Recurrent Neural Networks

Many multivariate dynamical systems are observed only through trajectories, leaving the mechanisms governing their joint dynamics hidden. Existing approaches can impose interpretable dynamics or learn flexible state transitions, yet the resulting interaction structure is typically either specified in advance or left implicit within the learned dynamics. We introduce MF-Net, a recurrent dynamical model that represents all variables in a shared field state and updates this state through a learned relation law. Each variable carries a field component, and these components evolve jointly through a learnable mechanical transition. Here, mechanical refers to the relation-to-motion organization of the transition, where learned relations shape state-dependent flows, field responses, and motion tendencies that move the field state forward. The resulting structure is part of the rollout itself: learned relations influence how the field moves, and the same internal quantities support both forecasting and structural readout. Across known-law interaction systems, chaotic benchmarks, real neural recordings, and ecological time series, MF-Net achieves competitive short- and medium-horizon forecasting while retaining inspectable structural readout. On the 40-dimensional Lorenz--96 testbed, MF-Net achieves an eight-step $R^2$ of $0.798\pm0.018$; across five seeds, its learned relation matrix recovers the local coupling support with a local/nonlocal strength ratio of $19.80\pm1.00$ and Precision@$K$ of $1.000\pm0.000$. MF-Net provides a structure-readable dynamical modeling framework in which learned relations are trained through forward evolution and, on real data, interpreted as functional predictive couplings under appropriate observational limits.

Recurrent neural networks maintain a hidden state $h_t$, but its probabilistic meaning is often unclear. We study hidden-state stability through backward coherence: the extent to which $h_t$ can be reconstructed from $h_{t+1}$ by a learned backward projector $g_φ$. Under contraction and summable backward drift, the hidden-state sequence forms a quasi-reverse-martingale. This yields almost-sure convergence, rates under mixing, an interpretable limiting representation, finite pathwise stopping times, and a theoretical framework for time-uniform confidence sequences. Simulations support the theory. Backward-coherence regularisation reduces the empirical quasi-martingale total $\hat Q$ by $43$--$58$, reaches stability $28$--$44$ earlier than an unregularised RNN, and gives tracking-error recovery consistent with geometric bounds. Additional tests confirm echo-state forgetting rates bounded by $ρ$ and verify the increment-sum tube $R_t$ with $100$ simultaneous coverage, although $R_t$ is conservative; in practice, the defect-tail proxy $\hat Q_t$ is the more useful monitor. The backward-coherence loss is also equivalent to minimising a Kullback--Leibler divergence in a Gaussian backward model, linking the method to variational inference. Extensions cover $φ$-mixing inputs, change-point tracking, and finite-sample concentration. Three real-data studies further validate the approach. On PhysioNet 2012 ICU data, the Reverse Martingale RNN (RMRNN) matches RNN mortality-prediction AUC while reaching stable representations 13 hours earlier. On FRED-MD, it reduces one-month-ahead forecast error by about fourfold under concept drift. On UCI Human Activity Recognition, it maintains lower post-transition tracking error with geometric decay. The guarantees apply under the stated assumptions; universality is not claimed.

State tracking exposes a sharp limitation of sequence models: the relevant signal is often not a summary of observed tokens, but an ordered latent state that evolves through non-commutative transformations. We introduce a held-out transition-pair falsifier for finite non-Abelian group tracking. The protocol forbids selected ordered generator pairs during training and requires the same local patterns during evaluation, blocking one direct local-transition memorization pathway. In a controlled $S_3 \times S_3$ benchmark, a projected recurrent state model trained only on length-8 sequences produces error-free final-state predictions (perfect 250/250 per horizon) through evaluation horizons up to 1,048,576 tokens across five seeds. Matched native-readout baselines, including bag, GRU, and a single-configuration structured state-space model, remain near floor under the same protocol. Projection-matched GRU, structured SSM, and bag baselines equipped with analogous finite-group prototype readouts also remain near chance under the same split. Mechanism diagnostics show that hard projection coincides with low homomorphism error, low state-consistency drift, and non-trivial commutator separation, while softened projection collapses final-state accuracy. Clean-split audits verify zero verbatim reduced-word overlap and zero structural-template overlap between training and evaluation partitions. The evidence is scoped to this controlled finite-group falsifier rather than to a general architecture ranking. Within that regime, explicit projected non-commutative state composition acts as a useful inductive bias for long-horizon hidden-state tracking.

