Model Calibration

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21 papers in the last four weeks, up 91% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

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  1. DreamLedger: Where to Refuse World-Model Imagination Using Execution-Settled Credit

    Aug 24, 2026Xianyao Li, Ruitong Tian, Rui Min +2Selective PredictionRobotics

    Department of Civil and Coastal Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA · Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA

  2. Conditional Validity for Adaptive Modality Acquisition: When the Policy Chooses Its Own Calibration Group

    Aug 16, 2026Melika BaghiEfficient Multimodal InferenceSelective Prediction

    Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA, USA

  3. Exponential Convex Calibration Dimension for the Multi-Label Jaccard Measure

    Aug 13, 2026Mingyuan ZhangMulti-Label ClassificationModel Calibration

    Independent Researcher

  4. Confidence Calibration of Deep Learning Systems

    Aug 12, 2026Coby PensoUnsupervised Domain AdaptationConformal Prediction

    The Faculty of Engineering, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel

  5. Transferable Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) Estimation Model from Multi-Sensor Data with Sparse Field Calibration

    Aug 12, 2026Pann Thinzar Seint, Bryan Atwood, Subas ChhatkuliRemote SensingModel Calibration

    DAI Labs, K.K.

  6. Variational Parameter Calibration with Physics-Aware Latent-Space Surrogates

    Aug 11, 2026Qiyao Zhou, Xujia Zhu, Pierre Joli +2Neural Surrogate ModelingParameter Estimation

    LMEE, UnivEvry, Université Paris-Saclay, Evry, France · L2S, Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, CentraleSupéléc, Gif-sur-Yvette, France · CEREA, ENPC, EDF R&D, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, Île-de-France, France

  7. Invertible Logits Transformation for Accuracy-Preserving Post-Hoc Uncertainty Calibration

    Aug 11, 2026Lening Zhao, Qipeng Zhan, Li ShenPost-Hoc CalibrationModel Calibration

    University of Pennsylvania

  8. SoftMCC: An MCC-Brier Calibration Bridge for Threshold-Free Model Selection under Class Imbalance

    Aug 10, 2026Özkan CanayClass-Imbalanced LearningModel Calibration

    Department of Information Systems and Technologies Faculty of Computer and Information Sciences Sakarya University, Esentepe Campus 54050 Serdivan, Sakarya, Türkiye

  9. Exact Rank and Convex Calibration Dimension Lower Bounds for the Multi-Label F1 Loss

    Aug 9, 2026Mingyuan ZhangMulti-Label ClassificationModel Calibration

    Independent Researcher

  10. Conformal Calibration for Multi-Modal Regression with Missing Modalities

    Aug 7, 2026Ilia AziziGroup-Conditional Conformal PredictionModel Calibration

    Department of Operations, HEC Lausanne, University of Lausanne, Switzerland · BegooAI, Switzerland

  11. Dirichlet Follow-the-Leader Closes the Gap in Simultaneous Multiclass U-Calibration

    Aug 7, 2026Pahan DewasurendraProbabilistic ForecastingFollow-the-Regularized-Leader

    Johns Hopkins University

  12. Respect Your Zero-Shot Uncertainty: Conservative Calibration for Test-Time-Adapted Vision-Language Models

    Aug 6, 2026Jingyan Jiang, Yaru Sun, Xiao Chen +5VLM AdaptationTest-Time Adaptation of VLMs

    1Shenzhen Technology University · 3Shenzhen University · 2Tsinghua University +1

  13. Sample Complexity of Multicalibration for Multilevel Properties

    Aug 4, 2026Jiuyao Lu, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Aleksandr Podkopaev +1Sample ComplexityModel Calibration

    Department of Statistics and Data Science, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania · 2Amazon · Department of Statistics, University of California, Davis

  14. When Measurement Conventions Masquerade as Calibration Gains in Cardiac Digital Twins

    Aug 3, 2026Dang P. M. Cao, Hieu PhamLeft Ventricular Ejection Fraction EstimationEchocardiography

    College of Engineering and Computer Science, VinUniversity, Hanoi, Vietnam · VinUni-Illinois Smart Health Center, VinUniversity, Hanoi, Vietnam · Center for Innovations in Health Sciences, VinUniversity, Hanoi, Vietnam

  15. Amortizing the Calibration Triple: A Projection-Consistent Neural Operator for Local-Stochastic Volatility

    Aug 2, 2026Xiaozhen Wang, Anaïs Després, Martin Dureau +1Quantitative FinanceModel Calibration

    1CEREMADE, Université Paris Dauphine-PSL · 2LaMME, Université Évry Paris-Saclay · 3AIML Global Markets, Barclays

  16. Subtype Robustness Is Not Just Accuracy: Calibration Under Unseen Subtype Shift

    Aug 2, 2026Hanyu Su, Carlota Julbe i Juanola, Yibo HuDistribution Shift RobustnessNeural Network Robustness

