying LLMs to raw DNA sequences performs poorly. In this paper, we bridge this gap by introducing R3LM, a framework that teaches LLMs reasoning-informed regression on regulatory DNA through structured biological knowledge. Specifically, we design a biologically grounded data format that structures DNA's regulatory information for improved LLM understanding, and construct CRE-ReasonBench, the first dataset that associates DNA sequences and activity scores with mechanistic reasoning traces. Through two-stage training that first teaches LLMs reasoning over structured biological information then performs regression, R3LM achieves state-of-the-art performance on enhancer prediction across three cell types, outperforming both LLMs with raw sequence input and specialized DNA models while providing interpretable mechanistic explanations. We expect R3LM as an interpretable reward model that can effectively assist biologists in CRE design. Code is available at https://github.com/DuanYi516/R3LM.
Enhancing AI Interpretability and Safety through Localised Architectures
Recent advances in generative AI, especially powerful Large Language Models (LLMs) and Large Reasoning Models (LRMs), raise concerns over the interpretability, safety and sustainability of these large and opaque AI models. The power of such architectures is derived not only from the scalability of deep neural networks, but also massively parallel hardware such as GPU clusters. The diffuse nature of deep neural networks gives them great function-approximation capability when provided with sufficient training data but imposes a cost in interpretability and computational efficiency. Observing that localised machine learning (ML) models tend to be more interpretable and computationally efficient than deep neural networks on small datasets, we reason by analogy that similar advantages may apply to specific localised hardware ML architectures. We argue that localised architectures with lower bandwidth but higher expressivity per node have the potential to be fundamentally more interpretable than deep neural networks running on GPU clusters while remaining competitive for smaller datasets. We then evaluate the suitability of various hardware ML paradigms for implementing such localised architectures and evaluate their per-node expressivity, energy efficiency and practical maturity of the technology required.
Explaining Unsupervised Disease Staging in Huntington's Disease: Insights into Model Representations and Clusters
Huntington's disease (HD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that affects motor, cognitive, and behavioral functions, where accurate characterization of disease progression remains essential to improve patient outcome and quality of life. Unsupervised machine learning (ML) approaches have demonstrated the ability to uncover disease progression trajectories and meaningful latent stages from longitudinal data; however, their limited interpretability restricts clinical trust and translation. We extend a previously proposed ML-based disease staging framework by applying an explainability analysis to the extracted feature representations and discovered disease stages. Applied to the Enroll-HD dataset, we first project the learned representations into a lower-dimensional space to intuitively assess whether the resulting clusters align with the progression of established clinical measures. We then use saliency maps to identify the clinical features that most strongly contribute to the learned embeddings over time. Finally, we train a surrogate classifier and apply SHAP to quantify feature importance for cluster assignments and to analyze which clinical variables drive transitions between disease stages. The explainability analysis indicates that the learned embeddings capture clinically meaningful disease structure, aligning with established motor and functional severity scores and exhibiting progressive deterioration across clusters. Within this analysis, SHAP reveals a stratification of disease stages, ranging from early cognitive-motor impairment to severe functional dependency, consistent with known clinical progression patterns, while also highlighting intra-stage variability.
Learning to model pediatric asthma exacerbation from multiple risk factors: a case study in coastal Virginia
Childhood asthma is a common illness exacerbated by air pollution as well as meteorological and neighborhood-level socioeconomic factors. Modeling asthma exacerbation (AE) in large spatiotemporal datasets requires disentangling impacts from multiple contributors. In this case study, we compared three techniques that balance predictive power with interpretability to predict AE in Hampton Roads, a coastal Virginia region comprising 7 cities and over 1.5 million people. After collating ambient air pollution measurements, weather data, and measures of neighborhood opportunity, we modeled zip code-level acute AE visits to a regional children's hospital and affiliated providers from 2018-2023. Generalized linear models (GLM) provided a baseline while neural networks (NN) served as a maximally predictive target. To bridge between statistical models and deep learning, we developed a framework based on sparse dictionary learning to identify and interpret parsimonious nonlinear interacting equations. After comparing each model's predictive performance, we estimated relative risks for AE due to input exposure variables and found consensus across frameworks. Our work links statistical and interpretable machine learning models to highlight possible synergistic interactions influencing AE, and may enable future studies to guide public health interventions in coastal Virginia.