The prediction of masses of atomic nuclei using machine learning can complement theoretical models and advance the exploration of poorly known domains of the nuclear chart. We propose a machine learning technique based on gated recurrent units (GRU), which have demonstrated competitive performance in nuclear-mass prediction by exploiting long-term dependencies. By integrating multiplicative interactions and product-unit transformations within recurrent units, we report significant improvements in nuclear-mass prediction. Computations are performed in the complex domain to jointly capture amplitude and phase dynamics. For interpolation and temporal-extrapolation tasks based on the atomic mass evaluation (AME2016 and AME2020), the complex additive-multiplicative product-unit gated recurrent unit (AM-PU-GRU) model consistently achieves the lowest prediction errors, with an interpolation RMSE of 0.227 $\pm$ 0.004 MeV and an extrapolation RMSE of 0.179 $\pm$ 0.015 MeV. These results surpass other state-of-the-art machine learning models and also outperform the real-valued GRU baseline and product-unit ablation variants, while remaining robust to different theoretical priors, including WS4 and SEMF. Our findings establish complex-valued product-unit recurrent networks as a new benchmark for sequence-based nuclear-mass prediction.

Training recurrent neural networks (RNNs) requires assigning credit across long sequences of computations. Standard backpropagation through time (BPTT) addresses this problem poorly: it is sequential in time, limiting parallelism, and suffers from vanishing or exploding gradients, making long-range associations difficult to learn. We propose Supervised Memory Training (SMT), a method for training nonlinear RNNs that sidesteps recurrent credit propagation entirely by reducing RNN training to supervised learning on one-step memory transition labels $(m_t, x_{t+1}) \rightarrow m_{t+1}$. SMT acquires these memory labels by training a Transformer-based encoder on a predictive state objective--retaining only information from the past necessary to predict the future. By decoupling what to remember from how to update memory, SMT enables time-parallel RNN training with a stable $O(1)$ length gradient path between any two tokens--without ever unrolling the RNN. We find that SMT outperforms BPTT when pretraining various RNN architectures on tasks like language modeling and pixel sequence modeling. SMT enables nonlinear RNNs to better capture long-range dependencies and train in parallel, potentially unlocking the scaling of models that build temporal abstractions of past experience.

This study presents a comprehensive field validation of a multi-resolution Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) framework for predicting retaining wall deformation during staged excavation. The framework is trained on Gaussian noise-augmented numerical simulations and integrates ConvLSTM models operating at different temporal resolutions through a stacking ensemble strategy. The proposed framework is validated using field monitoring data from 34 inclinometers across 11 excavation sites in South Korea. Site-wise prediction performance is systematically evaluated using multiple evaluation metrics, with analyses of the influence of temporal deformation irregularity and spatiotemporal prediction characteristics on model performance. The results demonstrate that the framework predicts retaining wall deformation associated with up to 5.0 m of additional excavation with an average mean absolute error of 1.4 mm and a coefficient of determination of 0.93 across the excavation sites. These results indicate that the framework, although trained exclusively on numerically simulated and augmented database, can be effectively applied to diverse field excavation conditions and achieve a reliable level of prediction accuracy in practical retaining wall deformation prediction.

Neuroevolution is a representative neural architecture search paradigm that evolves both network topology and weights through evolutionary algorithms. In this paper, we propose Seq103, a unified NEAT-style neuroevolution framework for compact sequence architecture discovery. Seq103 consists of a shared evolutionary backbone and an optional recurrent extension. The shared backbone includes an elementary node-and-connection representation, per-class RMSE-based evaluation, mutation-based evolution with class-wise recombination, and elitism. The optional hidden-state mechanism extends the search space with hidden-state nodes and hidden connections, enabling temporal memory when step-wise recurrent inference is required. With this design, Seq103 applies the same core search pipeline to both step-wise recurrent and sample-wise feedforward sequence classification. In recurrent tasks, the hidden-state extension is enabled to provide temporal memory; in feedforward tasks, it is disabled while the shared evolutionary backbone remains unchanged. We evaluate Seq103 on 8 text classification datasets and the full UCRArchive2018 benchmark with 128 univariate time-series datasets. On step-wise tasks, Seq103 retains 86.96% of the best-baseline accuracy on average while using 34.6x to 3218.0x fewer parameters. On sample-wise tasks over the full UCRArchive2018 benchmark, Seq103 retains 81.95% of the best-baseline accuracy on average while using 11.8x to 160,601.0x fewer parameters.

