Time Series Forecasting

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139 papers in the last four weeks, up 101% on the four weeks before. 0.9% of all new papers.

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  1. An AI-Based Decision-Support Pipeline for Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting

    Aug 3, 2026Fariba Dehghan, Sebastian Stein, Vahid Yazdanpanah +2Ensemble LearningTime Series Forecasting

    University of Southampton

  2. ReasonCast: Towards Explainable Time Series Forecasting with Reasoning

    Aug 3, 2026Seunghan Lee, Jun Seo, Jaehoon Lee +9Explainable Time Series ForecastingTime Series Reasoning

    LG AI Research

  3. Probabilistic Deep Learning for Drought Forecasting: Role of Internal Climate Variability

    Aug 3, 2026Henri Funk, Cornelia Gruber, Göran Kauermann +2Climate ScienceTime Series Forecasting

    Department of Statistics, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany · Department of Geography, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany

  4. Beyond Magnitude and Shape: A Direction-Aware Loss for Time Series Forecasting

    Aug 3, 2026Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo +9Time Series ForecastingAdaptive Loss Weighting

    LG AI Research

  5. CENTILE: A Telemetry Foundation Model Evaluated by the Decisions It Drives

    Aug 3, 2026Zifan Zhang, Zhichao Hou, Tingxiang Ji +1High-Performance ComputingTime Series Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA

  6. Evaluating Forecasting Techniques for Hardware Errors on a Large-scale HPC System

    Aug 3, 2026Kaiyuan Liao, Xiwei Xuan, Tanwi Mallick +3High-Performance ComputingTime Series Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science, University of California, Davis, USA · Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, USA · Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY, USA

  7. Latent-Regime Bias Auditing for Volatility Forecasting

    Aug 3, 2026Arthur Chagas, Pedro Bento, Yan Aquino +3Time Series ForecastingFinancial Time Series

    Department of Computer Science Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais – UFMG Belo Horizonte, Brazil

  8. FedChronos: Federated Fine-Tuning of Time-Series Foundation Models for Privacy-Preserving Commodity Price Forecasting

    Aug 2, 2026Amit Sharma, Nitin Auluck, Akramul AzimTime Series ForecastingFederated Fine-Tuning

    Indian Institute of Technology Ropar, Punjab, India · Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, Canada

  9. Interpretable Machine Learning for Traffic Congestion Prediction: Unveiling the Impact of Different COVID-19 Periods

    Aug 2, 2026Dan Zhu, Chi Sin Ng, Litian Xie +1Time Series ForecastingRecurrent Neural Networks

    Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore · Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore

  10. A Sequence-to-Sequence ConvLSTM Approach for Leaf Area Index Forecasting over the South-Central United States

    Aug 1, 2026Zhixing Ruan, Lixin LuTime Series ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado, USA

  11. Information Bottleneck Learning for Faithful Time Series Forecasting Explanations

    Jul 30, 2026Xu Zheng, Wei Cheng, Zhuomin Chen +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingExplainable Time Series Forecasting

    Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA · NEC Laboratories America, Princeton, NJ, USA · University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA +1

  12. Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Transformer for Coherent Emergency Department Forecasting

    Jul 29, 2026Filipa Lino, Bárbara Tavares, Carlos Santiago +2Time Series ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Institute for Systems and Robotics, LARSyS, Instituto Superior Técnico, Portugal · NOVA School of Science and Technology, Caparica, Portugal

  13. TREA-Net: A Transferable Residual Epidemiological Adaptation Network for Dengue Incidence Forecasting

    Jul 29, 2026Inesh Shukla, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty +1Epidemic ForecastingResidual Learning

    International Institute of Information Technology Hyderabad, India · SAFIR, Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates · Sorbonne Center for Artificial Intelligence, Sorbonne Universit´e, Paris, France

  14. Crossing-Free Probabilistic K-Line Forecasts Without Retraining

    Jul 29, 2026Runyao Yu, Yuchen Tao, Yujie Chen +2Financial ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    London Business School London, United Kingdom · RWTH Aachen University Aachen, Germany · The Chinese University of Hong Kong Shenzhen, China +1

  15. A Persona-based Rate Action Index

    Jul 29, 2026Hayden Helm, Andrew DassoriPersonality Modeling in Language ModelsTime Series Forecasting

    Helivan · Wavelength Capital

  16. DRIFT: Direct-Recursive Intervention-Conditioned Forecasting of ICU Physiological Trajectories

    Jul 28, 2026Weixin Liu, Juming Xiong, Congning Ni +4Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, USA · Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA

  17. Contextual Deconvolution for Variance-Stable Demand Sensing: Kernel-Modulated Operators in Promotional Retail

    Jul 28, 2026Mohammad ForouheshInventory ControlTime Series Forecasting

    Amirkabir University of Technology, Tehran, Iran

  18. LLM as Forecasting Planner: Training-Free Text Conditioning for Time-Series Foundation Models

    Jul 27, 2026Huu Hiep Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen +2Time Series ForecastingLLM-Based Time Series Forecasting

    Applied Artificial Intelligence Initiative Deakin University Geelong, Australia

  19. Variational Quantum Conditional Boltzmann Machines for Time-Series Forecasting: Architectures, Symmetric Hyperparameter Evaluation, and a Nonlinear Benchmark

    Jul 27, 2026Gerhard Hellstern, Danyal Maheshwari, Martin Zaefferer +2Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    Centre of Finance DHBW Stuttgart Stuttgart, Germany · Zentrum für Digitale Innovationen DHBW Ravensburg Ravensburg, Germany · DATEV eG Nürnberg, Germany

  20. A Controlled Visual-Backbone Benchmark for Multimodal Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting

    Jul 26, 2026Oshadha Samarakoon, Dushan Herath, Ishara Ranmandala +4Vision TransformerTime Series Forecasting

    Dept. of EEE, University of Peradeniya · Peradeniya, Sri Lanka · MARC, University of Peradeniya

  21. Operator Neural Jump ODEs: L2L^2-optimal prediction in function spaces

    Jul 25, 2026Florian Krach, Oliver Löthgren, Josef TeichmannTime Series ForecastingNeural Network Approximation Theory

    Department of Mathematics ETH Zurich

  22. Susceptible Reservoir Architectures for Regime-Conditional Volatility Forecasting

    Jul 24, 2026Aliaksei KaliutauQuantitative FinanceTime Series Forecasting

    Monodromy, London, United Kingdom.

  23. Hopformer: Homogeneity-Pursuit Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

    Jul 24, 2026Wan Zhang, Qinjie Lin, Chan Lee +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    The AMSS Center of Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China · Department of Computer Science, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL · Department of Statistics and Data Science, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL +1

  24. AIFS-TC: A simple correction competitive with the operational frontier for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting

    Jul 24, 2026Anna Allen, Wessel P. Bruinsma, Michael Maier-Gerber +3Time Series ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    University of Cambridge · 2European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

  25. Climate-resilient electric vehicle charging infrastructure for sustainable cities: An interpretable causal-ensemble framework for preventive maintenance and low-carbon mobility

    Jul 23, 2026Cande Lian, Wentao Zeng, Jiabin Wu +2Ensemble LearningConditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation

    School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China · School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan 528000, China · School of Mathematics, Foshan University, Foshan 528000, China +5

  26. CARNet Cycle-Conditioned Core Aggregation and Redistribution for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Jul 23, 2026Awsaf Tausif Adib, Md. Shahria Sarker Shuvo, Md. Estehaar Ahmed Emon +4Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Apurba-NSU R&D Lab, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, North South University · Apurba Technologies, California, USA

  27. Transformer-based Diffusion models for Hydrological Time Series Probabilistic Imputation and Forecasting

    Jul 23, 2026Ferdinand Bhavsar, Lionel Benoit, Maxime Savatier +1Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Imputation

    INRAE · Biostatistics and Spatial Processes (BioSP), INRAE, Avignon 84914, France · ANDRA +1

  28. GlucoTune: A Unified Framework for Blood Glucose Preprocessing, Forecasting, and Benchmarking in Diabetes

    Jul 23, 2026Davide Marelli, Giorgia Rigamonti, Mirko Paolo Barbato +1Type 1 DiabetesTime Series Forecasting

    Department of Informatics, Systems and Communication, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milano 20126, Italy

  29. PIER: Physics-Informed Environmental Retrieval for Time-Series Modeling

    Jul 22, 2026Shiyuan Luo, Runlong Yu, Chonghao Qiu +6Time Series ForecastingAdaptive Retrieval

    University of Pittsburgh · University of Alabama · University of Minnesota +3

  30. Zero-Shot Heart Rate Variability Forecasting from Consumer Wearables Using Time Series Foundation Models

    Jul 22, 2026Luukas Peräkylä, Fahad Sohrab, Ville Hautamäki +3Zero-Shot Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Tampere University, Tampere, Finland · University of Eastern Finland, Finland