Spatiotemporal GNNs

GNN: Graph Neural Network

Overview

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks represent entities such as traffic sensors, body joints, or mesh elements as nodes, and use their connections to model how information changes over time. Common approaches combine graph convolutions or attention with recurrent networks, temporal convolutions, Transformers, or continuous-time models; some also learn changing graph structure or incorporate physical constraints. They are used for traffic forecasting, human-motion prediction, environmental modeling, and simulation, with evaluation ranging from traffic datasets such as METR-LA and PEMS to motion benchmarks such as Human3.6M. A central challenge is balancing accuracy and long-horizon stability with computational cost, while ensuring models generalize across regions, changing conditions, and irregular or sparse observations.

Latest papers

148 papers15 papers in the last four weeks, level with the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Mar 31, 2026

Causality-inspired Federated Learning for Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graphs

Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on parameter averaging or distribution alignment, which implicitly assume that all features are equally transferable across clients, overlooking both the spatial and temporal heterogeneity and the presence of client-specific knowledge in real-world graphs. In this work, we identify that such assumptions create a vicious cycle of spurious representation entanglement, client-specific interference, and negative transfer, degrading generalization performance in Federated Learning over Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graphs (FSTG). To address this issue, we propose a novel causality-inspired framework named SC-FSGL, which explicitly decouples transferable causal knowledge from client-specific noise through representation-level interventions. Specifically, we introduce a Conditional Separation Module that simulates soft interventions through client conditioned masks, enabling the disentanglement of invariant spatio-temporal causal factors from spurious signals and mitigating representation entanglement caused by client heterogeneity. In addition, we propose a Causal Codebook that clusters causal prototypes and aligns local representations via contrastive learning, promoting cross-client consistency and facilitating knowledge sharing across diverse spatio-temporal patterns. Experiments on five diverse heterogeneity Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) datasets show that SC-FSGL outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
Mar 25, 2026

Hierarchical Spatial-Temporal Graph-Enhanced Model for Map-Matching

The integration of GNSS data into portable devices has led to the generation of vast amounts of trajectory data, which is crucial for applications such as map-matching. To tackle the limitations of rule-based methods, recent works in deep learning for trajectory-related tasks occur. However, existing models remain challenging due to issues such as the difficulty of large-scale data labeling, ineffective modeling of spatial-temporal relationships, and discrepancies between training and test data distributions. To tackle these challenges, we propose HSTGMatch, a novel model designed to enhance map-matching performance. Our approach involves a two-stage process: hierarchical self-supervised learning and spatial-temporal supervised learning. We introduce a hierarchical trajectory representation, leveraging both grid cells and geographic tuples to capture moving patterns effectively. The model constructs an Adaptive Trajectory Adjacency Graph to dynamically capture spatial relationships, optimizing GATs for improved efficiency. Furthermore, we incorporate a Spatial-Temporal Factor to extract relevant features and employ a decay coefficient to address variations in trajectory length. Our extensive experiments demonstrate the model's superior performance, module effectiveness, and robustness, providing a promising solution for overcoming the existing limitations in map-matching applications. The source code of HSTGMatch is publicly available on GitHub at https://github.com/Nerooo-g/HSTGMatch.
Mar 20, 2026

NCSTR: Node-Centric Decoupled Spatio-Temporal Reasoning for Video-based Human Pose Estimation

Video-based human pose estimation remains challenged by motion blur, occlusion, and complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Existing methods often rely on heatmaps or implicit spatio-temporal feature aggregation, which limits joint topology expressiveness and weakens cross-frame consistency. To address these problems, we propose a novel node-centric framework that explicitly integrates visual, temporal, and structural reasoning for accurate pose estimation. First, we design a visuo-temporal velocity-based joint embedding that fuses sub-pixel joint cues and inter-frame motion to build appearance- and motion-aware representations. Then, we introduce an attention-driven pose-query encoder, which applies attention over joint-wise heatmaps and frame-wise features to map the joint representations into a pose-aware node space, generating image-conditioned joint-aware node embeddings. Building upon these node embeddings, we propose a dual-branch decoupled spatio-temporal attention graph that models temporal propagation and spatial constraint reasoning in specialized local and global branches. Finally, a node-space expert fusion module is proposed to adaptively fuse the complementary outputs from both branches, integrating local and global cues for final joint predictions. Extensive experiments on three widely used video pose benchmarks demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods. The results highlight the value of explicit node-centric reasoning, offering a new perspective for advancing video-based human pose estimation.
Mar 16, 2026

KGS-GCN: Kinematics-Driven Gaussian Splatting and Probabilistic Topology for Skeleton-Based Action Recognition