State-space models are traditionally based on physical knowledge, but multi-step predictions from these physical models can be poor due to model inaccuracy. Black-box deep learning has shown promise as an alternative. However, these methods rely on the availability of large datasets and potentially available physical knowledge is neglected. We propose the PG-RSSNN, a physics-guided recurrent state-space neural network that incorporates recurrent structures to enable the use of non-saturating activation functions in multi-step prediction. It mitigates the vanishing gradients and eliminates the risk of numerical divergence in training seen in existing structures that feed back state estimates. Results across multiple systems with various physical model imperfections, from linear state-space models with Gaussian noise to a robotic arm and a cascaded water tank system, show that the proposed PG-RSSNN maintains stable training behavior, and improves multi-step predictions, as compared with black-box neural networks and physics-only models, even with limited training data and when physical models are only partially known.

What formal languages can a recurrent neural language model recognize? Formal results in the literature conflict: some authors report Turing-completeness, while others show equivalence to regular languages. The reason for this discrepancy is that the underlying arithmetic model differs. The paper develops a unified algebraic account of the expressivity of recurrent neural networks, starting with a formal account of various arithmetic models. This account reduces expressivity to an algebraic question, e.g., whether a network's syntactic monoid divides a certain wreath product. As a case study, the paper revisits diagonal state-space models: the same architecture cannot implement an even-modulus counter once floating-point recurrences are enforced, yet realizes every even-modulus counter under unsigned-integer quantization.

We present CART (Context-Anchored Recurrent Transformer), a parameter-efficient language model that reuses a single shared core block R times across depth. Unlike prior looped transformers that recompute key-value tensors at every iteration, CART computes K and V once from a multi-layer prelude and has the recurrent core cross-attend to those frozen tensors via multi-head latent attention. A learned Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) gate keeps the recurrence stable: its spectral radius settles in a narrow band (rho in [0.79, 0.83]) across all 36 fully-trained configurations. We evaluate CART on single consumer GPUs in two stages: a 64-configuration screen at 3,000 steps, then 36 configurations (P=6, R in {6,8,10}, three seeds) trained for 30,500 steps (~1B tokens). Two patterns hold across widths d in {256,512,768,1024}: prelude depth P dominates loop count R, and the Stage-1 ranking of R reverses at full training (R=6 becomes best at d>=512). At the binding d=1024 parameter-parity test, CART does not beat a parameter-matched dense baseline, losing by 1-2% at stored-parameter parity and by ~10% at effective-parameter parity. Diagnostic ablations split the effective-parameter gap into ~5% from weight sharing and a residual ~5% from the heterogeneous prelude/anchor/core/coda framing; the recurrent-core machinery (hyper-connections, LTI gate, loop-index embedding) is individually vestigial. Variable-R inference degrades on both sides of the trained R, a negative result for test-time depth scaling under this recipe.