Formal Concept Lattices are Good Semantic Scaffolds for Concept-Based Learning
Learning semantics is essential for deep learning models to be interpretable and better aligned with human reasoning. Concept-based models approach this by representing classes through meaningful semantic abstractions, but typically treat all concepts as a flat, unstructured set learned at a single neural network layer. This overlooks a fundamental property of human semantic understanding: concepts being organized hierarchically, from general to specific. While deep networks do learn a hierarchy of visual features, this structure is rarely aligned with explicit semantic hierarchies. Drawing on Formal Concept Analysis, we demonstrate that formal concept lattices provide principled semantic scaffolds to guide neural network learning. These lattices naturally identify where in the network concepts should be learned based on their level of generality. This allows the model to develop staged, semantically grounded representations throughout its depth. Empirical results on real-world datasets show that our models produce more interpretable embeddings, support more effective interventions, and learn concept representations that are both meaningful and hierarchically structured.
From Rashomon Theory to PRAXIS: Efficient Decision Tree Rashomon Sets
Standard machine learning pipelines often admit many near-optimal models. These "Rashomon sets" pose a range of challenges and opportunities for uncertainty-aware, robust decision making. They allow users to incorporate domain knowledge and preferences that would otherwise be difficult to specify directly in an objective, and they quantify diversity among valid models for a given training dataset and objective function. However, computation of Rashomon sets, even for simple, interpretable model classes such as sparse decision trees, continues to require immense memory and runtime resources. We present PRAXIS, an algorithm to approximate this Rashomon set with orders of magnitude improvement in runtime and memory usage. We validate that PRAXIS regularly recovers almost all of the full Rashomon set. PRAXIS allows researchers and practitioners to scalably model the Rashomon set for real-world datasets. Code for PRAXIS is available at https://github.com/zakk-h/PRAXIS
Position: Genomic Model Research Must Move Beyond Anecdotal Evaluation of Interpretability Methods
Advances in machine learning and computational power have unlocked the predictive potential of the human genome, yet biologists now demand that these models also elucidate the underlying biological mechanisms. While interpretable machine learning (IML) techniques have been increasingly applied to bridge this gap, there has been a pervasive reliance on anecdotal validation: the vast majority of research relies on a single IML method and reports only isolated successful instances. Through a benchmarking study on transcription factor binding, we demonstrate the risks of current practices. We show that different IML methods can often (1) yield contradictory explanations for the same predictions, (2) fail to localize known regulatory motifs, and (3) fail to faithfully reflect the model's internal decision process. In light of this, we argue for a validation framework analogous to clinical trials: just as trials require rigorous design and adverse-event reporting, genomic interpretability must move beyond cherry-picked plausibility toward systematic assessment of consistency, faithfulness, and biological validity. To facilitate this, we propose a tiered framework to guide rigorous evaluation and reporting of genomic IML methods.
Beyond Additive Decompositions: Interpretability Through Separability
Interpretable machine learning requires models that are accurate and structurally faithful to the data. Existing explainability methods rely heavily on additive representations (e.g., Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), functional ANOVA), which can suffer from signal cancellation and off-support extrapolation in the presence of strong interactions. We propose Tensor Separation Learning (TSL), a regression model that learns a sum of rank-1 products of univariate per-feature functions via a stagewise greedy procedure with orthogonal refitting. By enforcing separability, TSL avoids the information loss inherent in additive projections caused by marginalizing higher-order interactions. The learned TSL model can be fully reconstructed from first-order partial dependence functions, up to constant factors. This stage-wise correspondence ensures that the resulting visualizations are faithful to the fitted components. We establish approximation-rate guarantees for functions with bounded mixed -th order partial derivatives and demonstrate that TSL competes with black-box models on regression benchmarks.