Skeleton-based action recognition is widely applied in sensor-based systems, including human-computer interaction and intelligent surveillance. However, typical sensors produce sparse and discrete joint coordinates, often leading to the loss of fine-grained spatiotemporal information during dynamic movements. Furthermore, predefined physical topologies restrict modeling potential long-range dependencies. To address these challenges, we propose KGS-GCN, which integrates kinematics-driven Gaussian splatting and probabilistic topology within a graph convolutional network. A Gaussian splatting module constructs anisotropic covariance matrices by extracting instantaneous joint velocity vectors, rendering sparse skeleton sequences into multi-view continuous heatmaps rich in spatiotemporal semantics. Additionally, a probabilistic topology construction strategy transcends physical connectivity limitations by utilizing the Bhattacharyya distance to quantify statistical correlations between joint Gaussian distributions, generating an adaptive prior adjacency matrix. Finally, the lightweight multi-view rendering branch and topological GCN backbone are unified through a visual context gating mechanism, enabling seamless fusion of continuous dynamic cues with structural priors while maintaining high computational efficiency, requiring only 1.4M parameters and 1.3 GFLOPs. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that KGS-GCN significantly enhances the modeling of complex spatiotemporal dynamics and achieves competitive performance at low computational cost, establishing an efficient paradigm for improving the perceptual robustness of low-fidelity sensor data.
Mar 15, 2026

A Multi-Scale Graph Learning Framework with Temporal Consistency Constraints for Financial Fraud Detection in Transaction Networks under Non-Stationary Conditions

Financial fraud detection in transaction networks involves modeling sparse anomalies, dynamic patterns, and severe class imbalance in the presence of temporal drift in the data. In real-world transaction systems, a suspicious transaction is rarely isolated: rather, legitimate and suspicious transactions are often connected through accounts, intermediaries or through temporal transaction sequences. Attribute-based or randomly partitioned learning pipelines are therefore insufficient to detect relationally structured fraud. STC-MixHop, a graph-based framework combining spatial multi-resolution propagation with lightweight temporal consistency modeling for anomaly and fraud detection in dynamic transaction networks. It integrates three components: a MixHop-inspired multi-scale neighborhood diffusion encoder a multi-scale neighborhood diffusion MixHop-based encoder for learning structural patterns; a spatial-temporal attention module coupling current and preceding graph snapshots to stabilize representations; and a temporally informed self-supervised pretraining strategy exploiting unlabeled transaction interactions to improve representation quality. We evaluate the framework primarily on the PaySim dataset under strict chronological splits, supplementing the analysis with Porto Seguro and FEMA data to probe cross-domain component behavior. Results show that STC-MixHop is competitive among graph methods and achieves strong screening-oriented recall under highly imbalanced conditions. The experiments also reveal an important boundary condition: when node attributes are highly informative, tabular baselines remain difficult to outperform. Graph structure contributes most clearly where hidden relational dependencies are operationally important. These findings support a stability-focused view of graph learning for financial fraud detection.
Mar 15, 2026

STAG-CN: Spatio-Temporal Apiary Graph Convolutional Network for Disease Onset Prediction in Beehive Sensor Networks

Honey bee colony losses threaten global pollination services, yet current monitoring systems treat each hive as an isolated unit, ignoring the spatial pathways through which diseases spread across apiaries. This paper introduces the Spatio-Temporal Apiary Graph Convolutional Network (STAG-CN), a graph neural network that models inter-hive relationships for disease onset prediction. STAG-CN operates on a dual adjacency graph combining physical co-location and climatic sensor correlation among hive sessions, and processes multivariate IoT sensor streams through a temporal--spatial--temporal sandwich architecture built on causal dilated convolutions and Chebyshev spectral graph convolutions. Evaluated on the Korean AI Hub apiculture dataset (dataset #71488) with expanding-window temporal cross-validation, STAG-CN achieves an F1 score of 0.607 at a three-day forecast horizon. An ablation study reveals that the climatic adjacency matrix alone matches full-model performance (F1,=,0.607), while the physical adjacency alone yields F1,=,0.274, indicating that shared environmental response patterns carry stronger predictive signal than spatial proximity for disease onset. These results establish a proof-of-concept for graph-based biosecurity monitoring in precision apiculture, demonstrating that inter-hive sensor correlations encode disease-relevant information invisible to single-hive approaches.
Mar 15, 2026

Graph-Based Deep Learning for Intelligent Detection of Energy Losses, Theft, and Operational Inefficiencies in Oil & Gas Production Networks