This paper presents a fast, recursive neural solver for the J2-perturbed Lambert problem based on Tiny Recursive Models (TRM), termed the TRM-Perturbed Lambert (TRM-PL) model. TRM is a weight-shared architecture whose effective capacity emerges from iteration depth rather than parameter count: a compact reasoning module is applied repeatedly within a two-level latent hierarchy, refining a candidate departure velocity by simulating the J2 trajectory and correcting it from the resulting tracking error. This unifies initial-guess generation and iterative correction in a single, end-to-end differentiable architecture. The recursive refinement loop is a learned alternative to the homotopy and continuation schemes of classical perturbed-Lambert solvers: rather than following a hand-designed path from the Keplerian to the perturbed solution, the network learns its own sequence of corrections. We evaluate TRM-PL on three test cases of increasing difficulty: single-revolution low-Earth-orbit (LEO) transfers, multi-revolution LEO transfers, and multi-revolution Jovian transfers. Three training paradigms are compared: jointly learning the Lambert solution and the J2 correction; refining the Lambert initial velocity with target-position and J2-corrected velocity supervision; and refining it with target-position supervision alone. Across all cases, the refinement-only approaches are the most reliable. The position-supervised variant reduces the median terminal-position error from 21.7 km to 0.027 km on single-revolution LEO, from 340.9 km to 0.31 km on multi-revolution LEO, all with the same 2.3M-parameter architecture. A single Newton corrector iteration on the TRM-PL output tightens the Jovian median to 0.063 km, yielding compact models accurate enough for embedded deployment.

Biological and neuromorphic recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are subject to spatial and temporal locality constraints on the information that can plausibly be used during learning. A common strategy to satisfy these constraints is to modify gradient descent by neglecting non-local terms to varying degrees, as in random feedback local online (RFLO) learning and truncated backpropagation through time (tBPTT). However, the learning dynamics of these algorithms, and how they compare with BPTT, remain poorly understood. We apply dynamical systems theory to data-aligned linear RNNs -- whose dynamics can be separated into orthogonal modes -- to compare stationary solutions, stability properties, and convergence rates, finding qualitatively distinct behaviour for RFLO versus BPTT and one-step tBPTT. We further observe that the solutions learned by RFLO are restricted to low-rank perturbations of initial parameters, a result which holds beyond the data-aligned setting. Our work provides analytical insight into how locality constraints shape learning dynamics, with implications for neuroscientific models of learning and alternative optimization approaches for RNNs.

In this paper, we show the possibility of a direct injection of algorithms into neural network architecture. We focus on a complex algorithm, that is, Cocke-Youger-Kasami (CYK) for parsing context-free grammars in Chomsky Normal Form and we propose CYKNN, a simple recurrent neural network architecture for encoding the CYK algorithm in trainable matrix-vector multiplications.We experimented with a very simple grammar with 4 variations showing that our approach outperforms existing LLMs with more than 20B parameters with an in-context learning setting and smaller LLMs of the Qwen family fine-tuned with LoRA. Our attempt paves the way to a different approach to neuro-symbolic methodologies.

The family of linear recurrent neural networks has shown strong performance as recurrent memory units in partially observable reinforcement learning. We provide a theoretical justification for their empirical effectiveness by constructing and studying two linear filters: (i) the first exactly reproduces the pre-softmax logits of the belief vector in a hidden Markov model (HMM) under a deterministic transition matrix, thereby serving as a sufficient statistic for optimal policy learning, (ii) the second achieves vanishing state-decoding error under a nearly deterministic transition matrix, thus reducing state ambiguity to near zero. The results extend to action-controlled HMMs, where the corresponding linear filters become time-varying with action-dependent dynamics. We illustrate our main results through numerical experiments and further show that the constructed linear filter serves as a strong feature extractor in a small reinforcement learning game.

We introduce the design-model framework: a way to derive efficient recurrent sequence maps from explicit assumptions about memory. A design model writes evidence into memory by exact Bayesian filtering; a query- dependent readout produces a predictive distribution whose mean is the layer output. In our linear-Gaussian instantiation, the Bayesian Layer propagates both a mean and a covariance: the covariance tracks uncertainty over stored associations, steering writes toward uncertain directions, attenuating gains as evidence accumulates, and preserving confident memories. The same framework unifies several sub-quadratic recurrences: linear attention, GLA, and Mamba-2/SSD are exact filters under a latent-input design model, whereas DeltaNet and related Delta-rule models are covariance-reset reductions of the Bayesian Layer's design model. Restoring covariance propagation yields closed-form predictions for retrieval dynamics, which we verify empirically, and improves robustness beyond the training regime in controlled collision studies, learned associative recall, and the Zoology MQAR benchmark. Training from scratch on WikiText-103 under matched state budgets lowers perplexity on associative-recall hits. Distilling Bayesian Layers into a pretrained 340M Gated DeltaNet improves RULER long-context retrieval over a matched-compute control, at a 2.5--2.7% held-out perplexity cost.