FlagGAM: Rule-Basis Generalized Additive Models for Explainable Tabular Prediction
Tabular applications often require inspectable prediction rules and stable behavior when records are incomplete. We propose FlagGAM, a rule-basis framework that separates feature-level rule construction from prediction. A Flag Core Module converts numerical and categorical variables into sparse, human-readable univariate bases: threshold flags, category-level flags, tail-deviation bases, and categorical step functions. A default additive head combines these bases as a restricted GAM-style predictor, while the retained sparse rule-basis matrix supports mixed-type classification and regression, feature-specific weighting, and optional flexible heads. On clean benchmarks, additive FlagGAM stays close to modern additive and rule-based baselines on classification and improves over global linear modeling on regression, while remaining less flexible than tree-based predictors. Its clearest advantage appears under deployment-time perturbations: across three classification datasets, FlagGAM has the smallest mean AUROC degradation under missingness and numerical noise. Flexible heads improve absolute accuracy and approach strong tree-based baselines, but should be interpreted as nonlinear predictors over learned rule bases. These results support FlagGAM as a constrained additive rule-basis model for applications that need readable rules and stable behavior with incomplete inputs.
QDSP: An Interpretable Structured Learning Framework for Predicting Death or Cerebral Palsy in Very Low Birth Weight Infants
Very low birth weight infants (VLBWI) are at high risk of mortality and severe neurodevelopmental impairment, including cerebral palsy, yet reliable discharge-time prognostic stratification remains challenging in high-dimensional and data-limited clinical settings. To address this problem, we propose QDSP, an interpretable structured learning framework that integrates Quota-guided Subspace Sampling (QSS) and Differentiable-decision-guided Structure Perception (DSP). The QSS module constructs stability-aware and low-redundancy feature subspaces through bootstrap-based feature consistency estimation, whereas the DSP module employs differentiable soft oblique decision structures to model nonlinear clinical interactions while preserving traceable decision evidence. The proposed framework was evaluated on a real-world VLBWI cohort comprising 51 infants and further validated on three public medical tabular datasets. On the primary cohort, QDSP achieved an accuracy of 0.9200 and an AUC of 0.9714, outperforming representative machine learning and deep tabular learning baselines, including XGBoost, TabNet, and TabPFN. Across external datasets, QDSP maintained competitive discrimination and calibration under varying sample sizes and clinical distributions. In addition, SHAP-based analyses and differentiable decision-path tracing identified clinically relevant predictors, including cystic periventricular leukomalacia (cPVL) and birth weight, consistent with established neonatal pathophysiological evidence. These results suggest that QDSP provides an interpretable and robust framework for discharge-time risk stratification in VLBWI and may support early individualized clinical decision-making in neonatal intensive care settings.
STEP: Learning STructured Embeddings for Progressive Time Series
We present a novel method for learning interpretable representations of progressive time series, that is, data capturing irreversible state transitions such as degradation or task completion. Our approach uses a self-supervised contrastive objective to learn a low-dimensional latent space whose geometry is itself the interpretation: each observation becomes a point on a manifold anchored between two fixed orthogonal prototype vectors, and a trajectory becomes a path across that manifold. From this structure we read a latent compass, the polar coordinates (θ, r) of the latent vector, in which θ tracks the progression of the underlying state (e.g., from healthy to failed) and r identifies the active mode (e.g., the operating condition), without any proxy labels. We evaluate the approach against the state of the art on diverse domains, including industrial degradation, robotic tasks, and neural activity, validating three key capabilities: (1) end-state prediction, (2) multi-step forecasting, and (3) interpretable phase separation. Our method matches or improves over black-box counterparts on all of these while providing transparency about the underlying mechanisms. A simple linear regressor on top of the latent compass coordinates is competitive with deep architectures, direct quantitative evidence that the underlying state is encoded in a geometrically accessible form.