Early detection of energy losses, theft, and operational inefficiencies remains a critical challenge in oil and gas production systems due to complex interdependencies among wells and facilities, evolving operating conditions, and limited labeled anomaly data. Traditional machine learning approaches often treat production units independently and struggle under temporal distribution shifts. This study proposes a spatiotemporal graph-based deep learning framework for anomaly detection in oil and gas production networks. The production system is modeled as a hierarchical graph of wells, facilities, and fields, with additional peer connections among wells sharing common infrastructure. Weakly supervised anomaly labels are derived from physically informed heuristics based on production, pressure, and flow behavior. Temporal dynamics are captured through sequence modeling, while relational dependencies are learned using a Temporal Graph Attention Network. Under time-based evaluation, the proposed model achieves an ROC-AUC of about 0.98 and anomaly recall above 0.93, demonstrating improved robustness and practical potential for proactive monitoring in real-world energy operations.
Mar 14, 2026

ST-ResGAT: Explainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Road Condition Prediction and Priority-Driven Maintenance

Climate-vulnerable road networks require a paradigm shift from reactive, fix-on-failure repairs to predictive, decision-ready maintenance. This paper introduces ST-ResGAT, a novel Spatio-Temporal Residual Graph Attention Network that fuses residual graph-attention encoding with GRU temporal aggregation to forecast pavement deterioration. Engineered for resource-constrained deployment, the framework translates continuous Pavement Condition Index (PCI) forecasts directly into the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM)-compliant maintenance priorities. Using a real-world inspection dataset of 750 segments in Sylhet, Bangladesh (2021-2024), ST-ResGAT significantly outperforms traditional non-spatial machine learning baselines, achieving exceptional predictive fidelity (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 2.72). Crucially, ablation testing confirmed the mathematical necessity of modeling topological neighbor effects, proving that structural decay acts as a spatial contagion. Uniquely, we integrate GNNExplainer to unbox the model, demonstrating that its learned priorities align perfectly with established physical engineering theory. Furthermore, we quantify classification safety: achieving 85.5% exact ASTM class agreement and 100% adjacent-class containment, ensuring bounded, engineer-safe predictions. To connect model outputs to policy, we generate localized longitudinal maintenance profiles, perform climate stress-testing, and derive Pareto sustainability frontiers. ST-ResGAT therefore offers a practical, explainable, and sustainable blueprint for intelligent infrastructure management in high-risk, low-resource geological settings.
Mar 13, 2026

MR-GNF: Multi-Resolution Graph Neural Forecasting on Ellipsoidal Meshes for Efficient Regional Weather Prediction

Weather forecasting offers an ideal testbed for artificial intelligence (AI) to learn complex, multi-scale physical systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction remains computationally costly for frequent regional updates, as high-resolution nests require intensive boundary coupling. We introduce Multi-Resolution Graph Neural Forecasting (MR-GNF), a lightweight, physics-aware model that performs short-term regional forecasts directly on an ellipsoidal, multi-scale graph of the Earth. The framework couples a 0.25° region of interest with a 0.5° context belt and 1.0° outer domain, enabling continuous cross-scale message passing without explicit nested boundaries. Its axial graph-attention network alternates vertical self-attention across pressure levels with horizontal graph attention across surface nodes, capturing implicit 3-D structure in just 1.6 M parameters. Trained on 40 years of ERA5 reanalysis (1980-2024), MR-GNF delivers stable +6 h to +24 h forecasts for near-surface temperature, wind, and precipitation over the UK-Ireland sector. Despite a total compute cost below 80 GPU-hours on a single RTX 6000 Ada, the model matches or exceeds heavier regional AI systems while preserving physical consistency across scales. These results demonstrate that graph-based neural operators can achieve trustworthy, high-resolution weather prediction at a fraction of NWP cost, opening a practical path toward AI-driven early-warning and renewable-energy forecasting systems. Project page and code: https://github.com/AndriiShchur/MR-GNF
Mar 13, 2026

Competition-Aware CPC Forecasting with Near-Market Coverage

Cost-per-click (CPC) in paid search is an auction-generated outcome shaped by a competitive landscape that is only partially observable from any single advertiser's history. From 1.66 billion Google Ads log records for a concentrated car-rental market (2021-2023), we construct a weekly panel of 1,811 keyword series over 127 weeks (218,924 keyword-week observations) and build competition-aware proxies from keyword text, CPC trajectories, and geographic market structure. The design combines (i) semantic neighborhoods and a semantic keyword graph from pretrained transformer-based keyword representations, (ii) behavioral neighborhoods from Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) alignment of CPC trajectories, and (iii) geographic-intent covariates capturing localized demand and marketplace heterogeneity. We evaluate these signals both as exogenous covariates and as relational priors in spatiotemporal graph forecasters, benchmarking them against statistical, neural, and time-series foundation-model baselines. The results reveal a clear horizon crossover. At one week, graph-based models achieve the lowest error, reducing sMAPE by 15.1% relative to the strongest classical/ML baseline; at the six- and twelve-week horizons, covariate-augmented foundation models dominate, reducing sMAPE by 22.5% and 27.6%, respectively. The gains concentrate in the high-CPC, high-volatility keywords where forecasting errors are most costly. A falsification battery supports the competition interpretation at the planning horizon: the semantic competition graph outperforms a confounder-matched non-competitive graph by 4.05 sMAPE points, and matched-neighbour and time-shuffled controls show the six-week gains are competition-specific rather than generic smoothing. Together, the findings establish a horizon-dependent competition-aware forecasting design for auction-driven advertising markets under partial observability.
Mar 12, 2026