World models require state tracking, which is the ability to maintain a correct latent state across action sequences. Existing benchmarks are often synthetic or language-based, limiting their value as tests of structured state updates in realistic domains. We introduce Chess-World-Model, a large-scale state-tracking benchmark built from 10 million real chess games, where models predict the exact board state reached after a sequence of legal moves. Alongside a held-out real-game split, we include an out-of-distribution split from uniformly random legal play, which tests whether models learn the transition rules rather than shortcuts from common human positions. Prior theoretical and empirical work has shown that Transformers struggle to state-track, while input-dependent linear RNNs require expressive state-transition matrices to do so. We therefore benchmark a causal Transformer, block-diagonal SLiCE, Mamba-3, and Gated DeltaNet with negative eigenvalues under a matched interface and training protocol. The recurrent models strongly outperform the Transformer at 3 and 8 million parameters. Real-game performance saturates above 18 million parameters, but the random-uniform split remains discriminative up to 40 million, exposing failures otherwise hidden by scale. Additionally, ablations show that less expressive state-transition mechanisms reduce performance on the out-of-distribution split for all three recurrent models. Together, these results establish Chess-World-Model as a practical large-scale benchmark for state tracking that exposes failures model scale would otherwise conceal.

This study introduces a novel architecture of KAN-based BiGRU model for the task of classification and summarization of legal documents in a low-resource multilingual setup. In order to tackle problems associated with domain language, the usage of different languages, long dependencies within context, and class imbalance, we employ the dataset composed of legal documents from Bangladesh and taken from Manupatra, which include Bengali, English, and transliterated Bengali languages. Our classification task involves BiGRU model, along with Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) module, while the summarization part utilizes attention-based GRU, combined with a KAN model head. Classification model yields 67.96% of accuracy and 0.65 F1 score; while ROUGE-1, ROUGE-2, and ROUGE-L measures for summarization yield 0.38, 0.23, and 0.31 F1 scores, correspondingly. Ablation study shows that the use of KAN increases classification accuracy from 57.34% to 67.96%. Moreover, our proposed technique is compared to several baselines, including classical ML algorithms and pretrained language models.

Deep networks are powerful function approximators, but they typically store many different computations in shared weight matrices, making it difficult to selectively reuse or adapt parts of them when a familiar structure appears in novel combinations. We introduce the Vector Network (VN), a hierarchical recurrent architecture in which each layer replaces a fixed weight matrix with a library of reusable rank-1 weight atoms. For each input, VN minimizes a layer-local energy to infer a sparse set of active weight atoms and their coefficients, jointly constrained by bottom-up input reconstruction and top-down feedback consistency. These weight atom coefficients then compose an input-specific low-rank weight matrix for that sample. After convergence, slow learning updates only the selected weight atoms through local residual signals scaled by the inferred coefficients. We evaluate VN on four compositional benchmarks spanning 1D signals, 2D spatial decoding, N-body dynamics, and compositional MNIST. VN matches strong baselines in distribution while often achieving out-of-distribution error about an order of magnitude lower when familiar factors must be recombined in novel ways. Vector networks thus make compositional generalization a structural property of the architecture and inference process rather than a brittle byproduct of fitting many behaviors into one shared dense parameter substrate.

Length generalization remains a persistent challenge for neural networks: recurrent models tend to suffer from positional biases, while transformers are constrained by fixed computational depth. Regular languages provide a frequently used testbed for evaluating length generalization, as label prediction can be checked for any sequence length. We propose MLP-LDRU, a type of Log-Depth Recurrent Unit, which captures a class of associativity-biased operators designed to approximate recurrence through parallel reduction. We evaluate MLP-LDRU on 21 regular-language tasks, consisting of standard benchmarks and new prefix languages, where it achieves 100% out-of-distribution accuracy on 18 tasks and at least 99.9% on the remaining 3 when increasing max training length, outperforming comparable recurrent and attention-based models. We further evaluate MLP-LDRU beyond regular languages on ListOps and NLP classification benchmarks, where it performs competitively.