    Illinois Institute of Technology

  17. A Physics-Chemistry-Informed Neural Network (PCINN) for Real-Time Spatial-ALD Coverage Prediction and Reliable Kinetics Inversion

    Jul 31, 2026Ning Hu, Chang Liu, Yunlei Jiang +1Neural Surrogate ModelingParameter Identifiability

    School of Mechanical Engineering, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou, China · Information Engineering School, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou, China

  18. SpecCal: Ambiguity-Aware Candidate Calibration for Infrared Spectrum-Based Molecular Structure Reconstruction

    Jul 30, 2026Yixuan Chen, Bo Liu, Yusen Tan +3Model Calibration

    College of Computer Science and Technology, Jilin University · School of Mathematics, Jilin University · Information Hub, HKUST(GZ) +3

  19. An analysis of binary isotonic regression: degrees of freedom and implications for calibration

    Jul 29, 2026Raphael Rossellini, Rina Foygel Barber, Zhimei Ren +1Probability CalibrationModel Calibration

    Department of Statistics, University of Chicago · Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania · Department of Statistics, University of Michigan

  20. CalTwin: Towards Calibrated, Shift-Robust Medical World Models via Fisher-Information Regularisation

    Jul 29, 2026Behraj Khan, Shabir Ahmad, Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari +1World Model LearningDomain Adaptation

    Institute of Business Administration Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan · Gachon University, Korea · St. John’s University, New York, USA

  21. Optimal Recalibration of an Online Predictor

    Jul 22, 2026Lunjia Hu, Kevin Tian, Chutong YangModel Calibration

    Northeastern University · University of Texas at Austin

  22. The Calibration Channel Determines the Bayes-Error Proxy: An Exact Law for Temperature-Induced Distortion

    Jul 20, 2026Shreyas Pradeepkumar KhandalePost-Hoc CalibrationProbability Calibration

    School of Computing Binghamton University (SUNY) Binghamton, NY, USA

  23. Agentic Calibration of Grey-Box Simulation Models: An LLM-Driven Alternative

    Jul 17, 2026David Gómez-Guillén, Mireia Diaz, Josep Lluis Arcos +1Parameter EstimationBlack-Box Optimization

    Unit of Infections and Cancer – Information and Interventions (UNIC-I&I), Cancer Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology-IDIBELL, L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Spain · Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB), Spain · Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades, Madrid, Spain +1

  24. CardioMeta: Calibrated Multi-Task Prediction of Diabetes, Hypertension, and Cardiovascular Disease Across Population and EHR Data

    Jul 17, 2026S M Asif Hossain, Ruksat Khan Shayoni, M. F. Mridha +1Multi-Task LearningModel Calibration

    School of Computing, Wichita State University, Kansas, USA · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, American International University-Bangladesh, Bangladesh · School of Computer Science and Engineering, The University of Aizu, Aizuwakamatsu, Japan

  25. Beyond scalar losses: calibrating segmentation models via gradient vector field surgery

    Jul 15, 2026Laurin Lux, Alexander H. Berger, Moritz Knolle +2Model CalibrationMedical Image Segmentation

    School of Computation, Information and Technology, TUM, Munich, Germany · Munich Center for Machine Learning, Munich, Germany · Department of Radiology, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York City, USA +3

  26. Temperature Scaling Is Not Enough: Calibration Gaps Under Human Label Distributions

    Jul 15, 2026Wisdom DogahPost-Hoc CalibrationLanguage Model Calibration

    Faculty of Computing and Mathematical Sciences, University of Mines and Technology (UMaT), Tarkwa, Ghana. · BlackMatrix AI Research, Accra, Ghana.

  27. Efficient Sequential Calibration with O(T2/3−ε)O(T^{2/3-ε}) Error Bound

    Jul 14, 2026Zihan ZhangProbability CalibrationModel Calibration

    Department of CSE, HKUST

  28. AdaPCLA: Adaptive Prior-Calibrated Logit Adjustment for Long-Tailed Longitudinal EHR Generation

    Jul 14, 2026Shuai Cui, Chen Wenxuan, Wenjie Du +3Long-Tail LearningSynthetic Data Generation

    University of Science and Technology of China · Sun Yat-sen University

  29. Condition-Stratified Robustness Analysis of Post-Hoc Calibration Methods for Probabilistic Classifiers

    Jul 13, 2026Gurdeep Singh VirdeePost-Hoc CalibrationProbability Calibration

    Fergana State Technical University, Uzbekistan

  30. TabPFN beyond Tabular Data: Calibration and Accuracy on Multimodal Embeddings

    Jul 13, 2026Jingxiang Zhang, Lujia Zhong, Zijie Zhu +2Multimodal EmbeddingMultimodal Classification

    University of Southern California