VisiFold: Long-Term Traffic Forecasting via Temporal Folding Graph and Node Visibility

Traffic forecasting is a cornerstone of intelligent transportation systems. While existing research has made significant progress in short-term prediction, long-term forecasting remains a largely uncharted and challenging frontier. Extending the prediction horizon intensifies two critical issues: escalating computational resource consumption and increasingly complex spatial-temporal dependencies. Current approaches, which rely on spatial-temporal graphs and process temporal and spatial dimensions separately, suffer from snapshot-stacking inflation and cross-step fragmentation. To overcome these limitations, we propose VisiFold. Our framework introduces a novel temporal folding graph that consolidates a sequence of temporal snapshots into a single graph. Furthermore, we present a node visibility mechanism that incorporates node-level masking and subgraph sampling to overcome the computational bottleneck imposed by large node counts. Extensive experiments show that VisiFold not only drastically reduces resource consumption but also outperforms existing baselines in long-term forecasting tasks. Remarkably, even with a high mask ratio of 80%, VisiFold maintains its performance advantage. By effectively breaking the resource constraints in both temporal and spatial dimensions, our work paves the way for more realistic long-term traffic forecasting. The code is available at~ https://github.com/PlanckChang/VisiFold.
Mar 12, 2026

Deep Learning Network-Temporal Models For Traffic Prediction

Accurate prediction of multivariate time series is essential for emerging network intelligent control, observability, and management functions. Existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time series. They prioritize improvements in average prediction accuracy, while overlooking heterogeneous dependency structures and performance variability across individual time series. Recent advances in large language models have introduced new directions for multivariate time series forecasting; however, their application in conjunction with explicit structural dependency modeling remains relatively underexplored, especially in networked environments. In this paper, we present a topology-aware learning framework for large-scale network traffic prediction that explicitly models both temporal dynamics and structural dependencies in multivariate network time series. We first investigate a graph attention model designed to capture topology-induced correlations among network traffic time series. We then evaluate a fine-tuned large language model-based representations for improved generalization across heterogeneous traffic patterns. To further address the diversity of cross-correlations in high-dimensional traffic data, we introduce a clustering-based preprocessing stage that groups traffic flows with similar dependency characteristics prior to model training, reducing input complexity and improving learning stability. Experiments on real backbone traffic data show consistent improvements over statistical and recurrent neural network baselines. In addition to average accuracy, we evaluate performance across individual time series and observe reduced variability in prediction quality.
Mar 11, 2026

Spatio-Temporal Attention Graph Neural Network: Explaining Causalities With Attention

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) underpin critical infrastructure and face growing cyber-physical threats due to the convergence of operational technology and networked environments. While machine learning-based anomaly detection approaches in ICS shows strong theoretical performance, deployment is often limited by poor explainability, high false-positive rates, and sensitivity to evolving system behavior, i.e., baseline drifting. We propose a Spatio-Temporal Attention Graph Neural Network (STA-GNN) for unsupervised and explainable anomaly detection in ICS that models both temporal dynamics and relational structure of the system. Sensors, controllers, and network entities are represented as nodes in a dynamically learned graph, enabling the model to capture inter-dependencies across physical processes and communication patterns. Attention mechanisms provide influential relationships, supporting inspection of correlations and potential causal pathways behind detected events. The approach supports multiple data modalities, including SCADA point measurements, network flow features, and payload features, and thus enables unified cyber-physical analysis. To address operational requirements, we incorporate a conformal prediction strategy to control false alarm rates and monitor performance degradation under drifting of the environment. Our findings highlight the possibilities and limitations of model evaluation and common pitfalls in anomaly detection in ICS. Our findings emphasise the importance of explainable, drift-aware evaluation for reliable deployment of learning-based security monitoring systems.
Mar 8, 2026

SketchGraphNet: A Memory-Efficient Hybrid Graph Transformer for Large-Scale Sketch Corpora Recognition