Spatial and temporal resource constraints are critical for both biological and artificial intelligent systems. Here we define differentiable cost terms for breadth, depth, and time within a recurrent convolutional neural network conceived as a finite subset of an infinite lattice. We optimize these costs jointly with task errors via backpropagation. We set different pressures on breadth, depth, and time, which leads to diverse computational graphs emerging organically through training. We find that all three resources can be traded off against each other to achieve a given level of accuracy. Networks grow in all three dimensions with task complexity and spontaneously take more recurrent steps when inputs are occluded. Surprisingly, time used by the model correlates with human reaction times in an object recognition task. Our framework provides a normative account of how resource constraints shape neural architectures, connecting to questions about brain design in neuroscience, and may help illuminate the diversity of neural solutions found in nature.

Streaming reinforcement learning has emerged as an online learning paradigm that conforms to the restrictions of natural learning agents that process data incrementally, i.e. with a batch size of 1 and no replay buffer. While streaming RL has recently been shown to scale with deep function approximation with full observability, partially observable settings have remained out of reach. Truncated backpropagation through time collapses to a one-step gradient horizon under the streaming setting, and exact real-time recurrent learning is prohibitively expensive. We close this gap using recurrent trace units, a diagonal recurrent architecture that enables exact RTRL with linear time and memory complexity in the parameter count, and show that they integrate cleanly into existing streaming algorithms across both discrete and continuous control. On a MemoryChain diagnostic with chain lengths from 2 to 128, our method sustains performance where streaming TBPTT(1) baselines using feedforward, GRU, and RTU networks collapse. On five POPGym tasks and on partially observable MuJoCo continuous control, the streaming approach is competitive with batched PPO on POPGym and recovers a substantial fraction of batched performance on masked MuJoCo, despite using no replay buffer or batched updates.

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) can learn to predict Signal Temporal Logic (STL) verdicts online from partial trajectories, but deploying them as runtime monitors in safety-critical systems demands more than predictive accuracy. Standard RNN architectures offer no structural guarantee that outputs degrade gracefully under sensor degradation; a dropped input can silently flip a verdict from safe to unsafe. We introduce the Recurrent Differentiable Ternary Logic Gate Network (R-DTLGN), a recurrent architecture that operates over Kleene's three-valued logic $\{-1, 0, +1\}$, where $0$ explicitly represents unknown. The R-DTLGN trains through continuous polynomial surrogates and hardens to a discrete ternary logic circuit at inference. We analyze the hardened circuit through two gate vocabularies derived from two orderings on the ternary domain: numerically monotone gates ensure stable recurrent dynamics, while information-monotone gates, when present, guarantee principled abstention (unknown inputs never produce wrong outputs) and monotonicity in input certainty (more information can only improve the verdict). We show that the recurrent connections required by bounded STL operators use exclusively AND and OR, which belong to both vocabularies, linking the monitoring task to the architecture's guarantees. A realizability bound derived from the STL formula's temporal operators directly sizes the network's hidden state, replacing hyperparameter search with a formula-driven specification. We evaluate on STL specifications over D4RL PointMaze navigation data, testing prediction accuracy, degradation under predicate dropout, and the accuracy-versus-safety tradeoff between two label construction pipelines. The R-DTLGN is, to our knowledge, the first recurrent architecture that couples learned temporal prediction with formal degradation guarantees rooted in three-valued logic.

We present an inequality that bounds the short-term memory capability of dynamical systems from below. It can be interpreted as an uncertainty relation between a measure of short-term memory and that of the size of state fluctuations induced by input signals. The lower bound can be achieved by a readout weight and thus represents a suboptimal memory called harmonic memory. We examine analytically and numerically the inequality in a number of reservoir systems subject to input noise. We illustrate cases in which equality is achieved exactly, equality holds asymptotically, and the inequality is strict. We also study the effect of a state-space regularization to elucidate the inequality in terms of the fluctuation structure of the state-space. We find that a certain strength of input noise induces extra memory under the regularization, and we refer to this phenomenon as noise-induced memory. We observe that the memory uncertainty relation does not hold in general for the regularized memory and harmonic memory. This fact is explained in terms of the mechanism of noise-induced memory.