DEM: A Distilled Explanation Model for Interpretable Anomaly Detection in Physiological Sensor Networks
Anomaly detection in physiological sensor data from Wireless Body Area Networks (WBANs) can be caused by sensor faults, network disruptions, or missing data, leading to false alarms. Hence, it demands both high predictive accuracy and clinically interpretable explanations. Existing approaches rely either on black-box models that achieve strong performance but offer no transparency, or on post-prediction explanation methods such as SHAP and LIME. In this paper, we propose the Distilled Explanation Model (DEM), a three-stage glass-box framework that distills the non-linear knowledge of a gradient boosting expert into an interpretable decision tree operating on residuals relative to a linear baseline, so that the explanation is not an approximation but the prediction itself. DEM introduces a novel distillation fidelity metric that quantifies how faithfully the explanation tree captures the expert model's non-linear contribution, providing a principled measure of explanation trustworthiness absent from prior interpretable models. Evaluated across four physiological datasets, including MIMIC-IV, WESAD, eICU, and an in-house SmartNet WBAN corpus, DEM achieves an AUC of 0.9964 on clinical contextual anomaly detection and 0.9047 on wearable stress detection while producing human-readable if-then rules at a controllable depth. Inference requires 0.17ms per 1000 samples, rendering DEM 1235x faster than SHAP-based post-hoc explanation and suitable for real-time physiological monitoring. Ablation studies confirm that the XGBoost distillation step provides measurable gains over naive residual fitting, and depth-sensitivity analysis demonstrates an explicit, user-controlled accuracy-interpretability trade-off unique to DEM among existing intrinsically interpretable models.
Evolving Features vs Evolving Entire Trees with GP for Interpretable Survival Analysis
Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event during the duration of the study. For practical use, both accuracy and interpretability are important. Survival trees are easy-to-follow survival models that split the patient cohort recursively into discrete patient groups. Whilst survival trees can capture complex relationships, they typically need to grow large, threatening interpretability. Moreover, survival trees are often built using greedy approaches that may overlook globally optimal split combinations, limiting predictive performance. Shallow survival trees require expressive, higher-order feature combinations to achieve competitive accuracy. We therefore use genetic programming to multi-objectively evolve inherently inspectable feature sets and study how they interact with different tree induction strategies. We further introduce an evolutionary approach that jointly optimises the survival tree structure and the non-linear split logic. Our findings demonstrate that evolutionary feature construction improves predictive performance across different tree induction strategies on two real-world datasets and two different survival tree depths. Given its speed and flexible presentation, the multi-objective evolution of entire trees likely holds the most future promise.
CB-SLICE: Concept-Based Interpretable Error Slice Discovery
Despite strong average-case performance, deep learning models often exhibit systematic errors on specific population groups, known as error slices. Identifying these groups and the root causes of their failures is critical for model debugging and bias mitigation. However, existing error Slice Discovery Methods (SDMs) typically generate explanations disconnected from the model's inference process, thus only approximating the underlying error source and may be inaccurate. We address this limitation by leveraging Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs), whose predictions are directly dependent on human-understandable semantic concepts. Since downstream task failures in CBMs commonly arise from concept mispredictions, concept representations provide a strong candidate for error slice identification, offering fine-grained explanations directly linked to the error source. Building on this insight, we introduce CB-SLICE, a concept-based SDM that groups samples with shared concept prediction failures and identifies the keyword concepts most responsible for each slice's failure mode. Across multiple benchmarks, we show that CB-SLICE outperforms state-of-the-art methods in uncovering well-known biases while providing richer and more faithful explanations of model errors.
Evolutionary Rule Extraction from Corporate Default Prediction Models
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent the majority of firms in most economies and often face financial constraints and higher vulnerability to financial distress. Predicting SME default is therefore crucial for financial institutions, policymakers, and researchers. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have improved predictive performance in credit risk modeling. Yet, the limited interpretability of complex models raises concerns regarding transparency and regulatory compliance. This study investigates SME's default predictors and applies explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques to them. Using a panel of 50,718 Italian SME over the period 2015-2024, we compare traditional econometric approaches with several ML classifiers. The empirical results show that ML models significantly outperform the traditional logistic regression benchmark in terms of Balanced Accuracy and PR-AUC. To address the interpretability challenge, we introduce DEXiRE-EVO, a novel evolutionary rule extraction framework that combines multi-objective optimization with the Contextual Importance and Utility (CIU) explainability method. The extracted rules reveal economically meaningful patterns associated with SME financial distress, highlighting the roles of weak internal liquidity generation, internal capital erosion, high leverage, and operational inefficiency. Additionally, contextual macroeconomic conditions and the persistence of financial instability contribute to identifying high-risk firms. In general, the results show that combining ML with evolutionary rule extraction can improve both predictive performance and interpretability in credit risk modeling, thus supporting more transparent, data-driven decision-making in financial environments.