This work investigates large-scale sketch recognition from a graph-native perspective, where free-hand sketches are directly modeled as structured graphs rather than raster images or stroke sequences. We propose SketchGraphNet, a hybrid graph neural architecture that integrates local message passing with a memory-efficient global attention mechanism, without relying on auxiliary positional or structural encodings. To support systematic evaluation, we construct SketchGraph, a large-scale benchmark comprising 3.44 million graph-structured sketches across 344 categories, with two variants (A and R) to reflect different noise conditions. Each sketch is represented as a spatiotemporal graph with normalized stroke-order attributes. On SketchGraph-A and SketchGraph-R, SketchGraphNet achieves Top-1 accuracies of 83.62% and 87.61%, respectively, under a unified training configuration. MemEffAttn further reduces peak GPU memory by over 40% and training time by more than 30% compared with Performer-based global attention, while maintaining comparable accuracy.
Mar 7, 2026

A Dual-Graph Spatiotemporal GNN Surrogate for Nonlinear Response Prediction of Reinforced Concrete Beams under Four-Point Bending

High-fidelity nonlinear finite-element (FE) simulations of reinforced-concrete (RC) structures are still costly, especially in parametric settings where loading positions vary. We develop a dual-graph spatiotemporal GNN surrogate to approximate the time histories of RC beams under four-point bending. To generate training data, we run a parametric Abaqus campaign that independently shifts the two loading blocks on a mesh-aligned grid and exports full-field responses at fixed normalized loading levels. The model rolls out autoregressively and jointly predicts nodal displacements, element wise von Mises stress, element-wise equivalent plastic strain (PEEQ), and the global vertical reaction force in a single multi-task setup. A key motivation is the peak loss introduced when element quantities are forced through node-based representations. We therefore couple node- and element-level dynamics using two recurrent graph branches: a node-level graph convolutional gated recurrent unit (GConvGRU) for kinematics and an element-level GConvGRU for history-dependent internal variables, with global force predicted through pooling on the element branch. In controlled ablations, removing the Element to Node to Element pathway improves peak-sensitive prediction in localized high-gradient stress/PEEQ regions without degrading global load displacement trends. After training, the surrogate produces full trajectories at a fraction of the cost of nonlinear FE, enabling faster parametric evaluation and design exploration.
Mar 6, 2026

Ensemble Graph Neural Networks for Probabilistic Sea Surface Temperature Forecasting via Input Perturbations

Accurate regional ocean forecasting requires models that are both computationally efficient and capable of representing predictive uncertainty. This work investigates ensemble learning strategies for sea surface temperature (SST) forecasting using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), with a focus on how input perturbation design affects forecast skill and uncertainty representation. We adapt a GNN architecture to the Canary Islands region in the North Atlantic and implement a homogeneous ensemble approach inspired by bagging, where diversity is introduced during inference by perturbing initial ocean states rather than retraining multiple models. Several noise-based ensemble generation strategies are evaluated, including Gaussian noise, Perlin noise, and fractal Perlin noise, with systematic variation of noise intensity and spatial structure. Ensemble forecasts are assessed over a 15-day horizon using deterministic metrics (RMSE and bias) and probabilistic metrics, including the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and the Spread-skill ratio. Results show that, while deterministic skill remains comparable to the single-model forecast, the type and structure of input perturbations strongly influence uncertainty representation, particularly at longer lead times. Ensembles generated with spatially coherent perturbations, such as low-resolution Perlin noise, achieve better calibration and lower CRPS than purely random Gaussian perturbations. These findings highlight the critical role of noise structure and scale in ensemble GNN design and demonstrate that carefully constructed input perturbations can yield well-calibrated probabilistic forecasts without additional training cost, supporting the feasibility of ensemble GNNs for operational regional ocean prediction.
Mar 3, 2026

Tensegrity Robot Endcap-Ground Contact Estimation with Symmetry-aware Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network

Tensegrity robots possess lightweight and resilient structures but present significant challenges for state estimation due to compliant and distributed ground contacts. This paper introduces a symmetry-aware heterogeneous graph neural network (Sym-HGNN) that infers contact states directly from proprioceptive measurements, including IMU and cable-length histories, without dedicated contact sensors. The network incorporates the robot's dihedral symmetry D3D_3 into the message-passing process to enhance sample efficiency and generalization. The predicted contacts are integrated into a state-of-the-art contact-aided invariant extended Kalman filter (InEKF) for improved pose estimation. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves up to 15% higher accuracy and 5% higher F1-score using only 20% of the training data compared to the CNN and MI-HGNN baselines, while maintaining low-drift and physically consistent state estimation results comparable to ground truth contacts. This work highlights the potential of fully proprioceptive sensing for accurate and robust state estimation in tensegrity robots. Code available at: https://github.com/Jonathan-Twz/Tensegrity-Sym-HGNN
Mar 2, 2026