Event cameras capture brightness changes asynchronously with microsecond resolution, yet existing optical flow methods fail to fully exploit this temporal continuity. Frame-based approaches impose artificial accumulation latency and suffer from domain overfitting, while model-based local methods operate statelessly, discarding temporal history between predictions and yielding inaccurate flows. We propose LC-Flow, the first temporally continuous, learning-based optical flow estimator that operates purely from local events. At its core, a Continuous Local Recurrent Network maintains persistent hidden states per spatial grid, incrementally accumulating temporal context as events arrive. Unlike frame-based methods constrained to fixed accumulation windows, and unlike stateless model-based methods that recompute motion from scratch at each step, LC-Flow produces sparse local flow estimates at arbitrary timestamps with full motion history. To address the inherent ambiguity of local observations, we jointly learn a confidence score that quantifies the reliability of each prediction, explicitly handling event sparsity and the aperture problem. This confidence serves a dual role: filtering unreliable estimates for downstream tasks such as visual odometry, and providing principled weights for a multi-scale confidence-guided aggregation that reconstructs globally consistent flow from the sparse local outputs. LC-Flow achieves state-of-the-art performance among local methods on both MVSEC and DSEC, while the confidence-guided aggregation establishes a new overall state-of-the-art on the MVSEC benchmark, surpassing heavy frame-based networks that rely on global spatial priors.

In reactor physics, neutronics can be treated with different fidelity levels, according to the needs of the user. On one hand, the precise modeling of neutrons' behaviour in reactor physics is often expensive and time-consuming due to the high computational costs to numerically solve the Boltzmann transport equation. Conversely, by adopting suitable assumptions, such as the SP$_N$, diffusion theory, and point kinetics, it is possible to generate efficiently low-fidelity data. From the perspective of surrogate models, this computational limitation translates into a scarcity of high-fidelity data and a significant amount of low-fidelity data. Given this difference in fidelity levels, it would be interesting to develop a suitable procedure to map low-fidelity models towards higher fidelity models; for instance, one could obtain the solution to a multi-group diffusion equation starting from time-series data obtained from a point kinetics model. Indeed, this work investigates this possibility by leveraging multi-fidelity information with Shallow Recurrent Decoders, a novel machine learning architecture able to map time-series observations to the full state of the reactor. This technique has been designed to use local or global measurements as input and map their temporal trajectories to the high-dimensional state; by the same logic, in principle, this architecture can also be used when the input is formed by the solution of a lumped model. This work applies this idea to a benchmark reactor geometry, mapping the point kinetics model to the diffusion solution under various input conditions, with much less computational costs.

The current pretraining paradigm for large language models relies on massive compute and internet-scale raw text, creating a significant barrier to foundational research. In contrast, biological systems demonstrate highly sample-efficient learning through multi-timescale processing, such as the functional organization of the frontoparietal loop. Taking this as inspiration, we introduce HRM-Text, which replaces standard Transformers with a Hierarchical Recurrent Model (HRM) that decouples computation into slow-evolving strategic and fast-evolving execution layers. To stabilize this deep recurrence for language modeling, we introduce MagicNorm and warmup deep credit assignment. Furthermore, instead of standard raw-text pretraining, we train exclusively on instruction-response pairs using a task-completion objective and PrefixLM masking. Serving as an empirical existence proof of efficient pretraining, a 1B-parameter HRM-Text model trained from scratch on only 40 billion unique tokens and $1,500 budget achieves 60.7% on MMLU, 81.9% on ARC-C, 82.2% on DROP, 84.5% on GSM8K, and 56.2% on MATH. Despite utilizing roughly 100-900x fewer training tokens and 96-432x less estimated compute than standard baselines, HRM-Text performs competitively with 2-7B parameter open models. These results demonstrate that co-designing architectures and objectives can radically reduce the compute-to-performance ratio, making pretraining from scratch accessible to the broader research community.

