Decision-Making under Uncertainty

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18 papers in the last four weeks, up 200% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

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  1. Auditing Marketing Budget Allocation with Hindsight Regret

    Apr 28, 2026Nilavra Pathak, Olivier Jeunen, Eric LambertCounterfactual EvaluationAlgorithmic Auditing

    Expedia Group · New York, USA · aampe +2

  2. Dynamic UGV-UAV Cooperative Path Planning in Uncertain Environments

    Apr 28, 2026Ninh Nguyen, Srinivas AkellaMulti-Robot Motion PlanningMulti-Robot Coordination

    Department of Computer Science, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, NC 28223, USA

  3. Credal Concept Bottleneck Models for Epistemic-Aleatoric Uncertainty Decomposition

    Apr 27, 2026Tanmoy Mukherjee, Thomas Bailleux, Pierre Marquis +1Uncertainty QuantificationConcept Bottleneck Models

    Univ. Artois, CNRS, CRIL, France · Institut Universitaire de France

  4. Fairness under uncertainty in sequential decisions

    Apr 23, 2026Michelle Seng Ah Lee, Kirtan Padh, David Watson +2Sequential Decision MakingAlgorithmic Fairness

    University of Cambridge, UK · Technical University of Munich, Germany · King’s College London, United Kingdom +3

  5. A Field Guide to Decision Making

    Apr 22, 2026Richard B. ArthurHuman-AI Decision MakingDecision-Making under Uncertainty

    GE Aerospace Research, Niskayuna, NY 12309, USA

  6. Robust Out-of-Distribution Stochastic Optimization

    Apr 22, 2026Xianyu Li, Huan Xu, Xiaolin Huang +1Stochastic OptimizationOOD Generalization

    Department of Automation, Tsinghua University · Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University · Institute of Image Processing and Pattern Recognition, Shanghai Jiao Tong University

  7. Deep Learning for Sequential Decision Making under Uncertainty: Foundations, Frameworks, and Frontiers

    Apr 13, 2026I. Esra BuyuktahtakinReinforcement LearningPredict-Then-Optimize

    Grado Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA

  8. Safe RLHF Beyond Expectation: Stochastic Dominance for Universal Spectral Risk Control

    Mar 11, 2026Yaswanth Chittepu, Ativ Joshi, Rajarshi Bhattacharjee +1Constrained RLLLM Safety Alignment

    University of Massachusetts Amherst

  9. What Capable Agents Must Know: Selection Theorems for Robust Decision-Making under Uncertainty

    Mar 3, 2026Aran NayebiWorld ModelsDecision-Making under Uncertainty

    Machine Learning Department and Neuroscience & Robotics Institutes, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

  10. Uncertainty-aware Causal Decision Making via Effect Bound Decomposition

    Jan 30, 2026Md Musfiqur Rahman, Ziwei Jiang, Hilaf Hasson +1Causal Effect EstimationParameter Identifiability

    Electrical and Computer Engineering, Purdue University · Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University · Cohesity

  11. People use fast and flat simulation to reason about new games

    Oct 13, 2025Katherine M. Collins, Cedegao E. Zhang, Lionel Wong +6Computational Cognitive ModelingHuman Behavior Simulation

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States · Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States · University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom +3

  12. Meta-learning ecological priors from large language models explains human learning and decision making

    Aug 28, 2025Akshay K. Jagadish, Mirko Thalmann, Julian Coda-Forno +2Computational Cognitive ModelingMeta-Learning

    Institute for Human-Centered AI, Helmholtz Computational Health Center, Munich, Germany · Computational Principles of Intelligence, Max Planck Institute for Biological Cybernetics, Tübingen, Germany · Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany +1

  13. The price of uncertainty for social consensus

    Aug 24, 2025Yunzhe Bai, Alec SunOpinion DynamicsMulti-Agent Consensus

  14. Sequential Cohort Selection under Uncertainty

    Aug 22, 2025Hortence Yiepnou, Christos DimitrakakisSequential Decision MakingPolicy Optimization

    University of Neuch atel

  15. Rethinking Prospect Theory for LLMs: Revealing the Instability of Decision-Making under Epistemic Uncertainty

    Aug 12, 2025Rui Wang, Qihan Lin, Jiayu Liu +7LLM Decision-MakingDecision-Making under Uncertainty

    Hong Kong University of Science and Technology · Huazhong University of Science and Technology · University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

  16. Sufficient Decision Proxies for Decision-Focused Learning

    May 6, 2025Noah Schutte, Grigorii Veviurko, Krzysztof Postek +1Stochastic OptimizationLearning to Optimize

    Delft University of Technology · Independent Researcher

  17. Plan-Driven Adaptive Bidding for First-Price Auctions with Budget Constraints under Nonstationarity

    May 5, 2025Yige Wang, Jiashuo JiangPrimal-Dual OptimizationAutomated Bidding

    Department of Industrial Engineering & Decision Analytics, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

  18. Active Exploration via Autoregressive Generation of Missing Data

    May 29, 2024Tiffany Tianhui Cai, Hongseok Namkoong, Daniel Russo +1RL ExplorationAutoregressive Generation

    Department of Statistics Columbia University New York, NY 10025, USA · Decision, Risk, and Operations Division Columbia Business School New York, NY 10025, USA · Department of Mathematics Imperial College London London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom

  19. Double Fuzzy Probabilistic Interval Linguistic Term Set and a Dynamic Fuzzy Decision Making Model based on Markov Process with tts Application in Multiple Criteria Group Decision Making

    Nov 30, 2021Zongmin LiuMulti-Criteria Decision AnalysisFuzzy Logic

    Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 USA