FreeGNN: Continual Source-Free Graph Neural Network Adaptation for Renewable Energy Forecasting

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is essential for efficient grid management and sustainable power planning. However, traditional supervised models often require access to labeled data from the target site, which may be unavailable due to privacy, cost, or logistical constraints. In this work, we propose FreeGNN, a Continual Source-Free Graph Domain Adaptation framework that enables adaptive forecasting on unseen renewable energy sites without requiring source data or target labels. Our approach integrates a spatio-temporal Graph Neural Network (GNN) backbone with a teacher--student strategy, a memory replay mechanism to mitigate catastrophic forgetting, graph-based regularization to preserve spatial correlations, and a drift-aware weighting scheme to dynamically adjust adaptation strength during streaming updates. This combination allows the model to continuously adapt to non-stationary environmental conditions while maintaining robustness and stability. We conduct extensive experiments on three real-world datasets: GEFCom2012, Solar PV, and Wind SCADA, encompassing multiple sites, temporal resolutions, and meteorological features. The ablation study confirms that each component memory, graph regularization, drift-aware adaptation, and teacher--student strategy contributes significantly to overall performance. The experiments show that FreeGNN achieves an MAE of 5.237 and an RMSE of 7.123 on the GEFCom dataset, an MAE of 1.107 and an RMSE of 1.512 on the Solar PV dataset, and an MAE of 0.382 and an RMSE of 0.523 on the Wind SCADA dataset. These results demonstrate its ability to achieve accurate and robust forecasts in a source-free, continual learning setting, highlighting its potential for real-world deployment in adaptive renewable energy systems. For reproducibility, implementation details are available at: https://github.com/AraoufBh/FreeGNN.
Feb 28, 2026

Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Early Detection of Pornography Addiction in Adolescents Based on Electroencephalogram Signals

Adolescent pornography addiction requires early detection based on objective neurobiological biomarkers because self-report is prone to subjective bias due to social stigma. Conventional machine learning has not been able to model dynamic functional connectivity of the brain that fluctuates temporally during addictive stimulus exposure. This study proposes a state-of-the-art Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network (DST-GNN) that integrates Phase Lag Index (PLI)-based Graph Attention Network (GAT) for spatial modeling and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) for temporal dynamics. The dataset consists of 14 adolescents (7 addicted, 7 healthy) with 19-channel EEG across 9 experimental conditions. Leave-One-Subject-Out Cross Validation (LOSO-CV) evaluation shows F1-Score of 71.00%±\pm12.10% and recall of 85.71%, a 104% improvement compared to baseline. Ablation study confirms temporal contribution of 21% and PLI graph construction of 57%. Frontal-central regions (Fz, Cz, C3, C4) are identified as dominant biomarkers with Beta contribution of 58.9% and Hjorth of 31.2%, while Cz-T7 connectivity is consistent as a trait-level biomarker for objective screening.
Feb 25, 2026

Learning global river system hydrodynamics with a topology-informed foundation model

Accurate river prediction is essential for water, food, and energy security, yet extending it reliably from sparse in-situ gauges to the full river network remains an open challenge. Although machine learning has transformed Earth-system modelling, the same sparse and uneven observations have largely confined its advances for rivers to discrete basins rather than connected river systems. Here we introduce GraphRiverCast (GRC), a topology-informed river foundation model for reach-level prediction across the global river network. Exploiting the connectivity and energetics of rivers, it is trained on sparse gauges and predicts daily multivariate hydrodynamics with no prior river conditions. GRC outperforms strong physics-based and machine-learning models. Attribution experiments show that, compared with standard autoregressive models that rely more on temporal recurrence, GRC reconstructs river states from topology and forcing, learning the dynamics themselves and inheriting the self-correcting character of river systems. Its skill therefore barely decays with lead time, even far beyond its training horizon. It also generalises to ungauged reaches and finer-resolution networks, bringing reliable hydrodynamic prediction to poorly monitored regions. More broadly, harnessing the structure and energetics of a system offers a strategy for machine learning in other observation-limited Earth systems.
Feb 25, 2026