The ability to maintain and manipulate information over time is a fundamental aspect of living beings and Artificial Intelligence. While modern models have achieved remarkable success in tasks like natural language processing, evaluating the capacity of novel architectures to process sequential information remains computationally expensive and time-consuming. Testing a new architecture often requires scaling up to massive datasets and models, leading to vast computational costs and slow iteration cycles. In this paper, we propose CogScale, a benchmark of 14 scalable synthetic tasks designed to isolate and evaluate specific cognitive and memory abilities at different parametrizable scales. By providing a standardized, lightweight framework, CogScale allows researchers to rapidly validate architectural innovations before committing to large-scale training. To establish a solid baseline, we evaluate seven distinct architectures: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), xLSTM, Echo State Network (ESN), Mamba, Transformer Decoder, and Transformer Encoder-Decoder. These evaluations are conducted under strict parameter budgets (1k, 10k, and 100k) and across different difficulty levels and scales. Our results show that while classical RNNs and Echo State Networks excel at basic retention within strict parameter budgets, only attention mechanisms and modern state-space models consistently maintain high performance as reasoning complexity and task difficulty scale.

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, have become a popular choice for time-series analysis, their performance relative to model-based approaches in structured environments is rarely evaluated objectively. This paper presents a performance evaluation framework comparing an LSTM classifier against a model-based expectation maximization (EM) classifier for binary time-series classification. The evaluation is conducted on two scalar linear Gaussian state space models differing only in their noise statistics, where the Kalman filter likelihood ratio test with true parameters serves as a reference for the best achievable classification performance.Through Monte Carlo simulations, the classifiers are evaluated across three axes: task difficulty, controlled by the separation in process or measurement noise between the two models; sequence length; and training dataset size. The results show that the EM classifier, which exploits the known model structure, performs strongly when the data conform to the assumed model class. The LSTM classifier requires a larger separation in noise statistics to achieve reliable classification, and its performance saturates below the reference classifier when the models differ only in measurement noise, regardless of sequence length or training dataset size.

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles in dynamic environments face telemetry outages, structural vibrations, and regime-dependent noise that invalidate the stationary covariance assumptions of classical Kalman filters. The Sage-Husa Kalman Filter (SHKF) estimates noise statistics online, but its reliance on a static, scalar forgetting factor forces a strict compromise between steady-state stability and transient responsiveness. We introduce the N-Deep Recurrent Sage-Husa Filter (NDR-SHKF), which replaces this scalar parameter with a vector-valued memory attenuation policy learned by a hierarchical recurrent network operating on whitened innovation sequences. A bifurcated architecture routes shallow recurrent states to capture instantaneous sensor anomalies and deep states to encode sustained dynamic trends, while an auxiliary reconstruction objective prevents feature collapse. The complete filter, including recursive covariance updates, is trained end-to-end via backpropagation through time to directly minimize state estimation error. Evaluations on topologically distinct chaotic attractors demonstrate cross-domain generalization, outperforming purely data-driven baselines that diverge under out-of-distribution dynamics. Furthermore, evaluations on recorded real-world UAV flight datasets validate the framework's practical viability, demonstrating its capacity to bridge transitions into proprioceptive dead reckoning and outperform classical adaptive estimators during sensor outages.

This paper compares gradient boosting and long short-term memory (LSTM) architectures for intraday directional prediction in Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 futures (MNQ). Motivated by recent foundation-model research on financial candlestick data, including the Kronos architecture, we test whether five-minute OHLCV bar sequences contain exploitable sequential predictive structure at the scale of a single instrument dataset. Using 944 trading days from 2021-2025, four model configurations are evaluated under strict expanding-window walk-forward validation across three out-of-sample periods. The target variable is whether the session close exceeds the 10:30 AM open by more than ten points. No configuration produces statistically significant out-of-sample accuracy above the 51.8% base rate. Combined OOS accuracies range from 50.00% to 50.89% across gradient boosting variants, while the LSTM achieves 50.59%. Permutation tests yield p-values of 0.135 for the best gradient boosting model and 0.515 for the LSTM, indicating no statistically significant predictive edge. Feature importance instability across walk-forward folds suggests noise fitting rather than stable structural signal capture. The results indicate that four years of single-instrument five-minute OHLCV data are insufficient for reliable sequential ML-based intraday forecasting. The primary contribution is a documented evaluation of a Kronos-inspired architecture on a constrained real-world dataset, providing an empirical lower bound on data scale requirements for sequential financial ML.