When Interpretability Is Unequally Distributed: Fairness in Hybrid Interpretable Models
Hybrid interpretable models combine a transparent component with a black-box model by assigning some examples to the former and deferring the rest to the latter. While this design enables flexible tradeoffs between accuracy and interpretability, it also raises a distinct procedural fairness concern: some demographic groups may systematically receive interpretable decisions, while others are disproportionately routed to a black box. We formalize this issue as Interpretability Coverage Disparity (ICD), a demographic-parity-style measure applied to the routing decision of hybrid interpretable models. Using tools from predictive multiplicity, we study ICD across four hybrid interpretable learning methods, three standard fairness benchmark datasets, and multiple sensitive attributes. Our experiments reveal substantial ICD in intermediate transparency regimes, where both the interpretable and black-box components are actively used. We further show that simple coverage-disparity constraints can significantly reduce ICD in exact hybrid learning methods, with marginal impact on accuracy and sparsity. In several settings, ICD mitigation also improves standard algorithmic fairness metrics. These results show that hybrid interpretable models should be audited not only for predictive fairness, but also for how they allocate interpretability across individuals and groups.
Courtroom Analogy: New Perspective on Uncertainty-Aware Classification
Single-pass uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for classification represent uncertainty by predicting a tractable distribution over the class probability vector. While existing approaches primarily focus on enhancing the expressiveness of this distribution, they often provide limited insight into how predictive uncertainty is structured and aggregated, resulting in weak interpretability. We introduce the courtroom analogy, which conceptualizes uncertainty-aware classification as a structured debate among class-specific advocates. Each advocate forms a probabilistic opinion, and a final verdict is reached by aggregating these opinions using input-dependent plausibility weights. In this framework, each advocate's opinion is modeled as a Dirichlet distribution whose concentration parameter is decomposed into shared evidence and class-specific advocacy. This yields a structured mixture of Dirichlet distributions with semantically interpretable parameters. To instantiate this formulation, we propose Mixture of Dirichlet EXperts (MoDEX), a single-pass neural architecture that predicts the courtroom parameters, enabling efficient and expressive UQ while explicitly modeling uncertainty aggregation. We demonstrate that MoDEX enjoys strong theoretical properties and achieves state-of-the-art UQ performance across diverse benchmarks, yielding interpretable uncertainty estimates with meaningful semantics.
ConceptMoE: Concept-Guided Multimodal Mixture of Experts for Interpretable Computational Pathology
Healthcare models are transitioning from unimodal prediction toward multimodal reasoning over heterogeneous diagnostic inputs. In computational pathology, for complex tumor subtypes where morphology alone can be challenging to distinguish, pathology reports and molecular measurements may provide additional diagnostic evidence alongside whole-slide images, yet existing models often fail to clarify how diverse signals assemble into recognizable diagnostic concepts. We propose ConceptMoE (Concept Multimodal MoE), which embeds concept formation directly within interaction-aware mixture-of-experts (MoE) pathways. The architecture decomposes evidence into modality-specific, redundant, and synergistic experts, which are then projected into structured concept bottlenecks mapping latent features to a hierarchy of morphology and biomarker concepts. To prevent the information loss typical of interpretable bottlenecks, we utilize residual pathways within each expert to allow task-relevant signals to flow both through the concepts and directly to the final task prediction, so that high performance is maintained alongside interpretability. Across an institutional pediatric brain tumor cohort and a public glioma cohort, the framework delivers competitive performance to unconstrained models while producing reasoning traces validated by an independent neuropathologist. In data-limited regimes, ConceptMoE improves limited-data performance, increasing macro-F1 from 56.41% to 66.70% at small training sizes compared to non-concept-informed baselines, while also showing faster training convergence consistent with the regularizing effect of concept learning. This work offers a scalable path toward high-performance medical AI that is inherently verifiable and better aligned with the complex decision-making of clinical practice.