Positional-aware Spatio-Temporal Network for Large-Scale Traffic Prediction

Traffic flow forecasting has emerged as an indispensable mission for daily life, which is required to utilize the spatiotemporal relationship between each location within a time period under a graph structure to predict future flow. However, the large travel demand for broader geographical areas and longer time spans requires models to distinguish each node clearly and possess a holistic view of the history, which has been paid less attention to in prior works. Furthermore, increasing sizes of data hinder the deployment of most models in real application environments. To this end, in this paper, we propose a lightweight Positional-aware Spatio-Temporal Network (PASTN) to effectively capture both temporal and spatial complexities in an end-to-end manner. PASTN introduces positional-aware embeddings to separate each node's representation, while also utilizing a temporal attention module to improve the long-range perception of current models. Extensive experiments verify the effectiveness and efficiency of PASTN across datasets of various scales (county, megalopolis and state). Further analysis demonstrates the efficacy of newly introduced modules either.
Feb 20, 2026

Stable Long-Horizon Spatiotemporal Prediction on Meshes Using Latent Multiscale Recurrent Graph Neural Networks

Accurate long-horizon prediction of spatiotemporal fields on complex geometries is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning, with applications such as additive manufacturing where temperature histories govern defect formation and mechanical properties. High-fidelity simulations are accurate but computationally costly, and despite recent advances, machine learning methods remain challenged by long-horizon temperature and gradient prediction. We propose a deep learning framework for predicting full temperature histories directly on meshes, conditioned on geometry and process parameters, while maintaining stability over thousands of time steps and generalizing across heterogeneous geometries. The framework adopts a temporal multiscale architecture composed of two coupled models operating at complementary time scales. Both models rely on a latent recurrent graph neural network to capture spatiotemporal dynamics on meshes, while a variational graph autoencoder provides a compact latent representation that reduces memory usage and improves training stability. Experiments on simulated powder bed fusion data demonstrate accurate and temporally stable long-horizon predictions across diverse geometries, outperforming existing baseline. Although evaluated in two dimensions, the framework is general and extensible to physics-driven systems with multiscale dynamics and to three-dimensional geometries.
Jan 30, 2026

Securing Time Integrity in Energy IoT Against Clock Drift and Y2K38 Failures

Time integrity across distributed Internet of Things (IoT) devices is fundamental to reliable sensing, control, and security in energy cyber-physical systems. However, operational energy IoT systems remain vulnerable to clock-drift escalation, time-synchronization manipulation, and catastrophic timestamp discontinuities, e.g., the Year 2038 (Y2K38) Unix epoch overflow. These failures violate timestamp monotonicity, distort temporal ordering, and introduce structured inconsistencies in system observations. Conventional anomaly detection models, which typically assume reliable and uniformly ordered timestamps, are therefore ill-equipped to capture timing-layer failures. This paper introduces STGAT (Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention Network), a clock-dynamics-aware anomaly detection solution that jointly models temporal distortion and inter-device consistency in energy IoT systems. STGAT integrates drift-aware temporal embeddings and temporal self-attention to capture non-uniform and corrupted time evolution within individual device streams, while graph attention models the spatial propagation of timing inconsistencies across interconnected nodes. A Jacobian-regularized latent representation further promotes geometric separation between nominal clock evolution and anomalous temporal deformation caused by drift escalation, synchronization offsets, jitter accumulation, and epoch-overflow events. Experimental evaluation on energy IoT telemetry augmented with controlled timing-layer perturbations shows that STGAT achieves 95.7% accuracy, 94.0% precision, 92.0% recall, 93.0% F1-score, and 0.97 AUC under the primary test setting. STGAT also reduces detection delay to 2.3 time steps, corresponding to a 26% improvement over the closest baseline, while maintaining stable performance under overflow-induced discontinuities, stealthy drift escalation, and temporally induced physical inconsistencies.
Sep 17, 2025

JaGNet: Detection, Identification and Position Error Correction of GNSS Jamming with Deep Temporal Graphs

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) underpin location-dependent mobile computing, such as railway signaling, public transport and fleet tracking, yet face growing disruption from low-cost jammers. Under moderate jamming, low-cost receivers keep reporting a valid fix, shifted by up to several meters and often without an interference flag. Their built-in defenses run in closed firmware, and existing data-driven position error correction methods are designed for multipath, require raw pseudoranges or operate on single epochs. We propose JaGNet, a single-layer heterogeneous graph convolutional LSTM over star graphs of the receiver and its satellites, which, from the standard receiver output alone, detects the jamming, identifies its type and power, and corrects the reported position only when jamming is detected. We evaluate it on new hardware-in-the-loop recordings of a commercial multi-constellation receiver under three jammer types at six powers, at six static locations and on eleven railway and bus routes. JaGNet detects 99.8 to 99.9% of the jammed 10-s windows with at most 1.0% false positives, against 64.7 to 66.2% for the receiver's own monitor, and identifies the jammer type in 95.2 to 96.6% of them. Trained in the laboratory only, it detects 97.7% of the Jammertest 2024 field windows with a C/N0 drop of 10 dB or more. It reduces the mean absolute position error by 67.5% at held-out locations and by 64.0% on held-out route repetitions, where its error is 20.2 cm below that of the strongest baseline, whereas at the static locations the attention-based baselines are within 0.4 cm of it.
Apr 10, 2025

Efficient Traffic State Prediction With Dynamic Joint Spatio-Temporal Relation Inference

Traffic prediction is difficult due to the complex interplay of temporal evolution, spatial interactions, and delayed spatio-temporal propagation over road networks. Existing methods either model spatial and temporal dependencies separately or employ unified spatio-temporal structures, but they often insufficiently characterize how neighboring sensors at historical timestamps influence a target node, while complex joint models may incur high computation. This paper proposes STEI-PCN, an efficient pure convolutional network based on spatio-temporal encoding and relation inference. It first builds a local causal joint spatio-temporal graph to restrict candidate interactions, then uses absolute position and relative distance encodings to infer dynamic edge weights. A single-layer graph convolution with a position-aware gated activation unit captures local joint dependencies, and temporal dilated causal convolutions complement long-range temporal patterns. A multi-view prediction module fuses raw, local propagation, and long-range temporal representations for direct multi-step forecasting. Experiments on PeMS03, PeMS04, PeMS07, PeMS08, and PeMS-Bay under multiple horizons show that STEI-PCN achieves competitive accuracy with moderate parameters and low training and inference costs. Ablation and fluctuation analyses further verify the contributions of the main components and empirically analyze the effects of the training-stage constraints under sharp speed changes. Our code is available at a GitHub link https://github.com/Jessez2/STEI-PCN.
Oct 14, 2024

Information propagation dynamics in Deep Graph Networks

Graphs are a highly expressive abstraction for modeling entities and their relations, such as molecular structures, social networks, and traffic networks. Deep Graph Networks (DGNs) have emerged as a family of deep learning models that can effectively process and learn such structured information. However, learning effective information propagation patterns within DGNs remains a critical challenge that heavily influences the model capabilities, both in the static domain and in the temporal domain (where features and/or topology evolve). Given this challenge, this thesis investigates the dynamics of information propagation within DGNs for static and dynamic graphs, focusing on their design as dynamical systems. Throughout this work, we provide theoretical and empirical evidence to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed architectures in propagating and preserving long-term dependencies between nodes, and in learning complex spatio-temporal patterns from irregular and sparsely sampled dynamic graphs. In summary, this thesis provides a comprehensive exploration of the intersection between graphs, deep learning, and dynamical systems, offering insights and advancements for the field of graph representation learning and paving the way for more effective and versatile graph-based learning models.
Mar 22, 2024

GCN-DevLSTM: Path Development for Skeleton-Based Action Recognition

Skeleton-based action recognition (SAR) in videos is an important but challenging task in computer vision. The recent state-of-the-art (SOTA) models for SAR are primarily based on graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs), which are powerful in extracting the spatial information from skeleton data. However, their ability to capture temporal dynamics remains limited. To address this, we propose the G-Dev layer, which leverages path development-a principled and parsimonious representation for sequential data based on Lie group structures-to enhance temporal modeling. By integrating the G-Dev layer, the proposed DevLSTM module summarizes local temporal dynamics, reducing the time dimension while retaining high-frequency information. It can be conveniently applied to any temporal graph data, complementing existing advanced GCN-based models. Our empirical studies on the NTU-60, NTU-120 and Chalearn2013 datasets demonstrate that our proposed GCN-DevLSTM network consistently improves the strong GCN baseline models and achieves competitive performance. The code repository is publicly available at https://github.com/DeepIntoStreams/GCN-DevLSTM.
Oct 28, 2021

Roto-translated Local Coordinate Frames For Interacting Dynamical Systems

Modelling interactions is critical in learning complex dynamical systems, namely systems of interacting objects with highly non-linear and time-dependent behaviour. A large class of such systems can be formalized as geometric graphs\textit{geometric graphs}, i.e.\textit{i.e.}, graphs with nodes positioned in the Euclidean space given an arbitrarily\textit{arbitrarily} chosen global coordinate system, for instance vehicles in a traffic scene. Notwithstanding the arbitrary global coordinate system, the governing dynamics of the respective dynamical systems are invariant to rotations and translations, also known as Galilean invariance\textit{Galilean invariance}. As ignoring these invariances leads to worse generalization, in this work we propose local coordinate frames per node-object to induce roto-translation invariance to the geometric graph of the interacting dynamical system. Further, the local coordinate frames allow for a natural definition of anisotropic filtering in graph neural networks. Experiments in traffic scenes, 3D motion capture, and colliding particles demonstrate that the proposed approach comfortably outperforms the recent state-of-the-art.